Annual revision of the national income and product accounts: annual estimates for 2002-2004: quarterly estimates for 2002:1-2005:1.
Seskin, Eugene P. ; Smith, Shelly ; Weadock, Teresa L. 等
THE Bureau of Economic Analysis (BEA) released revised estimates of
the national income and product accounts (NIPAs) for 2002-2004 and for
the first quarter of 2005 on July 29, 2005. (1) As is usual in annual
NIPA revisions, these estimates incorporated newly available source data
that are more complete, more detailed, and otherwise more reliable than
those that were previously incorporated.
This annual revision has not changed the general picture of the
economy for the past several years. The revisions to year-to-year growth
rates of real gross domestic product (GDP) are small by historical
standards. In addition, the quarterly pattern of real GDP growth shown
by the revised estimates is similar to the pattern shown by previously
published estimates. The revised estimates of prices show a somewhat
faster rate of increase than the previously published estimates.
The following are the highlights of the revision:
* From 2001 to 2004, real GDP grew at an average annual rate of 2.8
percent, 0.3 percentage point less than in the previously published
estimates. From the fourth quarter of 2001 to the first quarter of 2005,
real GDP grew at an average annual rate of 3.3 percent, 0.2 percentage
point less than in the previously published estimates.
* From the fourth quarter of 2001 to the first quarter of 2005, the
average rate of increase in the price index for gross domestic purchases
was revised up 0.3 percentage point to 2.5 percent.
* Both the revised estimates and the previously published estimates
show similar quarterly patterns of growth in real GDP.
* From 2001 to 2004, the average annual rate of growth of real
disposable personal income was unrevised at 3.0 percent.
In this article, the impact of the revisions on key NIPA measures
of economic activity is discussed, and a summary of the revisions and
the major source data underlying them are provided. In addition, several
changes in the methodology that is used to prepare the estimates are
described. Appendix A shows the revised annual estimates and the
revisions for the seven summary accounts of the NIPAs in current
dollars. An extensive set of tables presenting revised monthly,
quarterly, and annual NIPA estimates and the "advance"
estimates for the second quarter of 2005 are available in "National
Income and Product Accounts Tables" in this issue. In addition,
historical estimates are presented in "GDP and Other Major NIPA
Series, 1929-2005:II."
Impact of the Revisions
According to the revised estimates, the average annual rate of
growth of real GDP from the fourth quarter of 2001 to the first quarter
of 2005 was revised down 0.2 percentage point to 3.3 percent (table 1).
In the revised estimates, equipment and software, personal consumption
expenditures (PCE) for goods and services, residential fixed investment,
change in private inventories, exports of goods, and imports of goods
were weaker than in the previously published estimates; imports of
services, nonresidential structures, exports of services, and state and
local government spending were stronger. Federal Government spending was
little revised. (2)
In the revised estimates, the cyclical recovery since 2001 was
slightly milder than previously estimated. From the third quarter of
2001 to the first quarter of 2005, the revised estimates show that real
GDP increased at an average annual rate of 3.1 percent; the previously
published estimates showed an average increase of 3.4 percent.
For 2002, the percent change in real GDP from the preceding year
was revised down from 1.9 percent to 1.6 percent (chart 1). For 2003,
the percent change was revised down from 3.0 percent to 2.7 percent. For
2004, the percent change was revised down from 4.4 percent to 4.2
percent.
From fourth quarter to fourth quarter, the percent change in real
GDP was revised down from 2.3 percent to 1.9 percent for 2002, was
revised down from 4.4 percent to 4.0 percent for 2003, and was revised
down from 3.9 percent to 3.8 percent for 2004.
The revised estimates of prices show a somewhat faster rate of
increase than the previously published estimates. From the fourth
quarter of 2001 to the first quarter of 2005, the average annual rate of
increase in the price index for gross domestic purchases was revised up
0.3 percentage point to 2.5 percent, and the average annual rate of
increase in the GDP price index was also revised up 0.3 percentage point
to 2.3 percent (table 2). The percent change from the preceding year for
the price index for gross domestic purchases was revised up 0.1
percentage point to 1.6 percent for 2002, was revised up 0.2 percentage
point to 2.2 percent for 2003, and was revised up 0.5 percentage point
to 2.9 percent for 2004 (chart 1).
Summary of the Revisions
In general, the annual revisions to real GDP reflect four factors:
(1) Revisions to the current-dollar components of GDP for which
chained-dollar estimates are prepared by deflation, (2) revisions to the
prices used in deflation, (3) revisions to the quantities used to
estimate components of real GDP by extrapolation or direct valuation,
and (4) revisions resulting from the use of revised and updated weights
in the calculation of real GDP. (3) In this year's annual revision,
the first and third factors accounted for most of the revisions.
Annual estimates of real GDP
The annual percent change in real GDP was revised down for all 3
years: From 1.9 percent to 1.6 percent for 2002, from 3.0 percent to 2.7
percent for 2003, and from 4.4 percent to 4.2 percent for 2004 (table
3).
For 2002, the largest contributor to the downward revision to real
GDP growth was PCE for services. For 2003, the largest contributors to
the downward revision to real GDP were fixed investment in equipment and
software and PCE; the contributions of these components were partly
offset by an upward revision to change in private inventories. For 2004,
the largest contributors to the downward revision were a downward
revision to fixed investment in equipment and software and an upward
revision to imports of goods and services.
Revisions to the components of real GDP. The annual percent change
in real PCE was revised down 0.4 percentage point to 2.7 percent for
2002, was revised down 0.4 percentage point to 2.9 percent for 2003, and
was revised up 0.1 percentage point to 3.9 percent for 2004 (table 4).
For 2002, the revision was more than accounted for by a downward
revision to PCE for services (mainly to housing services). For 2003, the
revision reflects downward revisions to all three subcategories of PCE;
the largest contributor to the revision was a downward revision to food.
For 2004, the revision primarily reflects an upward revision to PCE for
services (which was more than accounted for by housing services) that
was partly offset by a downward revision to PCE for durable goods (which
was more than accounted for by motor vehicles and parts).
The annual percent change in nonresidential fixed investment was
revised down for all 3 years: 0.3 percentage point to -9.2 percent for
2002, 2.0 percentage points to 1.3 percent for 2003, and 1.2 percentage
points to 9.4 percent for 2004. For all 3 years, the revisions were more
than accounted for by downward revisions to equipment and software. For
2002, in equipment and software, downward revisions to computers and
peripheral equipment, to "other information processing equipment
and software," and to industrial equipment were partly offset by an
upward revision to software. For 2003, the revision to equipment and
software was more than accounted for by a downward revision to
information processing equipment and software. For 2004, the revision to
equipment and software was mostly accounted for by a downward revision
to information processing equipment and software.
The percent change in residential fixed investment was unrevised at
4.8 percent for 2002, was revised down 0.4 percentage point to 8.4
percent for 2003, and was revised up 0.6 percentage point to 10.3
percent for 2004. For 2003, the revision was primarily accounted for by
a downward revision to single-family structures, and for 2004, the
revision was more than accounted for by a downward revision to
single-family structures.
The change in private inventories (in chained 2000 dollars) was
revised up for all 3 years: $0.8 billion for 2002, $16.3 billion for
2003, and $6.3 billion for 2004. Nonfarm inventory investment more than
accounted for the revision for all 3 years.
The annual percent change in exports of goods and services was
unrevised at -2.3 percent for 2002, was revised down 0.1 percentage
point to 1.8 percent for 2003, and was revised down 0.2 percentage point
to 8.4 percent for 2004. For 2003, the revision reflects a downward
revision to exports of goods that was partly offset by an upward
revision to exports of services. For 2004, the revision reflects a
downward revision to exports of services.
The percent change in imports of goods and services was unrevised
at 3.4 percent for 2002, was revised up 0.2 percentage point to 4.6
percent for 2003, and was revised up 0.8 percentage point to 10.7
percent for 2004. For 2003, the revision reflects an upward revision to
imports of goods. For 2004, the revision reflects upward revisions to
imports of services and to imports of goods.
The percent change in government spending was unrevised at 4.4
percent for 2002, was unrevised at 2.8 percent for 2003, and was revised
up 0.3 percentage point to 2.2 percent for 2004. For 2004, the revision
reflects an upward revision to Federal Government spending that was more
than accounted for by Federal nondefense consumption expenditures.
Quarterly estimates
The revisions to the quarterly (and monthly) NIPA estimates reflect
the revisions to the annual estimates that result from the incorporation
of newly available annual source data, the incorporation of new and
revised monthly and quarterly source data (including the updating of the
seasonal factors that are used to indicate quarterly patterns), and the
introduction of changes in methodology (see "Changes in
Methodology").
For real GDP, the revisions to the 13 quarterly percent changes (at
annual rates) averaged 0.3 percentage point (without regard to sign).
(In the annual NIPA revisions since 1979, the revisions to the quarterly
estimates have averaged 0.7 percentage point.)
Both the revised estimates and the previously published estimates
show similar quarterly patterns of growth in real GDP. The largest
downward revision to the percent changes in real GDP was 0.7 percentage
point, from 3.4 percent to 2.7 percent, for the first quarter of 2002
(table 5 and chart 2). The largest contributors to the revision were
downward revisions to PCE for services and to equipment and software
investment; the negative contributions of these components were partly
offset by an upward revision to PCE for durable goods.
In general, the percent changes for the gross domestic purchases
price index were revised up; the revisions to the 13 quarterly percent
changes (at annual rates) averaged 0.3 percent (with regard to sign).
The price index was revised up for 10 quarters, was revised down for 1
quarter (0.1 percentage point for the third quarter of 2002), and was
unchanged for 2 quarters. The largest upward revision was 0.8 percentage
point, to 4.2 percent, for the first quarter of 2004; the major
contributors to the revision were prices of PCE for services, of Federal
Government consumption expenditures, and of residential fixed
investment.
Annual current-dollar estimates
A summary of the current-dollar revisions to major NIPA components
is presented in table 6. It shows the subcomponent series for which
revisions were $5.0 billion or more (absolute value) for any of the
years covered by this annual revision, and it lists the major source
data that underlie the revised estimates. Note that the incorporation of
new and revised source data for a year usually results in a revision to
the level of an estimate both for that year and for subsequent years.
This annual revision incorporated data from the following Federal
statistical sources: Census Bureau economic census for 2002; Census
Bureau annual surveys of manufactures, of merchant wholesale trade, and
of retail trade for 2003 and revised monthly indicators for 2002-2004 of
merchant wholesale trade and of retail trade; Census Bureau annual
surveys of services for 2002 and 2003 (revised) and 2004 (preliminary)
and of state and local governments for 2002 (revised) and 2003
(preliminary); Census Bureau monthly survey of construction put in place
for 2002-2004 (revised); Census Bureau quarterly survey of services for
2004; Census Bureau survey of housing for 2003; Federal Government
budget data for fiscal years 2004 and 2005; Internal Revenue Service
tabulations of tax returns for corporations for 2002 (revised) and 2003
(preliminary) and for sole proprietorships and partnerships for 2003;
Bureau of Labor Statistics quarterly census of employment and wages for
2004 (revised); Department of Agriculture farm statistics for 2002-2004;
and BEA's international transactions accounts for 2002-2004
(revised).
Domestic income and product
Gross domestic product (GDP). The level of current-dollar GDP was
revised down for all 3 years: $17.4 billion, or 0.2 percent, for 2002,
$32.8 billion, or 0.3 percent, for 2003, and $0.7 billion, or less than
0.1 percent, for 2004.
By major component, the revision to current-dollar GDP for 2002 was
more than accounted for by a downward revision to PCE for services. For
2003, the revision primarily reflects downward revisions to PCE for
services, to equipment and software investment, and to PCE for goods
that were partly offset by upward revisions to change in private
inventories, to nonresidential structures, and to state and local
government spending. For 2004, downward revisions to equipment and
software and to PCE for goods and an upward revision to imports of goods
and services were partly offset by upward revisions to nonresidential
structures, to Federal Government spending, to state and local
government spending, and to change in private inventories.
Gross domestic income (GDI) and the statistical discrepancy. GDI,
which measures the costs incurred and the incomes earned in the
production of GDP, was revised down for all 3 years: $11.7 billion for
2002, $54.3 billion for 2003, and $45.5 billion for 2004 (see table 6).
For 2002, the revision to GDI reflects downward revisions to net
operating surplus and to consumption of fixed capital (CFC) that were
partly offset by an upward revision to supplements to wages and
salaries. The revision to net operating surplus reflects downward
revisions to rental income of persons with capital consumption
adjustment (CCAdj) and to domestic net interest and miscellaneous
payments that were partly offset by an upward revision to domestic
corporate profits with inventory valuation adjustment (IVA) and CCAdj.
For 2003, the revision to GDI reflects downward revisions to net
operating surplus and to CFC that were partly offset by upward revisions
to supplements to wages and salaries and to wages and salaries. The
revision to net operating surplus reflects downward revisions to
domestic net interest and miscellaneous payments, to proprietors'
income with IVA and CCAdj, to rental income of persons with CCAdj, and
to the surplus of government enterprises that were partly offset by an
upward revision to domestic corporate profits with IVA and CCAdj.
For 2004, the revision to GDI reflects a large downward revision to
the net operating surplus that was partly offset by upward revisions to
CFC, to supplements to wages and salaries, to wages and salaries, and to
taxes on production and imports. The revision to net operating surplus
reflects downward revisions to domestic net interest and miscellaneous
payments, to rental income of persons with CCAdj, to proprietors'
income with IVA and CCAdj, to domestic corporate profits with IVA and
CCAdj, and to the current surplus of government enterprises that were
partly offset by an upward revision to "business current transfer
payments (net)."
Details about the sources of the major revisions to the NIPA
components continue on page 24.
The statistical discrepancy is the difference between GDP and GDI.
(4) For 2002, the statistical discrepancy was revised down from -$15.3
billion to -$21.0 billion (from -0.1 percent to -0.2 percent of GDP).
For 2003, the statistical discrepancy was revised up from $25.6 billion
to $47.1 billion (from 0.2 percent to 0.4 percent of GDP). For 2004, the
statistical discrepancy was revised up from $31.9 billion to $76.8
billion (from 0.3 percent to 0.7 percent of GDP). The revision to the
discrepancy for 2002 reflects a larger downward revision to GDP than to
GDI. For 2003 and 2004, the revisions to the discrepancy reflect smaller
downward revisions to GDP than to GDI.
Product-side components
Personal consumption expenditures (PCE) for goods. PCE for goods
was revised up $7.3 billion for 2002, was revised down $11.7 billion for
2003, and was revised down $14.9 billion for 2004. For each year, most
of the revision was accounted for by "goods other than motor
vehicles and parts," but motor vehicles and parts also contributed.
"Goods other than motor vehicles and parts" was revised
up $4.2 billion for 2002, was revised down $10.7 billion for 2003, and
was revised down $8.8 billion for 2004. These revisions resulted from
the incorporation of revised annual data on retail sales and food
services sales for 2002, of newly available annual data for 2003, and of
revised monthly sales data for 2004.
For 2003 and 2004, the revisions were more than accounted for by
downward revisions to food (specifically, both "food purchased for
off-premise consumption" and "purchased meals and
beverages").
Motor vehicles and parts was revised up $3.2 billion for 2002, was
revised down $1.0 billion for 2003, and was revised down $6.0 billion
for 2004. For 2004, the revision was primarily accounted by a downward
revision to "net purchases of used autos and used light
trucks," reflecting the incorporation of new trade source data on
unit sales and on average prices for new cars.
PCE for services. PCE for services was revised down for all 3
years: $32.6 billion for 2002, $39.3 billion for 2003, and $0.8 billion
for 2004. For 2002, the revision primarily reflects downward revisions
to housing services and to "other services." The revision to
housing services was more than accounted for by downward revisions to
owner- and tenant-occupied space rent, reflecting the incorporation of
revised 2001 data and new 2003 data on owner- and tenant-occupied
housing units and on average rents for tenant-occupied units from the
biennial American Housing Survey (AHS). The revision to "other
services" was more than accounted for by a downward revision to
"services furnished without payment by financial intermediaries
except life insurance carriers"--specifically, to commercial bank
services--reflecting a downward revision to services furnished to
depositors that was partly offset by an upward revision to services
furnished to borrowers. These revisions reflect a downward revision to
the reference rate of interest that was used to allocate imputed bank
output between depositor and borrower services, and as a result,
services to borrowers increased, and services to depositors decreased
(see "Changes in Methodology"). Because consumers account for
a lower percentage of borrower services than of depositor services, PCE
for implicit banking services was revised down.
