Benchmark input-output accounts for the U.S. economy, 1987.
Lawson, Ann M. ; Teske, D.A.
THIS ARTICLE presents the 1987 benchmark input-output (I-O)
accounts for the U.S. economy.(1) The first part of the article
addresses the 1987 benchmark; it discusses the steps taken to speed up
the benchmark's completion and then describes some improvements
that have been made in the tables. The second part describes the
concepts and methods underlying the U.S. I-O accounts and illustrates
how the I-O tables are used.
The 1987 I-O estimates presented here are in summary form; that is,
they are aggregated to 95 I-O industries from 480-industry detail. The
make (production) of commodities by industries is shown in table 1, the
use (consumption) of commodities by industries in table 2.1, and the
components of value added by industries in table 2.2. The following
summary I-O tables will be presented in the May Survey of Current
Business: Commodityby-industry direct requirements per dollar of
industry output; commodity-by-commodity total requirements, direct and
indirect, per dollar of delivery to final use; and industry-by-commodity
total requirements, direct and indirect, per dollar of delivery to final
use. All of the summary tables, as well as the detailed tables, are
available on diskette (see the box on page go).
This article includes supplementary tables that relate the I-O
accounts to the national income and product accounts (NIPA's);
these tables permit more extensive analyses of the I-O estimates. The
article also contains two appendixes: Appendix A provides a list of
selected SURVEY articles about the I-O accounts; appendix B provides a
concordance between the industry codes used in the I-O accounts and the
1987 Standard Industrial Classification (sic) codes.
The 1987 benchmark I-O estimates will be incorporated into the
NIPA's during the next comprehensive NIPA revision, which is
tentatively scheduled for release in late 1995.
The 1987 Benchmark Accounts
In recognition of user needs--expressed, for example, by the
interagency Working Group on the Quality of Economic Statistics--the
Bureau of Economic Analysis (BEA) has developed a program to speed up
the availability of I-O accounts.(2) For I-O benchmarks, which are
prepared primarily from the Census Bureau's quinquennial economic
censuses, the long-term goal is to make the I-O tables available within
5 years of a census year and within 1 year after release of all economic
census data.
For the 1987 benchmark, BEA devised a set of procedures that
captured the most important parts of the 1987 economic census data, but
that abbreviated the normal time-consuming process of assembling a wide
variety of other data for constructing components not based on economic
census data. These procedures enabled BEA to complete the 1987 tables
faster than otherwise would have been the case and to turn its resources
toward the 1992 benchmark at the earliest possible time.
Procedures for the 1987 benchmark
In preparing benchmark I-O accounts, BEA relies heavily on economic
census data covering mining, construction, manufacturing, wholesale
trade, retail trade, transportation, and selected services. The data are
released by the Census Bureau as they are completed, over a period of
time that usually begins about 1 year after the end of the census year
and continues for about 30 months. (For example, the planned release
dates for the 1992 census year extend from early 1994 through late
1996.) To estimate outputs and inputs and to allocate commodities across
industries and final users, BEA must augment the economic census data
with data from hundreds of other sources, such as the U.S. Department of
Agriculture, U.S. Department of Transportation, U.S. Department of
Treasury, Office of Management and Budget, and other government agencies
and private organizations.
In preparing the i987 benchmark I-O accounts, BEA used standard I-O
procedures for the estimates of industry and commodity output, except
for new construction (see table A). For previous benchmarks,
approximately 50 construction industries were analyzed and estimated
separately. For the i987 benchmark, the economic census total for
construction output was distributed among only five industries--four
related to mining and one "all other" category, which covers
the remaining industries within new construction and maintenance and
repair construction.
[TABULAR DATA A OMITTED]
BEA also used standard I-O procedures for the estimates of industry
intermediate inputs where hard data were readily available--primarily
for material inputs from the economic censuses. In previous benchmarks,
the standard procedure has been to supplement these economic census data
with estimates of other intermediate inputs from hundreds of other
information sources. For the 1987 benchmark, BEA estimated these
intermediate inputs by first extrapolating 1982 benchmark estimates to
1987 based on the change in industry output, and then by adjusting the
extrapolated estimates to be consistent with--or to balance--commodity
and industry outputs (see table B).
[TABULAR DATA B OMITTED]
Value added components were prepared using the same procedures as
in the past.(3) Data for compensation of employees and for indirect
business tax and nontax liability are from the U.S. Department of
Treasury, Office of Management and Budget, Bureau of Labor Statistics,
and Census Bureau; NIPA estimates are also used.
For most final use components--personal consumption expenditures,
gross private fixed investment, change in business inventories, exports
of goods and services, and imports of goods and services--BEA used the
same data and procedures as in the past.(4) Most estimates of personal
consumption expenditures and gross private fixed investment were
prepared with the commodity-flow method.(5) Inventories held by
industries were based on economic census and Internal Revenue Service
data. Exports and imports of goods and services were based on data from
the Census Bureau and the U.S. balance of payments accounts.
For Federal Government and State and local government final use
components, a combination of new and old procedures was used. Total
expenditures by type of purchase, for Federal Government and for State
and local governments, were obtained from the NIPA's, as in the
past. Government purchases by I-O commodity were estimated using 1982
benchmark I-O estimates as weights, a new procedure for the 1987
estimates.
