The influence of organizational capital on the conception of the enterprise project.
Pare, Jean-Louis ; Redis, Jean ; Hikkerova, Lubica 等
I. INTRODUCTION
According to Shane and Venkataraman (2000), an entrepreneurial
project consists of two processes: discovery and exploitation of
opportunities. For the project to succeed, the entrepreneur must
assemble two types of resources: know-how, represented by human capital,
and social capital.
The success of entrepreneurial projects is a central question that
is of interest, of course, to the entrepreneurs themselves but, more
broadly, to the set of stakeholders, including the financiers such as
business angels, venture capitalists and bankers. In France, the
five-year survival rate of newly created enterprises is approximately
50% (1). From this perspective, a certain number of works have sought to
identify the criteria that could explain the success or failure of an
entrepreneurial project. For example, Tyebjee and Bruno (1984) and
MacMillan (1977) listed the criteria used by venture capitalists to
select the entrepreneurial projects in which to invest. Other studies
have themes of understanding the success of projects ex post (for
example, Lasch et al., 2005). Meanwhile, a few works have examined the
chances of success of projects ex ante, based on the characteristics of
the projects, particularly as a function of their degree of ambition and
degree of realism.
The object of the present research is to understand how the human
capital and the social capital of founders affect the conception of the
enterprise project, particularly the degree of ambition and realism of
the project. Thus, this article provides two novel elements. First, the
research question is asked in the very early stage, that is, from the
conception of the business plan. Next, this research uses the theories
of human capital and social capital to understand how they contribute to
explaining the conception of the enterprise project.
This research study therefore seeks to show how the characteristics
of the founder, together with other external factors, can explain the
characteristics of the creation of the project, particularly its
ambition and its realism.
We shall first present the theoretical framework, followed by the
hypotheses of the research. Then, we shall present the methodology.
Finally, the results will be analyzed and discussed.
II. THE THEORETICAL FRAMEWORK: THE INFLUENCE OF THE ORGANIZATIONAL
CAPITAL OF THE ENTREPRENEUR
Entrepreneurship can be considered to consist of two processes: the
discovery of business opportunities and their exploitation (Shane and
Venkataraman, 2000). Recent conceptions of entrepreneurship are based on
resources (Alvarez and Barney, 2004, Alvarez and Busenitz, 2001). To
exploit an opportunity when it appears, the entrepreneur must assemble
the necessary resources and find a way to organize these resources to
extract the value of the opportunity. This process requires having
access to these resources to generate the profits associated with a
market opportunity and doing so in a way that enables the economic actor
to collect at least part of the profits that have been generated
(Alvarez and Barney, 2004). Among the resources available to the
entrepreneur are his human capital and his social capital.
A. Human Capital
The theory of human capital postulates that individuals who have
more or better-quality human capital achieve better performance in the
execution of certain tasks (Becker, 1975). From an entrepreneurial
perspective, human capital refers to the knowledge and skill sets that
enable a person to engage successfully in the creation of activities or
enterprises (Davidsson and Honig, 2003; Snell and Dean, 1992). Human
capital is composed of both generic and specific human capital.
1. Generic Human Capital
Generic human capital consists of the knowledge, skill sets and
ability to solve problems that are transferable to different situations.
Generic human capital typically corresponds to education (Rauch and
Frese, 2000). In an entrepreneurial context, generic human capital is
valuable because it facilitates the accumulation and integration of new
knowledge, offering the founders a wide palette of opportunities that
help them to adapt to new situations (Cooper et al., 1997).
In the literature, generic human capital can be measured by the
level of education, which depends on the number of years of schooling
(Gimeno et al., 1997; Wiklund and Shepherd, 2008). According to this
measure, the higher an individual's level of schooling, the more
dedicated and hard-working the individual will be in an entrepreneurial
project. Conversely, over-investment in education can discourage risk
taking (Davidsson & Honig, 2003). We thus obtain a bell curve to
characterize the relation between the number of years of study and the
probability of founding an enterprise.
Generic human capital also depends on the composition of the
management team, its manner of functioning and its prior experiences.
The majority of studies confirm the hypothesis that the success of a
project, through the growth of turnover and employment, is positively
influenced by the fact that the enterprise is managed by a heterogeneous team and/or that certain members have a common prior work experience.
2. Specific Human Capital
Whereas generic human capital can be generalized independent of
context, specific human capital cannot. In an entrepreneurial context,
specific human capital refers to the education, training and experience
that will be valid in entrepreneurial activities but will have few
applications outside this domain (Becker, 1975; Gimeno et al., 1997). In
the entrepreneurial literature, the element of specific human capital
that has been the subject of the largest number of works is prior
founding experience (Carter, Willians and Reynolds, 1997; Florin,
Lubatkin and Schulze, 2003; Stuart and Abetti, 1990).
The experience available to serial entrepreneurs offers them a
level of expertise in business development (Wright, Robbie and Ennew,
1997) and gives them reference points to assess the relevance of
information (Cooper, Folta and Woo, 1995) that can enable them to have a
better understanding of the real value of opportunities for new
enterprise creation processes, to accelerate the process of the creation
of enterprises and to improve their performance (Davidsson and Honig,
2003).
Education and experience in management have a notable influence on
the ability of entrepreneurs to receive financial resources (Hsu, 2007).
In the stream of works based on the influence of human capital (Becker,
1975), Bates (1990) and Robinson and Sexton (1994) claimed that the
level of education was correlated with the significance of the financial
resources received for enterprise projects.
