An international study of the relation between book-tax conformity and the value relevance of earnings components.
Yoon, Sung Wook
INTRODUCTION
International factors in accounting information are becoming more
important due to growth in international capital markets (Meek and
Thomas, 2003). As the economies of different countries have become more
closely linked, factors that affect a firm's performance in one
country may impact the economies of other countries. In today's
globalized environment, international accounting research can help us
understand how current financial accounting data relate to future
performance and overall firm value. Prior research (Alford et al. 1993,
Joos and Lang 1994, Guenther and Young 2000, Ali and Hwang 2000, Ball et
al. 2000, Herrmann et al. 2000, Hung 2001, Young and Guenther 2003, Ball
et al. 2003, Leuz et al. 2003, and Haw et al. 2004) suggests that the
value relevance of a country's financial reporting may be affected
by various accounting practices and tax rules because each country has
different political, social, and economic systems.
Since the primary objective of tax rules is not to satisfy the
information needs of capital market participants, the value relevance of
financial reports in countries with high tax-book conformity may be
compromised (Ali and Hwang, 2000). Additionally, because firms have
competing incentives between tax planning and financial reporting,
accounting information in countries with a strong link between tax and
financial accounting may be less value relevant. As Guenther and Young
(2000, p. 58) state, "firms have strong incentives to reduce taxes,
and if financial and tax accounting must conform, tax considerations may
dominate other considerations. Hence, financial accounting information
may be less likely to reflect underlying economic events when firms
attempt to minimize taxes." Ali and Hwang (2000, p. 2) argue that,
"requiring book-tax conformity provides incentives to reduce taxes
by reporting systemically lower profits, thereby undermining the value
relevance of financial reporting." If financial statements are to
provide a true and fair view of performance, financial accounting should
not be influenced by tax considerations. Hence, if a country's
financial accounting principles are strongly aligned with tax rules, its
financial accounting information is likely to be less value relevant.
Many prior studies (e.g., Alford et al. 1993; Ali and Hwang 2000;
Guenther and Young 2000; Young and Guenther 2003) have found that the
degree of book-tax conformity is negatively associated with the value
relevance of a firm's earnings for financial reporting. However,
Hung (2001) does not find evidence to support a relation between
book-tax conformity and value relevance of earnings, which is contrary
to the findings of Ali and Hwang (2000) and Young and Guenther (2003).
Given these contrary findings, the relation between book-tax conformity
and the value relevance of earnings remains unresolved. This study adds
to existing literature by providing evidence regarding the relation
between book-tax conformity and the value relevance of earnings across
countries. It is not clear why book-tax conformity is related to value
relevance of accounting earnings. The reason may be either that high
book-tax conformity causes earnings to be less value relevant or that
high book-tax conformity is related to an information and regulation
environment that results in limited association between accounting
information and stock price. One way to address this issue is to examine
the value relevance of earnings components. A Special Report issued by
the Financial Accounting Standard Board (FASB) suggests that
disaggregating earnings components would be a useful format for
reporting income (FASB, 1998, para. 4.4). Prior research (e.g., Lipe
1986; Ohlson and Penman 1992; Lev and Thiagarajan 1993; Abarbanell and
Bushee 1997) also indicates that earnings components contain useful
information in the U.S. market; however, to-date there has been little
to no investigation of the relation between the value relevance of
earnings components and country-specific factors.
Hence, this study extends prior research by examining the relation
between the value relevance of earnings components and country-specific
factors, especially focusing on book-tax conformity. The results of my
paper provide evidence regarding how book-tax conformity is related to
the value relevance of accounting earnings. I examine whether earnings
components in countries with high book-tax conformity are valued
differently than in countries with low book-tax conformity, focusing on
changes in three earnings components: sales, depreciation, and tax
expense. I evaluate the value relevance of earnings and earnings
components by coefficients and explanatory power in return-earnings
regressions for each country. I examine whether there are differences in
value relevance of earnings and earnings components between counties
with high book-tax conformity versus countries with low book-tax
conformity. Prior studies focus on relations between the value relevance
of earnings and book-tax conformity using country-level tests. My study
is based on a firm-level test and is not a replication of previous
studies. The remainder of this paper is organized as follows: Section 2
develops the hypotheses; Section 3 describes data and samples; Section 4
discusses the regression models used to test the hypotheses; Section 5
presents the results of empirical tests and Section 6 offers conclusion.
HYPHOTHESES
Book-tax conformity has been used in many previous international
accounting studies to evaluate the value relevance of accounting
numbers. Young and Guenther (2003, p. 556) argue that, "the
financial tax conformity index may be a more comprehensive measure of
the value relevance of financial reporting than the disclosure index,
capturing features beyond disclosure practices such as accounting
measurement differences and the external audit function." Some
studies find that book-tax conformity is related to the value relevance
of firms' accounting earnings. However, question still remains as
to how book-tax conformity is related to the value relevance of
accounting earnings. The answer may be either that book-tax conformity
causes earnings to be less value relevant or that book-tax conformity is
associated with an accounting environment that results in low quality
earnings, such as each country's legal origin. Prior research
(e.g., Lipe 1986; Lev and Thiagarajan 1993; Abarbanell and Bushee 1997)
finds that earnings components have incremental information content
relative to that contained in earnings. Hence, I examine the relation
between the value relevance of earnings components and country-specific
factors, especially focusing on book-tax conformity.
Similar to the value relevance of aggregated earnings, I expect the
value relevance of firms' sales component to be lesser in countries
with a high level of conformity between financial and tax accounting. In
countries with high book-tax conformity, some portion of sales revenue
is likely to be recognized on a cash basis in firms' books since
tax rules in many countries still follow the cash basis instead of the
accrual basis. Because accrual accounting is likely to provide better
information that reflects underlying economic substance than cash based
accounting, the information in sales components based on accrual
accounting is likely to be more relevant. I examine whether the
valuation implication of the sales component of earnings is lower in
countries with high
book-tax conformity than in countries with low book-tax conformity.
Hence, Hypothesis 1 is:
[H.sub.1]: Changes in the sales component of net income are valued
more in countries with low book-tax conformity than in countries with
high book-tax conformity.
I also investigate whether the depreciation component are more
value relevant in countries with low book-tax conformity than in
countries with high book-tax conformity. Firms are generally required to
use depreciation methods and useful lives as dictated by each
country's tax authorities. Thus, tax depreciation leaves less
discretion to the company because the tax rules are generally intended
to lead to more uniform application of the tax system. However, because
tax rules do not necessarily represent underlying economic events,
depreciation methods and useful lives prescribed by the country's
tax authorities are less likely to reflect various firms'
activities related to the use of depreciable assets. Therefore, I expect
information in the depreciation component to be less value relevant in
countries with high book-tax conformity. My second hypothesis is:
[H.sub.2]: Changes in the depreciation component of net income are
valued more in countries with low book-tax conformity than in countries
with high book-tax conformity.
