GDP and the economy: second estimates for the third quarter of 2012.
Smith, Shelly
Table 1. Real Gross Domestic Product and Components [Seasonally adjusted at annual rates] Share of current- Change from dollar preceding period GDP (percent) (percent) 2012 2011 2012 III IV I 11 III Gross domestic product (1) 100.0 4.1 2.0 1.3 2.7 Personal consumption expenditures 70.6 2.0 2.4 1.5 1.4 Goods 24.0 5.4 4.7 0.3 3.5 Durable goods 7.7 13.9 11.5 -0.2 8.7 Nondurable goods 16.3 1.8 1.6 0.6 1.1 Services 46.6 0.3 1.3 2.1 0.3 Gross private domestic investment 13.2 33.9 6.1 0.7 6.7 Fixed investment 12.6 10.0 9.8 4.5 0.7 Nonresidential 10.2 9.5 7.5 3.6 -2.2 Structures 2.9 11.5 12.9 0.6 -1.1 Equipment and software 7.3 8.8 5.4 4.8 -2.7 Residential 2.5 12.1 20.5 8.5 14.2 Change in private inventories 0.5 ... ... ... ... Net exports of goods and services -3.3 ... ... ... ... Exports 13.9 1.4 4.4 5.3 1.1 Goods 9.8 6.0 4.0 7.0 0.2 Services 4.1 -8.8 5.2 1.1 3.2 Imports 17.2 4.9 3.1 2.8 0.1 Goods 14.3 6.3 2.0 2.9 -1.0 Services 2.9 -1.7 9.0 2.3 5.9 Government consumption expenditures and gross investment 19.6 -2.2 -3.0 -0.7 3.5 Federal 7.9 -4.4 -4.2 -0.2 9.5 National defense 5.3 -10.6 -7.1 -0.2 12.9 Nondefense 2.6 10.2 1.8 -0.4 3.0 State and local 11.7 -0.7 -2.2 -1.0 -0.4 Contribution to percent change in real GDP (percentage points) 2011 2012 IV I II III Gross domestic product (1) 4.10 2.00 1.30 2.70 Personal consumption expenditures 1.45 1.72 1.06 0.99 Goods 1.29 1.11 0.08 0.83 Durable goods 1.00 0.85 -0.02 0.64 Nondurable goods 0.29 0.26 0.10 0.18 Services 0.16 0.61 0.99 0.16 Gross private domestic investment 3.72 0.78 0.09 0.86 Fixed investment 1.19 1.18 0.56 0.10 Nonresidential 0.93 0.74 0.36 -0.23 Structures 0.31 0.35 0.02 -0.03 Equipment and software 0.62 0.39 0.35 -0.20 Residential 0.26 0.43 0.19 0.32 Change in private inventories 2.53 -0.39 -0.46 0.77 Net exports of goods and services -0.64 0.06 0.23 0.14 Exports 0.21 0.60 0.72 0.16 Goods 0.58 0.39 0.67 0.03 Services -0.38 0.21 0.05 0.13 Imports -0.85 -0.54 -0.49 -0.02 Goods -0.90 -0.29 -0.42 0.15 Services 0.05 -0.25 -0.07 -0.17 Government consumption expenditures and gross investment -0.43 -0.60 -0.14 0.67 Federal -0.35 -0.34 -0.02 0.71 National defense -0.60 -0.39 -0.01 0.64 Nondefense 0.25 0.05 -0.01 0.08 State and local -0.08 -0.26 -0.12 -0.04 (1.) The estimates under the contribution columns are also percent changes. NOTE. Percent changes are from NIPA table 1.1.1, contributions are from NIPA table 1.1.2, and shares are from NIPA table 1.1.10. Table 2. Real Gross Domestic Product (GDP) and Related Measures [Seasonally adjusted at annual rates] Share of current- dollar Change from GDP preceding period (percent) (percent) 2012 2011 2012 III IV I II III Gross domestic product (1) 100.0 4.1 2.0 1.3 2.7 Final sales of domestic product 99.5 1.5 2.4 1.7 1.9 Change in private inventories 0.5 ... ... ... ... Goods 28.7 16.1 3.9 1.3 5.8 Services 64.3 -1.0 0.6 1.2 1.4 Structures 7.0 7.2 7.4 1.7 2.3 Addenda: Motor vehicle output 2.7 24.0 30.9 7.3 -8.4 GDP excluding motor vehicle output 97.3 3.6 1.3 1.1 3.0 Final sales of computers 0.4 31.1 4.5 -19.9 31.7 GDP excluding final sales of computers 99.6 4.0 1.9 1.4 2.6 Gross domestic income (GDI) (2) ... 