Equity ownership and thrift failures during the S&L crisis.
Williams, Thomas G.E. ; Her, M. Monica
INTRODUCTION
We explore the role of equity ownership as a mechanism for
protecting the interest of shareholders during the crisis within S&L
industry. According to Fama (1980) equity owned by corporate insiders
helps to alleviate agency problems for shareholders if it aligns the
interests of insiders and outside shareholders. However, Gorton &
Rosen (1995) and Stulz (1988) suggest that equity owned by insiders may
also serve to entrench managers, thereby creating a shield against
discipline by outsiders. Outside shareholders interest may also be
protected by outside holders of large chunks of a firm's shares.
These large shareholders are usually institutional investors who are
more sophisticated and have a greater incentive to expend the resources
necessary to monitor the managers of a firm. To the extent that
shareholders in publicly traded thrifts suffered huge losses during the
crisis, an interesting question arise as to whether the heterogeneity of
equity ownership within the S&L industry had any impact on the
survival of these institutions.
To address this question we focus on the period of turmoil within
the S&L industry extending from 1983 through 1994, which represents
drastic changes and that provides several events for which we can
examine the influence of equity ownership on firm survival. Other
factors such as fluctuations in interest rates, deregulation, and the
condition of regional economies may have contributed to failures but are
beyond the control of managers. However, other factors that may have
contributed to the failures such as decisions to expand assets and
liabilities, the selection and mix of these assets and liabilities, and
the decision to leverage up the firm are well within the bounds of
managerial prerogatives. As such, this period provides an exceptional
opportunity to investigate the relationship between inside equity
ownership and the success or failure of savings and loan associations,
which may be attributed to the quality of managerial decisions.
We explore the following questions: How effective was equity
ownership in resolving shareholder-manager conflicts? Was the presence
of unaffiliated blockholders an effective mechanism for representing
outside shareholders' interest? To provide answers to these
questions, we analyzed a sample of publicly traded S&Ls that should
provide opportunities to trigger the intervention by equity owners to
preserve the welfare of the firm.
Our analysis reveals that independent outside directors owned less
equity in failed S&Ls than they did in non-failed institutions.
Similar comparisons for affiliated outside directors show that
affiliated outside directors owned more equity in failed than they did
in non-failed institutions. The presence of unaffiliated blockholders
among the owners of sample firms appears to be related to the
probability that an S&L failed. These findings suggest that the
distribution of equity ownership between insiders and outside
shareholders should be incorporated among the factors to be addressed
before we can be confident that the S&L problems are behind us.
These findings contribute to our understanding of the relationship
between equity ownership and firm performance, thereby enriching our
knowledge of the dynamics within the S&L industry. The sample
consists of firms that are actively traded on national exchanges and,
therefore, are exposed to the full range of corporate control
mechanisms. In addition, the sample is limited to one industry in order
to avoid cross industry differences. However, this restriction in no way
limits the value of this study, as the role of equity ownership in
resolving agency problems in non-financial firms is already well
documented (Himmelberg, Hubbard & Palia, 1999; Agrawal &
Knoeber, 1996; McConnell & Servaes, 1990; Morck, Shleifer &
Vishny, 1988; Shleifer & Vishny, 1986). Furthermore, the use of
S&Ls allows us to examine the role of the equity ownership as an
alternate explanation for the failures in that industry. Finally, we
differentiate between three classes of directors in an industry where
dealings with certain outsiders such as attorneys, accountants,
investment bankers, and financiers have often been suspected to be less
than arms-length. In fact, some accountants and investment bankers have
been found culpable in contributing to S&L losses. For example, the
nation's four largest accounting firms were the subjects of
government inquiries, with each accused of professional misconduct related to S&L failures. According to The Wall Street Journal
(November 24, 1992, A3), Ernst & Young paid $400 million to settle
government claims and the others have settled similar claims. The former
president and chief executive officer of the failed California thrift,
Columbia Savings & Loan Association, was indicted for improperly obtaining stock-warrants from the investment banking firm, Drexel
Burnham Lambert, Inc. The thrift would eventually be one of Drexel
Burnham Lambert's best customers, holding over $4 billion in junk
bonds (2).