Some procedures used to prepare the i987 benchmark I-O accounts
suggest certain caveats. First, the technology represented by the
relationships of commodity inputs to industry outputs in the use table
(as well as in the commodity-by-commodity and industry-by-commodity
total requirements tables) is a hybrid of that in 1987 and that
represented in the 1982 benchmark I-O accounts. Second, other value
added was derived as a residual for most industries after subtracting
total intermediate inputs, compensation of employees, and indirect
business tax and nontax liability from total industry output.(6) (For a
few industries, estimates of other value added were available from other
data sources; for example, other value added estimates for agriculture
are from the U.S. Department of Agriculture.) As a result, the other
value added component includes estimating errors from other parts of the
I-O accounts. For studies requiring comparisons of value added
components, users may find BEA's estimates of gross product
originating by industry more useful.(7)
Improvements and other changes
The 1987 benchmark I-O tables differ from previous tables in
several respects. The summary 1987 benchmark tables, which begin on page
98, cover 95 I-O industries instead of the 85 I-O industries used
previously. For the new summary tables, 14 I-O industries were
aggregated into 7, and 12 I-O industries were disaggregated into 30.(8)
With one exception, the aggregations involved small, declining
industries; new construction and repair and maintenance construction
were aggregated because of the abbreviated procedures used for the 1987
benchmark. The disaggregations involved large, growing industries.
Appendix B shows the new aggregations and disaggregations of I-O
industries. (The disaggregated industries are designated with an
alphabetical suffix to the 1982 benchmark I-O industry number.)
The industry classification of the I-O accounts is now based on the
1987 sic; the 1982 benchmark tables and subsequent annual tables were
based on the 1972 SIC. In addition, the 1987 benchmark tables
incorporate all of the 1991 comprehensive NIPA revisions, including the
change from gross national product to gross domestic product (GDP).(9)
Introduction to the U.S. I-O Accounts
The I-O accounts for the U.S. economy show the production of
commodities by each of nearly 500 industries, in the "make"
table, and the consumption of commodities by these industries, in the
"use" table. Chart 1 illustrates the make and use tables in
matrix form in, respectively, the upper and lower panels. The commodity
composition of GDP and the industry distribution of value added are also
shown in the use table.
BEA prepares benchmark I-O accounts primarily from data that the
Census Bureau collects every 5 years in its economic censuses for
mining, construction, manufacturing, wholesale trade, retail trade,
transportation, and selected services, as well as in its census of
governments. Data from the U.S. Department of Agriculture, U.S.
Department of Transportation, U.S. Department of Treasury, and other
government agencies and private sources are also used.
The I-O accounts show compactly the relationships between all
industries in the economy and all the commodities they produce and use.
Estimates for commodities are typically shown at producers'
prices.(10) When producers' prices are used, transportation costs
and wholesale and retail trade margins are treated as commodities that
are separately produced and used by industries (see the section
"Definitions and conventions for valuation").
The I-O accounts consist of five basic sets of tables: (i) Make,
(2) use, (3) commodity-by-industry direct requirements, (4)
commodity-by-commodity total requirements, and (5) industry-by-commodity
total requirements.(11) For the 1987 benchmark, details for the value
added components of the use table and of the commodity-by-industry
direct requirements table are contained in separate tables. Only the
make and use tables are presented in this article. The remaining three
tables and their descriptions will be published in the May Survey.
The make table
The make table (table 1), in the upper panel of chart 1, shows the
dollar value, in producers' prices, of each commodity produced by
each industry. In each row, there is one "diagonal" cell that
shows the value of production of the commodity for which the
corresponding industry has been designated the "primary"
producer. Entries in the other cells in the row show the value of
production of commodities for which the industry is a
"secondary" producer.(12) For example, the newspapers and
periodicals industry (row 26A) is the primary producer of the newspapers
and periodicals commodity (column 26A). It is also a secondary producer
of the following commodities: Paper and allied products, except
containers (column 24); other printing and publishing (column 26B);
rubber and miscellaneous plastics products (column 32); miscellaneous
manufacturing products (column 64); and advertising (column 73D). The
sum of all entries in a row is the total output by the industry.
The entries in each column of the make table represent the
production by both primary and secondary producers of the commodity
named at the head of the column. For example, computer and data
processing services (column 73A) includes the output by the primary
producer--the computer and data processing services industry (row
73A)--and by the following secondary producers: Computer and office
equipment (row 51); audio, video, and communication equipment (row 56);
scientific and controlling instruments (row 62); finance (row 70A); and
other business and professional services, except medical (row 73c). The
sum of all entries in a column is the total output of the commodity. An
industry's share of the production of a commodity can be calculated
from the values in the make table by expressing the entries in a given
colunm as a percentage of the column total. From the 1987 benchmark, for
example, column 62 in table 1 shows that the production of scientific
and controlling instruments (commodity I-O 62) totaled $86 billion, of
which the scientific and controlling instruments industry (industry I-O
62) produced $8o billion, or about 93 percent of the total.
The industry and commodity output totals for this table are
estimated primarily from the quinquennial economic censuses, conducted
by the Census Bureau (see table A). The economic census data, which are
on an sic basis, cover most establishments with payrolls. Information
from other government and private sources is used for I-O industries not
covered by the economic census data, such as finance, insurance, real
estate, utilities, and schools and religious organizations. Data from
other government agencies are also used to supplement the economic
census data for some industries.
BEA makes two adjustments to the economic census data. First, it
adds estimates of the output for establishments without payrolls that
are not covered by the economic census data. Second, BEA adjusts for
misreported tax return information; this adjustment is necessary because
in some cases, the Census Bureau data for expenses and receipts reflect
tax return records rather than information collected directly from
survey reports.(13)
BEA also adjusts the economic census data based on the sic to the
I-O industry classification system to attain greater homogeneity in the
input structures for commodities produced by an I-O industry. This type
of adjustment is discussed in the section "Definitions and
conventions for classification."
