International banking and large community banks: a preliminary look.
Jesswein, Kurt R.
INTRODUCTION
Banking has had a rich and illustrious history. Much of its
development can be directly related to the banks' ability to
provide trade financing, credit, and foreign exchange services,
activities specifically designed to overcome many of the impediments to
conducting trade and investment transactions that cross political and
economic borders.
This paper provides an introductory look at the trends and current
state of the U.S. banking industry, specifically those institutions
often referred to as large community banks, with regards to providing
banking products that service international business and commerce.
Despite the reputed benefits to a bank's bottom line (directly from
generating fee and interest income, and indirectly from more fully
developing customer relationships), the trend has been decidedly
negative, as more and more institutions appear to be abandoning
international financing during a time period of increasing globalization in business.
BRIEF HISTORY OF INTERNATIONAL BANKING
From Mesopotamia in the third millennium B.C., to Babylon, Greece,
Rome, and even to the money changers described in the Bible, elements of
banking enterprise have long been a part of human development.
"Modern" banking can probably be most directly traced to the
twelfth and thirteenth centuries with the rise of great Italian merchant
families such as the Medici who began providing banking services
essential to the development of international commerce.
Most notable to the advancement of modern banking was the
introduction of bills of exchange, financial instruments that provided a
means of exchanging currency across Europe. They also provided an
important means of providing short-term credit (given the inevitable
delays in transporting documents and currency), with interest indirectly
charged through the rate of exchange and thus avoiding the prohibitions
against usury (Green, 1989).
The next great advances came with the rise of the first truly
international merchant banking houses, most notably the Baring Brothers
and the Rothschild family, through whom banking, and in particular
international banking, first began to reach the Americas. For example,
Barings provided the financing for the United States government's
purchase of Louisiana from the French and the Rothschilds are reputed to
have been involved in financing both sides of the American Civil War.
Later, banking houses began to arise within the United States itself,
led by names such as Morgan, Oppenheim, and Drexel, alongside the
continued development of international banks in Europe and Asia. (Green,
1989)
Although two World Wars and a global depression tempered some of
the periodic booms in international banking and finance through the
first half of the twentieth century, the Bretton Woods and GATT (General
Agreement on Tariffs and Trade) accords after the Second World War
provided stability in international monetary relationships and
liberalization of trade and capital movements. International banking
thrived as the global economy exploded under this new found
liberalization.
Concurrently, the introduction and development of the Eurodollar
market provided banks the means to overcome local and international
restrictions on their international operations, and led to an explosion
in institutions providing international banking services. The breakdown
of Bretton Woods in the early 1970s, which provided the impetus to
floating exchange rates, coupled with the recycling of petrodollars through the Euromarkets beginning with the first OPEC (Organization of
Petroleum Exporting Countries) oil embargoes of the mid 1970s, provided
institutions with the instability of markets and the ready supply of
funds to introduce a wide range of international banking products and
services.
It is also in this time frame that we find some of the earliest
calls for expanding the banking activities by U.S. institutions into the
international realm. It was argued that even smaller, regional banks
should move into the international arena as a means of retaining their
competitive stance, expanding their reach, and ultimately improving
their profits (Hardy, 1972; Thoman, 1975). Yet, as one examines the
extent of involvement in providing various international services, one
finds a surprising lack of such involvement, other than by the largest
of the money center banks. And despite the anecdotal references to the
expected profitability of offering international services (e.g.,
providing credit, trade financing, or foreign currency services), it
appears that the number of banks offering such services has actually
dwindled over time.
In addition, despite the readiness of a select group of smaller
banks to follow the suggestions of developing international services,
there has been a dearth of studies examining the success or failure of
institutions offering international banking services. A key exception
has been the work by Haslem, et al, who, in a series of papers (1986,
1992, 1995), looked at the relationship of various international banking
strategies and bank profitability; however, these papers only focused on
larger, money center banks.
On the other hand, one area that has been examined, even for
smaller banks, is the use of financial derivatives. Given the high
growth of the derivatives markets in the late 1980s and into the 1990s
and beyond, there has been much work done in examining bank usage of
derivative products, both from a trading and from a risk management
perspective. Brewer, et al (1996), Carter and Sinkey (1998), and Sinkey
and Carter (2000) have all looked at how derivatives use was related to
overall bank performance or how it impacted bank hedging decisions.
