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文章基本信息

  • 标题:Prediction of Civil Aviation Passenger Transportation Based on ARIMA Model
  • 本地全文:下载
  • 作者:Xinxin Tang ; Guangming Deng
  • 期刊名称:Open Journal of Statistics
  • 印刷版ISSN:2161-718X
  • 电子版ISSN:2161-7198
  • 出版年度:2016
  • 卷号:06
  • 期号:05
  • 页码:824-834
  • DOI:10.4236/ojs.2016.65068
  • 语种:English
  • 出版社:Scientific Research Publishing
  • 摘要:The passenger transportation, as an important index to describe the scale of aviation passenger transport, prediction and research, can let us understand the future trend of the aviation passenger transport, according to it, the airline can make corresponding marketing strategy adjustment. Combining with the knowledge of time series let us understand the characteristics of passenger transportation change, the R software is used to fit the data, so as to establish the ARIMA(1,1,8) model to describe the civil aviation passenger transport developing trend in the future and to make reasonable predictions.
  • 关键词:Passenger Transportation;ARIMA Model;Seasonal Trend;Forecast
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