If accounting earnings are more value-relevant in countries with
low book-tax conformity than in those with high book-tax conformity, tax
expense, which is based on accounting earnings, should also be more
value-relevant in countries with low book-tax conformity than in those
with high book-tax conformity. Hence, another hypothesis is:
[H.sub.3a]: Changes in the tax component of earnings are valued
more in countries with low book-tax conformity than in countries with
high book-tax conformity.
However, when firms confront high effective tax rates, they face
stronger incentives to minimize their taxable income. In general, firms
with higher effective tax rates pay taxes at higher marginal tax rates
and are more likely to attempt to reduce their tax expenses, as compared
to firms with low effective tax rates. In countries with low book-tax
conformity, firms with high effective tax rates are more likely to
minimize taxable income while maximizing their reported income using
accruals. For example, some of the largest and most profitable US firms
did not pay taxes for several years in the 1990s due to excessive use of
option-based compensation.
Moreover, as Dhaliwal et al. (2004) argue, tax expense can be used
as a tool for earnings management. Under U.S. Generally Accepted
Accounting Principles (GAAP), firms may be able to reduce tax expenses
using permanent differences between financial and taxable income, income
from foreign sources taxed at different rates, tax credits, and net
operating loss carry forwards. U.S. firms can reduce tax expense when
non-tax sources of earnings management are insufficient. Therefore, if a
country's book-tax conformity is high, room for reducing tax
expense will be lower and the value relevance of tax components of
earnings may be higher. According to recent research by Schmidt (2006)
that supports the results of Dhaliwal et al. (2004), an initial tax
change component is more persistent for future tax changes than a
revised tax change component. In addition, Guenther and Jones (2003)
found that unexpected income resulting from a change in tax component is
value relevant, but less value relevant than other unexpected earnings.
I examine whether tax components of earnings are more value relevant in
countries with high book-tax conformity than in countries with low
book-tax conformity, when firms have high effective tax rates. My
hypothesis is:
[H.sub.3b]: For firms with high effective tax rates, changes in the
tax component of earnings are valued more in countries with high
book-tax conformity than in countries with low book-tax conformity.
Similar to the value relevance of earnings, I expect the value
relevance of firms' other components to be higher in countries with
a low level of conformity between financial and tax accounting. My final
hypothesis is:
[H.sub.4]: Changes in other components of earnings are valued more
in countries with low book-tax conformity than in countries with high
book-tax conformity.
In summary, changes in all components of earnings are expected to
be valued more in countries with low book-tax conformity. However, tax
components are expected to be valued more in countries with high
book-tax conformity when firms confront high effective tax rates.
DATA AND SAMPLE SELECTION
All data are from the Compustat Global Vantage database from 1995
through 2003. Accounting information data are from the Global
Industrial/Commercial files and stock price data are from the Global
Issue files. I have imposed data restrictions on the sample, such as the
availability of accounting variables and market price variables. I have
also limited the sample to firms from countries with book-tax conformity
indices derived in prior research. The book-tax conformity index is
mainly developed by Hung (2001) and the index for Korea by Young and
Guenther (2003). To control for potential outliers, observations in the
highest 1% or the lowest 1% values of all the continuous variables were
excluded. The sample selection procedures yielded 57,554 firm-year
observations from 1995 to 2003 for twenty-two countries. Table 1 lists
the distribution of firm-year observations by country and fiscal year.
Total firm-year observations for the sample countries range from 35
(South Africa) to 22,488 (United States).
RESEARCH MODELS
I first compare the value relevance of earnings between countries
with low book-tax conformity and countries with high book-tax conformity
from the following regression models.
[CAR.sub.it] = [[alpha].sub.0] +
[[alpha].sub.1][Delta][EARN.sub.it] + [[epsilon].sub.it] (1)
[MATHEMATICAL EXPRESSION NOT REPRODUCIBLE IN ASCII] (2)
[CAR.sub.it] : Compounded market adjusted stock return for 15
months for firm i for year t [EARN.sub.it]: Net Earnings (Data #32 in
Global Industrial/Commercial files) for firm i for year t
[Delta][EARN.sub.it]: Change in Net Earnings for firm i from year t-1 to
year t
Similar to Ali and Hwang (2000) and Hung (2001), market adjusted
stock returns ([AR.sub.it]) are compounded for fifteen months, ending
three months after the fiscal year-end. Since the Global Issue files
contain only monthly price data, I have calculated each firm's
returns using the monthly price adjusted for stock splits and dividends.
Similarly, each country's monthly market returns were calculated
using each country's stock market index. Monthly market adjusted
returns were calculated by subtracting each country's market
returns from individual firm returns. Compound market adjusted stock
returns ([CAR.sub.it]) are calculated by multiplying monthly market
adjusted returns for fifteen months ending three months after the fiscal
year-end. To control for firm size, earnings variables are scaled by the
market value of the firm at the end of the previous year.
As Easton and Harris (1991) and Kothari and Zimmerman (1995) argue,
errors-in-variable problems can be avoided by including a levels
variable in the regression. Furthermore, since earnings indicate the
performance of a firm during a specific period, it would be appropriate
to include an earnings level variable as well as a changes variable in
the regression models. To test how book-tax conformity affects the value
relevance of earnings across countries, the following firmlevel pooled
regression models are estimated:
[MATHEMATICAL EXPRESSION NOT REPRODUCIBLE IN ASCII] (3)
[MATHEMATICAL EXPRESSION NOT REPRODUCIBLE IN ASCII] (4)
[CAR.sub.it] : Compounded market adjusted stock return for 15
months for firm i for year t [EARN.sub.it] : Net Earnings (Data #32 in
Global Industrial/Commercial files) for firm i for year t
[Delta][EARN.sub.it] : Change in Net Earnings for firm i from year t-1
to year t [BTCONF.sub.j] : Book-Tax conformity Index for country j
I examine whether changes in net earnings and book-tax conformity
are value relevant for stock returns using Model (3). The independent
variable is the book-tax conformity index. I use the book-tax conformity
index developed by Hung (2001), who aggregates the average consensus
estimate of the proximity of tax and financial accounting systems with
other tax related indicators such as deferred taxes and accelerated
depreciation methods. Hung (2001) developed the Tax-Book Conformity
Index using the following criteria and weight: (1) average consensus
estimate of the relation between tax and financial reporting (60%); (2)
do deferred taxes exist? (20%); (3) does legal form dominate substance?
(5%); (4) is additional accelerated depreciation allowed? (5%); (5) do
amortization periods depend on tax laws? (5%); and (6) does lease
capitalization depend on tax law? (5%). Higher index therefore indicates
a stronger link between tax and financial reporting. Consistent with
prior studies (Ali and Hwang 2000; Hung 2001; Young and Guenther 2003),
I also use a high/low scheme to classify the resulting numbers from the
book-tax conformity calculation. Hung (2001) argues that it is
reasonable to assign the book-tax conformity index as a binary variable
rather than a continuous one due to extreme values, finding that the
results are qualitatively the same regardless of continuous or binary
book-tax conformity measures. I code the sample countries as 0 for low
conformity and 1 for high conformity of financial and tax accounting,
based on the classification presented by Hung (2001). Table 2 presents
some accounting standards related to book-tax conformity and the
Book-Tax Conformity Index in each country described above.