The focus of this paper is to examine the scope of international
banking activities provided by banks, particularly larger community
banks within the United States, and to begin to look at the apparent
aversion to providing such services over recent years. We look at both
the depth and breadth of international banking among U.S. banks, looking
for factors that determine whether or not a bank provides such services,
and to what extent.
DATA SOURCES AND SAMPLE SELECTION
In developing this study, we begin by defining what constitutes
international activities within the scope of banking operations.
Probably the broadest yet most practical definition is one that includes
those banks that provide some sort of international activity that can be
documented through the data provided in their Call Reports delivered to
the Federal Deposit Insurance Corporation (FDIC). All balance sheet,
income statement, and international activity data used in this study are
collected from these Call Reports, and these datasets are available for
download from the Federal Reserve Bank of Chicago (www.chicagofed.org).
A distinguishing feature of this paper is the use of quarterly rather
than annual data due to the short-term nature of most international
financing transactions, particularly letter of credit and foreign
currency transactions.
The specific sample of banks examined in this paper is often
identified in the literature as large community banks. These are
typically defined as institutions having total assets between $100
million and $1 billion (Carter & Sinkey, 1998; Gilbert & Sierra,
2003; DeYoung, Hunter & Udell, 2004). However, to capture a small
subset of institutions not often examined, we also include banks that
are referred to as mid-sized banks (Ennis, 2004) and thus also have
banks with total assets up to $10 billion. Smaller banks, those below
$100 million in total assets, are excluded from the study due to the
assumption that they are typically too small or too localized to have
significant demands placed on them to provide international services, or
that they would not have sufficient resources to devote to such
endeavors. The largest banks (above $10 billion in total assets) are
excluded because they are often involved with other aspects of
international banking (e.g., derivatives) that may be more closely
related to their trading or hedging functions and not necessarily for
the purpose of meeting customer demands.
Reviewing the call report data over the past four years
(2002--2005), we find that approximately one percent of banks in the
database had asset sizes greater than $10 billion and approximately
forty-nine percent had asset sizes less than $100 million. This results
in us having around fifty percent of all banks providing call reports
being defined as large community banks.
To allow for the comparability of results across time and eliminate
problems associated with the steadily growing size of banks affecting
the definition of large community bank, we have arbitrarily chosen to
exclude the upper one percent and the lower forty-nine percent of banks
for each period studied. For example, during the third quarter of 2005,
there were a total of 7,985 banks available for the study, but 3,913
banks (49 percent) were eliminated from the bottom and 80 banks (1
percent) were eliminated from the top, leaving a sample size of 3,993
banks. During the first quarter of 1990, the first period included in
the analysis, 13,024 banks were available for the study, but 6,382 banks
(49 percent) were eliminated from the bottom and 130 banks (1 percent)
were eliminated from the top, leaving a sample size of 6,512 banks.
In addition, we also specifically examined one subset of banks,
namely those that provided letters of credit. Other individual subsets
were excluded because the number of banks uniquely providing other types
of international activities (direct lending or foreign exchange) is
relatively small in comparison. For example, during the third quarter of
2005, of the 7,985 banks in the overall sample, 1,263 (15.8 percent)
provided some sort of international activity. And of those 1,263 banks,
over 84 percent (1,064) only provided letters of credit, while less than
5 percent (60) only provided loans, and around 1 percent (15) only
provided foreign exchange. Comparable figures exist for the sample of
large community banks as almost 82 percent (597) of the total of 731
banks providing international services only provided letters of credit.
In fact, earlier periods show an even greater domination of letters of
credit, with nearly 90 percent of all banks (and 88 percent of community
banks) providing letters of credit as their only form of international
exposure during the initial period of this study, namely the first
quarter of 1990.
