Direct investment positions on a historical-cost basis: country and industry detail for 1995, changes in geographic composition since 1982.
Lowe, Jeffrey H. ; Bargas, Sylvia E.
This article presents the country and industry detail underlying the
direct investment positions on a historical-cost basis - the only basis
on which such detail is available.(1) Aggregate estimates of the
investment positions on the current-cost and market-value bases are
presented in the companion article "The International Investment
Position of the United States in in this issue. Table 1 shows the
aggregate direct investment positions on all three valuation bases.
[TABULAR DATA OMITTED]
On a historical-cost basis, the position for U.S. direct investment
abroad (USDIA) grew 15 percent in 1995, and the position for foreign
direct investment in the United States (FDIUS) grew 11 percent. For
USDIA, the rate of increase was the largest since 1987; for FDIUS, it
was the largest since 1989. The strong growth in both measures was
largely attributable to a global boom in mergers and acquisitions, which
resulted in a substantial number of new direct investments; some of the
mergers were structured as an exchange of stock and affected the
positions for USDIA and FDIUS. Favorable economic conditions, including
declining interest rates and advancing equity markets worldwide and
healthy corporate profits in the United States, also contributed to the
strong growth by providing a source of funds for mergers and
acquisitions. In addition, developments in specific industries spurred
investment, particularly the trends towards consolidation in the
worldwide pharmaceutical industry and towards privatization of
Government-owned utilities abroad.
The increase in the USDIA position continued to be concentrated in
developed, high-wage countries rather than in developing, low-wage
countries; evidently, U.S. direct investors have been motivated more by
a desire for access to major markets than by a search for low-cost
sources of supply. As might be expected, developed countries also
accounted for the major portion of the increase in the FDIUS position.
The remainder of the article consists of two sections. The first
section describes the changes in 1995 in the USDIA position and the
FDIUS position. The second section summarizes the changes in the
positions by major area for 1982-95.
Country and Industry Detail for 1995
U.S. direct investment abroad
The U.S. direct investment position abroad valued at historical cost
- the book value of U.S. direct investors' equity in, and net
outstanding loans to, their foreign affiliates - was $711.6 billion at
yearend 1995 (tables 2 and 3 and chart 1).(2) The largest positions by
far remained those in the United Kingdom ($119.9 billion, or 17 percent
of the total) and in Canada ($81.4 billion, or 11 percent of the total).
[TABULAR DATA OMITTED]
In 1995, the position increased $90.6 billion, or 15 percent,
compared with a 10-percent increase in 1994 and a 12-percent increase in
1993. The following table shows the change in position in 1995 by the
type of capital flow and valuation adjustment:(3)
[Billions of Dollars]
Total ........................... 90.6
Capital outflows .............. 93.4
Equity capital .............. 36.3
Intercompany debt ........... 4.7
Reinvested earnings ......... 52.4
Valuation adjustments ......... -2.4
Currency translation ........ 2.4
Other ....................... -5.3
The strong increase in the 1995 position resulted from a surge in
reinvested earnings, reflecting strong affiliate profits and a high rate
of reinvestment, and a near-tripling of equity capital outflows,
reflecting a boom in mergers and acquisitions.
The surge in reinvested earnings reflected robust affiliate profits
in many countries, boosted by the large capital flows that have expanded
the earnings base in recent years and by dollar depreciation in 1995
against continental European currencies. A small decrease in distributed
earnings - the portion of foreign affiliates' profits repatriated
to the United States - may have reflected the strong domestic profits of
U.S. parents, which reduced their need to repatriate earnings from
abroad. As a result of the strong profits and the reduced distributions,
the share of earnings that was reinvested rose to an unusually high
level - 63 percent - in 1995, from 50 percent in 1994 and an average of
36 percent in 1982-93.
Equity capital outflows primarily financed the boom in large mergers
and acquisitions involving U.S. multinational corporations in 1995.
