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  • 标题:Testing trend stationarity of functional time series with application to yield and daily price curves
  • 本地全文:下载
  • 作者:Piotr Kokoszka ; Gabriel Young
  • 期刊名称:Statistics and Its Interface
  • 印刷版ISSN:1938-7989
  • 电子版ISSN:1938-7997
  • 出版年度:2017
  • 卷号:10
  • 期号:1
  • 页码:81-92
  • DOI:10.4310/SII.2017.v10.n1.a8
  • 出版社:International Press
  • 摘要:Econometric and financial data often take the form of a collection of curves observed consecutively over time. Examples include intraday price curves, term structure curves, and intraday volatility curves. Such curves can be viewed as functional time series. A fundamental issue that must be addressed, before an attempt is made to statistically model or predict such series, is whether they can be assumed to be stationary with a possible deterministic trend. This paper extends the KPSS test to the setting of functional time series. We propose two testing procedures: Monte Carlo and asymptotic. The limit distributions of the test statistics are specified, the procedures are algorithmically described and illustrated by application to yield curves and daily price curves.
  • 关键词:functional data; daily price curves; integrated time series; random walk; trend stationarity
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