The value effects of foreign currency and interest rate hedging: the UK evidence.
Belghitar, Yacine ; Clark, Ephraim ; Judge, Amrit 等
ABSTRACT
In this paper we use UK data to present empirical evidence on the
valuation and debt capacity effects of foreign currency (FC) and
interest rate (IR) hedging. We build on recent studies that have
presented mixed results on the link between hedging, leverage and firm
value. Our results provide evidence of a significant relationship
between firm value, measured as Tobin's Q, and foreign currency and
interest rate hedging. These findings are much stronger than those found
in previous studies that have examined US firms. Our empirical evidence
suggests that this is due to the fact the US studies include in their
non-hedging sample other hedging firms, such as firms using
non-derivative methods for hedging, which can bias the results against
finding positive leverage and firm value effects. The larger value
effects in our results could also be due to institutional differences in
the bankruptcy codes between the UK and the US that cause higher
expected financial distress costs for UK firms and therefore greater
benefits generated by hedging. When we look at debt capacity and the tax
shield effects of hedging, we find that investors reward interest rate
hedgers with a larger hedging premium than that rewarded for FC hedging.
In fact, our results show that the debt capacity benefits of interest
rate only hedging are around six times those generated by FC only
hedging. Finally, the debt capacity results in relation to IR hedging
and the Tobin's Q results show that derivative hedging generates
more value than nonderivative hedging.
JEL Classification: F30, G32, G33
Keywords: Firm value; Foreign currency hedging; Interest rate
hedging; Derivatives; Debt capacity; Leverage; Financial distress.
I. INTRODUCTION
The positive theory of corporate hedging developed by Smith and
Stulz (1985) is based on the demonstration that imperfect capital
markets can create conditions where corporate hedging becomes
economically justified because it can add value to the firm. Many
studies have examined what these conditions are and why firms might be
using derivatives for hedging. The key question for shareholders,
however, is whether hedging does, in fact, add value to the firm.
Empirical research on this question is relatively recent, generally
focused on the US and, since commodity price hedging seems to be
generally limited to specific industries, has concentrated on interest
rate and foreign currency hedging. In this paper we extend this
literature and study the value effects of the interest rate (IR) and
foreign currency (FC) hedging practices of a sample taken from the top
500 non-financial firms in the UK ranked by market value as of year-end
1995.
The UK data for this period is well adapted to the value testing we
propose for several reasons. At the time the UK had (and still has) a
large number of firms with foreign operations. These firms were facing
continuous currency risk because the pound had been floating since its
withdrawal from the European currency mechanism in 1992. The economy was
highly industrialized and open with developed, generally unrestricted
capital markets and trading partners that were predominantly in the same
conditions. Thus, the financing and hedging decisions by the firms in
our sample are likely to reflect economic and financial criteria rather
than the result of constraints imposed by shallow domestic capital
markets, bureaucratic controls and the like. Furthermore, the year 1995
is at the midpoint of the years included in the studies cited in this
paper and, thus, serves as a good point of comparison.
The innovation in this study that makes our results so interesting
is that we organize the tests so that the value effects of each type of
hedging, both interest rate and foreign currency, and each type of
instrument, both derivative and non-derivative, can be isolated and
estimated independently in order to eliminate any potential bias. The
failure of other studies to do this weakens their results and probably
explains why the evidence is so mixed. For example, in a study that
measures the effect of derivatives use on Tobin's Q as a proxy for
firm value, Bartram, Brown and Fehle (2004) find a significant positive
value effect for all derivative users taken together but perversely only
for firms without any financial price exposure. Furthermore, when broken
down according to hedging type, no value effects are found for FC
derivative users and interest rate derivatives use generates positive
valuation effects for firms with and without interest rate exposure.
Also, contrary to expectations the extent of the increase in value is
larger for firms with very little interest rate exposure. The problem is
that when they break down the sample by hedging type, their sample of
non-FC (IR) hedgers includes hedgers that also hedge other kinds of
risk. Consequently, their tests are likely to understate the value
generated from FC (IR) hedging.
The other studies using Tobin's Q suffer from the same kind of
problem and results are mixed. Allayannis and Weston (2001) find that FC
derivatives use is associated with an increase in firm value while
Allaynnis, Ihrig and Weston (2001) find that FC operational hedging
increases firm value only when combined with derivatives. Kim, Mathur
and Nam (2006) find that both operational hedging and financial hedging
add to firm value but unlike Allayannis et al. (2001) they find that
operational hedging generates up to five times more value than financial
hedging. (1) Nain (2004) finds that firms that choose not to hedge FC
risk in industries where FC derivatives use is prevalent had 5% lower
Tobin's Q than their hedged competitors. Allayannis, Lel and Miller
(2004) find that the FC hedging premium is statistically significant and
economically large only for firms that have strong internal and external
corporate governance. Where commodity hedging is concerned, results are
also mixed. Lookman (2004) reports that once agency conflicts have been
controlled for, valuation effects associated with hedging become largely
insignificant. Carter et al. (2004) find that jet fuel hedging increases
value while Jin and Jorion (2006) find no value effects from hedging in
the US oil and gas sectors. (2)
Results are also inconclusive when the value added from hedging is
associated with a specific explanation of why firms hedge. This
literature revolves around the debt capacity benefits of hedging
developed by Stulz (1996), Ross (1997), and Leland (1998), who show that
by reducing the probability of financial distress, hedging increases
debt capacity. In this framework hedging increases a firm's ability
to take on more debt (i.e., debt capacity). If firms respond by adding
to their leverage, this will lead to an increase in interest deductions,
which in turn generates incremental tax shield benefits that can
increase firm value. Three studies investigate the debt capacity effects
due to FC hedging with mixed results. Using a hedging dummy dependent
variable for a sample of US firms both Geczy et al. (1997) and Graham
and Rogers (2002) find that leverage is not affected by FC hedging.
Bartram et al. (2004) employ a sample of close to 5000 firms from around
the world. They find that hedging is associated with an increase in
leverage ranging from 3% for FC derivative users, 9% for all derivative
users, 11% for IR derivative users and 15% for commodity derivative
users. These translate into a mean increase in value of 0.32% for
currency derivative users, 0.82% for general derivative users, 1.28% for
interest rate derivative users and 1.71% for commodity price derivative
users. The larger debt capacity effect for commodity price hedging is
curious, given that the link between interest rate hedging, debt
capacity and leverage is a more obvious relation than commodity price
hedging, debt capacity and hedging.
