U.S. international transactions, third quarter 1991.
DiLullo, Anthony J.
THE U.S. current-account balance shifted to a deficit of $10.5
billion in the third quarter of 1991 from a surplus of $3.0 billion
(revised) in the second quarter (table A). (1) The shift reflected an
increase in the merchandise trade deficit, as a result of a jump in
imports, and a shift in net unilateral transfers to outflows from
inflows.
In the capital account, net recorded capital inflows were $10.8
billion in the third quarter, in contrast to outflows of $11.5 billion
in the second quarter. Net outflows for U.S. assets abroad decreased to
$12.0 billion from $15.0 billion, despite a step-up in outflows for
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U.S. direct investment abroad and continued strength in net U.S.
purchases of foreign securities. Net inflows for foreign assets in the
United States increased significantly to $22.8 billion from $3.5
billion, reflecting a large shift, from a decrease to an increase, in
U.S. bank-reported liabilities. Foreign purchases of U.S. securities
and inflows for foreing direct investment
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dropped sharply after recording strong inflows in the second quarter.
The statistical discrepancy (errors and omissions in recorded
transactions) was a net outflow of $0.4 billion in the third quarter, in
contrast to a net inflow of $8.5 billion in the second.
U.S. dollar in exchange markets
On a trade-weighted basis, the U.S. dollar depreciated 4 percent in
the third quarter against both an index of the currencies of 10
industrial countries and a broader index of the currencies of 22 OECD countries and 4 newly industrialized countries in the Far East (table B,
chart 3). The dollar reached its highest point in more than 2 years in
early July, boosted in part by expectations of a strong U.S. economic
recovery. Thereafter, it depreciated moderately throughout the quarter,
except for a brief rise in mid-August due to an increase in the demand
for dollars during the short-lived coup against the Government of the
Soviet Union. The depreciation occurred as market participants grew
increasingly skeptical about the strength of the recovery.
The impact of changes in interest-rate differentials between U.S.
and key foreign rates varied among key currencies (chart 4). U.S.
interest rates fell further during the quarter, reflecting both
persistent weakness in the U.S. economy and moves by the Federal Reserve
Board to lower the federal funds and discount rates. Concurrently,
German monetary officials raised official interest rates to limit
persistent inflation, thereby further widening the U.S.-German
interest-rate differential in favor of marks. Depreciation against the
Japanese yen was limited, as Japanese interest rates fell more rapidly
than U.S. rates.
Current Account
Merchandise trade
The merchandise trade deficit increased to $20.5 billion in the
third quarter from $15.4 billion in the second. The increase was more
than accounted for by a jump in imports; exports increased only
slightly.
Exports.--Exports increased $0.3 billion, or less than 1 percent,
to $104.5 billion in the third quarter (table C). The volume of
exports, measured in constant (1987) dollars, increased 1 percent.
Nonagricultural exports decreased $0.3 billion, or less than 1
percent, to $94.4 billion in the third quarter. Decreases in
nonagricultural industrial supplies and materials and in capital goods were partly offset by an increase in automotive products. The decreases
reflected a slackening in foreign demand resulting from a continued
slowdown in economic activity in a number of industrial countries.
Capital goods decreased also because of a drop in deliveries of civilian
aircraft following an unusually high level of deliveries in the second
quarter. Most of the increase in automotive products was in exports of
passenger cars and trucks to Canada. Exports of engines and parts for
assembly to Canada and Mexico also increased.
Agricultural exports increased $0.6 billion, or 6 percent, to $10.2
billion in the third quarter. Exports of corn and wheat more than
accounted for the increase, as exports to Eastern Europe, Latin America,
and developing countries in Asia and Africa picked up. Exports of
soybeans and cotton decreased, reflecting ample supplies abroad. After
a sharp drop in the second quarter, agricultural exports to Eastern
Europe recovered, spurred in part by the issuance of new U.S. Government
export credit guarantees at the end of June. (Guarantees extended at
the beginning of the year boosted exports mostly in the first quarter.)
Imports.--Imports increased $5.4 billion, or 4 percent, to $125.0
billion in the third quarter. The volume of imports, measured in
constant (1987) dollars, increased 6 percent. Nonpetroleum imports
accounted for the increase; petroleum imports were virtually unchanged.
In the first three quarters of 1991, imports in current dollars were 2
percent lower than in the same period of 1990, largely reflecting
weakness in U.S. economic activity.
