Gross domestic product by industry for 1947-86: new estimates based on the North American Industry Classification System.
Yuskavage, Robert E. ; Fahim-Nader, Mahnaz
LAST month, the Bureau of Economic Analysis (BEA) released new
estimates of gross domestic product (GDP) by industry for 1947-86 that
are based on the 1997 North American Industry Classification System
(NAICS). These estimates, together with previously published industry
estimates for 1987-2000, provide the first long-term view of industry
contributions to U.S. economic growth and inflation from a NAICS
perspective.
These estimates also fill a major gap in the NAICS-based
GDP-by-industry time series and represent a significant improvement over
previously published estimates, which were based on the Standard
Industrial Classification (SIC) system. The NAICS-based estimates
provide industry detail that more clearly depicts the services
sector's rising share of the economy. In addition, the estimates of
real value added by industry are now consistent with BEA's Fisher quantity index measures of real GDP for the years before 1977.
Previously, on the SIC basis, only fixed-weight constant-dollar
estimates had been available for this period. As a result, the
contributions of industry groups, such as manufacturing and services, to
real GDP growth before 1977 can now be computed more accurately.
Generally, NAICS improves on SIC in several ways as an industry
classification system. NAICS more consistently classifies business
establishments into industries on the basis of similar production
processes. It recognizes new and emerging industries, primarily in
high-technology industries. And it provides greater detail for the
services sector. However, a lack of historical source data needed to
make NAICS-based estimates has limited the ability of BEA to provide
reliable, detailed industry data on a NAICS basis for long historical
periods.
In designing a strategy to overcome these limitations, BEA faced a
variety of issues, such as the time span covered, estimation procedures,
the number of data items, and the level of industry detail. In making
key decisions, BEA relied on both its own research and suggestions from
academic and business users with a strong interest in industry time
series. These suggestions included providing data for as many years as
possible, making maximum use of available historical SIC-based data,
focusing on the most important data items, and considering aggregation
as an acceptable means of dealing with both source data limitations and
reliability concerns for earlier years.
For 1947-86, BEA prepared both current-dollar and real
value-added-by-industry estimates. For 1947-76, it published estimates
for 22 industry groups; for 1977-86, it published estimates for 65
industries.
This article highlights the new NAICS-based industry estimates by
using them to examine the post-World War II economic shift from goods to
services and to study fine contributions of industry groups to major
expansions and contractions. Highlights of the new GDP-by-industry data
include the following:
* Private services-producing industries' share of GDP rose
from 47.8 percent in 1947 to 61.2 percent in 1987. The share of finance,
insurance, real estate, rental, and leasing increased the most (7.3
percentage points), followed by professional and business services (5.0
percentage points) and by educational services, health care, and social
assistance (4.1 percentage points).
* Private goods-producing industries' share of GDP fell from
39.8 percent in 1947 to 24.9 percent in 1987, mostly because of
manufacturing, which declined 8.5 percentage points, and agriculture,
forestry, fishing, and hunting, which declined 6.5 percentage points.
* Real value added for durable-goods manufacturing increased at
nearly the same rate as real GDP in the 1947-87 period, but it
contributed disproportionately to each of the post-war expansions and
downturns that are studied in this article. Contributions by
nondurable-goods manufacturing during these cycles were proportional to
the industry group's share of the economy.
* Government's share of GDP peaked at slightly more than 15
percent in the early 1970s, reflecting continued increases in the share
of state and local government, which rose from 4.1 percent in 1947 to
8.6 percent in 1972. The Federal Government's share of GDP has
declined steadily since 1947.
Sector Trends
The new NAICS-based estimates allow for a better understanding of
the sources of the services sector's growth as a share of the
economy since World War II. In addition, the newly available value-added quantity and price indexes now make it possible to identify the separate
contributions of real output growth and relative price change to the
increase in the services sector's share of GDP.
Growth of services share of GDP
Based on selected 10-year periods, the largest increase in the
services-producing sector's share of current-dollar GDP occurred in
1977-87, when its share increased 6.5 percentage points, from 54.7
percent to 61.2 percent (table A). Most of this increase was accounted
for by finance, insurance, real estate, rental, and leasing and by
professional and business services; both increased 2.7 percentage
points. The increase in finance, insurance, real estate, rental, and
leasing partly reflected rapid price appreciation in the real estate
sector. The increase in professional and business services reflected the
growth of services outsourcing, which became more prevalent in the U.S.
economy as part of the restructuring that accompanied the recovery from
the recessions of the early 1980s.
Not all services sector industry groups' share of GDP
increased. The share of the "distributive services" group
declined from 23.1 percent in 1947 to 19.2 percent in 1987 (chart 1).
The distributive services group consists of utilities, wholesale trade,
retail trade, and transportation and warehousing; these industries are
primarily involved with the distribution of goods from producers or
importers to final users. The decline in this group's share of GDP
partly reflects the decline in the share of the goods-producing sector.
Shares declined for each of the distributive services industry groups
except utilities.
[GRAPHIC OMITTED]
For private services-producing industries other than distributive
services industries, the share of GDP increased from 24.7 percent in
1947 to 42.0 percent in 1987 (chart 1); shares increased for each of the
industry groups except "other services, except government" and
"arts, entertainment, recreation, accommodation, and food
services."
The historical decline in the share of goods-producing industries
was mostly attributable to agriculture, forestry, and fishing and to
manufacturing, but the pattern of decline differed for those two
industry groups. The share of agriculture, forestry, fishing, and
hunting dropped sharply from 1947 to 1967, from 8.2 percent to 2.7
percent, but thereafter it declined much more slowly. In contrast,
manufacturing's share was fairly stable between 1947 and 1967
before it started declining sharply. The largest declines for
manufacturing took place between 1967 and 1972 and between 1977 and
1982, periods that included recessions.
Real value added and value-added prices
The private-services sector's growing share of current-dollar
GDP reflects relatively faster growth in both real value added and
value-added prices.
For 1947-87, private services industries' real value added
increased at an average annual rate of 4.0 percent, compared with 3.1
percent for goods-producing industries and 3.6 percent for real GDP
(table B).
Utilities (5.4 percent) and information (5.3 percent) were the
fastest growing industry groups (chart 2). None of the industry groups
in the goods-producing sector increased faster than GDP. Value-added
prices for private services-producing industries increased 4.2 percent,
compared with 3.3 percent for private goods-producing industries and 4.0
percent for GDP (table C).
[GRAPHIC OMITTED]
Over 10-year periods starting in 1947, real value added of private
services-producing industries increased significantly faster than that
of goods-producing industries in each period except 1947-57. In that
period, services increased slightly less than goods because of very slow
growth in transportation and warehousing (table B). The period with the
largest difference in growth rates between the two broad sectors was
1967-77, when private services increased nearly 2 percentage points more
than goods. Value-added prices also grew faster in services in each
period except for 1967-77, when large price increases in mining and
construction contributed to faster price growth for goods-producing
industries (table C). The largest difference in price change between the
two sectors occurred in 1977-87, when services prices increased more
than 2 percentage points faster than goods prices.
Real value-added growth rates for industries can vary over long
time periods as a result of both short-term developments and changes in
long-term trends (chart 3). Here are some examples:
* In 1947-57, real growth was very high for utilities; it became
consistently lower afterwards, as the post-war expansion of the electric
utility industry slowed.
* In 1967-77, real growth in the construction industry declined,
partly because of reductions in spending for new structures by state and
local governments.
* In 1947-67, durable-goods manufacturing increased much faster
than average, as Federal defense purchases and spending on consumer
durable goods expanded but then increased much slower than average
during 1967-87, a period that included the recessions of the mid-1970s
and early 1980s.
* In 1957-77, educational services, health care, and social
assistance increased much faster than in other periods, as health care
availability increased and educational opportunities expanded, partly as
the result of Federal Government programs. (See chart 6 on page 82 for
additional industry groups.)
[GRAPHIC OMITTED]
Expansions and Contractions
The new historical NAICS-based estimates of GDP by industry include
value-added quantity indexes and price indexes that are consistent with
BEA's Fisher index measures of real GDP growth and price change.