Borokovich et al. (2004) also examine the debt capacity effects of
IR hedging. They find a positive and statistically significant
relationship between leverage and IR derivative use for a sample of U.S.
firms, which is consistent with the argument that firms that hedge
bankruptcy risk can increase leverage and make greater use of the
interest tax shield from debt. Where commodity price hedging is
concerned, Dionne and Triki (2004) find that the relation between debt
and risk management for U.S. and Canadian gold mining firms goes mainly
in the direction of firms hedging in order to decrease the financial
distress costs caused by leverage, rather than firms managing risk in
order to increase their debt capacity.
Besides the problem in the Tobin's Q tests of including other
hedgers in the sample of FC (IR) hedgers and thereby blurring the effect
of the type of hedging being tested, debt capacity tests also include
firms that might be hedging IR (FC) and/or commodity price exposure in
the non-hedging sample. Under the reasonable assumption that the hedging
activities of these "other" hedgers would also induce higher
debt capacity, the inclusion of these "other" hedging firms in
the non-hedging sample might make it more difficult to detect the
leverage effects associated with hedging. This problem would be
especially pronounced for FC hedging tests where the majority of
"other" hedgers are interest rate hedgers, for whom the
leverage effects are likely to be relatively higher. (3)
In this paper, we first run the tests as in the foregoing papers.
We then correct for the potential bias by eliminating the
"other" hedgers from the hedging and non-hedging samples and
re-run the tests. This paper makes several contributions to the
literature.
First of all, we find that both FC and IR hedging are significant
explanatory variables for firm value creation when measured as
Tobin's Q and when measured as a tax shield through increased debt
capacity. Their effects are also larger than those reported in previous
studies examining US firms. Where FC hedging is concerned, this is
probably due, at least in part, to the fact that UK firms face
significantly higher levels of FC exposure relative to their US
counterparts. For example, Allayannis and Weston (2001) report that the
mean (median) level of foreign sales is 18 percent (3 percent) for their
sample of US firms during the period 1990-95. For our sample (1994-95)
the average level of foreign sales is nearly double at 35 percent and
the median, at 29 percent, is over nine times that of US firms. The
Tobin's Q and debt capacity effects might also be due to the fact
that the UK bankruptcy code confers greater rights to creditors than the
US code. Thus, if the UK rules make liquidation more likely for firms in
financial distress, then UK firms potentially face higher expected costs
of financial distress than firms in the US, thereby raising the
potential gains to be made through hedging.
In a second contribution we show that controlling for
"other" hedgers in the samples of non-hedgers changes the
results considerably. In the Tobin's Q tests for both FC and IR
derivatives hedging, the coefficient is positive and significant with
and without the controls. However, after controlling for
"other" hedgers, the coefficient is 72% larger for FC
derivatives and 52% larger for IR derivatives with higher p-values for
both. The results are even more pronounced for the debt capacity tests.
In the tests that include "other" hedgers in the non-hedging
sample, the coefficient for all FC hedgers is small and not significant.
When we exclude "other" hedgers from the non-hedging sample,
the coefficient is over three times larger with a p-value of 0.000. When
we look at "FC derivatives users" before controlling for
"other" hedgers, the coefficient is negative and significant.
After controlling for "other" hedgers, the coefficient is
positive and significant. Interestingly, the inclusion of other hedgers
in the IR analysis does not affect the sign or the significance of the
IR hedging coefficient in the second stage estimation, which is positive
and highly significant with or without other hedgers.
A third contribution concerns the debt capacity effects of FC and
IR hedging where we control for the cross effects of FC and IR hedging
on debt capacity by using samples of FC only hedgers and IR only
hedgers. Our results show that firms that only hedge FC generate
significant positive debt capacity and hence value effects, but that IR
hedging creates substantially more firm value from debt capacity (over 6
times as much) than FC hedging. This is consistent with the notion that
IR hedging facilitates more leverage because lenders might make the
incremental debt contingent on the commitment to hedge. Without the
commitment to hedge, the new debt financing would not be forthcoming.
Results for the Tobin's Q analysis are more ambiguous. FC only
hedging generates similar value effects to that of FC hedgers who might
also be IR hedgers while in the IR only hedgers' specification the
coefficient is not significant.
The final contribution gives evidence that derivative only hedging
is superior to other types of hedging. Although in the debt capacity
tests we find that all FC hedging created more value than FC derivative
hedging, IR derivative hedging created more value than all IR hedging.
In the Tobin's Q analysis restricting hedgers to derivative users
generated larger coefficients for both IR and FC hedging (after
excluding other hedgers) than when the more inclusive definitions of
hedging were employed. This suggests that derivatives hedging is more
value enhancing than other hedging methods. The remainder of the paper
proceeds as follows. Section II describes the sample. Sections III and
IV present the results and Section V concludes.
II. SAMPLE DESCRIPTION AND SOURCES OF DATA ON FOREIGN CURRENCY AND
INTEREST RATE HEDGING
The sample consists of 412 non-financial firms taken from the top
500 non-financial firms in the UK ranked by market value as of year-end
1995. The data on FC and IR hedging was obtained from qualitative risk
management disclosures in annual reports. This study classifies firms as
FC (IR) hedgers as those that make any reference in their annual report
to hedging their FC (IR) exposures. We recognise that firms utilise a
range of hedging techniques, which include non-derivative as well as
derivative based hedges. Therefore, our definition of FC (IR) includes
both derivative and nonderivative hedging. Examples of the latter
include the use of FC debt financing to hedge the exposures arising from
foreign operations and the attempt to match the interest rate profile of
the firm's debt with that of its operating cash flows, such as the
decision to issue fixed rate debt financing.