Nonpetroleum imports increased $5.3 billion, or 5 percent, to
$112.0 billion in the third quarter. Imports of automotive products and
consumer goods more than accounted for the increase. Automotive
products, which increased $3.4 billion, or 17 percent, were boosted
mainly by a step-up in imports of passenger cars from Japan, Canada, and
Mexico; imports of engines and parts for assembly also increased. In
the first three quarters of 1991, imports of passenger cars were only 2
percent higher than in the same period of 1990, reflecting continued
weakness in U.S. sales of new passenger cars. Imports of consumer goods
increased $2.6 billion. The largest increase was in textiles; there
were smaller increases in toys, radios, televisions, and household
appliances. Most of the increase in consumer goods was in imports from
China and countries in the Far East, where production of inexpensive
consumer goods has accelerated rapidly in recent years.
Petroleum imports increased $0.1 billion, or 1 percent, to $13.0
billion in the third quarter. The average number of barrels imported
daily increased to 8.2 million from 8.1 million. The average price per
barrel decreased to $17.24 from $17.31; an increase in crude petroleum
prices was more than offset by a decrease in average prices of other
petroleum products.
Balances by area.--The merchandise trade deficit with industrial
countries increased $2.9 billion, to $9.4 billion, in the third quarter.
The deficit with Japan increased $2.2 billion because of a step-up in
imports. A drop in exports to Western Europe reduced the surplus with
that area by $2.0 billion. The deficit with Canada decreased $0.7
billion, and the surplus with Australia increased $0.5 billion.
The deficit with members of OPEC decreased $0.3 billion; U.S.
exports to OPEC countries increased more than imports.
The deficit with all other countries increased $2.6 billion; the
increase was more than accounted for by a $3.4 billion increase in the
combined deficit with China and with the newly industrialized countries
in Asia. Partly offsetting was a $1.6 billion shift to a surplus with
Latin America that mainly resulted from a jump in exports to Brazil and
Mexico.
Service transactions
The surplus in service transactions increased $0.5 billion, to $9.5
billion, in the third quarter. Service receipts increased $1.0 billion,
to $36.7 billion; payments increased $0.4 billion, to $27.3 billion.
Travel receipts increased $0.3 billion, to $11.6 billion, in the
third quarter. Receipts from overseas visitors increased, but the
increase was smaller than in the previous quarter, when travel receipts
rebounded sharply after the end of the Persian Gulf hostilites.
Receipts from Canada and Mexico also increased, especially in the U.S.
border areas. Travel payments, at $9.9 billion, were virtually
unchanged from the second quarter. After partially recovering in the
second quarter from the effects of the Persian Gulf hostilities,
overseas travel was unchanged in the third. Payments to Mexico and
Canada were unchanged.
Passenger fare receipts were unchanged at $3.5 billion. Passenger
fare payments increased $0.1 billion, to $2.4 billion.
Transportation receipts increased $0.3 billion, to $6.0 billion, in
the third quarter. Transportation payments increased $0.4 billion, to
$6.1 billion. Receipts and payments were boosted by expenditures for
port services by air carriers, reflecting recent efforts by U.S. and
foreign carriers to expand routes and freight services.
Receipts from other private services were unchanged at $8.7 billion
in the third quarter, and payments increased $0.1 billion, to $3.7
billion.
Transfers under U.S. military sales contracts increased $0.2
billion, to $2.6 billion, in the third quarter. The increase was in
deliveries to Western Europe and the Middle East. Direct defense
expenditures abroad decreased $0.1 billion,to $3.8 billion.
Investment income
The surplus in net investment income increased $0.2 billion, to
$2.5 billion, in the third quarter. Investment income receipts
increased $0.5 billion, to $28.8 billion, and payments increased $0.4
billion, to $26.3 billion. For both receipts and payments, increases in
direct investment income were largely offset by decreases in other
private investment income. U.S. Government income receipts increased;
payments were unchanged.
Direct investment income.--Receipts of income on U.S. direct
investment abroad increased $1.2 billion, to $13.4 billion, in the third
quarter. Income before capital gains and losses increased $0.6 billion.
Almost all of the increase was in operating income of petroleum
affiliates. Operating income of nonpetroleum affiliates was virtually
unchanged; income of automotive affiliates in Western Europe was hurt by
the slump in passenger car sales there. Capital gains increased $0.6
billion as a result of the sale of a British petroleum affiliate.
Payments of income on foreign direct investment in the United
States shifted $1.5 billion from a net loss of $0.8 billion in the
second quarter to net earnings of $0.7 billion in the third. A shift to
capital gains accounted for most of the shift in income. Operating
losses decreased $0.4 billion.