METHODOLOGY AND VARIABLE SPECIFICATION
A variety of analyses are performed. We focused on three items:
letters of credit, direct foreign lending, and foreign exchange. Letters
of credit (LTRCRDTS) are measured as the nominal value of all commercial
letters of credit outstanding, as standardized by the bank's total
assets. Letters of credit are arguably the simplest way and certainly
the most common way in which banks provide international banking
services. Two other variables (INTLOANS and FOREX) measure the nominal
value of the bank's international commercial loans and outstanding
foreign currency positions, respectively. A generic international
banking exposure variable (TOTINTLX) is also derived as the sum of the
outstanding balances of the three different types of international
services. Furthermore, to measure whether or not a particular bank
provided any type of international services, a dummy variable was
created to denote whether or not a particular bank offered any specific
international services.
Other operational and financial variables used in the analysis
include the following. To capture the impact of firm size, we use the
natural log (LNTOTAST) of a bank's total assets. Size is examined
due to the tendency for larger banks, even within our sample group, to
be more likely involved with providing international services than
smaller institutions.
To capture the impact of capital considerations, we include equity
capital as a percentage of total assets (EQRAT). Risk-based capital
figures may be more appropriate, but such data has only been available
since 1996. Thus, for any analyses covering periods since 1996, we also
examine the bank's risk-adjusted capital rate (RISKWGT). Equity (or
risk-based) capital is included to control for a bank's ability to
engage in international activities, much of it off balance sheet, as
allowed by regulatory agencies. Institutions with greater amounts of
capital would be expected to be more likely to engage in typically
riskier international activities.
To measure the profitability of a bank's core operations we
used net interest margin (NIMEARN) as measured by net interest income
(e.g., total interest income minus total interest expense, divided by
total earning assets. Net interest margin is included to control for the
relative profitability of the firm's traditional bank activities.
Lower profitability is expected to be positively related to the
provision of international services as less-profitable institutions may
look towards such services as means of generating additional profits.
We also examine various accounting performance figures. Although
likely strongly related to the net interest margin, these standard
accounting ratios, such as return on assets or ROA, measured by net
income divided by total assets, and return on equity or ROE, as measured
as net income divided by total equity, were included to capture the
profitability of the entire bank's activities, including its
non-interest sources of revenue and operating expenses.
To examine short-term investing risks, we include rate sensitive
assets (RSA), defined as investment assets (mainly securities and loans)
set to mature within one year or that carry variable interest rates. We
also examine short-term financing risks by including rate sensitive
liabilities (RSL), defined as financing or deposit liabilities set to
mature within one year or that carry variable interest rates. We also
include the relationship between a bank's rate sensitive assets and
rate sensitive liabilities, commonly referred to as its interest rate
gap (GAP), which is measured as the nominal difference between RSA and
RSL. All three variables (RSA, RSL, and GAP) were standardized by a
bank's total assets. Because long foreign currency and letter of
credit positions potentially impact the overall rate-sensitivity of an
institution by creating more rate-sensitive assets, we include these
variables to examine the impact of an institution's existing
interest rate exposure on its involvement in international activities.
Besides looking at the overall sensitivity of a bank's source
of funds captured by rate sensitive liabilities, we also examine its
deposit structure by looking at its reliance on interest-bearing deposit
liabilities (INTDEP) and non-interest bearing deposit liabilities
(NOINTDEP). We also look at the relative use of interest-bearing
deposits over non-interest bearing deposits (INTDEPCT). Reliance on
relatively more-expensive and perhaps less stable interest-bearing
deposits could preclude a bank from engaging in international activities
that may further tighten its overall liquidity or harm its
profitability.
Lastly, because the vast majority of international activities are
credit-based, we examined the bank's existing lending position. We
include loans as a percentage of total assets (LOANS) to examine the
impact of a bank's relative focus on lending. Banks more focused on
the lending function domestically would be assumed to be more likely to
engage in international credit activities. However, those banks with
potential credit problems, measured by allowance for loan losses as a
percentage of total loans (ALLPCT), would be less likely to engage in
international credit activities that, because of their greater risks,
could compound the bank's credit problems.
