An experimental analysis of trust and trustworthiness.
Gangadharan, Lata
1. Introduction
A large body of evidence suggests that "social capital"
as embodied in the tendencies to "trust" and to
"reciprocate" trust influences a wide range of economic
phenomena and activities (Fukuyama 1995; Knack and Keefer 1997; La Porta et al. 1997; Putnam 2000). There is now a large body of experimental
literature that explores such trusting and reciprocal motivations in
economic transactions. (See Camerer [2003] for a review.) Many of these
papers have used the trust game introduced by Berg, Dickhaut, and McCabe
(1995) or variants thereof to measure trust and reciprocity]"2 The
findings of these researchers have in turn led to the development of
theoretical models that explicitly incorporate such noneconomic
motivations in decision making as in Rabin (1993), Fehr and Schmidt
(1999), and Bolton and Ockenfels (2000). Both the inequity aversion model of Fehr and Schmidt (1999) and the Equity, Reciprocity, and
Competition model of Bolton and Ockenfels (2000), which assumes that
players care about both their pecuniary payoff as well as their relative
standing vis-a-vis others in the group, can explain the rationale behind
trusting and reciprocal behavior in sequential prisoners' dilemmas
such as the Berg, Dickhaut, and McCabe (1995) trust game or the Fehr,
Gachter, and Kirchsteiger (1997) gift exchange game. (3)
In this paper we wish to further explore facets of trusting and
reciprocal behavior. Each subject in our study takes part in a dictator
game and a trust game where the dictator game acts as a control
treatment. (4) We find that transfers are significantly higher in the
trust game compared with the dictator game and we argue that
expectations regarding reciprocation play a significant role in the
decision to send money. (5) Second, we find that there is substantial
evidence in favor of positive reciprocity in the sense that receivers do
return money to the senders given the opportunity and the amount
returned is positively correlated with the amount received. Third, we
explore the connection between trust and reciprocity. We show that
subjects who are "trustworthy" (defined as subjects who
reciprocate the trust placed on them), are also more trusting. But the
converse is not true--subjects who appear to be trusting do not
necessarily reciprocate the trust of others. Furthermore, when it comes
to the dictator game trustworthy subjects behave in a more generous
manner. We also explore gender differences in these decisions and show
that men exhibit significantly higher levels of trust but the two groups
do not differ significantly in their levels of reciprocity. We argue
that the lower level of trust exhibited by women may be attributed to a
greater degree of risk aversion.
The rest of the paper is organized as follows: section 2 explains
the experimental design, section 3 presents the results, and section 4
concludes.
2. Experimental Design
A total of 100 subjects--7 men and 53 women--participated in the
experiments in groups of 8 to 14. They were mostly undergraduate
students ranging in age from 17 to 27. All the experiments were
implemented as non-computerized classroom experiments. We used a
within-subjects design that allows for powerful comparison across our
control treatment (the dictator game) and the trust game treatment. To
control for ordering effects, in half of the sessions (comprised of 52
subjects) subjects participated in the dictator game first and then in
the trust game, while the remaining 48 played the trust game first,
followed by the dictator game.
There are two features of the design that are different from the
Berg, Dickhaut, and McCabe trust game. First, in our experiment each
subject makes a sender as well as a receiver decision. Our design is
similar to the one used by Chaudhuri, Sopher, and Strand (2002) as well
as the "two-role-trust prior knowledge" treatment employed by
Burks, Carpenter, and Verhoogen (2003). The following example
illustrates how the senders and receivers were matched.
In this example, Subject #1 would make a sender decision and offer
a split to Subject #5 as the receiver. At the same time, Subject #1
would receive a split as receiver from Subject #8, who is the sender,
and so on. This preserves the one-shot nature of the interaction since
each subject interacts with a different subject in her role as a sender
and a receiver and thus there is no scope for reputation building. Since
we have both a sender and a receiver decision for each subject, this
allows us to measure the levels of trust and reciprocity for that
subject. All subjects make the sender decision simultaneously. We also
asked each sender (provided she transferred a positive sum to the paired
receiver) if she expected the receiver to return any money and, if she
did, what proportion she expected the receiver to return. Following this
all subjects make a receiver decision simultaneously.
Given that each subject plays both roles in the trust game--that of
sender and receiver-we have each subject play both roles of allocator and recipient as well in the dictator game. They are always paired with
a different subject in each role as they are in the trust game along the
lines explained above. Each player then actually plays four different
roles--sender and receiver in the trust game and allocator and recipient
in the dictator game--except each player is paired with a different
player in each of those roles.
The second feature that is different is that, at the
receiver's decision level in the trust game, we have data from
actual decisions that the subjects made in their role as a receiver as
well as data on their reciprocity levels elicited via the strategy
method. The subjects were asked, before they knew how much they had
received as a receiver, how much they would return to the sender if they
received different hypothetical amounts of money. We discuss the
consistency of responses using the two methods below.
