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  • 标题:Pilot Appliacation of the Dynamic Input-Output Model. Case Study of the Czech Republic 2005-2013
  • 本地全文:下载
  • 作者:Karel Šafr
  • 期刊名称:Statistika : Statistics and Economy Journal
  • 印刷版ISSN:0322-788X
  • 电子版ISSN:1804-8765
  • 出版年度:2016
  • 卷号:2
  • 出版社:Czech Statistical Office
  • 摘要:The aim of this article is to provide the very first analysis in the field of dynamic Input-Output (I-O) models for the Czech Republic. This study examines the practicality of production dynamic equations for an estimation of future production enhanced for gross fixed capital formation. The principal construction element of dynamic I-O models rests on a technical capital matrix illustrating a stock of gross fixed capital in an economy. The lack of available data for this matrix challenges this study to analyze two possible computation procedures. Namely, I examine extrapolation method and method based on a transformation from matrix classification by type of fixed assets (AN) to classification by product (CPA). The results of the application part indicate notable differences between both ways of calculation. Final prognosis of the structure of production exhibits 11 to 21% deviations from the real structure of production in the five-year period and thus significantly diverges from reality. Potential sources of these problems and their solutions are discussed in the conclusion of this study
  • 关键词:Dynamic Input-Output model; Input-Output analysis; matrix of technical capital; production equation
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