Panel A of Table 1 shows that 70.4 percent of firms in our sample
are classified as foreign currency hedgers, whereas only 44.4 percent
were deemed to be interest rate hedgers. Corresponding figures for US
firms shows that FC hedging activity is less widespread in the US but
participation in IR hedging is comparable to that of the UK. (4) We also
provide a breakdown of FC (IR) hedgers by identifying the combinations
of exposures hedged. Panel B shows that 47.2 percent of FC hedgers
hedged both FC and IR and 44.1 percent only hedged FC. The corresponding
figures for the IR hedging sample are 74.9 and 15.3 percent
respectively. Panel C shows that the sample of FC (IR) non-hedgers
consists of both non-hedging firms and firms hedging other exposures. In
the FC non-hedging sample 25.5 percent are other hedgers, these being
mostly IR hedgers. In the case of the IR non-hedging sample 60.3 percent
are hedging other exposures. The inclusion of these hedgers in the FC
and IR non-hedging sample might bias the empirical results against a
significant positive hedging premium and or debt capacity effect. Since
the IR non-hedging sample contains a far greater proportion of other
hedgers we would expect the bias to be greater in the IR hedging value
tests. Panel E shows that the FC and IR non-derivative using samples
contain a majority of other hedgers, 53.8 and 63.6 percent,
respectively. This suggests the potential for a greater bias when
looking at the value effects of FC (IR) derivative hedging.
Table 2 presents summary statistics of the main variables used in
this study. The mean value of total assets for our sample is 1010
million [pounds sterling] and the mean market value of equity is 1582
million [pounds sterling]. In this study we employ Tobin's Q as a
proxy for firm value. We define Tobin's Q as the book value of
total assets minus the book value of equity plus the market value of
equity divided by the book value of total assets. The numerator approximates the market value of the firm and the denominator approximates the replacement cost of assets. The distribution of
Tobin's Q in our sample is skewed, since the median value (1.887)
is smaller than its mean (2.448). To correct for this we use the natural
log of Q. Using the natural log has the additional advantage that
changes in this variable can be interpreted as percent changes in firm
value.
The mean level of foreign sales as a proportion of total sales is
35 percent for our sample. This level of foreign sales activity is at
least double that reported for US firms around the same period. For
example, Allayannis and Weston (2001) indicate that foreign sales were
on average 18 percent of total sales for 720 US firms during the period
1990-95 and Graham and Rogers (2002) reports foreign sales of 10 percent
for their sample of US firms in 1994.
III. FIRM VALUE AND FOREIGN CURRENCY AND INTEREST RATE HEDGING: A
TOBIN'S Q ANALYSIS
Since there are so many well documented determinants of firm value,
we employ a multivariate approach to investigate the value effects of
hedging. To infer that hedging increases the value of the firm, we need
to exclude the effect of all other variables that could have an impact
on firm value (Tobin's Q). In common with several previous studies
we control for size, profitability, leverage, growth opportunities,
ability to access financial markets, geographic and industrial
diversification.
We employ three variations for our measure of hedging. In common
with much of the extant empirical literature we define FC (IR) hedging
as the use of FC (IR) derivatives, in our second definition we
incorporate non-derivatives FC (IR) hedging, our third definition looks
at FC (IR) only hedgers. Table 3 presents the regression results for
both FC (models 1 to 5) and IR hedging (models 6 to 10). When we define
FC (IR) hedging as the use of FC (IR) derivatives then firms that hedge
FC (IRs) using non-derivative methods will be effectively defined as
non-hedgers. We expect this to have an adverse impact on the size of
hedging premium since hedging theory predicts that any type of hedging
should have a positive effect on firm value. Model 1 shows that the
coefficient on the FC derivative dummy is positive and significant
despite the inclusion of other hedgers (IR hedgers and non-derivative FC
hedgers) in the non-hedging sample. In model 2 we transfer
non-derivative FC hedgers into the FC hedging sample (i.e., adopt a
wider definition of FC hedging), as expected, this results in an
increase in the hedging coefficient, the hedging premium is now 13.1% up
from 8.5%. This suggests that non-derivative FC hedging also adds to
firm value. Models 3 and 4 rerun the specifications in models 1 and 2
but exclude other hedgers from the non-hedging sample. In both instances
the coefficient increases, albeit only slightly for all FC hedgers. A
comparison of the hedging coefficients in models 3 and 4 indicates that
restricting the definition of hedging to derivatives (model 3) generates
a larger hedging premium than the more inclusive definition (model 4).
In specifications 1 to 4 the sample of FC hedgers includes firms that
are also IR hedgers. Therefore, it is possible that some proportion of
the resulting hedging premium is due to IR hedging. In model 5 we
examine how much of the hedging premium is the result of FC hedging in
particular by excluding from the FC hedging sample firms that also hedge
IR exposure. The results show that the hedging premium is significant
and slightly larger at 15.3 percent.
As with FC hedging, for both definitions of IR hedging we see an
increase in the size of the hedging coefficient (premium) when we remove
the other hedgers from the non-IR hedging sample. The IR hedging results
also provide further evidence that derivatives hedging is potentially
more value enhancing than non-derivative hedging. In the bias free tests
of model 8 and model 9 the IR hedging premium is 18.6% when hedgers are
defined as IR derivative users and 15.6% when we expand our hedging
definition to include firms that use only non-derivative IR hedging
techniques. value of assets minus the book value of equity plus the
market value of equity divided by the book value of assets. The
numerator approximates the market value of the firm and the denominator
approximates the replacement cost of assets. The regressions include
control variables for size, leverage, profitability, dividend yield,
foreign sales, R&D expenditure and industry diversification. Log of
total assets is the natural log of book value of total assets less
current liabilities. Leverage is the book value of total debt and
preference capital as a proportion of the book value of total debt plus
the market value of equity. Return on capital employed (ROCE) is the
pre-tax profit plus total interest charges divided by total capital
employed plus borrowings repayable within 1 year less total intangibles.
Dividend yield is the gross dividend divided by share price. Foreign
sales ratio is the foreign sales by destination divided by total sales.
R&D ratio is research and development expenditure divided by total
sales. Industry diversification dummy takes on the value of one if the
firm operates in more than one business segment. White (1980) corrected
standard errors are reported in parentheses.