Experimental Procedure
For each session, subjects were gathered in a room where they had
instructions read to them. A show-up fee of $3.00 was given to the
subjects. (6) The subjects were divided into two equal-sized groups. One
group stayed in the same room while the other group was sent to an
adjoining room. The subjects were paired anonymously. The first and
second movers in each pair were always in different rooms and could not
see one another and did not know who they were paired with. Each group
consisted of a mixture of the sexes and there were no same-sex groups.
At the end of the experiment all subjects filled out a demographic
survey.
Suppose the session starts with the trust game followed by the
dictator game. All subjects had $10.00 added to their total experimental
earnings. No money was disbursed at that point and all actual payments
were made at the end of the experiment. Each subject was told that in
her role as the sender in the trust game she could keep the entire
$10.00 or, if she wished, she could split it (in whole dollar amounts)
with an anonymous receiver. But any amount offered to the anonymous
receiver would be tripled by the experimenter. The anonymous receiver
then could decide to keep the entire amount of money offered or, if he
wished, could send all or part of it back to the anonymous sender. This
latter amount is not tripled. (7) Once the trust game decisions have
been made we move on to the dictator game. Each subject is given another
$10.00 and makes a decision about how to split it with the anonymous
recipient.
Subjects make their decisions using record sheets. (See the
Appendix for the instructions to the subjects and the record sheets.)
Decisions made by a first mover in one room are conveyed to the
corresponding second mover in the other room and vice versa. The record
sheets were collected by the experimenter and taken from room to room.
(8) In the dictator game, none of the decisions are revealed to the
subjects concerned until the very end of the session. In the trust game
we have to reveal to the receiver the amount of money sent to him by the
paired sender. Other than that, all other decisions and the amounts of
money they have earned are revealed to the subjects at the very end of
the session. This was done so that a subject's decision in the
second game will not be unduly influenced by his earnings in the first
game. This way subjects are not completely informed about their total
earnings in the two games until the very end of the session.
In the trust game, prior to each subject making the actual receiver
decision, we also elicited information about their reciprocity levels by
using the strategy method. Specifically, each subject was asked how much
she would return if she received a certain amount. Since senders are
constrained to transfer money in whole dollars ranging from {$1 ...
$10}, this implied that receivers could expect to get one of the ten
amounts {$3, $6, $9, $12, $15, $18, $21, $24, $27, $30}. Receivers were
asked to indicate how much they would return if they received each of
these hypothetical amounts. Answers to this question allow us to examine
the level of reciprocity of the receivers. The answer in each case from
a purely self-interested perspective should be $0. However, those who
are motivated by reciprocity are expected to promise to send back more
when they receive more. Then they were informed about the money they had
actually been offered. This allows us to examine their actual
reciprocity explicitly as well as to compare their actual behavior with
their stated behavior.
3. Results
Transfers in the Trust Game Are Significantly Higher than Those in
the Dictator Game
In keeping with prior studies we find that subjects, in their role
as senders in the trust game, do transfer positive amounts of money. The
average amount transferred is $4.33 (43.3%) out of the initial endowment of $10.00. The average amount transferred in the trust game is
significantly higher than that transferred in the dictator game. In the
dictator game, on average, subjects transferred $1.345 (13.45%) out of
their initial endowment of $10.00. The difference between the amounts
transferred in the trust game and that transferred in the dictator game
is highly significant using a non-parametric Wilcoxon paired sign-rank
test (z = 5.87, p = 0.00). (9) In the next section we argue that it is
expectation of reciprocation that is the primary driving force behind
this behavior. Figure 1 shows the distribution of the amount sent by the
allocator in the dictator game (left panel) as well as the distribution
of the amount sent by the sender in the trust game (right panel). It is
clear from the right panel that the mass of the distribution of amount
sent in the trust game shifts towards the right (i.e., towards $10) as
compared with the one for the dictator game. It is interesting to see
that roughly one-fifth of the senders (21%) in the trust game send the
entire endowment to the paired receiver.
[FIGURE 1 OMITTED]
Role of Expectations in the Decision to Send Money in the Trust
Game
Each sender in our experiment was asked whether she expected
anything back from the receiver she was paired with and if she did, how
much she expected to get back. We also asked the subjects to write down
(using free-form responses) their motive in sending money to the
receiver. (See the experimental instructions for details.)
