Foreign ownership and financial performance: evidence from Egypt.
Azzam, Islam ; Fouad, Jasmin ; Ghosh, Dilip K. 等
I. INTRODUCTION
The Egyptian Revolution in January 2011, which put an end to the
thirty-year old regime of President Mubarak, has led to an overall
condemnation of many of the economic policies and procedures of that
period. Among the procedures that have been criticized are the numerous
initiatives to encourage foreign ownership that include equal treatment
for foreigners and domestic investors in terms of land and capital
ownership, tax holidays for at least five years for foreign investors,
and the exemption of some labor law articles for foreign firms operating
in Free Zones.
From a macroeconomic perspective these policies have contributed to
an increase in foreign ownership and an upsurge in Foreign Direct
Investment (FDI) in Egypt, which is reflected in a rise of inward FDI
from $38,925 million in 2006 to $73,095 million in 2010. In 2010, Egypt
was ranked number 14 out of 116 developing economies, in attracting
inward FDI (UNCTAD). The positive effect of foreign ownership is
attributed to the ability of foreign-owned firms to increase capital,
transfer technology and R&D, and improve managerial skills. However
foreign ownership can also have a negative impact on the economy, when
it is accompanied by "crowding out" of local companies,
increased unemployment among local workers, and lower tax revenues due
to tax holidays given to foreign firms.
There is a current debate in Egypt about the importance of foreign
ownership in the Egyptian economy. While a group is stressing the
importance of policies to increase foreign ownership as a means of
improving financial performance of firms in Egypt and to achieve higher
GDP growth rates, another group is rejecting these policies based on the
perception that the financial performance of foreign ownership is not
very different from domestic ownership. The second group is particularly
found among Egyptian Labor Unions and Egyptian workers, who have been a
main participant in the revolution because they lost their jobs due to
privatization and foreign ownership.
The same debate has also been an issue of interest in the academic
literature. The underpinnings of this topic are found in several
theories, namely the agency theory, the resource-based theory and the
institutional theory (Douma et al., 2006).The theories focus on
explaining the link between ownership and financial performance in the
context of developed countries and not necessarily the emerging and less
developed countries. Bhagwati and Brecher (1980), Brecher and Bhagwati
(1981) cogently deal with foreign ownership, trade and welfare, and they
show that foreign ownership increases national welfare and national
income of the host country. When at the national level the welfare and
income increase, it is easy to recognize that at the corporate level
everything is along the line. It is, however, not clear of the
trajectory of the growth of welfare and corporate earnings, earning per
share (EPS), and other issues. Foreign ownership with a domestic firm is
like a merger of two firms, domestic and foreign. It is easy to prove
that if this merger is done under fair deal, EPS increases if the
domestic firm's price earnings ratio [(P/E).sub.d] exceeds the
foreign firm's [(P/E).sub.F]. Ghosh, and Ghosh (1997) show, through
their triangle, the optimum location, and optimum investment that
involve pairing up firms' joint action. It is illustrated that
paring of two or more firms--local and foreign--can make the joint
ventures earnings-augmenting. Capital and skills can be extensive,
synergy escalates, and that undoubtedly becomes beneficial for every
entity involved. Norman and Jones (1979) convey the same result through
a model of trade and unemployment in a context of general equilibrium.
In a different twist, in the context of determining optimum capital
structure, particularly with reference to a search of pecking order as a
dynamic leverage theory, Bagley and Yaari (1996), and Bagley, Ghosh, and
Yaari (1998) present a class of diffusion models that mimic this
behavior in a stochastically dynamic framework and show how to optimize
a financing strategy by any static trade-off theory as input. It should
be noted that Fischer, Heinkel, and Zechner (1989), and Mauer and
Triantis (1994) have provided the dynamic leverage policy which is
different from Bagley, and Yaari (1996), and Bagley, Ghosh, and Yaari
(1998). Making use of Arrow, Karlin, and Scarf's (1958), and
particularly, Arrow-Harris-Marschak dynamic model (Section III, 1958)
and their (S, s) policy, we build the stochastic model of Weiner process
with constant drift ([mu])and diffusion parameter ([sigma]) as follows:
dL = [mu]dt + [sigma]d[omega] (1)
where L is the state-control variable representing leverage index
that is monotonically increasing with debt and decreasing with equity.
We postulate endogenous barriers with asymmetric quadratic penalty
function, symmetric transaction costs and no drift, one can get the
expressions for s(L), S(L), u(L), [lambda](L), m(L), [upsilon](L) g(L),
and [omega](L) It is postulated that L triggers a fixed transaction cost
at each encounter with upper and lower barriers, as in (S, s), and
generates an instantaneous penalty when on free traversal between
barriers. The barrier points and the return point chosen to minimize
expected total periodic cost are L = [beta] (upper barrier point) when
the firm makes costly lump-sum readjustment in its debt equity position
to the point, L = r, and issues stock and retires bonds in the amount of
[beta]-r. If the leverage index hits the lower barrier, L = [alpha],
there will be readjustment back to L = r by stock repurchase bankrolled
by borrowing in the amount of r-[alpha].
The paradigm with endogenous barriers, symmetric quadratic penalty
and transaction costs and no drift can be brought out as:
[MATHEMATICAL EXPRESSION NOT REPRODUCIBLE IN ASCII] (2)
and the scale function, S(L) is
S(L) = [integral] s(L)dL = L (3)
The probability of hitting the upper barrier before lower barrier,
u(L), given that the process begins at an unspecified leverage, L is as
follows:
u(L) = [S(L)-S([alpha])]/[s([beta])-S([alpha])] =
[L-[alpha]]/[[beta]-[alpha]] (4)
And the speed density, m(L), computed from (3), is
m(L) = 1/[[[sigma].sup.2]s(L)] = 1/[[sigma].sup.2] (5)
From this value one can get the expected time to reach either
barrier from any point L is [upsilon](L), by use of expressions (3)-(5),
and here then
[MATHEMATICAL EXPRESSION NOT REPRODUCIBLE IN ASCII] (6)
Assuming penalty function, g(L), centered on the ideal leverage,
[L.sub.0], where
g(L) = q(L-[L.sub.0]) q > 0 (7)
whose lowest value is g([L.sub.0]) 0 measures the instantaneous
penalty incurred by any deviation from the ideal leverage, [L.sub.0].