Portfolio investment income.--Receipts of income on other private
investment abroad decreased $1.0 billion, to $13.3 billion, in the third
quarter. Payments of income on othr private investment in the United
States decreased $1.1 billion, to $15.9 billion. The decreases in both
receipts and payments were mainly due to sharply lower short-term
interest rates in the United States and abroad.
U.S. Government income receipts increased $0.3 billion, to $2.1
billion, in the third quarter. The increase was partly due to the
forgiveness and rescheduling of interest owed to the U.S. Government by
the governments of Poland, Egypt, and several developing countries.
(Related entries appear in the unilateral transfers and U.S. Government
capital accounts.) U.S. Government income payments were unchanged at
$9.7 billion.
Unilateral transfers
Net unilateral transfers shifted to an outflow of $1.9 billion in
the third quarter from an inflow of $7.1 billion in the second. The
shift resulted mostly from a decrease, to $4.6 billion from $11.6
billion, in cash contributions received from coalition partners in
Operation Desert Storm. In addition, grants to forgive $2.9 billion in
outstanding debts were provided to several developing countries ($1.3
billion) and to Poland ($1.6 billion).
Capital Account
U.S. assets abroad
U.S. assets abroad increased $12.0 billion in the third quarter,
compared with an increase of $15.0 billion in the second. An increase
in U.S. private assets more than accounted for the third-quarter
increase.
U.S. official reserve assets.--U.S. official reserve assets
decreased $3.9 billion in the third quarter, following a decrease of
$1.0 billion in the second. The third-quarter decrease was largely due
to off-market sales of foreign currencies to foreign monetary
authorities.
U.S. Government assets other than official reserve assets.--U.S.
Government credits and other long-term assets increased $8.2 billion in
the third quarter, compared with an increase of $1.1 billion in the
second. The higher disbursements of credits were associated with the
rescheduling of $2.1 billion of Polish debt and $5.1 billion of Egyptian
debt. Repayments on credits were $11.0 billion, compared with $0.8
billion. The higher repayments included $1.3 billion in debt
forgiveness to developing countries, $1.6 billion in debt forgiveness to
Poland, and the rescheduling of Polish and Egyptian debt.
Claims reported by banks.--U.S. claims on foreigners reported by
U.S. banks increaseed $0.2 billion in the third quarter, in contrast to
a decrease of $1.2 billio in the second. An increase in claims payable
in foreign currencies was nearly offset by a decrease in claims payable
in dollars.
Banks' own claims payable in dollars decreased $4.2 billion.
The decrease reflected weak interbank demand for dollars stemming partly
from the slackening in economic activity abroad. Interbank claims of
foreign-owned banks decreased $7.7 billion; the decrease was mainly in
claims on their own foreign offices in Canada, Japan, and Asian banking
centers. Interbank claims of U.S.-owned banks increased $4.9 billion;
an increase in claims to meet the end-of-quarter needs of U.S.
banks' own foreign offices, mainly in the United Kingdom and the
Caribbean, more than offset other decreases during most of the quarter.
A decrease in claims on foreign public borrowers in Latin America was
due to the transfer of some loans to the books of U.S. banks'
foreign offices.
Banks' own claims payable in foreign currencies increased $5.1
billion in the third quarter, as banks stepped up lending in foreign
currencies. Most of the increase was in claims on Canada and Japan.
Banks' domestic customers' claims decreased $0.7 billion.
U.S. money market funds shifted funds from abroad to the United States,
as interest rates on U.S. Treasury securities fell less rapidly than
rates on overseas short-term instruments.
Foreign securities.--Net U.S. purchases of foreign securities were
$12.5 billion in the third quarter, only slightly below the
second-quarter record of $12.8 billion. In the first three quarters of
1991, net purchases of foreign securities totaled a record $34.8
billion.
Net U.S. purchases of foreign stocks decreased $0.6 billion, to
$8.5 billion. Despite the decrease, the high level of net purchases
reflected continued strong demand for foreign stocks. Net purchases of
both British and Japanese stocks picked up sharply. Transactions in
Canadian stocks shifted to net purchases following several consecutive
quarters of net sales. Although net purchases of Latin American stocks
decreased, they remained substantial, reflecting U.S. interest in
offerings resulting from the continued privatization of Latin American
companies, especially in Mexico
Net purchases of foreign bonds increased $0.3 billion, to $4.0
billion. Transactions in outstanding bonds shifted to net purchases of
$2.7 billion from net sales of $1.5 billion. Net purchases of British
gilt-edged securities more than accounted for the shift; declining
interest rates encouraged some investors to lock in current yields, and
others were spurred by prospects of capital gains from rising bond
prices and the appreciation of the British pound against the dollar.