These indexes allow industry contributions to economy-wide changes
to be computed for the first time using the same contributions formula
that BEA uses for the national income and product accounts (NIPAs).
As a result, these NAICS-based estimates can be used to measure the
contributions of industry groups to business cycle expansions,
contractions, and other episodes in postwar U.S. economic history.
This section examines expansions in 1949-53, 1954-57, 1961-69, and
1982-90 and contractions in 1973-75 and 1979-82. (1) Although these
periods do not necessarily coincide with the peaks and troughs of
business cycles as determined by the National Bureau of Economic
Research (NBER), they correspond closely to several of the NBER cycles.
NBER uses monthly data to determine business cycle peaks and troughs,
but only annual data are available for the GDP-by-industry estimates.
The four expansion periods are relatively long, they include only
years in which real GDP increased, and they represent different economic
periods. Real GDP declined in all years of the contraction periods
except for 1981. The period 1979-82 is included as a contraction period
because of the decline in real value added for all private industries.
Expansions
In all expansion periods except 1949-53, private services-producing
industries grew faster and contributed more to real GDP growth than
private goods-producing industries. In each period, the fastest growing
services sector industry differed: Utilities (6.1 percent) led the way
in 1954-57, information (7.1 percent) grew the fastest in 1961-69, and
professional and business services (7.2 percent) was first in 1982-90
(table D). Finance, insurance, real estate, rental, and leasing made the
largest contributions to overall growth (0.7 percentage point) in
1954-57 and 1961-69 (table E). (2) Professional and business services
made the largest contribution in 1982-90 (0.6 percentage point).
In the 1949-53 period, which included the Korean War,
goods-producing industries grew faster and contributed more to real GDP
growth than services-producing industries. Durable-goods manufacturing
increased the fastest (12.0 percent) and contributed the most (1.8
percentage points) to real GDP growth. Manufacturing in total
contributed 2.4 percentage points to the 6.2-percent real GDP average
growth rate. Utilities increased 10.1 percent but contributed only 0.2
percentage point to real GDP growth.
Despite the greater contribution of the services sector in the
other expansions, durable-goods manufacturing made significant
contributions, especially in 1961-69, when it contributed 1.1 percentage
points to real GDP growth, the largest contribution by any single
industry group.
Contractions
In contrast to the expansion periods, both contraction periods were
characterized by significant declines in the private goods-producing
sector and by modest increases in the private services-producing sector
and in government.
In 1973-75, private goods-producing industries declined at an
average annual rate of 4.3 percent, led by declines in durable-goods
manufacturing (6.7 percent) and construction (6.6 percent).
Durable-goods manufacturing contributed -0.9 percentage point to the
0.3-percent average annual decline in real GDP during this period. The
real GDP decline was tempered by a contribution of 0.7 percentage point
by finance, insurance, real estate, rental, and leasing.
The 1979-82 period is included as a contraction period because
private industries overall declined at an average annual rate of 0.1
percent during this period. As in the earlier period, private
goods-producing industries declined (2.5 percent), while private
services-producing industries increased (1.1 percent). Construction
declined the most (9.9 percent) followed by durable-goods manufacturing
(4.4 percent). Both construction and durable-goods manufacturing
contributed -0.5 percentage point to the overall change. Finance,
insurance, real estate, rental, and leasing again helped to keep the
downturn relatively mild.
Appendix: Methodology for Revised Estimates
This article presents revised estimates of current-dollar and real
value added for 65 industries for 1977-86 and for 22 industry groups for
1947-76. These revised estimates are based on the 1997 North American
Industry Classification System (NAICS) and on the same industry
definitions that were used for the revised GDP-by-industry estimates for
1987-97) However, the methodology used to prepare the estimates differs,
especially for the real estimates, primarily because of source data
limitations. In addition, estimates of gross output, intermediate
inputs, and the components of value added are not provided for 1947-86.
Current-dollar estimates
The 1947-86 current-dollar estimates for each of the 60 NAICS-based
private nonfarm industries were derived by extrapolating the published
1987 NAICS levels for current-dollar value added. The estimates for
farms and for the four government industries were obtained from previous
estimates based on the Standard Industrial Classification (SIC); the
NAICS definitions of these sectors are the same. Current-dollar value
added for "all industries" was constrained to equal
current-dollar GDP for each year.
For the 60 private nonfarm industries, the series that were used to
extrapolate the 1987 NAICS-based estimates were derived by converting
SIC-based industry estimates for 1947-87 to a NAICS basis. The SIC-based
estimates were released as part of the comprehensive revision of the
annual industry accounts in June 2004.
For the 60 private nonfarm SIC-based industries, annual
"conversion matrices" were developed that show the percentage
of the revised SIC-based value-added estimate that should be allocated
to each of the NAICS-based industries. Using the converted SIC series to
develop extrapolators allowed the annual NAICS-based estimates to
capture definitional revisions from the national income and product
accounts that were incorporated in the revised SIC-based estimates and
to capture special features of the estimates that stem from BEA
definitions and concepts.
Also, the revised SIC-based estimates for 1947-86 are based on the
1972 SIC system. (The estimates for 1987 are available on both the 1972
SIC basis and the 1987 SIC basis.) As a result, the conversion matrix
for 1987 that had been developed for preparing the estimates for 1987-97
was first adjusted to the 1972 SIC basis. In order to allow for changes
over time in the NAICS composition of SIC industries, the 1987
value-added estimate for each of the detailed private industries in the
conversion matrix was extrapolated for each year back to 1977, using
matching, detailed SIC-based series for shipments, sales, and receipts.
The conversion matrix was then held constant for years before 1977
because of the limited availability of SIC-based source data for
extrapolation, especially in the nonmanufacturing sector.
Real estimates
Real estimates (chain-type quantity indexes) of value added were
prepared for each of the 65 detailed industries and for related industry
groups and aggregates, including private industries and "all
industries." Real value-added estimates were computed using a
single-deflation method after first converting SIC-based value-added
price indexes to NAICS-based price indexes using the same set of annual
conversion matrices that were used to convert the current-dollar
value-added estimates. (4) (See the box "Interpreting the
Value-Added Price Index.") This procedure computes the value-added
price index relative for each NAICS industry as a weighted average of
the value-added price index relatives for each of the SIC industries
that contribute to the NAICS industry. The weights, which are obtained
from the annual conversion matrices, represent the share of a NAICS
industry's current-dollar value added that is accounted for by a
specific SIC industry.
The following equation describes how the weighted-average
value-added price index relative for period t-1 to t was computed for
each private nonfarm NAICS industry:
[([VA.sup.P.sub.t]/[VA.sup.P.sub.t=1].sub.n] = [60.summation over
s=1] [w.sub.ns] [([VA.sup.P.sub.t]/[VA.sup.P.sub.t=1].sub.s]
where [w.sub.ns] = [VA.sup.PQ.sub.ns]/[60.summation over s=1]
[VA.sup.PQ.sub.ns] for each n = 1, ... 60, and [VA.sup.P.sub.t]
represents an industry's value-added price index for period t, VAPQ
represents an industry's current-dollar value added, n represents a
NAICS industry, s represents an SIC industry, and ns represents a cell
in the current-dollar value-added conversion matrix.
The SIC-based value-added price indexes for 1977-87 are the revised
indexes that were released in June 2004 as part of the comprehensive
revision of the annual industry accounts. The SIC-based value-added
price indexes for 1947-76 were calculated from previously published
SIC-based industry estimates that were last updated in July 1988 before
the introduction in 1991 of changes in methodology for real value-added
estimates. The published NAICS-based chain-type quantity indexes for
1987 were extrapolated (chained) back to 1947 using the value-added
quantity relatives computed from the current-dollar values and price
indexes.
1977-87. For this period, the weighted-average value-added price
index used for deflation at the detailed industry level is a Fisher-type
index for which the current-dollar value-added weights ([w.sub.ns]) were
obtained directly from the conversion matrices for both the current year
and the prior year. Because the revised SIC-based price indexes used in
the calculation for this period are also Fisher indexes, the resulting
weighted averages can be viewed as "Fisher of Fisher" type
indexes. Estimates for industry groups and for aggregates, including
private industries and "all industries," were likewise based
on Fisher aggregation techniques. The revised SIC-based value-added
price indexes were based on the double-deflation method for most of the
industries. This procedure works well for those NAICS industries that
are exact ("one-to-one"), or nearly' exact, matches with
the contributing SIC industry.