The expertise of the director can be measured through his prior
experience (in the sector, in management, research and development,
marketing and consulting or in an institute of higher education), the
size of the enterprise where he worked in the past, his founding
experience (whether he is a serial entrepreneur), the number of
enterprises he has owned or managed, his other occupations besides
founding businesses and his family background (coming from the family of
an entrepreneur, being connected to the founder). The results of Janssen
(2002) show that only four variables connected to the director's
expertise have a significant effect on the growth of the employment of
his firm:
* Experience in marketing, sales or research and development has a
negative influence on the growth of employment because the director
prioritizes the growth of turnover over that of employment.
* Consulting experience positively influences the probability of
growth in employment.
* Having other activities at the time of creation has a positive
influence on the growth of employment because he is not dependent solely
on the revenues generated by his enterprise.
* Having pursued studies connected to the activities of the
enterprise contributes positively to its development.
Some of these variables were also tested by Lasch et al. (2005) to
measure their effects on the growth and survival of enterprises in the
ICT sector. The results indicate that the size of the enterprise where
the founder worked before the creation of this new enterprise plays a
role. According to this study, those founders who worked in small and
medium enterprises (SMEs) succeed more than those who worked in large
enterprises.
B. Social Capital
Economic behavior, such as entrepreneurial activity, is contingent
on networks of interpersonal relations, which form the basis of the
social capital of an individual (Granovetter, 1985). These networks are
defined by a collection of actors (individuals and organizations) and by
a collection of ties among them (Hoang and Antoncic, 2003). According to
Lin et al. (1981), social capital can be considered as a resource tied
to a relational network. Social networks are represented by the family,
the community and the organizational relations. The theory of social
capital concerns the ability of actors to extract resources from their
social networks (Lin et al., 1981).
From an entrepreneurial perspective, social capital refers to the
collection of interpersonal and inter-organizational relations through
which entrepreneurs have access to a variety of resources necessary for
the discovery and exploitation of business opportunities and the success
of the enterprise (Davidsson and Honig, 2003; Wiklund and Shepherd,
2008). Social capital is generally represented by the type of
relationships among networks, the strength of ties, the frequency of
meetings and family and social relations. The relational network
represents the possible ties at the personal and organizational level.
These ties can be direct or indirect and have varying intensities. In
this context, friendship and faith are particularly significant in
facilitating the transfer of information and knowledge that are costly
to obtain by other means (Wiklund and Shepherd, 2008). They create
opportunities for the exchange of goods and services that are difficult
to obtain by contractual agreement. In particular, the founders use
their contacts to obtain access to resources and facilitate the process
of creation.
The advantages of the network of an enterprise are due to
significant and frequent social exchanges between the entrepreneurs and
those in their network. Moreover, the works of Davidson and Honig
(2003), as well as Wiklund and Shepherd (2008), show a positive
correlation between belonging to a business network and engaging in an
entrepreneurial process. In effect, the founders use their contacts to
obtain access to resources and facilitate the process of creation.
The role of social capital in the acquisition of resources by a
young enterprise has also been explicitly demonstrated. Fried and
Hisrich (1994) have demonstrated through case studies that, as investors
receive many business plans to finance, social connections play a
significant role in the determination of those that will receive
financing. These results suggest a process in which investors have a
tendency to finance entrepreneurs they hear about, either from founders
of other companies that are already in their portfolios or from their
fellow investors, close friends or family. Based on a study of 202
venture capitalists in the priming phase, Shane and Cable (1998) claimed
that the direct and indirect connections between entrepreneurs and
investors affect the selection of projects to be financed. Moreover,
Shane and Stuart (2002) claimed that entrepreneurs with social capital
consisting of pre-existing direct or indirect connections with venture
capitalists have a higher probability of receiving financing in the
first stages of the life of the enterprise.
C. The Characteristics of the Project
The characteristics of a project have, likewise, been considered by
many researchers as a major determinant of the success or failure of the
creation of a new enterprise.
Since 1984, Tyebjee and Brujo identified 23 criteria used by
venture capitalists (VCs) and classified them into 5 categories: 1) the
attractiveness of the market (existence, size, growth, and
accessibility), 2) the product differentiation (uniqueness, protection,
high level of profitability), 3) the managerial capacity, 4) the
external barriers (barriers to entry, technological development) and 5)
the potential cash out for the VCs.
In 1987, MacMillan et al. established a list of 25 criteria used by
VCs to analyze and study their choice of investments in young
enterprises. These criteria were classified into four categories: the
characteristics of the entrepreneurial team, the characteristics of the
product, the characteristics of the market and the financial
characteristics of the young enterprise. Later, Kakati (2003) extended
this analysis by adding 13 new criteria and two new categories: basic
resource capacity and competitive strategy.
A few authors (Koschatzky, 1997; Seeger, 1997; Lasch et al., 2005)
emphasize the significance of the number of customers (degree of
dependence), the nature of the customers (private customers, public
institutions, and other companies) and the geographic location of the
customers. According to the works of Lasch et al. (2005), the
enterprises that succeed are more heavily present in national markets
than those that fail. The latter are more heavily present either in
local markets or in international markets. These authors also emphasize
the importance of localization as an explanatory factor of success or
failure. They consider that founders should choose their location as a
function of economic rather than personal criteria.