The use table
The use table (table 2) is presented in two parts: Table 2.1 shows
the dollar value, in producers' prices, of each commodity used by
each industry and by each final user; table 2.2 shows detail, in
producers' prices, on the value added components used by each
industry in table 2.1 to produce its output. In table 2.1, entries in a
row show the use of the commodity named at the beginning of the row by
each industry or final user named at the head of the column. For
example, the commodity radio and TV broadcasting services (row 67) is
used by the industries radio and TV broadcasting (column 67) and
advertising (column 73D), as well as by persons--that is, as part of
personal consumption expenditures (column 91).
In table 2.2, industries are shown in the rows, and total output,
total intermediate inputs, and the components of value added are shown
in the columns. For example, the total output for the radio and TV
broadcasting industry (row 67) was $29 billion, of which $10 billion was
labor compensation, $1 billion was indirect business tax and nontax
liability, $3 billion was other value added, and $16 billion was
intermediate inputs. The column totals for industries in table 2.1 equal
the right-hand row totals in table 2.2. For example, the column total
for the radio and TV broadcasting industry in table 2.1 equals the row
total for that industry in table 2.2, or $29 billion. (The relationship
between value added and other parts of the use table is depicted in the
bottom panel of chart 1.)
In table 2.1, industry uses sum to total intermediate use, shown in
the right-hand column of the industries portion, and the final uses SUM
to GDP, shown in the right-hand column of the final uses portion. The
total output of each commodity is the sum of all intermediate uses of
the commodity by industries and all sales to final users. The total
output of each industry is the sum of all intermediate inputs consumed by the industry--that is, the raw
materials, semifinished products, and services that the industry
purchases--and of the value added by the industry. For the economy as a
whole, the total of all final uses of commodities equals the total value
added by all industries, or GDP.
The rows in table 2.1 show the wide variation in the proportion of
commodity output that is sold directly to final users. For example, the
i987 use table shows that some commodities, such as apparel (the primary
product of industry I-O 18), were sold almost entirely to final users;
therefore, the demand for these commodities is affected primarily by
changes in the buying patterns of final users. Other commodities, such
as industrial and other chemicals (I-0 27A), were used almost entirely
as intermediate inputs. For these commodities, the connection between
production and final uses is primarily indirect and can be traced mainly
through industrial users' sales of commodities to final users.
The rows also show the wide variation in the direct usage of
commodities by industries. For example, the i987 use table shows that
paper and allied products, except containers (I-O 24), with $81 billion
of commodity output, were used by nearly all industries. The largest
user was other printing and publishing (I-O 26B), which used $15
billion, or 18 percent of total commodity output. In contrast, metal
containers (I-O 39), with $12 billion of commodity output, were used by
only 20 industries. The largest user was food and kindred products (I-O
14), which used $9 billion, or 74 percent of total commodity output.
The rows in table 2.2 show the wide variation in the use of value
added inputs by industries to produce their outputs. For example, the
real estate and royalties industry (I-O 71B) required $28o billion of
value added inputs, or 74 percent of its total output; of this, $27
billion was for labor compensation, $53 billion was for indirect
business tax and nontax liability, and $200 billion was for other value
added. In contrast, the livestock and livestock products industry (I-O
1) required $15 billion of value added inputs, or 17 percent of its
total output; of this, $3 billion was for labor compensation, $1 billion
was for indirect business tax and nontax liability, and $11 billion was
for other value added.
BEA estimates intermediate inputs in the use table through a number
of processes. The economic censuses are the primary source for data on
intermediate inputs; however, BEA must supplement these data to cover
establishments without payrolls and industries not covered by the
economic censuses. BEA also separates information for some broader
categories of purchases into I-O commodities; for example, BEA separates
data on purchases of office supplies into purchases of postal service,
paper, envelopes, etc., using commodity-shipment proportions and other
available information. BEA also uses related information that is
available to make I-O estimates of inputs for which there is little hard
data. For example, fees paid by industries for accounting services are
estimated on the basis of industry employment. (Table B shows the
principal methods and sources used for the 1987 benchmark.)
BEA estimates the final uses of commodities either by incorporating
data into the I-O accounts directly from other sources after minor
adjustment, or--for personal consumption expenditures and
producers' durable equipment--by employing the commodity-flow
method. An example of source data incorporated directly with only minor
adjustments is exports of goods, which is obtained from the balance of
payments accounts.
In the commodity-flow method, an estimate is first developed for
the total supply of a commodity for domestic use. Then either a fixed
percentage of total supply is attributed to final users, or the total
supply is adjusted for intermediate purchases and the residual is
attributed to final users.(14)
An example of commodity flow using the fixed percentage method can
be illustrated by examining its use in estimating personal consumption
expenditures for polishes and sanitation goods; in this case,
approximately 40 percent of total output is allocated to personal
consumption expenditures. An example of commodity flow using the
residual method can be illustrated by examining its use in estimating
personal consumption expenditures for wheat flour. First, an estimate is
made for the total domestic supply of wheat flour: Total wheat flour
sales by domestic firms, minus wheat flour exports, plus wheat flour
imports. Next, an estimate is made for total consumption of wheat flour
by intermediate users, including food manufacturers--of bread, cookies,
crackers, and frozen bakery products--and restaurants. The wheat flour
consumed by all intermediate users is then subtracted from domestic
supply; government purchases of wheat flour are also subtracted. The
residual is then assumed to be the wheat flour purchased by persons and
is included in personal consumption expenditures.
The components of value added (see footnotes 3 and 6) are estimated
using different methods. Compensation of employees by industry is
estimated directly from source data. Indirect business tax and nontax
liability by industry is either estimated directly from source data or
is extrapolated based on the 1982 benchmark. For most industries, other
value added is derived as a residual after subtracting total
intermediate inputs, compensation of employees, and indirect business
tax and nontax liability from total industry output (that is, industry
sales receipts). For a few industries, estimates of other value added
were available from other data sources; for example, other value added
estimates for agriculture are from the U.S. Department of Agriculture.