An interaction term of the changes in net earnings and book-tax
conformity is included. By observing this interaction term, I test
whether earnings are less value relevant in countries with high book-tax
conformity. To show how book-tax conformity is related to the value
relevance of accounting earnings, I examine the relation between the
value relevance of earnings components and book-tax conformity. I
evaluate the value relevance of changes in sales, depreciation, tax
expense, and other earnings components.
I use the following procedure to calculate the value relevance of
earnings components from the stock return--earnings components
regressions for each country. The changes in earnings are decomposed as
follows:
[Delta][EARN.sub.it] = [Delta][SALES.sub.it] - [Delta][DEP.sub.it]
- [Delta][TAX.sub.it] - [Delta][OTHER.sub.it] (5) [Delta][EARN.sub.it] :
Change in Net Earnings (Data #32 in Global Industrial/Commercial files)
for firm i for year t [Delta][SALES.sub.it] : Change in Sales (Data #1
in Global Industrial/Commercial files) for firm i for year t
[Delta][DEP.sub.it] : Change in Depreciation (Data #12 in Global
Industrial/Commercial files) for firm i for year t [Delta][TAX.sub.it] :
Change in Tax Expenses (Data #23 in Global Industrial/Commercial files)
for firm i for year t [Delta][OTHER.sub.it] : Change in Other Earnings
Components for firm i for year t
To control for firm size, all accounting variables are scaled by
the market value of the firm at the end of the previous year. Then, the
following regression models are estimated for countries with low
book-tax conformity and countries with high book-tax conformity:
[MATHEMATICAL EXPRESSION NOT REPRODUCIBLE IN ASCII] (6)
[MATHEMATICAL EXPRESSION NOT REPRODUCIBLE IN ASCII] (7)
[MATHEMATICAL EXPRESSION NOT REPRODUCIBLE IN ASCII] (8)
[MATHEMATICAL EXPRESSION NOT REPRODUCIBLE IN ASCII] (9)
[Delta][OTHERS.sub.it] : Change in Other Earnings Components except
Sales for firm i for year t [Delta][OTHERD.sub.it] : Change in Other
Earnings Components except Depreciation for firm i for year t
[Delta][PTI.sub.it] : Change in Pre-Tax Income ((Data #23 in Global
Industrial/Commercial files) for firm i for year t
To test Hypothesis 1, earnings are decomposed into 'sales and
other components' in countries with both low and high book-tax
conformity. Earnings are also decomposed into 'depreciation
expenses and other components' and 'pretax income and tax
component' to test Hypotheses 2 and 3a. Regression models are
estimated as follows:
[MATHEMATICAL EXPRESSION NOT REPRODUCIBLE IN ASCII] (10)
[MATHEMATICAL EXPRESSION NOT REPRODUCIBLE IN ASCII] (11)
[MATHEMATICAL EXPRESSION NOT REPRODUCIBLE IN ASCII] (12)
In the regression Model (10), the coefficient of interaction
variable [w.sub.4] represents the different effect of sales component
changes for countries with high book-tax conformity from countries with
low book-tax conformity. Similarly, the coefficients f4 and l4 in Models
(11) and (12) represent the differences in the sensitivity of CAR to the
changes in depreciation and tax components respectively between
countries with high book-tax conformity and countries with low book-tax
conformity. Yearly regressions are also estimated to compare mean
coefficients of each earnings component between countries with low
book-tax conformity and countries with high book-tax conformity. From
yearly regression models, I compare explanatory power, measured by
adjusted [R.sup.2], between two groups to examine whether the value
relevance of earnings and earnings components is generally higher in
countries with low book-tax conformity.
For Hypotheses [3.sub.b], I test whether the changes in tax
expenses of the firms with high effective tax rates (firms within the
first quintile on effective tax rates) are more value relevant in
countries with strong book-tax conformity than in countries with weak
conformity, by comparing explanatory powers and the coefficient of tax
components between two groups of countries.
I also examine whether decomposing earnings into various components
increases value relevance on stock returns in countries with high
book-tax conformity and countries with low book-tax conformity. Vuong
(1989) proposed a simple likelihood-ratio based statistic, testing the
null hypothesis that competing models are equally close to the true data
generating process against the alternative hypothesis that one model is
closer. Vuong's test statistics demonstrate whether regression
models for earnings components have statistically significant
incremental explanatory power compared with the models for earnings.
EMPIRICAL RESULTS
Table 3 reports the Pearson correlations between dependent variable
(CAR) and independent variables, such as changes in earnings, sales,
depreciation, tax expenses, and other earnings components, demonstrating
that earnings and other earnings components variables are highly
correlated with each other both in countries with strong book-tax
alignment and in countries with weak book-tax alignment. Moreover, all
independent variables are also highly correlated with compounded market
adjusted returns, which are the main dependent variable for the tests.
Table 5 (Panel A) compares the value relevance of earnings between
countries with high book-tax conformity and that of countries with low
book-tax conformity. From the return-earnings regression models, I
compare coefficients of changes in earnings and level of earnings and
also compare explanatory powers in return-earnings regressions between
two groups of countries. Coefficients of changes in earnings are higher
in countries with weak book-tax alignment, but coefficients of level of
earnings are higher in countries with strong book-tax alignment. The
explanatory powers, measured by adjusted [R.sup.2], of return-earnings
regressions are higher in countries with low book-tax conformity for
both Model (1) and Model (2).
Table 5 (Panel B) presents results from firm-level pooled
regression models estimated to test whether book-tax conformity is
related to the value relevance of firms' accounting earnings. The
inclusion of interaction terms in the regression models tests the
effects of earnings changes on the returns of companies in countries
with different levels of book-tax conformity. In Model (3), the
coefficient of interaction variables represents the different effect of
earnings changes for countries with high book-tax conformity from
countries with low book-tax conformity. Consistent with prediction, the
coefficient of interaction variables is significantly negative.
In Model (4), I include level of earnings as well as changes in
earnings. As in Model (3), interaction terms are used to test different
effects of book-tax conformity on returns across countries. Two
coefficients of interaction terms, [phi]4 and [phi]5, show the
difference between the effects of earnings changes and earnings levels
on stock returns for countries with high book-tax conformity and those
for countries with low book-tax conformity. As predicted, coefficients
of interaction terms [phi]4 are significantly negative, which indicates
that the value relevance of changes in earnings is higher in countries
with low book-tax conformity. However, coefficient [phi]5 is not
statistically significant. When I use the compounded market adjusted
returns based on average monthly returns of sample firms in each
country, both the coefficients of interaction terms for the change of
earnings ([phi]4) and coefficients of interaction terms for the level of
earning ([phi]5) are significantly negative. Overall, I find that the
value relevance of changes in earnings is negatively associated with the
degree of book-tax conformity across countries.