4.5 3.8 -0.7 1.7 Contribution to percent change in real GDP (percentage points) 2011 2012 IV I II III Gross domestic product (1) 4.1 2.0 1.3 2.7 Final sales of domestic product 1.56 2.35 1.71 1.90 Change in private inventories 2.53 -0.39 -0.46 0.77 Goods 4.23 1.09 0.38 1.62 Services -0.62 0.38 0.76 0.89 Structures 0.49 0.50 0.12 0.16 Addenda: Motor vehicle output 0.55 0.72 0.20 -0.24 GDP excluding motor vehicle output 3.54 1.23 1.06 2.91 Final sales of computers 0.12 0.02 -0.10 0.12 GDP excluding final sales of computers 3.97 1.94 1.35 2.55 Gross domestic income (GDI) (2) ... ... ... ... (1.) The estimates under the contribution columns are also percent changes. (2.) GDI is deflated by the implicit price deflator for GDP The third-quarter change reflects the incorporation of revised wage and salary estimates for the third quarter of 2012. NOTE. For GDP and its components, percent changes are from NIPA table 1.2.1, contributions are from NIPA table 1.2.2, and shares are calculated from NIPA table 1.2.5. For GDI, percent changes are from NIPA table 1.7.1. Table 3. Real Personal Consumption Expenditures (PCE) [Seasonally adjusted at annual rates] Share of current- dollar Change from PCE preceding period (percent) (percent) 2012 2011 2012 III IV I II III PCE (1) 100.0 2.0 2.4 1.5 1.4 Goods 34.0 5.4 4.7 0.3 3.5 Durable goods 10.9 13.9 11.5 -0.2 8.7 Motor vehicles and parts 3.6 28.6 13.0 -9.8 10.3 Furnishings and durable household equipment 2.4 9.8 8.6 -0.7 5.9 Recreational goods and vehicles 3.2 11.8 13.1 7.2 11.3 Other durable goods 1.7 -3.6 9.8 8.6 4.6 Nondurable goods 23.1 1.8 1.6 0.6 1.1 Food and beverages for off-premises consumption 7.4 0.3 0.0 -0.5 0.8 Clothing and footwear 3.3 3.4 5.9 -4.9 5.4 Gasoline and other energy goods 4.0 0.5 -2.5 8.5 -3.8 Other nondurable goods 8.4 3.1 3.5 0.3 2.1 Services 66.0 0.3 1.3 2.1 0.3 Household consumption expenditures 63.2 0.5 1.4 1.5 -0.1 Housing and utilities 17.8 -3.4 -2.2 5.5 1.3 Health care 16.2 3.7 3.7 -1.3 -1.5 Transportation services 2.8 -1.1 1.6 2.9 0.4 Recreation services 3.7 0.6 -0.6 2.9 4.6 Food services and accommodations 6.4 4.7 4.8 1.1 1.1 Financial services and insurance 7.4 -2.0 3.8 -0.1 -4.9 Other services 8.8 3.0 1.1 -0.1 0.8 Final consumption expendi- tures of NPISHs (2) 2.8 -4.9 -1.2 16.3 10.8 Gross output of NPISHs (3) 10.9 3.1 4.1 0.6 0.4 Less: Receipts from sales of goods and services by NPISHs (4) 8.1 6.0 5.9 -4.1 -2.9 Contribution to percent change in real PCE (percentage points) 2011 2012 IV I II III PCE (1) 2.0 2.4 1.5 1.4 Goods 1.81 1.57 0.11 1.17 Durable goods 1.40 1.20 -0.02 0.91 Motor vehicles and parts 0.88 0.45 -0.37 0.35 Furnishings and durable household equipment 0.22 0.20 -0.02 0.14 Recreational goods and vehicles 0.35 0.39 0.22 0.34 Other durable goods -0.06 0.16 0.14 0.08 Nondurable goods 0.41 0.38 0.14 0.26 Food and beverages for off-premises consumption 0.02 0.00 -0.04 0.06 Clothing and footwear 0.11 0.19 -0.17 0.17 Gasoline and other energy goods 0.02 -0.1 0.32 -0.15 Other nondurable goods 0.26 0.29 0.02 0.18 Services 0.22 0.87 1.39 0.23 Household consumption expenditures 0.36 0.90 0.98 -0.05 Housing and utilities -0.63 -0.39 0.95 0.24 Health care 0.59 0.59 -0.21 -0.25 Transportation services -0.03 0.04 0.08 0.01 Recreation services 0.02 -0.02 0.10 0.17 Food services and accommodations 0.29 0.30 0.07 0.07 Financial services and insurance -0.15 0.28 -0.01 -0.37 Other services 0.26 0.10 -0.01 0.07 Final consumption expendi- tures of NPISHs (2) -0.14 -0.03 0.41 0.29 Gross output of NPISHs (3) 0.34 0.44 0.07 0.04 Less: Receipts from sales of goods and services by NPISHs (4) 0.47 0.47 -0.34 -0.24 (1.) The estimates under the contribution columns are also percent changes. (2.) Gross operating expenses less primary sales to households. (3.) Net of unrelated sales, secondary sales, and sales to business, to government, and to the rest of the world; excludes own-account investment (construction and software). (4.) Excludes unrelated sales, secondary sales, and sales to business, to government, and to the rest of the world; includes membership dues and fees. NOTE. Percent changes are from NIPA table 2.3.1, and contributions, from NIPA table 2.3.2; shares are calculated from NIPA table 2.3.5. NPISHs Nonprofit institutions serving households Table 4. Real Private Fixed Investment (PFI) [Seasonally adjusted at annual rates] Share of current- Change from dollar preceding period PFI (percent) (percent) 2012 2011 2012 III IV I II III Private fixed investment (1) 100.0 10.0 9.8 4.5 0.7 Nonresidential 80.6 9.5 7.5 3.6 -2.2 Structures 23.0 11.5 12.9 0.6 -1.1 Commercial and health care 5.1 -5.0 11.1 10.3 5.8 Manufacturing 2.6 21.8 -7.8 26.2 -16.0 Power and communication 4.6 9.3 94.3 -19.5 -8.1 Mining exploration, shafts, and wells 7.5 21.5 -8.4 -4.1 3.7 Other structures (2) 3.2 10.4 3.0 13.5 1.2 Equipment and software 57.6 8.8 5.4 4.8 -2.7 Information processing equipment and software 27.4 6.7 5.9 -2.4 -2.8 Computers and peripheral equipment 3.6 11.2 14.7 -19.6 -31.9 Software (3) 14.7 8.7 1.9 6.1 2.6 Other (4) 9.1 1.7 8.5 -6.9 3.2 Industrial equipment 9.9 21.4 -13.6 13.6 0.1 Transportation equipment 9.7 31.0 20.0 15.8 -16.3 Other equipment (5) 10.6 -12.7 11.8 6.9 9.8 Residential 19.4 12.1 20.5 8.5 14.2 Structures 19.0 12.3 21.2 8.8 14.4 Permanent site 7.7 8.5 30.9 25.4 31.8 Single family 6.6 8.8 26.9 17.6 31.1 Multifamily 1.1 5.9 61.7 87.9 36.1 Other structures (6) 11.2 14.6 15.6 -0.6 4.1 Equipment 0.5 7.1 -1.6 -2.5 7.3 Contribution to percent change in real PFI (percentage points) 2011 2012 IV I II III Private fixed investment (1) 10.0 9.8 4.5 0.7 Nonresidential 7.84 6.25 2.92 -1.82 Structures 2.57 2.93 0.14 -0.25 Commercial and health care -0.25 0.54 0.49 0.29 Manufacturing 0.54 -0.21 0.62 -0.46 Power and communication 0.40 3.16 -1.05 -0.39 Mining exploration, shafts, and wells 1.56 -0.67 -0.32 0.28 Other structures (2) 0.32 0.11 0.40 0.04 Equipment and software 5.27 3.32 2.77 -1.57 Information processing equipment and software 1.97 1.69 -0.68 -0.80 Computers and peripheral equipment 0.48 0.60 -0.91 -1.46 Software (3) 1.30 0.29 0.88 0.38 Other (4) 0.19 0.79 -0.66 0.28 Industrial equipment 2.05 -1.45 1.27 0.01 Transportation equipment 2.62 1.91 1.48 -1.76 Other equipment (5) -1.37 1.17 0.70 0.98 Residential 2.15 3.53 1.54 2.54 Structures 2.12 3.54 1.55 2.51 Permanent site 0.56 1.87 1.61 2.06 Single family 0.51 1.44 0.99 1.73 Multifamily 0.05 0.43 0.62 0.33 Other structures (6) 1.56 1.67 -0.06 0.45 Equipment 0.03 -0.01 -0.01 0.03 (1.) The estimates under the contribution columns are also percent changes. (2.) Consists primarily of religious, educational, vocational, lodging, railroads, farm, and amusement and recreational structures, net purchases of used structures, and brokers' commissions on the sale of structures. (3.) Excludes software "embedded;' or bundled, in computers and other equipment. (4.) Includes communication equipment, nonmedical instruments, medical equipment and instruments, photo-copy and related equipment, and office and accounting equipment. (5.) Consists primarily of furniture and fixtures, agricultural machinery, construction machinery, mining and oilfield machinery, service industry machinery, and electrical equipment not elsewhere classified. (6.) Consists primarily of manufactured homes, improvements, dormitories, net purchases of used structures, and brokers' commissions on the sale of residential structures. NOTE. Percent changes are from NIPA table 5.3.1, contributions are from NIPA table 5.3.2, and shares are calculated from NIPA table 5.3.5. Table 5. Change in Real Private Inventories by Industry [Billions of chained (2005) dollars; seasonally adjusted at annual rates] Level 2011 2012 III IV I II 111 Change in private inventories (1) -4.3 70.5 56.9 41.4 61.3 Farm -2.8 -1.6 -2.6 -7.9 -19.4 Mining, utilities, and construction 0.1 7.6 15.7 3.1 -4.8 Manufacturing 2.4 35.5 11.9 -1.8 36.5 Durable-goods industries 16.1 22.4 12.4 14.3 28.8 Nondurable-goods industries -11.4 13.3 0.4 -13.6 8.9 Wholesale trade 2.7 30.2 19.1 13.8 31.7 Durable-goods industries 19.0 15.5 21.5 24.4 21.4 Nondurable-goods industries -12.5 14.1 0.0 -7.0 11.0 Retail trade -5.1 -3.4 21.1 29.4 19.8 Motor vehicle and parts dealers -4.8 -5.0 20.1 21.9 20.5 Food and beverage stores 1.6 0.9 2.4 0.0 -0.2 General merchandise stores -0.7 2.5 -1.0 1.8 -1.3 Other retail stores -1.6 -2.2 0.8 7.0 2.2 Other industries -1.5 1.7 -5.7 10.3 4.9 Residual (2) -5.8 1.3 -7.1 -12.9 -10.7 Addenda: Ratios of private inventories to final sales of domestic business: (3) Private inventories to final sales 2.32 2.32 2.32 2.32 2.33 Nonfarm inventories to final sales 2.12 2.13 2.13 2.14 2.16 Nonfarm inventories to final sales of goods and structures 3.94 3.92 3.90 3.91 3.93 Change from preceding quarter 2011 2012 IV I II III Change in private inventories (1) 74.8 -13.6 -15.5 19.9 Farm 1.2 -1.0 -5.3 -11.5 Mining, utilities, and construction 7.5 8.1 -12.6 -7.9 Manufacturing 33.1 -23.6 -13.7 38.3 Durable-goods industries 6.3 -10.0 1.9 14.5 Nondurable-goods industries 24.7 -12.9 -14.0 22.5 Wholesale trade 27.5 -11.1 -5.3 17.9 Durable-goods industries -3.5 6.0 2.9 -3.0 Nondurable-goods industries 26.6 -14.1 -7.0 18.0 Retail trade 1.7 24.5 8.3 -9.6 Motor vehicle and parts dealers -0.2 25.1 1.8 -1.4 Food and beverage stores -0.7 1.5 -2.4 -0.2 General merchandise stores 3.2 -3.5 2.8 -3.1 Other retail stores -0.6 3.0 6.2 -4.8 Other industries 3.2 -7.4 16.0 -5.4 Residual (2) ... ... ... ... Addenda: Ratios of private inventories to final sales of domestic business: (3) Private inventories to final sales ... ... ... ... Nonfarm inventories to final sales ... ... ... ... Nonfarm inventories