We find that the amount of money (or the percentage) expected back
from the receiver plays a major role in influencing the amount of money
that is sent. Given that each dollar sent by the sender to the receiver
in the trust game gets tripled, the sender is as well off or better off
if the receiver returns exactly one-third or more of this tripled
amount. For returns of less than a third, the sender is worse off. There
is a significant difference in the behavior of those who expect less
than one-third and those who expect more. (10) There are 44 subjects who
expect to get back less than one-third of what the receiver gets and
these subjects on average sent $2.14 out of $10.00. The modal amount (18
out of 44) sent by these subjects is $0.00. On the other hand, of the 37
subjects who expected to get back more than one third, the average
amount sent is $6.05. There are 17 subjects who expected to get back
exactly one-third and these subjects on average sent $5.41. The average
amount transferred for the 54 subjects who expect to get back at least
one-third or more is $6.05. The modal amount sent is $10.00 with 17 out
of 54 subjects sending all their initial endowment. (11)
The amount that the sender sends to the paired receiver is highly
correlated with the sender's expectation about the percent amount
that the receiver will return (i.e., the sender's expectations
about the receiver's reciprocity), with a Spearman rank correlation coefficient of 0.58 (p = 0.00).
Table 1 presents results from a parametric regression that examines
this relationship in more detail. We regress the difference between the
amount sent in the trust game and the amount sent in the dictator game
against the following independent variables: (i) female (which is
"1" if the subject is a female, "0" otherwise), (ii)
age, (iii) the percent amount expected back from the receiver, and (iv)
an accumulated wealth variable that captures what the subjects know
about their earnings prior to participating in the trust game. As
mentioned before, 52 out of 100 subjects participate in the dictator
game prior to playing the trust game. While these subjects do not know
their combined earnings in the dictator game (in the role of allocator
and in the role of the recipient) until the very end of the session,
they do know how much money they kept in their role as the allocator in
the dictator game. Thus, they have partial information about their
dictator game earnings. We generate the accumulated wealth variable by
interacting the subject's known earnings from the dictator game
with an order effects dummy that is "1" if the subject played
the dictator game first and "0" if she played the trust game
first. This variable controls for the potential wealth effect generated
by the accumulated earnings in the dictator game.
The dependent variable ranges from -$5.00 to $10.00. Two subjects
sent $5.00 less in the trust game as compared with the dictator game
while 14 subjects sent all $10.00 in the trust game but sent nothing in
the dictator game. Given these upper and lower bounds on the dependent
variable, we use a double-censored Tobit model. We find that the
coefficient of the female dummy is negative and significant (t = -2.35,
p = 0.02), implying that women send less in the trust game as compared
with men and hence exhibit a lower level of trust. The coefficient of
the amount expected back (in percentage terms) is highly significant (t
= 5.17, p = 0.00). Thus, there seems to be a significant amount of
trust, in general, in that the difference in the amounts sent in the
trust and dictator games, respectively, depends significantly on the
proportional amount that the sender expects to get back from the
receiver. The coefficient of the accumulated wealth variable is not
significant, implying that the order in which the subjects played the
games and consequently the earnings they brought into the second game do
not have a significant impact on the dependent variable. In the
regressions we also control for other self-reported individual level
characteristics like the subject's ethnicity, their parents'
ethnicity, their parents' education levels, the subject's GPA,
whether the subject is religious or not, and whether the subject
considers herself to be liked, trusted, friendly, and helpful (the last
four responses measured on a Likert scale). None of these variables are
significant in explaining the decisions made by subjects--in either the
dictator or the trust game--and hence we do not report these here. We
also asked about family income but a majority of subjects did not answer
this question. Hence, we could not use this variable in the analysis.
(12)
We also examined the free responses provided by the senders about
what motivated them to send money (or not) to their paired receiver in
the trust game and find that there are three broad types among the
responses.
A majority of responses exhibit an explicit recognition of the role
of trust in maximizing the size of the pie. But there are two distinct
types among those who show recognition of the incentives. One type
decides to place trust on the pair member and send money. An example of
the first type is Subject #1, who kept $0 and sent $10 and who says,
"I want the $10 but we could both make more if we work together and
split the $30 and make $15 each. This is a total risk because it would
be tempting for the other person to keep the $30. I am hoping that an
obvious gesture of generosity will get me some money back, $10 at
least." There are 55 responses that correspond to this type and are
coded as "2."
An example of the second type is Subject #19 who kept all $10 and
says, "Because everyone wants to maximize his/her utility, so they
want to keep the $10 with them (safely) since they are dealing with an
anonymous person, so there is a possibility that he/she will lose some
money, that he/she offered to the other person. But that person
won't send you back the money, rather he/she will keep the money
for themselves. Keep in mind that the chance is I will get 3X more than
I offered to he/she, if he/she is willing to do it. However, in general
people are not willing to do it with a stranger. So I choose to keep the
$10 with me." There are 17 such responses and they are coded as
"1."
