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文章基本信息

  • 标题:Number preferences in lotteries
  • 本地全文:下载
  • 作者:Wang, Tong V. ; van Loon, Rogier J. D. Potter ; van den Assem, Martijn J.
  • 期刊名称:Judgment and Decision Making
  • 印刷版ISSN:1930-2975
  • 出版年度:2016
  • 卷号:11
  • 期号:3
  • 页码:243-259
  • 出版社:Society for Judgment and Decision Making
  • 摘要:We explore people’s preferences for numbers in large proprietary data sets from two different lottery games. We find that choice is far from uniform, and exhibits some familiar and some new tendencies and biases. Players favor personally meaningful and situationally available numbers, and are attracted towards numbers in the center of the choice form. Frequent players avoid winning numbers from recent draws, whereas infrequent players chase these. Combinations of numbers are formed with an eye for aesthetics, and players tend to spread their numbers relatively evenly across the possible range.
  • 关键词:lotteries; gambling; number preference; color preference; implicit egotism; availability; position effect; law of small numbers; representativeness; gambler’s fallacy; hot-hand fallacy.
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