Table 6 (Panel A) compares the value relevance of earnings
components form Model (6) to Model (9) between countries with high
book-tax conformity and countries with low book-tax conformity. As
predicted in Hypothesis 1, the coefficient of changes in sales and
explanatory power of the regression are higher in countries with low
book-tax conformity. The explanatory powers of regression models for
depreciation and tax expenses are also higher in countries with weak
alignment of book-tax conformity. As also predicted in Hypothesis 2,
coefficient of the changes in depreciation is negatively related to
stock return perhaps because expenses reduce net earnings. However, the
coefficient of changes in depreciation is less negative in countries low
book-tax conformity perhaps because the negative effect of book expense
on stock returns may be mitigated by tax savings from depreciation due
to accelerated depreciation and shorter useful life used in computing tax depreciation in countries with weak alignment between tax and
financial reporting.
Table 6 (Panel B) presents results from firm-level pooled
regression models, Model (10) through Model (12), to test Hypothesis 1,
2, 3a, and 4. Results show that the coefficient of changes in sales is
significantly positive, consistent with the prediction. The coefficient
of changes in tax expense is also significantly positive, perhaps
because investors recognize that more profitable firms probably pay more
taxes. The interaction variables of book-tax conformity and changes in
each earnings components variable show the effect of book-tax conformity
on the value relevance of the components. In Model (10), the coefficient
of the interaction variable of book-tax conformity and changes in sales
is significantly negative, which is consistent with the prediction in
Hypothesis 1 that changes in the sales components are valued more in
countries with low book-tax conformity than in countries with high
book-tax conformity.
Consistent with Hypothesis 2, the interaction coefficient of
book-tax conformity index and changes in deprecation is also
significantly negative, perhaps indicating that change in the
depreciation component of net income is valued more in countries with
low book-tax conformity than in countries with high book-tax conformity.
When earnings are decomposed into tax expenses and pre-tax income as in
Model (12), the interaction coefficient of book-tax conformity index and
changes in tax component is significantly negative, which supports
Hypothesis 3a, indicating that changes in tax component of earnings are
valued less in countries with high book-tax conformity than in countries
with low book-tax conformity. Consistent with expectations, the
interaction coefficient of book-tax conformity index and changes in
pre-tax income is also significantly negative.
In summary, this study finds evidence that sales, depreciation
component, and tax component measured by regression coefficients, are
more value relevant in countries with low book-tax conformity. When the
value relevance of earnings components is measured by explanatory powers
of regression models, I also find that sales, depreciations, and tax
components are valued more in countries with weak alignment between
financial and tax accounting. Figure 1 describes explanatory powers of
earnings components models between countries with low book-tax
conformity and high book-tax conformity.
In addition to book-tax conformity, the legal environment of each
country may have influenced the value relevance of earnings components.
Therefore, I add a legal environment control variable, developed by
prior literature (e.g., Hung 2001), to the regression models. After
controlling legal environment variable, the results for changes in
earnings and changes in sales are not significantly different from the
main results. However, after controlling for the legal environment
variable, the interaction coefficient of book-tax conformity index and
changes in tax expenses as well as interaction coefficient of changes in
depreciation are positively related to stock returns. When I use the
compounded market adjusted returns based on average of monthly returns
of sample firms in each country, the results are similar to the main
results. Because firms with higher effective tax rates pay taxes at
higher marginal tax rates and are more likely to attempt to reduce their
tax expenses, as compared to firms with low effective tax rates, I test
whether the changes in tax expenses of the firms with high effective tax
rates are more value relevant in countries with strong book-tax
conformity than in countries with weak conformity. Table 7 (Panel A)
compares value relevance of changes in earnings and changes in tax
expenses for the firms with high effective tax rates (11,508 firm-year
sample within first quintile on effective tax rates) between countries
with weak book-tax alignment and those with strong book-tax alignment.
Similar to the results from the total 57,554 firm-year sample,
explanatory power of stock returns-earnings regression is higher in
countries with low book-tax conformity. However, explanatory power of
stock returns-tax expenses regression is higher in countries with high
book-tax conformity, which supports Hypothesis [3.sub.b]. Table 7 (Panel
B) presents the results from firm-level pooled regression models, to
test Hypothesis [3.sub.b]. In Model (12), the coefficient of the
interaction of book-tax conformity and changes in tax expenses is
significantly negative, which is consistent with the prediction in
Hypothesis [3.sub.b] that changes in tax components are valued less in
countries with low book-tax conformity than in countries with high
book-tax conformity.
[FIGURE 1 OMITTED]
Figure 2 describes explanatory powers of earnings and tax
components models for the firms with high effective tax rates between
countries with low book-tax conformity and high book-tax conformity.
[FIGURE 2 OMITTED]
I use panel data containing two kinds of information in both
cross-sectional data and time-series data. Cross-sectional information
reflects the differences among countries, and the time-series, or
within-country information, reflects the changes within countries over
time, for a period of ten years. The ordinary multiple regression
techniques used on panel data in the previous sections may not be
optimal. The estimates of coefficients derived from regression may be
subject to omitted variable bias--a problem that arises when there is
some unknown variable or variables that cannot be controlled for that
affect the dependent variable. To control for omitted variables that
differ among countries but are constant over time, fixed effects
regression are also estimated. Results from the regression models after
controlling for fixed effects are similar to the main results.
Another way to address fixed effects is by estimating yearly
regressions. To examine whether there exists differences in the value
relevance of earnings and earnings components between countries with low
book-tax conformity and countries with high book-tax conformity, I
compare mean coefficients from yearly regressions following the approach
of Fama and Macbeth (1974). Table 8 (Panel A) presents the mean of
coefficients from yearly regressions for countries with low book-tax
conformity and the mean coefficient from yearly regressions for
countries with high book-tax countries for a period of ten years.
Consistent with results in Table 5, the mean coefficient of changes
in earnings is slightly higher in countries with low book-tax
conformity. Mean coefficients of changes in sales, depreciation
components, and tax components are significantly higher in countries
with low book-tax conformity than in those with high book-tax
conformity. Interestingly, however, the mean coefficient of changes in
the depreciation component is positively related to stock returns in
countries with low book-tax conformity. This positive sign can be
interpreted as a result of investors valuing firms whose depreciation
expenses increase in countries with low book-tax conformity as related
to the firm's higher level of investment in property and equipment,
which results in higher depreciation expenses.
Using a methodology similar to the approach of Fama and Macbeth
(1974), I examine whether the explanatory powers of earnings components
models are statistically higher in countries with low book-tax
conformity than those in countries with high book-tax conformity. Table
8 (Panel B) compares the means of explanatory powers of yearly
regression models between the two groups. Explanatory powers of changes
in earnings model and changes in sales are higher in countries with low
book-tax alignment than in countries with high book-tax conformity.
However, explanatory powers of changes in depreciation and taxes models
are not statistically different between the two groups, although
explanatory powers are slightly higher in countries with low book-tax
alignment than in countries with high book-tax conformity.
I also test whether decomposing earnings into various components
increases value relevance on stock returns and how they affect countries
with high book-tax conformity versus countries with low book-tax
conformity. In Table 9, Vuong's Z-values indicate that explanatory
powers, measured by [R.sup.2], significantly increase when earnings are
decomposed into 'sales and other components' or 'taxes
and pre-tax income,' meaning that regression models for earnings
components have statistically incremental explanatory power as compared
with the models for earnings in both countries with strong book-tax
alignment and countries with weak alignment.