to final sales of goods and structures ... ... ... ... (1.) The levels are from NIPA table 5.6.613. (2.) The residual is the difference between the first line and the sum of the most detailed lines. (3.) The ratios are from NIPA table 5.7.66. NOTE. The chained-dollar series are calculated as the period-to-period change in end-of-period inventories. Quarterly changes are stated at annual rates. Because the formula for the chain-type quantity indexes uses weights of more than one period, chained-dollar estimates are usually not additive. Table 6. Real Exports and Imports of Goods and Services [Seasonally adjusted at annual rates] Share of current- dollar exports and Change from imports preceding period (percent) (percent) 2012 2011 2012 III IV I II III Exports of goods and services (1) 100.0 1.4 4.4 5.3 1.1 Exports of goods (2) 70.8 6.0 4.0 7.0 0.2 Foods, feeds, and beverages 6.8 5.8 -10.2 32.1 15.6 Industrial supplies and materials 21.6 13.5 -0.3 9.1 -8.4 Capital goods, except automotive 24.3 4.6 12.5 -0.8 7.5 Automotive vehicles, engines, and parts 6.6 -2.6 24.3 9.3 -10.9 Consumer goods, except automotive 8.3 3.4 -7.0 13.7 -0.5 Other 3.1 -10.7 51.4 -9.1 7.1 Exports of services (2) 29.2 -8.8 5.2 1.1 3.2 Imports of goods and services (1) 100.0 4.9 3.1 2.8 0.1 Imports of goods (2) 83.1 6.3 2.0 2.9 -1.0 Foods, feeds, and beverages 4.1 20.3 -2.9 -5.0 8.2 Industrial supplies and materials, except petroleum and products 10.7 -4.0 12.3 0.3 6.5 Petroleum and products 14.9 2.9 -21.7 -3.0 -4.4 Capital goods, except automotive 20.1 12.9 11.5 7.5 -9.0 Automotive vehicles, engines, and parts 11.2 8.6 36.0 4.3 7.9 Consumer goods, except automotive 19.1 1.7 -7.3 6.2 0.0 Other 3.2 31.8 33.8 1.6 -2.0 Imports of services (2) 16.9 -1.7 9.0 2.3 5.9 Addenda: Exports of agricultural goods (3) 7.4 11.8 -2.5 26.8 15.9 Exports of nonagricultural goods 63.4 5.4 4.7 5.2 -1.4 Imports of nonpetroleum goods 68.3 7.2 9.2 4.4 -0.2 Contribution to percent change in real exports and imports (percentage points) 2011 2012 IV I II III Exports of goods and services (1) 1.4 4.4 5.3 1.1 Exports of goods (2) 4.14 2.89 4.92 0.17 Foods, feeds, and beverages 0.33 -0.62 1.67 0.95 Industrial supplies and materials 2.96 -1.47 2.02 -1.93 Capital goods, except automotive 1.07 2.87 -0.16 1.76 Automotive vehicles, engines, and parts -0.17 1.45 0.62 -0.78 Consumer goods, except automotive 0.28 -0.6 1.08 -0.04 Other -0.33 1.26 -0.3 0.21 Exports of services (2) -2.7 1.49 0.33 0.93 Imports of goods and services (1) 4.90 3.10 2.80 0.10 Imports of goods (2) 5.20 1.68 2.40 -0.84 Foods, feeds, and beverages 0.77 -0.12 -0.21 0.32 Industrial supplies and materials, except petroleum and products -0.44 1.24 0.04 0.67 Petroleum and products 0.50 -4.24 -0.51 -0.69 Capital goods, except automotive 2.39 2.15 1.46 -1.90 Automotive vehicles, engines, and parts 0.83 3.18 0.45 0.83 Consumer goods, except automotive 0.34 -1.43 1.12 0.00 Other 0.81 0.89 0.05 -0.06 Imports of services (2) -0.27 1.41 0.38 0.95 Addenda: Exports of agricultural goods (3) ... ... ... ... Exports of nonagricultural goods ... ... ... ... Imports of nonpetroleum goods ... ... ... ... (1.) The estimates under the contribution columns are also percent changes. (2.) Exports