However, the expected penalty incurred up to the first encounter with
either barrier, [omega](L), when starting from any point L is
[MATHEMATICAL EXPRESSION NOT REPRODUCIBLE IN ASCII] (8)
The objective minimand then is
[MATHEMATICAL EXPRESSION NOT REPRODUCIBLE IN ASCII] (9)
where [kappa] [greater than or equal to] 0 is the fixed cost of
transaction (assumed). A corporation's objective is to minimize the
expected excess cost of capital by optimally choosing [alpha] = [??],
[beta] = [??] and L = [??]. Because of the symmetry postulated, optimal
return point is at the ideal leverage, [L.sub.0]--which is half-way
between [??] and [??], and
[MATHEMATICAL EXPRESSION NOT REPRODUCIBLE IN ASCII].
Upon further simplification because of underlying assumption of
symmetry, one can have the following:
[phi](L)= [[kappa][[sigma].sup.2]]/[[([L.sub.0]-[alpha]).sup.2]] +
[[([L.sub.0] - [alpha]).sup.2]/6] q (9 *)
Minimization of [phi](L)with respect to a yields:
[??] = [L.sub.0] - [square root of
({[6[kappa][[sigma].sup.2]]/q]})] (10)
and
[??] = [L.sub.0] - [square root of ({[6[kappa][[sigma].sup.2]/q]})]
(11)
Substitution of [??], [??], and [??] in the objective function
results in:
[??] = [square root of ([2[kappa]q[[sigma].sup.2]/3])] (12)
which signifies that the cost of capital includes flotation and
stock repurchase costs in stochastic structure and the cost of
stochastic deviation from [L.sub.0]. Generalization of this basic
paradigm into a model of leverage indifference with exogenous barriers,
symmetric transaction costs and positive drift parameter gives rise to
optimum return point:
[L.sup.*] = l/[epsilon] ln ([[e.sup.[beta][epsilon]] -
[e.sup.[alpha][epsilon]]]/[[epsilon]([beta]-[alpha])]) (13)
and the optimal mean leverage is defined by:
[[??].sup.*] = [A + B]/C (14)
where
[MATHEMATICAL EXPRESSION NOT REPRODUCIBLE IN ASCII]
We can create other scenarios and paradigms. With foreign ownership
these pecking orders maximize returns and minimize costs involved in
pecking order, particularly for firms in less-developed countries.
Based on these theories some empirical results have found positive
effects of foreign ownership on firm's performance (e.g., Willmore,
1986; Piscitello and Rabbiosi, 2005). Others have reached opposite
results on the link between foreign ownership and financial performance
(e.g., Kim and Lyn, 1990; Khawar, 2003).
This paper aims to contribute to the on-going debate to serve not
only the policy-makers in deciding which path should be taken in
emerging economies, but also the literature to fill the gap on the link
between foreign ownership and financial performance in emerging
countries and specifically Egypt. We believe that this paper is a unique
contribution to the literature as it sheds the light on the impact of
various degrees of foreign ownership on financial performance in Egypt.
Using a panel of 8,185companies in Egypt for the period of
2006-2010, we find that foreign ownership in Egypt has a significant
positive impact on financial performance. The results show that foreign
ownership significantly improves profits, an increase of 10% in foreign
ownership increases the ROA and ROE by 2.3% and 2.1% respectively.
Foreign ownership also has a significant and positive effect on debt
(decreases debt), which can be explained by the ability of foreign
owners to improve firms' access to finance.
The remainder of the paper is organized as follows: Section II
contains the literature review. Section III describes the data and the
sample construction. Section IV presents the empirical methodology. In
Section V we show the empirical results and a discussion of these
results and section VI concludes.
II. LITERATURE REVIEW
Vast literature compares the financial performance of foreign-owned
firms to domestic-owned firms. The numerous studies are divided, while
some show that foreign ownership has a significant and positive effect
on performance, others find a negative impact. Willmore (1986) found
that the financial performances of foreign-owned firms are superior to
those of domestic firms. Doms and Jensen (1995) show that foreign-owned
companies in the U.S. are more productive compared to domestic-owned.
Goethals and Ooghe (1997) examine the effect of foreign ownership on
Belgian companies. They find that foreign ownership significantly
improves financial performance in Belgian companies. Chhibber and
Majumdar (1999) compare the effect of foreign-owned firms in India to
domestic on firm performance, and find that foreign ownership improves
performance. In the adopted regression models they find a negative and
significant effect of the debt ratios. Conyon et al. (2002) analyze the
impact of foreign-owned companies on labor productivity in the UK in the
period 1987-1996 and find a positive and significant impact of
foreign-owned versus domestic-owned. Akimova and Schwodiauer (2004) find
that foreign ownership improves firm's financial performance in
Ukraine except for companies with relatively high concentrated foreign
ownership. Their results show that the relationship between foreign
ownership and firm performance is non-linear, reflecting an increase in
firm performance with higher foreign ownership up till a certain degree
,and then the performance decreases when foreign ownership is close to
majority ownership. Arnold and Javorcik (2005) reach similar results in
their research on the relationship between foreign-owned firms and total
productivity in Indonesia. Piscitello and Rabbiosi (2005) show the
positive impact of ownership change on financial performance based on
the data of Italian companies. Alan and Steve (2005) study the short and
long term effects of foreign ownership on UK companies during the period
1984 to 1995. They show that foreign ownership has a significant and
positive effect on financial performance.
Aydin et al. (2007) examine the effect of foreign ownership on
financial performance on firms in Turkey; the results show a positive
impact of foreign ownership on the firms' performance.
On the other hand, the study of Kim and Lyn (1990), covering 54
multinational companies in the period 1980-1984, show that foreign firms
in the U.S are less profitable and have higher levels of debt compared
to domestic firms. Aitken and Harrison (1999) used a data set of 43,010
observations covering firms in Venezuela in the period 1976-1989 to
examine the impact of foreign-owned firms on firm performance. The
findings show no evidence supporting the presence of technology
spill-overs from foreign-owned firms to domestic-owned firms.