For 2003, the downward revision to PCE for services was also
accounted for by downward revisions to housing services and to
"other services." The revision to housing services was more
than accounted for by downward revisions to owner- and tenant-occupied
rent, reflecting the incorporation of the new AHS data on owner- and
tenant-occupied units and on average rents for tenant-occupied units.
The revision to "other services" reflects a downward revision
to "services furnished without payment by financial intermediaries
except life insurance carriers," specifically, to commercial bank
services and to services of "other" financial institutions.
The downward revision to commercial banks again reflects the downward
revision to the reference rate. The downward revision to services of
"other" financial institutions was more than accounted for by
a downward revision to regulated investment companies, reflecting the
incorporation of newly available Internal Revenue Service (IRS)
tabulations of corporate expense data.
For 2004, the small downward revision reflects downward revisions
to housing services and to household operation services that were mostly
offset by upward revisions to medical care services, to transportation
services, and to "other services." The downward revision to
housing services was more than accounted for by downward revisions to
owner- and tenant-occupied rent, reflecting the incorporation of newly
available Census Bureau current population survey data on owner- and
tenant-occupied housing units. The revision to household operation
services was mostly accounted for by downward revisions to electricity
and gas and to cellular telephone services. The revision to electricity
and gas reflects the incorporation of newly available data on
residential consumption from the Energy Information Administration, and
the revision to cellular telephone services reflects the incorporation
of newly available Census Bureau Service Annual Survey (SAS) data.
The upward revision to medical care services was mostly accounted
for by an upward revision to medical care and hospitalization insurance,
reflecting the incorporation of newly available Bureau of Labor
Statistics (BLS) data on employer costs for employee compensation. The
upward revision to transportation services was mostly accounted for by
an upward revision to net motor vehicle insurance premiums, reflecting
the incorporation of newly available trade source data on the projected
growth rate of personal auto insurance premiums. The upward revision to
"other services" reflects upward revisions to personal care
services and to net foreign travel and a slight upward revision to
personal business services that were partly offset by a downward
revision to religious and welfare activities. The revision to personal
care services reflects the incorporation of newly available SAS data.
The revision to net foreign travel reflects revised travel and passenger
fare imports and exports from the BEA international transactions
accounts.
In personal business services, upward revisions to brokerage
charges and investment counseling and to "other personal
business" were mostly offset by a downward revision to
"services furnished without payment by financial intermediaries
except life insurance carriers." The revision to brokerage charges
reflects the incorporation of revised Securities and Exchange Commission
(SEC) data on securities commissions and newly available Federal Reserve
Board flow-of-funds data on equity and debt holdings by households. The
revision to investment counseling reflects the incorporation of newly
available SAS data and revised SEC data. The revision to "other
personal business" was accounted for by upward revisions to
professional association expenses, employment agency fees, and tax
return preparation services, reflecting the incorporation of newly
available SAS data, and by an upward revision to labor union expenses,
reflecting the incorporation of BLS tabulations from the quarterly
census of employment and wages. The revision to "services furnished
without payment by financial intermediaries except life insurance
carriers" was more than accounted for by a downward revision to
commercial bank services, reflecting the downward revision to the
reference rate. The revision to religious and welfare activities was
accounted for by a downward revision to religious organizations,
reflecting an extrapolation of revised 2003 estimates, which
incorporated new trade source data on church membership and
contributions.
Nonresidential structures. Nonresidential structures was revised up
for all 3 years: $7.6 billion for 2002, $15.3 billion for 2003, and
$20.2 billion for 2004.
For all 3 years, the revisions primarily reflect upward revisions
to petroleum and natural gas structures that resulted from the
incorporation of newly available trade source data on drilling costs.
For 2004, the revision to nonresidential structures was also
attributable to an upward revision to commercial and health care
structures, primarily reflecting the incorporation of revised Census
Bureau data on the value of construction put in place. (5)
Equipment and software. Equipment and software was revised down for
all 3 years: $5.3 billion for 2002, $27.5 billion for 2003, and $42.0
billion for 2004. For 2002 and for 2003, downward revisions to computers
and peripheral equipment, to communication equipment, and to industrial
equipment were partly offset by upward revisions to software. For 2004,
all of these categories were revised down.
The revisions to computers and peripheral equipment, to
communication equipment, and to industrial equipment primarily resulted
from the incorporation of revised shipments data from the Census
Bureau's Annual Survey of Manufactures (ASM) for 2002 and newly
available ASM data for 2003. The revisions to software primarily
resulted from the incorporation of revised detailed product receipts
data from the Census Bureau's 2002 and 2003 SAS and newly available
data from the 2004 SAS.
Residential fixed investment. Residential fixed investment was
revised down $0.2 billion for 2002, was revised up $0.2 billion for
2003, and was revised up $10.4 billion for 2004. For 2004, an upward
revision to single-family structures accounted for most of the revision
and resulted from the incorporation of revised Census Bureau data on the
value of construction put in place.
Change in private inventories. The change in private inventories
was revised up for all 3 years: $0.7 billion for 2002, $16.6 billion for
2003, and $12.0 billion for 2004. (6)
The change in farm inventories was revised down $1.0 billion for
2002, was revised down slightly for 2003, and was revised up $4.3
billion for 2004. (7)
The change in private nonfarm inventories was revised up for all 3
years: $1.7 billion for 2002, $16.7 billion for 2003, and $7.8 billion
for 2004. For 2003, the revision primarily reflects upward revisions to
inventories for manufacturing and for mining, utilities, and
construction industries. The revisions to inventories reflect the
incorporation of newly available annual book value data from the Census
Bureau's annual survey of manufacturers and from IRS tabulations of
tax return data for corporations and for sole proprietorships and
partnerships. For 2004, the revision primarily reflects upward revisions
to inventories for mining, utilities, and construction industries and
for retail trade. The largest contributors to the revisions were
utilities, reflecting the incorporation of revised Energy Information
Administration data, and retail motor vehicle dealers, reflecting the
incorporation of revised inventory data from trade sources.
Net exports of goods and services. Net exports of goods and
services was revised down $0.5 billion for 2002, was revised down $2.8
billion for 2003, and was revised down $17.8 billion for 2004. For 2004,
the revision primarily reflects an upward revision to imports of goods
and services.
The revisions reflect the annual revision to BEA's
international transactions accounts (ITAs), which incorporated new and
updated source data, including data from BEA's new quarterly
surveys of transactions with unaffiliated residents abroad. (8)
For most components, the revisions to the ITAs for 2002-2004 were
incorporated into the NIPAs at their "best level." As a
result, there are small discontinuities between the NIPA estimates for
2001 and those for 2002 (table 7). For current-dollar net exports of
goods and services (and for current-dollar GDP), the change from 2001 to
2002 was understated by less than $0.1 billion. (The revisions to the
ITAs for years before 2002 will be incorporated in the next
comprehensive NIPA revision.)
Government consumption expenditures and gross investment.
Government spending was revised up for all 3 years: $4.5 billion for
2002, $16.4 billion for 2003, and $32.0 billion for 2004.
Federal Government spending was revised down $1.1 billion for 2002,
was revised up $2.6 billion for 2003, and was revised up $17.7 billion
for 2004. For 2004, the revision was primarily accounted for by an
upward revision to nondefense spending, primarily reflecting the
incorporation of revised Federal budget data for fiscal year 2004,
preliminary budget data for fiscal year 2005, and revised tabulations
from the BLS quarterly census of employment and wages.
State and local government spending was revised up for all 3 years:
$5.7 billion for 2002, $13.8 billion for 2003, and $14.4 billion for
2004. Consumption expenditures was revised up for all 3 years: $8.8
billion for 2002, $16.3 billion for 2003, and $18.0 billion for 2004.
The revisions were primarily accounted for by upward revisions to
employee compensation and to "sales to other sectors" which is
subtracted in the derivation of consumption expenditures, that were
partly offset by downward revisions to intermediate goods and services.
(9) The revisions to compensation resulted from the incorporation of
revised data for fiscal year 2002 and newly available data for fiscal
year 2003 on employer contributions to employee retirement plans from
the Census Bureau Government Finances, of Medical Expenditures Panel
Survey data on employer contributions to employee health insurance for
2002-2004 from the Department of Health and Human Services, and of
revised tabulations from the BLS quarterly census of employment and
wages. The revisions to "sales to other sectors" and to
intermediate goods and services reflect the incorporation of revised
data for fiscal year 2002 and newly available data for fiscal year 2003
from the Census Bureau Government Finances.
Income-side components
Compensation of employees, paid. "Compensation of employees,
paid" was revised up for all 3 years: $21.7 billion for 2002, $32.2
billion for 2003, and $36.7 billion for 2004. For 2002 and 2003, the
revisions were mostly accounted for by upward revisions to supplements
to wages and salaries (specifically, to employer contributions for
employee pension and insurance funds), but upward revisions to wage and
salary accruals also contributed. For 2004, the revision reflects
similar upward revisions to employer contributions for employee pension
and insurance funds and to wage and salary accruals.
For 2002 and 2003, the revisions to employer contributions were
more than accounted for by upward revisions to employer contributions to
private pension and profit-sharing plans. For 2004, the revision to
employer contributions reflects upward revisions to employer
contributions to private pension and profit-sharing plans and to group
health insurance. The revisions to employer contributions to private
pension and profit-sharing plans primarily reflect the incorporation of
revised corporate financial data for 2002 and 2003 and newly available
corporate financial data for 2004. For 2004, the revision to employer
contributions to group health insurance reflects extrapolations of newly
available tabulations of these contributions from the Department of
Health and Human Services Medical Expenditures Panel Survey for 2003.
The revisions to wage and salary accruals reflect the incorporation of
revised data for 2002 and 2003 and newly available data for 2004 from
the quarterly census of employment and wages.
Net operating surplus. Net operating surplus consists of net
operating surplus of private enterprises (proprietors' income,
rental income of persons, corporate profits, net interest, and business
current transfer payments) and the current surplus of government
enterprises. This component was revised down for all 3 years: $21.5
billion for 2002, $67.3 billion for 2003, and $118.9 billion for 2004.
Consumption of fixed capital (CFC). CFC, which is the charge for
the using up of private and government fixed capital, was revised down
$11.9 billion for 2002, was revised down $22.6 billion for 2003, and was
revised up $28.0 billion for 2004. The revisions for 2002 and 2003 were
more than accounted for by downward revisions to the private component
of CFC that resulted from the incorporation of improvements to the fixed
assets series. (10) The revision for 2004 was mostly accounted for by an
upward revision to the private component of CFC, reflecting the
replacement of estimates derived from quarterly extrapolations with
estimates derived from detailed annual source data, including revised
BEA estimates of fixed investment and revised prices for 2002-2004. (The
estimates of investment and prices are direct inputs into the
calculation of both private and government net capital stocks, which are
used to calculate the CFC.)
Private capital consumption allowances (CCA) is tax-return-based
depreciation for corporations and nonfarm proprietorships and
historical-cost depreciation (using consistent service lives) for farm
proprietorships, rental income of persons, and nonprofit institutions.
CCA was revised down for all 3 years: $17.0 billion for 2002, $98.0
billion for 2003, and $123.1 billion for 2004. These revisions primarily
resulted from the incorporation of revised and newly available IRS tax
return data that affect both the corporate and noncorporate components.
For corporations, the revisions for 2002 and 2003 resulted from the
incorporation of revised and newly available IRS tax return data. For
sole proprietorships and partnerships, the revision for 2003 resulted
from the incorporation of newly available IRS tax return data. For 2004,
the revision resulted from the incorporation of revised BEA projections
of IRS depreciation and amortization on the basis of BEA estimates of
investment flows and IRS service lives and depreciation conventions.
Private capital consumption adjustment (CCAdj) converts
depreciation that is on a historical-cost (book value) basis--CCA--to
depreciation that is on a current-cost (replacement) basis--CFC--and it
is derived as the difference between private CCA and private CFC.
Private GCAdj was revised up $2.1 billion for 2002, was revised down
$66.8 billion for 2003, and was revised down $129.1 billion for 2004.
Proprietors' income with IVA and CCAdj. Proprietors'
income with IVA and CCAdj was revised down for all 3 years: $1.2 billion
for 2002, $23.9 billion for 2003, and $13.2 billion for 2004. For all 3
years, the revisions reflect downward revisions to nonfarm
proprietors' income that were partly offset by upward revisions to
farm proprietors' income.
Farm proprietors' income was revised up for all 3 years: $0.9
billion for 2002, $5.9 billion for 2003, and $17.6 billion for 2004. For
2002 and 2003, the upward revisions resulted from the incorporation of
revised information from the U.S. Department of Agriculture (USDA) and
revised BEA estimates of depreciation. For 2004, the revision resulted
from the incorporation of newly available data from the USDA and revised
BEA estimates of depreciation.
Nonfarm proprietors' income with IVA and CCAdj was revised
down for all 3 years: $2.1 billion for 2002, $29.9 billion for 2003, and
$30.8 billion for 2004. For 2003, the revision reflects downward
revisions to the CCAdj and to nonfarm proprietors' income without
CCAdj; the revision to nonfarm proprietors' income was based on
newly available IRS tabulations of sole proprietorship and partnership
tax returns for 2003. For 2004, the revision mostly reflects a downward
revision to the CCAdj. (For more information about the CCAdj, see
"Consumption of fixed capital.")
Rental income of persons with CCAdj. Rental income of persons with
CCAdj was revised down for all 3 years: $18.0 billion for 2002, $22.1
billion for 2003, and $30.9 billion for 2004. For all 3 years, the
revisions were primarily accounted for by downward revisions to rental
income of persons without CCAdj for nonfarm residential dwellings,
reflecting downward revisions to nonfarm permanent-site space rent and
to space rent for manufactured homes. (11) For 2004, the revision also
reflects an upward revision to nonfarm permanent-site expenses,
specifically, revisions to closing costs and to maintenance and repairs
that resulted from the incorporation of data from regular sources and an
improved procedure for estimating maintenance and repairs (see
"Changes in Methodology").
Corporate profits with IVA and CCAdj. Corporate profits with IVA
and CCAdj was revised up $11.7 billion for 2002, was revised up $10.7
billion for 2003, and was revised down $20.1 billion for 2004. For 2002,
the revision reflects upward revisions to profits before tax and to the
CCAdj. For 2003, the revision reflects an upward revision to profits
before tax that was partly offset by a downward revision to the CCAdj.
For 2004, the revision reflects a downward revision to the CCAdj that
was partly offset by an upward revision to profits before tax. (For more
information about the CCAdj, see "Consumption of fixed
capital.") The revisions to profits before tax resulted from the
incorporation of revised 2002 and newly available 2003 IRS tabulations
of corporate tax return data and profits data for 2004 from regulatory
agencies and public financial reports.
For all 3 years, domestic profits were revised up, and
rest-of-the-world profits were revised down. The revisions to domestic
profits primarily resulted from the incorporation of revised 2002 and
newly available 2003 IRS tabulations of corporate tax return data and of
other data from regular sources. The revisions to rest-of-the-world
profits resulted from the incorporation of the annual revision of the
international transactions accounts (ITAs).
Net interest and miscellaneous payments. Net interest and
miscellaneous payments was revised down for all 3 years: $12.0 billion
for 2002, $14.5 billion for 2004, and $44.0 billion for 2004. The
revisions were accounted for by revisions to net interest. (12)
For 2002, the revision reflects downward revisions to both monetary
and imputed interest paid by domestic corporate business that were
partly offset by downward revisions to both monetary and imputed
interest received by domestic corporate business and by an upward
revision to monetary interest paid by the rest of the world.
For 2003, downward revisions to monetary interest paid by domestic
business, to imputed interest paid by domestic business, and to imputed
interest paid by the rest of the world were partly offset by downward
revisions to monetary interest received by domestic business, to imputed
interest received by domestic corporate business, and to imputed
interest received by the rest of the world.
The revisions to domestic monetary interest resulted from the
incorporation of revised and newly available IRS tabulations of tax
return data for corporations and for sole proprietorships and
partnerships. The revisions to rest-of-the-world monetary interest
resulted from the incorporation of the results of the annual revision of
the ITAs. The revisions to imputed interest paid resulted from the
incorporation of the methodological change for estimating imputed
commercial bank services (see "Changes in Methodology") and
the incorporation of revised Federal Reserve Board (FRB) tabulations of
commercial bank Call Report data, of newly available trade source data,
and of the results of the annual revision of the ITAs. The revisions to
imputed interest received resulted from the revisions to imputed
interest paid, from the incorporation of revised data from the FRB
flow-of-funds accounts on business deposits at commercial banks, and
from the annual revision of the ITAs.