CONCLUSION
This study examines how book-tax conformity affects the value
relevance of earnings across countries. I find evidence that changes in
earnings are less value relevant in countries with high book-tax
conformity than in those with low book-tax conformity, consistent with
prior research.
I measure the value relevance of earnings components using the
coefficients and explanatory power in return-earnings component
regressions. Using a binary variable of book-tax conformity developed in
prior research, I investigate whether the value relevance of changes in
sales, depreciation, tax expenses, and other earnings components are
associated with book-tax conformity across countries.
As hypothesized, empirical evidence reveals that sales,
depreciation, and tax expenses components, measured by regression
coefficients, are more value relevant in countries with low book-tax
conformity. When the value relevance of earnings and earnings components
are measured in terms of explanatory powers of regression models,
changes in earnings and changes in sales are valued more in countries
with low book-tax alignment than in countries with high book-tax
conformity. Explanatory powers of the changes in depreciation and tax
expenses models are slightly higher in countries with weak alignment
between financial accounting, although those explanatory powers are not
statistically different between the two groups of countries.
I also examine whether changes in tax expenses of the firms with
high effective tax rates are more value relevant in countries with high
book-tax conformity and find that, for the firms with high effective tax
rates, explanatory power of stock returns-tax expenses regression is
higher in countries with strong book-tax alignment. One possible
explanation of this result is that firms with higher effective tax rates
are more likely to attempt to reduce their tax expenses in countries
with weak book-tax conformity, resulting in less value-relevant
information reflecting in stock returns. Finally, I find evidence that
decomposing earnings into various components increases value relevance
on stock returns in both countries with high book-tax conformity and
countries with low book-tax conformity.
ENDNOTES
This paper is based in part on my dissertation at the Leeds School
of Business at the University of Colorado. I would like to thank the
members of my dissertation committee for their guidance: Philip Shane,
John Jacob, Thomas Buchman, Sanjai Bhagat, and especially David Guenther
(Chair). I am also grateful to Naomi Soderstrom, Steve Rock, Srinivasan
Rangan, David Weber, Veronda Willis, and anonymous referees for helpful
comments and suggestions.
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Table 1: Distribution of firm-year observations
by country and fiscal year
Country 1995 1996 1997 1998 1999
Australia 34 147 159 197 196
Canada 350 394 384 389 377
Denmark 9 11 21 27 31
Hong Kong 39 61 64 87 84
Ireland 17 22 21 26 27
Netherlands 18 23 26 33 56
New Zealand 0 3 4 13 12
Norway 13 15 38 55 54
Singapore 96 130 146 172 179
South Africa 0 0 0 0 0
U. K. 464 675 792 866 851
U. S. 2,181 2,702 2,791 2,675 2,504
Low B-T conformity 3,221 4,183 4,446 4,540 4,371
countries total
Belgium 3 2 3 3 7
Finland 9 11 13 14 26
France 41 62 73 79 121
Germany 1 3 8 19 46
Italy 2 2 2 5 11
Japan 0 155 1,088 1,166 1,235
Korea 6 4 4 9 54
Spain 7 7 10 10 5
Sweden 9 14 34 75 95
Switzerland 2 7 10 21 35
High B-T conformity 80 267 1,245 1,401 1,635
countries total
Total 3,301 4,450 5,691 5,941 6,006
Country 2000 2001 2002 2003 Total
Australia 209 198 238 237 1,615
Canada 374 344 334 328 3,274
Denmark 30 30 47 51 257
Hong Kong 89 89 98 100 711
Ireland 24 21 22 18 198
Netherlands 78 112 104 112 562
New Zealand 13 9 8 14 76
Norway 55 62 80 74 446
Singapore 209 213 284 315 1,744
South Africa 0 1 1 33 35
U. K. 814 817 784 731 6,794
U. S. 2,512 2,476 2,370 2,277 22,488
Low B-T conformity 4,407 4,372 4,370 4,290 38,200
countries total
Belgium 17 27 32 37 131
Finland 33 56 58 69 289
France 187 317 379 373 1,632
Germany 101 211 283 238 910
Italy 11 4 8 7 52
Japan 2,342 2,753 2,833 2,826 14,398
Korea 104 131 158 164 634
Spain 4 3 4 4 54
Sweden 85 138 198 200 848
Switzerland 55 71 103 102 406
High B-T conformity 2,939 3,711 4,056 4,020 19,354
countries total
Total 7,346 8,083 8,426 8,310 57,554
Table 2. Book-tax conformity index and accounting standards
related book-tax conformity in each country
Country Deferred Depreciation Long-term
Taxes (a) Policy (a) Financial
Lease (a)
Countries with low B-T conformity
Australia Used Straight Line Capitalized
Canada Used Straight Line Capitalized
Denmark Used Straight Line w/ Capitalized
excess dep.
Hong Kong Used Straight Line Capitalized
Ireland Used Straight Line Capitalized
Netherlands Used Straight Line w/ Capitalized
excess dep.
New Zealand Used Straight Line Capitalized
Norway Paid As Straight Line w/ Not Disclosed
Incurred excess dep.
Singapore Used Straight Line Capitalized
South Africa Used Straight Line w/ Capitalized
excess dep.
U. K. Used Straight Line Capitalized
U. S. Used Straight Line Capitalized
Countries with high B-T conformity
Belgium Used Straight Line w/ Capitalized
excess dep.
Finland Paid As Straight Line w/ Capitalized
Incurred excess dep.
France Used Straight Line w/ Capitalized
excess dep.
Germany Used by Mixed Dep. w/ Usually not
some corp. excess dep. Disclosed
Italy Used Straight Line Not Disclosed
Japan Paid As Accelerated
Incurred depreciation Mostly not
Disclosed
Korea Used Straight Line w/ Capitalized or
excess dep. Expensed
Spain Used Straight Line Not Disclosed
Sweden Used Straight Line w/ Capitalized or
excess dep. Expensed
Switzerland Used Straight Line Capitalized or
Expensed
Country 'Hidden' non-equity B-T Conf.
reserves usually (a) Index (b)
Countries with low B-T conformity
Australia Do not exist 0
Canada Do not exist 0
Denmark Exist and are separately 0
reported
Hong Kong Do not exist 0
Ireland Not consistently disclosed 0
Netherlands As part of shareholders' 0
equity
New Zealand As part of shareholders' 0
equity
Norway Exist and are separately 0
reported
Singapore Do not exist 0
South Africa As part of shareholders' 0
equity
U. K. Do not exist 0
U. S. Do not exist 0
Countries with high B-T conformity
Belgium Exist and are separately 1
reported
Finland Exist and are separately 1
reported
France Exist and are separately 1
reported
Germany Exist and are separately 1
reported
Italy Exist and are separately 1
reported
Japan Do not exist 1
Korea As part of shareholders' 1
equity
Spain As part of shareholders' 1
equity
Sweden Exist and are separately 1
reported
Switzerland Exist and are separately 1
reported
(a) Source: International Accounting and Auditing
Trends, 1993: CIFAR
(b) Book-Tax conformity Index show the degree of the
alignment between financial accounting and tax reporting.