Parametric and nonparametric tests were conducted to look for
significant differences between those banks providing international
banking services and those that do not. In addition, logistic regressions are used to simultaneously examine those factors most
related to banks providing international services. The model is adapted
from one used by Carter and Sinkey (1998) in their examination of
derivative use by banks. The logit models examine the differences
between those banks providing international services and those that did
not as represented by a dummy variable. Variables examined included bank
size (LNTOTAST), capital (EQRAT), the profitability of operations
(NIMEARN), rate-sensitivity of assets (RSA) and of liabilities (RSL),
reliance on interest-bearing deposits (INTDEPCT), credit-focus of bank
(LOANS), and extent of credit portfolio weakness (ALLPCT). Minor
variations of the model included replacing the EQRAT variable with the
more appropriate risk-based (RISKWGT) capital measure for time periods
since 1996, replacing the narrow NIMEARN measure with the broader ROA or
ROE variables, replacing RSA and RSL with GAP (the difference between
RSA and RSL), and examining the use of interest-bearing deposits
(INTDEP) or non-interest-bearing deposits (NOINTDEP) individually rather
than simultaneously.
EMPIRICAL RESULTS
No matter how one chooses to examine the data, the U.S. banking
community has steadily become less involved in international banking
activities over time. In 1990, 27 percent of all banks and 33 percent of
the community banks provided some type of international banking
services, mainly letters of credit. By 2005, however, this number has
dropped to 16 and 18 percent, respectively. Measuring the level of
international activity as the amount of letters of credit outstanding as
a percentage of total bank assets, we find similar results as this value
has fallen by two-thirds, from letters of credit equaling 1.2% of all
bank assets in 1990, and only 0.4% in 2005. A summary of this trend can
be seen graphically in the graph showing Letters of Credit as Percentage
of Total Assets presented earlier. Thus, both the number of banks
involved with providing international services and the extent of that
involvement has been dropping.
We next look for any discernable differences in operating or
financial characteristics of those institutions providing international
services and those that do not. To get a sense of the direction and
current status of international banking within the sample of community
banks, the data here are presented at three distinct points in time: the
third quarter of 2005 (the most recent data available), and the third
quarters of 1998 and 1991, respectively. These points were chosen to
give a broad picture of the data across time (note that these results
are indicative of other nearby periods of time). Similar points in time
within each year (third quarter) were chosen to avoid problems
associated with the apparent seasonality of the data. Although some
rigor is lost by not performing more stringent time series analysis on
the relationships, we instead choose to concentrate on a snapshot
approach with which one can make generalizations.
As neither the assumption of homogeneity of variances nor the
normality of the data is consistent across the variables used in this
study (as discerned by Brown & Forsythe and Kolmogorov-Smirnov tests
on both the general sample and the sample of community banks), both
parametric (paired sample t-tests) and nonparametric (Wilcoxon)
procedures were run. The tables below summarize the mean values of each
variable comparing providers and non-providers of international services
at the designated three points in time. Satterthwaite t-values and
Wilcoxon Z-scores are provided to show any significant differences
between the two groups.
A review of the tables shows both a significant similarity of
results across time and in some cases, noteworthy differences. First,
even within the subset of banks examined (large community banks), size
certainly matters as larger institutions are much more likely to be
involved with providing international banking services. Bank
profitability, as measured by return on assets, also appears to be a
factor as banks lacking in profits may be drawn to the potential
revenues and profits from international banking. However, when we
examine profitability as measured by net interest margin, we find a
distinct difference between the results from 2005 and 1998 with those
from 1991. When looking at the data from 1991, we arrive at the opposite
conclusion; that is, it appears that net interest margin and
international banking were positively related. This difference may
reflect the significant change in banking fortunes as the early 1990s
was a far less profitable time period for banks as compared with more
recent periods.
When we look at the risk characteristics of bank operations, we
find that the use of interest-bearing deposits as a source of funds
appears to be a significant impediment for engaging in international
banking activities. Banks relying on less costly, and perhaps more
stable, non-interest bearing deposits tend to be more often drawn to
international banking. Similarly, the extent of capitalization (whether
defined as equity or in risk-based terms) appears to not be the factor
assumed as more heavily capitalized institutions are less likely to
engage in international banking activities. Thus, relying on more secure
deposits may preclude the need for capital for engaging in international
banking activities. This may result from the preferential treatment
accorded letters of credit (as opposed to more traditional forms of
credit) in that capital is only required to match 20 percent of their
value vis-a-vis 100 percent for other credits.