For 2004, the upward revision to net interest was attributable to
the revisions to the 2003 levels and to newly incorporated regular
source data from regulatory agencies, particularly data from the FRB
flow-of-funds accounts. (13)
Taxes on production and imports. Taxes on production and imports
was revised up for all 3 years: $0.2 billion for 2002, $3.3 billion for
2003, and $11.7 billion for 2004. The revision for 2004 was mostly
accounted for by revisions to state and local government sales taxes and
property taxes, reflecting extrapolations of newly available tabulations
of Census Bureau Government Finances data for 2003.
Subsidies. Subsides was revised up $0.2 billion for 2002, was
unrevised for 2003, and was revised up $3.1 billion for 2004.
Business current transfer payments (net). This component consists
of "transfer payments to persons (net)" "business
transfer payments to government (net)" and "business transfer
payments to the rest of the world (net)."
"Business current transfer payments (net)" was revised up
for all 3 years: $3.4 billion for 2002, $3.9 billion for 2003, and $9.0
billion for 2004. For 2004, the upward revision primarily reflects an
upward revision to payments to the rest of the world (net), reflecting
the incorporation of the annual revision of the ITAs.
Current surplus of government enterprises. The current surplus of
government enterprises was revised down for all 3 years: $1.9 billion
for 2002, $8.2 billion for 2003, and $9.9 billion for 2004. The current
surplus of state and local government enterprises was revised down $4.3
billion for 2003 and was revised down $5.1 billion for 2004; the
revisions resulted from the incorporation of newly available tabulations
from the Census Bureau Government Finances on revenue and expenditures
for local electric utilities and for housing and urban development
programs. The current surplus of Federal Government enterprises was
revised down $3.9 billion for 2003 and was revised down $4.9 billion for
2004, primarily reflecting the incorporation of new and improved
tabulations of financial data from the Tennessee Valley Authority.
Net receipts of income. Net receipts of income from the rest of the
world, which is excluded from GDP but is included in gross national
product (GNP), was revised up for all 3 years: $3.6 billion for 2002,
$13.0 billion for 2003, and $9.8 billion for 2004. For all 3 years, the
upward revisions primarily reflect upward revisions to income receipts
from the rest of the world.
The revisions for all 3 years primarily resulted from the
incorporation of the results of the annual revision of the ITAs.
Specifically, the revised estimates of income receipts primarily
resulted from the incorporation of revised estimates of direct
investment income receipts, which resulted from the incorporation of
updated source data. The revised estimates of income payments primarily
resulted from the incorporation of updated source data.
As a result of the incorporation of the ITA revisions into the
NIPAs at "best level," the NIPA estimates for 2001 and for
2002 are discontinuous (table 7). For net receipts of income, the change
from 2001 to 2002 was understated by $1.6 billion. The discontinuity was
primarily accounted for by interest received from the rest of the world
and resulted from the incorporation of revised data from the U.S.
Treasury Department's benchmark survey of U.S. portfolio investment
abroad as part of the annual revision of the ITAs. For GNP, which
includes both net exports of goods and services and net receipts of
income, the change was understated by $1.6 billion.
Gross national product. GNP was revised down $13.9 billion, or 0.1
percent, for 2002, was revised down $19.9 billion, or 0.2 percent, for
2003, and was revised up $9.1 billion, or 0.1 percent, for 2004. The
revisions to GNP differ from those to GDP because of the revisions to
net receipts of income.
Personal income and its disposition
Personal income. Personal income was revised up for all 3 years:
$3.0 billion for 2002, $7.3 billion for 2003, and $23.7 billion for
2004. These revisions partly reflect the previously described revisions
to the components of national income that are included in personal
income--wage and salary disbursements, supplements to wages and
salaries, proprietors' income, and rental income of persons--and
they reflect the revision to the component of personal income--personal
income receipts on assets--that is derived from related components of
national income. The revisions also reflect revisions to personal
current transfer receipts and to contributions for government social
insurance.
Compensation of employees, received. These revisions primarily
reflect the revisions to "compensation of employees, paid."
Personal income receipts on assets. This aggregate consists of
personal interest income and personal dividend income. Personal interest
income consists of monetary and imputed interest received by persons
from all sources; it is calculated as net interest plus interest paid by
persons and interest paid by government less interest received by
government. Personal interest income was revised down for all 3 years:
$10.6 billion for 2002, $12.3 billion for 2003, and $40.3 billion for
2004. These revisions primarily reflect the revisions to net interest.
Personal dividend income consists of dividend income received by
persons from all sources and is equal to net corporate dividends less
dividends received by government. Personal dividend income was revised
up for all 3 years: $9.3 billion for 2002, $28.3 billion for 2003, and
$49.5 billion for 2004. These revisions resulted from the incorporation
of revised and newly available IRS tabulations of corporate tax return
data, of the results from the annual revision of the ITAs, and of data
from public financial statements.
Personal current transfer receipts. Personal current transfer
receipts consists of government social benefits and business current
transfer payments to persons. Personal current transfer receipts was
revised up for all 3 years: $3.5 billion for 2002, $8.6 billion for
2003, and $21.6 billion for 2004.
Government social benefits to persons was unrevised for 2002, was
revised up $7.1 billion for 2003, and was revised up $21.3 billion for
2004. Federal Government social benefits to persons was revised up $6.1
billion for 2003 and was revised up $15.7 billion for 2004, primarily as
a result of upward revisions to medical care payments, reflecting
extrapolations of newly available tabulations of Medicare payments for
2002 from the Centers for Medicare and Medicaid Services (CMS) using
Medicare outlays from the Treasury Department. For 2004, state and local
government social benefits to persons was revised up $5.8 billion; the
revision resulted from the incorporation of newly available tabulations
of Medicaid payments for 2004 from the CMS.
The revisions to business current transfer payments to persons were
small.
Contributions for government social insurance. These contributions
are deducted in the calculation of personal income, and they consist of
both personal and employer contributions. Contributions for government
social insurance was revised up $1.7 billion for 2002, was revised up
$3.4 billion for 2003, and was revised down $0.4 billion for 2004.
Personal current taxes. This component was revised up $0.6 billion
for 2002, was revised down $2.0 billion for 2003, and was revised up
$6.5 billion for 2004. For 2004, the upward revision was more than
accounted for by an upward revision to Federal income taxes that
resulted from the incorporation of newly available data on personal
income tax receipts from the Treasury Department.
Disposable personal income (DPI). Reflecting the revisions to
personal income and to personal current taxes, DPI was revised up for
all 3 years: $2.4 billion for 2002, $9.3 billion for 2003, and $17.3
billion for 2004.
Personal outlays. This category consists of PCE, personal interest
payments, and personal current transfer payments. This aggregate was
revised down for all 3 years: $23.2 billion for 2002, $53.0 billion for
2003, and $19.4 billion for 2004. Revisions to PCE more than accounted
for the revision for 2002 and accounted for most of the revisions for
2003 and 2004.
Personal saving. Personal saving--the difference between DPI and
personal outlays--was revised up for all 3 years: $25.5 billion for
2002, $62.2 billion for 2003, and $36.8 billion for 2004. For 2002, the
revision mostly reflects the downward revision to personal outlays. For
2003 and 2004, the upward revisions reflect both the upward revisions to
DPI and the downward revisions to personal outlays. Mainly reflecting
the revisions to personal saving, the personal saving rate--personal
saving as a percentage of DPI--was revised up for all 3 years: From 2.0
percent to 2.4 percent for 2002, from 1.4 percent to 2.1 percent for
2003, and from 1.3 percent to 1.8 percent for 2004.
Saving and investment
Gross saving consists of net saving and consumption of fixed
capital (CFC). Net saving consists of net private saving and net
government saving. Gross saving was revised up $4.8 billion for 2002,
was revised down $13.6 billion for 2003, and was revised down $66.9
billion for 2004. Gross saving as a percentage of gross national income
was revised up 0.1 percentage point to 14.2 percent for 2002, was
revised down 0.1 percentage point to 13.4 percent for 2003, and was
revised down 0.6 percentage point to 13.4 percent for 2004.
For 2002, an upward revision to net saving was partly offset by a
downward revision to CFC. The revision to net saving reflects an upward
revision to net private saving that was partly offset by a downward
revision to net government saving. In net private saving, an upward
revision to personal saving was partly offset by a downward revision to
undistributed corporate profits with IVA and CCAdj. In net government
saving, a downward revision to state and local government net saving was
partly offset by an upward revision to Federal Government net saving.
For 2003, a downward revision to CFC was partly offset by an upward
revision to net saving. The revision to net saving reflects an upward
revision to net private saving that was partly offset by a downward
revision to net government saving. In net private saving, an upward
revision to personal saving was partly offset by a downward revision to
undistributed corporate profits with IVA and CCAdj. The revision to net
government saving reflects downward revisions to state and local
government net saving and to Federal Government net saving.
For 2004, a downward revision to net saving was partly offset by an
upward revision to CFC. The revision to net saving reflects downward
revisions to net private saving and to net government saving. The
revision to net private saving reflects a downward revision to
undistributed corporate profits with IVA and CCAdj that was partly
offset by an upward revision to personal saving. The revision to net
government saving reflects downward revisions to Federal Government net
saving and to state and local government net saving.
"Net lending or net borrowing, NIPAs"--the difference
between the sum of gross saving and the statistical discrepancy and the
sum of gross domestic investment and capital account transactions
(net)--was revised down $0.8 billion for 2002, was revised up $6.3
billion for 2003, and was revised down $16.1 billion for 2004. For 2002,
the revision reflects a downward revision to the statistical discrepancy
that was largely offset by an upward revision to gross saving. For 2003,
the revision primarily reflects an upward revision to the statistical
discrepancy that was partly offset by a downward revision to gross
saving and an upward revision to gross domestic investment. For 2004,
the revision reflects a downward revision to gross saving that was
partly offset by an upward revision to the statistical discrepancy and a
downward revision to gross domestic investment.
Annual price estimates
Revisions to the chain-type price indexes result from the
incorporation of newly available and revised source data and from the
regularly scheduled incorporation of annual weights for the most recent
year (2004). In this annual revision, the source data for price indexes
that are used for deflation and the source data that affect implicit
prices were revised. (14) A change in methodology for computing the
implicit services of commercial banks also affected the chain-type price
indexes (see the section "Changes in Methodology"). In
addition, the prices used for deflation reflect updated seasonal
factors.
The percent change from the preceding year in the price index for
gross domestic purchases was revised up 0.1 percentage point to 1.6
percent for 2002, was revised up 0.2 percentage point to 2.2 percent for
2003, and was revised up 0.5 percentage point to 2.9 percent for 2004
(see the addendum to table 8 and chart 1). The annual percent change in
the price index for GDP was unrevised at 1.7 percent for 2002, was
revised up 0.2 percentage point to 2.0 percent for 2003, and was revised
up 0.4 percentage point to 2.6 percent for 2004.
For 2002, the upward revision to the price index for gross domestic
purchases primarily reflects an upward revision to the price index for
nonresidential structures. The revision to the price index for
nonresidential structures primarily reflects an upward revision to the
implicit price for "mining exploration, shafts, and wells,"
which reflects the revisions to the current-dollar estimates.
For 2003, the revision to the price index for gross domestic
purchases primarily reflects upward revisions to the price indexes for
state and local government spending and for nonresidential structures.
The revision to the price index for state and local government spending
reflects an upward revision to compensation. The revision to the price
index for nonresidential structures reflects an upward revision to the
implicit price for "mining exploration, shafts, and wells."
For 2004, the revision to the price index for gross domestic
purchases primarily reflects upward revisions to the price indexes for
PCE for services, for Federal defense and nondefense spending, and for
residential fixed investment. The revision to the price index for PCE
for services was attributable to an upward revision to the price index
for the implicit services of other financial institutions, reflecting
the incorporation of newly available source data, and an upward revision
to the price index for medical care services, reflecting revised BLS
producer price indexes. The revisions to the price index for Federal
defense and nondefense spending reflect upward revisions to
compensation. The revision to the price index for residential fixed
investment primarily reflects a revision to the price of single-family
structures, reflecting a revised Census Bureau price index.
Changes in Methodology
As part of the annual revision to the NIPAs, several changes in
methodology were incorporated. (15)
Motor vehicles. The procedure used to prepare the quarterly
estimates of change in private inventories for new domestic autos and
for new domestic light trucks has been improved so that the change in
unit inventories is now consistent with unit inventories reported in
Ward's Automotive Reports.
Change in unit inventories is calculated as vehicle production plus
Canadian and Mexican imports less sales and exports. (16) Each of these
components is seasonally adjusted. Before being seasonally adjusted, the
quarterly estimates of change in unit inventories for both new domestic
autos and new domestic light trucks are now adjusted to ensure
consistency with monthly inventory data from Ward's. Previously,
only the annual estimate of change in unit inventories for new domestic
autos was adjusted to the Ward's unit inventory data, and no
adjustment was made for new domestic light trucks.
In addition, the estimates of final sales and change in private
inventories for new domestic autos reflect new source data on retail and
wholesale prices, beginning with the first quarter of 2005. The data on
retail prices are monthly dealer transactions prices by model and model
year from a trade source and reflect all discounts and customer rebates.
The monthly wholesale prices used for the valuation of inventories
reflect factory-to-dealer rebates. Previously, the source data for
retail prices were not transactions prices; the data were based on
annual price lists by model and model year published by the Automobile
Invoice Service (AIS) and adjusted with BLS monthly data on
transportation charges, markups or discounts, and customer rebates. The
AIS data on wholesale prices that were previously used did not include
factory-to-dealer rebates.
New quarterly services survey. Beginning with this annual revision,
BEA is incorporating data from the Census Bureau's new quarterly
services survey into the estimates of investment in prepackaged and
custom software and of the several components of PCE for services,
including cellular telephone, cable television, local telephone,
long-distance telephone, and internet service providers, legal services,
and "other transportation services." (17) The quarterly
services survey is the Federal Government's first new economic
indicator in nearly 30 years and provides timely information on economic
performance in the services industries.
Implicit services of banks. In the 2003 comprehensive revision of
the NIPAs, a reference rate of interest that represents the risk-free
opportunity cost of borrowing or lending funds was introduced in the
calculation of the implicit services of banks. (18) The rate was
calculated using U.S. Treasury and Federal agency securities from
Federal Reserve Board tabulations of the Federal Financial Institutions
Examination Council Call Report data on commercial banks. However, the
resulting estimates of the depositors' share and borrowers'
share of the implicit services of commercial banks exhibited a
considerable degree of volatility because of the inclusion of
mortgage-backed securities.
Beginning with this annual revision, mortgage-backed securities
have been eliminated from the reference-rate calculation in an effort to
obtain a more risk-free rate and to reduce the volatility of the
resulting estimates of personal interest income, personal interest
payments, net interest, and PCE for services.
The quarterly and monthly estimates are now interpolated and
extrapolated from the annual estimates by an indicator series that is
based on the quarterly Call Report data. Beginning with this annual
revision, the quarterly indicator used for estimating depositor services
excludes three types of deposits that are made mostly by business: Large
time deposits, other time deposits, and other interest bearing
liabilities.
Improved estimates of maintenance and repairs. The estimates of
rental income of persons with capital consumption adjustment are
primarily calculated as space rent less expenses. Maintenance and
repairs is a relatively large and often volatile component of expenses;
the estimates are based on data from the Census Bureau
"Expenditures for Residential Improvements and Repairs" (C-50
report). The revised annual estimates have been improved to reflect a
growth rate based on a 3-year centered moving average of the C-50 report
data, and the quarterly estimates are interpolations and extrapolations
of the resulting annual estimates. (19) Previously, the annual estimates
reflected only the annual growth rate of the C-50 report data, and the
quarterly estimates were interpolations and extrapolations of the annual
estimates.
Appendix A follows.
Acknowledgments
Carol E. Moylan, Chief of the National Income and Wealth Division,
supervised the preparation of this year's annual revision of the
national income and product accounts. Brooks B. Robinson, Chief of the
Government Division, directed major parts of the revision. Brent R.
Moulton, Associate Director for National Economic Accounts, provided
overall supervision. Karl K. Kong--together with Jennifer A. Bennett,
Velma P. Henry, Andrew K. Hummel, Arnold J. Katz, Janet H. Kmitch,
Charles I. Mead, Denise A. McBride, Brian C. Moyer, and David F.
Sullivan--coordinated and conducted the estimation and review process.
Eugene E Seskin, Shelly Smith, and Teresa L. Weadock wrote the
article. Duane G. Hackmann, Shaunda M. Villones, and Teresa L. Weadock
prepared analyses and other review materials for both the article and
the news release. Michael J. Boehm, Soo N. Kim, Ross E Metzger, Shane A.