Finally, in a recent meta-analysis, Song et al. (2008) identified
24 factors explaining the success of a young enterprise and classified
them according to three categories: 1) market and opportunity, 2)
entrepreneurial team and 3) resources. There are nine market and
opportunity factors, including competitive intensity (Chamanski and
Waago, 2001), dynamism and competitive heterogeneity (Zahra and Bogner,
2000), internationalization and low-cost strategy (Bloodgood et al.,
1996), growth rate and market size (Bloodgood, Sapienza, and Almeida,
1996; Lee, Lee, and Pennings, 2001, Li, 2001; Marino and De Noble, 1997)
and marketing intensity and product innovation (Li, 2001). The
entrepreneurial team factors include industry experience (Marino and De
Noble, 1997), marketing experience (McGee, Dowling, and Megginson, 1995;
Marino and De Noble, 1997), start-up experience (Marino and De Noble,
1997) and R&D experience (McGee, Dowling, and Megginson, 1995;
Marino and De Noble, 1997). Finally, Song et al. (2008) identified nine
criteria regarding resources: financial resources (Robinson and
McDougall, 2001), the age, size and type of the enterprise (Zahra et
al., 2003), non-governmental support (Lee, Lee and Pennings, 2001),
trademark protection (Marino and De Noble, 1997), alliances and
investments in R&D (Zahra and Bogner, 2000; McGee, Dowling, and
Megginson, 1995), university partnerships (Zahra and Bogner, 2000;
Chamanski and Waago, 2001), size of the management team (Chamansko and
Waago, 2001) and supply-chain integration (George et al., 2001; George,
Zahra, and Wood, 2002; McDougall et al., 1994).
D. The Control Variables
The majority of studies use other variables to analyze
entrepreneurial projects. This last category corresponds primarily to
demographic variables and variables connected to the preparation of the
project. Some studies use the demographic variables as control
variables, whereas others consider them to be at the heart of human
capital, such as gender.
The two most common categories of control variables relate to the
following:
* The demographic dimension, such as the age and gender of the
founder or his membership in an ethnic minority. The results of several
studies have found that the age of the founder has a negative influence
on the growth in employment of his firm. At the same time, Janssen
(2002) and Lasch et al. (2005) conclude that age cannot be a significant
determinant, in contrast to gender. Almost all studies claim that if the
founder is female, it has a negative influence on the success of the
enterprise. As regards ethnic identity, in contrast to Dahlqvist et al.
(1999), Janssen posits that if the director is an immigrant, it has a
positive influence on the growth in employment of the enterprise.
* The preparation process dimension: to measure the effect of the
preparation process on the success of the enterprise, studies consider
several different indicators, such as the existence of a business plan,
a technical and financial feasibility study, the number of potential
clients and the number of meetings with consultants (in the framework of
a support process).
The results of these studies diverge. Some studies confirm the
hypothesis that good preparation has a positive influence on the success
of the project; others demonstrate the opposite. For the latter, this
process is a waste of time and money and can slow down the liftoff
process.
III. THE HYPOTHESES
Our research is focused on the very earliest phase of a business,
that is, at the conception of the business plan for the enterprise.
These business plans were evaluated by professionals. We are working
with the personal data of the founders and the provisional data that
appear in the business plans. We apply the theories of human and social
capital to understand how they contribute to explaining the conception
of the enterprise project in two dimensions: its ambition and its
realism.
A. Ambition of the Project
The key element in a foundation project is its ambition, as this
determines the magnitude of the resources to be mobilized. We assess the
ambition of the project based on its size (turnover and number of
employees) as well as the financing necessary to launch it.
It appears that a three-year turnover for the project is the most
representative variable for its ambition, as investors generally
evaluate this type of project by considering their three-year potential.
Moreover, the visibility for this type of innovative project for which
the market does not exist yet is generally too weak (2). Furthermore,
not all the founders have the same vision for the progression of
turnover between one and three years. Some have a more linear approach,
while others take a more exponential approach. We therefore formulate the following two hypotheses:
H1: The ambition of the project depends on the human and social
capital incorporated in the project.
H1a: The anticipated 3-year turnover of the project depends on the
human and social capital incorporated in the project.
Among the explanatory variables, we believe that human capital
should have an influence on the turnover expected in three years. In
particular, expertise, represented by the sum of the mean functions, and
the presence of a director in the entrepreneurial team should be
significant. According to Dahlquist, Davidsson and Wiklund (1999),
experienced entrepreneurs are better at judging very early whether an
idea will bear fruit. According to Cooper et al. (1994), education can
contribute to a high growth rate. Barringer, Jones and Neubaum (2005)
found that companies with rapid growth are created by entrepreneurs who
are more educated and have entrepreneurial experience and experience in
the industry.
Finally, we anticipate a negative relation between gender and the
anticipated three-year turnover. In effect, the more women that are on
the team, the less significant the three-year turnover should be. This
result indicates that the level of ambition of female founders is lower
than that of their male counterparts. According to the works of Cooper
et al. (1994), gender is uniquely significant in the growth equation.
Brush (1992) determined that it is more common for women entrepreneurs
to pursue other objectives in addition to economic objectives. For
Brush, male entrepreneurs may be better positioned in networks and can
thus benefit from better access to suppliers and customers.
With respect to social capital, according to the results of
Davidsson and Honig (2003), it seems that being a member of a business
network has positive effects on sales. We thus anticipate a positive
influence of this variable.
With respect to the other variables connected to the project, we
anticipate positive correlations with size criteria such as the customer
base and the working capital, the effects of which could be nuanced by
the sector of activities and the "commercial implantation"
variable.
The second criterion to measure the ambition of the project is the
number of employees. It seems that the variable "Employment at
three years" is the most representative variable because, as in the
case of turnover, the actors (entrepreneurs, investors and grant
providers) consider the potential job creation of a project at a horizon
of three years, which they consider together with the projected turnover
at three years and the type of activity as some are less labor
intensive, particularly in the service industries.
The basic idea is that employment at three years depends primarily
on two factors. The first is the experience of the entrepreneur, that
is, the more experienced he is, the better his perception of the human
resource needs in the development of his enterprise. The second is the
sector of activity, that is, whether it is labor intensive. We deduce the following hypothesis:
H1b: The anticipated number of employees at 3 years depends on the
human and social capital incorporated in the project.