Increases in profits in the United States, along with falling interest
rates and rising stock prices, strengthened U.S. parents, ability to
make new acquisitions and to provide funds to their existing affiliates
through equity capital. Numerous mergers and acquisitions occurred in
many industries, and several unusually large ones occurred in
manufacturing (mainly pharmaceuticals) and in "other
industries" (mainly electric utilities and, to a lesser extent,
telecommunications). Pharmaceutical producers have been seeking global
partners to broaden markets and to realize economies of scale in
research and development and in sales and distribution; this development
is partly in response to pressures from governments, insurance
companies, and health maintenance organizations to control costs and
limit price increases. U.S. electric utilities, responding to
opportunities created by recent privatizations, acquired several energy
providers in Australia and the United Kingdom. Similarly, U.S.
telecommunications companies, seeking to penetrate new markets, took
advantage of privatizations and entered into joint ventures and
consortiums, or made acquisitions, in several countries.
Capital outflows for U.S. direct investment abroad were a record
$93.4 billion in 1995, up $40.3 billion from 1994. Over one-half, or
$52.4 billion, of the 1995 outflows were accounted for by reinvested
earnings, which were up $20.3 billion from 1994. The remainder of the
1995 outflows was mainly accounted for by net equity capital outflows of
$36.3 billion, nearly triple the 1994 total. Equity capital outflows
increased strongly, reflecting numerous very large acquisitions of
affiliates, particularly in Europe; decreases in equity capital inflows
(inflows resulting from sales of affiliates or liquidations) were
virtually unchanged from 1994. Intercompany debt outflows were $4.7
billion, down from $8.3 billion; the dropoff was concentrated in finance
and manufacturing.
Changes by country. - The $90.6 billion increase in the U.S. direct
investment position abroad was spread among all major geographic areas.
The largest increase by far was in Europe.
The following table shows major changes in the positions in 1995 by
area and country:
[Billions of Dollars]
All countries .................................. 90.6
Europe ....................................... 53.5
of which:
Netherlands ................................ 12.3
Sweden ..................................... 9.6
United Kingdom ............................. 8.7
France ..................................... 4.8
Belgium .................................... 3.6
Germany .................................... 3.4
Asia and Pacific ............................. 17.9
of which:
Australia .................................. 4.8
Japan ...................................... 2.5
Singapore .................................. 2.3
Indonesia .................................. 2.2
Latin America and Other Western Hemisphere ... 10.5
of which:
Brazil ..................................... 4.8
Panama ..................................... 2.4
Argentina .................................. 2.0
Chile ...................................... 1.1
Mexico ..................................... -1.7
Canada ....................................... 6.4
The position in Europe increased 17 percent and accounted for well
over one-half of the overall increase in the position worldwide. The
increase resulted from capital outflows of $52.8 billion and
currency-translation adjustments of $6.3 billion; the latter reflected
widespread appreciation of continental European currencies against the
U.S. dollar. Within Europe, the largest increase in the position was in
the Netherlands; increases were also large in Sweden, the United
Kingdom, France, Belgium, and Germany.
In the Netherlands, most of the increase was in finance; it mainly
reflected the reinvested earnings of holding companies (generated
largely by equity investments in operating affiliates located in other
countries) and a large valuation adjustment that resulted from corporate
reorganization. Increased loans (intercompany debt) to affiliates and
positive currency-translation adjustments also boosted the position.
In Sweden, the increase was mainly in manufacturing and reflected the
ongoing consolidation in the pharmaceutical industry.
In the United Kingdom, the increase resulted from several
acquisitions or additions to direct investment holdings in manufacturing
(mainly chemicals and industrial machinery), finance, and "other
industries." Also contributing to the increase in position were
reinvested earnings of manufacturing, finance, and wholesale trade
affiliates.
In France, about two-thirds of the increase reflected several
acquisitions in services. As in the United Kingdom, the increase in
position was boosted by reinvested earnings of manufacturing, finance,
and wholesale trade affiliates. Positive currency-translation
adjustments also contributed. In Belgium, the increase reflected
intercompany loans, reinvested earnings of manufacturing affiliates -
particularly in chemicals - and currency-translation adjustments. In
Germany, over one-half of the increase resulted from
currency-translation adjustments; the remainder was in reinvested
earnings and in equity capital outflows, which reflected capital
contributions to existing affiliates and acquisitions of new affiliates.