Murray, Lisa C. Ninomiya, Michael J. Ocasio, James J. Raley III, Michael
D. Randall, Karl V. Rohrer, Andrew G. Schmidt, Christopher M. Siwy, Eric
M. Weiss, and Mary D. Young, under the direction of Robert A. Hill,
developed and operated the computer systems that were used to compile,
check, analyze, and report the final estimates.
Other BEA staff who made significant contributions to the revision
are listed below by area of expertise.
Personal consumption expenditures: Clinton P. McCully. Goods: Tony
Troy, Harvey L. Davis, Jr., Everette E Johnson, Matthew D. Tschetter.
Services: Michael Armah, Robert N. Ganz III, Brendan J. Leary, Dennis R.
Weikel.
Investment and foreign transactions: Paul R. Lally. Inventories,
foreign transactions, and prices: Jennifer A. Ribarsky, Lisa A. Dawn,
John W. Drewry, Andrew K. Hummel, Soo Jeong Kim, Todd P. Siebeneck,
Enrico Tan. Structures, equipment, and software: Jeffrey W. Crawford,
Velma P. Henry, Bonnie A. Retus, Todd P. Siebeneck, Linden L. Webber.
Federal Government: Pamela A. Kelly, W. Robert Armstrong, Peter G.
Beall, Jennifer A. Bennett, Andrew P. Cairns, Andrea L. Cook,
Christopher G. Falcone, Gregory J. Kuczura, Raymen G. Labella, Benjamin
A. Mandel, Farah Naz, Michelle D. Robinson, Mary L. Roy, Benyam Tsehaye,
Andrew E. Vargo.
Special studies: Robert J. Kornfeld, Wanda Y. Chambers, Gary W.
Davis, Francesca B. Holzheimer, Mark A. Ledbetter, Zhi Wang.
State and local government: Bruce E. Baker, Steven J. Andrews,
Benjamin D. Cowan, Aya Hamano, Alyssa E. Holdren, Erin M. Ludlow,
Rebecca A. Rider.
Chain-type quantity and price measures and nominal measures:
Michael J. Boehm, James J. Raley III, Karl V. Rohrer, Mary D. Young.
Personal income: Kurt Kunze, Toui C. Pomsouvan.
Employee compensation: Kurt Kunze, Jennifer R. Mykijewycz, James E.
Rankin, Elijah Slack, Ernest D. Wilcox.
Business income: Kurt Kunze, M. Greg Key, Charles S. Robinson,
Jerry L. Stone, Garth K. Trinkl.
Property income: Nicole M. Mayerhauser. Farm output and income:
Gregory J. Shotwell. Interest income: Shaunda M. Villones. Rental income
of persons and housing output: Denise A. McBride. Insurance: Clark F.
Schier.
Consumption of fixed capital: Private: David B. Wasshausen, Michael
T. Cusick, Michael D. Glenn, Leonard J. Loebach, Julia T.D. Nguyen.
Government: Robert J. Kornfeld, D. Timothy Dobbs.
NIPA information: Marilyn E. Baker, Virginia H. Mannering, Teresa
L. Weadock.
Secretarial and program assistance: Adrienne M. Burch, Esther M.
Carter, Katherine Dent, Angela P. Pointer.
Other contributors to the review process include Florence H. Campi,
Adrienne S. Evans, Lauren C. Morse, and Qing Zhao.
Data Availability
An extensive set of estimates are presented in "National
Income and Product Accounts" in this issue. These estimates and
annual estimates for 1929 forward and quarterly estimates for 1946
forward are available on BEA's Web site at <www.bea.gov>.
Later this year, the NIPA estimates will be available on a CD-ROM; its
availability will be announced in the SURVEY Or CURRENT BUSINESS and on
BEA's Web site.
Selected revised NIPA estimates and related estimates will be
published in upcoming issues of the SURVEY. The September SURVEY will
present NIPA table 7.19 (which shows the relationship between personal
income in the NIPAs and adjusted gross income from the IRS); it will
also present new estimates of fixed assets and consumer durable goods
for 2004 and revised estimates for 2002 and 2003.
The October SURVEY will present the following NIPA tables: Tables
3.15-3.17 (government spending by function), tables 3.18-3.19
(government sector reconciliation tables), and tables 8.1-8.6
(seasonally unadjusted estimates). It will also present revised real
inventories, sales, and inventory-sales ratios for manufacturing and
trade for 2002:I-2005:I. In addition, the revised estimates of state
personal income that incorporate the results of this annual revision of
the NIPAs will be presented.
The November SURVEY will feature the "Updated Summary NIPA
Methodologies" which lists the principal source data and estimating
methods that are used in preparing the current-dollar and real estimates
of GDP.
Revised and updated estimates of GDP by industry will be available
in the late fall of 2005. A future issue of the SURVEY will feature NIPA
table 2.9 (personal income by households and by nonprofits institutions
serving households) and table 7.20 (nonprofits reconciliation table).
(1.) Information about the structure, definitions, presentation,
and methodologies that underlie the NIPAs and that reflect the 2003
comprehensive NIPA revision is available on BEA's Web site; go to
<www.bea.gov>, and click on "Methodologies."
(2.) In this article, "government spending" is shorthand
for the NIPA series "government consumption expenditures and gross
investment."
(3.) For the GDP components for which chained-dollar estimates are
prepared by extrapolation or direct valuation, the current-dollar and
chained-dollar estimates are based on independent source data;
consequently, the corresponding revisions are unrelated. For a list of
these components, see table 2 in "Updated Summary NIPA
Methodologies" SURVEY OF CURRENT BUSINESS 84 (November 2004):
28-32.
(4.) See the box "The Statistical Discrepancy" in Robert
P. Parker and Eugene P. Seskin, "Annual Revision of the National
Income and Product Accounts," SURVEY 77 (August 1997): 19.
(5.) The Census Bureau data on the value of construction put in
place are the major source data for the estimates of both nonresidential
and residential structures. The revised estimates are based on the
"best period-to-period change" rather than on the "best
level" of the appropriate Census Bureau series; see the box
"Incorporating Source Data on the Basis of 'Best
Change'" in Eugene P. Seskin and David F. Sullivan,
"Annual Revision of the National Income and Product Accounts,"
SURVEY 80 (August 2000): 16.
(6.) Change in private inventories is calculated by adjusting
inventories reported by businesses on a non-LIFO (last-in-first-out)
book value basis to a current-period replacement-cost basis; this
revaluation eliminates gains or losses that result from holding
inventories when prices change. The inventory valuation adjustment
(IVA), which is calculated as the change in private inventories less the
change in book values, reflects inventory price changes for firms that
value inventory withdrawals at acquisition (historical) cost.
(7.) The IVA is not needed for farm inventories, because they are
measured on the basis of current market price.
(8.) See Christopher L. Bach, "Annual Revision of the U.S.
International Accounts, 1991-2004," SURVEY 85 (July 2005): 54-67.
(9.) The value of services produced by general government is
measured by the cost of inputs, including compensation of employees,
consumption of fixed capital, and intermediate goods and services
purchased.
(10.) This series was posted on BENs Web site in March 2005 at
<www.bea.gov/bea/dn/FA2004/index.asp>.
(11.) The revisions to space rent were discussed in the section
"PCE for services."
(12.) Net interest is calculated as the sum of monetary interest
paid by domestic business, by owner-occupied housing, by nonprofit
institutions serving households, by the rest of the world and imputed
interest paid by these sectors, less monetary interest received by
domestic business, by owner occupied-housing, by the rest of the world
and imputed interest received by these sectors.
(13.) For 2004, the revision cannot be attributed to the same level
of component detail as that for 2003, because for 2004, the previously
published estimates were prepared at a less detailed level.
(14.) The implicit prices are computed by dividing the
current-dollar estimates by the chained-dollar estimates that are
derived from the quantity data used in quantity extrapolation and direct
valuation. Thus, differences between the current-dollar revisions and
the chained-dollar revisions to these components are reflected as
revisions to their implicit prices.
(15.) These changes update the methodological information in the
two tables that were published in "Updated Summary NIPA
Methodologies."
(16.) Sales and inventories of domestic autos and light trucks
consist of units assembled in the United States, Canada, and Mexico.
Domestic production consists only of units that are assembled in the
United States, so that Canadian and Mexican imports must be added to
production and exports must be subtracted to obtain a measure of
domestic supply, from which sales are subtracted to obtain a measure of
change in unit inventories.
(17.) The PCE services components that now incorporate data from
the quarterly services survey account for between 3 and 4 percent of
total PCE.
(18.) See Brent R. Moulton and Eugene P. Seskin, "Preview of
the 2003 Comprehensive Revision of the National Income and Product
Accounts: Changes in Definitions and Classifications," SURVEY 83
(June 2003): 23-27.
(19.) This change is consistent with the method used for estimating
residential improvements included in private fixed investment; see Carol
E. Moylan and Brooks B. Robinson, "Preview of the 2003
Comprehensive Revision of the National Income and Product Accounts:
Statistical Changes" SURVEY 83 (September 2003): 23.
Appendix A. Revisions to the National Income and Product Accounts
[Billions of dollars]
2002
Revised Revision
Account 1. Domestic
Income and Product
Account
Compensation of employees, paid 6,096.6 21.7
Wage and salary accruals 4,986.3 4.6
Disbursements 4,986.3 4.6
Wage accruals less disbursements 0.0 0.0
Supplements to wages and salaries 1,110.3 17.1
Taxes on production and imports 762.8 0.2
Less: Subsidies 38.4 0.2
Net operating surplus 2,377.6 -21.5
Private enterprises 2,376.8 -19.5
Current surplus of government enterprises 0.9 -1.9
Consumption of fixed capital 1,292.0 -11.9
Gross domestic income 10,490.6 -11.7
Statistical discrepancy -21.0 -5.7
GROSS DOMESTIC PRODUCT 10,469.6 -17.4
Personal consumption expenditures 7,350.7 25.4
Durable goods 923.9 7.7
Nondurable goods 2,079.6 -0.5
Services 4,347.2 32.6
Gross private domestic investment 1,582.1 2.9
Fixed investment 1,570.2 2.2
Nonresidential 1,066.3 2.4
Structures 279.2 7.6
Equipment and software 787.1 -5.3
Residential 503.9 -0.2
Change in private inventories 11.9 0.7
Net exports of goods and services -424.4 0.5
Exports 1,005.9 0.9
Imports 1,430.3 0.4
Government consumption expenditures and gross
investment 1,961.1 4.5
Federal 679.7 -1.1
National defense 437.1 -0.3
Nondefense 242.5 -0.9
State and local 1,281.5 5.7
GROSS DOMESTIC PRODUCT 10,469.6 -17.4
Account 2. Private
Enterprise Income
Account
Income payments on assets 2,104.2 -46.4
Interest and miscellaneous payments 2,055.6 -46.8
Dividend payments to the rest of the world 45.0 2.2
Reinvested earnings on foreign direct
investment in the United States 3.6 -1.8
Business current transfer payments (net) 84.3 3.4
To persons (net) 37.3 3.6
To government (net) 46.6 -0.1
To the rest of the world (net) 0.3 -0.1
Proprietors' income with inventory valuation
and capital consumption adjustments 768.4 -1.2
Rental income of persons with capital
consumption adjustment 152.9 -18.0
Corporate profits with inventory valuation and
capital consumption adjustments 886.3 11.7
Taxes on corporate income 192.6 8.8
To government 182.6 8.0
To the rest of the world 10.0 0.7
Profits after tax with inventory valuation
and capital consumption adjustments 693.7 3.0
Net dividends 399.2 9.2
Undistributed corporate profits with
inventory valuation and capital
consumption adjustments 294.5 -6.2
USES OF PRIVATE ENTERPRISE INCOME 3,996.1 -50.4
Net operating surplus 2,376.8 -19.5
Income receipts on assets 1,619.4 -30.8
Interest 1,414.9 -29.3
Dividend receipts from the rest of the world 92.8 7.4
Reinvested earnings on U.S. direct investment
abroad 111.6 -9.0
SOURCES OF PRIVATE ENTERPRISE INCOME 3,996.1 -50.4
Account 3. Personal
Income and Outlay
Account
Personal current taxes 1,051.8 0.6
Personal outlays 7,645.3 -23.2
Personal consumption expenditures 7,350.7 -25.4
Personal interest payments 196.4 -0.8
Personal current transfer payments 98.2 2.9
To government 58.2 -1.3
To the rest of the world (net) 40.0 4.3
Personal saving 184.7 25.5
PERSONAL TAXES, OUTLAYS, AND SAVING 8,881.9 3.0
Compensation of employees, received 6,091.2 21.7
Wage and salary disbursements 4,980.9 4.6
Domestic 4,978.0 4.7
Rest of the world 2.9 0.0
Supplements to wages and salaries 1,110.3 17.1
Employer contributions for employee pension
and insurance funds 745.1 15.5
Employer contributions for government
social insurance 365.2 1.6
Proprietors' income with inventory valuation
and capital consumption adjustments 768.4 -1.2
Rental income of persons with capital
consumption adjuestment 152.9 -18.0
Personal income receipts on assets 1,333.2 -1.4
Personal interest income 936.1 -10.6
Personal dividend income 397.2 9.3
Personal current transfer receipts 1,286.2 3.5
Government social benefits 1,248.9 0.0
From business (net) 37.3 3.6
Less: Contributions for government social
insurance 750.0 1.7
PERSONAL INCOME 8,881.9 3.0
Account 4. Govern-
ment Receipts and
Expenditures Account
Consumption expenditures 1,616.9 7.7
Current transfer payments 1,270.4 -0.1
Government social benefits 1,251.6 0.0
To persons 1,248.9 0.0
To the rest of the world 2.7 0.0
Other current transfer payments to the rest
of the world (net) 18.8 0.0
Interest payments 315.1 -1.3
Subsidies 38.4 0.2
Less. Wage accruals less disbursements 0.0 0.0
Net government saving -282.1 -2.6
Federal -247.9 6.6
State and local -34.2 -9.2
GOVERNMENT CURRENT EXPENDITURES AND NET SAVING 2,958.7 4.0
Current tax receipts 2,004.5 9.0
Personal current taxes 1,051.8 0.6
Taxes on production and imports 762.8 0.2
Taxes on corporate income 182.6 8.0
Taxes from the rest of the world 7.3 0.2
Contributions for government social insurance 750.0 1.7
Income receipts on assets 98.4 -3.5
Interest and miscellaneous receipts 96.4 -3.4
Dividends 2.0 -0.1
Current transfer receipts 104.9 -1.4
From business (net) 46.6 -0.1
From persons 58.2 -1.3
Current surplus of government enterprises 0.9 -1.9
GOVERNMENT CURRENT RECEIPTS 2,958.7 4.0
Account 5. Foreign
Transactions Current
Account
Exports of goods and services 1,005.9 0.9
Income receipts from the rest of the world 305.7 3.9
Wage and salary receipts 2.9 0.0
Income receipts on assets 302.7 3.9
Interest 98.3 5.5
Dividends 92.8 7.4
Reinvested earnings on U.S. direct investment
abroad 111.6 -9.0
CURRENT RECEIPTS FROM THE REST OF THE WORLD 1,311.6 4.8
Imports of goods and services 1,430.3 0.4
Income payments to the rest of the world 275.0 0.3