The point here is that both responses coded as "2" and as
"1" exhibit an explicit recognition of the incentives inherent
in this game. Both these groups of players recognize that both players
can be potentially better off if they behave according to the trust and
reciprocity hypothesis but they arrive at starkly different conclusions.
One group concludes in favor of exhibiting trust while the other group
arrives at the opposite conclusion.
All other types of responses (n = 28) are coded "0." For
example, Subject #13, who kept $8 and sent $2 saying, "I am
expecting some returns from what I have given out. And besides, I would
just feel bad if the opposite receives nothing." Or Subject #12,
who kept $9 and sent $1, saying, "In this game I am not really
losing anything. All that's happening is a gain--someone is gaining
more than another. I don't mind sharing some gain/giving some money
away. Hence, I thought I will give away $1 where I don't lose much,
but my partner in the other room gains more." (13)
There are similarities among the responses coded "2" and
many of the responses coded "0." Many of the "0"
responses display an appreciation of the value of trust and reciprocity
as well. What distinguishes them is that "2" responses were
purely payoff- maximizing arguments, which suggested that the sender
could get a higher return by reposing some trust in the reciprocity of
the receiver. These are responses that put the decision in terms of
one's own payoff maximization. "0" responses often refer
to payoff maximization as well, but at the same time they show some
desire towards "sharing" the money with the paired receiver
(i.e., they express some concern about the other player's payoff).
(14)
Figure 2 shows a break-up of the amount sent by each type of
motive. On average, people who were assigned a motive of "0"
sent $3.07 out of $10. The modal amount sent by these subjects is $2 (11
out of 28 people send this amount). For subjects with motive = 1 (those
who recognize the value of trust but refuse to display any), the average
amount sent is $0.36 and the mode is $0 with 15 out of 17 people
choosing to send nothing. For subjects with motive = 2 (responses in
keeping with the trust and reciprocity hypothesis) the average amount
sent is $6.20 with a mode of $10. Eighteen subjects out of 55 with
motive = 2 chose to send their entire endowment of $10 to the paired
receiver. (15)
[FIGURE 2 OMITTED]
Gender Differences in Trust
We find a significant gender difference in the trust game sender
decision, with men sending more money than women. Of the original
endowment of $10.00, men on average send $5.30 to the paired receiver.
The corresponding number for women is $3.47. The difference in the
amount sent is significant using a non-parametric Mann-Whitney U-test (z
= -2.09, p = 0.04). Figure 3 shows the distribution of the amount sent
by men and women in the trust game. Apart from the fact that men send
more than women in the trust game, another curious finding is that a
large number of men send all of the $10.00 initial endowment. As one can
see from Figure 3, the modal amount sent for men is $10.00 while for
women it is $2.00. Out of 47 men, 16 (34%) sent their entire endowment
of $10.00 to the paired receiver. Out of 53 women only five (6.4%) did
so. (An equality of proportions test gives a significant difference: z =
3.08, p = 0.00.) The regression results presented in Table 1 also show
that women send less than men in the trust game. (16)
[FIGURE 3 OMITTED]
To understand if there are systematic gender differences in the
motive behind sending money, we analyze the free-form responses written
by the senders in the trust game disaggregated by gender. Table 2 shows
the amount transferred by each gender broken up by the motives
expressed. In all three motive categories, women send less than men. Two
things stand out from this table. First, many more women express motive
"0"--20 women as compared with eight men (a larger percentage
as well: approximately 38% of women as compared with 17% of men).
Second, men who claim that they are motivated by trust and reciprocity
(motive "2") transfer $7.21, while women who express the same
motive transfer $5.08. The difference in these two amounts is
significant using a t-test (t = 2.58, p = 0.01) and a non-parametric
Mann-Whitney test (z = 2.35, p = 0.02). The amounts transferred for
those who expressed motives "0" or "1" are not
significantly different from one another. This suggests that (i) more
women than men invoke motives that refer to fairness considerations, and
(ii) even though roughly the same number of men and women express
sentiments in keeping with the trust and reciprocity hypothesis, the
women in this category still transfer less money than the men.
One explanation for the observation that women send less money as
compared with men in the sender stage is that women might be more
risk-averse. (17) One can think of the sender's decision to send
money to the paired receiver as an inherently risky one since there is
the possibility that the sender's trust will not be reciprocated.
In order to examine if the women in our study exhibit greater risk
aversion than men, we develop a simple model of risk aversion and then
use the data on the amounts transferred in the trust game from the
sender to the receiver to estimate the risk aversion parameters of the
men and women in our study.