and imports of certain goods, primarily military equipment purchased and sold by the federal government, are included in services. (3.) Includes parts of foods, feeds, and beverages, of nondurable industrial supplies and materials, and of nondurable nonautomotive consumer goods. NOTE. Percent changes are from NIPA table 4.2.1, contributions are from NIPA table 4.2.2, and shares are calculated from NIPA table 4.2.5. Table 7. Real Government Consumption Expenditures and Gross Investment (CEGI) [Seasonally adjusted at annual rates] Share of current- Change from dollar preceding period CEGI (percent) (percent) 2012 2011 2012 III IV I II III Government consumption expenditures and gross investment (1) 100.0 -2.2 0.0 -0.7 3.5 Consumption expenditures 84.7 -2.7 -1.1 -1.2 4.7 Gross investment 15.3 0.6 -12.5 2.3 -2.9 Federal 40.2 -0.4 -4.2 -0.2 9.5 National defense 27.0 -10.6 -7.1 -0.2 12.9 Consumption expenditures 23.6 -13.1 -4.7 -2.1 15.0 Gross investment 3.4 7.4 -21.3 13.8 -0.3 Nondefense 13.2 10.2 1.8 -0.4 3.0 Consumption expenditures 11.6 12.9 3.6 -0.2 3.9 Gross investment 1.6 -0.7 -10.0 -1.3 -4.0 State and local 59.8 -0.7 -2.2 -1.0 -0.4 Consumption expenditures 49.6 -0.8 -0.5 -1.1 0.3 Gross investment 10.2 -0.4 -9.8 -0.7 -3.5 Contribution to percent change in real CEGI (percentage points) 2011 2012 IV I II III Government consumption expenditures and gross investment (1) -2.2 0.0 -0.7 3.5 Consumption expenditures -2.29 -0.95 -1.04 3.91 Gross investment 0.10 -2.05 0.35 -0.43 Federal -1.76 -1.69 -0.09 3.68 National defense -3.00 -1.92 -0.04 3.29 Consumption expenditures -3.26 -1.10 -0.48 3.29 Gross investment 0.26 -0.82 0.44 0.00 Nondefense 1.24 0.23 -0.05 0.39 Consumption expenditures 1.35 0.40 -0.03 0.45 Gross investment -0.12 -0.17 -0.02 -0.06 State and local -0.42 -1.31 -0.60 -0.20 Consumption expenditures -0.38 -0.25 -0.53 0.17 Gross investment -0.04 -1.06 -0.08 -0.37 (1.) The estimates under the contribution columns are also percent changes. NOTE. Percent changes are from NIPA table 3.9.1, contributions from NIPA table 3.9.2, and shares are calculated from NIPA table 3.9.5. Table 8. Prices for Gross Domestic Purchases [Percent change at annual rates; based on seasonally adjusted index numbers (2005=100)] Change from preceding period (percent) 2011 2012 IV I II III Gross domestic purchases (1) 0.9 2.5 0.7 1.4 Personal consumption expenditures 1.1 2.5 0.7 1.6 Goods -0.2 2.5 -1.8 1.9 Durable goods -2.5 -1.0 -1.2 -2.3 Nondurable goods 0.8 4.2 -2.2 3.9 Services 1.7 2.5 2.0 1.4 Gross private domestic investment 1.2 1.0 1.3 0.5 Fixed investment 1.4 1.2 1.2 1.2 Nonresidential 1.5 1.8 1.2 0.8 Structures 4.5 2.7 3.2 1.0 Equipment and software 0.4 1.4 0.4 0.7 Residential 0.6 -1.4 1.2 2.9 Change in private inventories ... ... ... ... Government consumption expenditures and gross investment 0.0 3.6 0.6 1.3 Federal -0.9 3.2 1.2 0.9 National defense -0.9 4.2 0.9 0.9 Nondefense -0.8 1.2 2.0 1.0 State and local 0.6 3.8 0.1 1.6 Addenda: Gross domestic purchases: Food 3.4 1.2 0.7 -0.6 Energy goods and services -5.2 7.6 -13.1 10.3 Excluding food and energy 1.0 2.4 1.4 1.1 Personal consumption expenditures (PCE): Food and beverages for off-premises consumption 3.3 1.3 0.7 0.6 Energy goods