Wage and salary payments 8.4 0.0
Income payments on assets 266.7 0.4
Interest 218.0 -0.1
Dividends 45.0 2.2
Reinvested earnings on foreign direct
investment in the United States 3.6 -1.8
Current taxes and transfer payments to the rest
of the world (net) 64.5 4.7
From persons (net) 40.0 4.3
From government (net) 14.3 -0.1
From business (net) 10.3 0.6
Balance on current account, national income and
product accounts -458.3 -0.6
CURRENT PAYMENTS TO THE REST OF THE WORLD AND
BALANCE ON CURRENT ACCOUNT 1,311.6 4.8
Account 6. Domestic
Capital Account
Gross domestic investment 1,926.4 -0.2
Private fixed investment 1,570.2 2.2
Government fixed investment 344.3 -3.1
Change in private inventories 11.9 0.7
Capital account transactions (net) 1.4 0.1
Net lending or net borrowing (-), national
income and product accounts -459.7 -0.8
GROSS DOMESTIC INVESTMENT, CAPITAL ACCOUNT
TRANSACTION, AND NET LENDING 1,468.1 -0.8
Net saving 197.1 16.8
Personal saving 184.7 25.5
Undistributed corporate profits with
inventory valuation and capital consumption
adjustments 294.5 -0.2
Wage accruals less disbursements (private) 0.0 0.0
Net government saving -282.1 -2.6
Plus: Consumption of fixed capital 1,292.0 -11.9
Private 1,080.3 -12.5
Government 211.6 0.4
General government 178.3 0.3
Government enterprises 33.4 0.2
Equals: Gross saving 1,489.1 4.8
Statistical discrepancy -21.0 -5.7
GROSS SAVING AND STATISTICAL DISCREPANCY 1,468.1 -0.8
Account 7. Foreign
Transactions Capital
Account
BALANCE ON CURRENT ACCOUNT, NATIONAL INCOME AND
PRODUCT ACCOUNTS -458.3 -0.6
Capital account transactions (net) 1.4 0.1
Net lending or net borrowing (-), national
income and product accounts -459.7 -0.8
CAPITAL ACCOUNT TRANSACTIONS (NET) AND NET
LENDING, NATIONAL INCOME AND PRODUCT ACCOUNTS -458.3 -0.6
2003
Revised Revision
Account 1. Domestic
Income and Product
Account
Compensation of employees, paid 6,326.7 32.2
Wage and salary accruals 5,116.7 7.6
Disbursements 5,116.7 7.6
Wage accruals less disbursements 0.0 0.0
Supplements to wages and salaries 1,210.0 24.5
Taxes on production and imports 801.4 3.3
Less: Subsidies 46.7 0.0
Net operating surplus 2,511.4 -7.3
Private enterprises 2,510.1 -59.1
Current surplus of government enterprises 1.3 -8.2
Consumption of fixed capital 1,331.3 -22.6
Gross domestic income 10,924.2 -54.3
Statistical discrepancy 47.1 21.5
GROSS DOMESTIC PRODUCT 10,971.2 -32.8
Personal consumption expenditures 7,709.9 -51.0
Durable goods 950.1 -0.6
Nondurable goods 2,189.0 -11.1
Services 4,570.8 -39.3
Gross private domestic investment 1,670.4 4.6
Fixed investment 1,654.9 -12.1
Nonresidential 1,082.4 -12.3
Structures 276.9 15.3
Equipment and software 805.6 -27.5
Residential 572.5 0.2
Change in private inventories 15.4 16.6
Net exports of goods and services -500.9 -2.8
Exports 1,045.6 -0.6
Imports 1,546.5 2.2
Government consumption expenditures and gross
investment 2,091.9 16.4
Federal 754.8 2.6
National defense 496.7 0.3
Nondefense 258.2 2.5
State and local 1,337.1 13.8
GROSS DOMESTIC PRODUCT 10,971.2 -32.8
Account 2. Private
Enterprise Income
Account
Income payments on assets 2,004.6 -130.0
Interest and miscellaneous payments 1,924.9 -135.9
Dividend payments to the rest of the world 67.7 6.1
Reinvested earnings on foreign direct
investment in the United States 12.0 -0.2
Business current transfer payments (net) 81.6 3.9
To persons (net) 30.5 1.6
To government (net) 48.9 2.3
To the rest of the world (net) 2.3 0.1
Proprietors' income with inventory valuation
and capital consumption adjustments 810.2 -23.9
Rental income of persons with capital
consumption adjustment 131.7 -22.1
Corporate profits with inventory valuation and
capital consumption adjustments 1,031.8 10.7
Taxes on corporate income 232.1 -2.8
To government 221.9 -3.9
To the rest of the world 10.2 1.1
Profits after tax with inventory valuation
and capital consumption adjustments 799.7 13.5
Net dividends 423.2 27.9
Undistributed corporate profits with
inventory valuation and capital
consumption adjustments 376.5 -14.4
USES OF PRIVATE ENTERPRISE INCOME 4,059.8 -161.6
Net operating surplus 2,510.1 -59.1
Income receipts on assets 1,549.7 -102.5
Interest 1,293.9 -107.6
Dividend receipts from the rest of the world 97.5 15.4
Reinvested earnings on U.S. direct investment
abroad 158.2 -10.4
SOURCES OF PRIVATE ENTERPRISE INCOME 4,059.8 -161.6
Account 3. Personal
Income and Outlay
Account
Personal current taxes 999.9 -2.0
Personal outlays 7,996.3 -53.0
Personal consumption expenditures 7,709.9 -51.0
Personal interest payments 183.2 -2.1
Personal current transfer payments 103.3 0.2
To government 62.1 -2.8
To the rest of the world (net)
Personal saving 172.8 62.2
PERSONAL TAXES, OUTLAYS, AND SAVING 9,169.1 7.3
Compensation of employees, received 6,321.1 32.1
Wage and salary disbursements 5,111.1 7.5
Domestic 5,108.2 7.7
Rest of the world 3.0 0.0
Supplements to wages and salaries 1,210.0 24.5
Employer contributions for employee pension
and insurance funds 830.0 21.1
Employer contributions for government
social insurance 380.0 3.4
Proprietors' income with inventory valuation
and capital consumption adjustments 810.2 -23.9
Rental income of persons with capital
consumption adjuestment 131.7 -22.1
Personal income receipts on assets 1,338.7 16.0
Personal interest income 917.6 -12.3
Personal dividend income 421.1 28.3
Personal current transfer receipts 1,344.0 8.6
Government social benefits 1,313.5 7.1
From business (net) 30.5 1.6
Less: Contributions for government social
insurance 776.6 3.4
PERSONAL INCOME 9,169.1 7.3
Account 4. Govern-
ment Receipts and
Expenditures Account
Consumption expenditures 1,736.7 19.6
Current transfer payments 1,340.0 7.1
Government social benefits 1,316.4 7.1
To persons 1,313.5 7.1
To the rest of the world 2.8 0.0
Other current transfer payments to the rest
of the world (net) 23.6 -0.1
Interest payments 301.4 -1.6
Subsidies 46.7 0.0
Less. Wage accruals less disbursements 0.0 0.0
Net government saving -406.5 -38.7
Federal -382.7 -18.2
State and local -23.8 -20.6
GOVERNMENT CURRENT EXPENDITURES AND NET SAVING 3,018.1 -13.9
Current tax receipts 2,031.8 -2.0
Personal current taxes 999.9 -2.0
Taxes on production and imports 801.4 3.3
Taxes on corporate income 221.9 -3.9
Taxes from the rest of the world 8.5 0.4
Contributions for government social insurance 776.6 3.4
Income receipts on assets 97.6 -0.4
Interest and miscellaneous receipts 95.4 -6.0
Dividends 2.1 -0.4
Current transfer receipts 110.9 -0.6
From business (net) 48.9 2.3
From persons 62.1 -2.8
Current surplus of government enterprises 1.3 -8.2
GOVERNMENT CURRENT RECEIPTS 3,018.1 -13.9
Account 5. Foreign
Transactions Current
Account
Exports of goods and services 1,045.6 -0.6
Income receipts from the rest of the world 343.7 14.7
Wage and salary receipts 3.0 0.0
Income receipts on assets 340.7 14.7
Interest 85.0 9.7
Dividends 97.5 15.4
Reinvested earnings on U.S. direct investment
abroad 158.2 -10.4
CURRENT RECEIPTS FROM THE REST OF THE WORLD 1,389.3 14.1
Imports of goods and services 1,546.5 2.2
Income payments to the rest of the world 275.6 1.7
Wage and salary payments 8.5 0.0
Income payments on assets 267.1 1.7
Interest 187.4 -4.1
Dividends 67.7 6.1
Reinvested earnings on foreign direct
investment in the United States 12.0 -0.2
Current taxes and transfer payments to the rest
of the world (net) 71.7 3.8
From persons (net) 41.2 3.0
From government (net) 18.0 -0.4
From business (net) 12.4 1.1
Balance on current account, national income and
product accounts -504.5 6.4
CURRENT PAYMENTS TO THE REST OF THE WORLD AND
BALANCE ON CURRENT ACCOUNT 1,389.3 14.1
Account 6. Domestic
Capital Account
Gross domestic investment 2,025.6 1.4
Private fixed investment 1,654.9 -12.1
Government fixed investment 355.3 -3.2
Change in private inventories 15.4 16.6
Capital account transactions (net) 3.2 0.1
Net lending or net borrowing (-), national
income and product accounts -507.7 6.3
GROSS DOMESTIC INVESTMENT, CAPITAL ACCOUNT
TRANSACTION, AND NET LENDING 1,521.1 7.8
Net saving 142.7 8.9
Personal saving 172.8 62.2
Undistributed corporate profits with
inventory valuation and capital consumption
adjustments 376.5 -14.4
Wage accruals less disbursements (private) 0.0 0.0
Net government saving -406.5 -38.7
Plus: Consumption of fixed capital 1,331.3 -22.6
Private 1,112.8 -23.1
Government 218.5 0.4
General government 183.5 -0.1
Government enterprises 35.1 0.6
Equals: Gross saving 1,474.1 -13.6
Statistical discrepancy 47.1 21.5
GROSS SAVING AND STATISTICAL DISCREPANCY 1,521.1 7.8
Account 7. Foreign
Transactions Capital
Account
BALANCE ON CURRENT ACCOUNT, NATIONAL INCOME AND
PRODUCT ACCOUNTS -4.5 6.4
Capital account transactions (net) 3.2 0.1
Net lending or net borrowing (-), national
income and product accounts -507.7 6.3
CAPITAL ACCOUNT TRANSACTIONS (NET) AND NET
LENDING, NATIONAL INCOME AND PRODUCT ACCOUNTS -504.5 6.4
2004
Revised Revision
Account 1. Domestic
Income and Product
Account
Compensation of employees, paid 6,693.4 36.7
Wage and salary accruals 5,395.2 16.0
Disbursements 5,395.2 16.0
Wage accruals less disbursements 0.0 0.0
Supplements to wages and salaries 1,298.1 20.6
Taxes on production and imports 852.8 11.7
Less: Subsidies 43.5 3.1
Net operating surplus 2,719.4 -118.9
Private enterprises 2,722.4 -109.0
Current surplus of government enterprises -3.0 -9.9
Consumption of fixed capital 1,435.3 28.0
Gross domestic income 11,657.5 -45.5
Statistical discrepancy 76.8 44.9
GROSS DOMESTIC PRODUCT 11,734.3 -0.7
Personal consumption expenditures 8,214.3 -15.6
Durable goods 987.8 -6.1
Nondurable goods 2,368.3 -8.7
Services 4,858.2 -0.8
Gross private domestic investment 1,928.1 0.8
Fixed investment 1,872.6 -11.4
Nonresidential 1,198.8 -21.7
Structures 298.4 20.2
Equipment and software 900.4 -42.0
Residential 673.8 10.4
Change in private inventories 55.4 12.0
Net exports of goods and services -624.0 -17.8
Exports 1,173.8 -1.7
Imports 1,797.8 16.2
Government consumption expenditures and gross
investment 2,215.9 32.0
Federal 827.6 17.7
National defense 552.7 4.8
Nondefense 274.9 12.9
State and local 1,388.3 14.4
GROSS DOMESTIC PRODUCT 11,734.3 -0.7
Account 2. Private
Enterprise Income
Account
Income payments on assets 2,182.4
Interest and miscellaneous payments 2,057.8
Dividend payments to the rest of the world 68.4 7.5
Reinvested earnings on foreign direct
investment in the United States 56.2 -6.3
Business current transfer payments (net) 91.1 9.0
To persons (net) 33.0 0.3
To government (net) 51.5 2.3
To the rest of the world (net) 6.6 6.4
Proprietors' income with inventory valuation
and capital consumption adjustments 889.6 -13.2
Rental income of persons with capital
consumption adjustment 134.2 -30.9
Corporate profits with inventory valuation and
capital consumption adjustments 1,161.5 -20.1
Taxes on corporate income 271.1 1.9
To government 258.9 0.6
To the rest of the world 12.3 1.4
Profits after tax with inventory valuation
and capital consumption adjustments 890.3 -22.1
Net dividends 493.0 49.1
Undistributed corporate profits with
inventory valuation and capital
consumption adjustments 397.3 -71.2
USES OF PRIVATE ENTERPRISE INCOME 4,458.9
Net operating surplus 2,722.4 -109.0
Income receipts on assets 1,736.4
Interest 1,426.9
Dividend receipts from the rest of the world 104.3 3.3
Reinvested earnings on U.S. direct investment
abroad 205.2 -9.2
SOURCES OF PRIVATE ENTERPRISE INCOME 4,458.9
Account 3. Personal
Income and Outlay
Account
Personal current taxes 1.0 6.5
Personal outlays 8.5 -19.4
Personal consumption expenditures 8,214.3 -15.6
Personal interest payments 186.7 -1.8
Personal current transfer payments 111.5 -2.0
To government 68.6 -2.4
To the rest of the world (net)
Personal saving 151.8 36.8
PERSONAL TAXES, OUTLAYS, AND SAVING 9,713.3 23.7
Compensation of employees, received 6,687.6 36.6
Wage and salary disbursements 5,389.4 15.9
Domestic 5,386.4 16.0
Rest of the world 3.0 -0.1
Supplements to wages and salaries 1,298.1 20.6
Employer contributions for employee pension
and insurance funds 895.5 18.9
Employer contributions for government
social insurance 402.7 1.8
Proprietors' income with inventory valuation
and capital consumption adjustments 889.6 -13.2
Rental income of persons with capital
consumption adjuestment 134.2 -30.9
Personal income receipts on assets 1,396.5 9.2
Personal interest income 905.9 -40.3
Personal dividend income 490.6 49.5
Personal current transfer receipts 1,427.5 21.6
Government social benefits 1,394.5 21.3
From business (net) 33.0 0.3
Less: Contributions for government social
insurance 822.2 -0.4
PERSONAL INCOME 9,713.3 23.7
Account 4. Govern-
ment Receipts and
Expenditures Account
Consumption expenditures 1,843.4 39.2
Current transfer payments 1,423.4 21.0
Government social benefits 1,397.5 21.3
To persons 1,394.5 21.3
To the rest of the world 3.0 0.0
Other current transfer payments to the rest
of the world (net) 25.9 -0.3
Interest payments 310.3 -1.3
Subsidies 43.5 3.1
Less. Wage accruals less disbursements 0.0 0.0
Net government saving -412.3 -60.4
Federal -406.5 -37.1
State and local -5.9 -23.5
GOVERNMENT CURRENT EXPENDITURES AND NET SAVING 3,208.2 1.5
Current tax receipts 2,169.9 19.0
Personal current taxes 1,049.1 6.5
Taxes on production and imports 852.8 11.7
Taxes on corporate income 258.9 0.6
Taxes from the rest of the world 9.2 0.3
Contributions for government social insurance 822.2 -0.4
Income receipts on assets 99.0 -7.1
Interest and miscellaneous receipts 96.6 -0.7
Dividends 2.4 -0.4
Current transfer receipts 120.1 -0.1
From business (net) 51.5 2.3
From persons 68.6 -2.4
Current surplus of government enterprises -3.0 -9.9
GOVERNMENT CURRENT RECEIPTS 3,208.2 1.5
Account 5. Foreign
Transactions Current
Account
Exports of goods and services 1,173.8 -1.7
Income receipts from the rest of the world 415.4 9.6
Wage and salary receipts 3.0 -0.1
Income receipts on assets 412.4 9.7
Interest 102.9 15.6
Dividends 104.3 3.3
Reinvested earnings on U.S. direct investment
abroad 205.2 -9.2
CURRENT RECEIPTS FROM THE REST OF THE WORLD 1,589.2 7.9
Imports of goods and services 1,797.8 16.2
Income payments to the rest of the world 361.7 -0.2
Wage and salary payments 8.8 -0.1
Income payments on assets 352.8 -0.2
Interest 228.2 -1.4
Dividends 68.4 7.5
Reinvested earnings on foreign direct
investment in the United States 56.2 -6.3
Current taxes and transfer payments to the rest
of the world (net) 81.5 7.7
From persons (net) 42.9 0.4
From government (net) 19.7 -0.6
From business (net) 18.9 7.8
Balance on current account, national income and
product accounts -651.7 -15.6
CURRENT PAYMENTS TO THE REST OF THE WORLD AND
BALANCE ON CURRENT ACCOUNT 1,589.2 7.9