At first glance this result is unusual since a firm's final
interest rate exposure would be the same irrespective of the method of
hedging. For example, a firm that issues fixed rate debt has the same
interest rate exposure, and therefore would be expected to achieve the
same value benefits, as one that issues floating-rate debt and swaps it
to a fixed rate. However, it could be argued that hedging IR exposure
with derivatives confers greater flexibility in altering interest rate
characteristics of a debt portfolio, particularly in response to
changing company circumstances (the generation of large levels of
surplus cash) or changes in the macroeconomic environment (the steepness
of the yield curve). (5) For example, an advantage of an interest rate
or currency swap is that it allows firms to adjust exposure profiles
without having to undo the underlying transactions. The major advantages
of swaps in restructuring corporate debt are lower costs, increased
flexibility, and more rapid execution. They have also been used to
create lower-cost synthetic debt issues. Therefore, the inherent
flexibility that derivative tools possess over substitute hedging
strategies is possibly a driver of the greater value. It might also be
that, because of accounting disclosure requirements, derivatives hedging
can be more readily observed by investors whereas non-derivative hedging
is less transparent or that it might be difficult to disentangle (or
distinguish) non-derivative hedging from other financial activities of
the firm.
In model 10 we examine the value effects for IR only hedgers and
find, contrary to expectations, that the hedging coefficient is negative
and statistically insignificant. This suggests that it is FC hedging
that is driving the results, but, since this specification contains only
15 IR hedgers the power of the tests are very weak, which might explain
the result. Our overall results, however, suggest that investors reward
IR hedgers with a larger hedging premium than that generated by FC
hedging. The IR hedging coefficient in models 6, 8 and 9 is higher than
the corresponding coefficients for FC hedging (models 1, 3 and 4). For
example, model 3 indicates a 14.7% value effect from FC derivative
hedging, the corresponding result for IR derivative hedging is 18.6%
(model 8).
Finally, the coefficients on several of the control variables are
in line with what earlier literature finds. For example, size, leverage
and dividend yield are negatively related to value, whereas growth
opportunities (measured by R&D expenditure scaled by total sales)
and profitability are positively related to firm value.
IV. HEDGING, DEBT CAPACITY AND FIRM VALUE
To estimate the valuation effects from enhanced debt capacity and
leverage due to hedging we follow Graham and Rogers (2002) and estimate
the determinants of the capital structure and FC and IR hedging
decisions simultaneously with a two-stage estimation technique. In the
first stage, two separate regressions are performed using FC (IR)
hedging and the leverage ratio, respectively, as dependent variables. We
use equation 1 to obtain predicted probabilities of FC (IR) hedging:
log [P.sub.i]/1 - [P.sub.i] = [[beta].sub.0] + [[beta].sub.1]
[Tax.sub.i] + [[beta].sub.2][Leverage.sub.i] + [[beta].sub.3]
[Exp.sub.i] + [[beta].sub.4][Sub.sub.i] + [[beta].sub.5]T[Costs.sub.i] +
[[epsilon].sub.i] (1)
where Tax = Tax loss carry forward; Leverage = Leverage; Exp =
Financial price exposure; Sub = Hedging substitutes; and Tcosts =
Transaction costs.
We specify the model of the capital structure decision following
Rajan and Zingales (1995) to obtain predicted leverage ratios:
[Leverage.sub.i] = [[delta].sub.0] + [[delta].sub.1] Tangible
[assets.sub.i] + [[delta].sub.2]R & [D.sub.i] +
[[delta].sub.3][Logsize.sub.i] + [[delta].sub.4][Profitability.sub.i] +
[[epsilon].sub.i] (2)
In the second stage, structural equations are estimated using the
predicted values from the first-stage regressions as explanatory
variables. The structural equations are: FC (IR) hedging decision:
Log [P.sub.i]/1 - [P.sub.i] = [[beta].sub.0] +
[[beta].sub.1][Tax.sub.i] + [[beta].sub.2][Leverage.sup.*.sub.i] +
[[beta].sub.3][Exp.sub.i] + [[beta].sub.4][Sub.sub.i] +
[[beta].sub.5]T[Costs.sub.i] + [[epsilon].sub.i] (3)
Capital structure decision:
[Leverage.sub.i] = [[delta].sub.0] + [[delta].sub.1] Tangible
[assets.sub.i] + [[delta].sub.2]R & [D.sub.i] +
[[delta].sub.3][Logsize.sub.i] + [[delta].sub.4][Profitability.sub.i] +
[[delta].sub.5]Hedging * + [[epsilon].sub.i] (4)
In equation (3), Leverage* is the predicted value of the leverage
ratio obtained from the first-stage estimation of the capital structure
decision equation (equation (2)). In equation (4), Hedging* is the
predicted probability of hedging obtained from the first-stage
estimation of the FC (IR) hedging equation (equation (1)).
We report the results for FC and IR hedging in table 4. The first
row of table 4 reports the estimated coefficient on the FC hedging
variable and its p-value in the second stage leverage regression. We
initially estimate stages one and two of the simultaneous equations
system with our full sample which incorporates non-FC hedgers that
include other hedgers, such as firms that only hedge interest rate
exposure. In the second stage leverage regression column 1 of table 4
shows that the predicted probability of hedging is positively related to
leverage but not statistically significant. This indicates that FC
hedging by UK firms does not increase their debt capacity.
We re-estimate both stages of the simultaneous equations system but
this time excluding other hedgers from the non-hedging sample, which are
made up mainly of interest rate hedgers. The results in column 2 of
Table 4 show that the predicted probability of foreign currency hedging
is now a significant factor in determining leverage. The estimated
coefficient from a second-stage leverage regression suggests that
foreign currency hedging is associated with a 0.1867 increase in the
leverage ratio. We quantify the size of the tax benefit provided by the
increased debt capacity for each foreign currency hedging firm by taking
the product of the estimated coefficient on the foreign currency hedging
variable, the firm's average tax rate, and value of total debt and
then scale this by the market value of the firm's assets (lagged
one year). For all foreign currency hedgers the increase in leverage
translates into a mean (median) estimated increase in firm value of 1.29
(1.04) percent.
