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  • 标题:Stochastic ice stream dynamics
  • 作者:Elisa Mantelli ; Matteo Bernard Bertagni ; Luca Ridolfi
  • 期刊名称:Proceedings of the National Academy of Sciences
  • 印刷版ISSN:0027-8424
  • 电子版ISSN:1091-6490
  • 出版年度:2016
  • 卷号:113
  • 期号:32
  • 页码:E4594-E4600
  • DOI:10.1073/pnas.1600362113
  • 语种:English
  • 出版社:The National Academy of Sciences of the United States of America
  • 摘要:Ice streams are narrow corridors of fast-flowing ice that constitute the arterial drainage network of ice sheets. Therefore, changes in ice stream flow are key to understanding paleoclimate, sea level changes, and rapid disintegration of ice sheets during deglaciation. The dynamics of ice flow are tightly coupled to the climate system through atmospheric temperature and snow recharge, which are known exhibit stochastic variability. Here we focus on the interplay between stochastic climate forcing and ice stream temporal dynamics. Our work demonstrates that realistic climate fluctuations are able to (i) induce the coexistence of dynamic behaviors that would be incompatible in a purely deterministic system and (ii) drive ice stream flow away from the regime expected in a steady climate. We conclude that environmental noise appears to be crucial to interpreting the past behavior of ice sheets, as well as to predicting their future evolution.
  • 关键词:ice streams ; noise-induced phenomena ; climate variability ; Hopf bifurcation
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