LITERATURE REVIEW AND DEVELOPMENT OF HYPOTHESES
The separation of the ownership from the direct control of
corporate resources in a firm creates the basis for the agency problems
identified by Berle and Means (1932). The problems arise because
managers may have incentives to augment their welfare at the expense of
the firm's owners. Therefore, mechanisms have evolved that resolve
these agency conflicts. Among these are the structure of managerial
compensation (Baker, Jensen & Murphy, 1988; Lewellen, Loderer &
Martin, 1987), the managerial labor market (Fama, 1980), managerial
stock ownership, the presence of blockholders, and the takeover market
(Jensen & Ruback, 1983; Martin & McConnell, 1991). However, in
this paper we will focus on equity ownership as a means to resolving
manager-shareholder conflicts.
Stock ownership can play an important role in resolving agency
problems between managers and shareholders. However, the exact
relationship between stock ownership and the alignment of
stockholders' and managers' interests is unresolved. According
to Baysinger and Butler (1985), Morck, Shleifer and Vishny (1988),
McConnel and Servaes (1990), and Byrd and Hickman (1992), the effect of
equity ownership on firm performance appears to be non-linear. These
findings support the idea of an optimal distribution of equity
ownership, with levels of ownership over which interests are aligned or
over which managers become entrenched. Alignment of interests is
consistent with the widely examined moral hazard hypothesis for insured
institutions, but this study focuses on managerial entrenchment and
shareholder losses, issues not given much attention in other studies
that analyze problems in the S&L industry (3).
Regulators continue to have a great impact on the banking industry,
as was quite evident throughout the S&L crisis of the 1980s. The
shortcomings of government agencies and their complicity in the S&L
crisis is extensively documented by several scholars including Strunk
and Case (1988), Barth, Bartholomew and Bradley (1990), Kane (1990),
Cordell, MacDonald and Wohar (1993), and Cole and Eisenbeis (1996).
Regulatory intervention usually comes after the stage where internal
controls such as the influence of equity ownership should have
intervened to restrain managerial excesses. Furthermore, there are no
regulatory edicts that should prevent equity owners from ensuring that
managers pursue policies that protect their interests. The role of these
equity ownership is, therefore, quite relevant to a more complete
understanding of the problems in the S&L industry.
Moral hazard explanations for the S&L problems assume an
alignment of interest between managers and shareholders and so most of
the prior studies focuses on losses suffered by claimants other than
shareholders. The notion that entrenched managers could expose outside
shareholders to excessive risks has been overlooked. In this study, we
extend the research that address problems experienced in the S&L
industry by exploring the effect of equity ownership and what role it
may have played in the crisis. Many of the earlier studies focus on
causes not directly related to the internal governance of the
institutions. Strunk and Case (1988, 15) list fifteen causes of thrift
failure covered in the literature, none of which is related to the role
of equity ownership.
The major causes attributed to S&L problems relate to
regulation, deregulation, fraud, the economic environment, and
supervisory bungling by the regulators. As a consequence, most of the
focus is on losses incurred by the insurers who ultimately are the
taxpayers. However, based on the sample used in this study, the total
market capitalization of the 58 institutions that failed between 1987
and 1994 was approximately $5 billion at the end of 1985, indicating
that shareholders also suffered considerable losses, even though these
losses are dwarfed by the costs incurred by the insurers. Furthermore,
since not all S&Ls failed, it is important to explore whether the
structure of equity ownership could have protected shareholders. Thus,
it may be possible to associate equity ownership with the survival
outcome of S&Ls.