Konings (2001) tests the effect of FDI on the performance of firms
in Bulgaria, Romania and Poland, for the period from 1993 to 1997. Their
results show that foreign firms perform better only in Poland, compared
to the domestic companies. Khawar (2003) finds that foreign ownership
has no positive spill-over effect on the manufacturing sector in Mexico.
The study of Goerg and Stroebl (2003) indicates that foreign firms
in Ireland are more likely to close down and this is similar to the
results of Bernard and Jensen (2007) which focus on multinationals in
the United States. Barbosa and Louri (2005) show that there is no
significant difference in performance between domestically owned and
MNCs operating in Portugal and Greece.
On the effect of foreign ownership on firm performance in Egypt
there are a limited number of papers. Ben Naceur et al. (2007)
investigate 95 firms in Egypt Morocco, Tunisia, and Turkey, and they
find a positive impact of foreign ownership on profits and output. In
another study, Omran et al. (2008) with a sample of 304 companies from
four countries, namely Egypt, Jordan, Oman and Tunisia during the period
2000-2002 find no significant impact of foreign investors on firm
performance. Omran (2009) examines 52 newly privatized companies in
Egypt, and he finds that foreign ownership has a positive impact on firm
performance.
Summarizing the numerous studies on the relation between foreign
ownership and firm performance suggest that there is no conclusive result; therefore we aim to examine the effect of foreign ownership on
the financial performance using a larger sample (8,185) of firms in
Egypt and to evaluate how compatible the results are with pervious results. A major shortcoming of the majority of the literature is that
the distinction is made between foreign-owned and domestic-owned firms,
without differentiating between the various degrees of ownership. Only a
limited number of studies (e.g., Blomstrm and Sjholm, 1999; Chhibber and
Majumdar, 1999; Akimova and Schwdiauer, 2004) have investigated the
effect of the degree of foreign ownership on firm performance, where the
range of foreign ownership is divided into a number of subsamples
referring to majority foreign ownership ,minority foreign ownership, and
complete foreign ownership. To fill this gap in the literature we
compare the effect of various degrees of foreign ownership on firm
performance, with the use of six subsamples to refer to various degrees
of foreign ownership ranging from zero foreign ownership to complete
foreign ownership.
III. DATA AND VARIABLES DESCRIPTION
The data were collected from the database of the General Authority
of Free Zones and Investment (GAFI) in Egypt. We started with a sample
of 10,000 companies registered at GAFI, which was then reduced to 8,158
companies, as we restricted our sample to only include the companies
with available financial statements for a minimum of two years within
the period 2006-2010. This restriction and the removal of outliers
resulted in the reduction of the number of observations to 19,865
observations .This total sample is divided into two sub-samples: the
first sample includes 14,312 observations of companies without foreign
ownership; while the second sample comprises 5,553 observations from
companies with foreign ownership. The total sample is well-diversified
as it includes small, medium and large companies with sizes (measured in
terms of total assets) ranging from $1million to $794 million; and
covers most of the economic sectors in the Egyptian Economy (the
Agricultural Sector, Construction Sector, Financial Sector, Industrial
Sector, Information Technology Sector, and Service Sector).The frequency
of the data is annual.
Based on the literature review, we find that there is not a unified
model framework that explains the relationship between foreign ownership
and firm performance. We basically adopt the model by Mueller et al.
(2003), with some adjustments to include control variables and
accommodate for data availability (Caves, 1996). In this study the
independent variables are return on assets (ROA), return on equity
(ROE), and the debt ratio (DR). ROA is defined as the ratio of net
income to total assets, and shows the ability of firms in generating
income from assets. ROE is calculated as the ratio of net income to
total equity, and indicates the efficiency of generating profits from
shareholders' equity. These ratios are used extensively in the
literature as measures of profits. DR is the ratio of total debt to
total assets, and captures the leverage of the firm.
The independent variable is foreign ownership (FO), and it refers
to the percentage of equity held by foreign owners in a company (Lee,
2008). The traditional approach of including the effect of foreign
ownership is with the use of a dummy variable (Yudaeva et al., 2003).
However, as the focus of the study is to compare various levels of
foreign ownership, the traditional approach is inappropriate.
To deal with the possibility that a variety of variables can
jointly affect firm performance and foreign ownership and hence cause
correlation between them, we introduce a number of control variables in
the model. We control for the size (S), measured by the natural
logarithm of total assets (Zeckhouser and Pound, 1990). The importance
of controlling for size is based on the results of Fama and French
(1995), who have concluded that small firms have, on average, lower
earnings (scaled by book value of equity) compared to large firms. This
can be explained by the ability of large firms to utilize economies of
scale and scope compared to small firms. The model includes another
control variable, namely age (A), measured by the number of years since
the company has been founded (Morck et.al, 1988).
We include other variables such as the asset turnover ratio (AT),
measured as sales divided by total assets, current ratio (CR), which is
the ratio of current assets to current liabilities, and net profit
margin (NPM), which is the ratio of net income to sales. The definitions
of all dependent and independent variables are found in Appendix 1.
Table 1 provides the summary statistics for the two subsamples. It
shows the mean, median, and t-test for the significant difference in
means, and the Wilcoxon test for the significant differences in medians
for all variables.
The sample includes 14,312 companies without foreign ownership and
5,553 companies with foreign ownership during the period from 2006 to
2010.The mean and median of the foreign ownership ratio for the foreign
firms is equal to 60%. The test-statistics for the significant
difference in means and medians show that companies with foreign
ownership have significantly higher ROA, ROE, NPM, and AT compared to
companies without foreign owners. It is worth noting that companies with
foreign ownership are significantly larger in size and older in age than
companies without.
The mean (median) of the ROA is 6.9% (4.6%) for companies without
foreign ownership compared to 7.9% (5.4%) for companies with foreign
ownership. The mean (median) of the ROE for companies without and with
ownership are 17.1% (12.9%) and 18.3% (14.6%), respectively. The mean
(median) of net profit margin is significantly higher for companies with
foreign ownership 3.7% (7.6%), compared to the mean (median) of
companies without foreign ownership 1.6% (5%).