and services -5.0 8.1 -13.6 10.5 Excluding food and energy 1.3 2.2 1.7 1.1 Gross domestic product (GDP) 0.4 2.0 1.6 2.7 Exports -3.8 2.8 0.5 0.5 Imports 0.0 5.6 -3.9 -6.5 Contribution to percent change in gross domestic purchases price (percentage points) 2011 2012 IV I II III Gross domestic purchases (1) 0.9 2.5 0.7 1.4 Personal consumption expenditures 0.71 1.70 0.47 1.09 Goods -0.06 0.59 -0.43 0.44 Durable goods -0.19 -0.07 -0.09 -0.18 Nondurable goods 0.13 0.66 -0.34 0.61 Services 0.77 1.11 0.90 0.65 Gross private domestic investment 0.16 0.13 0.17 0.06 Fixed investment 0.16 0.14 0.14 0.14 Nonresidential 0.15 0.17 0.12 0.08 Structures 0.12 0.08 0.09 0.03 Equipment and software 0.03 0.10 0.03 0.05 Residential 0.01 -0.03 0.03 0.07 Change in private inventories 0.00 -0.01 0.02 -0.08 Government consumption expenditures and gross investment 0.00 0.68 0.11 0.25 Federal -0.07 0.24 0.09 0.07 National defense -0.05 0.21 0.04 0.04 Nondefense -0.02 0.03 0.05 0.02 State and local 0.07 0.44 0.02 0.19 Addenda: Gross domestic purchases: Food 0.18 0.07 0.03 -0.03 Energy goods and services -0.22 0.31 -0.55 0.39 Excluding food and energy 0.91 2.14 1.26 1.04 Personal consumption expenditures (PCE): Food and beverages for off-premises consumption ... ... ... ... Energy goods and services ... ... ... ... Excluding food and energy ... ... ... ... Gross domestic product (GDP) ... ... ... ... Exports ... ... ... ... Imports ... ... ... ... (1.) The estimates under the contribution columns are also percent changes NOTE. Most percent changes are from NIPA table 1.6.7; percent changes for PCE for food and energy goods and services and for PCE excluding food and energy are calculated from index numbers in NIPA table 2.3.4. Contributions are from NIPA table 1.6.8. GDP, export, and import prices are from NIPA tablel.1.7. Table 9. Advance and Second Estimates for the Third Quarter of 2012 [Seasonally adjusted at annual rates) Change from preceding quarter (percent) (Second minus Advance Second advance Gross domestic product (GDP) (1) 2.0 2.7 0.7 Personal consumption expenditures 2.0 1.4 -0.6 Goods 4.4 3.5 -0.9 Durable goods 8.5 8.7 0.2 Nondurable goods 2.4 1.1 -1.3 Services 0.8 0.3 -0.5 Gross private domestic investment 0.5 6.7 6.2 Fixed investment 1.5 0.7 -0.8 Nonresidential -1.3 -2.2 -0.9 Structures -4.4 -1.1 3.3 Equipment and software 0.0 -2.7 -2.7 Residential 14.4 14.2 -0.2 Change in private inventories ... ... ... Net exports of goods and services ... ... ... Exports -1.6 1.1 2.7 Goods -3.5 0.2 3.7 Services 3.1 3.2 0.1 Imports -0.2 0.1 0.3 Goods -1.3 -1.0 0.3 Services 5.5 5.9 0.4 Government consumption expenditures and gross investment 3.7 3.5 -0.2 Federal 9.6 9.5 -0.1 National defense 13.0 12.9 -0.1 Nondefense 3.0 3.0 0.0 State and local -0.1 -0.4 -0.3 Addenda: Final sales of domestic product 2.1 1.9 -0.2 Gross domestic purchases price index 1.5 1.4 -0.1 GDP price index 2.8 2.7 -0.1 Contribution to percent change in real GDP (percentage points) Second minus Advance Second advance Gross domestic product (GDP) (1) 2.0 2.7 0.7 Personal consumption expenditures 1.42 0.99 -0.43 Goods 1.03 0.83 -0.20 Durable goods 0.63 0.64 0.01 Nondurable goods 0.40 0.18 -0.22 Services 0.39 0.16 -0.23 Gross private