This value effect of foreign currency hedging is larger than the
0.32 percent reported by Bartram et al. (2004) for a sample of over 4000
worldwide firms. Furthermore, for a sample of US firms and using a
binary foreign currency hedging variable both Geczy et al. (1997) and
Graham and Rogers (2002) do not find that currency hedging significantly
increases the leverage ratio in their second stage regressions. All
three studies investigate foreign currency derivative use rather than
foreign currency hedging. This narrow definition of foreign currency
hedging might bias the results if firms use tools other than derivatives
for foreign currency hedging. Furthermore, if the non-currency
derivative sample also includes interest rate or commodity price
derivative users the bias will be more severe.
A. Using an Alternative Definition of Hedging
The definition of FC hedging employed in this study is more
inclusive than that used in several previous studies, which tend to
restrict their analysis to FC derivative users. In order to facilitate
comparisons with these studies we repeat the above analysis but define
FC hedgers as firms that use FC derivatives and firms that hedge FC
exposure but use methods other than derivatives are classified as non-FC
derivative users together with firms that do not hedge FC exposure. The
results in column 3 of table 4 show that the hedging coefficient is
negative and significant. This perverse result implies that hedging
lowers debt capacity opposite to that predicted. In similar analyses
Geczy et al. (1997) and Graham and Rogers (2002) report an insignificant
hedging coefficient in their second stage leverage regression. These
results might be due to the fact that non-currency derivative users
include interest rate hedgers and other foreign currency hedgers. Since
the capital structure effects are not unique to the source of exposure
hedged, nor which method of hedging is used, the inclusion of other
hedgers in the non-FC derivative sample makes the detection of a
leverage effect more difficult. Column 4 of table 4 shows that when
interest rate hedgers and other foreign currency hedgers are removed
from the non-FC derivative user sample, the estimated hedging
coefficient in the second stage leverage regression is 0.0938 and
significant at less than one percent, which implies an increase in firm
value of 0.63 percent. This suggests that how non-derivative using
foreign currency hedgers and interest rate only derivative users (or
hedgers) are treated has a significant bearing on the estimated effect
of FC hedging on leverage and consequently the estimated tax benefits of
hedging.
B. The Value Effects for Foreign Currency Only Hedgers
The results in the previous sections indicate that foreign currency
hedging increases firms' debt capacity and consequently leads to an
increase in firm value. However, the validity of the strength of this
link can be called into question because of the structure of the foreign
currency hedging sample.
Closer inspection of the foreign currency hedging sample reveals a
few interesting characteristics. Panel B of Table 1 shows that 44.1
percent of foreign currency hedgers are foreign currency only hedgers
and 53.4 percent of foreign currency hedgers also hedge interest rate
exposure. It could be argued that since over half the sample of foreign
currency hedgers are also interest rate hedgers it is quite possible
that this group of firms is driving the leverage results. This is
because leverage is potentially of greater relevance to interest rate
hedging firms because firstly it is a source of interest rate exposure
and secondly lenders might agree to providing debt finance if firms
commit to hedging the resulting interest rate exposure.
Since foreign currency hedging firms include interest rate hedgers
these results might in part be driven by interest rate hedgers. The
Bartram et al. analysis suffers from this problem since they include all
FC derivative users, which incorporates firms that use both interest
rate and FC derivative users. The empirical tests in this section
control for this by investigating the value effects for firms that only
hedge foreign currency exposure. We firstly exclude "other"
hedging firms from the non-foreign currency hedging sample. We then
re-run the regression excluding interest rate hedgers and or commodity
price hedgers from the FC hedging sample leaving a sample of firms that
only hedge FC exposure. The result in column 5 of table 4 shows that the
predicted probability of foreign currency only hedging is a significant
factor in determining leverage. The estimated coefficient from a
second-stage leverage regression suggests that foreign currency only
hedging is associated with a 0.1388 increase in the leverage ratio,
which generates a mean estimated increase in firm value of 0.78 percent.
As expected the value effect for FC only hedgers is lower than that
observed previously for all FC hedgers (which include interest rate
hedging firms). An important implication of this result is that it shows
that the observed link between leverage and foreign currency hedging and
therefore the resulting value effect is not driven by the inclusion of
foreign currency hedging firms that also hedge interest rate exposure.
This demonstrates empirically, to our knowledge for the first time, an
unequivocal link between firm leverage, firm value and the foreign
currency hedging decision. (6)
C. The Debt Capacity Benefits of Interest Rate Hedging
There is much anecdotal evidence which suggests that banks and
other lending institutions will provide external debt funding on the
understanding that borrowing parties commit to hedging existing or any
resulting interest rate exposure. These hedging requirements might be
set out in a loan covenant. This implies that there is a clear link
between IR hedging and a firm's ability to raise debt capital.
Given this link, we believe it follows that there should be a stronger
relationship between interest rate hedging and debt capacity than that
observed between FC hedging and debt capacity. This will manifest itself
in the form of greater debt capacity benefits from interest rate hedging
than foreign currency hedging. The results in table 4 show this to be
the case. Firstly, for IR hedging we find that the estimated coefficient
on the IR hedging variable in the second stage leverage equation is
positive and highly significant with or without other hedgers (mainly FC
hedgers) in the non-IR hedging sample. To facilitate comparisons with
the FC hedging results we report the IR hedging results with other
hedgers excluded from the non-IR hedging sample. Column 6 shows that the
mean debt capacity benefits generated by IR hedging amount to 3.99
percent of the market value of assets, which is three times that
achieved by FC hedging (1.29 percent). When we restrict IR hedging to
firms that use IR derivatives (column 7) our results show that the
average debt capacity benefit goes up to 5.98 percent. This suggests
that IR derivatives hedging generates more debt capacity than
non-derivatives IR hedging, which is consistent with our earlier
findings using Tobin's Q.
The results in columns 6 and 7 suggest that IR hedging confers
greater debt capacity benefits than FC hedging. An interesting question
is by how much. One way to look at this is to compare the benefits
generated by FC only hedging with those generated by firms that hedge
both FC and IR. Column 8 reports the results for the latter. These
results indicate that a combination of FC and IR hedging generates more
than double the debt interest tax shield benefits than that generated by
FC hedging alone (1.87 percent versus 0.78 percent). However, since the
samples of IR hedgers in these tests are also FC hedgers it is not
possible to discern from this the extent to which IR hedging generates
more debt capacity. We investigate this by estimating the value effects
of IR only hedging. Column 9 of table 4 presents the results for IR only
hedgers. The results show that, as expected, the debt capacity benefits
of IR hedging are greater than those generated by FC only hedging
(column 6). Our analysis indicates that the value effects due to IR
hedging are six times greater than those generated by FC hedging.