We also examine the effect of the different levels of foreign
ownership on financial performance. Table 2 provides the results, that
include the means and medians for six subsamples based on various
degrees of foreign ownership, ranging from zero to 100%.The first sample
covers the companies with zero foreign ownership, the second covers the
companies with foreign ownership in the range from more than zero to
20%, the third sample includes firms with foreign ownership ranging from
20% to 40%. The fourth, fifth and sixth samples cover the ranges 40% to
60%, 60% to 80%, and 80% to 100% foreign ownership respectively. Table 2
shows that the means and medians for S, NPM and ROA for companies with
zero foreign ownership and companies with 80% to 100% foreign ownership
are relatively lower compared to other ranges of ownership. It is worth
noting that the median of the ROA for companies at the zero degree of
foreign ownership and the 100% foreign ownership are 4.5% and 4.7%,
respectively. On the other hand the median for companies with foreign
ownership reaches the highest level in the foreign ownership range
20%-40% at 6.6%. The medians of NPM for companies with foreign ownership
in the range 20%-40% and 40%-60% are in the range between 7.8% and 10%,
which are relatively higher when compared to the medians for companies
with zero and 80% to 100% ownership (5% and 5.7%, respectively). To sum
up, the results indicate that companies with highly concentrated
domestic ownership (zero foreign ownership) and highly concentrated
foreign ownership (80%-100%) are relatively less profitable.
After dividing the data into six different subsamples based on the
foreign ownership ratio, we investigate the effect of foreign ownership
on a company's performance in various sectors. Table 3 shows the
effect of foreign ownership on a company's performance in seven
different sectors which are the information technology sector, the
construction sector, the financial sector, the service sector, the
agricultural sector, the tourism sector, and the industrial sector. It
provides the means, medians, and t-statistics for the significant
difference in means between companies with and without foreign ownership
in each sector. Our results show that companies with foreign ownership
are relatively larger in size compared to companies without foreign
ownership for all sectors. Foreign ownership has no significant effect
on profitability for companies in the information technology sector, the
construction sector, and the agricultural sector. Foreign ownership has
a significantly positive effect on profitability of companies in the
service sector, tourism sector, and the industrial sector while it has
significantly negative effect on the profitability of companies in the
financial service sector.
The means (medians) of ROA for companies in the financial sector
without and with foreign ownership are 7.4% (4.7%) and 5.3% (2.7%),
respectively. In the financial service sector, the ROE for companies
without and with foreign ownership have means (medians) of 18% (12.9%)
and 11.7% (9.6%), respectively. In the tourism sector, the means
(medians) of ROA for companies without and with foreign ownership are
4.2% (2.9%) and 8.7% (5.3%), respectively. The means (medians) of ROE
for companies in the tourism sector without and with foreign ownership
are 9.7% (7.7%) and 17.3% (12.1%), respectively.
Foreign ownership significantly increases the debt ratio (DR) in
companies in the construction and financial service sectors. This can be
explained by the superior ability of foreign-owned firms to have access
to finance.
Moreover, companies with foreign ownership in the service sector,
the financial sector, and industrial sectors have the highest medians of
foreign ownership ratios, while companies with foreign ownership in the
agricultural and construction sectors show the lowest levels. In
companies with foreign ownership, the medians of foreign ownership ratio
in the service sector, financial sector, and the industrial sector are
75%, 60%, and 60%%, respectively, while the medians in the agricultural
sector and construction sector are 42% and 49%, respectively. In
addition, companies without foreign ownership in the information
technology sector and service sectors have the highest means and medians
of ROA and ROE, while companies without foreign ownership in tourism and
agriculture sectors have the lowest means and medians of ROA and ROE.
Firms with foreign ownership in the information technology sector and
the service sector also have the highest means and medians of ROA and
ROE, while companies with foreign ownership in the agricultural and
financial sectors have the lowest. On the other hand companies in the
financial sector are the largest in terms of size while, companies in
the information technology sector are the lowest in size.
To summarize the results of the Table 3, we can conclude that while
foreign ownership has a positive significant effect on profitability in
some sectors(namely the service sector, the tourism sector and the
industrial sector), it has a negative positive result in the financial
sector, and no significant result in both the construction and
agricultural sector. This signifies that the effect of foreign ownership
on profitability is sector specific. The empirical evidence also shows
that foreign ownership increases debt in the construction sector and the
financial sector.
IV. EMPIRICAL METHODOLOGY
We examine the effect of foreign ownership on company profitability
and debt using 8,158 companies during the period from 2006 to 2010. We
estimate a panel data model with unbalanced data using the following two
equations, each one separately:
[Profitability.sub.it]= [[beta].sub.0]+[[beta].sub.1][DR.sub.it]+
[[beta].sub.2] [FO.sub.it]+ [[beta].sub.3] [S.sub.it] (15)
[Debt.sub.it] = [[beta].sub.0] + [[beta].sub.1] [A.sub.it] +
[[beta].sub.2] [AT.sub.it] + [[beta].sub.3] [CR.sub.it] + [[beta].sub.4]
[FO.sub.it] + [[beta].sub.5] [NPM.sub.it] (16)
where i = 1, 2, 3, ..., n (number of firms) and t = 1, 2, ...,T
(number of years). Equation (15) examines the effect of foreign
ownership on company profitability, where return on assets (ROA) and
return on equity (ROE) are used as measures of profitability. We control
for the effect of two important variables on profitability which are the
debt ratio (DR), and company size (S). In equation (16), we investigate
the effect of foreign ownership on debt. This second equation includes
the dependent variables asset turnover (AT), the current ratio (CR),
foreign ownership (FO), net profit margin (NPM) and the control variable
Age (A).