Account 6. Domestic
Capital Account
Gross domestic investment 2,300.6 -6.4
Private fixed investment 1,872.6 -11.4
Government fixed investment 372.5 -7.2
Change in private inventories 55.4 12.0
Capital account transactions (net) 1.6 0.3
Net lending or net borrowing (-), national
income and product accounts -653.4 -16.1
GROSS DOMESTIC INVESTMENT, CAPITAL ACCOUNT
TRANSACTION, AND NET LENDING 1,648.9 -22.1
Net saving 136.8 -94.9
Personal saving 151.8 36.8
Undistributed corporate profits with
inventory valuation and capital consumption
adjustments 397.3 -71.2
Wage accruals less disbursements (private) 0.0 0.0
Net government saving -412.3 -60.4
Plus: Consumption of fixed capital 1,435.3 28.0
Private 1,206.2 27.9
Government 229.1 0.1
General government 192.0 -0.4
Government enterprises 37.2 0.5
Equals: Gross saving 1,572.0 -7.0
Statistical discrepancy 76.8 44.9
GROSS SAVING AND STATISTICAL DISCREPANCY 1,648.9 -22.1
Account 7. Foreign
Transactions Capital
Account
BALANCE ON CURRENT ACCOUNT, NATIONAL INCOME AND
PRODUCT ACCOUNTS -651.7 -15.6
Capital account transactions (net) 1.6 0.3
Net lending or net borrowing (-), national
income and product accounts -653.4 -16.1
CAPITAL ACCOUNT TRANSACTIONS (NET) AND NET
LENDING, NATIONAL INCOME AND PRODUCT ACCOUNTS -651.7 -15.6
Table 1. Real GDP and Its Major Components: Change From 2001:IV to
2005:I
[Billions of chained (2000) dollars, seasonally adjusted annual rates]
Previously published
Change for
2001:IV 2005:I 2001:IV-2005:I
Percent
(annual
Dollars rate)
Gross domestic product 9,910.0 11,096.2 1,186.2 3.5
Personal consumption
expenditures 7,017.6 7,815.8 798.2 3.4
Durable goods 958.7 1,134.0 175.3 5.3
Nondurable goods 2,010.3 2,275.3 265.0 3.9
Services 4,051.2 4,422.4 371.2 2.7
Gross private domestic
investment 1,493.4 1,962.9 469.5 8.8
Fixed investment 15,770.0 1,892.1 315.1 5.8
Nonresidential 1,128.2 1,301.3 173.1 4.5
Structures 284.9 240.8 -44.1 -5.0
Equipment and software 843.8 1,075.3 231.5 7.7
Residential 447.8 586.3 138.5 8.6
Change in private
inventories -86.7 66.8 153.5
Net exports of goods and
services 414.5 -637.5 -223.0
Exports 980.3 1,164.6 184.3 5.4
Goods 694.7 814.0 119.3 5.0
Services 285.6 350.4 64.8 6.5
Imports 1,394.9 1,802.1 407.2 8.2
Goods 1,172.1 1,542.9 370.8 8.8
Services 222.8 261.7 38.9 5.1
Government consumption
expenditures and gross
investment 1,812.7 1,954.8 142.1 2.4
Federal 614.2 729.9 115.7 5.5
National defense 395.6 491.3 95.7 6.9
Nondefense 218.6 238.2 19.6 2.7
State and local 1,198.5 1,224.9 26.4 0.7
Addenda:
Final sales of domestic
product 9,992.3 11,027.9 1,035.6 3.1
Gross domestic purchases 10,325.6 11,725.7 1,400.1 4.0
Gross national product 9,983.1 11,124.6 1,141.5 3.4
Gross domestic income 9,930.3 11,183.4 1,253.1 3.7
Revised
Change for
2005:I 2001:IV-2005:I
Percent
Dollars (annual rate)
Gross domestic product 10,999.3 1,089.3 3.3
Personal consumption
expenditures 7,764.9 747.3 3.2
Durable goods 1,122.3 163.6 5.0
Nondurable goods 2,265.6 255.3 3.7
Services 4,392.0 340.8 2.5
Gross private domestic
investment 1,902.9 409.5 7.7
Fixed investment 1,842.2 265.2 4.9
Nonresidential 1,252.2 124.0 3.3
Structures 251.0 -33.9 -3.8
Equipment and software 1,014.2 170.4 5.8
Residential 584.1 136.3 8.5
Change in private
inventories 58.2 144.9
Net exports of goods and
services -645.4 -230.9
Exports 1,165.3 185.0 5.5
Goods 810.7 116.0 4.9
Services 354.3 68.7 6.9
Imports 1,810.7 415.8 8.4
Goods 1,537.3 365.2 8.7
Services 274.8 52.0 6.7
Government consumption
expenditures and gross
investment 1,971.9 159.2 2.6
Federal 731.8 117.6 5.5
National defense 487.3 91.7 6.6
Nondefense 244.3 25.7 3.5
State and local 1,239.8 41.3 1.0
Addenda:
Final sales of domestic
product 10,940.3 948.0 2.8
Gross domestic purchases 11,635.4 1,309.8 3.7
Gross national product 11,036.3 1,053.2 3.1
Gross domestic income 10,980.1 1,049.8 3.1
Revision in change
Percentage
Dollars points
Gross domestic product -96.9 -0.2
Personal consumption
expenditures -50.9 -0.2
Durable goods -11.7 -0.3
Nondurable goods -9.7 -0.2
Services -30.4 -0.2
Gross private domestic
investment -60.0 -1.1
Fixed investment -49.9 -0.9
Nonresidential -49.1 -1.2
Structures 10.2 1.2
Equipment and software -61.1 -1.9
Residential -2.2 -0.1
Change in private
inventories -8.6
Net exports of goods and
services -7.9
Exports 0.7 0.1
Goods 3.3 0.1
Services 3.9 0.4
Imports 8.6 0.2
Goods -5.6 -0.1
Services 13.1 1.6
Government consumption
expenditures and gross
investment 17.1 0.2
Federal 1.9 0.0
National defense -4.0 -0.3
Nondefense 6.1 0.8
State and local 14.9 0.3
Addenda:
Final sales of domestic
product -87.6 -0.3
Gross domestic purchases -90.3 -0.3
Gross national product -88.3 -0.3
Gross domestic income -203.3 -0.6
NOTE. Chained (2000) dollar series are calculated as the product of the
chain-type quantity index and the 2000 current-dollar value of the
corresponding series, divided by 100. Because the formula for the
chain-type quantity indexes uses the weights of more than one period,
the corresponding chained-dollar estimates are usually not additive.
Table 2. Chain-Type Price Indexes: Change From 2001:IV to 2005:I
Percent change for Revision in
2001:IV-2005:I change
(annual rate) (percentage
points)
Previously
published Revised
Gross domestic product 2.0 2.3 0.3
Less: Exports of goods and
services 2.6 2.7 0.1
Plus: Imports of goods and
services 4.1 4.1 0.0
Equals: Gross domestic
purchases 2.2 2.5 0.3
Personal consumption
expenditures 2.0 2.2 0.2
Durable goods -2.3 -2.1 0.2
Nondurable goods 2.5 2.5 0.0
Services 2.6 3.0 0.4
Gross private domestic
investment 1.5 2.1 0.6
Fixed investment 1.5 2.1 0.6
Nonresidential 0.3 0.8 0.5
Structures 4.2 5.1 0.9
Equipment and software -0.9 -0.6 0.3
Residential 4.1 4.6 0.5
Change in private
inventories
Government consumption expendi-
tures and gross investment 3.6 3.9 0.3
Federal 3.7 4.3 0.6
National defense 3.9 4.4 0.5
Nondefense 3.2 4.0 0.8
State and local 3.5 3.7 0.2
Addenda:
Final sales of domestic
product 2.0 2.3 0.3
Gross national product 2.0 2.3 0.3
Table 3. Revisions to Contributions to Percent Change in Real GDP
2002
Pre-
viously
2001 published Revised Revision
Percent change at annual rate:
Gross domestic produc 0.8 1.9 1.6 -0.3
Percentage points at annual
rates:
Personal consumption
expenditures 1.74 2.14 1.90 -0.24
Durable goods 0.37 0.56 0.61 0.05
Nondurable goods 0.40 0.51 0.50 -0.01
Services 0.97 1.08 0.79 -0.29
Gross private domestic
investment -1.39 -0.37 -0.41 -0.04
Fixed investment -0.50 -0.80 -0.84 -0.04
Nonresidential -0.52 -1.02 -1.06 -0.04
Structures -0.07 -0.57 -0.55 0.02
Equipment and software -0.44 -0.45 -0.51 -0.06
Residential 0.02 0.22 0.22 0.00
Change in private
inventories -0.88 0.42 0.43 0.01
Net exports of goods and
services -0.20 -0.70 -0.69 0.01
Exports -0.60 -0.24 -0.23 0.01
Goods -0.48 -0.29 -0.28 0.01
Services -0.12 0.05 0.06 0.01
Imports 0.40 -0.46 -0.46 0.00
Goods 0.39 -0.42 -0.41 0.01
Services 0.01 -0.04 -0.05 -0.01
Government consumption expen-
ditures and gross investment 0.60 0.79 0.80 0.01
Federal 0.23 0.46 0.43 -0.03
National defense 0.15 0.30 0.29 -0.01
Nondefense 0.08 0.16 0.14 -0.02
State and local 0.37 0.33 0.37 0.04
2003
Previously
published Revised Revision
Percent change at annual rate:
Gross domestic produc 3.0 2.7 -0.3
Percentage points at annual
rates:
Personal consumption
expenditures 2.29 2.05 -0.24
Durable goods 0.63 0.57 -0.06
Nondurable goods 0.73 0.63 -0.10
Services 0.93 0.85 -0.08
Gross private domestic
investment 0.66 0.58 -0.08
Fixed investment 0.76 0.54 -0.22
Nonresidential 0.33 0.13 -0.20
Structures -0.15 -0.11 0.04
Equipment and software 0.48 0.24 -0.24
Residential 0.43 0.41 -0.02
Change in private
inventories -0.10 0.05 0.15
Net exports of goods and
services -0.43 -0.46 -0.03
Exports 0.18 0.17 -0.01
Goods 0.14 0.12 -0.02
Services 0.04 0.05 0.01
Imports -0.61 -0.63 -0.02
Goods -0.54 -0.56 -0.02
Services -0.07 -0.07 0.00
Government consumption expen-
ditures and gross investment 0.52 0.53 0.01
Federal 0.43 0.45 0.02
National defense 0.38 0.37 -0.01
Nondefense 0.06 0.08 0.02
State and local 0.09 0.08 -0.01
2004
Previously
published Revised Revision
Percent change at annual rate:
Gross domestic produc 4.4 4.2 -0.2
Percentage points at annual
rates:
Personal consumption
expenditures 2.65 2.71 0.06
Durable goods 0.57 0.51 -0.06
Nondurable goods 0.91 0.94 0.03
Services 1.17 1.27 0.10
Gross private domestic
investment 2.00 1.82 -0.18
Fixed investment 1.56 1.47 -0.09
Nonresidential 1.05 0.92 -0.13
Structures 0.03 0.06 0.03
Equipment and software 1.01 0.86 -0.15
Residential 0.51 0.55 0.04
Change in private
inventories 0.44 0.35 -0.09
Net exports of goods and
services -0.59 -0.73 -0.14
Exports 0.82 0.80 -0.02
Goods 0.59 0.59 0.00
Services 0.23 0.22 -0.01
Imports -1.40 -1.53 -0.13
Goods -1.27 -1.30 -0.03
Services -0.14 -0.23 -0.09
Government consumption expen-
ditures and gross investment 0.37 0.41 0.04
Federal 0.32 0.36 0.04
National defense 0.33 0.32 -0.01
Nondefense -0.01 0.04 0.05
State and local 0.05 0.05 0.00
Table 4. Revisions to Percent Change in Real GDP
[Percent change from preceding year]
2002
Previously
2001 published Revised Revision
Gross domestic product 0.8 1.9 1.6 -0.3
Personal consumption
expenditures 2.5 3.1 2.7 -0.4
Durable goods 4.3 6.5 7.1 0.6
Nondurable goods 2.0 2.6 2.5 -0.1
Services 2.4 2.6 1.9 -0.7
Gross private domestic fixed
investment -3.0 -4.9 -5.2 -0.3
Nonresidential -4.2 -8.9 -9.2 -0.3
Structures -2.3 -17.8 -17.1 0.7
Equipment and software -4.9 -5.5 -6.2 -0.7
Residential 0.4 4.8 4.8 0.0
Change in private inventories
Net exports of goods and
services
Exports -5.4 -2.3 -2.3 0.0
Goods -6.1 -4.1 -4.0 0.1
Services -3.7 1.8 1.9 0.1
Imports -2.7 3.4 3.4 0.0
Goods -3.2 3.7 3.7 0.0
Services -0.3 1.9 2.1 0.2
Government consumption expen-
ditures and gross investment 3.4 4.4 4.4 0.0
Federal 3.9 7.5 7.0 -0.5
National defense 3.9 7.7 7.4 -0.3
Nondefense 3.9 7.1 6.3 -0.8
State and local 3.2 2.8 3.1 0.3
2003
Previously
published Revised Revision
Gross domestic product 3.0 2.7 -0.3
Personal consumption
expenditures 3.3 2.9 -0.4
Durable goods 7.4 6.6 -0.8
Nondurable goods 3.7 3.2 -0.5
Services 2.2 2.0 -0.2
Gross private domestic fixed
investment 5.1 3.6 -1.5
Nonresidential 3.3 1.3 -2.0
Structures -5.6 -4.2 1.4
Equipment and software 6.4 3.2 -3.2
Residential 8.8 8.4 -0.4
Change in private inventories
Net exports of goods and
services
Exports 1.9 1.8 -0.1
Goods 2.2 1.8 -0.4
Services 1.4 1.7 0.3
Imports 4.4 4.6 0.2
Goods 4.7 4.9 0.2
Services 3.1 3.0 -0.1
Government consumption expen-
ditures and gross investment 2.8 2.8 0.0
Federal 6.6 6.9 0.3
National defense 9.0 8.8 -0.2
Nondefense 2.4 3.4 1.0
State and local 0.7 0.6 -0.1
2004
Previously
published Revised Revision
Gross domestic product 4.4 4.2 -0.2
Personal consumption
expenditures 3.8 3.9 0.1
Durable goods 6.7 6.0 -0.7
Nondurable goods 4.6 4.7 0.1
Services 2.8 3.0 0.2
Gross private domestic fixed
investment 10.3 9.7 -0.6
Nonresidential 10.6 9.4 -1.2
Structures 1.4 2.2 0.8
Equipment and software 13.6 11.9 -1.7
Residential 9.7 10.3 0.6
Change in private inventories
Net exports of goods and
services
Exports 8.6 8.4 -0.2
Goods 8.8 8.9 -0.1
Services 8.0 7.4 -0.6
Imports 9.9 10.7 0.8
Goods 10.8 11.0 0.2
Services 5.8 9.6 3.8
Government consumption expen-
ditures and gross investment 1.9 2.2 0.3
Federal 4.7 5.2 0.5
National defense 7.3 7.0 -0.3
Nondefense -0.5 1.8 2.3
State and local 0.4 0.4 0.0
Table 5. GDP, Real GDP, the GDP Price Index, and the Gross Domestic
Purchases Price Index: Revisions to Percent Change From Preceding
Quarter
[Percent change at annual rates; based on seasonally adjusted annual
rates]
GDP
Previously
published Revised Revision
2001:IV 3.6
2002:I 4.5 4.3 -0.2
II 4.2 3.7 -0.5
III 3.9 3.9 0.0
IV 2.7 2.4 -0.3
2003:I 4.9 4.8 -0.1
II 5.3 4.8 -0.5
III 8.8 9.3 0.5
IV 5.7 5.5 -0.2
2004:I 7.4 8.1 0.7
II 6.6 7.5 0.9
III 5.5 5.3 -0.2
IV 6.2 6.1 -0.1
2005:I 6.7 7.0 0.3
Real GDP
Previously
published Revised Revision
2001:IV 1.6
2002:I 3.4 2.7 -0.7
II 2.4 2.2 -0.2
III 2.6 2.4 -0.2
IV 0.7 0.2 -0.5
2003:I 1.9 1.7 -0.2
II 4.1 3.7 -0.4
III 7.4 7.2 -0.2
IV 4.2 3.6 -0.6
2004:I 4.5 4.3 -0.2
II 3.3 3.5 0.2
III 4.0 4.0 0.0
IV 3.8 3.3 -0.5
2005:I 3.8 3.8 0.0
GDP price index
Previously
published Revised Revision
2001:IV 1.7
2002:I 1.4 1.7 0.3
II 1.5 1.5 0.0
III 1.7 1.6 -0.1
IV 2.0 2.2 0.2
2003:I 2.7 3.1 0.4
II 1.1 1.1 0.0
III 1.4 1.8 0.4
IV 1.6 1.9 0.3
2004:I 2.8 3.6 0.8
II 3.2 3.9 0.7
III 1.4 1.5 0.1
IV 2.3 2.7 0.4
2005:I 2.9 3.1 0.2
Gross domestic purchases price index
Previously
published Revised Revision
2001:IV 0.6
2002:I 1.2 1.5 0.3
II 2.5 2.5 0.0
III 1.8 1.7 -0.1
IV 1.9 2.2 0.3
2003:I 3.7 4.1 0.4
II 0.4 0.4 0.0
III 1.7 2.0 0.3
IV 1.4 1.7 0.3
2004:I 3.4 4.2 0.8
II 3.5 4.1 0.6
III 1.9 2.0 0.1
IV 2.9 3.2 0.3
2005:I 2.7 2.9 0.2
Table 6. NIPA Revisions: Selected Components Detail and Major Source
Data
Billions of dollars
Revision in level
Revised
2004
NIPA component 2002 2003 2004 level
Gross domestic product -17.4 -32.8 -0.7 11,734.3
Personal consumption expenditures -25.4 -51.0 -15.6 8,214.3
Goods 7.3 -11.7 -14.9 3,356.1
Motor vehicles and parts 3.2 -1.0 -6.0 441.8
Of which:
Net purchases of used
autos and used light
trucks 3.0 1.2 -3.4 106.1
Goods other than motor
vehicles and parts 4.2 -10.7 -8.8 2,914.4
Of which:
Food -3.9 -16.0 -15.6 1,134.7
Services -32.6 -39.3 -0.8 4,858.2
Of which
Housing -21.7 -30.4 -17.9 1,221.1
Of which:
Tenant-occupied nonfarm
dwellings--rent -10.9 -17.0 -18.0 248.2
Owner-occupied nonfarm
dwellings--space rent -11.7 -16.7 -5.8 897.0
Household operation services -1.3 -2.5 -5.8 446.2
Of which:
Electricity and gas -0.1 -0.7 -2.0 175.9
Water and other sanitary
services -0.1 -0.4 -1.4 60.6
Cellular telephone -0.7 -1.7 -1.8 52.6
Transportation services 0.4 2.8 5.2 306.9
Of which:
Net motor vehicle
insurance premiums 0.0 0.5 2.9 53.4
Other transportation
services 0.9 1.3 2.1 8.8
Medical care services -4.1 -1.7 9.4 1,401.1
Of Which
Net medical and hospital
insurance 0.4 1.4 7.3 100.6
Physicians -1.1 2.9 3.0 323.3
Hospitals -2.1 -4.3 -3.8 551.1
Of which:
Nonprofit hospitals -0.8 -2.7 -2.2 354.0
Proprietary hospitals 0.5 -0.1 -3.0 68.8
Other services -5.5 -8.3 4.6 1,144.1
Of Which
Personal care services 1.7 4.4 9.2 106.7
Of which:
Miscellaneous personal
services 1.0 3.1 5.7 41.8
Personal business services -5.1 -9.2 0.3 612.2
Of which:
Services furnished
without payment by
financial inter-
mediaries -7.2 -13.2 -6.4 197.2
Of which:
Imputed interest,
commercial banks -7.4 -8.2 -9.3 89.3
Imputed interest,
other financial
institutions 0.2 -5.0 2.9 107.9
Religious and welfare
activities 2.8 -4.5 -6.7 219.0
Of which:
Religion -1.6 -3.2 -3.3 54.2
Net foreign travel by U.S.