Mitigation of manager-shareholder agency problems through stock
ownership is achieved when the level of managerial ownership is within a
range where maximizing shareholders' wealth also maximizes the
manager's utility. The relationship between equity ownership and
firm performance is explored in several studies, including Demsetz and
Lehn (1985), Stulz (1988), Morck, Shleifer and Vishny (1988), McConnell
and Servaes (1990). Higher concentration of ownership should make the
monitoring of managers more economical. Therefore, the shareholders of
firms with concentrated ownership are more likely to actively monitor
the managers. Demsetz and Lehn (1985) specify a linear relationship
between firm performance and ownership concentration, but fail to detect
any correlation. Brickley and James (1987) also, using concentration as
a measure of ownership, find no evidence of substitution between
ownership and regulation for monitoring managers in acquisition and
non-acquisition states for a sample of banks. Most of the other studies
that link stock ownership to firm performance use non-linear models with
managerial, director, and block holder equity ownership to assess the
effect of ownership on firm performance.
Stulz (1988), Morck, Shleifer and Vishny (1988), and McConnell and
Servaes (1990) have shown managerial ownership structure to be effective
in reducing conflicts between managers and shareholders. The
relationship between firm performance and equity ownership is
non-linear, but the form of the non-linearity is still unclear (4). The
non-linear relationship is consistent with alignment of interest over
certain ranges of ownership and entrenchment over the range where
managers can reap private benefits at the expense of other shareholders.
Prior research on the effect of outside stock ownership on
managerial control focuses on institutional investors and blockholders.
The availability of public information for this group of investors is
one reason they receive so much attention. Institutional investors are
often included as blockholders because of their size. Another reason for
the interest in blockholders is the strong incentive they have to
actively monitor managers. The size and investment policies, in some
instances, make monitoring the most cost effective means of controlling
managers by these investors. According to Shleifer and Vishny (1986),
unaffiliated blockholders can monitor and control managers through
direct negotiation or by facilitating acquisition by outsiders. Even
when internal efforts to control managers fail, external control can be
made easier by the presence of a blockholder. In a study of the
announcement of block trades, Barclay & Holderness (1991) associate
increased stock prices with these announcements and increased turnover
of top managers following the transaction. This evidence is also
consistent with the hypothesis that blockholders can be active monitors,
as most of these trades did not involve increased concentration of
ownership, but only a change of the block holder.
In analyzing the effect of stock ownership on firm survival, the
stock owned by managers is included as part of inside directors'
equity, so our main concern is with insider-controlled equity and the
stock ownership by outsiders represented by unaffiliated blockholders.
Inside directors' and affiliated shareholders' equity bolsters
the managers' standing and so serves as a shield against monitoring
and control by outside shareholders. Failed institutions are, therefore,
more likely to be the ones with entrenched managers, if poor managerial
decisions contributed to the failures. This would be reflected by higher
failure rates over a certain range of equity owned or controlled by
inside directors.
Unaffiliated blockholders are potentially the single most powerful
group of outside shareholders that could influence the behavior of
insiders. First, the size of their holdings usually allows these
investors to make or influence board appointments. Owners of large
blocks of shares may also gain greater access to managers between
regular shareholder meetings. Finally, holders of a large portion of the
firm's shares can be a catalyst for takeovers, so managers have
additional incentives to heed the concerns of these investors. The
presence of unaffiliated blockholders among the investors in a firm
should, therefore, be a positive force for outside shareholders, thus
reducing the probability of failure.
METHODOLOGY
We employ the logistic regression technique to analyze the
relationship between the probability of failure and the equity ownership
variables. For the regression models the dependent variable is set equal
to one if the institution failed between 1983 and 1994 and zero
otherwise. The model is:
Prob(FAIL=1) = [e.sup.bx]/(1 + [e.sup.bx])
where:
b is the vector of parameters estimated and
x is the data matrix of explanatory variables that are hypothesized
to explain S&L survival outcome.
The ownership variables include the equity owned by inside and
affiliated outside directors to capture the effect of insider-controlled
equity on S&L failure, equity owned by independent outside
directors, and a binary variable to account for the presence of
unaffiliated block holders in the ownership structure of the firm. The
control variables include the log of total assets, a binary variable
that is equal to one if the institution is located in any of five states
(CA, FL, LA, OH, TX) with less restrictions on asset and liability
powers of S&Ls and zero otherwise, a binary variable that is equal
to one if an institution had a federal charter and equal to zero if it
had a state charter, a binary variable that is equal to one if an
institution had been established for five years or more in 1985 and
equal to zero otherwise, the annual rate of change in the number of new
housing permits issued in the 50 states, D.C., or Puerto Rico where the
institution is located. Borrowing from Cebenoyan, Cooperman and Register
(1995), we define the five states of California, Florida, Louisiana,
Ohio, and Texas with less restrictive asset and liability powers as less
regulated.