Suppose each sender believes that the receiver can be one of two
types--a "reciprocator" or a "non-reciprocator." Let
p denote the proportion of reciprocators and 1-p the proportion of
non-reciprocators. The reciprocators behave according to some norm of
reciprocity where they return a fraction [alpha] of any amount they have
been sent while non-reciprocators return nothing. Suppose the sender in
the trust game decides to send $X to the receiver. The receiver then
gets $3X. With probability p the receiver returns [alpha] proportion of
that amount and with probability 1-p he returns nothing. Using U to
denote the expected utility (with U(O) = 0), we can express the expected
utility of the sender in this case as E(U) =p * U(10--X+ 3[alpha]X) + (1
-p) * U(10- X).
Let us assume that each sender chooses X so as to maximize this
above expression. The first order condition yields
(3[alpha]-1)pU'(10 - X + 3[alpha]X) = (1 -p)U'(10 - X).
Let the utility function exhibit constant relative risk aversion
with the form U(W) = ([W.sup.1-[sigma]])/(1 - [sigma]), where [sigma] is
the coefficient of relative risk aversion (CRRA). A larger value of
[sigma] signifies a greater degree of risk aversion.
Using this CRRA utility function and substituting in the first
order condition above, we get
p(3[alpha]-1)[(10-X + 3[alpha]X).sup-[sigma]] =
(1-p)[(10-X).sup.-[sigma]], [(10-X + 3[alpha]X)/10-X).sup-[sigma]] =
(3[alpha]01)p/1-p, (1)
10 -X + 3[alpha]X/10-X = [(3[alpha]-1)p/1-p).sup.1/[sigma]]. (2)
Taking the derivative of X (the amount sent) with respect to the
risk aversion parameter ([sigma]), we get
(30[alpha]/[(10-X).sup.2]) dX/d[sigma] = [K.sup.1/[sigma]](log
K)(-1/[[sigma].sup.2]), (3)
where K = (3[alpha]-1)p/X/1-p or
dX/d[sigma] = [(10-X).sup.2]/30[alpha] [K.sup.1/[sigma]](log
K)(-1/[[sigma].sup.2]). (4)
The sign of the derivative depends on the value of log K and will
be negative if log K is positive while the sign is positive if log K is
negative.
If log K is negative, that implies that K = [(3[alpha] - 1)p/(1 -
p)] < 1 or [alpha]p <1. This would be true if and only if a
subject sends money expecting to get back less than one third of what
the receiver gets (i.e., if a subject sends money expecting to end up
with less than her $10 initial endowment). On the other hand, for those
subjects who wish to maximize their payoff, log K must be positive
(i.e., K > 1 or [(3[alpha] - 1)p/(1 - p)] > 1 or [alpha]p > 1).
Thus, if we are going to relate trusting behavior with risk attitudes
then it makes sense to use only those subjects who expect to get back at
least one-third or more of what the receiver gets. As noted in section
3.1. l, there are 54 such subjects. These are the subjects whose
behavior accords with the trust and reciprocity hypothesis. For these
subjects, [alpha]p > 1 and log K > 0 and so the sign of the
derivative in Equation 4 is negative (i.e., the amount of money sent is
decreasing in [alpha], or the higher the risk aversion parameter, the
smaller the amount sent).
To examine whether men and women exhibit differing degrees of risk
aversion, we use Equation 1 to obtain the following: (18)
log(3[alpha] -1) =[[beta].sub.0] + [[beta].sub.1] log
(10-X-3[alpha]X/10-X), (5)
where [[beta].sub.0] = -log(p/1-p) and [[beta].sub.i] = [sigma]
(the risk aversion parameter).
To see if there are any systematic differences in risk attitudes by
gender, we regress log (3[alpha] - 1) against a set of independent
variables that include log (10 - X + 3[alpha]X/10-X), a gender dummy
(female, equal to 1 if subject is female and 0 otherwise) and an
interaction term, female_log, (between the gender dummy, female and log
(10 - X + 3[alpha]X/10 - X). The regression equation is log(3[alpha] -
1) = [[beta].sub.0] + [[beta].sub.1] * log(10 - X + 3[alpha]X/10 - X) +
[[beta].sub.2] * female + [[beta].sub.3] * female_log.
We find that the coefficient for the interaction term female_log is
significantly different from zero (p = 0.06). See Table 3 for the
estimated coefficients. A test of joint significance of the gender dummy
female and the interaction term gives an F-statistic of 2.70 (p = 0.08).
This indicates that the smaller amounts transferred by women senders in
the trust game may be motivated by greater risk aversion on the part of
women as compared with men. (19)
Receiver's Decision: A Measure of Reciprocity (Reciprocity
Elicited Directly Using Actual Amounts)
In this section, we examine how the subjects behaved in their role
as the receiver in the trust game. Since different receivers receive
different sums of money from the paired sender, we look at the
proportion of amount sent back by each receiver. We drop 18 observations
here, since 18 out of 100 subjects received $0 from the paired sender.
We find that on average subjects send back around 17.5% of the amount
that they receive from the sender. Men return 14.7% and women return
19.8%, a difference that is not statistically significant.
