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  • 标题:Probabilistic Prediction of the Next Earthquake in the NAFZ (North Anatolian Fault Zone), Turkey
  • 本地全文:下载
  • 作者:Veysel YILMAZ ; Murat ERİŞOĞLU ; H. Eray ÇELİK
  • 期刊名称:Dogus University Journal
  • 印刷版ISSN:1302-6739
  • 电子版ISSN:1308-6979
  • 出版年度:2004
  • 卷号:5
  • 期号:2
  • 页码:243-250
  • 语种:
  • 出版社:Dogus University
  • 摘要:Statistical methods are useful for characterizing seismic hazard because earthquakes are, for all practical purposes, random phenomena. They provide additional insights to the seismic hazard or risk problem. Seismic risk and earthquake occurrence probabilities can be estimated by using probability distributions. In this study Weibull, Log-normal, Log-logistic, Exponential and Gamma distributions have been examined for which one has the best fit for the given data. Kolmogorov-Smirnov test statistics was used at the research of the distribution best represents earthquake data. At the end of the test, it has been detected that Weibull distribution is more appropriate than other distributions.
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