GDP and the economy: third estimates for the third quarter of 2010.
Swann, Christopher
Table 1. Real Gross Domestic Product and Components
[Seasonally adjusted at annual rates]
Share of
current- Change from
dollar preceding period
GDP (percent)
(percent)
2010 2009 2010
III IV I
Gross domestic
product (1) 100.0 5.01 3.7
Personal consumption
expenditures 70.3 0.9 1.9
Goods 23.2 1.7 5.7
Durable goods 7.4 -1.1 8.8
Nondurable goods 15.8 3.1 4.2
Services 47.1 0.5 0.1
Gross private domestic
investment 12.9 26.7 29.1
Fixed investment 12.0 -1.3 3.3
Nonresidential 9.8 -1.4 7.8
Structures 2.6 -29.2 -17.8
Equipment and
software 7.2 14.6 20.4
Residential 2.2 -0.8 -12.3
Change in private
inventories 0.9 ... ...
Net exports of goods and
services -0.7 ... ...
Exports 12.5 24.4 11.4
Goods 8.7 31.7 14.0
Services 3.8 10.2 5.8
Imports 16.3 4.9 11.2
Goods 13.5 6.2 12.0
Services 2.8 -0.5 7.8
Government consumption
expenditures and gross
investment 20.5 -1.4 -1.6
Federal 8.4 0.0 1.8
National defense 5.6 -2.5 0.4
Nondefense 2.7 5.6 5.0
State and local 12.1 -2.3 -3.8
Addenda:
Final sales of
domestic product 99.1 2.1 1.1
Gross domestic purchases 103.7 3.0 3.9
Gross domestic
purchases price
index ... 2.1 2.1
GDP price index ... -0.2 1.0
Change from
preceding period
(percent)
II III
Gross domestic
product (1) 1.7 2.6
Personal consumption
expenditures 2.2 2.4
Goods 3.4 4.1
Durable goods 6.8 7.6
Nondurable goods 1.9 2.5
Services 1.6 1.6
Gross private domestic
investment 26.2 15.0
Fixed investment 18.9 1.5
Nonresidential 17.2 10.0
Structures -0.5 -3.5
Equipment and
software 24.8 15.4
Residential 25.7 -27.3
Change in private
inventories ... ...
Net exports of goods and
services ... ...
Exports 9.1 6.8
Goods 11.5 5.8
Services 3.9 8.9
Imports 33.5 16.8
Goods 40.5 17.4
Services 4.3 14.2
Government consumption
expenditures and gross
investment 3.9 3.9
Federal 9.1 8.8
National defense 7.4 8.5
Nondefense 12.8 9.5
State and local 0.6 0.7
Addenda:
Final sales of
domestic product 0.9 0.9
Gross domestic purchases 5.1 4.2
Gross domestic
purchases price
index 0.1 0.7
GDP price index 1.9 2.1
Contribution to
percent change in
real GDP (percentage
points)
2009 2010
IV I
Gross domestic
product (1) 5.0 3.7
Personal consumption
expenditures 0.69 1.33
Goods 0.42 1.29
Durable goods -0.07 0.62
Nondurable goods 0.49 0.67
Services 0.27 0.03
Gross private domestic
investment 2.70 3.04
Fixed investment -0.12 0.39
Nonresidential -0.10 0.71
Structures -1.01 -0.53
Equipment and
software 0.91 1.24
Residential -0.02 -0.32
Change in private
inventories 2.83 2.64
Net exports of goods and
services 1.90 -0.31
Exports 2.56 1.30
Goods 2.19 1.09
Services 0.37 0.21
Imports -0.66 -1.61
Goods -0.68 -1.41
Services 0.02 -0.20
Government consumption
expenditures and gross
investment -0.28 -0.32
Federal 0.01 0.15
National defense -0.13 0.02
Nondefense 0.14 0.13
State and local -0.29 -0.48
Addenda:
Final sales of
domestic product 2.19 1.09
Gross domestic purchases ... ...
Gross domestic
purchases price
index ... ...
GDP price index ... ...
Contribution to
percent change in
real GDP (percentage
points)
II III
Gross domestic
product (1) 1.7 2.6
Personal consumption 1.67
expenditures 1.54
Goods 0.79 0.94
Durable goods 0.49 0.54
Nondurable goods 0.31 0.39
Services 0.75 0.74
Gross private domestic
investment 2.88 1.80
Fixed investment 2.06 0.18
Nonresidential 1.51 0.93
Structures -0.01 -0.09
Equipment and
software 1.52 1.02
Residential 0.55 -0.75
Change in private
inventories 0.82 1.61
Net exports of goods and
services -0.50 -1.70
Exports 1.08 0.82
Goods 0.93 0.49
Services 0.15 0.33
Imports -4.58 -2.53
Goods -4.46 -2.16
Services -0.12 -0.37
Government consumption
expenditures and gross
investment 0.80 0.79
Federal 0.72 0.71
National defense 0.40 0.46
Nondefense 0.32 0.25
State and local 0.08 0.09
Addenda:
Final sales of
domestic product 0.90 0.95
Gross domestic purchases ... ...