The percentage of money received by the receiver from the paired
sender and the percent of money sent back to the paired sender is highly
correlated (Spearman's Correlation Coefficient = 0.32, p = 0.00).
This implies that when the receiver receives a larger percentage of the
initial endowment of the sender, the receiver responds by returning a
larger percentage as well. In Table 5 we provide the results of an OLS regression where the dependent variable is the percent amount sent back
by the receiver in the trust game. The set of independent variables
include (i) the gender dummy--female, (ii) age, (iii) amount of money
received from the paired sender, (iv) amount of money the subject sent
to the paired receiver in his role as the sender in the trust game, (v)
amount of money the subject sent to the paired recipient in the dictator
game, and (vi) an accumulated wealth variable exactly as in Table 1,
which captures what the subjects know about their earnings in the
dictator game prior to playing the trust game. As before, this variable
is created by interacting the amount kept by the subject in his role as
the allocator in the dictator game with an order effects dummy which is
"1" if the subjects played the dictator game first and
"0" if they played the trust game first.
We find that there are no systematic gender differences. However,
the amount of money received from the sender is highly significant,
attesting to the existence of reciprocal tendencies. The coefficient of
the amount of money sent in the dictator game is highly significant as
well indicating that those subjects who send more money to their paired
recipients in the dictator game are also more reciprocal in the trust
game. Finally, the coefficient of the amount sent by the subject in his
role as the sender in the trust game is significant at the 10% level.
This--the connection between the amount sent as the sender in the trust
game and the amount returned as the receiver--is an interesting issue
that we explore in greater detail in the section that looks at the
relation between trust and trustworthiness. We show that for some
subjects, who we will refer to as "trustworthy," these amounts
are highly correlated while for other, non-trustworthy subjects, these
amounts are not correlated at all.
Reciprocity Elicited via the Strategy Method
Now let us look at the responses elicited via the strategy method,
where the subjects were asked to respond to how much they would keep if
they received the 10 hypothetical amounts {$3, $6, $9, $12, $15, $18,
$21, $24, $27, $30}. They made these decisions before they knew how much
they had received from their paired sender.
We have 94 responses in all, since six respondents did not fill out
this part of the instructions. Of these 94 responses, there are five
clear trends. (20) At one extreme, we have 20 subjects who might be
referred to as "egoists." These are people who say that they
will send back nothing to the anonymous sender regardless of the amount
they might receive from the paired sender. At the other end we have
seven subjects who we refer to as "egalitarians." These are
subjects who say that they will send back approximately 50% of any
amount they receive (as long as that amount exceeds $3). In between, we
have three distinct groups who exhibit varying degrees of reciprocity.
First, we have a group of 13 subjects who could be thought of as
"strong reciprocators." These subjects indicate that for any
amount received (as long as that amount exceeds $3) they will send back
at least 33%. Typically they promised to send back around 33% if the
amount received is small, such as $6, and larger fractions (typically
close to 50%) if the amount received is much larger, such as $30. Then
we have a group of "weak reciprocators" (n = 32). They are
willing to send some money back but the percentage they are willing to
send back is typically small, ranging from 10% to 20% and never
exceeding 33%. In between the "strong reciprocators" and
"weak reciprocators" we have a group that we will call
"late reciprocators" (n = 21). For sums of money less than
$15, these subjects resemble the "weak reciprocators" in that
they would send back only about 10-20% of the money received. However,
for amounts of $18 or more these subjects resemble "strong
reciprocators" in that they would return 33% or more.
We provide a broad overview of the responses in each of these
groups in Figure 4. On the x-axis we have the possible amounts that the
receiver can receive. The y-axis shows the percentage of the amount
received that the receiver is willing to return to the anonymous sender.
In order to create this graph we look at the individual responses as to
how much a subject would send back if he received $3, $6, $9, $12, $15,
$18, $21, $24, $27, or $30. Then we take the average of all those
responses corresponding to each hypothetical amount for all subjects in
a particular category. Thus, if we look at the 13 "strong
reciprocators," these subjects stated that on average they would
return approximately 40% of any amount received between $6 and $30.
[FIGURE 4 OMITTED]
Consistency of Responses Elicited using the Direct and Strategy
Methods
The consistency of responses obtained from the two methods relates
to the issue of "hot" versus "cold" responses
(Brandts and Charness 2000). That is, when subjects answered
hypothetically that they would return $Y if they received $X (the
"cold" response), did they indeed return $Y when they received
$X from the anonymous sender (the "hot" response)? Here we
have 76 observations. This is because 18 subjects received $0 and six
subjects did not fill out the relevant part of the questionnaire. Figure
5 describes the behavior of all 76 subjects for whom we have data. The
subjects who were consistent have been assigned a code of "0."