Consideration of endogeneity is essential to our analysis in an
effort to identify the causality of the empirical relationships. Earlier
studies have argued that firm's profitability and debt are
endogenously determined. Also, it is essential to address the potential
endogeneity between profitability and foreign ownership. It is more
likely that companies with relatively better performance have relatively
high foreign ownership; and at the same time, foreign ownership improves
financial performance. We test for endogeneity in equations (15) and
(16), using the Durbin-Wu-Hausman test, to identify whether
profitability, debt, and foreign ownership are simultaneously
determined. The null hypothesis to test is that an ordinary least
squares (OLS) estimator of the same equation would yield consistent
estimates: that is, any endogeneity among the regressors would not have
deleterious effects on the OLS estimates. A rejection of the null
hypothesis indicates that endogenous regressors' effects on the
estimates are meaningful, and instrumental variables are required. Table
4 shows that we only reject this hypothesis in equation (15) when
examining the endogeneity between debt and profitability. In other words we only have an endogeneity problem in equation (15) between
profitability and debt, which we eliminate with the use of a two-stage
least squares (2SLS) approach in that equation. We also introduce
instrumental variables for debt in equation (15).The choice of the
instrumental variables is very crucial as they should be highly
correlated with debt; and also have no impact on profitability. We here
selected the variables age, asset turnover, current ratio, and net
profit margin as instrumental variables for debt.
After obtaining the fitted (estimated) values of the debt, we
replace debt in equation (15) by its fitted values.
Greene (2002) and Wooldridge (2000) show that the 2SLS estimator is
asymptotically efficient, making it a good candidate for
maximum-likelihood estimations. For our panel regression setting, 2SLS
is attractive compared with the simple seemingly unrelated regressions
(SUR) method as it provides better identification in estimation. For
robustness of our diagnostic tests, we test for causality between
profitability, debt, and foreign ownership. We use the Granger (1969)
causality test which is a technique for determining whether one time
series is useful in forecasting another. Table 5 reports the Granger
causality tests between profitability, measured by return on assets
(ROA) and return on equity (ROE), debt ratio (DR), and foreign ownership
(FO). Our results show that there is no causality between foreign
ownership and profitability. Also, there is no causality between foreign
ownership and debt. Profitability measured by ROA and ROE does not
Granger cause debt, while debt causes ROA. This means we do not have a
causality problem.
We use the Hausman specification test (1978)to search for the
appropriate model, whether it is a fixed or a random effects model. If
there is no significant correlation between the unobserved
company-specific random effects and the regressors, then the random
effects model is more appropriate. The Hausman test results are shown in
Tables 6 and 7, and those results indicate that the fixed effect
estimator is consistent for all the models.
V. Empirical Results
We estimate a two-stage least squares fixed effect panel model
consisting of a sample of 8,158 companies for the period from 2006 to
2010. We use equation (15) to examine the effect of foreign ownership,
debt, and sizes on company profitability, measured by ROA and ROE, and
report the results in Table 6. The analysis of the results show that
firm's borrowing has a significant and negative effect on financial
performance measured by ROA and ROE which are consistent with a number
of studies (e.g., Titman and Wessels, 1988; Tian and Estrin, 2007; Lin,
Zhanga, and Zhu, 2009). This strong negative relationship between debt
ratios and profitability can be explained by the risk and poor
performance accompanied by the excessive use of debt. The results show
that foreign ownership significantly improves performance. This result
is consistent with some of the empirical evidence (e.g., Willmore, 1986;
Goethals and Ooghe, 1997; Lui et al., 2000; Piscitello and Rabbiosi,
2005). Foreign ownership has a highly significant and positive effect on
ROA and ROE. An increase of 10% in foreign ownership increases the ROA
and ROE by 2.3% and 2.1%, respectively. Our results show that company
size has a significant and positive effect on ROA and ROE. A company
with a relatively larger size is relatively more profitable.
In equation (16), we examine the effect of foreign ownership on
debt. Table 6 shows that foreign ownership has a significant and
positive effect on debt. When a foreign investor owns shares in a
company, he can help improve the company's access to finance.
Moreover, net profit margin has a negative and significant effect on
debt. As profitability increases, the firm's retained earnings increases leading to more cash and less dependence on external funds.
This result is consistent with the empirical evidence shown by Lin,
Zhanga, and Zhu (2009), who find a significant negative effect of
profitability on firm's access to bank loans in China. Lastly the
results indicate that the current ratio has a significant and negative
effect on debt.
As a robustness test, we estimate equations (15) and (16), using a
sample that only includes the companies with foreign ownership. The
results are presented in Table 7 and are similar to the results based on
the complete sample (companies with foreign ownership and companies
without foreign ownership), and they affirm that our results are robust.
In estimating equation (16), using only companies with foreign
ownership, the results show that foreign ownership has no effect on
debt.
VI. CONCLUSIONS
Literature is divided about the effect of foreign ownership on firm
performance. In this paper, we explore this issue by use of a panel of
8,185 companies in Egypt for the period of four years from 2006 to 2010.
The use of a robust panel data model, after controlling for firm's
characteristics, shows that foreign ownership improves profitability
significantly. Our results also indicate that foreign ownership has a
significant and positive effect on debt, as foreign investors can
improve the firm's access to finance.
When addressing the impact of various degrees of foreign ownership
on firm performance, the evidence suggest that concentration of
ownership whether domestic (zero foreign ownership) or foreign (80-100%
foreign ownership) are associated with relatively low levels of firm
performance. However, the increase of foreign ownership has a positive
impact on firm performance up to a certain level, and then the firm
performance decreases when the foreign ownership nears 100%.
When differentiating between the various sectors in the market, we
find that our results are sector-specific; hence foreign ownership has a
positive, negative or no effect on firm performance depending on the
sector of the firm. Our findings suggest that firm's borrowing has
a significant and negative effect on financial profitability. This can
be understood as the excessive use of debt increases risk and may lead
to poor performance. The results show that company size has a
significant and positive effect on ROA and ROE, while net profit margin
has a negative significant effect on debt. As profitability increases,
the firm's retained earnings increases, and that leads to more cash
and less dependence on external funds.
As a result of robustness test, we also examine the effect of
different levels of foreign ownership on performance, using only
companies with foreign ownership. We find that results are similar to
the results using the complete sample, and that indicates that our
results are robust. Generalization of these conclusions is dependent on
the results of similar studies that examine the impact of foreign
ownership on financial performance of firms operating in other emerging
economies. Moreover the study at hand can be further developed with the
use of a panel data Tobit model, and the use of other control variables.
Future research should explore the effect of foreign ownership on factor
productivity, and should further investigate the sectoral differences
and the effect of various degrees of foreign ownership.