Within the group of explanatory variables representing human
capital, we anticipate a positive relation with the variables connected
to experience and education. According to Davidsson and Honig (2003),
the most significant element in terms of human capital turns is the
tactical knowledge acquired in a prior start-up creation experience. For
Rauch, Frese and Utsch (2005), the impact of education and the
experience of entrepreneurs on employment has been widely studied in
past years (Cooper et al., 1994; Dyke, Fischer, & Reuber, 1992;
Lussier, 1995; Reynolds & Miller, 1989; Van de Ven, Hudson, &
Schroeder, 1984). A positive relationship is generally found when
examining the articles of Sandberg and Hofer (1987), Preisendorfer and
Voss (1990), Cooper and Gimeno-Gascon (1992), Rauch, Frese and Utsch
(2005), Bruederl et al. (1992), Chandler and Hanks (1994) and Cooper et
al. (1994). Thus, these authors concur that the human capital of
entrepreneurs has a positive effect on the number of jobs created in the
entrepreneurial firm.
Regarding the influence of social capital, according to Bosma, Van
Praag, Thurik and de Witt (2004), relations with other entrepreneurs
within networks have a positive effect on the number of jobs created by
the entrepreneur. Overall, the authors conclude that social capital has
a positive effect on the performance of the newly created business.
Thus, social capital should have a positive influence on the projected
three-year enrollment.
With respect to the other variables connected to the project, we
expect a positive relationship with the working capital as it is a
criterion connected to the model and the size of the project. The sign
of the correlation with the variable determining the sector of activity
is indeterminate a priori because the objective, in terms of employment,
depends on the activity above all, that is, the intensity of the human
resource.
Finally, the ambition of the project is approached in terms of
financing. The variable "Total financing", as the collection
of resources to be identified, is connected to the size of the project
but also has a dual character, as this variable can be understood as a
measure of the realism of the project. In effect, potential investors
cross the ambition variables; for example, the three-year turnover is
crossed with the financial means necessary to realize this objective.
The human and social capital of the entrepreneur influences his ability
to raise funds. Hence, the following hypothesis is presented:
H1c: The total financing of the project depends on the human and
social capital available to the project.
Among the explanatory variables representing human capital, we
anticipate a positive relation with the variables connected to
experience and education. In effect, the more detailed knowledge the
founders have of the processes of financing start-ups, either by
education or experience, the better able they are to develop their
business plan and their financing plan as a function of the size of
their business.
Here, once again, we expect a negative effect of the gender
variable. In effect, the more women on the team, the less significant
the requested financing. This result tends to suggest that the degree of
ambition of female founders is less than that of their male
counterparts.
In addition, we anticipate that social capital will have a positive
influence on the total financing of the project. In effect, the more
powerful the network of the team of founders, the easier it will be to
acquire external financing, such as equity and debt. Florin, Lubatkin
and Schulze (2003) found there is a positive relation between the human
and social resources of an enterprise and its ability to accumulate finance capital before its IPO. Gimmon and Levie (2009) similarly found
that the probability of attracting external capital depends on the
management experience of the entrepreneurs but not on their technical
experience.
Among the variables connected to the nature of the project, we
anticipate positive relations with the variables "Customer
base" and "Working capital" because they are connected to
the size of the project. However, as the size of the project grows, the
demand for financing also grows. These effects can be nuanced by the
variables "Commercial implantation" and "Sector,"
which do not necessarily depend on the size of the project.
It is now convenient to examine the hypotheses connected to the
realism of the project.
B. Realism of the Project
After evaluating the ambition of the project, we consider the
hypotheses concerning the level of realism of the project in terms of
two dimensions: the anticipated financing structure and the anticipated
delay before attaining profitability. We explain these two dimensions in
terms of the theories of human and social capital, together with
characteristics connected to the project itself. We thus formulate our
first hypothesis as follows:
H2: The realism of the project depends on the human and social
capital incorporated in the project.
The variable "Debt over total financing" is generally one
of the most representative variables of the realism of a project because
it is considered by bankers and investors as an essential element of the
financial equilibrium of the project and the engagement of the
entrepreneur.
In practice, bankers only finance up to a debt ratio of 1 to 1 for
projects of the type of the Reseau Entreprendre Paris (Paris
Entrepreneurship Network) (i.e., 100 in bank loans granted for 100 in
equity). Moreover, it is for this reason that the initiative of this
network was launched because the unsecured loan that it grants is
considered by bankers as a complement to equity, which enables a
leverage effect in obtaining bank credit. Thus, we arrive at the
following hypothesis:
H2a: The proportion of debts in the total financing depends on the
human and social capital incorporated in the project.
Among the explanatory variables representing human capital, we
anticipate a doubly negative effect of the variable "Number of
founders." In effect, the more founders there are, the more equity
they can bring in and, as a consequence, the greater the proportion of
equity in the total financing; therefore, the ratio "Debt over
total financing" decreases. Moreover, the more founders there are,
the more both the business plan and the financing plan become the
objects of critical evaluation among the team members. This consensus
leads to a greater realism about the structure of the financing of the
project.
According to Cooper et al. (1994), the level of capital contributes
to the marginal survival and growth. This capital has direct and
indirect effects on performance. The direct effects include the ability
to buy time, take on more ambitious strategies, change course and
respond to financial needs resulting from growth. Regarding the indirect
effects, the accumulation of capital may reflect better training and
more extended planning on the part of the entrepreneurs. The works of
Cooper et al. (1994) indicate that the number of founders emerges as a
significant factor in attaining strong growth. In effect, strong growth
is more difficult to achieve and more dependent on the availability of
resources and knowledge. The benefits associated with the presence of
multiple founders include the accumulation of capital, functional
expertise and a wider base of managerial experience. There may also be
psychological benefits as founders can each support each other. The
creation of such a team may also lead to planning, evaluation and
greater refinement of the preparation of the launch of the company.