Exceptions to this procedure were made for certain high-tech
manufacturing industries, based on comparisons with the Federal Reserve
Board's NAICS-based index of industrial production for
manufacturing industries. (5) These industries include computer and
electronic products manufacturing, machinery manufacturing, and
electrical equipment and appliances. For these industries, a proxy gross-output price index was first computed for the NAICS industry for
1977-87 based on underlying source data, and then the value-added price
index was imputed based on the relationship between the value-added
price index and the gross output price index for 1987-97, when
value-added price indexes for NAICS industries were based on the
double-deflation method. This alternative method was also used for the
utilities industry.
1947-76. For this period, the weighted-average value-added price
index used for deflation at the detailed industry level is a
fixed-weight index in which the current-dollar value-added weights were
obtained from the 1977 conversion matrix. Estimates for industry groups
and aggregates, including private industries and "all
industries," were based on Fisher aggregation techniques. The
SIC-based price indexes for this period were computed as implicit price
deflators using current-dollar and constant-dollar (1982)
value-added-by-industry data that were last published by BEA in July
19882 The constant-dollar estimates used to calculate the implicit price
deflator were based on the double-deflation method for all manufacturing
industries except petroleum and coal products, railroads, and electric
and gas utilities. Constant-dollar estimates for the other industries
were based on either single deflation or quantity extrapolation.
For some SIC industries with constant-dollar estimates that were
based on quantity extrapolation, revised implicit price deflators were
computed using the most recent current-dollar value-added data (from
June 2004) because the original constant-dollar estimate was not subject
to revision. Value-added price indexes for the NAICS computer and
electronic products industry were adjusted for 1972-77 using Census
Bureau shipments and materials data and BLS price indexes for the
four-digit SIC industries that compose the NAICS industry.
Evaluating the results
The methodology was evaluated for reasonableness and consistency primarily by comparison with related estimates, including real GDP from
the NIPAs. Comparisons were made with both the revised and the
previously published SIC-based estimates for aggregates and for more
detailed industry groups whose definitions were not significantly
affected by the conversion to NAICS.
Current-dollar estimates. As expected, the share of GDP for
goods-producing industries is similar to, but slightly lower, under
NAICS than under the SIC over the entire period (chart 4). The converse is true for private services-producing industries. The NAICS-based
estimates also show the long-term decline in goods-producing
industries' share of GDP that was seen in the SIC-based estimates.
[GRAPHIC OMITTED]
The conversion matrix shares that were used to allocate SIC-based
industry estimates to NAICS industries were held constant for years
before 1977. However, because allocations to more than one detailed
NAICS industry from a single SIC industry usually fell within the same
higher level NAICS industry group, errors in the allocation matrix
tended to cancel one another at the industry group level.
Real estimates. Because the previously published real estimates for
years before 1977 were based on fixed 1982 relative price weights, they
are subject to substitution bias for earlier years that are far from
1982. However, the Fisher aggregation procedures that were used to
prepare the quantity indexes for NAICS industry groups for 1947-76
reduced the impact of the substitution bias. For example, real
value-added estimates for the manufacturing industry group for 1947-76
are not affected by substitution bias to the same degree as the
estimates for specific manufacturing industries.
In addition, the aggregation of the NAICS-based estimates over
"all industries" yields an estimate that closely matches
BEA's measure of real GDP growth (chart 5). The correlation is much
closer than it was using the previously published constant 1982 dollar
SIC-based estimates. This closer correspondence indicates greater
consistency of the industry real value added estimates with real GDP.
[GRAPHIC OMITTED]
Acknowledgments
Robert E. Yuskavage, senior economist in the Office of the
Associate Director for Industry Accounts, developed the methodology and
supervised the preparation of the estimates. Sumiye Okubo, Associate
Director for Industry Accounts, and Ann M. Lawson, Chief of the Current
Industry Analysis Division (CIAD), provided overall guidance. Mahnaz
Fahim-Nader of the Industry Benchmark Division prepared the estimates,
with significant contributions from Erich H. Strassner and Thomas F.
Howells, both of CLAD.
Data Availability
The GDP-by-industry estimates for 1947-86 are also available on
BEA's Web site; go to <www.bea.gov>, and under
"Industry," click on GDP by Industry." The
GDP-by-industry estimates are available interactively on our Web site,
so users can customize the tables to view data only for the industries
and for the years of interest. Users can also graph data and download tables to update spreadsheets.
RELATED ARTICLE: Interpreting the value-added price index.
The real value-added estimates for 1947-86 presented in this
article are quantity indexes calculated by dividing current-dollar
(nominal) value added by an estimated value-added price index. This
"single-deflation" method differs from the double-deflation
method that was used for the NAICS estimates for 1987-97 and that is
regularly used to estimate real value added by industry in the Bureau of
Economic Analysis (BEA) annual industry accounts. The quantity indexes
and real growth rates obtained by these two methods are similar when the
value-added price index used in the single-deflation method closely
approximates the implied value-added price index obtained by the
double-deflation method. This note explains why the estimates obtained
using these two methods can differ by describing the properties of the
value-added price index and how it differs from price indexes for gross
output or intermediate inputs.
Value added in the industry accounts represents the returns to the
primary inputs of labor and capital that are combined with secondary, or
intermediate, inputs to produce an industry's gross output. (1)
Value added is defined as the difference between gross output (mainly
sales) and intermediate inputs (purchases of energy, materials, and
services). Returns to labor are approximated by the compensation of
employees. Pretax returns to capital are approximated by adding together
the gross operating surplus and taxes on production and imports, less
subsidies. (2) The gross operating surplus includes both the normal
(expected) returns to capital and the excess (unexpected) gains or
losses attributable to factors such as demand shifts, nonconstant
returns to scale, and changes in capacity utilization.
Unlike current-dollar gross output and intermediate inputs, which
consist of goods and services exchanged in markets with largely
observable prices, current-dollar value added is a residual measure that
does not have observable price or quantity characteristics. For
productivity analysis, procedures have been developed to estimate the
quantities and the implied prices of labor and of capital services. A
decomposition of the return to labor into quantity and price components
is fairly straightforward because labor hours are observable and
adjustments can be made for changes in the composition of the workforce.
The procedures designed to estimate the flow of real capital services
and the implied rental prices of capital, however, are more complex and
usually depend on assumptions such as market equilibrium and constant
returns to scale. Departures from these assumptions, such as
disequilibrium resulting from unexpected shifts in demand, can result in
measures of gross operating surplus that include excess gains or losses.
These current-dollar measures can thus differ from the quantity of
capital services valued at normal, or expected, prices.
Excess gains or losses have a direct effect on the value-added
price index when they arise from gross output prices rising faster or
slower than intermediate input prices. However, when excess gains or
losses arise from changes in quantities, they do not greatly affect the
value-added price index because both current-dollar value added and real
value added change at similar rates. Changes in multifactor
productivity, the combined productivity of all inputs, can also affect
the value-added price index by changing unit production costs, but
market factors determine whether these cost changes translate into
changes in profit margins, gross output prices, or returns to labor. (3)
When the double-deflation method is used to calculate the
value-added quantity index, the implied value-added price index
accurately reflects changes in the prices of labor and capital
(value-added) inputs and changes in the profit margin, regardless of its
source. Single deflation approximates the result that would be obtained
by double deflation when the prices for an industry's gross output
increase or decrease at about the same rate as the prices for its
intermediate inputs. Research has demonstrated that this condition often
holds for many industries, though it may break down during periods of
business cycle fluctuations, sharp changes in raw materials prices, or
productivity shifts. When input and output prices behave differently,
single-deflation methods that use a value-added price index that itself
was calculated using a double-deflation method, such as the price
indexes used for many of these industry estimates, can still provide an
acceptable approximation to the correct result.