Size has been shown in several studies to impact firm performance
and may be relevant since larger institutions may have less risk
exposure, are subject to more public scrutiny, and regulators may be
more inclined to delay the closure of larger institutions. We include a
binary variable, to differentiate between states with less stringent
asset and liability powers and other states. In addition to the
difference in the regulation between states, savings and loan
associations also differ as to their supervisory agency as the state
banking departments supervise institutions with state charter and the
Federal Home Loan Bank Board (FHLBB) supervise those with federal
charter. Federally chartered institutions also controlled a
disproportionate amount of total industry assets, which suggest that on
average they are larger than state chartered institutions. One
additional firm-specific characteristic, firm age, is captured with a
binary variable that differentiates between established firm, that is,
those that were five years and older in 1985 and those institutions that
were less than five years old. To control for the effect that local
economic conditions may have on the failure of an institution, we
include a variable that is equal to the annual growth rate in the number
of new housing permits issued in any of the 50 states, D.C., or Puerto
Rico where the institution is located. The number of new housing permits
issued ([N.sub.t]) in each state, D.C., and Puerto Rico is extracted
from the U.S. Statistical Abstract microfiches for each year from 1982
through 1994. The annual growth rate in the number of new housing
permits issued is computed as ([N.sub.t] - [N.sub.t-1])/[N.sub.t-1], for
t = 1984, ..., 1994.
SAMPLE SELECTION AND DESCRIPTION OF DATA
We rely heavily on Barth, Beaver and Stinson (1991) to develop our
initial sample of 165 publicly traded S&Ls. We tracked these firms
from 1983 through 1995 and found that only 49 of these S&Ls
survived, either in their original form or as a holding company. The
remaining 116 S&Ls either failed, or were acquired by or merged into
other firms. Based on information gathered from Lexis/Nexis and the Wall
Street Journal Index for each of the 116 S&Ls that did not survive
we classified 58 as acquired or merged and 58 as failed. Inspection of
all the articles that reported acquisitions and mergers of institutions
indicated these institutions were in sound financial condition at the
time of the acquisition or merger. For all analysis we combined the
acquired and merged institutions and then added these to the
institutions that survived. Therefore, non-failed institutions include a
total of 107 S&Ls. We classify as failed all institutions that
became bankrupt, were taken over by regulators, or were taken over by
another firm with the assistance of a government insurance or regulatory
agency. None of the sample firms failed from 1983 through 1986 or during
1994. The majority of the failures occurred between 1989 and 1991. The
sample was reduced because of availability of ownership data in proxy
statements, financial data from the Center for Research in Security
Prices (CRSP), Compustat, Compact Disclosure databases, and Moody's
Banking & Finance Manual. These sources provide a total of 355
firm-years of data used in our analysis; 286 observations for 73 firms
that did not fail, and 69 observations for the 37 failed institutions
that remain in the data set. For the failed firms we collected data for
only the three most recent years available before failure to capture
characteristics of the firms, which are mostly likely to be associated
with the failure.
All the directors are classified as inside, affiliated outside, or
independent outside directors. Inside directors include all directors
who are current and former employees of the institution, and the
immediate relatives of these officers. The affiliated director
classification was suggested by Baysinger and Butler (1985) and has been
used in subsequent research such as Weisbach (1988), Gilson (1990),
Hermalin and Weisbach (1991), Byrd and Hickman (1992), Lee, Rosenstein,
Rangan and Davidson (1992), and Shivdasani (1993). Some authors used the
classification of affiliated outsiders to differentiate these from
independent outside directors. Even though the exact definition of
affiliated outside and affiliated director differ among the studies,
they all seem to capture the essence that this group of directors are
somehow different from independent directors and should be analyzed
separately. We include as affiliated directors officers of firms or
individuals having major business relationships with the institution,
financiers and financial professionals, management and financial
consultants, and lawyers. All other directors including professional
directors, private investors, educators, government officials, members
of the clergy, and medical practitioners are classified as independent
outside directors. The owners of 5 percent or more of the company's
stock are classified as either affiliated or unaffiliated blockholders.