Uses of the I-O accounts
The I-O accounts have a variety of statistical and analytical uses.
For example, they can provide an economic framework to assess data
quality and completeness, and they can be used as an analytical economic
tool to study industry production. This section describes some uses of
the I-O accounts in preparing economic statistics and in studying
interindustry relationships within the economy, as well as some of the
assumptions analysts must make when they use I-O accounts as an economic
tool.
The use of I-O accounts requires certain simplifying assumptions.
Among these is the assumption that interindustry relationships
established in the I-O accounts for a benchmark year will remain stable
over time and through a range of output levels. Users of I-O tables
generally must make the assumption that changes in interindustry
relationships occur only gradually--for example, that the interindustry
relationships represented in the 1987 benchmark are applicable for a
band of years surrounding 1987. Also, I-O accounts implicitly assume
that all adjustments to a change in final demand are achieved instantly
and without price changes. For analyses that require different
assumptions, other economic tools may be more appropriate.
Statistical uses.--The I-O accounts are used in several ways to
prepare economic statistics. For NIPA comprehensive revisions, they are
the single most important regular source for estimating the expenditure
components of GDP and for parts of several income components. Because
the I-O accounts have an internally consistent framework that tracks the
input and output flows in the economy, any estimating weaknesses in the
national economic accounts become readily apparent when they are
compared with the I-O accounts. For the NIPA revision, the NIPA
estimates of personal consumption expenditures and producers'
durable equipment are based on the final use components of the I-O
benchmark accounts, with additional adjustments to reflect the
definitional, classificational, and statistical changes incorporated
into the NIPA's since completion of the I-O accounts.(15)
The I-O benchmark accounts are also used as a framework to weight
and calculate index numbers for price, volume, and value. For example,
BEA uses the I-O-based detailed estimates of producers' durable
equipment to weight producer price indexes for calculating the
constant-dollar NIPA estimates of producers' durable equipment.
Analytical uses.--The I-O accounts are an important analytical tool
because they show the interdependence among various producers and
consumers in the economy. Because of their industry detail, the I-O
accounts can be used for analyzing a wide range of related empirical
issues. The main contribution of the I-O accounts to economic analysis
is that they permit analysts to measure the repercussions that changes
in final uses have on industries and commodities, both directly and
indirectly. For example, an increase in consumer demand for motor
vehicles will initially have a direct effect that will increase the
production of cars, which in turn will have indirect effects, including
increased steel production. Increased steel production will in turn
require more chemicals, more iron ore, more limestone, and more coal.
Increased car production will also require more upholstery fabrics, and
the increased production of these fabrics will require more natural
fibers, more synthetic fibers, and more plastics. Further, increased
production of synthetic fibers will require more electricity and
containers, and so on.
These repercussions are only a few in the continuing chain
resulting from the initial increase in consumer demand for motor
vehicles. Through I-O analysis, it is possible to trace this chain
throughout the economy, measuring the direct and indirect effects on the
output of each industry and commodity. Within the I-O accounts, these
effects are quantified in coefficient tables. These tables can be used,
for example, to determine the impact of a disaster on the economy or,
when supplemented with additional information, to compute the effect on
employment of an increased demand for U.S. exports. The Federal
Emergency Management Agency, the U.S. Department of Defense, and the
Census Bureau, among others, have found the I-O accounts to be useful
for such studies.
When the U.S. I-O accounts are augmented with regional data, they
can show economic impacts by region. For example, a State Government
agency has used regional I-O accounts to estimate the economic effects
of a high-speed intercity rail project on the State's economy, and
a private consulting group has used regional I-O accounts to analyze the
impact of a sports stadium on the local economy. BEA's Regional
Economic Analysis Division helps planners and analysts estimate the
regional impacts of project and program expenditures by industries.(16)
Definitions and conventions for classification
The I-O accounts use two classification systems, one for industries
and another for commodities, but both classification systems generally
use the same I-O numbers and titles. In the I-O industry classification
system, output typically represents the total output of all
establishments in each industry, regardless of whether the commodities
produced are primary to the industry (that is, make up the largest
proportion of the establishment's output) or are secondary (that
is, primary to another industry). In the I-O commodity classification
system, output represents the total output of the product or service,
regardless of the classification of the establishments that produce it.
This section discusses first the I-O industry classification system and
then the I-O commodity classification system.
The I-O industry classification system is based on the SIC system,
which classifies establishments into industries based on their primary
products or services.(17) Establishments are defined as economic units
that are generally at a single physical location where business is
conducted or where services or industrial operations are performed.
Establishments are classified into an SIC industry on the basis of their
primary products or services.(18)
The I-O industry classification system adjusts the SIC system
primarily to attain a greater degree of homogeneity in the structure of
inputs to the commodities produced by an I-O industry. The adjustments,
which affect I-O-defined primary and secondary production, are called,
in I-O terminology, redefinitions and reclassifications.(19) The I-O
system also provides for other industries and "special"
industries that the SIC does not; these are discussed later in this
section.
In a redefinition, the input purchases and the output sales
receipts for a particular secondary product or service are moved from
the SIC-defined industry to the I-O-defined industry. The input
structure of the redefined product or service is assumed to be the same
as that for the I-O industry in which the product or service is primary;
this assumption is called, in I-O terminology, the commodity-based
technology assumption.(20)
An example of a redefinition involves restaurants located in
hotels. Both inputs and outputs of these restaurants are moved from the
hotels and lodging places industry (the industry of the establishment
where the product or service occurs) to the eating and drinking places
industry (the industry where the product or service is primary). The
input structure related to the output of restaurants located in hotels
is assumed to be similar to that for the eating and drinking places
industry.
