出版社:European HIV/AIDS and Infectious Diseases Academy
摘要:In recent years mathematical modeling has become a valuable tool in the analysis of infectious disease dynamics at both individual and population level. Mathematical models allow us to extrapolate from current information about the natural history of a disease, therapy/intervention outcome, state and progress of an outbreak, to predict the future and, most importantly, to quantify the uncertainty in these predictions, thus, increasingly gaining the ability to perform as a link between basic science, clinical medicine and public health.