摘要:There exist many ways to measure financial asset volatility. In this paper, we introduce a new joint model for the high-low range of assets prices and realized measure of volatility: Realized CARR. In fact, the high-low range and realized volatility, both are efficient estimators of volatility. Hence, this new joint model can be viewed as a model of volatility. The model is similar to the Realized GARCH model of Hansen et al. (2012), and it can be estimated by the quasi-maximum likelihood method. Out-of-sample volatility forecasting using Standard and Poors 500 stock index (S&P), Dow Jones Industrial Average index (DJI) and National Association of Securities Dealers Automated Quotation (NASDAQ) 100 equity index shows that the Realized CARR model does outperform the Realized GARCH model.
关键词:High-Low Range;Realized Volatility;Joint Model;High Frequency Data