Redefinitions are used in the following cases:
* Construction work (both new construction
and maintenance and repair) performed by
all industries is redefined to the construction
industries. Construction work performed
by and for nonconstruction industries is
referred to as "force-account construction."
* Manufacturing in trade and service industries
is redefined to the appropriate
manufacturing industries.
* Retail trade in service industries is redefined
to the retail trade industry. Services in the
trade industries are redefined to service industries.
Some services are also redefined
within service industries.
* Manufacturers' wholesale sales of purchased
goods (resales) are redefined to the wholesale
trade industry.
* Rental activities of all industries are redefined
to the real estate and rental industries.
* The preparation of meals and beverages in
most industries is redefined to the eating and
drinking industry.
Redefinitions affect a number of industries; however, for most
industries, the total output involved is small. Examples of industries
with large dollar amounts of redefinitions of secondary products or
services out of or into the industry are automobile and repair services
(I-O 75), with $131 billion of total industry output, of which $40
billion has been redefined out to a number of other industries and $1
billion has been redefined in from a number of other industries; eating
and drinking places (I-O 74), with $209 billion of total industry
output, $34 billion out and $1/2 billion in; wholesale trade (I-O 69A),
with $424 billion of total output, $7 billion out and $69 billion in;
and retail trade (I-O 69B), with $421 billion of total output, $25
billion out and $46 billion in.
In a reclassification, the I-O system creates a secondary product
or service from an SIC-defined primary product or service. For these
reclassified products and services and for an other SIC-defined
secondary products and services that are not redefinitions, the I-O
system moves the output receipts from the SIC-defined product or service
class to the I-O-defined primary product or service class within the
same I-O industry. In this case, total output for the affected industry
remains unchanged; however, output for each affected commodity group
changes.
An example of a reclassification involves the newspaper industry.
The SIC defines the primary product or service classes of this industry
as newspaper subscriptions and sales and newspaper advertising. The I-O
system considers the primary product or service of the newspaper
industry to consist of newspaper subscriptions and sales. It considers
the advertising component to be secondary and, therefore, moves
advertising receipts or output to the advertising commodity group. Total
output for the I-O newspaper industry remains unchanged, but output for
the newspaper commodity is reduced, and output for the advertising
commodity is increased.
Reclassifications affect about 70 commodities; however, for the
most part, the dollar values involved are not very large. Examples of
industries with large dollar amounts of reclassified sales receipts are
the newspapers and periodicals industry (I-O 26A), for which $20 billion
of its $36 billion total commodity output is moved to the advertising
commodity (I-0 73D); and the crude petroleum and natural gas industry
(I-O 8), for which $12 billion of its $8o billion total commodity output
is moved to the gas production and distribution (utilities) commodity
(I-O 68B).
When the total requirements tables are calculated, inputs and
outputs of each I-O-defined secondary product or service are moved to
their particular I-O-defined commodity groups. The input structures of
secondary products or services are assumed to be similar to those for
the industries in which the products or services are primary; this
assumption, in I-O terminology, is called the industry-based technology
assumption (see footnote 20).
As mentioned earlier, the I-O system also provides for other
industries and "special" industries that the SIC does not. The
I-O system replaces the SIC-defined government-owned establishments with
two industries to cover government enterprises as defined in the
NIPA's--Federal Government enterprises (I-0 78) and State and local
government enterprises (I-0 79). The I-O system also provides
"special" industries, such as general government (I-O 82), in
which output and value added are defined as general government
compensation of employees, and the inventory valuation adjustment (I-O
85), which is a NIPA adjustment to derive GDP (see appendix B for a
complete listing of I-O special industries).
The I-O commodity classification system is closely related to that
for industries. Each commodity receives the code of the industry in
which the commodity is the primary product. This code is then used to
group production of the commodity in the industry in which it is the
primary product with its production in other industries in which it is a
secondary product.
In several cases, the I-O commodity classification differs from
that specified by the industry classification. If the same commodity is
the primary product of more than one SIC industry, all of the I-O
commodity is assigned the I-O commodity number that corresponds to the
I-O industry that is the largest producer of the commodity. This results
in there being no commodity output for the following I-O commodity
groups: Forest products (commodity 2.0701); knit outerwear mills
(commodity 18.0201); knit underwear and nightwear mills (commodity
18.0202); knitting mills, not elsewhere classified (commodity 18.0203);
fertilizers, mixing only (commodity 27.0202); cold-rolled steel sheet,
strip, and bars (commodity 37.0104); steel pipe and tubes (commodity
37.0105); secondary nonferrous metals (commodity 38.0600); Federal
electric utilities (78.0200); State and local government passenger
transit (commodity 79.0100); and State and local government electric
utilities (commodity 79.0200).
Definitions and conventions for valuation
Transactions in commodities are typically valued in I-O accounts at
producers' prices, which exclude distribution costs (transportation
costs and wholesale and retail trade margins), but include excise taxes collected and paid by producers. Transportation costs and trade margins
are shown as separate purchases by the users of the commodities. The sum
of the producers' value, transportation costs, and trade margins
equals the purchasers' value.
The I-O tables do not trace actual flows of commodities to and from
wholesale trade and retail trade. If trade were shown as buying and
reselling commodities, industrial and final users would make most of
their purchases from a single source--trade. To show the relationship
between the production of commodities and their purchase by intermediate
and final users, commodities are shown as if they move directly to
users, bypassing trade. The margin associated with a commodity is shown
as a separate purchase of the commodity from wholesale trade and retail
trade by users. Transportation costs are the freight charges paid to
bring the commodity from the producer to the user, either intermediate
or final. All transportation costs are included in the transportation
rows (rows 65A-E) of the use table.