V. CONCLUSION
In this study we employ UK data to quantify the effects of FC and
IR hedging on firm value. We find that both FC and IR hedging are
significant explanatory variables for firm value creation when measured
as Tobin's Q and when measured as a tax shield through increased
debt capacity. Their effects are also larger than those reported in
previous studies examining US firms. We show that controlling for
"other" hedgers in the samples of non-hedgers makes the value
creation effect both larger and more significant. When we control for
the cross effects of FC and IR hedging on debt capacity by using samples
of FC only hedgers and IR only hedgers, our results show that firms that
only hedge FC generate significant positive debt capacity and hence
value effects, but that IR hedging creates substantially more firm value
from debt capacity (over 6 times as much) than FC hedging. Where
Tobin's Q is concerned, FC only hedging generates similar value
effects to that of FC hedgers who might also be IR hedgers while in the
IR only hedgers specification the coefficient is not significant.
When we compare hedging techniques, we find that derivative only
hedging is generally superior to other types of hedging. Although in the
debt capacity tests we find that all FC hedging created more value than
FC derivative hedging, IR derivative hedging created more value than all
IR hedging. In the Tobin's Q analysis restricting hedgers to
derivative users generated larger coefficients for both IR and FC
hedging (after excluding other hedgers) than when the more inclusive
definitions of hedging were employed. This suggests that derivatives
hedging is more value enhancing than other hedging methods.
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ENDNOTES
(1.) Kim et al. (2006) find that financial hedging adds 5.4% to
firm value on average and operational hedging increase firm value in the
range of 4.8-23.5%.
(2.) Carter et al. (2005) find that jet fuel hedging by airlines
increases value in the range of 12-16%.
(3.) Loan providers might insist that firms put in place interest
rate hedges as part of their loan agreements; in effect the loan will
only be made available if the firm agrees to hedge the resulting
interest rate exposure.
(4.) For example, Allayannis and Ofek (2001) report that 44% of US
firms use FC derivatives and Howton and Perfect (1998) find that 45% of
US firms use IR derivatives.
(5.) The steeper the yield curve the more attractive floating
interest rates become relative to long-term fixed rates. The slope of
the yield curve might also pick up expectations of a recession.
(6.) In unreported analysis we ran the regressions including
"other" hedgers in the non-hedging sample. The results showed
that the hedging coefficient in the second stage leverage regression was
no longer significant.
Yacine Belghitar (a), Ephraim Clark (b), and Amrit Judge (c)
(a) Accounting and Finance Group, Middlesex University, London NW4
4BT, UK y.belghitar@mdx.ac.uk
(b) Accounting and Finance Group, Middlesex University and GERME
Esc Lille, London NW4 4BT, UK e.clark@mdx.ac.uk
(c) Economics Group, Middlesex University, London NW4 4BT, UK
a.judge@mdx.ac.uk
APPENDIX
Variable definitions
This table presents the definitions of variables employed for the
analysis of hedging value for UK non-financial firms. It provides
the variable's definition and the source of data for the variable.
All variables are computed as three-year averages up to one year
prior to the 1995 year -end, unless stated otherwise.
Variable Variable Description (Source)
Total assets Book value of total assets less current
liabilities. (Datastream)
Market value Share price multiplied by the number of ordinary
of equity shares in issue. (Datasteam)
Tobin's Q Book value of total assets minus the book value of
equity plus the market value of equity divided by
the book value of total assets. (Datastream)
Leverage Book value of total debt and preference capital as
a proportion of the book value of total debt plus
the market value of equity. (Datastream)
Dividend yield Gross dividend divided by share price. (Datastream)
Foreign sales Foreign sales by destination divided by total sales
ratio for the year ended 1994. (Annual report)
Industry Industry diversification dummy takes on the value
diversification of one if the firm operates in more than one
dummy business segment. (Annual report)
Research and Research and development expenditure divided by
development total sales. (R&D Scoreboard compiled by Company
expenditure Reporting Ltd.)
Return on Pre-tax profit plus total interest charges divided
capital by total capital employed plus borrowings repayable
employed within 1 year less total intangibles. (Datastream)
Tax loss carry A dummy variable equal to 1 if the firm has tax
forwards loss carry forwards for the year ended 1995.
(Annual report)
Interest cover Profit before interest and tax divided by interest
ratio payments. (Datastream)
Cash ratio Total cash and cash equivalents divided by total
current liabilities. (Datastream)
Average tax rate Published tax divided by published pre-tax profit.
(Datastream)
Market-to-book The market value of equity divided by book value of
value ratio equity, where the book value of equity is measured
as equity capital and reserves (excluding
preference capital) less goodwill and other
intangibles. (Datastream)
Asset tangibility Total assets minus current assets divided by total
assets. (Datastream)
Table 1
Foreign currency (FC), interest rate (IR) and commodity price
(CP) hedging activity disclosures by UK firms
Foreign Interest
Currency Rate
Panel A: FC (IR) Hedging Activity No. % No. %
Hedging FC (IR) exposure 290 70.4 183 44.4
Not hedging FC (IR) exposure 6 1.5 9 2.2
No disclosure on FC (IR) hedging 116 28.1 220 53.4
Total 412 100.0 412 100.0
Panel B: FC (IR) Hedgers Hedging No. % No. %
Other Exposures
FC (IR) hedging only 128 44.1 28 15.3
FC & IR hedging 137 47.2 137 74.9
FC & CP hedging 7 2.4 0 0.0
FC & IR & CP hedging 18 6.2 18 9.8
Total 290 100.0 183 100.0
Panel C: FC (IR) Non-Hedgers No. % No. %
Hedging Other Exposures
Not hedging any category of 91 74.5 91 39.7
exposure
IR hedging 28 23.0 0 0.0
FC hedging 0 0.0 128 55.9
FC (IR) & CP hedging 0 0.0 7 3.1
CP hedging 3 2.5 3 1.3
Total 122 100.0 229 100.0
0.0
Panel D: Firms Using Derivatives No. % No. %
For Hedging
FC (IR) derivatives 215 52.2 162 39.3
FC (IR) non-derivative user 197 47.8 250 60.7
Total 412 100.0 412 100.0
Panel E: FC (IR) Non-Derivative No. % No. %
Users
Not hedging any category of 91 46.2 91 36.4
exposure
IR hedging 28 14.2 21 8.4
FC hedging 75 38.1 128 51.2
FC (IR) & CP hedging 0 0.0 7 2.8
CP hedging 3 1.5 3 1.2
Total 197 100.0 250 100.0
Table 1 presents data on the number of FC (IR) hedgers amongst the
sample of 412 firms. Panel A provides data on the number of FC (IR)
hedging firms. A firm is defined as a FC (IR) hedger if it provides
a qualitative disclosure of any FC (IR) hedging activity in its annual
report. Panel B presents data on combinations of exposures hedged by FC
(IR) hedgers. Panel C gives details of other exposures hedged by firms
not hedging FC (IR) exposure. Panel D provides details of the use of FC
(IR) derivatives for FC (IR) hedging and panel E presents a breakdown
of the constituents of FC (IR) non-derivative users.