Appendix 1
Description of the variables
Variables Description
Age (A) Number of years since a firm is founded
Asset Turnover (AT) Ratio of sales to total assets
Current Ratio (CR) Ratio of current assets to current
liabilities
Debt Ratio (DR) Ratio of total debt to total assets
Foreign Ownership (FO) Percentage of equity ownership held by
foreign investors in a company
Net Profit Margin (NPM) Ratio of net income to sales
Return on Assets (ROA) Net income divided by total assets
Return on Equity (ROE) Net income divided by total equity
Size (S) Natural logarithm of total assets
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Islam Azzam (a), Jasmin Fouad (b), Dilip K. Ghosh (c) *
(a) Department of Management, American University in Cairo,
AUCAvenue, Cairo, Egypt iazzam@aucegypt. edu
(b) Department of Management, American University in Cairo, AUC Avenue, Cairo, Egypt jfouad@aucegypt.edu
(c) The Institute of Policy Analysis, Rutgers University Gulf
University for Science and Technology editor@tijof.com
* I would like to the Editor, K.C. Chen, and J.M. Sahut for their
helpful comments as well as Easton Sheehan-Lee and Yan Gao for their
capable research assistance. Financial support from the SSHRC and the
Autorite des Marches Financiers is gratefully acknowledged.
Table 1
Summary statistics for companies with and without foreign ownership
Table (1) provides the summary statistics for a sample of 8,158
companies in the period 2006-2010.The total number of observations is
19,865 observations. In the first three columns we report
the means, medians and number of observations for the firms'
main financial indicators without foreign ownership. The next three
columns report the same for firms with foreign ownership .
Columns seven and eight test the hypothesis of no significant
difference in means (t-statistics) and medians (Wilcoxon test) with
and without foreign ownership. *,** and *** denote significance at
90%, 95% and 99% confidence level respectively. All variables are
defined in Appendix 1.
Without Foreign Ownership
Mean Median # of Obs.
Age 11.71 10.89 14,312
Asset Turnover 1.19 0.71 14,312
Current Ratio 2.95 1.31 14,312
Debt Ratio 0.10 0.00 14,312
Foreign Ownership 0.00 0.00 14,312
Net Profit Margin 0.02 0.05 14,312
Return on Assets 0.08 0.05 14,312
Return on Equity 0.17 0.13 14,312
Size 3.98 3.99 14,312
With Foreign Ownership
Mean Median # of Obs.
Age 13.30 11.07 5,553
Asset Turnover 1.01 0.79 5,553
Current Ratio 2.62 1.33 5,553
Debt Ratio 0.10 0.00 5,553
Foreign Ownership 0.59 0.60 5,553
Net Profit Margin 0.04 0.08 5,553
Return on Assets 0.08 0.05 5,553
Return on Equity 0.18 0.15 5,553
Size 4.43 4.44 5,553
t-test for the Wilcoxon test for the
difference in means difference in medians
(With minus Without)
Age 13.35 *** 7.49 ***
Asset Turnover -8.89 *** 6.81 ***
Current Ratio -3.39 *** 0.21
Debt Ratio 0.19 4.21 ***
Foreign Ownership 202.64 *** 109.55 ***
Net Profit Margin 1.01 10.05 ***
Return on Assets 4.05 *** 4.49 ***
Return on Equity 2.58 *** 3.28 ***
Size 30.14 *** 28.33 ***
Table 2
Summary statistics for companies based on the range of foreign
ownership
This table provides the summary statistics for 8,158 companies in the
period 2006-2010(total number of observations is 19,865
observations). Table (2) shows six samples covering ranges of foreign
ownership starting from zero ownership and ending with 100% foreign
ownership. It reports the means, medians and number of observations
for the companies' financial indicators each of the six ranges of
foreign ownership. All variables are defined in Appendix 1.
Zero Foreign Ownership
Mean Median # of Obs.
Asset 1.199 0.790 14,312
Turnover
Current Ratio 2.960 1.319 14,312
Debt Ratio 0.100 0.000 14,312
Foreign 0.000 0.000 14,312
Ownership
Net 0.016 0.050 14,312
Profit Margin
Return 0.069 0.045 14,312
on Assets
Return 0.171 0.129 14,312
on Equity
Size 3.984 3.991 14,312
Foreign Ownership
between 0%-20%
Mean Median # of Obs.
Asset 0.783 0.553 1,119
Turnover
Current Ratio 2.328 1.332 1,119
Debt Ratio 0.145 0.004 1,119
Foreign 0.080 0.080 1,119
Ownership
Net 0.093 0.082 1,119
Profit Margin
Return 0.065 0.052 1,119
on Assets
Return 0.145 0.117 1,119
on Equity
Size 4.613 4.705 1,119
Foreign Ownership
between 20%-40%
Mean Median # of Obs.
Asset 0.931 0.704 758
Turnover
Current Ratio 2.962 1.446 758
Debt Ratio 0.110 0.000 758
Foreign 0.313 0.314 758
Ownership
Net 0.140 0.100 758
Profit Margin
Return 0.087 0.066 758
on Assets
Return 0.166 0.149 758
on Equity
Size 4.554 4.525 758
Foreign Ownership
between 40%-60%
Mean Median # of Obs.
Asset 0.978 0.666 891
Turnover
Current Ratio 2.553 1.422 891
Debt Ratio 0.083 0.000 891
Foreign 0.507 0.500 891
Ownership
Net 0.062 0.078 891
Profit Margin
Return 0.084 0.060 891
on Assets
Return 0.192 0.143 891
on Equity
Size 4.303 4.327 891
Foreign Ownership
between 60%-80%
Mean Median # of Obs.
Asset 1.019 0.598 669
Turnover
Current Ratio 2.711 1.321 669
Debt Ratio 0.118 0.000 669
Foreign 0.717 0.730 669
Ownership
Net 0.096 0.095 669
Profit Margin
Return 0.090 0.056 669
on Assets
Return 0.192 0.167 669
on Equity
Size 4.504 4.439 669
Foreign Ownership
between 80%-100%
Mean Median # of Obs.