(1.) Value added also includes returns to land, which is an
important factor of production in certain industries.
(2.) One reason that these components are just approximations to
returns to labor and capital is that the proprietor's income
component of gross operating surplus includes returns to the labor of
owners of unincorporated businesses.
(3.) The effect of multifactor productivity (MFP) growth on the
value-added quantity index is captured using the double-deflation
method. Growth in real gross output is the combined effect of growth in
primary inputs, secondary inputs, and the productivity of all inputs.
Subtracting real intermediate input growth from real gross output growth
leaves the combined effects of value-added input growth and MFP growth
in the residual value-added quantity index.
(1.) Average annual growth-rate calculations do not include the
first year of the period.
(2.) An industry's contribution to real GDP growth reflects
both the growth rate of its real value added and its share of
current-dollar GDP.
(3.) For information about the methodology used for these
estimates, see Robert E. Yuskavage and Yvon H. Pho, "Gross Domestic
Product by Industry for 1987-2000," SURVEY OF CURRENT BUSINESS 84
(November 2004): 39-41.
(4.) Single deflation is an alternative deflation method
recommended by international statistical organizations when the data
needed for the preferred double-deflation method are not available. With
double deflation, real value added is computed as the difference between
real gross output and real intermediate inputs. This method thus
requires separate deflators for gross output and for intermediate
inputs.
For more information, see the technical note on computing chain
type price and quantity indexes in the GDP-by industry accounts in Brian C. Moyer, Mark A. Planting, Mahnaz Fahim-Nader, and Sherlene K.S. Lum,
"Preview of the Comprehensive Revision of the Annual Industry
Accounts," SURVEY 84 (March 2004): 30-51.
(5.) For information about the most recent historical revision of
the industrial production index, see Carol Corrado, "Industrial
Production and Capacity Utilizatinn: The 2002 Historical and Annual
Revision," Federal Reserve Bulletin 89 (April 2003): 151-176.
(6.) These estimates were recently used in a similar manner to
study SIC-based industry sources of productivity change before 1977. See
William D. Nordhaus, "Retrospective on the 1970s Productivity
Slowdown," National Bureau of Economic Research (working paper no.
10950, December 2004).
Table A. Value Added by Industry Group in Current Dollars as a
Percentage of Gross Domestic Product for Selected Years
[Percent]
1947 1957 1967 1977 1987
Gross domestic product 100.0 100.0 100.0 100.0 100.0
Private industries 87.5 87.4 85.8 85.6 86.1
Agriculture, forestry,
fishing, and hunting 8.2 4.0 2.7 2.5 1.7
Mining 2.3 2.3 1.4 2.1 1.5
Utilities 1.4 1.9 2.0 2.3 2.6
Construction 3.7 4.7 4.6 4.6 4.6
Manufacturing 25.6 26.9 25.2 21.6 17.1
Durable goods 13.0 16.1 15.4 13.1 10.2
Nondurable goods 12.6 10.9 9.8 8.5 6.9
Wholesale trade 6.3 6.2 6.5 6.6 6.0
Retail trade 9.4 7.9 7.8 7.8 7.4
Transportation and
warehousing 6.0 5.0 4.0 3.8 3.2
Information 2.5 2.9 3.2 3.5 3.9
Finance, insurance, real
estate, rental, and
leasing 10.4 13.1 14.2 15.0 17.7
Professional and business
services (1) 3.7 4.5 5.3 6.0 8.7
Educational services,
health care, and
social assistance 1.9 2.4 3.4 4.6 6.0
Arts, entertainment,
recreation, accommoda-
tion, and food services 3.2 2.7 2.8 2.9 3.2
Other services, except
government 3.0 2.8 2.7 2.3 2.4
Government 12.5 12.6 14.2 14.4 13.9
Addenda:
Private goods-producing
industries (2) 39.8 38.0 34.0 30.9 24.9
Private services-producing
industries (3) 47.8 49.4 51.8 54.7 61.2
(1.) Consists of professional, scientific, and technical services;
management of companies and enterprises; and administrative and waste
management services.
(2.) Consists of agriculture, forestry, fishing, and hunting; mining;
construction; and manufacturing.
(3.) Consists of utilities; wholesale trade; retail trade;
transportation and warehousing; information; finance, insurance, real
estate, rental, and leasing; professional and business services;
educational services, health care, and social assistance; arts,
entertainment, recreation, accommodation, and food services; and
other services, except government.
Table B. Real Value Added by Industry Group Average Annual Rates
of Change for Selected Periods
[Percent]
1947-87 1947-57 1957-67
Gross domestic product 3.6 3.9 4.2
Private industries 3.7 3.9 4.3
Agriculture, forestry,
fishing, and hunting 2.6 2.1 1.9
Mining 1.5 2.1 2.0
Utilities 5.4 9.3 6.0
Construction 2.2 6.2 3.0
Manufacturing 3.5 4.1 4.5
Durable goods 3.5 4.5 4.6
Nondurable goods 3.5 3.5 4.3
Wholesale trade 4.6 4.1 5.7
Retail trade 3.3 3.4 3.6
Transportation and
warehousing 2.3 0.8 3.0
Information 5.3 4.5 5.9
Finance, insurance, real
estate, rental, and
leasing 4.4 5.3 4.7
Professional and business
services (1) 4.7 3.7 5.0
Educational services,
health care, and
social assistance 4.9 4.5 5.9
Arts, entertainment,
recreation, accommoda-
tion, and food services 3.3 2.6 3.6
Other services, except
government 1.8 1.8 2.9
Government 2.3 2.7 3.5
Addenda:
Private goods-producing
industries (2) 3.1 3.9 3.9
Private services-producing
industries (3) 4.0 3.8 4.6
1967-77 1977-87
Gross domestic product 3.1 3.1
Private industries 3.3 3.2
Agriculture, forestry,
fishing, and hunting 2.2 4.4
Mining 1.5 0.6
Utilities 4.6 1.9
Construction -1.6 1.1
Manufacturing 2.9 2.7
Durable goods 2.4 2.6
Nondurable goods 3.7 2.7
Wholesale trade 4.0 4.7
Retail trade 3.2 3.1
Transportation and
warehousing 2.9 2.5
Information 5.8 4.9
Finance, insurance, real
estate, rental, and
leasing 4.4 3.4
Professional and business
services (1) 4.1 5.8
Educational services,
health care, and
social assistance 5.8 3.3
Arts, entertainment,
recreation, accommoda-
tion, and food services 3.4 3.5
Other services, except
government 0.8 1.7
Government 1.4 1.5
Addenda:
Private goods-producing
industries (2) 2.1 2.4
Private services-producing
industries (3) 4.0 3.7
(1.) Consists of professional, scientific, and technical services;
management of companies and enterprises; and administrative and waste
management services.
(2.) Consists of agriculture, forestry, fishing, and hunting; mining;
construction; and manufacturing.
(3.) Consists of utilities; wholesale trade; retail trade;
transportation and warehousing; information; finance, insurance, real
estate, rental, and leasing; professional and business services;
educational services, health care, and social assistance; arts,
entertainment, recreation, accommodation, and food services; and
other services, except government.