In Asia and Pacific, over one-half of the increase in the position
resulted from reinvested earnings; most of the remainder resulted from
equity capital outflows. Within Asia and Pacific, the largest increase
in the position was in Australia; increases were also large in Japan and
Singapore. In Australia, the increase mainly reflected the previously
mentioned acquisition of several privatized electric utilities; U.S.
utilities were attracted by opportunities for growth in a relatively
less regulated utilities market. In Japan, the increase was mostly
accounted for by reinvested earnings of manufacturing, insurance, and
wholesale trade affiliates. In Singapore, most of the increase resulted
from reinvested earnings of manufacturing, wholesale trade, and finance
affiliates whose U.S. parents are in the computer industry.
In Latin America and Other Western Hemisphere, the largest increases
in position were in Brazil, Panama, Argentina, and Chile. In Brazil, the
increase was concentrated in manufacturing and was roughly split between
intercompany debt and reinvested earnings. In Panama, the increase
reflected reinvested earnings of holding companies and capital gains of
insurance affiliates. In Argentina, the increase reflected acquisitions
in manufacturing and in "other industries," loans to wholesale
trade affiliates, and reinvested earnings in several industries. In
Chile, much of the increase resulted from reinvested earnings,
especially those of mining affiliates.
A decrease in the position in Mexico was more than accounted for by
large negative currency translation adjustments resulting from the sharp
depreciation of the peso against the U.S. dollar. The decrease was
partly offset by outflows of equity capital to existing affiliates in
many industries and reinvested earnings of affiliates in manufacturing
and "other industries."
An increase in the position in Canada was the largest in any country
outside in Europe. It primarily reflected strong earnings by affiliates,
over 80 percent of which were reinvested; also contributing to the
increase were acquisitions and numerous small equity capital
contributions in several industries. These increases were partly offset
by equity decreases in petroleum and a few other industries.
Foreign direct investment in the United States
The foreign direct investment position in the United States valued at
historical cost - the book value of foreign direct investors'
equity in, and net outstanding loans to, their U.S. affiliates - was
$560.1 billion at the end of 1995 (tables 2 and 4 and chart 1). The
United Kingdom's position remained the largest ($132.3 billion, or
24 percent of the total). Japan's position was the second largest
($108.6 billion, or 19 percent), and the Netherland's position was
the third largest ($67.7 billion, or 12 percent).
[TABULAR DATA OMITTED]
In 1995, the position increased $57.7 billion, or 11 percent,
following an 8-percent increase in 1994 and a 9-percent increase in
1993. The following table shows the change in position in 1995 by type
of capital flow and valuation adjustment:
[Billions of dollars]
Total .................... 57.7
Capital inflows ........ 60.8
Equity capital ........ 39.5
Intercompany debt ..... 7.4
Reinvested earnings ... 13.9
Valuation adjustments .. -3.2
Currency translation .. (*)
Other ................. -3.1
(*) Less than $50 million ([+ or -]).
The strong increase in the position in 1995, as well as the increase
in 1994, reflected a number of factors. Continued economic expansion in
a number of major investor countries, such as the United Kingdom, may
have increased the ability of parent companies in those countries to
make new acquisitions and to contribute additional capital to their
existing U.S. affiliates, while reducing their need to draw funds from
those affiliates. The continued strength of the U.S. economy enhanced
the profit potential of new acquisitions, and the depreciation of the
dollar against several European currencies and the Japanese yen reduced
the cost of acquisitions in foreign-currency terms.
Industry-specific factors also contributed to the increase in
position. One such factor that was important in both 1994 and 1995 was
the worldwide consolidation of the health-care industry, which led to
foreign acquisitions of U.S. pharmaceutical and biotechnology companies.
As discussed elsewhere in this issue, these factors had an even more
pronounced effect on foreign investors' total outlays to acquire or
establish U.S. businesses: In 1995, these outlays, including those
financed by capital inflows from foreign parents, rose 19 percent,
following a 74-percent increase in 1994.(4)
Capital inflows for foreign direct investment in the United States
were $60.8 billion in 1995 - their highest level in 6 years. In 1994,
capital inflows were $49.9 billion. Nearly two-thirds, or $39.5 billion,
of the 1995 total was accounted for by equity capital inflows, which
were $5.0 billion higher than in 1994. The higher level of equity
capital inflows reflected continued growth in acquisitions of U.S.
businesses by foreigners. Reinvested earnings were positive for the
second consecutive year after having been negative for the previous 5
years. Reinvested earnings increased $9.2 billion, to $13.8 billion,
reflecting increases both in earnings and in the share of earnings that
was reinvested. Earnings increased $10.0 billion, following a $13.6
billion increase in 1994. The increases in earnings reflected both the
strength of the U.S. economy and the entry of new U.S. affiliates into
the direct investment universe; they may also have reflected the
diminishing impact of the restructurings that followed the wave of
acquisitions in the late 1980's. (Restructurings tend to depress reported earnings in the years immediately following the acquisitions.)
