期刊名称：International Journal of Econometrics and Financial Management
印刷版ISSN：2374-2011
电子版ISSN：2374-2038
出版年度：2016
卷号：4
期号：2
页码：29-38
DOI：10.12691/ijefm-4-2-1
出版社：Science and Education Publishing
摘要：We examine spillover effects of the recent U.S. financial crisis on five emerging Asian countries by estimating conditional correlations of financial asset returns across countries using multivariate GARCH models. We propose a novel approach that simultaneously estimates the conditional correlation coefficient and the effects of its determining factors over time, which can be used to identify the channels of spillovers. We find a dominant role of foreign investment for the conditional correlations in international equity markets. The dollar Libor OIS spread, the sovereign CDS premium, and foreign investment are found to be significant factors affecting foreign exchange markets.
关键词：subprime crisis; contagion; volatility of stock returns; VAR