We also expect a positive effect of the gender variable, meaning
that women are more realistic concerning the structure of financing than
men even though they engage in less ambitious projects. This theory is
coherent with the literature review; almost all works claim that the
femininity of the founder has a negative influence on the success of her
firm (Jenseen, 2002; Lasch et al., 2005).
Finally, the influence of the variable "Sum of mean
functions" seems uncertain because of a double effect. On the one
hand, greater experience of the founders should provide greater realism
in constructing the initial financing plan. However, the more experience
the founders have, the better they know the banking finance circuits,
thus inspiring confidence among bankers. The founders could perceive
this experience as an advantage when asking for credit compared to other
founders.
With respect to social capital, we expect a negative influence of
the variable "Social connections" (GEvsUniv) on the proportion
of debt in the total financing. In effect, the wider and more powerful
the social network of the entrepreneurial team, the more informed the
entrepreneurs are about the various financing possibilities, including
grants considered as equity. Thus, they will have better developed
relations with potential external equity investors (for example,
business angels) and will be more familiar with the approaches of this
type of financier. All of these contributing factors should lead
founders to construct more realistic financial projections.
For the variables connected to the type of project, we anticipate a
negative effect of the variable "Sector" (sector of activity)
and the variable "Commercial implantations." In effect, the
more the project expects commercial implantations (stores or
restaurants), the lower the proportion of debt.
Finally, we consider the breakeven point, which corresponds to the
necessary delay, anticipated by the founders, to achieve profitability.
This variable is representative of the realism of the project and the
viability of the project. It depends primarily on the type of project
and, more specifically, on its business model, which itself depends on
the sector. On the other hand, this variable can be manipulated by the
founders, either because they are too optimistic about the potential
market and the ability of their enterprise to acquire customers or
because they understand that the cycle of investment of equity providers
requires a reasonable delay for profitability. In practice, the projects
presented at the Reseau Entreprendre Paris rarely have breakeven points
beyond three years. We, therefore formulate the following hypothesis:
H2b: The breakeven point of the project depends on the human and
social capital incorporated in the project.
In general, it appears, according to Cooper et al. (1994), that
performance depends positively on the level of education. A higher level
of education can lead to acquiring problem-solving abilities and
reflects certain qualities of commitment through a combination of
engagement, motivation and discipline.
For the explanatory variables representing human capital, we
believe that a positive relationship with experience and/or the sum of
mean functions should appear. In effect, the variable
"Experience" is correlated with the variable "Customer
base" because we observe, in general, that there are very few young
project leaders (new graduates) who throw themselves into B-to-B markets
because they are not familiar with them.
Davidsson and Honig (2003) find that social capital variables are
not very statistically significant, even if the majority of the
coefficients are positive. This result is surely a consequence of their
methodology, which consisted of evaluating the probability for the newly
founded enterprise to display a profit over the course of the study.
Among the project type variables, the variable "Sector"
(sector of activity) should have a negative sign because the farther you
go downstream in the value chain of a sector, the shorter the breakeven
point should be. Likewise, with the variable "Commercial
implantations," the more implantations the project has, the longer
the time to break even is. Finally, for the variable "Customer
base" (B-to-B or B-to-C), we hope for a positive sign. In effect,
it is harder and slower to acquire a B-to-C customer base than a B-to-B
base. The modes of communication and advertising are different, and the
prospects are easier to identify and obtain in the case of a project of
type B-to-B. For the variable "Working capital," the more
short-term financing the project requires, the longer the breakeven
point.
IV. METHODOLOGY OF THE STUDY
We shall first present the method of sample composition and then
the choice of indicators corresponding to each variable.
A. Sample Composition
The data were collected from Reseau Entreprendre Paris (Paris
Entrepreneurship Network). This network was created in 1986 in the north
of France by Andre Mulliez, the founder of Auchan, a distribution group
of French origin that has achieved global size. The objective in
creating this network was to participate in the economic redynamization
of the north of France by finding and helping founders of enterprises
that would become the employers of tomorrow. His goal was to participate
in the emergence of small to medium enterprises that would create value
and jobs in all sectors of activity. This network developed
progressively in the other regions of France.
The principle of this network is as follows. It consists of a
private network of business leaders who volunteer to help the founders
of potential enterprises. Each local club solicits business plans from
founders of enterprises. The method consists of three stages. In the
first stage, the projects are preselected by a functionary, assisted by
the business leaders in the network, based on the following criteria:
the abilities of the entrepreneur, the maturity of the idea and its
coherence and feasibility. In the second step, the definitive investment
decision is made by an engagement committee including six to eight
business leaders in the network. The winner receives, at this stage, an
unsecured loan from the association for a total between 15 and 50
K[euro]. This loan is personal, does not carry interest and requires no
guarantee. This loan, by attribution, enables a lever effect with banks
to obtain medium-term credit. The third stage is that of support. All
founders receive monthly support for three years from a member of the
network, himself a business leader. The goal of this support is to give
the enterprise founder someone to talk with and someone from whom to
seek advice.
The current study considers the business plans received from Reseau
Entreprendre Paris between 2006 and 2008. The data collection was
performed in 2009 and the data analysis in 2010. Some 302 business plans
were evaluated. Cases of repeat businesses were eliminated, as were
business plans for which the usable data were incomplete.
The data collected concerned both the profiles of the founders and
the characteristics of the enterprise projects as follows:
* Data on the founder's age, education (level and type), prior
professional experience (positions held, durations, size and sector of
the businesses), entrepreneurial experience and presence of
entrepreneurs in their families;
* Data on the project' s sector of activity, need for global
financing, level of debt, size of the loan requested, projected turnover
at 1, 2 and 3 years and intent to hire employees at 1, 2 and 3 years.