The share of affiliate earnings that was reinvested increased to 59
percent from 34 percent in 1994. The increase reflected U.S.
affiliates' tendency to maintain relatively stable earnings
distributions despite fluctuations in earnings. Intercompany debt
inflows were $7.4 billion, down from $10.7 billion. The decrease
resulted from a shift to outflows in U.S. affiliates' receivables.
Changes by country. - The $57.7 billion increase in the foreign
direct investment position in the United States in 1995 was concentrated
among parents located in Europe. Outside Europe, the largest increases
were by parents in Japan and Canada. The largest decrease in position
was by parents in Other Western Hemisphere.
The following table shows the major changes in the positions in 1995
by area and country:
[Billions of dollars]
All countries .............. 57.7
Europe ................... 51.3
of which:
United Kingdom .......... 21.2
Switzerland ............. 7.7
Germany ................. 7.6
France .................. 4.1
Sweden .................. 2.8
Ireland ................. 2.8
Japan .................... 4.1
Canada ..................... 3.9
Other Western Hemisphere ... -2.6
Nearly 90 percent of the overall increase in the position in 1995 was
accounted for by European investors, whose position rose 17 percent - a
faster pace than that for any other major area. Within Europe, parents
in the United Kingdom had by far the largest dollar increase, followed
by parents in Switzerland, Germany, France, Sweden, and Ireland.
Almost one-half of the increase in the position of British parents
was in intercompany debt and resulted from parents extending loans to
their U.S. affiliates. By industry, the largest increases in position
were in manufacturing - particularly food - nonferrous mining, finance,
and banking. In most of these industries, the increases resulted from
lending by parents. In banking, however, the increase resulted from
equity capital inflows and largely reflected acquisitions.
The largest increases in the position of Swiss parents were in
finance, manufacturing - particularly chemicals - and insurance. The
increase in finance was more than accounted for by parents extending
loans to their affiliates. The increases in chemicals and in insurance
resulted from equity capital inflows. In chemicals, they reflected
acquisitions; in insurance, they reflected capital contributions to
existing affiliates.
Almost all of the increase in the position of German parents was in
the form of capital contributions to existing affiliates. The largest
increases in position were in manufacturing - particularly chemicals -
and in finance. In chemicals, the increase reflected capital
contributions. In finance, the increase resulted from parents extending
loans to their affiliates.
Nearly one-half of the increase in the position of French parents was
in finance and was due mostly to parents extending loans to their U.S.
affiliates. The position was also boosted by positive valuation
adjustments in insurance that were made to reflect affiliates'
gains on their investment portfolios in 1995.
The increase in the position of Japanese parents was more than
accounted for by equity capital inflows, which were the largest of any
country. Most of these inflows were capital contributions to existing
affiliates. These inflows were partly offset by outflows in intercompany
debt and by negative reinvested earnings in services and real estate,
two industries that continued to show losses. By industry, the largest
increases in the position were in banking and wholesale trade. In
banking, two-thirds of the increase was accounted for by reinvested
earnings. In wholesale trade, the increase was more than accounted for
by equity capital contributions.
More than one-half of the increase in the position of Canadian parents was in manufacturing, particularly food. Much of the remainder
was in insurance. Reinvested earnings accounted for a large part of the
increase in each of these industries. The increase in insurance also
reflected equity capital contributions to existing affiliates.
Almost all of the increase in the position of Swedish parents was in
chemicals and reflected the ongoing consolidation in the pharmaceuticals
industry. Most of the increase in the position of Irish parents
reflected loans to affiliates, primarily in finance.
The decrease in the position of parents in Other Western Hemisphere
was the net result of large, partly offsetting debt flows between U.S.
affiliates in finance and parents located in the Caribbean.