Table C. Value-Added Price Indexes by Industry Group Average Annual
Rates of Change for Selected Periods
[Percent]
1947-87 1947-57 1957-67
Gross domestic product 4.0 2.6 1.8
Private industries 3.8 2.6 1.5
Agriculture, forestry,
fishing, and hunting 0.9 -2.8 0.3
Mining 4.9 4.4 -1.0
Utilities 3.8 1.1 0.5
Construction 6.0 2.8 2.9
Manufacturing 3.0 2.9 0.9
Durable goods 3.4 4.2 1.0
Nondurable goods 2.5 1.4 0.7
Wholesale trade 2.8 2.1 0.8
Retail trade 3.6 1.3 2.2
Transportation and
warehousing 3.6 4.0 0.6
Information 3.4 3.3 1.3
Finance, insurance, real
estate, rental, and
leasing 4.5 3.6 2.2
Professional and business
services (1) 5.1 4.7 2.6
Educational services,
health care, and
social assistance 5.7 4.6 3.4
Arts, entertainment,
recreation, accommoda-
tion, and food services 4.3 2.2 2.6
Other services, except
government 5.2 4.0 2.8
Government 5.6 3.8 3.8
Addenda:
Private goods-producing
industries (2) 3.3 2.1 1.0
Private services-producing
industries (3) 4.2 3.0 1.9
1967-77 1977-87
Gross domestic product 6.0 5.5
Private industries 5.8 5.5
Agriculture, forestry,
fishing, and hunting 6.0 0.1
Mining 12.2 4.5
Utilities 5.6 8.3
Construction 11.0 7.6
Manufacturing 4.6 3.6
Durable goods 5.0 3.5
Nondurable goods 4.0 3.8
Wholesale trade 5.3 3.0
Retail trade 6.0 5.0
Transportation and
warehousing 5.6 4.5
Information 4.1 4.9
Finance, insurance, real
estate, rental, and
leasing 5.2 7.1
Professional and business
services (1) 6.5 6.7
Educational services,
health care, and
social assistance 6.7 8.2
Arts, entertainment,
recreation, accommoda-
tion, and food services 6.2 6.2
Other services, except
government 6.6 7.5
Government 7.9 6.9
Addenda:
Private goods-producing
industries (2) 6.0 4.0
Private services-producing
industries (3) 5.7 6.1
(1.) Consists of professional, scientific, and technical services;
management of companies and enterprises; and administrative and waste
management services.
(2.) Consists of agriculture, forestry, fishing, and hunting; mining;
construction; and manufacturing.
(3.) Consists of utilities; wholesale trade; retail trade;
transportation and warehousing; information; finance, insurance, real
estate, rental, and leasing; professional and business services;
educational services, health care, and social assistance; arts,
entertainment, recreation, accommodation, and food services; and
other services, except government.
Table D. Real Value Added by Industry Group
Average Annual Rates of Change for Expansions and Contractions
[Percent]
Expansions
1949-53 1954-57 1961-69
Gross domestic product 6.2 3.7 4.9
Private industries 6.0 4.1 5.1
Agriculture, forestry, fishing,
and hunting 2.3 -0.5 1.3
Mining 5.4 5.0 3.6
Utilities 10.1 6.1 6.1
Construction 7.7 4.1 1.4
Manufacturing 8.9 3.6 6.3
Durable goods 12.0 3.7 7.1
Nondurable goods 5.2 3.4 5.1
Wholesale trade 5.1 5.5 5.8
Retail trade 4.0 3.5 4.3
Transportation and warehousing 4.4 3.9 5.0
Information 4.7 4.9 7.1
Finance, insurance, real estate,
rental, and leasing 5.9 5.6 4.9
Professional and business
services (1) 5.2 4.9 5.7
Educational services, health care,
and social assistance 4.3 4.2 6.4
Arts, entertainment, recreation,
accommodation, and food
services 3.1 3.7 3.9
Other services, except government 1.1 4.4 2.5
Government 7.0 1.4 4.0
Addenda:
Private goods-producing
industries (2) 7.5 3.2 5.0
Private services-producing
industries (3) 4.8 4.8 5.1
Expansions Contractions
1982-90 1973-75 1979-82
Gross domestic product 4.0 -0.3 0.1
Private industries 4.2 -0.6 -0.1
Agriculture, forestry, fishing,
and hunting 2.2 6.5 9.0
Mining 1.4 -1.4 2.7
Utilities 6.6 4.1 -2.5
Construction 4.8 -6.6 -9.9
Manufacturing 4.1 -5.7 -2.7
Durable goods 5.1 -6.7 -4.4
Nondurable goods 2.5 -4.3 -0.2
Wholesale trade 3.9 0.6 1.8
Retail trade 5.2 -1.7 -0.6
Transportation and warehousing 4.5 -3.0 -3.1
Information 4.3 3.4 3.7
Finance, insurance, real estate,
rental, and leasing 2.9 5.0 2.5
Professional and business
services (1) 7.2 -0.7 1.6
Educational services, health care,
and social assistance 3.0 5.1 2.9
Arts, entertainment, recreation,
accommodation, and food
services 4.0 -0.8 1.3
Other services, except government 4.0 -1.8 -3.0
Government 2.0 1.9 0.7
Addenda:
Private goods-producing
industries (2) 3.8 -4.3 -2.5
Private services-producing
industries (3) 4.3 1.6 1.1
(1) Consists of professional, scientific, and technical services;
management of companies and enterprises; and administrative and
waste management services.
(2.) Consists of agriculture, forestry, fishing, and hunting;
mining; construction; and manufacturing.
(3.) Consists of utilities; wholesale trade; retail trade;
transportation and warehousing; information; finance, insurance,
real estate, rental, and leasing; professional and business
services; educational services, health care, and social
assistance; arts, entertainment, recreation, accommodation, and
food services; and other services, except government.
Table E. Contributions to Percent Change in Real GDP by Industry
Group Average Annual Rates of Change for Expansions and Contraction
Expansions
1949-53 1954-57 1961-09
Percent change:
Gross domestic product 6.2 3.7 4.9
Percentage points:
Private industries 5.33 3.61 4.38
Agriculture, forestry, fishing,
and hunting 0.15 -0.01 0.04
Mining 0.14 0.12 0.06
Utilities 0.16 0.11 0.13
Construction 0.34 0.19 0.07
Manufacturing 2.39 0.99 1.58
Durable goods 1.76 0.59 1.06
Nondurable goods 0.63 0.40 0.52
Wholesale trade 0.32 0.33 0.37
Retail trade 0.35 0.29 0.34
Transportation and warehousing 0.26 0.20 0.21
Information 0.13 0.14 0.22
Finance, insurance, real estate,
rental, and leasing 0.68 0.72 0.70
Professional and business
services (1) 0.21 0.21 0.29
Educational services, health
care, and social assistance 0.09 0.10 0.20
Arts, entertainment, recreation,
accommodation, and food
services 0.09 0.10 0.11
Other services, except government 0.03 0.12 0.07
Government 0.79 0.17 0.55
Addenda:
Private goods-producing
industries (2) 3.02 1.28 1.75
Private services-producing
industries (3) 2.32 2.32 2.63
Expansions Contractions
1982-90 1973-75 1979-82
Percent change:
Gross domestic product 4.0 -0.3 0.1
Percentage points:
Private industries 3.59 -0.55 -0.09
Agriculture, forestry, fishing,
and hunting 0.04 0.20 0.20
Mining 0.02 -0.02 0.06
Utilities 0.16 0.08 -0.05
Construction 0.20 -0.33 -0.45
Manufacturing 0.73 -1.24 -0.53
Durable goods 0.54 -0.87 -0.52
Nondurable goods 0.19 -0.37 -0.01
Wholesale trade 0.25 0.04 0.12
Retail trade 0.38 -0.14 -0.05
Transportation and warehousing 0.14 -0.11 -0.11
Information 0.17 0.11 0.13
Finance, insurance, real estate,
rental, and leasing 0.52 0.73 0.38
Professional and business
services (1) 0.59 -0.04 0.11
Educational services, health
care, and social assistance 0.18 0.22 0.14
Arts, entertainment, recreation,
accommodation, and food
services 0.13 -0.02 0.04
Other services, except government 0.09 -0.04 -0.07
Government 0.28 0.28 0.10
Addenda:
Private goods-producing
industries (2) 0.99 -1.38 -0.73
Private services-producing
industries (3) 2.60 0.83 0.64
(1) Consists of professional, scientific, and technical services;
management of companies and enterprises; and administrative and
waste management services.
(2.) Consists of agriculture, forestry, fishing, and hunting;
mining; construction; and manufacturing.
(3.) Consists of utilities; wholesale trade; retail trade;
transportation and warehousing; information; finance, insurance,
real estate, rental, and leasing; professional and business
services; educational services, health care, and social assistance;
arts, entertainment, recreation, accommodation, and food services;
and other services, except government.