The final sample consists of 125 business plans with complete data.
It is now convenient to specify the choice of indicators chosen for the
collection of variables considered.
B. The Choice of Indicators
We shall first present the choice of indicators for the dependent
variables and then those for the independent variables.
1. The Dependent Variables
Two dependent variables were chosen: the degree of ambition of the
project and its degree of realism.
a. The degree of ambition of the project
To evaluate the degree of ambition of the project, we used three
distinct, but complementary, measures: the turnover anticipated in the
business plan (BP) three years after launch, the number of collaborators
(founders and employees) anticipated in the BP after three years and,
finally, the total financing anticipated by the founders at the moment
the project is launched.
b. The realism of the project
To evaluate the degree of realism of the project, we have used two
distinct measures: the proportion of debts in the total financing and
the breakeven point (delay anticipated by the founders before achieving
profitability).
We shall now present the indicators chosen corresponding to the
independent variables.
2. The Independent Variables
Three classes of independent variables were identified: those
relating to human capital, those relating to social capital and,
finally, those connected to the intrinsic characteristics of the
projects.
a. Human capital
To measure the human capital, we used a series of measures:
* Number of founders: the number of founders of the project in
question.
* Gender of the team: the entrepreneurial team can be male (M),
mixed (I), or female (F).
* Average age: the average age of the different members of the
entrepreneurial team.
* Level of study per project: a variable corresponding to the
average number of years of higher education of each of the members of
the entrepreneurial team.
* Nature of education of the team: if the collection of members of
the entrepreneurial team received a managerial education, then the code
is M; if they received a scientific or technical education, then the
code is T. If the entrepreneurial team integrates managers and
scientists/technical people, the code is M. Finally, in other cases, the
code is A.
* Sum of mean function: positions held by each founder of the team
before founding. For this variable, a total number of points for each
founder was constructed at the level of the team. An entrepreneur with
direction, founding or management experience receives three points, one
who was in consulting or technical fields receives two points and all
others receive one point.
* Presence of a former director on the team: a binary variable with
one point if the team includes at least one former business director,
zero points otherwise.
* Presence of a serial entrepreneur on the team (Serial
entrepreneur): a binary variable with one point if the team includes at
least one serial entrepreneur, zero points otherwise.
b. Social capital
To measure the impact of social capital, we shall use a measure of
the relational network of the founders. In the French framework, many
professional and academic studies (3) have shown that the relations
forged during the period of study play a significant role, particularly
in view of the role of the French "Grandes Ecoles" in the
educational system and of degrees from these schools in the governing structure of enterprises.
We define the variable "GEvsUniv" depending on whether
the founders on the team studied at a Grande Ecole, a university or a
combination of both. This variable represents the sum of the points of
the members of the entrepreneurial team. An alumnus of a Grande Ecole
receives two points, an alumnus of a university receives one point and
the others do not receive a point. The underlying idea is that the
"Social network" of founders who went to a Grande Ecole
(alumni networks, for example) should be better than that of the
founders with only a university degree or education from some other
institution.
c. The variables connected to the project
Finally, we have included four control variables connected to the
intrinsic characteristics of the project:
* Sector represents the sector of activity: industrial sector (I),
publishing sector (E), software sector (L), internet sector (W), sector
of restaurants and cafes (R), service and consulting sector (S) and
commercial sector (C).
* Commercial implantation: a binary variable equal to 1 if the
project intends to create commercial installations, 0 if not.
* Target clientele (B-to-B or B-to-C): this is a variable that
takes the following values: (1) if the clientele is business to
business, (2) if the clientele is both business to business and business
to customers and (3) if the clientele is business to customers.
* Amount of working capital required (BFR): the total in thousands
of euros of working capital necessary for the project during the first
three years.
It is now convenient to present the results of the empirical test.
V. EMPIRICAL RESULTS
We shall first present the results of the tests of those hypotheses
connected to the degree of ambition of the projects and then present the
results related to the degree of realism of the projects.
A. The Ambition of the Project
The ambition of the project is approached in this study from the
perspective of the three-year turnover, the number of jobs at three
years and the total financing required over 3 years (CA3). We have
therefore constructed three equations to explain these three dimensions
of ambition in terms of the variables of the human and social capital of
the founder and the intrinsic characteristics of the projects.
For the expected turnover at three years, the following human
capital variables are significant:
* Gender of the team: negative. We can conclude that women have a
less ambitious vision of projects, either because they are more
realistic or because they prioritize elements other than the growth of
their company, such as employment or profitability. This result confirms
those of the works of Brush (1992) and de Cooper et al. (1994) regarding
the influence of gender in entrepreneurship, particularly the weaker
ambition of women founders as compared to men.
* Sum of mean functions: the influence of this variable is
positive. Thus, the more various professional positions the founder has
held, the more ambitious he will be. This optimism can be explained by
the fact that founders with strong professional experience decide to
move from a salaried position, generally with management status, to that
of an entrepreneur only if their knowledge of the job or sector enable
them to derive a comparative advantage compared to competitors and if
the project seems sufficiently significant and profitable for them to be
able to hope for future profit greater than that of their former
position. This result agrees with the results of Dahlquist, Davidsson
and Wiklund (1999) regarding the capacity of experienced entrepreneurs
to evaluate an idea very early in the process.
* Presence of a former director on the team: positive. This result
strengthens the preceding one on average functions because the motives
for their optimism are the same.
The social capital variable has a positive impact on the discounted
turnover. This result can be explained by the fact that entrepreneurs
who are well positioned in business networks can thus benefit from
easier access to suppliers and clients. This explanation was also
proposed by Brush (1992) to explain the influence of the gender variable
by showing that women entrepreneurs were less engaged in these types of
networks. Furthermore, by sharing their project idea with the members of
their social network, the entrepreneurs will be supported in their ideas
and thus become more ambitious or abandon it.
