期刊名称：International Journal of Business Administration
印刷版ISSN：1923-4007
电子版ISSN：1923-4015
出版年度：2015
卷号：6
期号：3
页码：p121
DOI：10.5430/ijba.v6n3p121
语种：English
出版社：Sciedu Press
摘要：The present study aims to analyse and model the net occupancy rates of bed-places in the Croatian hotel industry in the period from January 2005 to August 2014. For these purposes three models of generating time-series forecasts were used: the seasonal Naive model, the Holt-Winters exponential model and the seasonal autoregressive integrated moving average model. The empirical results show that the used time-series models performed well in terms of MAPE and that the Holt-Winters model outperformed the seasonal naive and the seasonal ARIMA model.
其他摘要：The present study aims to analyse and model the net occupancy rates of bed-places in the Croatian hotel industry in the period from January 2005 to August 2014. For these purposes three models of generating time-series forecasts were used: the seasonal Naive model, the Holt-Winters exponential model and the seasonal autoregressive integrated moving average model. The empirical results show that the used time-series models performed well in terms of MAPE and that the Holt-Winters model outperformed the seasonal naive and the seasonal ARIMA model.