Residents 1.2 2.2 5.9 -5.0
Gross private domestic investment 2.9 4.6 0.8 1,928.1
Fixed investment 2.2 -12.1 -11.4 1,872.6
Nonresidential 2.4 -12.3 -21.7 1,198.8
Structures 7.6 15.3 20.2 298.4
Of which:
Commercial and health
care 0.1 0.8 5.3 121.9
Mining exploration,
shafts, and wells 6.3 9.9 12.7 56.2
Of which:
Petroleum and
natural gas 5.6 10.2 13.2 54.5
Equipment and software -5.3 -27.5 -42.0 900.4
Of which:
Information processing
equipment and software -1.1 -25.5 -37.2 447.0
Of which:
Computers and peri-
pheral equipment -4.2 -17.7 -19.4 91.6
Software 5.9 4.2 -3.9 178.5
Communication
equipment -4.1 -7.9 -9.1 91.6
Industrial equipment -2.9 -2.7 -5.4 145.3
Residential -0.2 0.2 10.4 673.8
Of which:
Structures -0.3 0.4 10.6 665.4
Of which:
Single-family
structures 0.0 0.0 9.5 377.6
Change in private inventories 0.7 16.6 12.0 55.4
Farm -1.0 -0.1 4.3 3.2
Nonfarm 1.7 16.7 7.8 52.2
Change in book value 2.3 16.8 8.4 105.8
Of which:
Mining, utilities, and
construction 0.3 5.3 3.8 10.7
Manufacturing 1.9 7.5 0.9 31.3
Retail trade -1.5 3.5 1.5 21.9
Of which:
Motor vehicle
dealers -0.3 6.4 2.4 4.6
Inventory valuation
adjustment -0.7 -0.1 -0.7 -53.7
Net exports of goods and services 0.5 -2.8 -17.8 -624.0
Exports 0.9 -0.6 -1.7 1,173.8
Goods 0.6 -2.1 -2.2 818.1
Services 0.4 1.5 0.6 355.7
Imports 0.4 2.2 16.2 1,797.8
Goods -0.3 1.9 5.1 1,495.9
Services 0.8 0.3 11.1 301.9
Government consumption expendi-
tures and gross investment 4.5 16.4 32.0 2,215.9
Federal government -1.1 2.6 17.7 827.6
0f which:
Nondefense -0.9 2.5 12.9 274.9
State and local government 5.7 13.8 14.4 1,388.3
Of which:
Consumption expenditures 8.8 16.3 18.0 1,117.7
Gross domestic product -17.4 -32.8 -0.7 11,734.3
Less: Statistical discrepancy (2) -5.7 21.5 44.9 76.8
Equals: Gross domestic income -11.7 -54.3 -45.5 11,657.5
Of which:
Compensation of employees,
paid 21.7 32.2 36.7 6,693.4
Net operating surplus -21.5 -67.3 -118.9 2,719.4
Consumption of fixed capital -11.9 -22.6 28.0 1,435.3
Of which:
Private -12.5 -23.1 27.9 1,206.2
Domestic business -19.0 -31.1 6.0 973.3
Capital consumption
allowances -17.0 -98.0 -123.1 1,228.6
Less: Capital consump-
tion adjustment
(CCAdj) 2.1 -66.8 -129.1 255.3
Households and
institutions 6.6 8.0 21.8 232.8
Plus: Income receipts from the
rest of the world 3.9 14.7 9.6 415.4
Less: Income payments to the rest
of the world 0.3 1.7 -0.2 361.7
Equals: Gross national income -8.2 -41.3 -35.8 11,711.2
Less: Consumption of fixed
capital -11.9 -22.6 28.0 1,435.3
Equals: National income 3.9 -18.7 -63.7 10,275.9
Compensation of employees 21.7 32.1 36.6 6,687.6
Wage and salary accruals 4.6 7.5 16.0 5,389.4
Supplements to wages and
salaries 17.1 24.5 20.6 1,298.1
Employer contributions for
employee pension and
insurance funds 15.5 21.1 18.9 895.5
Employer contributions for
government social insurance 1.6 3.4 1.8 402.7
Proprietors' income with inventory
valuation adjustment (IVA) and
capital consumption adjustment
(CCAdj) -1.2 -23.9 -13.2 889.6
Farm 0.9 5.9 17.6 35.8
0f which: 1.0
Proprietors' income with IVA 0.4 5.2 17.7 41.7
Nonfarm -2.1 -29.9 -30.8 853.8
0f which:
Proprietors' income -1.2 -15.4 -0.8 723.9
CCAdj -0.8 -14.6 -30.4 134.6
Rental income of persons with
CCAdj -18.0 -22.1 -30.9 134.2
Of which:
Rental income of persons -17.9 -22.2 -29.6 149.5
Corporate profits with IVA and
CCAdj 11.7 10.7 -20.1 1,161.5
Profits before tax 10.4 62.7 74.0 1,059.3
Domestic industries 12.4 63.5 81.1 874.4
Financial 0.2 13.2 6.6 300.6
Utilities -0.7 -7.4 -11.2 12.5
Construction 6.5 6.8 11.7 56.0
Manufacturing -1.1 12.8 11.5 140.2
Wholesale trade -2.2 7.9 8.0 73.1
Retail trade 1.4 10.3 16.8 95.5
Information 2.6 -1.1 7.5 16.4
Professional, scientific,
and technical services 3.2 8.6 14.9 34.1
Other nonfinancial 2.6 12.6 15.4 146.2
Rest of the world -2.0 -0.9 -7.1 184.9
IVA -1.0 0.8 3.3 -39.6
CCAdj 2.3 -52.9 -97.3 141.8
Neinterest and miscellaneous
payments -12.0 -14.5 -44.0 505.5
Of which:
Net interest (3) -12.3 -14.6 -43.6 491.2
Monetary interest paid -16.5 -101.8 2,305.0
Of which:
Domestic business -23.1 -111.9 1,281.0
0f which:
Financial corporations -5.8 -91.6 587.2
Nonfinancial
corporations -17.3 -22.3 443.0
Sole proprietorships
and partnerships 0.4 1.5 188.6
Less: Monetary interest
received -16.5 -101.8 2,305.0
Of which:
Domestic business -12.1 -90.0 1,478.7
0f which:
Financial corporations -9.1 -68.1 1,194.6
Nonfinancial
corporations -3.0 -17.1 225.4
Persons -1.9 -2.4 529.9
Imputed interest paid -27.3 -28.4 338.3
Of which:
Depositor and insurance
services (paid by
domestic financial
corporate business) -15.0 -15.7 448.7
Of which:
Life insurance
carriers 0.1 5.2 184.1
Less: Imputed interest
received -27.3 -28.4 338.3
Of which:
Depositor and insurance
services -15.2 -16.1 455.7
Of which:
Persons (from life
insurance carriers) 0.1 5.2 184.1
Taxes on production and imports 0.2 3.3 11.7 852.8
Of which:
State and local 0.2 3.0 7.8 758.8
Less: Subsidies 0.2 0.0 3.1 43.5
Business current transfer payments
(net) 3.4 3.9 9.0 91.1
Of which:
Payments to the rest of the
world (net) -0.1 0.1 6.4 6.6
Current surplus of government
enterprises -1.9 -8.2 -9.9 -3.0
Of which:
State and local -0.8 -4.3 -5.1 -2.5
Addenda:
Gross national product -13.9 -19.9 9.1 11,788.0
Gross saving 4.8 -13.6 -67.0 1,572.0
Personal income 3.0 7.3 23.7 9,713.3
Compensation of employees,
received 21.7 32.1 36.6 6,687.6
Proprietors' income with IVA and
CCAdj -1.2 -23.9 -13.2 889.6
Rental income of persons with
CCAdj -18.0 -22.1 -30.9 134.2
Personal income receipts on
assets -1.4 16.0 9.2 1,396.5
Personal interest income -10.6 -12.3 -40.3 905.9
Personal dividend income 9.3 28.3 49.5 490.6
Personal current transfer
receipts 3.5 8.6 21.6 1,427.5
Government social benefits 0.0 7.1 21.3 1,394.5
Other current transfer re-
ceipts, from business (net) 3.6 1.6 0.3 33.0
Less: Contributions for govern-
ment social insurance 1.7 3.4 -0.4 822.2
Less: Personal current taxes 0.6 -2.0 6.5 1,049.1
Of which:
Federal -0.7 -1.5 7.2 801.8
Equals: Disposable personal income 2.4 9.3 17.3 8,664.2
Less: Personal outlays -23.2 -53.0 -19.4 8,512.5
Of Which:
Personal consumption
expenditures -25.4 -51.0 -15.6 8,214.3
Equals: Personal saving 25.5 62.2 36.8 151.8
NIPA component Major source data incorporated (1)
Gross domestic product
Personal consumption expenditures
Goods
Motor vehicles and parts
Of which:
Net purchases of used
autos and used light
trucks Revised Census Bureau Annual
Retail Trade Survey (ARTS) sales
and gross margin rates data for
2002; new ARTS data for 2003; new
trade source data on unit sales
and prices for 2004.
Goods other than motor
vehicles and parts
Of which:
Food Revised Census Bureau ARTS sales
data for 2002; new ARTS data for
2003; revised Census Bureau
monthly sales data for 2004.
Services
Of which
Housing
Of which:
Tenant-occupied nonfarm
dwellings--rent Revised Census Bureau American
Housing Survey (AHS) data for
2001; new AHS data for 2003; new
Census Bureau Current Population
Survey/Housing Vacancy Survey
(CPS/HVS) data for 2004.
Owner-occupied nonfarm
dwellings--space rent Revised AHS data for 2001; new AHS
data for 2003; new CPS/HVS data
for 2004.
Household operation services
Of which:
Electricity and gas Revised Energy Information
Administration (EIA) data on
residential natural gas and
electricity consumption for 2003;
new EIA data for 2004.
Water and other sanitary
services New Census Bureau Government
Finances revenue data on state and
local government water and
sanitary services for FY 2003; new
Census Bureau Service Annual
Survey (SAS) revenue data for
refuse collection for 2004.
Cellular telephone Revised SAS data for 2002 and
Transportation services 2003; new SAS data for 2004.
Of which:
Net motor vehicle
insurance premiums New trade source data on personal
auto insurance premiums and losses
for 2003; new trade source data on
projected growth rate of net
personal auto insurance premiums
for 2004.
Other transportation
services Revised SAS data for 2002 and
2003; new SAS data for 2004.
Medical care services
Of Which
Net medical and hospital
insurance New Department of Health and Human
Services (DHHS) Medical Expendi-
tures Panel Survey (MEPS) data for
2002 and 2003; new BLS employer
costs for employee compensation
for 2004.
Physicians Revised SAS data for 2002 and
2003; new SAS data for 2004.
Hospitals
Of which:
Nonprofit hospitals Revised FY 2002 trade source data
on hospital expenses for 2002;
revised SAS data for 2003; new SAS
data for 2004.
Proprietary hospitals Revised SAS data for 2002 and
2003; new SAS data for 2004.
Other services
Of Which
Personal care services
Of which:
Miscellaneous personal
services Revised SAS data for 2002 and
2003; new SAS data for 2004.
Personal business services
Of which:
Services furnished
without payment by
financial inter-
mediaries
Of which:
Imputed interest,
commercial banks Revised FRB Call Report data on
commercial banks for 2002-2004;
revised FRB flow-of-funds accounts
sector asset data for 2002 and
2003; new FRB data for 2004.
Imputed interest,
other financial
institutions Revised IRS tabulations of corpo-
rate tax return data for 2002; new
IRS tabulations for 2003; revised
FRB flow-of-funds accounts sector
data for 2002 and 2003; new FRB
data for 2004; new Federal Deposit
Insurance Corporation data, Credit
Union National Association data,
Office of Thrift Supervision data,
and trade source data on invest-
ment companies for 2004.
Religious and welfare
activities
Of which:
Religion Revised trade source data on
church memberships and collections
for 2002; new trade source data on
church membership and collections
for 2003.
Net foreign travel by U.S.
Residents Revised BEA international transac-
tions accounts estimates for 2002-
2004.
Gross private domestic investment
Fixed investment
Nonresidential
Structures
Of which:
Commercial and health
care Revised Census Bureau value of
construction put in place data for
2002-2004.
Mining exploration,
shafts, and wells
Of which:
Petroleum and
natural gas Trade source data on drilling
costs for 2003; revised trade
source data on footage drilled for
2002 and 2003.
Equipment and software
Of which:
Information processing
equipment and software
Of which:
Computers and peri-
pheral equipment Revised Census Bureau Annual
Survey of Manufactures (ASM)
shipments data for 2002; new
shipments data for 2003.
Software Revised Census Bureau Service
Annual Survey (SAS) data for 2002
and 2003; new SAS data for 2004;
new BLS employment data for 2004.
Communication
equipment Revised ASM shipments data for
2002; new shipments data for 2003.
Industrial equipment Revised Census Bureau ASM ship-
ments data for 2002; new shipments
data for 2003.
Residential
Of which:
Structures
Of which:
Single-family
structures Revised Census Bureau value of
construction put in place data for
2004.
Change in private inventories
Farm Revised USDA data for 2002 and
2003, new USDA data for 2004.
Nonfarm
Change in book value
Of which:
Mining, utilities, and
construction Revised IRS tabulations of inven-
tory book value data from corpo-
rate tax returns for 2002; new IRS
tabulations of inventory book
value data from sole proprietor-
ship, partnership, and corporate
tax returns for 2003; revised
Energy Information Administration
data on utilities for 2004.
