Getting to yes on trade: the first step is to establish an effective adjustment policy.
Robinson, James D., III
We are in a ridiculous state of partisan bickering. Finalizing
three bilateral trade agreements ought to be an easy, no-brain way to
generate jobs and growth in the U.S. economy. Yet here we are in another
stalemate between the political parties, with time running out.
Since the Trade Expansion Act of 1962, which authorized the Kennedy
Round, trade negotiations have greatly increased domestic prosperity
while also providing assistance for displaced workers. That can happen
again if we have the wisdom and common sense to say yes to the bilateral
agreements with South Korea, Panama, and Colombia currently before
Congress.
As a businessman advocating the merits of trade, it is easy to see
the advantages for American companies. That is why I have worked
actively for freer trade for over three decades. In the current
environment, with Doha Trade Round negotiations stalled and other
countries signing bilateral trade pacts, U.S. companies will be at a
disadvantage in global markets unless we too can sign such agreements.
With all the talk in Washington about competitiveness and job creation,
one would think this would be an easy call.
The broad economic benefits of freer trade have never been in
doubt. The "problem" with trade has always been its uneven
effects--as with any economic change, there are some who gain and others
who lose. And the political solution to that problem has always been to
set aside a portion of the gains to fund programs to help workers (and
companies) in need to adjust to new economic realities. Even after
funding these programs, the overall gains to Americans--in the form of
more jobs, higher income, and more consumer choice--are substantial.
In the early 2000s, I chaired a couple of studies by the Committee
for Economic Development which examined U.S. trade policy and developed
a comprehensive agenda for achieving open trade and addressing the
hardship of those who might lose their livelihoods as a result of
economic change. Our preferred solution as a country was (and is) to
grab the leadership on trade. Drop the pretense that we need to give up
something by lowering our trade barriers in order to gain reciprocal
concessions from others. The truth is that we all gain when we stop
restricting trade. Despite the support of five former U.S. Trade
Representatives, two Secretaries of the Treasury, and three former
Presidents at that time, Washington was not ready for such a bold step.
So we took another look at the problem of how to get to "yes"
on trade. Our conclusion then, as now, is that an effective adjustment
policy must be part of the policy package.
The 2005 CED report, Making Trade Work: Straight Talk on Jobs,
Trade, and Adjustment, analyzed the full range of federal government
expenditures on training and unemployment, with the recognition that
there could be different solutions to match the different circumstances
of affected workers. Every possible effort should be made to encourage
and facilitate workers' reemployment. Trade Adjustment Assistance
is just one of many federal programs designed to help workers adjust to
changed circumstances. It is one of the more effective initiatives.
Certainly, there are inefficiencies embedded in the multiple federal
jobs, education, and training programs. Some work, some do not. By
consolidating and streamlining these programs, we can improve their
overall operating effectiveness while lowering their total annual costs.
The trade adjustment assistance program is estimated to cost less than
$1 billion out of over $60 billion per year spent on all training and
unemployment programs, many of which have been around for years and with
modest benefit. Surely, there are opportunities to make these programs
more efficient while continuing to help adjust and allow the economy to
move to a higher level of output and consumer benefits. A serious review
of these programs by the U.S. Confess should enable the entire cost of
TAA to be absorbed by savings generated from the current mix of
programs. In fact, such restructuring should allow meaningful budget
reductions of the total dollars spent but with higher overall impact.
The conclusion seems obvious. We need the benefits that freer trade
can provide to an economy struggling to grow and create jobs. A freer
trade policy helps many but hurts a few. Helping those who are hurt must
be a central part of our trade policy. The benefits of trade are ample
enough to cover the costs of such assistance. And if we act wisely, we
can improve the efficiency of assistance programs and lower their
overall costs. Let's rise above political gamesmanship and pass
those bilateral trade agreements.
James D. Robinson Ill is the former Chairman and CEO of the
American Express Company and is now a general partner with RRE Ventures.
Mr. Robinson chaired the U.S. Advisory Committee on Trade Polio'
and Negotiations and the Trade and Investment Task Force of the Business
Roundtable.