Asset 1.179 0.916 2,116
Turnover
Current Ratio 2.667 1.249 2,116
Debt Ratio 0.076 0.000 2,116
Foreign 0.973 1.000 2,116
Ownership
Net -0.058 0.057 2,116
Profit Margin
Return 0.078 0.047 2,116
on Assets
Return 0.203 0.161 2,116
on Equity
Size 4.342 4.336 2,116
Table 3
Summary statistics for companies based on industry
This table provides summary statistics for a sample includes 8,158
companies in the period 2006-2010 with a total number of
observations of 19,865. In this table, we break down the data based
on the industry. For each industry, the first six columns report the
means, medians and number of observations for companies' financial
indicators without and with foreign ownership. Column seven tests the
hypothesis of no significant difference in means (T-statistics) with
and without foreign ownership. *, ** and *** denote significance at
the 90%, 95%and 99% confidence level respectively. All variables are
defined in Appendix 1.
Information Technology Sector
Mean Median # of
without without Obs.
Foreign Foreign
Ownership Ownership
Asset 1.389 1.165 693
Turnover
Current 3.743 1.714 693
Ratio
Debt 0.030 0.000 693
Foreign 0.000 0.000 693
Ownership
Net Profit -0.010 0.062 693
Margin
Return 0.098 0.075 693
on Assets
Return 0.204 0.201 693
on Equity
Size 3.628 3.579 693
Information Technology Sector
Mean Median # of t-test
with with Obs. for the
Foreign Foreign Difference
Ownership Ownership in Means
Asset 1.317 1.037 262 -0.86
Turnover
Current 3.040 1.501 262 -1.74 *
Ratio
Debt 0.030 0.000 262 -0.01
Foreign 0.602 0.560 262 27.62 ***
Ownership
Net Profit 0.037 0.056 262 0.96
Margin
Return 0.076 0.069 262 -1.46
on Assets
Return 0.216 0.169 262 0.47
on Equity
Size 3.881 3.836 262 3.62 ***
Construction Sector
Mean Median # of
without without Obs.
Foreign Foreign
Ownership Ownership
Asset 1.036 0.546 1606
Turnover
Current Ratio 2.954 1.280 1606
Debt 0.090 0.000 1606
Foreign 0.000 0.000 1606
Ownership
Net Profit 0.100 0.046 1606
Margin
Return 0.060 0.034 1606
on Assets
Return 0.170 0.119 1606
on Equity
Size 4.047 4.092 1606
Construction Sector
Mean Median # of t-test
with with Obs. for the
Foreign Foreign Difference
Ownership Ownership in Means
Asset 0.641 0.335 366 -7.14 ***
Turnover
Current Ratio 2.587 1.375 366 -1.33
Debt 0.122 0.000 366 2.23 **
Foreign 0.491 0.490 366 26.91 ***
Ownership
Net Profit 0.161 0.078 366 0.46
Margin
Return 0.051 0.034 366 -1.19
on Assets
Return 0.154 0.122 366 -1.08
on Equity
Size 4.696 4.700 366 11.06 ***
Financial Sector
Mean Median # of
without without Obs.
Foreign Foreign
Ownership Ownership
Asset 0.322 0.165 481
Turnover
Current Ratio 3.334 1.377 481
Debt 0.069 0.000 481
Foreign 0.000 0.000 481
Ownership
Net 0.226 0.314 481
Profit Margin
ROA 0.074 0.047 481
ROE 0.181 0.129 481
Size 4.578 4.540 481
Financial Sector
Mean Median # of t-test
with with Obs. for the
Foreign Foreign Difference
Ownership Ownership in Means
Asset 0.272 0 453 -1.10
Turnover .080
Current Ratio 3.200 1.350 453 -0.35
Debt 0.103 0.000 453 2.08 **
Foreign 0.604 0.605 453 38.72 ***
Ownership
Net 0.218 0.290 453 -0.04
Profit Margin
ROA 0.053 0.027 453 -2.81 ***
ROE 0.117 0.096 453 -4.45 ***
Size 5.360 5.277 453 11.77 ***
Service Sector
Mean Median # of
without without Obs.
Foreign Foreign
Ownership Ownership
Asset 1.566 1.115 5292
Turnover
Current Ratio 3.245 1.403 5292
Debt 0.066 0.000 5292
Foreign 0.000 0.000 5292
Ownership
Net 0.030 0.049 5292
Profit Margin
ROA 0.085 0.057 5292
ROE 0.214 0.173 5292
Size 3.626 3.589 5292
Service Sector
Mean Median # of t-test
with with Obs. for the
Foreign Foreign Difference
Ownership Ownership in Means
Asset 1.411 1.060 1430 -3.71 ***
Turnover
Current Ratio 2.723 1.362 1430 -3.31 ***
Debt 0.063 0.000 1430 -0.49
Foreign 0.659 0.750 1430 72.98 ***
Ownership
Net -0.006 0.062 1430 -1.23
Profit Margin
ROA 0.094 0.066 1430 1.54
ROE 0.250 0.216 1430 3.51 ***
Size 3.994 3.995 1430 13.38 ***
Agricultural Sector
Mean Median # of
without without Obs.
Foreign Foreign
Ownership Ownership
Asset 0.956 0.628 536
Turnover
Current Ratio 2.667 1.245 536
Debt 0.162 0.000 536
Foreign 0.000 0.000 536
Ownership
Net -0.125 0.044 536
Profit Margin
ROA 0.046 0.026 536
ROE 0.126 0.091 536
Size 4.208 4.209 536
Agricultural Sector
Mean Median # of t-test
with with Obs. for the
Foreign Foreign Difference
Ownership Ownership in Means
Asset 0.731 0.539 236 -3.18 ***
Turnover
Current Ratio 2.073 1.111 236 -1.98 **
Debt 0.124 0 236 -1.31
Foreign 0.439 0.428 236 19.63 ***
Ownership
Net -0.046 0.059 236 0.81
Profit Margin
ROA 0.055 0.028 236 0.82
ROE 0.103 0.064 236 -1.05
Size 4.470 4.504 236 4.44 ***
Tourism Sector
Mean Median # of
without without Obs.