The index is developed by Young and Guenther (2003) for
Korea and by Hung (2001) for all other countries. It
equals 1 for countries with high book-tax conformity
and equals 0 for countries with low book-tax conformity.
Table 3. Correlations between dependent variable and
independent variables for countries with low book-tax
conformity and countries with high book-tax conformity
CAR EARN SALES DEP
CAR .22153 .12664 .02539
(<.0001) (<.0001) (<.0001)
.20306 .15799 -.09431
[Delta] EARN
(<.0001) (<.0001) (<.0001)
[Delta] SALES .09502 .16752 .40770
(<.0001) (<.0001) (<.0001)
[Delta] DEP -.03636 -.02395 .49295
(<.0001) -.00090 (<.0001)
[Delta] TAX .14494 .33416 .26838 .12427
(<.0001) (<.0001) (<.0001) (<.0001)
[Delta] OTHERS .06026 -.00797 .98450 .50426
(<.0001) -.26740 (<.0001) (<.0001)
CAR EARN SALES DEP
[Delta] OTHERD .18920 .96968 .28391 .22107
(<.0001) (<.0001) (<.0001) (<.0001)
[Delta] PTI .21656 .94725 .23078 .02029
(<.0001) (<.0001) (<.0001) -.00480
TAX OTHERS OTHERD PTI
CAR .17926 .08021 .22635 .24093
(<.0001) (<.0001) (<.0001) (<.0001)
.33329 -.05621 .97688 .96938
[Delta] EARN
(<.0001) (<.0001) (<.0001) (<.0001)
[Delta] SALES .26716 .97700 .24508 .20918
(<.0001) (<.0001) (<.0001) (<.0001)
[Delta] DEP .08799 .43260 .12069 -.06157
(<.0001) (<.0001) (<.0001) (<.0001)
[Delta] TAX .19816 .35123 .53661
(<.0001) (<.0001) (<.0001)
[Delta] OTHERS .21277 .03685 .00216
(<.0001) (<.0001) -.67280
TAX OTHERS OTHERD PTI
[Delta] OTHERD .35636 .11548 .95338
(<.0001) (<.0001) (<.0001)
[Delta] PTI .58385 .06558 .92904
(<.0001) (<.0001) (<.0001)
Pearson correlation coefficients of variables for the
countries with low book-tax conformity (high book-tax
conformity) in the upper (lower) triangle; Two-tailed
p-values in parentheses.
Table 4. Univariate statistics of variables between countries
with low book-tax conformity and countries with high
book-tax conformity
Countries with Low B-T
Conformity
Number Mean Std.
of obs. dev.
Changes in Net 38,200 0.0220 0.2187
Earnings ([Delta] EARN)
Changes in Sales 38,200 0.2192 1.0239
([Delta] SALES)
Changes in 38,200 0.0083 0.0471
Depreciation([Delta] DEP)
Changes in Tax 38,200 0.0083 0.0589
Expense ([Delta] TAX)
Changes in Other Expense except Sales
([Delta] OTHERS) 38,200 0.1971 1.0127
Changes in Other Expense except
Depreciation 38,200 0.0303 0.2193
([Delta] OTHERD)
Changes in Pre-tax 38,200 0.0306 0.2481
Income ([Delta] PTI)
Compounded 38,200 0.0646 0.6240
Market Adjusted
Returns (CAR)
Compounded 37,187 -0.0090 0.4858
Market Adjusted
Returns II (CAR II)
Countries with High B-T
Conformity
Number Mean Std.dev.
of obs.
Changes in Net 19,354 0.0189 0.2084
Earnings ([Delta] EARN)
Changes in Sales 19,354 0.1306 1.1881
([Delta] SALES)
Changes in 19,354 0.0036 0.0522
Depreciation([Delta] DEP)
Changes in Tax 19,354 0.0078 0.0695
Expense ([Delta] TAX)
Changes in Other Expense except Sales
([Delta] OTHERS) 19,354 0.1118 1.1713
Changes in Other Expense except
Depreciation 19,354 0.0224 0.2136
([Delta] OTHERD)
Changes in Pre-tax 19,354 0.0272 0.2400
Income ([Delta] PTI)
Compounded 19,354 0.1386 0.5300
Market Adjusted
Returns (CAR)
Compounded 18,542 -0.0080 0.3998
Market Adjusted
Returns II (CAR II)
Mean t-stat p-value
Differ-
ences
Changes in Net 0.0031 1.67 0.0954
Earnings ([Delta] EARN)
Changes in Sales 0.0886 9.28 <0.0001
([Delta] SALES)
Changes in 0.0047 11.00 <0.0001
Depreciation([Delta] DEP)
Changes in Tax 0.0005 0.79 0.4311
Expense ([Delta] TAX)
Changes in Other Expense except Sales
([Delta] OTHERS) 0.0854 9.06 <0.0001
Changes in Other Expense except
Depreciation 0.0079 4.12 <0.0001
([Delta] OTHERD)
Changes in Pre-tax 0.0035 1.60 0.1096
Income ([Delta] PTI)
Compounded -0.0740 -14.13 <0.0001
Market Adjusted
Returns (CAR)
Compounded -0.0010 -0.29 0.7691
Market Adjusted
Returns II (CAR II)
Variables in the above table are defines as follows;
[Delta] EARN : Change in Net Earnings (Data #32 in
Global Industrial/Commercial files)
[Delta] SALES : Change in Sales (Data #1 in Global
Industrial/Commercial files)
[Delta] DEP : Change in Depreciation (Data #12
in Global Industrial/Commercial files)
[Delta] TAX : Change in Tax Expenses (Data #23
in Global Industrial/Commercial files)
[Delta] OTHERS : Change in Other Earnings
Components except Sales
[Delta] OTHERD : Change in Other Earnings
Components except Depreciation
[Delta] PTI : Change in Pre-Tax Income ((Data #23
in Global Industrial/Commercial files)
CAR : Compounded market adjusted stock return
for 15 months
CAR II : Compounded market adjusted stock returns II,
calculated based on average of monthly returns of
sample firms in each country and used only for
the sensitivity tests.
Table 5: (Panel A) Value relevance of earnings in countries with
low book-tax conformity and countries with high book-tax conformity
Dependent Variable = 15 months compound market-adjusted
return (CAR)
Low B-T Conformity Countries
Predicted Model (1) Model (2)
sign
Intercept 0.05064 0.03646
?