Table 2
Variables--summary statistics
Variables N Mean Median Std. Dev.
Total assets (millions) 400 1010.26 244.36 2592.05
Market value of equity (millions) 400 1582.01 423.58 3520.61
Tobin's Q 356 2.45 1.89 1.99
Leverage 364 0.19 0.15 0.15
Dividend yield (%) 366 3.58 3.52 1.63
Foreign sales ratio (%) 412 34.85 28.65 32.01
Industry diversification dummy 412 0.28 0.00 0.45
R&D ratio (%) 412 0.80 0.00 1.74
Return on capital employed (%) 347 15.22 12.04 19.65
Tax loss carry forwards dummy 412 0.36 0.00 0.48
Interest cover 400 16.88 6.89 26.40
Cash ratio 400 0.48 0.31 0.67
Average tax rate 370 0.32 0.33 0.11
Market-to-book ratio 365 4.16 2.36 11.08
Asset tangibility 340 0.485 0.463 0.222
Variables Min Max
Total assets (millions) 11.33 28741.20
Market value of equity (millions) 64.70 31658.63
Tobin's Q 0.42 17.81
Leverage 0.00 0.85
Dividend yield (%) 0.00 8.65
Foreign sales ratio (%) 0.00 96.00
Industry diversification dummy 0.00 1.00
R&D ratio (%) 0.00 10.00
Return on capital employed (%) -42.21 228.94
Tax loss carry forwards dummy 0.00 1.00
Interest cover -20.63 100.00
Cash ratio 0.00 6.88
Average tax rate -0.53 1.21
Market-to-book ratio -9.45 164.33
Asset tangibility 0.010 0.980
Table 2 provides summary information for the variables used
in the analysis. Total assets are the book value of total assets
less current liabilities. Market value of equity is the share price
multiplied by the number of ordinary shares in issue. Tobin's Q is
the book value of total assets minus the book value of equity plus
the market value of equity divided by the book value of total assets.
Leverage is the book value of total debt and preference capital as a
proportion of the book value of total debt plus the market value of
equity. Dividend yield is the gross dividend divided by share price.
Foreign sales ratio is the foreign sales by destination divided by
total sales. Industry diversification dummy takes on the value of
one if the firm operates in more than one business segment. R&D ratio
is research and development expenditure divided by total sales. Return
on capital employed is the pre-tax profit plus total interest charges
divided by total capital employed plus borrowings repayable within 1
year less total intangibles. Tax loss carry forwards is a dummy
variable equal to 1 if the firm has tax loss carry forwards. Interest
cover ratio is the profit before interest and tax divided by interest
payments. Cash ratio is total cash and cash equivalents divided by
total current liabilities. Average tax rate is the firms published tax
divided by published pre-tax profit. Market-to-book value ratio is the
market value of equity divided by book value of equity, where the book
value of equity is measured as equity capital and reserves (excluding
preference capital) less goodwill and other intangibles. Asset
tangibility is total assets minus current assets divided by total
assets.
Table 3
Multivariate analysis of value effects of foreign currency
and interest rate hedging
Independent FC Hedging
Variables Model 1 Model 2 Model 3
FC derivative hedging 0.085 ** 0.147 **
(0.043) (0.064)
All FC hedging 0.131 **
(0.054)
IR derivative hedging
All IR hedging
Log of total assets -0.087 *** -0.086 *** -0.104 ***
(0.019) -0.018 -0.021
Leverage -1.410 *** -1.447 *** -1.402 ***
(0.183) -0.187 (0.248)
ROCE 0.008 *** 0.008 *** 0.007 **
-0.003 -0.003 -0.003
Dividend yield -0.053 *** -0.057 *** -0.069 ***
(0.013) (0.013) (0.016)
Foreign sales ratio 0.001 0.001 0.001
(0.008) (0.001) (0.001)
R&D ratio 0.028 * 0.031 * 0.030 *
(0.017) (0.017) (0.018)
Diversification dummy 0.024 0.020 0.051
(0.042) (0.043) (0.051)
No. of observations 336 336 259
F-statistic 52.21 55.40 40.51
Adj [R.sup.2] 0.5764 0.5800 0.5718
Independent IR Hedging
Variables Model 6 Model 7 Model 8
IR derivative hedging 0.122 *** 0.186 **
All IR hedging -0.042 (0.072)
Log of total assets 0.114 ***
(0.043)
Leverage -0.098 *** -0.097 *** -0.115 ***
(0.00) -0.02 (0.024)
ROCE -1.511 *** -1.505 *** -1.597 ***
(0.00) (0.189) (0.242)
Dividend yield 0.008 ** 0.008 ** 0.006 *
-0.003 -0.003 (0.003)
Foreign sales ratio -0.053 *** -0.054 *** -0.062 ***
(0.00) (0.013) (0.018)
R&D ratio 0.002 ** 0.002 ** 0.002 **
(0.00) (0.001) (0.001)
Diversification dummy 0.029 * 0.028 * 0.036 *
(0.00) (0.017) (0.021)
No. of observations 0.023 0.021 0.022
F-statistic (0.00) (0.042) (0.063)
Adj [R.sup.2]
Independent FC Hedging
Variables Model 4 Model 5
FC derivative hedging
All FC hedging 0.132 ** 0.153 **
(0.063) (0.070)
IR derivative hedging
All IR hedging
Log of total assets -0.086 *** -0.151 ***
(0.019) (0.031)
Leverage -1.535 *** -1.749 ***
(0.216) (0.354)
ROCE 0.008 *** 0.008 **
(0.003) (0.003)
Dividend yield -0.056 *** -0.043 **
(0.014) (0.020)
Foreign sales ratio 0.001 -0.002