If a subject kept more than she said she would we have given this
subject a negative number where the number refers to the actual dollar
figure (i.e., how much less she sent back compared with what she said
she would send back). If she kept less than she said she would and sent
more back to the receiver then she has been assigned a positive number
where, once again, the number refers to how many dollars more she sent
back compared with what she said she would send back. Figure 5 shows
that out of 76 subjects, 49 were consistent and another eight erred
within $1 on either side, giving us 57 (75%) subjects who were more or
less consistent. This corroborates the evidence reported by Brandts and
Charness (2000) that the "hot" and "cold" responses
in many situations are consistent with one another.
[FIGURE 5 OMITTED]
Relation between Trust and Trustworthiness
Next we explore the relationship between trust and trustworthiness,
the latter being the level of reciprocity shown by the subject. If a
subject reposes trust on her pair-member by sending money, then would
that subject necessarily also reciprocate another subject's trust
when in a position to do so? We find that those who trust do not
necessarily reciprocate. Let us define a subject as "trusting"
if he or she sent exactly 50% or more of her initial endowment of $10.00
in the trust game. If they sent less than 50% then we call them
non-trusting. Then let us see if the subjects classified as
"trusting" using this definition exhibit greater reciprocity
than the "non-trusting" subjects. It turns out that the answer
is no. Using the 50% cutoff, we get 58 subjects who are non-trusting
(sent less than 50%) and 42 trusting (sent exactly 50% or more). The
non-trusting subjects returned on average 18% of the amount they
received, while the trusting subjects returned 16%. This difference is
not significant using either a t-test or a Mann-Whitney test and the
result does not change when we try alternative definitions of
"trusting."
This evidence suggests that, while a large majority of subjects in
this game exhibit trust, not all of them necessarily reciprocate trust
when they have the opportunity to do so. Thus, many subjects, while
trusting, may not be trustworthy. How about those who do reciprocate
trust? Are they more trusting? The answer turns out to be an emphatic
yes. Let us define as "trustworthy" those who return at least
one third or more of any amount offered to them. There are 27 such
subjects. The remaining 55 who return less than one third are deemed
less trustworthy. Remember that 18 receivers get nothing from their
senders and thus we have only 82 observations. Then let us look at how
much money these two groups of subjects send to the pair-member in their
role as senders, where the amount of money sent is a measure of their
degree of trust. It turns out that the 27 trustworthy subjects send
$5.33 on average, which is higher than the $3.82 on average sent by the
remaining 55 subjects (t = 1.79, p = 0.07 using a t-test; z = 1.84, p =
0.06 using a Mann-Whitney test). A parametric double-censored Tobit
model confirms this finding. In Table 6 we regress the amount of money
sent as the sender in the trust game against (i) female (= 1 if female,
0 otherwise), (ii) age, (iii) trustworthy, where trustworthy = 1 if the
subjects returned at least one third or more as the receiver, 0
otherwise, and (iv) an accumulated wealth variable, as in Tables 1 and
5, which capture the subject's known earnings from the dictator
game interacted with the order effects dummy. The coefficient for
trustworthy is positive and significant showing that as trustworthy goes
from 0 to 1 (i.e., toward greater reciprocity) for those subjects the
amount of money sent as sender (a measure of trust) is significantly
higher. Thus, we have strong evidence that being trustworthy implies
being trusting--that is, those who reciprocate others' trust are
inclined to trust others as well--but the converse is not true. This
finding that subjects who are trustworthy are also trusting is
consistent with the results of the Bolton and Ockenfels (2000) Equity,
Reciprocity, and Competition model, where players care about both
absolute payoff as well as relative payoff. As these authors argue (p.
182-3), the receiver in the trust game will cooperate (reciprocate) if
she is sufficiently motivated by relative payoff and the sender
cooperates to start with. A sender will cooperate if and only if she is
sufficiently motivated by pecuniary payoffs and the expected returns are
positive. Thus a receiver who is willing to reciprocate the
sender's trust will also be willing, in her role as the sender, to
take the chance of being exploited by triggering receiver cooperation.