(<0.0001) (<0.0001)
Changes in Net 0.63204 0.48823
Earnings (EARN) (+)
(<0.0001) (<0.0001)
Net Earnings (EARN) 0.40697
(+)
(<0.0001)
Adjusted-R2 0.0491 0.0664
Fixed Effects None None
No. of Observations 38,200 38,200
High B-T Conformity Countries
Model (1) Model (2)
Intercept 0.12887 0.12216
(<0.0001) (<0.0001)
Changes in Net 0.51656 0.35672
Earnings (EARN)
(<0.0001) (<0.0001)
Net Earnings (EARN) 0.44753
(<0.0001)
Adjusted-R2 0.0412 0.0624
Fixed Effects None None
No. of Observations 19,354 19,354
Table 5: (Panel B) The effect of book-tax conformity on
the value relevance of earnings
Dependent Variable = 15 months
compound market-adjusted return (CAR)
Predicted Model (3)
sign
Coeff. t-stat
Intercept ? 0.05064 16.98
Changes in Net (+) 0.63204 46.58
Earnings ([Delta] EARN)
Net Earnings (EARN) (+)
B-T Conformity Index ? 0.07823 15.22
B-T Conformity x [Delta] EARN (-) - 0.11548 -4.78
B-T Conformity x [Delta] EARN (-)
Adjusted-[R.sup.2] 0.0502
Fixed Effects None
Number of Observations 57,554
Predicted Model (4)
sign
p-value Coeff.
Intercept ? <0.0001 0.03646
Changes in Net (+) <0.0001 0.48823
Earnings ([Delta] EARN)
Net Earnings (EARN) (+) 0.40697
B-T Conformity Index ? <0.0001 0.0857
B-T Conformity x [Delta] EARN (-) <0.0001 -0.13150
B-T Conformity x [Delta] EARN (-) 0.04057
Adjusted-[R.sup.2]
Fixed Effects
Number of Observations
Predicted Model (4)
sign
t-stat p-value
Intercept ? 12.17 <0.0001
Changes in Net (+) 33.94 <0.0001
Earnings ([Delta] EARN)
Net Earnings (EARN) (+) 27.99 <0.0001
B-T Conformity Index ? 16.17 <0.0001
B-T Conformity x [Delta] EARN (-) -5.07 <0.0001
B-T Conformity x [Delta] EARN (-) 1.45 0.1473
Adjusted-[R.sup.2] 0.0685
Fixed Effects None
Number of Observations 57,554
Table 6. (Panel A) Value relevance of earnings components in
countries with low book-tax conformity and countries with
high book-tax conformity
Dependent Variable = 15 months compound
market-adjusted return (CAR)
Predicted Low B-T Conformity Countries
sign
Model (6) Model (7)
Changes in (-) -0.58967
Other
Components (<0.0001)
([Delta] OTHERS)
Changes in (+) 0.6446
Other
Components (<0.0001)
([Delta] OTHERD)
Changes in Pre- (+)
Tax Income
([Delta] PTI)
Changes in (-)
Other
Components
([Delta] OTHER)
Adjusted-[R.sup.2] 0.0576 0.0512
Fixed Effects None None
Number of 38,200 38,200
Observations
Predicted Low B-T Conformity Countries
sign
Model (8) Model (9)
Changes in (-)
Other
Components
([Delta] OTHERS)
Changes in (+)
Other
Components
([Delta] OTHERD)
Changes in Pre- (+) 0.51123
Tax Income
([Delta] PTI) (<0.0001)
Changes in (-) -0.50576
Other
Components (<0.0001)
([Delta] OTHER)
Adjusted-[R.sup.2] 0.0615 0.0662
Fixed Effects None None
Number of 38,200 38,200
Observations
Predicted High B-T Conformity Countries
sign
Model (6) Model (7)
Changes in (-) -0.48981
Other
Components (<0.0001)
([Delta] OTHERS)
Changes in (+) 0.5146
Other
Components (<0.0001)
([Delta] OTHERD)
Changes in Pre- (+)
Tax Income
([Delta] PTI)
Changes in (-)
Other
Components
([Delta] OTHER)
Adjusted-[R.sup.2] 0.0450 0.0421
Fixed Effects None None
Number of 19,354 19,354
Observations
Predicted High B-T Conformity Countries
sign
Model (8) Model (9)
Changes in (-)
Other
Components
([Delta] OTHERS)
Changes in (+)
Other
Components
([Delta] OTHERD)
Changes in Pre- (+) 0.44202
Tax Income
([Delta] PTI) (<0.0001)
Changes in (-) -0.4065
Other
Components (<0.0001)
([Delta] OTHER)
Adjusted-[R.sup.2] 0.0473 0.0553
Fixed Effects None None
Number of 19,354 19,354
Observations
Table 6. (Panel B) The effect of book-tax conformity on the value
relevance of earnings components
Dependent Variable = 15 months compound
market-adjusted return (CAR)
Model (10)
Predicted Coeff. t-stat p-value
sign
Intercept ? 0.03902 12.88 <0.0001
[Delta] SALES (+) 0.64695 47.79 <0.0001
[Delta] DEP (-)
[Delta] TAX (+)
[Delta] OTHERS (-) -0.58967 -43.08 <0.0001
[Delta] OTHERD (+)
[Delta] PTI (+)
BTCONF ? 0.0867 17 <0.0001
BTCONF x (-) -0.12914 -5.36 <0.0001
[Delta] SALES
BTCONF x (-)
[Delta] DEP
BTCONF x (-)
[Delta] TAX
BTCONF x (+) 0.09986 4.09 <0.0001
[Delta] OTHERS
BTCONF x (-)
[Delta] OTHERD
BTCONF x (-)
[Delta] PTI
Adjusted-R2 0.0575
Fixed Effects None
Number of 57,554
Observations
Model (11)
Coeff. t-stat p-value
Predicted
sign
0.04522 14.92 <0.0001
Intercept ?
[Delta] SALES (+) -0.02597 -0.41 0.6821
[Delta] DEP (-)
[Delta] TAX (+)
[Delta] OTHERS (-) 0.6446 47.34 <0.0001
[Delta] OTHERD (+)
[Delta] PTI (+) 0.08482 16 <0.0001
BTCONF ?
BTCONF x (-)
[Delta] SALES -0.80863 -7.81 <0.0001
BTCONF x (-)
[Delta] DEP
BTCONF x (-)
[Delta] TAX
BTCONF x (+)
[Delta] OTHERS -0.12997 -5.37 <0.0001
BTCONF x (-)
[Delta] OTHERD
BTCONF x (-)
[Delta] PTI 0.0520
Adjusted-R2 None
Fixed Effects 57,554
Number of
Observations
Model (12)
Coeff. t-stat p-value
Predicted
sign
0.04275 14.33 <0.0001
Intercept ?
[Delta] SALES (+)
[Delta] DEP (-) 0.74396 12.52 <0.0001
[Delta] TAX (+)
[Delta] OTHERS (-)
[Delta] OTHERD (+) 0.51123 36.27 <0.0001
[Delta] PTI (+) 0.08217 16.00 <0.0001
BTCONF ?
BTCONF x (-)
[Delta] SALES
BTCONF x (-)
[Delta] DEP -0.06921 -2.71 0.0067
BTCONF x (-)
[Delta] TAX
BTCONF x (+)
[Delta] OTHERS
BTCONF x (-)
[Delta] OTHERD -0.52972 -5.60 <0.0001
BTCONF x (-)
[Delta] PTI 0.0609
Adjusted-R2 None
Fixed Effects 57,554
Number of
Observations
The numbers in parenthesis represent p-value of coefficient.