Foreign new issues in the United States decreased to $2.5 billion from
$6.4 billion.
Direct investment.--Net outflows for U.S. direct investment abroad
were $5.9 billion in the third quarter, compared with $1.8 billion in
the second. The increase was largely accounted for by a shift of $2.6
billion in equity to net outflows of $2.2 billion, mainly for
acquisitions in Western Europe and Mexico.
Intercompany debt inflows were nearly unchanged at $3.4 billion.
However, there were large offsetting changes in receivables and payables
between parents and affiliates. Some parent companies received large
loan repayments from their foreign affiliates, and others repaid loans
to their affiliates.
Reinvested earnings increased to $7.0 billion from $5.6 billion.
Foreign assets in the United States
Foreign assets in the United States increased $22.8 billion in the
third quarter, compared with an increase of $3.5 billion in the second.
Both foreign official assets and ther foreign assets increased.
Foreign official assets.--Foreign official assets in the United
States increased $4.3 billion, in contrast to a decrease of $3.1 billion
(table D). Assets of developing countries other than OPEC members
increased $8.2 billion. Assets of OPEC members decreased $4.3 billion.
Assets of industrial countries increased $0.4 billion.
Liabilities reported by banks.--U.S. liabilities reported by U.S.
banks, excluding U.S. Treasury securities, increased $8.8 billion in the
third quarter, in contrast to a decrease of $28.7 billion in the second.
Banks' own liabilities payable in dollars shifted to a net
increase, but the increase was restrained by continued slack U.S. demand
for loans.
Liabilities of foreign-owned banks increased $8.4 billion,
reflecting a temporary resumption in borrowing from overseas sources in
the latter part of the quarter. In the first two quarters and during
part of the third quarter, liabilities of foreign-owned banks were
sharply reduced, as those banks borrowed from U.S. sources.
Foreign-owned banks' reliance on large U.S. time deposits for
funding during most of the first three quarters was encouraged by the
Federal Reserve Board's ruling, effective December 27, 1990, that
eliminated reserve requirements on domestic nonpersonal time deposits.
Short-term borrowing from foreign banks was resumed in the third quarter
to fund a brief increase in lending to the overseas interbank market and
to substitute temporarily for funding from U.S. sources. Dollar
liabilities of U.S.-owned banks decreased $2.4 billion, reflecting the
decrease in U.S. loan demand.
Liabilities payable in foreign currencies increased $4.1 billion,
mainly to
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fund an increase in foreign currency claims.
Banks' custody liabilities decreased $1.4 billion.
U.S. Treasury securities.--Foreign transactions in U.S. Treasury
securities shifted to net sales of $1.4 billion from net purchases of
$13.4 billion. The shift was mostly due to a slowdown from unusually
large second-quarter net purchases by international investment funds located in the Caribbean.
Other U.S. securities.--Net foreign purchases of U.S. securities
other than U.S. Treasury securities were $9.7 billion in the third
quarter, down from $15.1 billion in the second. Depreciation of the
dollar and weakness in U.S. economic activity depressed foreign
purchases of U.S. stocks.
Net foreign purchases of U.S. stocks decreased to $2.0 billion from
$7.4 billion, despite a strengthening in U.S. stock prices during the
third quarter. Some investors may have switched investments to the
British and French stock markets, where price increases outpaced those
in the U.S. market.
Net foreign purchases of U.S. bonds were unchanged at $7.7 billion.
A $3.9 billion decrease in new issues sold abroad by U.S. corporations
was offset by a $2.3 billion increase in net purchases of U.S. agency
bonds, mainly by Japan, and a $1.7 billion decrease in net sales of
outstanding U.S bonds.
Direct investment.--Net inflows for foreign direct investment in
the United States decreased to $1.4 billion in the third quarter from
$7.5 billion in the second. In the first three quarters of 1991, net
inflows were $13.3 billion, compared with $32.7 billion in the first
three quarters of 1990. Much of the decrease has been in investment by
Japan.
Net inflows for intercompany debt decreased to $0.3 billion in the
third quarter from $6.6 billion in the second; several U.S. finance
affiliates extended loans to parent companies in Western Europe in the
third quarter. Net equity inflows decreased to $4.1 billion from $5.5
billion; third-quarter inflows included a large acquisition in
manufacturing by Western Europe and sizable contributions to affiliates
in "other" industries.