The significant variables connected to the project characteristics
include "Clientele" and "Working capital". For the
clientele, seeking a B-to-B market with more significant development
perspectives leads to a positive effect on the anticipated turnover. For
the working capital, the relation is even more logical and automatic as
the working capital generally grows with turnover.
For the employment, founders and employees (Employ 3), the
following two human capital variables, anticipated at three years, are
significant:
* Sum of mean functions: positive. This variable has the same
influence on three-year employment as on turnover, and the underlying
reasons appear to be identical.
* Presence of a serial entrepreneur: positive. This finding
confirms the influence of entrepreneurial experience on the conception
of the enterprise project.
Note that the variable "gender" is no longer significant.
Thus, in terms of projected employment, the difference between men and
women disappears. Therefore, they would share the same degree of
ambition according to this variable even if the projected turnovers are
different.
Conforming to the results of Bosma et al. (2004), we observe that
integration in networks has a positive effect on the number of jobs
created by the entrepreneur.
Finally, the two variables connected to the project characteristics
show almost automatic relations. The variable connected to the sector
(code 2) indicates that the more the project is of the
"service" type, the less significant is the number of jobs
anticipated (compared to activities of industrial production).
Likewise, working capital is a variable connected to the size of
the enterprise. In effect, the more working capital one has, the more
significant it is. This variable is positively correlated to the size of
the enterprise and the number of employees. Moreover, the more the
activity consists of commercializing services (in particular, web
services in this type of project), the more significant the working
capital is in terms of the time required to acquire customers.
The total financing of the project (TotalFint) supports the results
obtained regarding the ambition of the project based on the regression of turnover and employment at three years. The variable
"Gender" becomes significant with respect to turnover,
indicating that women are less ambitious in their demands for financing.
On the other hand, the variable "Sum of mean functions"
remains significantly positive, as in the two preceding equations.
Likewise, social capital exerts a positive influence on the hope to
find financing because it permits possibilities for connecting with
investors and bankers.
Among the variables characterizing the nature of the project, the
variables related to size are significantly positive, as in the equation
for turnover. The variable "Sector," likewise, has a positive
coefficient because service-type projects require more significant
investments, particularly in marketing, to acquire a clientele than
industrial production-type projects. Finally, the variable
"commercial implantation" has a negative effect because in the
projects submitted to Entreprendre Paris, the projects requiring
commercial implantations are often projects of small scope (e.g.,
creation of a wine bar); thus, a size effect exists in the opposite
direction.
It is now convenient to consider the empirical results related to
the realism of the project.
B. The Realism of the Project
The realism of a project is a crucial factor for all funding
providers. It permits them to reconcile the ambition of the financing
structure ("DettesvsTotal") and the capacity to attain
financial equilibrium (time to break even).
With regard to human capital, the coefficients of the variables
"Number of founders" and "Gender" have the expected
negative and positive signs, respectively. The cross-evaluation of the
projects and the ability to bring in equity increase with the number of
founders, which enables some prudence in the debt rates and makes the
project credible. When considering the behavior of women in financing,
this study finds that they demand less funding overall than men but are
more likely to prioritize debts. Their presence, therefore, negatively
affects the realism of the project. These results confirm those of Lasch
et al. (2005).
In addition, we observe a positive relation with the variable sum
of mean functions. Therefore, it is the second effect proposed in the
literature that is dominant: the experience of the founders affects
their capacity to borrow.
Regarding social capital, the negative influence of the variable
"GEvsUniv" on the proportion of debts in the total financing
confirms that inclusion in a social network leads founders to be more
prudent in the structure of the financing of their enterprise, in
contrast to its influence on the total financing sought.
For the variables depending on the type of project,
"Sector," "IC" and "Clientele," we
anticipated a negative effect.
For the variable "Sector", the negative effect is due to
the fact that projects downstream in the value chain would be less
susceptible to debt financing than upstream projects because they have
less physical guarantee from the perspective of the bankers (for assets
created or acquired). For the variable "Clientele," we deduce
from it that B-to-C projects have a lower rate of debt than B-to-B
projects, as the latter rely often on the acquisition of physical
assets.
For the variable "IC", we thus verify that the more the
project anticipates commercial implantations (shops or restaurants), the
lower the debt rate.
Finally, for the variable "Working capital", the
relationship with the debt rate is almost automatic, as the majority of
working capital is financed in the short term in this type of firm by
bank credits, and thus, when the working capital increases, so does the
debt rate.
Finally, the realism of the project is approached by means of the
time to attain profitability (time to break even called
"Breakeven"). We observe that two variables connected to human
capital have a strong positive influence, in contrast to social capital,
which has no influence. These variables are "Level of studies"
and "Sum of mean functions." The underlying explanation is
similar for both variables; the education and experience of founders
cause them to be more realistic about the time required to achieve
profitability. Social capital does not appear to have an influence on
the breakeven point as this depends more on the intrinsic
characteristics of the project, its economic model and the ability of
the directors to implement it.
Among the project type variables, the variable "Sector"
displays a negative sign, confirming that projects based on services
have a shorter anticipated time to return on investment. The three other
factors connected to the project appear to have an impact on lengthening the breakeven point. For the variable "IC," we claim that the
more commercial implantations the project will have, the more time this
step will take, increasing the time to break even. For the variable
"Clientele" (B-to-B or B-to-C), the positive sign is due to
the more significant delays in acquiring a customer base in B-to-C
projects. Finally, for working capital, the growth of short-term
financing makes it more difficult to reach the profitability. The last
two effects are often combined for projects of the type "web
services," where young enterprises file for bankruptcy because they
have not yet managed to extract a positive result and can no longer
finance their investments as well as their operating cycle.