Table 7: (Panel A) Value relevance of earnings components for
the firms with high ETRs in countries with low book-tax
conformity and countries with high book-tax conformity
Dependent Variable = 15 months compound
market-adjusted return (CAR)
Predicted Low B-T Conformity Countries
sign
Model (1) Model (9) Tax Expense
Intercept 0.02724 0.00964 0.01683
?
-0.0045 -0.3285 -0.0846
[Delta] EARN (+) 0.77378
(<.0001)
[Delta] SALES (+) 0.64912
(<.0001)
[Delta] DEP (-) -0.72188
0
[Delta] TAX (+) 0.29927 1.57988
-0.0878 (<.0001)
[Delta] OTHER (-) -1
(<.0001)
Adjusted.- 0.05 0.0689 0.0368
[R.sup.2]
No. of 3,656 3,656 3,656
Observations.
Dependent Variable = 15 months compound
market-adjusted return (CAR)
Predicted High B-T Conformity Countries
sign
Model (1) Model (9) Tax Expense
Intercept 0.12621 0.11255 0.11551
?
(<.0001) (<.0001) (<.0001)
[Delta] EARN (+) 0.51582
(<.0001)
[Delta] SALES (+) 0.1794
(<.0001)
[Delta] DEP (-) -1.06819
(<.0001)
[Delta] TAX (+) 1.06976 1.43237
(<.0001) (<.0001)
[Delta] OTHER (-) -0.14796
-0.0016
Adjusted.- 0.0207 0.0512 0.0438
[R.sup.2]
No. of 7,852 7,852 7,852
Observations.
Table 7: (Panel B) The effect of book-tax conformity
components for high ETR firms
Dependent Variable = 15 months compound
market-adjusted return (CAR)
Model (3)
Predicted Coeff. t-stat p-value
sign
Intercept ? 0.02724 3.26 0.0011
EARN (+) 0.77378 15.96 <.0001
TAX (+)
PTI (+)
BTCONF ? 0.09898 9.75 <.0001
BTCONF x [Delta] EARN (-) -0.25796 -3.97 <.0001
BTCONF x [Delta] TAX (+)
BTCONF x [Delta] PTI (-)
Adjusted-R2 0.0414
Fixed Effects None
Number of Observations 11,508
Dependent Variable = 15 months compound
market-adjusted return (CAR)
Model (12)
Predicted Coeff. t-stat p-value
sign
Intercept ? 0.01673 2.00 0.0453
EARN (+)
TAX (+) 0.45154 3.03 0.0024
PTI (+) 0.60097 11.8 <.0001
BTCONF ? 0.09751 9.59 <.0001
BTCONF x [Delta] EARN (-)
BTCONF x [Delta] TAX (+) 0.59172 2.94 0.0032
BTCONF x [Delta] PTI (-) -0.40986 -5.59 <.0001
Adjusted-R2 0.0617
Fixed Effects None
Number of Observations 11,508
Table 8: (Panel A) Mean of coefficients from yearly regressions
Regression Low B-T High B-T
Coefficient Conformity Conformity
Countries Countries
Mean Mean
[Delta] Earnings 0.6318 0.4088
[Delta] Sales 0.0948 0.0332
[Delta] Depreciation 0.5550 -0.1800
[Delta] Tax 1.9656 1.1815
(Panel B) Mean of explanatory powers of yearly regressions
Mean of [R.sup.2] Low B-T High B-T
of Conformity Conformity
Model for Countries Countries
Mean Mean
[Delta] Earnings 0.0541 0.0333
[Delta] Sales 0.0271 0
[Delta] Depreciation 0.0061 0.0052
[Delta] Tax 0.0423 0.0322
Regression
Coefficient
Differences t-value
[Delta] Earnings 0.223 3.18
(0.0058)
[Delta] Sales 0.0615 4
(0.0012)
[Delta] Depreciation 0.7348 2.47
(0.0252)
[Delta] Tax 0.7841 3.49
(0.0031)
(Panel B) Mean of explanatory powers of yearly regressions
Mean of [R.sup.2]
of
Model for
Differences t-value
[Delta] Earnings 0.0208 1.93
(0.0710)
[Delta] Sales 0 3
(0.0139)
[Delta] Depreciation 0 0
(0.8423)
[Delta] Tax 0.0101 0.85
(0.4090)
Table 9: Explanatory powers of earnings components models
Intercept [Delta] [Delta] [Delta]
Net Sales Depreciation
Earnings
For Countries with High Book-Tax Conformity
Model for 0.12887 0.51656
[Delta]Earnings (<0.001) (<0.001)
Model for 0.12571 0.51781
[Delta]Sales (<0.001) (<0.001)
Model for 0.13004 -0.83460
[Delta]Depreciation (<0.001) (<0.001)
Model for 0.12492
[Delta]Tax (<0.001)
Expense
For Countries with Low Book-Tax Conformity
Model for 0.05064 0.63204
[Delta]Earnings (<0.001) (<0.001)
Model for 0.03902 0.64695
[Delta]Sales (<0.001) (<0.001)
Model for 0.04522 -0.02597
[Delta]Depreciation (<0.001) (0.6962)
Model for 0.04275
[Delta]Tax (<0.001)
Expense
[Delta] [Delta] Adjusted Differences
Tax Other [R.sup.2] (a) in
Components [R.sup.2]
For Countries with High Book-Tax Conformity
Model for 0.0412
[Delta]Earnings
Model for -0.48981 0.0450 0.0038
[Delta]Sales (<0.001)
Model for 0.51464 0.0421 0.0009
[Delta]Depreciation (<0.001)
Model for 0.21425 0.44202 0.0473 0.0061
[Delta]Tax (0.0012) (<0.001)
Expense
For Countries with Low Book-Tax Conformity
Model for 0.0491
[Delta]Earnings
Model for -0.58967 0.0576 0.0085
[Delta]Sales (<0.001)
Model for 0.64460 0.0512 0.0021
[Delta]Depreciation (<0.001)
Model for 0.74396 0.51123 0.0615 0.0124
[Delta]Tax (<0.001) (<0.001)
Expense
Vuong's Sample
Z-Value size
For Countries with High Book-Tax Conformity
Model for 19,354
[Delta]Earnings
Model for 3.26 19,354
[Delta]Sales (0.0011)
Model for 1.92 19,354
[Delta]Depreciation (0.0550)
Model for 3.44 19,354
[Delta]Tax (0.0006)
Expense
For Countries with Low Book-Tax Conformity
Model for 38,200
[Delta]Earnings
Model for 7.41 38,200
[Delta]Sales (<0.001)
Model for 3.45 38,200
[Delta]Depreciation (0.0006)
Model for 7.83 38,200
[Delta]Tax (<0.001)
Expense
The numbers in parentheses represent p-values.
(a) Differences between R2of the models for each earnings
component and R2of models for earnings