Table 1. Value Added by Industry Group for Selected Years
[Billions of dollars]
Line 1947 1952 1957
1 Gross domestic product 244.2 358.3 461.1
2 Private industries 213.7 313.8 403.0
3 Agriculture, forestry,
fishing, and hunting 19.9 22.1 18.4
4 Mining 5.7 8.2 10.8
5 Utilities 3.3 5.9 9.0
6 Construction 9.0 16.6 21.5
7 Manufacturing 62.5 98.3 124.2
8 Durable goods 31.7 56.3 74.1
9 Nondurable goods 30.8 42.0 50.2
10 Wholesale trade 15.5 21.5 28.5
11 Retail trade 22.9 29.7 36.4
12 Transportation and warehousing 14.6 20.3 23.3
13 Information 6.2 9.6 13.2
14 Finance, insurance, real
estate, rental, and
leasing 25.4 41.0 60.5
15 Finance and insurance 5.7 10.0 15.1
16 Real estate and rental and
leasing 19.8 31.0 45.3
17 Professional and business
services 9.1 14.3 20.8
18 Professional, scientific,
and technical services 3.6 5.9 9.3
19 Management of companies and
enterprises 4.0 6.1 7.8
20 Administrative and waste
management services 1.4 2.3 3.6
21 Educational services, health
care, and social
assistance 4.6 7.2 11.2
22 Educational services 0.8 1.2 1.8
23 Health care and social
assistance 3.8 6.0 9.4
24 Arts, entertainment,
recreation, accommodation,
and food services 7.8 10.0 12.5
25 Arts, entertainment, and
recreation 1.5 1.9 2.5
26 Accommodation and food
services 6.3 8.1 10.0
27 Other services, except
government 7.2 9.3 12.7
28 Government 30.4 44.5 58.1
29 Federal 20.4 28.0 32.6
30 State and local 10.0 16.5 25.5
Addenda:
31 Private goods-producing
industries (1) 97.1 145.2 175.0
32 Private services-producing
industries (2) 116.6 168.7 228.0
Line 1962 1967 1972
1 Gross domestic product 585.6 832.6 1,238.3
2 Private industries 506.8 714.2 1,051.0
3 Agriculture, forestry,
fishing, and hunting 20.4 22.9 34.4
4 Mining 10.2 11.9 15.8
5 Utilities 12.9 16.9 26.1
6 Construction 26.2 38.7 61.0
7 Manufacturing 147.3 209.4 273.7
8 Durable goods 86.9 128.0 164.1
9 Nondurable goods 60.4 81.5 109.6
10 Wholesale trade 38.5 54.1 82.0
11 Retail trade 45.5 64.7 98.1
12 Transportation and warehousing 25.1 33.1 48.4
13 Information 18.1 26.9 42.6
14 Finance, insurance, real
estate, rental, and
leasing 84.2 118.1 184.9
15 Finance and insurance 20.5 31.3 51.5
16 Real estate and rental and
leasing 63.7 86.8 133.4
17 Professional and business
services 28.6 44.0 67.5
18 Professional, scientific,
and technical services 13.5 21.8 34.8
19 Management of companies and
enterprises 9.8 13.8 19.4
20 Administrative and waste
management services 5.3 8.4 13.3
21 Educational services, health
care, and social
assistance 16.9 28.0 51.1
22 Educational services 2.9 4.9 9.3
23 Health care and social
assistance 14.0 23.1 41.8
24 Arts, entertainment,
recreation, accommodation,
and food services 16.1 23.1 34.6
25 Arts, entertainment, and
recreation 3.6 4.9 6.8
26 Accommodation and food
services 12.4 18.2 27.8
27 Other services, except
government 16.7 22.5 30.8
28 Government 78.8 118.4 187.3
29 Federal 40.2 56.9 80.5
30 State and local 38.6 61.5 106.8
Addenda:
31 Private goods-producing
industries (1) 204.1 282.9 384.8
32 Private services-producing
industries (2) 302.7 431.2 666.1
Line 1977 1982 1987
1 Gross domestic product 2,030.9 3,255.0 4,739.5
2 Private industries 1,739.4 2,792.6 4,080.4
3 Agriculture, forestry,
fishing, and hunting 51.3 71.3 79.8
4 Mining 43.4 120.0 71.5
5 Utilities 45.9 81.7 123.0
6 Construction 94.2 128.8 218.2
7 Manufacturing 438.6 603.2 811.3
8 Durable goods 265.0 353.4 483.8
9 Nondurable goods 173.6 249.8 327.5
10 Wholesale trade 134.9 207.9 285.3
11 Retail trade 158.5 229.9 349.9
12 Transportation and warehousing 76.2 105.9 151.1
13 Information 71.1 123.6 185.0
14 Finance, insurance, real
estate, rental, and
leasing 304.0 539.9 840.3
15 Finance and insurance 92.3 167.6 274.4
16 Real estate and rental and
leasing 211.7 372.3 565.9
17 Professional and business
services 122.7 230.9 414.1
18 Professional, scientific,
and technical services 64.5 130.0 238.6
19 Management of companies and
enterprises 32.7 52.1 81.3
20 Administrative and waste
management services 25.5 48.8 94.1
21 Educational services, health
care, and social
assistance 93.8 177.9 286.5
22 Educational services 12.7 20.7 32.7
23 Health care and social
assistance 81.1 157.2 253.7
24 Arts, entertainment,
recreation, accommodation,
and food services 58.8 100.9 152.1
25 Arts, entertainment, and
recreation 12.8 20.4 31.6
26 Accommodation and food
services 45.9 80.5 120.5
27 Other services, except
government 46.1 70.7 112.3
28 Government 291.5 462.4 659.1
29 Federal 116.2 186.2 257.8
30 State and local 175.4 276.2 401.3
Addenda:
31 Private goods-producing
industries (1) 627.5 923.3 1,180.8
32 Private services-producing
industries (2) 1,111.9 1,869.3 2,899.5
(1.) Consists of agriculture, forestry, fishing, and hunting; mining;
construction; and manufacturing.
(2.) Consists of utilities; wholesale trade; retail trade;
transportation and warehousing; information; finance, insurance, real
estate, rental, and leasing; professional and business services;
educational services, health care, and social assistance; arts,
entertainment, recreation, accommodation, and food services; and other
services, except government.
