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  • 标题:Determinants of the Hungarian forint/ US dollar exchange rate
  • 本地全文:下载
  • 作者:Hsing, Yu
  • 期刊名称:Theoretical and Applied Economics
  • 印刷版ISSN:1841-8678
  • 电子版ISSN:1844-0029
  • 出版年度:2016
  • 卷号:XXIII
  • 期号:1(606), Spring
  • 页码:163-170
  • 出版社:Asociatia Generala a Economistilor din Romania - AGER
  • 摘要:Applying the EGARCH model and using demand and supply analysis, this paper finds that the HUF/USD exchange rate (units of the Hungarian forint per U.S. dollar) is positively associated with the U.S. Treasury bill rate, U.S. real GDP, the U.S. stock index, the Hungarian inflation rate and the expected exchange rate and negatively influenced by the Hungarian Treasury bill rate, Hungarian real GDP, the Hungarian stock index, and the U.S. inflation rate. The HUF/USD exchange rate has a long-term equilibrium relationship with these time series variables.
  • 关键词:Exchange rates; Interest rates; Real GDP; Stock indexes; Inflation rates; EGARCH.
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