We define a block holder as unaffiliated if the holder is not an inside
or affiliated director, or has no substantial business relationship with
the firm.
We read each proxy statement and recorded equity ownership as the
percent of equity held by each category of director. We also recorded
the stock holdings of block holders, the age and type of charter for
each institution. For those institutions that were acquired or that
failed, we include the total assets for the three most recent years
prior to the year of acquisition or failure. All total assets data are
adjusted by the consumer price indices (CPI) published in the U.S.
Statistical Abstracts to reflect constant 1983 dollars. Due to the
limitations of our data sources the number of observations for each firm
are not equal for either failed or non-failed institutions. The numbers
of observations range from one to three for failed institutions and from
one to eleven for non-failed institutions. Also the annual data for each
firm do not always represent consecutive years.
The summary of the descriptive statistics for the sample is
presented in Table I. The average size of sample firms is $4.44 billion,
with a range from $16.36 million to $39.03 billion in total assets.
Independent outside directors held very little equity in these firms,
they owned 2.46% of the equity compared to the 9.72 % that is owned by
insiders. Based on evidence provided by Williams (1998), we classified
as insider-controlled equity, the sum of the equity owned of inside and
affiliated directors. Of the stakeholders examined in this study, block
holders held the largest equity stakes with an average of 21.02%.
DISCUSSION OF RESULTS
The comparisons between failed and non-failed firms are reported in
Table II. It appears the largest institutions were among the ones most
likely to survive. Even though the sample is restricted to publicly
traded institutions, it includes some relatively small firms. Only the
equity holdings of independent outside directors, affiliated directors,
and unaffiliated block holders reflected any significant difference
between the failed and non-failed institutions. Outside directors held
1.54% of the equity of failed institutions compared to 2.68% for
non-failed institutions. These differences are significant at better
than the 1 percent level. It appears that outside directors were more
effective monitors when they had a direct economic interest, represented
by equity ownership in the firm. For affiliated directors the situation
is reversed. Affiliated directors of failed institutions held three
times the amount of equity in their institutions, as do affiliated
directors of non-failed institutions, 2.99% compared to 0.98%.
The effect of inside directors' equity ownership on the
failure of S&Ls appears less important than hypothesized, even
though insiders appear to hold slightly larger stakes in failed
institutions. This finding is not surprising since most of the studies
that have linked inside equity ownership to firm performance found the
relationship to be non-linear. Only when affiliated directors'
equity is included as a part of insider-controlled equity does
statistical significance appear in the difference between the ownership
of insiders at failed and non-failed institutions. In this case,
insiders' equity averaged 12.34 percent (median of 8.62 percent) at
failed institutions compared to 9.09 percent (median of 5.34 percent) at
non-failed institutions. Support for the equity ownership hypothesis is,
therefore, provided by both insider-controlled equity (inside plus
affiliated directors' equity).
Consistent with the hypothesis that unaffiliated block holders help
to protect the interest of outside shareholders, we find that
unaffiliated block holders held significantly less equity in failed
institutions. These block holders held 24 percent less equity in failed
institutions than their counterparts at non-failed institutions. The
difference is significant for both means and medians.
Next, we conduct a more complex analysis using the logistic
regression technique to obtain maximum likelihood estimates. The results
are presented in Table III. This model relates the probability that an
institution failed between 1983 and 1994 to variation in equity
ownership, and a series of control variables. The levels of significance
for the estimated parameters in the regressions are based on robust
standard errors. These standard errors are obtained from an estimator of
the variance-covariance matrix that is associated with White (1980) and
Huber (1967). The version of the estimator applied here is presented in
Stata and groups the observations by firms; the groups are treated as
independent while the observations within each group are not
independent.