Reinvested earnings increased to -$3.0 billion from -$4.5 billion.
Reconciliation of the
U.S.-Canadian
Current-Account Statistics
A reconciliation of the 1990 bilateral current-account statistics
of the United States and Canada and a revision of the 1989
current-account reconciliation were completed by BEA and Statistics
Canada in November 1991. The results are shown in table E.
The completion of the reconciliations continues the long history of
cooperation between U.S. and Canadian statistical agencies. In 1990,
over three-fourths of the data used by the United States and Canada to
compile U.S.-Canadian bilateral current-account statistics was provided
through the exchange of data, including U.S.and Canadian merchandise
imports (beginning January 1990); services such as travel, passenger
fares, inland freight, and government nonmilitary expenditures; and
certain U.S. banking data used to estimate Canadian interest receipts.
For 1989, the difference between the latest U.S. and Canadian
published estimates of the U.S.-Canadian current-account balance was
$2.9 billion; after reconciliation, the difference was $0.4 billion.
For 1990, the difference between the published estimates was $3.5
billion; after reconciliation, the difference was $0.4 billion. For
both years, the largest reconciliation adjustments were made to
investment income. A few differences, mainly in some investment income
and service transactions, could not be satisfactorily reconciled because
of differences in U.S. and Canadian source data.
Revisions based on the reconciliation will be incorporated, as far
as possible, into the U.S. international transactions estimates to be
published in June 1992. A full substitution of the reconciled estimates
for the previously published estimates is not possible, because of
methodological and definitional differences and because the estimates of
transactions with third countries would be affected.
The adjustments made to each country's data fall into three
categories--statistical, definitional, and methodological. (2) There
are three broad types of statistical adjustments. First, some
reconciliation adjustments are based on knowledge about the quality and
coverage of source data. When one country's source data are known
to be superior to the other country's source data, preference for
the reconciled value is given to the superior source data. Second, some
types of reconciliation adjustments are made
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because the detailed data needed to make two estimates comparable may
be available from one country but not from the other. In this case,
adjustments are based on the detailed data that are available. Third,
many adjustments are based essentially on pragmatic factors. When no
means of clearly establishing the superiority of one country's data
are available, reconciled values reflect compromises by the compilers,
particularly when the compromise is within a reasonable range of error
in measurement. Most statistical reconciliation adjustments fall into
the second and third types.
In addition to statistical adjustments, definitional and
methodological adjustments are made to the published estimates. Some
definitional and methodological differences arise because of domestic
requirements in each country to integrate the external accounts with
domestic-sector accounts. In other instances, there are differences of
opinion between U.S. and Canadian compilers as to which definition or
methodology is correct or preferable. (3) Among definitional
differences, the United States includes reinvested earnings as a
component of direct investment income, whereas Canada does not, and
Canada records some service transactions on a gross basis, whereas the
United States records them on a net basis. To achieve reconciliation of
definitional differences, a common definition must be selected; either
country's definition may be selected as the basis for comparison,
assuming that the data to make the definitional adjustments are
available. Among methodological differences, one country may classify one group of transactions in an account different from that of the other
country. To achieve reconciliation, these transactions must be
reclassified to a common account.
The following sections present a brief discussion of some of the
major types of reconciliation adjustments made to the accounts to
achieve the results shown in table E. Although numerous adjustments are
made, only the major ones, either because of important conceptual
differences or because of the size of the adjustment, are mentioned
here. Some methodological adjustments, such as reclassification and
netting adjustments, are necessary to achieve common treatment, but
because they are offsetting, they do not affect the reconciled
current-account balance. Some definitional adjustments--such as the
exclusion of reinvested earnings and of capital gains and losses--do
affect the reconciled balance, as do most of the statistical
adjustments.
Merchandise trade.--Most of the differences between published U.S.
and Canadian estimates of merchandise trade stem from different
treatment of certain aspects of merchandise trade in the U.S. and
Canadian balance-of-payments accounts. (4) For reconciliation, the main
task is resolving those differences in treatment; there are three major
adjustments. First, inland freight is reclassifed from U.S. merchandise
exports to the inland freight account to be consistent with the Canadian
accounts. Second, Canadian reexports are added to U.S. merchandise
imports. In the U.S. published estimates, which are on a
country-of-origin basis, these imports (Canadian reexports) are
attributed to third countries rather than to Canada, which is the
country of shipment. Third, valuation differences are excluded from
Canadian estimates of exports of petroleum to the United States. Canada
uses information from Canadian producers; the United States uses values
reported on U.S. customs documents.