Table 2. Value Added by Industry Group as a Percentage of
Current-Dollar Gross Domestic Product for Selected Years
[Percent]
Line 1947 1952 1957
1 Gross domestic product 100.0 100.0 100.0
2 Private industries 87.5 87.6 87.4
3 Agriculture, forestry,
fishing, and hunting 8.2 6.2 4.0
4 Mining 2.3 2.3 2.3
5 Utilities 1.4 1.6 1.9
6 Construction 3.7 4.6 4.7
7 Manufacturing 25.6 27.4 26.9
8 Durable goods 13.0 15.7 16.1
9 Nondurable goods 12.6 11.7 10.9
10 Wholesale trade 6.3 6.0 6.2
11 Retail trade 9.4 8.3 7.9
12 Transportation and warehousing 6.0 5.7 5.0
13 Information 2.5 2.7 2.9
14 Finance, insurance, real
estate, rental, and
leasing 10.4 11.4 13.1
15 Finance and insurance 2.3 2.8 3.3
16 Real estate and rental and
leasing 8.1 8.6 9.8
17 Professional and business
services 3.7 4.0 4.5
18 Professional, scientific,
and technical services 1.5 1.6 2.0
19 Management of companies and
enterprises 1.7 1.7 1.7
20 Administrative and waste
management services 0.6 0.6 0.8
21 Educational services, health
care, and social
assistance 1.9 2.0 2.4
22 Educational services 0.3 0.3 0.4
23 Health care and social
assistance 1.6 1.7 2.0
24 Arts, entertainment,
recreation, accommodation,
and food services 3.2 2.8 2.7
25 Arts, entertainment, and
recreation 0.6 0.5 0.5
26 Accommodation and food
services 2.6 2.3 2.2
27 Other services, except
government 3.0 2.6 2.8
28 Government 12.5 12.4 12.6
29 Federal 8.4 7.8 7.1
30 State and local 4.1 4.6 5.5
Addenda:
31 Private goods-producing
industries (1) 39.8 40.5 38.0
32 Private services-producing
industries (2) 47.8 47.1 49.4
Line 1962 1967 1972
1 Gross domestic product 100.0 100.0 100.0
2 Private industries 86.5 85.8 84.9
3 Agriculture, forestry,
fishing, and hunting 3.5 2.7 2.8
4 Mining 1.7 1.4 1.3
5 Utilities 2.2 2.0 2.1
6 Construction 4.5 4.6 4.9
7 Manufacturing 25.2 25.2 22.1
8 Durable goods 14.8 15.4 13.3
9 Nondurable goods 10.3 9.8 8.9
10 Wholesale trade 6.6 6.5 6.6
11 Retail trade 7.8 7.8 7.9
12 Transportation and warehousing 4.3 4.0 3.9
13 Information 3.1 3.2 3.4
14 Finance, insurance, real
estate, rental, and
leasing 14.4 14.2 14.9
15 Finance and insurance 3.5 3.8 4.2
16 Real estate and rental and
leasing 10.9 10.4 10.8
17 Professional and business
services 4.9 5.3 5.5
18 Professional, scientific,
and technical services 2.3 2.6 2.8
19 Management of companies and
enterprises 1.7 1.7 1.6
20 Administrative and waste
management services 0.9 1.0 1.1
21 Educational services, health
care, and social
assistance 2.9 3.4 4.1
22 Educational services 0.5 0.6 0.8
23 Health care and social
assistance 2.4 2.8 3.4
24 Arts, entertainment,
recreation, accommodation,
and food services 2.7 2.8 2.8
25 Arts, entertainment, and
recreation 0.6 0.6 0.5
26 Accommodation and food
services 2.1 2.2 2.2
27 Other services, except
government 2.9 2.7 2.5
28 Government 13.5 14.2 15.1
29 Federal 6.9 6.8 6.5
30 State and local 6.6 7.4 8.6
Addenda:
31 Private goods-producing
industries (1) 34.9 34.0 31.1
32 Private services-producing
industries (2) 51.7 51.8 53.8
Line 1977 1982 1987
1 Gross domestic product 100.0 100.0 100.0
2 Private industries 85.6 85.8 86.1
3 Agriculture, forestry,
fishing, and hunting 2.5 2.2 1.7
4 Mining 2.1 3.7 1.5
5 Utilities 2.3 2.5 2.6
6 Construction 4.6 4.0 4.6
7 Manufacturing 21.6 18.5 17.1
8 Durable goods 13.1 10.9 10.2
9 Nondurable goods 8.5 7.7 6.9
10 Wholesale trade 6.6 6.4 6.0
11 Retail trade 7.8 7.1 7.4
12 Transportation and warehousing 3.8 3.3 3.2
13 Information 3.5 3.8 3.9
14 Finance, insurance, real
estate, rental, and
leasing 15.0 16.6 17.7
15 Finance and insurance 4.5 5.2 5.8
16 Real estate and rental and
leasing 10.4 11.4 11.9
17 Professional and business
services 6.0 7.1 8.7
18 Professional, scientific,
and technical services 3.2 4.0 5.0
19 Management of companies and
enterprises 1.6 1.6 1.7
20 Administrative and waste
management services 1.3 1.5 2.0
21 Educational services, health
care, and social
assistance 4.6 5.5 6.0
22 Educational services 0.6 0.6 0.7
23 Health care and social
assistance 4.0 4.8 5.4
24 Arts, entertainment,
recreation, accommodation,
and food services 2.9 3.1 3.2
25 Arts, entertainment, and
recreation 0.6 0.6 0.7
26 Accommodation and food
services 2.3 2.5 2.5
27 Other services, except
government 2.3 2.2 2.4
28 Government 14.4 14.2 13.9
29 Federal 5.7 5.7 5.4
30 State and local 8.6 8.5 8.5
Addenda:
31 Private goods-producing
industries (1) 30.9 28.4 24.9
32 Private services-producing
industries (2) 54.7 57.4 61.2
(1.) Consists of agriculture, forestry, fishing, and hunting; mining;
construction; and manufacturing.
(2.) Consists of utilities; wholesale trade; retail trade;
transportation and warehousing; information; finance, insurance, real
estate, rental, and leasing; professional and business services;
educational services, health care, and social assistance; arts,
entertainment, recreation, accommodation, and food services; and other
services, except government.
Table 3. Real Value Added by Industry Group
Average Annual Rates of Change for Selected Periods
[Percent]
Line 1947-52 1952-57 1957-62
1 Gross domestic product 4.8 3.0 3.4
2 Private industries 4.6 3.2 3.3
3 Agriculture, forestry,
fishing, and hunting 2.9 1.2 1.4
4 Mining 1.3 2.9 0.2
5 Utilities 11.3 7.3 6.3
6 Construction 8.6 4.0 3.9
7 Manufacturing 6.1 2.1 2.4
8 Durable goods 7.3 1.8 1.6
9 Nondurable goods 4.6 2.5 3.5
10 Wholesale trade 4.3 3.9 5.7
11 Retail trade 3.7 3.1 2.7
12 Transportation and warehousing 0.4 1.1 0.8
13 Information 4.7 4.4 4.6
14 Finance, insurance, real
estate, rental, and
leasing 5.2 5.4 5.0
15 Finance and insurance 4.1 5.3 2.6
16 Real estate and rental and
leasing 5.5 5.5 5.7
17 Professional and business
services 3.8 3.6 4.1
18 Professional, scientific,
and technical services 2.8 4.0 4.3
19 Management of companies
and enterprises 4.6 2.8 3.2
20 Administrative and waste
management services 4.3 4.6 5.4
21 Educational services, health
care, and social assistance 4.3 4.6 5.8
22 Educational services 3.6 3.2 4.5
23 Health care and social
assistance 4.5 4.8 6.1
24 Arts, entertainment,
recreation, accommodation,
and food services 2.2 3.0 2.8
25 Arts, entertainment, and
recreation 0.5 2.3 4.0
26 Accommodation and food
services 2.6 3.1 2.5
27 Other services, except
government 1.0 2.6 2.9
28 Government 4.4 1.1 2.7
29 Federal 5.5 -1.1 1.1
30 State and local 2.8 4.4 4.6
Addenda:
31 Private goods-producing
industries (1) 5.5 2.3 2.4
32 Private services-producing
industries (2) 3.8 3.9 4.1
1962-67 1967-72 1972-77
Line
1 Gross domestic product 5.1 3.3 3.0
2 Private industries 5.2 3.4 3.2
3 Agriculture, forestry,
fishing, and hunting 2.4 1.8 2.7
4 Mining 3.9 1.4 1.6
5 Utilities 5.7 5.7 3.6
6 Construction 2.2 -2.8 -0.3
7 Manufacturing 6.6 2.7 3.2
8 Durable goods 7.6 1.8 3.1
9 Nondurable goods 5.1 4.1 3.3
10 Wholesale trade 5.8 5.4 2.7
11 Retail trade 4.5 3.6 2.8
12 Transportation and warehousing 5.2 3.3 2.5
13 Information 7.3 6.4 5.2
14 Finance, insurance, real
estate, rental, and
leasing 4.4 5.1 3.8
15 Finance and insurance 3.8 4.9 4.4
16 Real estate and rental and
leasing 4.5 5.1 3.6
17 Professional and business
services 6.0 4.1 4.1
18 Professional, scientific,
and technical services 6.2 4.1 4.4
19 Management of companies
and enterprises 5.6 3.6 3.1
20 Administrative and waste
management services 6.0 4.8 4.5
21 Educational services, health
care, and social assistance 6.1 6.2 5.5
22 Educational services 5.2 3.9 2.0
23 Health care and social
assistance 6.2 6.7 6.1
24 Arts, entertainment,
recreation, accommodation,
and food services 4.3 3.0 3.8
25 Arts, entertainment, and
recreation 2.7 1.8 6.9
26 Accommodation and food
services 4.8 3.3 3.1
27 Other services, except
government 3.0 1.0 0.6
28 Government 4.3 1.5 1.3
29 Federal 3.4 -1.8 -0.6
30 State and local 5.3 4.3 2.7
Addenda:
31 Private goods-producing
industries (1) 5.5 1.7 2.6
32 Private services-producing
industries (2) 5.0 4.5 3.5
1977-82 1982-87
Line
1 Gross domestic product 1.8 4.5
2 Private industries 1.8 4.7
3 Agriculture, forestry,
fishing, and hunting 6.3 2.6
4 Mining 0.0 1.2
5 Utilities -3.3 7.4
6 Construction -4.3 6.8
7 Manufacturing 0.0 5.4
8 Durable goods -1.1 6.5
9 Nondurable goods 1.8 3.6
10 Wholesale trade 4.6 4.7
11 Retail trade 0.8 5.5
12 Transportation and warehousing 0.2 4.9
13 Information 6.0 3.7
14 Finance, insurance, real
estate, rental, and
leasing 3.8 3.0
15 Finance and insurance 5.1 2.8
16 Real estate and rental and
leasing 3.2 3.0
17 Professional and business
services 3.9 7.8
18 Professional, scientific,
and technical services 5.1 7.2
19 Management of companies
and enterprises 0.8 6.9
20 Administrative and waste
management services 4.8 9.9
21 Educational services, health
care, and social assistance 3.5 3.1
22 Educational services 1.4 4.1
23 Health care and social
assistance 3.8 3.0
24 Arts, entertainment,
recreation, accommodation,
and food services 2.7 4.3
25 Arts, entertainment, and
recreation 4.0 4.7
26 Accommodation and food
services 2.4 4.2
27 Other services, except
government -0.6 4.0
28 Government 1.2 1.8
29 Federal 0.9 2.0
30 State and local 1.3 1.6
Addenda:
31 Private goods-producing
industries (1) -0.1 4.9
32 Private services-producing
industries (2) 2.9 4.6
(1.) Consists of agriculture, forestry, fishing, and hunting;
mining; construction; and manufacturing.