Lastly, rather than looking at the alternative variables
individually, we instead examine them simultaneously using logistic
regressions. The aim is to determine those factors most likely to allow
us to differentiate between those institutions involved in international
banking from those that are not involved. As the results are relatively
consistent across time, we focus on the logit model from the most recent
(third quarter of 2005) period, the results of which are summarized in
Table 5.
The results indicate that besides bank size, banks more heavily
invested in short-term and other rate-sensitive assets were surprisingly
more likely to add to this amount by engaging in international banking
activities. Banks with lower levels of outstanding loans were also much
more likely to engage in international activities. In addition, and
confirming the earlier discussion, banks with more stable non-interest
bearing deposit liabilities and those with lesser amounts of risk-based
capital were also apparently drawn to international banking.
CONCLUSIONS AND DISCUSSION OF FUTURE RESEARCH
Whether or not a bank engages in international banking is a complex
issue. Although there are potential gains to the bottom-line from
generating additional revenues and from further developing customer
relationships, there may be serious impediments, both apparent and
imagined, to providing international services. Large community banks in
the U.S. have been moving away from the international arena and the
reasons why are varied and complex.
We have presented an initial glimpse into some of the complexities
associated with this topic. The dominant (and relatively obvious)
association of bank size and international banking activities indicates
a need to more closely examine other potential factors besides the size
of the institution. Furthermore, more complex time series analysis of
the changing nature of the industry may shed light on how some of the
apparent relationships have changed or are changing with an attempt then
to perhaps forecast the future direction of the industry. In addition,
more thorough analyses of the various relationships among the variables
will be able to add depth to our understanding of the topic.
Given that international competitiveness in the commercial and
industrial sectors are of such vital importance to the long-term
strength of the U.S. economy, and that the importance of the financing
of those commercial activities can not be overstated, a better
understanding of the issues facing commercial banks can have wide
ranging implications.
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Kurt R. Jesswein, Sam Houston State University
Table 1 Sample breakdown
Period 2005 2004 2003 2002 2002-05
Average number
of banks 7998 8140 8303 8446 8224
Number with assets 3653 3877 4126 4446 4032
< $100 million (45.7%) (47.6%) (49.7%) (52.6%) (49.0%)
Number with assets 89 91 90 86 89
> $10 billion (1.1%) (1.1%) (1.1%) (1.0%) (1.1%)
Source: FDIC Call Reports
Table 2 Differences in Means between Providers and Non-providers
(Third Quarter: 2005)
Providers Non- t-value
providers
LNTOTAST 13.1250 12.5650 11.87
ROA 0.0116 0.0122 -1.91
ROE 0.1223 0.1237 -0.48
NIMEARN 0.0298 0.0309 -3.73