Based on the findings of Morck, Shleifer and Vishny (1988) for the
relationship between inside equity and firm performance, we explore the
possibility of a non-linear relationship between inside equity and
S&L failure. The data for our sample does not fit their
specification for the relationship between insiders' equity and
S&L failure. A study by Knopf and Teall (1996) also found no support
for Morck, Shleifer, & Vishny's specification of the
relationship between inside equity ownership and S&L performance. It
should be noted, however, that Morck, Shleifer, & Vishny use total
board ownership to represent insiders' equity. Similarly, Knopf and
Teall (1996) define insider ownership as only the equity owned by
managers. The variation in how insider ownership is defined may, in
part, explain the differences in the findings. Following McConnell and
Servaes (1990) and Gorton and Rosen (1995) we include a quadratic term
for insider-controlled equity in the model to capture any non-linearity
in equity ownership.
The evidence from this sample is consistent with earlier studies
that report a non-linear relationship between insider equity and firm
performance. The estimated coefficients for the inside equity variables
have signs consistent with entrenchment over a certain range of
ownership. The estimated coefficient for the insider-controlled equity
variable is 21.5876 with a p-value of 0.000 and for the squared term is
-42.089 with a p-value of 0.011. This is consistent with the prediction
of the entrenchment hypothesis that the probability of failure increases
with the level of insider-controlled equity and then declines. We use
the estimated coefficients from Model 1 to plot the relationship between
insider-controlled equity and the probability of failure at the median
for all the other variables. The resulting relationship depicted in
Figure 1, shows greater probability of fail when insider controlled
equity is between10% and 40%.
The regressions also reveal an interesting relationship between
outside directors' equity holdings and the probability of failure.
Consistent with lower outside directors' equity at failed
institutions, the estimated coefficient is significant and negative
which is similar to Shivdasani (1993), who reports that increased
ownership by unaffiliated outside directors benefited shareholders. The
estimated coefficient for the binary variable representing the presence
of unaffiliated blockholders is negative and consistent with the
prediction that unaffiliated blockholders should reduce the probability
of failure.
The overall evidence from the relationship between equity ownership
and the probability of S&L failure reinforces the prior evidence
that directors and managers should not be grouped together and
classified as insiders. This study there shows that valuable information
would be lost, if a distinction is not made between affiliated outside
and independent outside directors.
[FIGURE 1 OMITTED]
The evidence from the regressions also suggests that the
probability that an institution failed was correlated with the control
variables. Liberal asset and liability powers could have provided
managers with the opportunity to take on excessive risk, and could also
have created the opening for managers to indulge in inappropriate
behavior. However, the evidence indicates that such activities were not
widespread. Instead, the estimated coefficient is negative and
significant in both models, suggesting that the probability of failure
was lower in states with less restrictive asset and liability powers.
This is inconsistent with prior studies (White, 1991, 102; Esty, 1993)
that associate S&L problems with increased investment in
non-traditional assets and liabilities. Apparently, the opportunity to
engage in non-traditional activities, by itself, was not a sufficient
condition for thrifts to fail.
Larger institutions were more likely to fail if they were state
chartered. The probability of failure at federally chartered
institutions was also much less sensitive to differences in firm size.
In interpreting the different effect of firm size between
federal-chartered and state-chartered institutions it would be useful to
note that like for the industry, sample federal institutions were larger
than state institutions. In addition, all federal-chartered institutions
were insured by the FSLIC while some state-chartered institutions were
not, so any postponement of failure, particularly of larger institutions
by federal regulators, would be more likely to affect federal-chartered
institutions.
Consistent with the notion that age is a good proxy for firm risk,
we find that institutions that were established for at least five years
in 1985 were less likely to fail. These institutions were 0.01 percent
less likely to fail than institutions that were established for less
than five year, significant at better than the 1 percent level.
A positive growth in new housing construction is one sign of a
healthy economy. This, however, does not preclude the possibility that
growth in the housing sector could represent over-capacity construction.