(2.) Consists of utilities; wholesale trade, retail trade;
transportation and warehousing; information; finance,
insurance, real estate, rental, and leasing; professional
and business services; educational services, health care,
and social assistance; arts, entertainment, recreation,
accommodation, and food services; and other services,
except government.
Table 4. Value-Added Price Indexes by Industry Group
Average Annual Rates of Change for Selected Periods
[Percent]
Line 1947-52 1952-57 1957-02
1 Gross domestic product -3.1 2.1 1.5
2 Private industries 3.3 1.9 1.3
3 Agriculture, forestry,
fishing, and hunting -0.7 -4.8 0.7
4 Mining 6.0 2.8 -1.3
5 Utilities 0.8 1.3 1.3
6 Construction 4.2 1.3 0.1
7 Manufacturing 3.2 2.7 1.0
8 Durable goods 4.6 3.8 1.6
9 Nondurable goods 1.7 1.1 0.3
10 Wholesale trade 2.4 1.9 0.4
11 Retail trade 1.6 1.0 1.8
12 Transportation and warehousing 6.4 1.6 0.8
13 Information 4.3 2.2 1.8
14 Finance, insurance, real
estate, rental, and
leasing 4.6 2.5 1.8
15 Finance and insurance 7.7 3.1 3.5
16 Real estate and rental and
leasing 3.7 2.3 1.2
17 Professional and business
services 5.5 4.0 2.4
18 Professional, scientific,
and technical services 7.2 5.3 3.3
19 Management of companies and
enterprises 3.7 2.3 1.2
20 Administrative and waste
management services 6.1 4.5 2.5
21 Educational services, health
care, and social
assistance 4.7 4.6 2.6
22 Educational services 4.9 5.5 5.3
23 Health care and social
assistance 4.6 4.4 2.1
24 Arts, entertainment,
recreation, accommodation,
and food services 2.8 1.6 2.3
25 Arts, entertainment, and
recreation 4.2 3.3 3.5
26 Accommodation and food
services. 2.4 1.2 1.9
27 Other services, except
government 4.1 3.9 2.7
28 Government 3.4 4.3 3.5
29 Federal 1.0 4.2 3.2
30 State and local 7.4 4.6 3.9
Addenda:
31 Private goods-producing
industries (1) 2.7 1.5 0.8
32 Private services-producing
industries (2) 3.8 2.2 1.7
Line 1962-67 1967-72 1972-77
1 Gross domestic product 2.1 4.8 7.2
2 Private industries 1.8 4.4 7.2
3 Agriculture, forestry,
fishing, and hunting -0.1 6.6 5.5
4 Mining -0.8 4.4 20.6
5 Utilities -0.2 3.2 8.0
6 Construction 5.8 12.7 9.4
7 Manufacturing 0.7 2.7 6.5
8 Durable goods 0.4 3.3 6.7
9 Nondurable goods 1.1 1.9 6.2
10 Wholesale trade 1.2 3.1 7.6
11 Retail trade 2.7 5.0 7.1
12 Transportation and warehousing 0.4 4.5 6.8
13 Information 0.9 3.0 5.3
14 Finance, insurance, real
estate, rental, and
leasing 2.5 4.1 6.4
15 Finance and insurance 4.9 5.3 7.7
16 Real estate and rental and
leasing 1.8 3.7 5.9
17 Professional and business
services 2.8 4.6 8.3
18 Professional, scientific,
and technical services 3.6 5.4 8.4
19 Management of companies and
enterprises 1.4 3.3 7.7
20 Administrative and waste
management services 3.3 4.7 8.9
21 Educational services, health
care, and social
assistance 4.2 6.3 7.1
22 Educational services 5.6 9.5 4.3
23 Health care and social
assistance 4.0 5.6 7.6
24 Arts, entertainment,
recreation, accommodation,
and food services 3.0 5.3 7.0
25 Arts, entertainment, and
recreation 3.3 5.0 6.2
26 Accommodation and food
services. 2.9 5.4 7.3
27 Other services, except
government 3.0 5.4 7.8
28 Government 4.0 8.0 7.8
29 Federal 3.7 9.2 8.2
30 State and local 4.3 7.1 7.5
Addenda:
31 Private goods-producing
industries (1) 1.2 4.5 7.5
32 Private services-producing
industries (2) 2.2 4.4 7.0
Line 1977-82 1982-87
1 Gross domestic product 8.0 3.1
2 Private industries 8.0 3.1
3 Agriculture, forestry,
fishing, and hunting 0.5 -0.3
4 Mining 22.5 -10.9
5 Utilities 16.0 1.1
6 Construction 11.2 4.1
7 Manufacturing 6.6 0.7
8 Durable goods 7.1 0.0
9 Nondurable goods 5.7 1.8
10 Wholesale trade 4.2 1.7
11 Retail trade 6.9 3.1
12 Transportation and warehousing 6.6 2.3
13 Information 5.3 4.5
14 Finance, insurance, real
estate, rental, and
leasing 8.1 6.1
15 Finance and insurance 7.2 7.4
16 Real estate and rental and
leasing 8.5 5.5
17 Professional and business
services 9.2 4.3
18 Professional, scientific,
and technical services 9.5 5.3
19 Management of companies and
enterprises 8.9 2.3
20 Administrative and waste
management services 8.7 3.8
21 Educational services, health
care, and social
assistance 9.8 6.7
22 Educational services 8.8 5.3
23 Health care and social
assistance 9.9 6.9
24 Arts, entertainment,
recreation, accommodation,
and food services 8.4 4.1
25 Arts, entertainment, and
recreation 5.6 4.2
26 Accommodation and food
services. 9.2 4.0
27 Other services, except
government 9.6 5.4
28 Government 8.4 5.5
29 Federal 8.9 4.6
30 State and local 8.1 6.1
Addenda:
31 Private goods-producing
industries (1) 8.1 0.1
32 Private services-producing
industries (2) 7.9 4.4
(1.) Consists of agriculture, forestry, fishing, and hunting;
mining; construction: and manufacturing.
(2.) Consists of utilities; wholesale trade: retail trade:
transportation and warehousing; information;
finance, insurance, real estate, rental, and leasing;
professional and business services; educational
services, health care, and social assistance; arts,
entertainment, recreation, accommodation, and
food services; and other services, except government.