EQRAT 0.0998 0.1027 -1.90
RISKWGT 0.1450 0.1561 -3.37
RSA 0.2648 0.2646 0.02
RSL 0.3932 0.4035 -1.92
GAP -0.1280 -0.1390 1.25
INTDEP 0.6561 0.6768 -4.41
NOINTDEP 0.1370 0.1315 1.62
INTDEPCT 0.8267 0.8372 -2.42
LOANS 0.6605 0.6746 -2.25
ALLPCT 0.0125 0.0131 -1.79
Pr > [absolute Z-score Pr > [absolute
value of t] value of Z]
LNTOTAST <.0001 10.55 <.0001
ROA 0.0562 -0.50 0.6150
ROE 0.6334 0.44 0.6624
NIMEARN 0.0002 -2.48 0.0129
EQRAT 0.0576 -1.49 0.1370
RISKWGT 0.0008 -3.24 0.0012
RSA 0.9864 -0.39 0.6958
RSL 0.0550 -1.92 0.0550
GAP 0.2105 0.66 0.5088
INTDEP <.0001 -4.80 <.0001
NOINTDEP 0.1048 1.16 0.2462
INTDEPCT 0.0158 -2.27 0.0228
LOANS 0.0248 -2.58 0.0097
ALLPCT 0.0736 0.41 0.6841
Table 3 Differences in Means between Providers and Non-providers
(Third Quarter: 1998)
Providers Non- t-value
providers
LNTOTAST 12.6230 12.0830 13.70
ROA 0.0120 0.0126 -1.72
ROE 0.1260 0.1265 -0.18
NIMEARN 0.0321 0.0330 -2.91
EQRAT 0.1001 0.1022 -1.47
RISKWGT 0.1617 0.1712 -3.14
RSA 0.2817 0.2655 3.18
RSL 0.4474 0.4599 -2.90
GAP -0.1660 -0.1940 4.28
INTDEP 0.6963 0.7138 -4.52
NOINTDEP 0.1274 0.1193 3.31
INTDEPCT 0.8428 0.8534 -3.09
LOANS 0.6148 0.6171 -0.48
ALLPCT 0.0150 0.0145 1.50
Pr > [absolute Z-score Pr > [absolute
value of t] value of Z]
LNTOTAST <.0001 11.96 <.0001
ROA 0.0854 -2.43 0.0151
ROE 0.8567 -0.13 0.8940
NIMEARN 0.0037 -1.50 0.1331
EQRAT 0.1420 -3.33 0.0009
RISKWGT 0.0017 -5.28 <.0001
RSA 0.0015 2.97 0.0030
RSL 0.0038 -2.70 0.0068
GAP <.0001 4.11 <.0001
INTDEP <.0001 -5.88 <.0001
NOINTDEP 0.0010 3.12 0.0018
INTDEPCT 0.0020 -3.90 <.0001
LOANS 0.6307 -1.03 0.3016
ALLPCT 0.1336 4.61 <.0001
Table 4 Differences in Means between Providers and Non-providers
(Third Quarter: 1991)
Providers Non- t-value
providers
LNTOTAST 12.1220 11.6920 15.06
ROA 0.0070 0.0091 -1.65
ROE 0.0608 0.0849 -2.17
NIMEARN 0.0324 0.0320 2.18
EQRAT 0.0818 0.0845 -3.09
RISKWGT *
RSA 0.4890 0.4524 8.03
RSL 0.4674 0.4685 -0.30
GAP 0.0217 -0.0160 7.89
INTDEP 0.7488 0.7701 -8.05
NOINTDEP 0.1269 0.1090 10.06
INTDEPCT 0.8537 0.8742 -9.12
LOANS 0.5743 0.5578 4.00
ALLPCT 0.0187 0.0172 3.22
Pr > [absolute Z-score Pr > [absolute
value of t] value of Z]
LNTOTAST <.0001 11.93 <.0001
ROA 0.0984 -2.28 0.0225
ROE 0.0301 -0.54 0.5883
NIMEARN 0.0296 5.12 <.0001
EQRAT 0.0020 -5.35 <.0001
RISKWGT *
RSA <.0001 6.76 <.0001
RSL 0.7623 -4.10 <.0001
GAP <.0001 7.74 <.0001
INTDEP <.0001 -11.11 <.0001
NOINTDEP <.0001 10.53 <.0001
INTDEPCT <.0001 -11.03 <.0001
LOANS <.0001 4.39 <.0001
ALLPCT 0.0013 4.30 <.0001
* Risk-weighted capital was first reported in 1996
Table 5 Logit Model Results (Third Quarter: 2005)
Maximum
Likelihood Wald
Estimate Odds Ratio Chi-Square Pr > Chi-Sq
Intercept -9.3886 47.7601 <.0001
LNTOTAST 0.6232 1.865 157.8231 <.0001
ROA -1.2039 0.300 0.0129 0.9096
ROE -0.9493 0.387 0.5768 0.4476
NIMEARN -6.7265 0.001 1.1218 0.2895
EQRAT 0.3378 1.402 0.0340 0.8537
RISKWGT -1.9879 0.137 3.4858 0.0619
RSA 0.5877 1.800 3.7636 0.0524
RSL 0.4369 1.548 1.1377 0.2861
GAP *
INTDEP -0.1731 0.841 0.0793 0.7782
NOINTDEP 2.4407 11.481 3.5263 0.0604
INTDEPCT 0.648 1.912 0.3692 0.5434
LOANS -0.7942 0.452 4.7830 0.0287
ALLPCT -3.4554 0.032 0.2511 0.6163
* GAP is not examined due to its direct relationship to the RSA
and RSL variables.