Foreign Foreign
Ownership Ownership
Asset 0.857 0.315 1907
Turnover
Current 2.793 1.106 1907
Ratio
Debt 0.114 0.000 1907
Foreign 0.000 0.000 1907
Ownership
Net Profit -0.041 0.039 1907
Margin
ROA 0.042 0.029 1907
ROE 0.097 0.077 1907
Size 4.192 4.216 1907
Tourism Sector
Mean Median # of t-test
with with Obs. for the
Foreign Foreign Difference
Ownership Ownership in Means
Asset 0.895 0.354 716 0.62
Turnover
Current 2.791 1.182 716 -0.01
Ratio
Debt 0.098 0.000 716 -1.09
Foreign 0.553 0.500 716 41.78 ***
Ownership
Net Profit 0.055 0.120 716 1.99 **
Margin
ROA 0.087 0.053 716 6.10 ***
ROE 0.173 0.121 716 5.92 ***
Size 4.300 4.331 716 2.60 ***
Industrial Sector
Mean Median # of
without without Obs.
Foreign Foreign
Ownership Ownership
Asset 1.199 0.790 3797
Turnover
Current 2.960 1.319 3797
Ratio
Debt 0.100 0.000 3797
Foreign 0.000 0.000 3797
Ownership
Net Profit 0.016 0.050 3797
Margin
ROA 0.069 0.045 3797
ROE 0.171 0.129 3797
Size 3.984 3.991 3797
Industrial Sector
Mean Median # of t-test
with with Obs. for the
Foreign Foreign Difference
Ownership Ownership in Means
Asset 1.013 0.714 2090 -9.83 ***
Turnover
Current 2.620 1.331 2090 -4.34 ***
Ratio
Debt 0.102 0.000 2090 0.46
Foreign 0.593 0.600 2090 124.70 ***
Ownership
Net Profit 0.031 0.075 2090 0.73
Margin 3.90 ***
ROA 0.079 0.053 2090
ROE 0.183 0.145 2090 2.57 ***
Size 4.441 4.450 2090 29.26 ***
Table 4
Endogeneity test
This table reports the Wu-Hausman F and Durbin-Wu-Hausman tests
for endogeneity of debt in panel data model in Equation 15.
We use a sample of 8,158 companies in the period 2006-2010 with a
total number of observations of 19,865. The dependent variables
are return on assets (ROA) and return on equity (ROE). [rho]-values
are reported in parentheses. *, ** and *** denote significance
at the 90%, 95% and 99% significance level respectively.
Equation (1) (1)
Endogeneity Endogeneity of
of Debt Debt
in Equation in Equation
1 using ROA 1 using ROE
Wu-Hausman F test 1530 652
(0.00) *** (0.00) ***
Equation (1) (2)
Endogeneity of Endogeneity
Foreign of Foreign
in Equation in Equation 2
1 using ROA
Wu-Hausman F test 6.3 5.7
(0.12) (0.22)
Table 5
Granger causality tests
This table shows results from the Granger causality tests between
foreign ownership, debt and profitability, measured by ROA
and ROE, using a sample includes 8,158 companies in the
period 2006-2010 with a total number of observations
of 19,865. *, ** and *** denote significance at the 90%, 95%
and 99% significance level, respectively.
Null Hypothesis F-Statistics Probability
ROA does not Granger Cause Debt 0.102 0.749
Debt does not Granger Cause ROA 74.894 *** 0.000
ROE does not Granger Cause Debt 0.008 0.927
Debt does not Granger Cause ROE 0.061 0.804
ROA does not Granger Cause 2.244 0.110
Foreign Ownership
Foreign Ownership does not 0.362 0.547
Granger Cause ROA
ROE does not Granger Cause 0.188 0.664
Foreign Ownership
Foreign Ownership does 0.015 0.901
not Granger Cause ROE
Debt does not Granger Cause 0.640 0.423
Foreign Ownership
Foreign Ownership does not 0.031 0.858
Granger Cause Debt
Table 6
Estimates of the 2SLS fixed-effects panel model using the whole
sample
This table reports the estimates from the two stage least squares
fixed-effects panel data models in equations (15) and (16). We use
a sample of 8,158 companies in the period 2006-2010 with a total
number of observations of 19,865 observations. The dependent variables
are return on assets (ROA), return on equity (ROE), and the debt
ratio (DR). Z-statistics are reported in parentheses. *, ** and ***
denote significance at the 90%, 95% and 99% significance level
respectively. All variables are defined in Appendix 1.
Equation (15) (15) (16)
ROA ROE Debt
Asset Turnover -0.0017
(-0.92)
Current Ratio -0.0008
(-2.57)***
Debt -5.2446 -5.2473
(-32.33) *** (-15.49) ***
Foreign Ownership 0.2356 0.2153 0.0462
(13.81) *** (6.04) *** (2.17)**
Net Profit Margin -0.0043
(-3.43)***
ROA
ROE
Size 0.0442 0.1143
(9.31) *** (11.52) ***
Industry Controlled Controlled Controlled
No. Of Observations 19,865 19,865 19,865
No. Of Groups 8158 8158 8158
Hausman Test for Random 134.8 45.5 68.3
Effect (Chi-Square)
Hausman Test for Random (0.00) (0.00) (0.00)
Effect (p-value)
Table 7
Estimates of the 2SLS panel model using only companies with
foreign ownership
This table reports the estimates from the two stage least squares
panel data models in Equations 15 and 16. We use a sample of 2002
companies with non-zero foreign ownership in the period 2006-2010
with a total number of observations of 5597. The dependent
variables are return on assets (ROA), return on equity (ROE), and
debt ratio. Z-statistics are reported in parenthesis *, ** and ***
denote significance at the 90%, 95% and 99% significance level.
All variables are defined in Appendix 1.
Equation (15) (15) (16)
ROA ROE Debt
Asset Turnover -0.009
(-1.63)
Current Ratio -0.001
(-0.91)
Debt -5.851 -6.655
(-21.12)*** (-16.33)***
Foreign Ownership 0.152 0.151 0.020
(7.13)*** (8.18)*** (0.56)
Net Profit Margin -0.002
(-0.90)
ROA
ROE
Size 0.075 0.070
(9.02) *** (10.71) ***
Industry Controlled Controlled Controlled
No. Of Observations 5553 5553 5553
No. Of Groups 2202 2202 2202
Hausman Test for Random 35.57 7.69 22.60
Effect (Chi-Square)
Hausman Test for Random (0.00) (0.052) (0.00)
Effect (p-value)