Services.--In the service accounts, the reconciliation adjustments
are made mainly to the Canadian published estimates. First, withholding taxes are removed to reconcile with the U.S. estimates, which are
published exclusive of withholding taxes. Second, transactions between
affiliated U.S. and Canadian companies are changed from a gross basis to
a net basis to reconcile with the U.S. treatment. Finally, transactions
related to expenditures in port by airline and railroad operators are
reclassified from the Canadian published estimates of business services
to the transportation account.
The U.S. published estimates of service receipts are increased to
include certain intercompany charges between U.S. parents and Canadian
affiliates that are not included in the underlying U.S. data but that
are included in the Canadian estimates.
The remaining differences in the reconciled service estimates is
related to transactions of insurance companies--premiums and casualty
losses. These transactions cannot be reconciled, because of basic
differences in data collection methods for this industry between the
United States and Canada.
Investment income.--To reconcile investment income, a number of
adjustments are made both to the U.S. and Canadian published estimates.
In direct investment income, the U.S. estimates are adjusted to exclude
reinvested earnings and capital gains and losses. The Canadian
estimates are adjusted to exclude withholding taxes. Adjustments are
made, as necessary, to reallocate income payments on direct investment
in the United States and Canada that were made through holding companies
in third countries. Differences that could not be reconciled were due
mainly to timing differences in recording of dividend payments and to
the problems--arising from differences in U.S. and Canadian source
data--with reconciling transactions of affiliates in the insurance
industry.
In other private investment income (portfolio), the Canadian
published estimates are adjusted to exclude withholding taxes. Most of
the other reconciliation adjustments are made to compensate for
differences in source data. For example, U.S. published estimates for
receipts of income from Canadian banks are increased because U.S.
estimates of claims (deposits) of U.S. nonbank residents on Canadian
banks are underestimated. (Plans are under way to resolve this
problem.) The underestimation of claims leads to an understatement of
U.S. income receipts from Canada. The Canadian published estimates,
which are based on more complete coverage, are used for reconciliation.
In another example, receipts and payments of income between U.S. and
Canadian affiliated banks are netted. The Canadian published estimates
of receipts and payments substantially exceed the U.S. estimates on a
gross basis. On a net basis, the estimates are almost identical. The
reason for the pattern of biases in the gross estimates, while unclear,
may be differences in reporting definitions.
Transfers.--U.S. estimates are published on a net basis--transfers
to Canada less transfers to the United States. For reconciliation,
gross estimates are used, after making some adjustments for coverage.
Canadian published estimates are on a gross basis. The main adjustment
to the Canadian estimates is the exclusion of withholding taxes.
Current-account reconciliations for 1970-88 were published in the
following issues of the SURVEY Of CURRENT BUSINESS: June 1975, September
1976 and 1977, December 1979, June 1981, and December 1981 through 1990.
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(1) The analysis in this article is based on seasonally adjusted estimates of the components of the current and capital accounts. The
accompanying tables present both adjusted and unadjusted estimates.
(2) The fact that a reconciled value is agreed upon after
statistical adjustments does not necessarily indicate that the value is
accurate or that there is no need for improvements to the source data.
Also, choice of one country's definitions or methodology over the
other's in developing reconciliation adjustments does not indicate
agreement on what the correct definitions should be or on the most
appropriate methodology.
(3) Recent efforts by international organizations to develop
harmonized guidelines for domestic-sector and external accounts will
provide guidance in future in resolving some differences. For example,
the revisions of the United Nations' System of National Accounts
and the International Monetary Fund's Balance of Payments Manual
will include harmonized treatment of external and domestic-sector
accounts. In addition, the revised Balance of Payments Manual will
provide guidance in resolving some of the other differences between the
United States and Canada in the compilation of foreign-sector accounts.
(4) The source data are the same for both countries, except for
Canada's source data for petroleum exports. The data, except as
noted, are compiled from U.S. and Canadian customs documents filed by
U.S. and Canadian importers. U.S. merchandise imports are compiled from
U.S. customs documents, and U.S. exports (Canadian imports) are compiled
from data provided by Canada from Canadian import documents. Similarly,
Canadian merchandise imports are compiled from Canadian customs
documents, and Canadian exports (U.S. imports) are compiled from data
provided by the United States from U.S. customs documents.