From a purely statistical perspective, the five tables above
indicate that despite the sometimes small R2 coefficients, the degree of
significance of the Anova is below 5%, which validates the quality of
these five models. Furthermore, the small variance inflation factors
(VIF < 2.6) associated with the small standard deviations of the
estimated parameters demonstrate the absence of collinearity problems.
VI. CONCLUSION
In conclusion, it is helpful to recall that the interest of the
present study is due largely to its originality in so far as works
considering this very early stage of the entrepreneurial adventure is
rare. The application of the theory of organizational capital has
enabled us to evaluate the influence of human and social capital on the
conception of the enterprise project from its genesis through the
financial projections made by the founders at the stage of the business
plan. Two primary variables were the object of the study: the degree of
ambition of the projects and their degree of realism. Based on tests of
the hypotheses conducted on an original sample of 125 business plans of
enterprises at the creation stage, the results show the influence of
human and social capital on the conception of enterprise projects. In
particular, the significance of the positions held prior to founding the
current enterprise, the presence of a former director (or a serial
entrepreneur) on the team of founders and the strength of the social
network of the entrepreneurs have a positive influence on the degree of
ambition of the project. The proportion of women on the team plays an
inverse role. Moreover, the size of the team of entrepreneurs and the
strength of their social network is positively correlated to the realism
of the project, in contrast to the average level of positions held
previously by the founders, the average length of their studies and the
proportion of women on the team.
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ENDNOTES
(1.) Source : APCE (Agence Pour la Creation
d'Entreprise--French Agency for the Creation of Enterprise).
(2.) Interviews conducted with venture capitalists and
entrepreneurs in the framework of events organized by Marc-Tech
(2000-2008). The authors also regularly participate in round tables for
financing and start-ups as consultants of venture capitalists.
(3.) http://www.opesc.org/analyses/reseaux-gen.php
Jean-Louis Pare (a), Jean Redis (b) *, Lubica Hikkerova (c)
(a) Professor, Advancia-Negocia, CCIP Entrepreneurship Chair,
France jpare@advancia-negocia.fr
(b) Associate Professor, Esiee Management & University of Paris
East, CCIP Entrepreneurship Chair, France j.redis@esiee.fr
(c) Assistant Professor, IPAG Lab, France
lubicahikkerova@yahoo.de
* We would like to acknowledge the CCIP Entrepreneurship and
Innovation Chair for its financial support and help in the development
of this research.
Table 1
Results of the regression on turnover at 3 years
CA3 Significance t Coefficient
Number of founders
Gender X 0.047 -2.12 -0.159
Average age
Level of study
Nature of education
Sum of mean
functions X 0.004 2.93 0.402
former director on
the team X 0.035 2.28 0.231
Serial entrepreneur
GEvsUniv X 0.023 2.55 0.173
Sector
IC
Clientele X 0.047 2.00 0.190
Working capital X 0.010 6.06 0.352
R2 0.241
Anova
Regression
(Sum of 2) 4.032 E8
Residue
(Sum of 2) 3.201 E9
Sig 0.016
Table 2
Results of the regression on employment at three years
Employ 3 Significance t-test Coefficient
Number of founders
Gender
Average age
Level of study
Nature of education
Sum of mean
functions X 0.011 2.617 0.31
Former director on
the team
Serial entrepreneur X 0.024 2.407 0.419
GEvsUniv X 0.076 1.792 0.16
Sector X 0.072 -1.82 -0.213
IC
Clientele
Working capital X 0.652 0.453 0.055
R2 0.219
Anova
Regression
(Sum of 2) 31543
Residue
(Sum of 2) 193342
Sig 0.018
Table 3
Results of the regression on the total anticipated financing
TotalFint Significance t-test Coefficient
Number of founders
Gender X 0.046 -2.016 -0.18
Average age
Level of studies
Nature of
education
Sum of mean
functions X 0.074 1.81 0.245
Former director
on the team
Serial
entrepreneur
GEvsUniv X 0.010 3.871 0.597
Sector X 0.078 1.783 0.205
IC X 0.026 -2.27 -0.275
Clientele X 0.042 2.068 0.229
Working capital X 0.041 2.114 0.298
R2 0.164
Anova
Regression
(Sum of 2) 3148574
Residue
(Sum of 2) 1,603 E7
Sig 0.024
Table 4
Results of the regression on the debt ratio
Dettesvs Significance t-test Coefficient
Total
Number of founders X 0.031 -2.18 -0.195
Gender X 0.052 1.97 0.201
Average age
Level of studies
Nature of
education
Sum of mean
functions X 0.08 2.892 0.576
Former director
on the team
Serial
entrepreneur
GEvsUniv X 0.045 -2.026 -0.146
Sector X 0.01 -3.71 -0.319
IC X 0.007 -2.77 -0.284
Clientele X 0.092 -1.70 -0.171
Working capital X 0.101 1.703 0.278
R2 0.178
Anova
Regression
(Sum of 2) 10747
Residue
(Sum of 2) 49689
Sig 0.00
Table 5
Results of the regression on the time to break even
Breakeven Significance t-test Coefficient
Number of founders
Gender
Average age
Level of studies X 0.194 1.307 0.118
Nature of
education
Sum of mean
functions X 0.193 1.307 0.117
Former director
on the team
Serial
entrepreneur
GEvsUniv
Sector X 0.016 -2.44 -0.209
IC X 0.028 2.231 0.233
Clientele X 0.001 3.259 0.28
Working capital X 0.05 2.878 0.33
R2 0.141
Anova
Regression
(Sum of 2) 15.354
Residue
(Sum of 2) 93.346
Sig 0.00