In any case, it is unlikely that over-capacity construction could
systematically drive the new housing permits issued growth rate in a
less than robust economic environment. The negative estimated
coefficient, therefore, suggest that S&Ls were less likely to fail
in a thriving economy. The new housing permits issued growth rate
appears to be a good proxy for capturing the effect of the local economy
on the probability of S&L failure. The role of the regional
agricultural, oil and gas, and construction sectors on bank and S&L
problems is well documented elsewhere, including Gunther (1989) and
Barth (1991).
CONCLUSION
Our investigation of the relationship between S&L failure and
the distribution of equity ownership reveals interesting results and
expands the number of factors that are associated with S&L failures.
We find evidence that insider-controlled equity defined as equity owned
by inside directors with plus the equity owned by affiliated outside
directors was related to the incidence of failure at publicly traded
S&Ls. In addition, independent outside directors held less equity in
failed institutions. There is also some support for the notion that
unaffiliated block holders represent the interest of all outside
shareholders.
Similar to Morck, Shleifer and Vishny (1988), McConnell and Servaes
(1990), and Gorton and Rosen (1995), we find a non-linear relationship
between insider-controlled equity and the probability of failure for
S&Ls. This result is consistent with the entrenchment hypothesis and
indicates that the probability of failure was greatest when insiders
controlled between 20% and 35% of the outstanding equity. A number of
factors beyond the control of the managers such as the type charter and
age of the firm and local economic conditions also had some impact on
the incidence of failure within the S&L industry.
Overall the evidence suggests that the distribution of equity among
the different categories of directors was an important factor in the
S&L crisis. The impact of less than arms length dealings represented
by the role of affiliated directors also appeared to aggravate S&L
problems. Therefore, by incorporating these factors in the analysis we
can improve on the prescriptions already in place to deal with
regulatory, fraud, and moral hazard problems in the S&L industry.
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ENDNOTES
(1) Some of this work was completed while the authors were Ph.D.
students at Texas A&M University.
(2) More than two years later The Wall Street Journal (March 11,
1994, p. A2) reported that Thomas Spiegel, the former executive of
Columbia Savings, was acquitted of all 55 counts in the 1992 indictment.
(3) Evidence that could be used to support the moral hazard
hypothesis is represented by the greater risk taking observed for stock
compared to mutual owned institutions reported by Cordell, MacDonald,
& Wohar (1993), and Esty (1997a). Esty (1997b) provides an extreme
example of the alignment of shareholder and managerial interests in a
case study of Twin City, a S&L where the directors and CEO owned 100
percent of the equity of the firm.
(4) Morck, Shleifer, & Vishny (1988) using a linear
specification on their data set detected no relationship between
ownership structure and firm performance, which is consistent with
Demsetz & Lehn (1985). Rather than specify the form of the
non-linearity Gorton & Rosen (1995) used a semi-parametric technique
and let the data determine the form that the ownership variable enters
the model. The results provide evidence consistent with entrenchment
that is similar to the other studies that use the parametric specification. Their sample was also robust to the parametric
specification.
Thomas G. E. Williams, William Paterson University
M. Monica Her, California State University, Northridge
Table I: Summary Statistics for Sample Data
Summary of total assets and ownership structure data for sample
of publicly traded savings and loan institutions during the
period 1983 through 1994. A total of 355 firm-years of data is
used for all computation except for unaffiliated block
holders with 269 firm-years.
Mean Std Dev
Total assets $4,438.94 $7,499.53
Outside directors' equity 2.46% 2.64%
Inside directors' equity 8.35% 11.63%
Affiliated directors, equity 1.37% 3.00%
Insider-controlled equity 9.72% 12.15%
Unaffiliated block holders equity 21.02% 12.52%
Mean Std Dev
Total assets $4,438.94 $7,499. 53
Outside directors' equity 2.46% 2.64%
Inside directors' equity 8.35% 11.63%
Affiliated directors, equity 1.37% 3.00%
Insider-controlled equity 9.72% 12.15%
Unaffiliated block holders equity 21.02% 12.52%
Minimum
Total assets $16.36
Outside directors' equity 0
Inside directors' equity 0
Affiliated directors, equity 0
Insider-controlled equity 0.05%
Unaffiliated block holders equity 5.07%
Table II: Directors and Block Holders Equity Ownership
Ownership structure variables for sample of savings and loan
associations with proxy statements available on Q Data
Corporation microfiche for the years 1983 through 1994. The
statistics for failed institutions were computed from data
for the three most recent years prior to the year of failure
for which data was available. For non-failed institutions the
statistics include all available data for the full sample period.