domestic investment 0.07 0.86 0.79 Fixed investment 0.20 0.10 -0.10 Nonresidential -0.13 -0.23 -0.10 Structures -0.13 -0.03 0.10 Equipment and software 0.00 -0.2 -0.20 Residential 0.33 0.32 -0.01 Change in private inventories -0.12 0.77 0.89 Net exports of goods and services -0.18 0.14 0.32 Exports -0.23 0.16 0.39 Goods -0.35 0.03 0.38 Services 0.12 0.13 0.01 Imports 0.04 -0.02 -0.06 Goods 0.20 0.15 -0.05 Services -0.16 -0.17 -0.01 Government consumption expenditures and gross investment 0.71 0.67 -0.04 Federal 0.72 0.71 -0.01 National defense 0.64 0.64 0.00 Nondefense 0.08 0.08 0.00 State and local -0.01 -0.04 -0.03 Addenda: Final sales of domestic product 2.13 1.90 -0.23 Gross domestic purchases price index ... ... ... GDP price index ... ... ... (1.) The estimates under the contribution columns are also percent changes. Table 10. Corporate Profits [Seasonally adjusted] Billions of dollars (annual rate) Change from Level preceding quarter 2012 2011 2012 III IV I II III Current production measures: Corporate profits 1,989.2 122.6 -53.0 21.8 67.3 Domestic industries 1,555.6 119.5 -5.0 -11.9 70.3 Financial 460.5 88.0 -12.3 -39.7 71.3 Nonfinancial 1,095.1 31.4 7.3 27.8 -1.0 Rest of the world 433.7 3.1 -48.0 33.6 -2.8 Receipts from the rest of the world 646.0 -5.0 -13.7 10.0 4.5 Less: Payments to the rest of the world 212.3 -8.2 34.4 -23.6 7.3 Less: Taxes on corporate income 462.6 8.4 83.2 -10.3 19.3 Equals: Profits after tax 1,526.6 1,14.3 -136.2 31.9 48.1 Net dividends 758.8 12.0 9.2 20.4 11.3 Undistributed profits from current production 767.8 102.3 -145.5 11.6 36.8 Net cash flow 1,886.8 139.4 -169.8 6.0 45.0 Industry profits: Profits with IVA 2188.7 124.7 177.3 23.5 64.4 Domestic industries 1755.0 121.5 225.4 -10.2 67.3 Financial 512.7 88.3 12.1 -39.3 70.8 Nonfinancial 1242.3 33.2 213.4 29.0 -3.5 Rest of the world 433.7 3.1 -48.0 33.6 -2.8 Addenda: Profits before tax (without IVA and CCAdj) 2214.8 97.1 188.1 -16.3 106.6 Profits after tax (without IVA and CCAdj) 1752.2 88.8 104.8 0.0 87.3 IVA -26.1 27.7 -10.8 39.7 -42.1 CCAdj -199.5 -2.1 -230.3 -1.7 2.9 Percent change from preceding quarter (quarterly rate) 2011 2012 IV I II III Current production measures: Corporate profits 6.7 -2.7 1.1 3.5 Domestic industries 8.6 -0.3 -0.8 4.7 Financial 24.9 -2.8 -9.3 18.3 Nonfinancial 3.1 0.7 2.6 -0.1 Rest of the world 0.7 -10.7 8.4 -0.7 Receipts from the rest of the world -0.8 -2.1 1.6 0.7 Less: Payments to the rest of the world -4.0 17.7 -10.3 3.6 Less: Taxes on corporate income 2.3 22.5 -2.3 4.4 Equals: Profits after tax 7.8 -0.6 2.2 3.3 Net dividends 1.7 1.3 2.8 1.5 Undistributed profits from current production 13.4 -16.8 1.6 5.0 Net cash flow 7.5 -0.5 0.3 2.4 Industry profits: Profits with IVA 6.9 9.2 1.1 3.0 Domestic industries 9.0 15.3 -0.6 4.0 Financial 23.2 2.6 -8.2 16.0 Nonfinancial 3.4 21.3 2.4 -0.3 Rest of the world 0.7 -10.7 8.4 -0.7 Addenda: Profits before tax (without IVA and CCAdj) 5.3 9.7 -0.8 5.1 Profits after tax (without IVA and CCAdj) 6.0 6.7 -0.4 5.2 IVA ... ... ... ... CCAdj ... ... ... ... NOTE. Levels of these and other profits series are shown in NIPA tables 1.12, 1.14, 1.15, and 6.16D. IVA Inventory valuation adjustment CCAdj Capital consumption adjustment