Wholesale trade has one primary product--distributive services for
the sale of goods to final users other than for personal consumption
expenditures. Examples of distributive services provided by wholesalers
include merchandise handling, stocking, selling, and billing.
Wholesale trade output is measured one way for merchant
wholesalers, agents, and brokers and another way for manufacturers'
sales branches. For merchant wholesalers, agents, and brokers (on own
account), wholesale margin is measured as wholesale sales receipts less
the cost of goods sold plus taxes collected by the distributor. For
manufacturers' sales branches, it is measured as expenses plus
taxes collected by the sales branches.
Nonmargin output occurs when the wholesale trade service is
purchased separately from the commodity. Nonmargin output includes, for
example, a sales commission paid to a wholesaler acting as a broker.
Nonmargin output is measured as the sum of expenses on goods sold by
manufacturers' sales offices, commissions on goods sold by agents
and brokers, and customs duties. Wholesale trade output--both margin and
nonmargin--is included in the wholesale trade row (row 69A) of the use
table.
Retail trade has one primary product--distributive services for the
sale of goods to persons. Retail output is defined as the retail margin,
which is measured as retail sales less the cost of goods sold plus the
taxes collected--if any--by retail trade establishments.
Retail trade margins also apply to some purchases of goods by other
final users; for example, retail trade margins apply to some purchases
of personal computers by business and are included in gross private
fixed investment. All retail trade margins are included in the retail
trade row (row 69B) of the use table.
Imports of goods and services, a component of final uses, are
treated in one of two ways, depending on whether or not they are
comparable to U.S. commercially produced goods and services. Those that
are comparable are included in the use table along with the distribution
of the output of their domestic counterparts. The U.S. domestic port
values of imported commodities are shown as negative entries in the
imports of goods and services column of final use (column 95), so that
the row total for a commodity equals the domestic output of that
commodity. Other imported goods and services--those not comparable to
U.S. commercially produced goods and services, and those purchased and
used abroad by U.S. residents--are shown in the use table row for
noncomparable imports (row 8o). Examples of noncomparable imports are
coffee beans and parakeets; an example of goods purchased and used
abroad by U.S. residents is food purchased by U.S. military personnel
stationed abroad. The total value of all noncomparable imports is shown
as a single negative entry in the imports of goods and services column
(column 95).
Imports of goods by commodity (the entries in column 95) are valued
at U.S. domestic port values plus duties. Imports of services are valued
at producers' values. The entries for transportation imports and
for trade imports include adjustments that convert the total of all
commodity imports of goods and services to a foreign port value
equivalent. This adjustment is made for conceptual consistency between
the I-O accounts and the NIPA's and the balance of payments
accounts.
Exports of goods and services--both by commodity and as a
total--are valued in U.S. producers' prices, which are considered
to be equivalent to U.S. domestic port values. Exports are also a
component of final uses.
Inventory change, another component of final uses, represents the
change in inventory of each commodity, wherever held, over the benchmark
year. It is stated at book value--that is, at its original cost--in the
use table. The inventory valuation adjustment, which converts inventory
change from book value to replacement cost, is shown as a single entry
for the total of all commodities (row 85, column 93).
Supplementary tables
Four supplementary tables, which can be used with the five basic
sets of I-O tables, are provided with this article. Three tables (tables
C-E) cover the I-O commodity composition of NIPA final demand, of NIPA
personal consumption expenditures, and of NIPA producers' durable
equipment; a fourth table (table F) reconciles I-O exports of goods and
services and imports of goods and services with NIPA estimates.
The commodity composition tables are necessary as bridges between
the I-O accounts and the NIPA's because the two sets of accounts
are based on different valuations and definitions. In the I-O accounts,
final use categories are expressed in producers' prices; in the
NIPA's, final demand categories are expressed in purchasers'
prices. Also, the definitions of I-O final use categories differ from
those of the NIPA final demand categories. Before the I-O total
requirements tables can be used to measure and analyze the changes in
commodity or industry output requirements arising from changes in the
level or composition of NIPA final demand, NIPA final demand categories
must be converted to equivalent I-O final use categories. That is to
say, the analysis should be consistent with I-O final use commodities
that are valued at producers' prices for the I-O year, with
separate entries for transportation costs and trade margins.
Table C shows the I-O commodity composition in 1987 of each NIPA
category of final demand in producers' and purchasers' prices.
It provides a bridge between I-O commodities in producers' prices
and NIPA final demand categories in purchasers' prices. For each
I-O commodity within a category of NIPA final demand, the table shows
the transportation costs and trade margins included in the
purchasers' prices.
[TABULAR DATA OMITTED]
Table D shows the I-O commodity composition in 1987 of each NIPA
category of personal consumption expenditures (NIPA table 2.4) in
producers' and purchasers' prices. It provides a bridge
between I-O commodities in producers' prices and NIPA personal
consumption categories in purchasers' prices. For each I-O
commodity within a NIPA category, the table shows the transportation
costs and trade margins included in the purchasers' prices.
Table E shows the I-O commodity composition in 1987 of each NIPA
category of producers' durable equipment purchases (NIPA table 5.8)
in producers' and purchasers' prices. It provides a bridge
between I-O commodities in producers' prices and NIPA
producers' durable equipment categories in purchasers' prices.
For each commodity, the table shows the transportation costs and trade
margins included in the purchasers' prices. This table is useful
for analyses relating the effects of changes in investment on industry
and commodity output.
[TABULAR DATA E OMITTED]
Table F reconciles the I-O estimates of exports and imports of
goods and services with those in the NIPA's. The same adjustments
are made for both exports and imports; therefore, there is no net effect
on total GDP. The adjustments are necessary because the
NIPA's--unlike the I-O accounts--include in imports the U.S.
merchandise that is returned to the United States from other countries
and in exports the foreign merchandise that is reexported from the
United States to other countries.(21) The NIPA's also exclude
definitional and statistical revisions to the balance of payments
accounts between NIPA comprehensive revisions.