Manufacturing New Census Bureau ASM inventory
book value data for 2002 and 2003.
Retail trade Revised Census Bureau Annual
Retail Trade Survey (ARTS)
inventory book value data for
2002; new ARTS data for 2003;
revised BEA estimates based on
motor vehicle inventory data from
trade sources for 2004; revised
Census Bureau monthly inventory
data for 2004.
Of which:
Motor vehicle
dealers Revised ARTS inventory book value
data for 2002; new ARTS data for
2003; revised BEA estimates based
on inventory data from trade
sources for 2004.
Inventory valuation
adjustment Revised Census Bureau Annual
Wholesale Trade Survey (AWTS) and
ARTS information on accounting
methods used for inventory
reporting for 2002; new AWTS and
ARTS information for 2003; new ASM
data for 2002 and 2003; revised
BEA unit labor cost indexes for
2002-2004.
Net exports of goods and services Revised BEA international transac-
tions accounts estimates for
2002-2004.
Exports
Goods
Services
Imports
Goods
Services
Government consumption expendi-
tures and gross investment
Federal government
0f which:
Nondefense Revised allocations of FY 2003
Federal Government budget data for
2002 and 2003; revised FY 2004
Federal budget data for 2003 and
2004; preliminary FY 2005 Federal
budget data for 2004.
State and local government
Of which:
Consumption expenditures Revised Census Bureau Government
Finances (GF) tabulations for FY
2002; new GF tabulations for FY
2003; new DHHS Medical Expenditure
Panel Survey data for 2003;
revised BLS employment data for
2004.
Gross domestic product
Less: Statistical discrepancy (2)
Equals: Gross domestic income
Of which:
Compensation of employees,
paid See entries under "National
income."
Net operating surplus See entries under "National
income."
Consumption of fixed capital
Of which:
Private
Domestic business Revised BEA fixed investment and
price estimates for 2002-2004.
Capital consumption
allowances Revised IRS tabulations of cor-
porate tax return data for 2002;
new IRS tabulations for 2003; new
IRS tabulations of sole proprie-
torship and partnership tax return
data for 2003; revised BEA fixed
investment estimates for 2002-
2004.
Less: Capital consump-
tion adjustment
(CCAdj) CCAdj is calculated as consumption
of fixed capital less capital
consumption allowances.
Households and
institutions Revised BEA fixed investment and
price estimates for 2002-2004.
Plus: Income receipts from the
rest of the world Revised BEA international transac-
tions accounts estimates for 2002-
2004.
Less: Income payments to the rest
of the world Revised BEA international transac-
tions accounts estimates for 2002-
2004.
Equals: Gross national income
Less: Consumption of fixed
capital
Equals: National income
Compensation of employees
Wage and salary accruals Revised BLS data for 2002 and
2003; new BLS data for 2004.
Supplements to wages and
salaries
Employer contributions for
employee pension and
insurance funds Revised corporate financial data
for 2002 and 2003; new corporate
financial data for 2004; new DHHS
Medical Expenditure Panel Survey
data for 2003.
Employer contributions for
government social insurance
Proprietors' income with inventory
valuation adjustment (IVA) and
capital consumption adjustment
(CCAdj)
Farm
0f which:
Proprietors' income with IVA Revised USDA data for 2002 and
2003; new USDA data for 2004;
revised BEA depreciation estimates
for 2002-2004.
Nonfarm
0f which:
Proprietors' income New IRS tabulations of sole
proprietorship and partnership tax
return data for 2003.
CCAdj Capital consumption allowances:
New IRS tabulations of sole
proprietorship and partnership tax
return data for 2003. Consumption
of fixed capital: Revised BEA
fixed investment and price
estimates for 2002-2004.
Rental income of persons with
CCAdj
Of which:
Rental income of persons Revised FRB flow-of-funds accounts
residential mortgage liabilities
data for 2002-2004; new trade
source data on property insurance
for 2003; new Census Bureau AHS
data on units for 2003 and revised
data for 2001; new Census Bureau
Current Population Survey/Housing
Vacancy Survey (CPS/HVS) data on
owner-and tenant-occupied units
for 2004; revised IRS tabulations
of individual tax return data for
2002; new IRS data for 2003; new
Federal National Mortgage Corpora-
tion mortgage originations data
for 2003 and revised data for
2002; new Department of Housing
and Urban Development data on
average closing costs for 2004 and
revised data for 2002 and 2003;
new Census Bureau data on expendi-
tures for residential improvements
and repairs for 2004; revised
Census Bureau Government Finances
(GF) data for FY 2002 on state and
local property taxes; new GF data
for FY 2003.
Corporate profits with IVA and
CCAdj Revised IRS tabulations of corpo-
rate tax return data for 2002; new
IRS tabulations for 2003; regula-
tory agency and public financial
reports profits data for 2004.
Profits before tax
Domestic industries
Financial
Utilities
Construction
Manufacturing
Wholesale trade
Retail trade
Information
Professional, scientific,
and technical services
Other nonfinancial
Rest of the world Revised BEA international transac-
tions accounts estimates for 2002-
2004.
IVA
CCAdj Capital consumption allowances:
Revised IRS tabulations of corpo-
rate tax return data for 2002; new
IRS tabulations for 2003. Consump-
tion of fixed capital: Revised BEA
fixed investment and price esti-
mates for 2002-2004.
Neinterest and miscellaneous
payments
Of which:
Net interest (3)
Monetary interest paid
Of which:
Domestic business Revised IRS tabulations of corpo-
rate tax return data for 2002; new
IRS tabulations for 2003; new IRS
tabulations of sole proprietorship
and partnership tax return data
for 2003; revised FRB data and
nonfinancial corporate liabilities
data for 2002 and 2003; new FRB
data for 2004; revised USDA data
on interest paid by farmers for
2002 and 2003; new USDA data for
2004; new Federal Deposit
Insurance Corporation data, Credit
Union National Association data,
Office of Thrift Supervision data,
and trade source data on invest-
ment companies for 2004.
0f which:
Financial corporations
Nonfinancial
corporations
Sole proprietorships
and partnerships
Less: Monetary interest
received
Of which:
Domestic business Revised IRS tabulations of corpo-
rate tax return data for 2002; new
IRS tabulations for 2003; new IRS
tabulations for sole proprietor-
ship and partnership tax return
data for 2003; revised FRB data
for 2002 and 2003; new FRB data
for 2004; new Federal Deposit
Insurance Corporation data, Credit
Union National Association data,
Office of Thrift Supervision data,
and trade source data on invest-
ment companies for 2004.
0f which:
Financial corporations
Nonfinancial
corporations
Persons
Imputed interest paid
Of which:
Depositor and insurance
services (paid by
domestic financial
corporate business) Revised FRB Call Report data on
commercial banks for 2002-2004;
new trade source data on property
insurance companies for 2003; new
trade source data for other finan-
cial intermediaries for 2004.
Of which:
Life insurance
carriers New trade source data on invest-
ment income of life insurance
carriers for 2003; revised FRB
flow-of-funds accounts assets data
on life insurance companies for
2002 and 2003; new FRB data for
2004.
Less: Imputed interest
received
Of which:
Depositor and insurance
services Revised FRB assets data for 2002
and 2003; new FRB data for 2004.
Of which:
Persons (from life
insurance carriers)
Taxes on production and imports
Of which:
State and local Revised Census Bureau Government
Finances (GF) tabulations for FY
2002; new GF tabulations for FY
2003.
Less: Subsidies
Business current transfer payments
(net)
Of which:
Payments to the rest of the
world (net) Revised BEA international transac-
tions accounts estimates for 2002-
2004.
Current surplus of government
enterprises
Of which:
State and local Revised GFtabulations for FY 2002;
new GF tabulations for FY 2003.
Addenda:
Gross national product
Gross saving
Personal income See entries under "National
income" and additional sources
below.
Compensation of employees,
received
Proprietors' income with IVA and
CCAdj
Rental income of persons with
CCAdj
Personal income receipts on
assets
Personal interest income See entries under "Net interest".
Personal dividend income Revised IRS tabulations of corpo-
rate tax return data for 2002; new
IRS tabulations for 2003; regula-
tory agency and public financial
statements data on dividends for
2004.
Personal current transfer
receipts
Government social benefits Revised allocations of FY 2003
Federal budget data for 2002 and
2003; revised FY 2004 Federal
budget data for 2003 and 2004;
preliminary FY 2005 Federal budget
data for 2004; new Centers for
Medicare and Medicaid Services
tabulations of Medicare and
Medicaid payments for 2002; new
Treasury Department data for 2004;
new Department of Labor data on
unemployment benefits for 2004.
Other current transfer re-
ceipts, from business (net)
Less: Contributions for govern-
ment social insurance
Less: Personal current taxes
Of which:
Federal Revised Social Security Adminis-
tration (SSA) data on taxable
wages for 2002 and 2003; new SSA
data for 2004; Treasury Department
personal income tax collections
data for 2002-2004.
Equals: Disposable personal income
Less: Personal outlays
Of Which:
Personal consumption
expenditures See entries under "Personal
consumption expenditures."
Equals: Personal saving
(1.) In these descriptions, "new" indicates this is the first time that
data from the specific source are being incorporated into the component
estimate for the given year, and "revised" indicates that data from the
specific source were incorporated previously and now revised data from
that source are being incorporated.
(2.) The statistical discrepancy is gross national product (GNP) less
gross national income (GNI); it is also the difference between gross
domestic product (GDP) and gross domestic income (GDI), which is GNI
less net income receipts from the rest of the world. The statistical
discrepancy arises because the product-side measures of GNP and GDP
are estimated independently from the income-side measures of GNI and
GDI.
(3.) Net interest is the sum of monetary interest paid by domestic
business and by the rest of the world and imputed interest paid by
domestic financial corporate business, less monetary interest
received by domestic business and by the rest of the world and
imputed interest received by domestic business and by the rest of
the world.
BEA Bureau of Economic Analysis
BLS Bureau of Labor Statistics
CCAdj Capital consumption adjustment
DHHS Department of Health and Human Services
FRB Federal Reserve Board
FY Fiscal year
IRS Internal Revenue Service
IVA Inventory valuation adjustment
USDA U.S. Department of Agriculture
Table 7. Discontinuities in NIPA Foreign Transactions, 2001-2002
[Billions of dollars]
2001 2002
Pub- Discon-
lished tinuity (1) Adjusted
Net exports of goods and services -367.0 0.0 -367.0
Exports 1,032.8 0.5 1,033.3
Goods 731.2 0.0 731.2
Services 301.6 0.5 302.1
Imports 1,399.8 0.5 1,400.3
Goods 1,167.9 0.0 1,167.9
Services 231.9 0.5 232.4
Net receipts of income 43.6 1.6 45.3
Income receipts 322.4 1.6 324.0
Wage and salary receipts 2.9 0.0 2.9
Income receipts on assets 319.5 1.6 321.1
Interest 136.9 1.8 138.7
Dividends 87.4 -0.2 87.2
Reinvested earnings of U.S.
direct investment abroad 95.2 0.0 95.2
Income payments 278.8 0.0 278.8
Wage and salary payments 8.1 0.0 8.1
Income payments on assets 270.7 0.0 270.7
Interest 257.8 0.0 257.8
Dividends 46.5 0.0 46.5
Reinvested earnings of
foreign direct investment
in the United States -33.7 0.0 -33.7
Current taxes and transfer payments
to the rest of the world (net) 47.0 0.0 47.0
Addenda:
Gross domestic product 10,128.0 0.0 10,128.0
Gross national product 10,171.6 1.6 10,173.2
Change from
2002 2001 to 2002
Pub-
Revised lished Adjusted
Net exports of goods and services -424.4 -57.4 -57.4
Exports 1,005.9 -26.9 -27.4
Goods 697.6 -33.7 -33.7
Services 308.4 6.8 6.3
Imports 1,430.3 30.5 30.0
Goods 1,189.3 21.4 21.4
Services 241.0 9.1 8.5
Net receipts of income 30.6 -13.0 -14.6
Income receipts 305.7 -16.8 -18.4
Wage and salary receipts 2.9 0.0 0.0
Income receipts on assets 302.7 -16.8 -18.4
Interest 98.3 -38.6 -40.4
Dividends 92.8 5.4 5.6
Reinvested earnings of U.S.
direct investment abroad 111.6 16.4 16.4
Income payments 275.0 -3.8 -3.8
Wage and salary payments 8.4 0.3 0.3
Income payments on assets 266.7 -4.0 -4.0
Interest 218.0 -39.8 -39.8
Dividends 45.0 -1.5 -1.5
Reinvested earnings of
foreign direct investment
in the United States 3.6 37.3 37.3
Current taxes and transfer payments
to the rest of the world (net) 64.5 17.5 17.5
Addenda:
Gross domestic product 10,469.6 341.6 341.6
Gross national product 10,500.2 328.6 327.0
(1.) Equals the revisions to the U.S. International transactions
accounts that have notbeen carried back in the NIPAs at this time.
Table 8. Revisions to Percent Change in GDP Price Indexes
[Percent change from preceding year]
2002
Previously
2001 published Revised Revision
Gross domestic product 2.4 1.7 1.7 0.0
Personal consumption
expenditures 2.1 1.4 1.4 0.0
Durable goods -1.9 -2.7 -2.4 0.3
Nondurable goods 1.5 0.6 0.5 -0.1
Services 3.3 2.7 2.7 0.0
Gross private domestic fixed
investment 1.0 0.2 0.6 0.4
Nonresidential -0.3 -0.8 -0.2 0.6
Structures 5.4 2.4 4.4 2.0
Equipment and software -2.3 -1.9 -1.8 0.1
Residential 4.6 2.5 2.5 0.0
Change in private inventories
Net exports of goods and
services
Exports -0.4 -0.4 -0.4 0.0
Goods -0.7 -0.7 -0.7 0.0
Services 0.4 0.4 0.4 0.0
Imports -2.5 -1.2 -1.2 0.0
Goods -3.0 -1.8 -1.8 0.0
Services 0.1 1.7 1.7 0.0
Government consumption expen-
ditures and gross investment 2.5 2.7 2.9 0.2
Federal 1.9 3.3 3.7 0.4
National defense 2.0 3.4 3.7 0.3
Nondefense 1.7 3.1 3.5 0.4
State and local 2.9 2.4 2.5 0.1
Addendum:
Gross domestic purchases 2.0 1.5 1.6 0.1
2003
Previously
published Revised Revision
Gross domestic product 1.8 2.0 0.2
Personal consumption
expenditures 1.9 1.9 0.0
Durable goods -3.4 -3.5 -0.1
Nondurable goods 2.0 2.0 0.0
Services 3.0 3.0 0.0
Gross private domestic fixed
investment 1.2 1.7 0.5
Nonresidential -0.4 0.3 0.7
Structures 2.1 3.5 1.4
Equipment and software -1.2 -0.9 0.3
Residential 4.4 4.8 0.4
Change in private inventories
Net exports of goods and
services
Exports 2.1 2.1 0.0
Goods 2.0 2.0 0.0
Services 2.4 2.5 0.1
Imports 3.4 3.4 0.0
Goods 2.9 2.9 0.0
Services 5.9 5.8 -0.1
Government consumption expen-
ditures and gross investment 3.2 3.7 0.5
Federal 3.6 3.9 0.3
National defense 4.2 4.4 0.2
Nondefense 2.6 3.0 0.4
State and local 3.0 3.7 0.7
Addendum:
Gross domestic purchases 2.0 2.2 0.2
2004
Previously
published Revised Revision
Gross domestic product 2.2 2.6 0.4
Personal consumption
expenditures 2.2 2.6 0.4
Durable goods -2.0 -1.9 0.1
Nondurable goods 3.3 3.3 0.0
Services 2.5 3.2 0.7
Gross private domestic fixed
investment 2.5 3.2 0.7
Nonresidential 0.8 1.3 0.5
Structures 4.9 5.5 0.6
Equipment and software -0.4 -0.1 0.3
Residential 5.7 6.7 1.0
Change in private inventories
Net exports of goods and
services
Exports 3.5 3.6 0.1
Goods 3.8 3.7 -0.1
Services 2.8 3.1 0.3
Imports 4.9 5.0 0.1
Goods 4.9 5.0 0.1
Services 4.9 4.9 0.1
Government consumption expen-
ditures and gross investment 3.2 3.7 0.5
Federal 2.9 4.2 1.3
National defense 2.8 4.0
Nondefense 3.0 4.6 1.6
State and local 3.4 3.4
Addendum:
Gross domestic purchases 2.4 2.9 0.5