Changes in Geographic Composition
Since 1982
This section summarizes changes in the geographic composition of the
direct investment positions for 1982-95.(5) For USDIA the shares of the
position accounted for by direct investments in Europe, Asia and
Pacific, and Latin America and Other Western Hemisphere increased, while
the shares accounted for by Canada, Africa, the Middle East, and
"International" decreased.(6) For FDIUS, the shares of
position accounted for by direct investments from Asia and Pacific
increased, while the shares accounted for by investors in most other
areas declined.
USDIA position: Shares of host countries
The U.S. direct investment position abroad on a historical-cost basis
grew from $207.8 billion at yearend 1982 to $711.6 billion at yearend
1995 (table 5). The average annual growth rate during this period was 10
percent; year-to-year growth rates varied widely, ranging from 2 percent
in 1983 to 21 percent in 1987. During this period, the geographic
distribution of USDIA shifted away from Canada towards Europe and, to a
lesser extent, Asia and Pacific and Latin America.
[TABULAR DATA OMITTED]
The share of the USDIA position accounted for by investments in
Canada declined sharply, although investments there increased
significantly in dollar terms. This decline was the most notable change
in the geographic composition of the position. In 1982, Canada's
share of the position, at 21 percent, was second only to that of Europe.
After peaking at 22 percent in 1984, Canada's share declined nearly
every year thereafter and by 1995 had dropped to 11 percent (chart 2).
This decline largely reflected a decrease in the position in petroleum
as a result of the sale of a number of large and medium-sized
affiliates. Some of the sales may have been prompted by price controls
and high production taxes that were imposed on natural resource
industries. The decrease in share may also have reflected a slowdown of
U.S. investment in response to regulations and investment requirements
imposed by the Canadian Government. In addition, direct investment in
Canada was affected by the 1989 U.S.-Canada Free Trade Agreement, which
lifted many of those regulations and requirements over a period of 10
years, and by the subsequent North American Free Trade Agreement, but
their net effect is difficult to assess; investments that had been made
mainly to avoid tariffs may no longer have been necessary, but new
investments may have been made in response to a more open investment
climate and to increased opportunities for exporting back to the United
States.
The share of the position accounted for by European affiliates was
greater than that accounted for by affiliates in any other area
throughout 1982-95. Europe accounted for 44 percent of the position in
1982 and 51 percent in 1995. U.S. investors have been attracted to
Europe because of its large, increasingly integrated market. In
addition, the absence of internal tariffs within the European Union
countries promoted trade within the Union. Within Europe, affiliates in
the United Kingdom had the largest share in both 1982 and 1995 and had
the fastest growth, partly reflecting the growth in investments in
finance affiliates following the deregulation of securities markets in
late 1986. (In 1989, the United Kingdom surpassed Canada as the
individual country with the largest position). Among other countries
with largest positions, shares increased in the Netherlands and France
and decreased in Germany and Switzerland.
In Latin America and Other Western Hemisphere, the share of the
position increased from 14 percent in 1982 to 17 percent in 1995. The
increase was mainly attributable to the gradual elimination of the
negative position in the Netherlands Antilles.(7) In recent years,
several South American nations and Mexico have attracted increasing
amounts of foreign investment by privatizing Government-owned
industries, liberalizing trade policies, and otherwise improving their
investment climates. These changes resulted in increases in the position
in many of these countries. However, the growth in the position in Latin
America and Other Western Hemisphere in 1982-95 was generally slower
than the worldwide average. U.S. investors may have been discouraged by
a variety of factors that limited economic growth or adversely affected
the investment climate, such as the mid-1980's debt crisis, rapid
inflation, nominally high interest rates, volatile exchange rates, and
restrictive investment policies.
Shares of the position in Africa and in the Middle East - at 3
percent and 2 percent, respectively in 1982 - fell to 1 percent by the
late 1980's and held steady thereafter. In Africa, the decline
stemmed largely from U.S. disvinvestment in South Africa in the
mid-1980's in response to that country's social policies and
the elimination of U.S. tax credits for taxes paid there; stagnant economic growth in Sub-Saharan countries also contributed to the
decline. In the Middle East, the decline reflected decreasing
participation by petroleum affiliates in production and refining, which
resulted to some extent from increased host-country involvement in those
activities and from an ensuing emphasis on exploration and production by
U.S. companies in other areas, such as the North Sea and the Pacific
Rim.
In Asia and Pacific, the share in the position grew from 14 percent
in 1982 to 18 percent in 1995 and has increased each year since 1990.