Table F.--Relation of Exports and Imports in the Input-Output
Accounts to the National Income and Product
Accounts, 1987 Benchmark
[Millions of dollars]
1987
Exports of goods and services, NPA 363,952
Less: U.S. merchandise returned 6,781
Reexports 8,875
Plus: Statistical revisions, BPA 276
Equals: Exports of goods and services, I-O 348,572
Imports of goods and services, NIPA 507,050
Less: U.S. merchandise returned 6,781
Reexports 8,875
Plus: Statistical revisions, BPA -952
Equals: Imports of goods and service, I-O 490,442
NIPA National income and product accounts
BPA Balance of payments accounts
I-O Input-output accounts
Appendixes A and B and tables 1 and 2 follow.
Appendix A.--Chronological List of Selected Survey of Current
Business Input-Output Articles
1. Morris R. Goldman, Martin L. Marimont, and Beatrice N. Vaccara,
"The Interindustry Structure of the United States: A Report on the
1958 Input-Output Study," November 1964.
2. "Industrial Impact of the 1966 Housing and Commercial
Building Decline," November 1966.
3. "Input-Output Structure of the U.S. Economy: 1963,"
November 1969.
4. Allan H. Young and Claiborne M. Ball, "Industrial Impacts
of Residential Construction and Mobile Home Production," October
1970.
5. Beatrice N. Vaccara, "An Input-Output Method for Long-Range
Economic Projections," July 1971, Part I.
6. Philip M. Ritz and Eugene P. Roberts, "Industry Inventory
Requirements: An Input-Output Analysis," November 1973.
7. "The Input-Output Structure of the U.S. Economy:
1967," February 1974.
8. Irving Stern, "Industry Effects of Government Expenditures:
An Input-Output Analysis," May 1975.
9. Philip M. Ritz, "The Input-Output Structure of the U.S.
Economy, 1972," February 1979.
10. Philip M. Ritz, Eugene P. Roberts, and Paula C. Young,
"Dollar-Value Tables for the 1972 Input-Output Study," April
1979.
11. "The Input-Output Structure of the U.S. Economy,
1977," May 1984.
12. "Benchmark Input-Output Accounts for the U.S. Economy,
1982," July 1991.
13. "Annual Input-Output Accounts of the U.S. Economy,
1987," April 1992.
Appendix B
[TABULAR DATA OMITTED]
Data Availability
The estimates from the 1987 benchmark I-O accounts are available on
diskette at two-digit (95 I-O industries) and six-digit (480 I-O
industries) levels. They can be ordered for "transactions,"
for "total requirements," or for "all."
"Transactions" includes the six-digit make table, use table,
direct requirements coefficients table, and estimates by commodity of
transportation costs and of wholesale and retail trade margins.
"Total requirements" includes six-digit industry-by-commodity
or commodity-by-commodity coefficients. Products specifying
"all" contain all above data, but for the two-digit I-O
industry level only. Each product includes information on the
mathematical derivation of the coefficients tables. The BEA accession numbers and the prices for these products are listed below.
For further information about I-O products or when ordering by
MasterCard or Visa, call the Interindustry Economics Division at (202)
606-5585. To order by mail, write to the Public Information Office,
Order Desk, BE-53, Bureau of Economic Analysis, U.S. Department of
Commerce, Washington, DC 20230. Specify the item, accession number, and
price of the product(s) being ordered. For foreign shipment, add 25
percent to the total amount of the order. A check or money order payable
to "Bureau of Economic Analysis" must accompany all written
orders. Be sure to include a return address.
BEA's 1987 benchmark I-O accounts, at both the two-digit and
six-digit levels, will also be available on CD-ROM through the Commerce
Department's National Economic, Social, and Environmental Data Bank
(NESE-DB) CD-ROM. The NESE-DB is produced quarterly in February, May,
August, and November. Call the Office of Business Analysis at (202)
482-1986 for more information or to place an order. The NESE-DB is also
available for public use at over 900 Federal Depository Libraries.
[TABULAR DATA OMITTED] (1) Earlier benchmarks covered 1947, 1958,
1963, 1967, 1972, 1977, and 1982. BEA also has produced annual I-O
accounts based on less comprehensive source data. The most recent annual
accounts, for 1987, were presented in the April 1992 Survey of Current
Business. (2.) See "Improving the Quality of economic Statistics:
The 1992 Economic Statistics Initiative," Survey 71 (March 1991):
4-5. (3.) Value added equals gross output (sales or receipts and other
operating income, plus inventory change) minus intermediate inputs
(consumption of goods and services purchased from other industries or
imported). It includes compensation of employees, indirect business tax
and nontax liability, and other value added. (4.) In the I-O accounts,
change in business inventories covers commodities wherever held; capital
purchases--producers' durable equipment and structures--are
included in gross private fixed investment; and imported commodities are
included with domestically produced commodities in both final use and
intermediate use. (5.) The commodity-flow method generally begins with
an estimate of the total supply of a commodity available for domestic
uses; it then either attributes a fixed percentage of supply to final
users, or it adjusts for intermediate purchases and attributes the
residual to final users. For more information, see U.S. Department of
Commerce, Bureau of Economic Analysis, Personal Consumption
Expenditures, Methodology Paper Series MP-6 (Washington, D: U.S.
Government Printing Office, June 1990): 31-34. (6.) For most I-O
industries, other value added includes consumption of fixed capital,
proprietors' income, corporate profits, and business transfer
payments. For banking and for credit agencies other than banks, other
value added also includes net interest. For owner-occupied dwellings and
for real estate agents, managers, operators, and lessors, it also
includes rental income. For the six industries covering the Federal
Government and State and local government enterprises, it also includes
current surplus less government subsidy payments. (7.) See Robert P.