(0.001) (0.001)
R&D ratio 0.030 * 0.044 *
(0.017) (0.024)
Diversification dummy 0.030 0.064
(0.044) (0.070)
No. of observations 318 176
F-statistic 51.24 24.57
Adj [R.sup.2] 0.5678 0.5420
Independent IR Hedging
Variables Model 9 Model 10
IR derivative hedging
All IR hedging
Log of total assets 0.156 ** -0.024
(0.069) (0.106)
Leverage -0.109 *** -0.226 ***
-0.023 (0.051)
ROCE -1.500 *** -1.193 ***
(0.220) (0.307)
Dividend yield 0.006 * 0.004
(0.003) (0.003)
Foreign sales ratio -0.067 ** -0.082 ***
(0.016) (0.030)
R&D ratio 0.002 ** 0.004
(0.001) (0.003)
Diversification dummy 0.035 * 0.072 **
(0.021) (0.032)
No. of observations 0.019 0.076
F-statistic (0.059) (0.132)
Adj [R.sup.2]
***, **, denote significance at the 1%, 5%, and 10% levels,
respectively.
Table 3 presents the results for OLS regressions on the effect of
FC (IR) hedging on a firm's market value. The dependent variable is
the natural log of Tobin's Q, which is measured as the natural log
of the book value of assets minus the book value of equity plus the
market value of equity divided by the book value of assets. The
numerator approximates the market value of the firm and the
denominator approximates the replacement cost of assets.
The regressions include
control variables for size, leverage, profitability, dividend yield,
foreign sales, R&D expenditure and industry diversification. Log of
total assets is the natural log of book value of total assets less
current liabilities. Leverage is the book value of total debt and
preference capital as a proportion of the book value of total debt plus
the market value of equity. Return on capital employed (ROCE) is the
pre-tax profit plus total interest charges divided by total capital
employed plus borrowings repayable within 1 year less total
intangibles. Dividend yield is the gross dividend divided by share
price. Foreign sales ratio is the foreign sales by destination divided
by total sales. R&D ratio is research and development expenditure
divided by total sales. Industry diversification dummy takes on the
value of one if the firm operates in more than one business segment.
White (1980) corrected standard errors are reported in parentheses.
Table 4
Quantifying the debt tax benefit of foreign currency and interest
rate hedging
#1 #2 #3 #4 #5
Estimated 0.049 0.186 -0.092 0.094 0.139
coefficient on FC (0.11) (0.000) (0.00) (0.00) (0.00)
(IR) hedging in
2nd stage
leverage regression
Mean 1.294% 0.630% 0.778%
Median 1.046% 0.497% 0.628%
Std. Dev. 1.053% 0.555% 0.726%
99th percentile 5.510% 2.946% 4.097%
95th percentile 3.103% 1.547% 1.730%
90th percentile 2.327% 1.142% 1.596%
75th percentile 1.636% 0.785% 0.975%
25th percentile 0.608% 0.293% 0.363%
10th percentile 0.269% 0.129% 0.122%
5th percentile 0.164% 0.078% 0.076%
1st percentile 0.080% 0.031% 0.047%
Number of observations 319 260 176
Number of hedgers 254 190 107
Adj R-Sq 0.3837 0.3694 0.3597
#6 #7 #8 #9
Estimated 0.507 0.747 0.237 0.629
coefficient on FC (0.00) (0.00) (0.00) (0.00)
(IR) hedging in
2nd stage
leverage regression
Mean 3.998% 5.985% 1.867% 5.089%
Median 3.494% 5.285% 1.575% 5.188%
Std. Dev. 2.771% 4.035% 1.360% 2.930%
99th percentile 14.186% 20.914% 6.622% 10.446%
95th percentile 8.392% 12.332% 4.353% 10.446%
90th percentile 7.097% 10.502% 3.299% 8.958%
75th percentile 5.073% 7.807% 2.199% 7.471%
25th percentile 2.166% 3.267% 0.099% 2.811%
10th percentile 1.449% 2.171% 0.688% 0.671%
5th percentile 0.695% 1.025% 0.328% 0.553%
1st percentile 0.422% 0.622% 0.197% 0.553%
Number of observations 227 212 215 91
Number of hedgers 160 144 147 19
Adj R-Sq 0.5231 0.5586 0.4158 0.8734
#1: All FC Hedgers (NH include other hedgers)
#2: All FC Hedgers (NH exclude other hedgers)
#3: FC Derivative users (NH include other hedgers)
#4: FC Derivative users (NH exclude other hedgers)
#5: FC Only Hedgers (NH exclude other hedgers)
#6: All IR Hedgers (NH exclude other hedgers)
#7: IR Derivative users (NH exclude other hedgers)
#8: FC & IR Hedgers (NH exclude other hedgers)
#9: IR Only Hedgers (NH exclude other hedgers)
Table 4 summarises the contribution of the debt tax benefit
associated with FC (IR) hedging to a firm's market value. The
value estimates are calculated for each firm that hedges FC (IR)
exposure by taking the product of the estimated influence of the
FC (IR) hedging on the leverage ratio (i.e., the estimated
coefficient on the FC (IR) variable in the second-stage leverage
regression), the firm's average tax rate, and the value of total
debt. This value is divided by the market value of equity (including
preferred stock) plus the book value of debt. Since average tax rates
are most likely lower than marginal tax rates these calculations may
understate the increase in the value of the firm due to FC (IR)
hedging.