U.S. investors have been attracted by the rapidly growing economies of
the newly industrialized countries, especially Hong Kong, Singapore,
Taiwan, and Korea. Nevertheless, Japan has by far the largest share
within the region, at 6 percent; its share has doubled since 1982. Much
of the growth reflected depreciation of the dollar against the yen,
evidenced by large positive translation adjustments to the position, and
reinvested earnings of existing affiliates.
In "International," the share declined steadily from 3
percent in 1982 to 0.5 percent in 1995. The decline reflected
overcapacity and slackening for petroleum tankers, partly because of
expanded production from new and existing oilfields that are closer to
consuming areas. In addition, some U.S. parents, facing stricter
environmental requirements and potentially enormous legal liability,
chose to reduce the risks assumed in operating such tankers by
increasing their use of chartered tankers.
FDIUS position: Shares of investor countries
The foreign direct investment position in the United States on a
historical-cost basis grew from $124.7 billion at yearend 1982 to $560.1
billion at yearend 1995 (table 6.) The average annual growth rate during
this period was 12 percent, and the yearly growth rate ranged from 2
percent in 1992 to 20 percent in 1984. Of the $435.4 billion overall
increase, 64 percent was accounted for by European parents and 26
percent by parents in Asia and Pacific.
[TABULAR DATA OMITTED]
The most notable change in the geographic composition of the position
was the increase in Asia and Pacific's share from 9 percent in 1982
to 22 percent in 1995 (chart 3). Japan accounted for almost all of the
increase, as investors acquired a large number of U.S. businesses during
the late 1980's. During that period, Japan's large trade
surplus and high savings rates generated a large volume of funds for
investment, and Japan's low cost of capital and strong domestic
currency provided incentives to make foreign direct investments. The
positions of other Asian countries, though considerably smaller than
that of Japan, also grew rapidly during the period, reflecting the
strength of the newly industrialized economies in the area and the
emergence of businesses capable of operating on a global scale.
Europe accounted for roughly two-thirds of the position throughout
1982-95. The share peaked at 69 percent in 1987 but drifted downward
thereafter, to 64 percent in 1995. Europe's predominant share of
the overall position partly reflects cultural similarities and the large
number of mature companies in these countries with the ability and
resources to take advantage of investment opportunities beyond their
national and regional borders. Throughout the period, the United
Kingdom, the Netherlands, and Germany had the largest shares; among
these three countries, the positions of the United Kingdom and Germany
grew at a faster pace than that of the Netherlands.
Canada's share of the total position fell slightly, from 9
percent in 1982 to 8 percent in 1995, despite substantial growth in
Canada's position in dollar terms. Canada continued to be a
significant investor in the United States, reflecting its proximity and
the high degree of economic integration between the two economics.
Latin America and Other Western Hemisphere's share of the total
position fell from 11 percent in 1982 to 4 percent in 1995. The sharp
decrease was largely accounted for by a number of countries - notably
Panama, the Bahamas, and the Netherlands Antilles - in which, for tax,
regulatory, or other purposes, multinational companies headquartered in
other countries hold U.S. investments. This form of investment has not
kept pace with the overall growth in FDIUS.
The Middle East's share of the total position fell from 4
percent in 1982 to 1 percent in 1995. The decrease reflected economic
stagnation in many countries, which resulted from the decline of crude
oil prices during the 1980's. More recently, funds available for
foreign investment were reduced by the need to rebuild the
infrastructure destroyed by the Persian Gulf War. Changes among Middle
East countries were large and partly offsetting.
Acknowledgments
The survey from which the data for the U.S. direct investment
position abroad were drawn was conducted under the supervision of Mark
W. New, assisted by Laura A. Downey, Marie K. Laddomada, Sherry Lee,
Leila C. Morrison, William A. Reese, Gary M. Solamon, Dwayne Torney, and
Wendy P. Warcholik. Smith W. Allnut III programmed the tables. The
survey from which the data for the foreign direct investment position in
the United States were drawn was conducted under the supervision of
Gregory G. Fouch, assisted by Peter J. Fox, Nancy F. Halvorson, Tracy K.
Leigh, Beverly E. Palmer, and Linden L. Webber. D. Richard Mauery and
Karen Sellami programmed the tables.