We report the sample means and medians (in parentheses). N is the
number of firm-years of data used to compute the corresponding
statistics. The level of statistical significance are based on
difference of means t-test for the means and Wilcoxon rank sum
Z-test for medians, and compares the data column 2 to those column 3.
Description Non-failed Failed
institutions institutions
N = 286 N = 69
Total assets * $4,764.75 $3,088.50 (c)
($1,183.24) ($1,424.53)
Outside directors' equity 2.68% 1.54% (a)
(1.63%) (0.82% (a))
Affiliated directors' equity 0.98% 2.99% (a)
(0.11%) (0.80%)
Inside directors equity 8.11% 9.35%
(4.60%) (5.43%)
Insider-controlled equity 9.09% 12.34% (b)
(5.34%) (8.62% (a))
Unaffiliated block 16.72% 12.64% (b)
holders' equity (14.87%) (7.60% (a))
* Millions
(a) Significant at the 1% level
(b) Significant at the 5% level
(c) Significant at the 10% level.
Table III: Logistic Regressions
Logistic regressions with inside and affiliated directors' equity
combined as insider-controlled equity. The dependent variable is
equal to 1 if the institution failed between 1983 and 1994, and
zero otherwise. The explanatory variables include equity ownership
variables, asset and liability powers, firm size, type of charter,
firm age, and the effect of local economic conditions. The dollar
figures for total assets are adjusted by the consumer price indices
to reflect constant 1983 dollars. The local economic condition
variable is the percentage change in the number of new housing
permits issued or unemployment rate in all 50 states, D.C., and
Puerto Rico for each year covered by the sample period. The p-values
are in parentheses and are estimated using standard errors that are
computed assuming the observations are independent across firms but
not between years for each firm.
Variables Model 1 Model 2
Intercept -1.9048 -16.6844 (c)
(0.229) (0.052)
Insider-controlled equity 21.5786 (a) 21.1715 (a)
(0.000) (0.001)
Insider-controlled equity -42.089 (b) -43.2183 (a)
squared
(0.011) (0.010)
Outside directors' equity -42.157 (a) -42.7555 (a)
-0.003 (0.001)
Binary variable = 1 if the -0.8764 (b) -0.7245 (c)
firm has unaffiliated block
holders and = 0 otherwise
(0.033) (0.080)
Binary variable = 1 for -1.2163 (a) -0.8513 (c)
firms located in any of 5
states (CA, FL, LA, OH, TX)
and = 0 otherwise
(0.007) (0.070)
Logarithm of total assets 0.2554 2.3953 (b)
(0.163) (0.046)
Binary variable = 1 if the 2.7223 (a) 19.950 (b)
institution is federally
chartered and 0 if state
chartered
(0.000) (0.034)
Binary variable = 1 if the -4.1078 (a) -5.3198 (a)
institution has been
established for 5 or more
years and = 0 if less than
5 years
(0.000) (0.000)
Interaction term between -2.3243 (c)
log of total assets and
type of charter
(0.057)
Annual rate of change in -4.5149 (a) -4.4923
the number of new housing
permits issued in the home
state of each S&L
(0.000) (0.000)
Number of firm-years of data 327 327
Likelihood Ratio -101.14 -97.26
([chi square])
(0.000) (0.000)
Pseudo [R.sup.2] 0.2939 0.3210
(a) Statistically significant at the 1% level.
(b) Statistically significant at the 5% level.
(c) Statistically significant at the 10 % level.