Gross domestic
purchases price
index ... ...
GDP price index ... ...
1. The estimates of GDP under the contribution columns are also
percent changes.
Note. Percent changes are from NIPA table 1.1.1, contributions are
from NIPA table 1.1.2, and shares are from NIPA table 1.1.10.
Table 2 Second and Third Estimates for the Third Quarter of 2010
[Seasonally adjusted at annual rates]
Change from
preceding quarter
(percent)
Third
Second Third minus
second
Gross domestic product (GDP) (1) 2.5 2.6 0.1
Personal consumption expenditures 2.8 2.4 -0.4
Goods 3.5 4.1 0.6
Durable goods 7.4 7.6 0.2
Nondurablegoods 1.8 2.5 0.7
Services 2.5 1.6 -0.9
Gross private domestic investment 12.4 15.0 2.6
Fixed investment 1.7 1.5 -0.2
Nonresidential 10.3 10.0 -0.3
Structures -5.7 -3.5 2.2
Equipment and software 16.8 15.4 -1.4
Residential -27.5 -27.3 0.2
Change in private inventories ... ... ...
Net exports of goods and service s ... ... ...
Exports 6.3 6.8 0.5
Goods 5.5 5.8 0.3
Services 8.1 8.9 0.8
Imports 16.8 16.8 0.0
Goods 17.5 17.4 -0.1
Services 13.7 14.2 0.5
Government consumption expenditures
and gross investment 4.0 3.9 -1.0
Federal 8.9 8.8 -1.0
National defense 8.5 8.5 0.0
Nondefense 9.5 9.5 0.0
State and local 0.8 0.7 -1.0
Addenda:
Final sales of domestic product 1.2 0.9 -3.0
Gross domestic purchases
price index 0.8 0.7 -1.0
GDP price index 2.3 2.1 -2.0
Contribution to percent
change in real GDP
(percentage points)
Third
Second Third minus
second
Gross domestic product (GDP) (1) 2.5 2.6 0.1
Personal consumption expenditures 1.97 1.67 -0.30
Goods 0.81 0.94 0.13
Durable goods 0.53 0.54 0.01
Nondurablegoods 0.28 0.39 0.11
Services 1.16 0.74 -0.42
Gross private domestic investment 1.51 1.80 0.29
Fixed investment 0.20 0.18 -0.02
Nonresidential 0.96 0.93 -0.03
Structures -0.15 -0.09 0.06
Equipment and software 1.11 1.02 -0.09
Residential -0.75 -0.75 0.00
Change in private inventories 1.30 1.61 0.03
Net exports of goods and services -1.76 -1.70 0.06
Exports 0.77 0.82 0.05
Goods 0.47 0.49 0.02
Services 0.30 0.33 0.03
Imports -2.52 -2.53 -0.01
Goods -2.17 -2.16 0.01
Services 0.36 -0.37 -0.01
Government consumption expenditures
and gross investment 0.81 0.79 -0.02
Federal 0.71 0.71 0.00
National defense 0.46 0.46 0.00
Nondefense 0.25 0.25 0.00
State and local 0.10 0.09 -0.01
Addenda:
Final sales of domestic product 1.22 0.95 -0.27
Gross domestic purchases
price index ... ... ...
GDP price index ... ... ...
(1) The estimates for GDP under the contribution columns
are also percent changes.