(1.) Estimates on a historical-cost basis largely reflect prices at
the time of investment rather than prices of the current or any other
period. Historical cost is the basis used for valuation in company
accounting records in the United States and is the only basis on which
companies can report data in the direct investment surveys conducted by
the Bureau of Economic Analysis (BEA). (For consistency, the estimates
of earnings and reinvested earnings used in analyzing changes in the
historical-cost positions are also on this basis and are not adjusted to
current cost; country and industry detail for these items, like the
positions, is not available with such an adjustment.) (2.) A foreign
affiliate is a foreign business enterprise in which a single U.S.
investor owns at least 10 percent of the voting securities, or the
equivalent. (3.) Valuation adjustments to the historical-cost position
are made to reflect differences between changes in the position,
measured at book value, and capital flows, measured at transaction
value. Currency-translation adjustments to the position are made to
reflect changes in the exchange rates that are used to translate
affiliates' foreign-currency-denominated assets and liabilities
into U.S. dollars. The precise effects of currency fluctuations n
translation adjustments depend on the value and currency composition of
affiliates' assets and liabilities. Depreciation of foreign
currencies in relation to the dollar usually results in negative
translation adjustments, because it tends to lower the dollar value of
foreign-currency-denominated net assets. Similarly, appreciation of
foreign currencies in relation to the dollar usually results in positive
adjustments, because it tends to raise the dollar value of
foreign-currency-denominated net assets. Examples of "other"
valuation adjustments include differences between the proceeds from the
sale of liquidation of affiliates by U.S. parents and the book values of
the affiliates that are sold or liquidated, differences between the
purchase prices and the book values of affiliates that are acquired by
U.S. parents, writeoffs resulting from uncompensated expropriations of
affiliates, and capital gains and losses of affiliates. (For the
position on a historical-cost basis, there are no valuation adjustments
due to price changes, because prices are held at historical levels.)
(4.) See "Foreign Direct Investment in the United States: New
Investment in 1995 and Affiliate Operations in 1994" in this issue.
Preliminary data from BEA's survey of new foreign direct
investments, summarized in that article, indicate that total outlays to
acquire or establish U.S. businesses were $54.4 billion in 1995, up from
$45.6 billion in 1994. Unlike the changes in the foreign direct
investment position presented here, these figures cover only
transactions involving acquisitions and establishments of new U.S.
affiliates and include financing other than that from the foreign
parent, such as local borrowing by existing U.S. affiliates. In
contrast, changes in the position reflect transactions of both new and
existing U.S. affiliates - but only transactions with the foreign parent
or other members of the foreign parent group - and valuation
adjustments. Notwithstanding these differences, the two types of data
are related. Any outlays to acquire or establish U.S. businesses that
are funded by foreign parents (or other members of the foreign parent
group) are part of capital inflows, a component of the change in the
position. Data from the new investments survey indicate that in 1995,
foreign parent groups funded $31.5 billion, or 58 percent, of outlays to
acquire or establish new U.S. affiliates, compared with $27.0 billion,
or 59 percent, in 1994. (5.) Both positions are shown on a
historical-cost basis and are expressed in dollars and, thus reflect
changes in price levels and exchange rates over time, as well as changes
in the real value of investments stocks. Nonetheless, major shifts in
the shares of the position by broadly defined areas probably reflect
real changes. (6.) Affiliates in "International" are those
that have operations in more than one country and are engaged in
petroleum shipping, other water transportation, or operating oil- and
gas-drilling equipment. (7.) In the late 1970's and early
1980's, the Netherlands Antilles was used extensively as a
financial conduit by U.S. companies to borrow funds in European capital
markets and relend them to their U.S. parents. These transactions
yielded a large negative direct investment position, representing
intercompany debt owed by the parents to the affiliates. U.S. parents
borrowed indirectly through these affiliates rather than directly from
Euro-markets, because the associated interest payments were exempt from
U.S. withholding taxes under a U.S.-Netherlands Antilles tax treaty. In
the third quarter of 1984, the U.S. withholding tax on interest paid to
foreigners was eliminated, thus removing the principal incentive to
borrowing through Netherlands Antillean affiliates. Relatively little
new borrowing from these affiliates has occurred subsequently, and
repayments of previous borrowings has gradually eliminated the negative
position.