Parker, "Gross Product by Industry, 1977-90," SURVEY 73 (May
1993): 33-54; and Robert E. Yuskavage, "Gross Product by Industry,
1988-91," Survey 73 (November 1993): 33-44. (8.) The net addition
of industries resulting from the aggregations and disaggreptions of 1982
I-O industries is 11. In addition, the rest of the world is no longer
technically considered to be an industry because of the change from GNP to GDP as the primary measure of final demand. Thus, there is a net
increase of 10 industries in the 1987 benchmark. (9.) The 1991 NIPA
revision was described in the following SURVEY articles: "A Preview
of the Comprehensive Revision of the National Income and Product
Accounts: Definitional and Classificational Changes," September
1991; "A Preview of the Comprehensive Revision of the National
Income and Product Accounts: New and Redesigned Tables," October
1991d "The Comprehensive Revision of the U.S. National Income and
Product Accounts: A Review of Revisions and Major Statistical
Changes," December 1991 (10.) Estimates for commodities in
purchasers' prices can be derived by adjusting for transportation
costs and for wholesale and retail trade margins; these costs and
margins are included on the diskettes that can be ordered for the 1987
benchmark I-O (see the box on page 90). (11.) In the designation of I-O
tables, the row is referred to first and the column second. Thus, tables
in which commodities appear in the rows and industries in the columns
are designated "commodity-by-industry" tables, and tables in
which industries appear in the rows and commodities in the columns are
designated "industry-by-commodity" tables. (12.) Primary and
secondary products and the classification of industries are discussed
further in the section "Definitions and conventions for
classification." (13.) See Robert P. Parker, "Improved
Adjustments for Misreporting of Tax Return Information Used to Estimate
the National Income and Product Accounts, 1977," Survey 64 (June
1984): 17-25. (14.) See Personal Consumption Expenditures, pages 31-34.
(15.) For more information on the I-O accounts and their relationship to
the NIPA's, see Personal Consumption Expenditures, pages 17 and
31-34. (16.) A typical I-O table in the Regional Input-Output Modeling
System is derived mainly from two data sources: (1) The U.S. benchmark
I-O accounts and (2) BEA's four-digit SIC county wage-and-salary
data. For more information, see U.S. Department of Commerce, Bureau of
Economic Analysis, Regional Multipliers: A User Handbook for the
Regional Input-Output Modeling System (RIMS II), Second Edition
(Washington, DC: U.S. Government Printing Office, 1992). (17.) The I-O
two-digit and six-digit industry categories and their composition in
terms of the 1987 SIC codes are given in appendix B. (18.) For a
discussion of the SIC system, see Office of Management and Budget,
Executive Office of the President, Standard Industrial Classification
Manual: 1987, (Springfield, Virginia: National Technical Information
Service 1987): 11-18. (19.) Fewer I-O adjustments to SIC-defined
industries may be necessary for the 1997 and subsequent benchmark I-O
accounts when the North American Industry Classification System (NAICS)
is completed. The proposed NAICS is expected to be a common
international system--covering the United States, Canada, and
Mexico--for grouping establishments by similarity of production process.
For a discussion, see Jack E. Triplett, "Economic Concepts for
Economic Classifications," SURVEY 73 (November 1993): 45-56. (20)
The I-O commodity-based and I-O industry-based technology assumptions
are important when estimating the total-requirements tables. The
significance of the assumptions is discussed elsewhere in the economic
I-O literature. See, for example, United Nations, System of National
Accounts, 1993, prepared under the auspices of the Inter-Secretariat
Working Group on National Accounts (New York: United Nations, 1993):
chapter 15, in particular pages 367-70; and Ronald E. Miller and Peter
D. Blair, Input-Output Analysis: Foundations and Extensions (Englewood
Cliffs, New Jersey: Prentice-Hall, Inc., 1985): 149-99. (21). U.S.
merchandise returned consists of domestically produced goods that were
previously exported to other countries for processing or assembly, or
both, and then returned to the United States. An example would be
articles of metal that are manufactured in the United States, then
exported for further processing abroad, and then returned to the United
States for more processing. Reexports consists of commodities of foreign
origin that were previously imported into the United States and then
exported from the United States in substantially the same condition as
when imported. An example would be imported foreign-made monitors that
are purchased by U.S. personal computer manufacturers, joined with
U.S.-made consoles, and then exported to a third foreign country.
Ann M. Lawson, Chief of the Interindustry Economics Division,
directed the preparation of the 1987 benchmark input-output study and
coauthored the article with D.A. Teske. Mark A. Planting, Acting
Assistant Division Chief, planned and coordinated division efforts to
produce the estimates. Belinda L. Bonds, Chief of the Goods Branch, and
Karen Horowitz, Chief of the Services Branch, assisted in the planning
and implementation of the study and in the estimation, review, and
finalization of the data. Brian D. Kajutti designed the data processing
system and coordinated the computer programming and processing efforts.
Staff contributors were William A. Allen, Timothy D. Aylor, Alvin
D. Blake, Cheryl Carlson, Esther Carter, Jeffrey W. Crawford, Sergio
Delgado, Gary T. Fee, Kara Gordon-Palley, Carole Henry, David Huether,
Greg M. Key, Myles J. Levin, Fritz Mayhew, William McCarthy, Donna
McComber, Clinton P. Mccully, Rhonda E. Monroe, Ted Morgan, Diane E.
Nisson, Robert S. Robinowitz, Brooks B. Robinson, Timothy F. Slaper,
Patricia A. Washington, Raquel Watson, and Diane Young.