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  • 标题:Modeling and Forecasting Financial Volatilities Using a Joint Model for Range and Realized Volatility
  • 本地全文:下载
  • 作者:Yunqian Ma ; Yuanying Jiang
  • 期刊名称:Open Journal of Business and Management
  • 印刷版ISSN:2329-3284
  • 电子版ISSN:2329-3292
  • 出版年度:2016
  • 卷号:04
  • 期号:02
  • 页码:206-218
  • DOI:10.4236/ojbm.2016.42022
  • 语种:English
  • 出版社:Scientific Research Publishing
  • 摘要:There exist many ways to measure financial asset volatility. In this paper, we introduce a new joint model for the high-low range of assets prices and realized measure of volatility: Realized CARR. In fact, the high-low range and realized volatility, both are efficient estimators of volatility. Hence, this new joint model can be viewed as a model of volatility. The model is similar to the Realized GARCH model of Hansen et al. (2012), and it can be estimated by the quasi-maximum likelihood method. Out-of-sample volatility forecasting using Standard and Poors 500 stock index (S&P), Dow Jones Industrial Average index (DJI) and National Association of Securities Dealers Automated Quotation (NASDAQ) 100 equity index shows that the Realized CARR model does outperform the Realized GARCH model.
  • 关键词:High-Low Range;Realized Volatility;Joint Model;High Frequency Data
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