Table 3. Corporate Profits
[Seasonally adjusted]
Billions of dollars (annual rate)
Change from
Level preceding quarter
2010 2009 2010
III IV I
Current production measures:
Corporate profits 1,640.1 120.7 148.4
Domestic industries 1,257.7 122.5 122.4
Financial 368.8 46.3 5.2
Nonfinancial 888.9 76.1 117.2
Rest of the world 382.4 -1.6 25.9
Receipts from the rest of
the world 566.3 41.3 32.3
Less: Payments to the rest
of the world 183.9 42.9 6.4
Less: Taxes on corporate
income 429.4 63.4 84.1
Equals: Profits after tax 1,210.7 57.4 64.1
Net dividends 736.5 8.9 11.8
Undistributed profits from
current production 474.2 48.4 52.4
Net cash flow 1,510.0 78.4 33.3
Percent
change
Billions of dollars from
(annual rate) preceding
quarter
Change from (quarterly
preceding quarter rate)
2010 2009
II III IV
Current production measures:
Corporate profits 47.5 26.0 9.3
Domestic industries 44.6 35 13.1
Financial -0.4 34.6 16.2
Nonfinancial 48.2 0.3 11.8
Rest of the world 2.8 -8.9 -0.5
Receipts from the rest of
the world -3.9 8.8 8.5
Less: Payments to the rest
of the world -0.8 17.8 34.7
Less: Taxes on corporate
income 2.4 23.8 24.8
Equals: Profits after tax 45.2 2.2 5.5
Net dividends 8.1 8.1 1.3
Undistributed profits from
current production 37.1 -5.9 14.2
Net cash flow 61.1 -68.4 5.6
Percent change from
preceding quarter
(quarterly rate)
2010
I II III
Current production measures:
Corporate profits 10.5 3.0 1.6
Domestic industries 11.6 3.8 2.9
Financial 1.6 -1.0 10.4
Nonfinancial 16.2 5.7 0.0
Rest of the world 7.2 0.7 -2.3
Receipts from the rest of
the world 6.1 -0.7 1.6
Less: Payments to the rest
of the world 3.9 -3.9 10.7
Less: Taxes on corporate
income 26.4 0.6 5.9
Equals: Profits after tax 5.8 3.9 0.2
Net dividends 1.7 1.1 1.1
Undistributed profits from
current production 13.4 8.4 -1.2
Net cash flow 2.2 4.0 -4.3
NOTE. Levels of these and other profits series are shown in
NIPA tables 1.12, 1.14, 1.15, and 6.16D.
Table 4. Corporate Profits by Industry
[Seasonally adjusted]
Billions of dollars (annual rate)
Change from
Level preceding quarter
2010 2009 2010
III IV I II
Industry profits:
Profits with IVA 1,809.3 120.7 255.3 48.2
Domestic industries 1,427.0 122.4 229.4 45.4
Financial 393.7 46.5 16.0 -3.3
Nonfinancial 1,033.3 75.9 213.4 48.7
Utilities 35.2 4.0 15.1 -8.7
Manufacturing 269.2 19.1 79.5 26.7
Wholesale trade 90.2 2.2 18.5 16.2
Retail trade 123.2 -4.2 32.0 -2.4
Transportation and
warehousing 54.3 7.5 9.9 13.0
Information 114.6 27.7 3.9 -8.0
Other nonfinancial 346.6 19.4 54.4 12.1
Rest of the world 382.4 -1.6 25.9 2.8
Addenda:
Profits before tax (without
IVA and CCAdj) 1,845.7 179.2 224.5 15.3
Profits after tax (without
IVA and CCAdj) 1,416.3 115.8 140.4 12.9
IVA -36.4 -58.5 30.8 32.9
CCAdj -169.3 0.0 -106.9 -0.8
Billions
of dollars
(annual rate)
Change from Percent change from
preceding preceding quarter
quarter (quarterly rate)
2010 2009 2010
III IV I
Industry profits:
Profits with IVA 24.6 8.9 17.2
Domestic industries 33.6 12.3 20.5
Financial 34.3 15.5 4.6
Nonfinancial -0.7 10.9 27.6
Utilities 2.4 17.8 57.2
Manufacturing -7.9 12.6 46.5
Wholesale trade -17.5 3.1 25.3
Retail trade -3.5 -4.1 32.9
Transportation and
warehousing 1.9 34.3 33.8
Information 9.7 34.2 3.6
Other nonfinancial 14.1 7.9 20.5
Rest of the world -8.9 -0.5 7.2
Addenda:
Profits before tax (without
IVA and CCAdj) 57.5 13.1 14.5
Profits after tax (without
IVA and CCAdj) 33.7 10.4 11.4
IVA -32.9 ... ...
CCAdj 1.4 ... ...
Percent change from
preceding quarter
(quarterly rate)
2010
II III
Industry profits:
Profits with IVA 2.8 1.4
Domestic industries 3.4 2.4
Financial -0.9 9.5
Nonfinancial 4.9 -0.1
Utilities -21.1 7.4
Manufacturing 10.6 -2.8
Wholesale trade 17.7 -16.3
Retail trade -1.9 -2.8
Transportation and
warehousing 32.9 3.6
Information -7.1 9.3
Other nonfinancial 3.8 4.2
Rest of the world 0.7 -2.3
Addenda:
Profits before tax (without
IVA and CCAdj) 0.9 3.2
Profits after tax (without
IVA and CCAdj) 0.9 2.4
IVA ... ...
CCAdj ... ...
NOTE. Levels of these and other profits series are shown
in NIPA tables 1.12, 1.14, 1.15, and 6.16D.
IVA Inventory valuation adjustment
CCAdj Capital consumption adjustment