Each subject is making two separate decisions--one as the sender in the
trust game and another as the receiver--and in going from the sender
decision to the receiver decision there is a shift in the "social
reference point" as defined by Bolton and Ockenfels (2000). (21)
Relation between Reciprocity in the Trust Game and Generosity in
the Dictator Game
Note that the receiver (second) stage of the trust game is
analogous to a dictator game except that different receivers in the
trust game receive different amounts. Thus, we can compare the
percentage amount sent back by the receiver in the trust game with the
percentage amount sent by the allocator in the dictator game to see if
these amounts are different. It is important to compare the percentage
amounts here, since the receivers in the trust game have different
amounts at their disposal (ranging from $3 to $30) while the allocators
in the dictator game always have $10. Here we consider only those
receivers who received non-zero amounts from the paired sender and thus
we have 82 observations. For these 82 subjects, the average amount sent
as the allocator in the dictator game is 11.8%, while the average amount
returned as the receiver in the trust game is 17.4%. The percentage
amount sent back by the receiver in the trust game is significantly
greater than that sent by the allocators in the dictator game at the 5%
level (z = 2.01 and p = 0.04 on the Mann-Whitney U-test). Receivers in
the trust game return a greater proportion compared with the dictator
game, perhaps recognizing the element of positive reciprocity in this
game. (22) We next compare the behavior of the trustworthy receivers
(defined as those who send back one third or more of the money received
from the sender) and the less trustworthy ones (i.e., those who send
back less than one third) in the dictator game. As noted above, we have
27 observations in the first group and 55 in the second. We find that on
average trustworthy subjects send $1.89 as the allocator in the dictator
game. The less trustworthy ones send $0.83. This difference is highly
significant using a t-test (t = 2.25, p = 0.03) and marginally
significant using the non-parametric Mann-Whitney test (z = 1.76, p =
0.08). In Table 7 we regress the amount of money sent by the allocator
in the dictator game against a set of independent variables that include
(i) the gender dummy--female, (ii) age, (iii) a dummy variable "trustworthy" that takes the value of "1" for
trustworthy subjects as defined above and 0 otherwise, (iv) the absolute
amount sent by the sender in the trust game, and (v) an accumulated
wealth variable that captures what the subjects know about their
earnings prior to participating in the dictator game. Forty-eight
subjects played the trust game first. While these subjects do not know
their combined earnings as the sender and the receiver in the trust game
until the end of the session, they do know how much money they kept back
in their role as the receiver and to that extent have partial
information about their trust game earnings. For Table 7 we create the
accumulated wealth variable by interacting a subject's known
earnings from the trust game with a dummy variable that is equal to 1
when the subject plays the trust game first and 0 otherwise. Given that
the observations are bounded by $10 at the upper limit and by $0 at the
lower limit in the dictator game, we use a Tobit model with double
censoring. The wealth variable is negative and significant, implying
that playing the trust game first resulted in less money being sent in
the dictator game. This is consistent with the results from the
non-parametric tests reported before. The coefficient for the
trustworthy dummy variable is positive and highly significant, showing
that trustworthy subjects do send more money in the dictator game. This
behavior, that subjects who are trustworthy are also more generous in
the dictator game, is consistent with both the Equity, Reciprocity, and
Competition model of Bolton and Ockenfels (2000), as well as the
inequity aversion model of Fehr and Schmidt (1999).
4. Discussion of Our Results and Some Concluding Remarks
In this paper we have adduced evidence in favor of trusting and
reciprocal tendencies. We also find that men exhibit higher levels of
trust than women do but there are no significant gender differences in
reciprocal behavior or in allocating money in the dictator game. We
attribute the lower trust exhibited by women to a greater degree of risk
aversion. One interesting finding of this study is the disconnect between trust and reciprocity in that those who trust are not
necessarily trustworthy, but the latter are generally more trusting.
Moreover, being more trustworthy is closely connected with greater
generosity in the dictator game. We argue that what many prior studies
(such as Berg, Dickhaut, and McCabe 1995) have interpreted as trust has
two distinct components. One is being both trusting and trustworthy in
the sense of possessing a general social orientation towards others,
while the other has an element of calculated risk-taking or a
predilection for accepting a gamble. The former component is definitely
a "social virtue" (as defined by Fukuyama 1995), the latter
probably not. See Kramer (1999) for a detailed discussion of this point.
(23) So when it comes to the idea of social capital--as in Putnam (2000)
for instance (24)--it is trustworthiness that is more important and
relevant rather than trust. If one is trustworthy, then one is
definitely trusting, but a trusting individual is not necessarily
trustworthy. Thus, researchers looking at social capital and its role in
economic growth and development should concentrate more on the
trustworthy aspects of behavior in the trust game rather than the
trusting decision.
Appendix: Experimental Instructions
Player ID # --
Experiment Instructions
General Instructions
This is an experiment in the economics of market decision making.
The University of Melbourne and other funding agencies have provided
funds to conduct this research. The instructions are simple. If you
follow them closely and make appropriate decisions, you may make an
appreciable amount of money. These earnings will be paid to you in cash
at the end of the experiment.
In this experiment you will be asked to make a series of decisions.
Please make sure that you completely understand the instructions for
each part of the experiment before making any decisions in that part of
the experiment. If you have any questions at any point or need
clarifications, please raise your hand and the experimenter will come to
you and answer your question.
You will be paid $3.00 as a show-up fee. This money is being paid
to you just for agreeing to participate and will be paid to you
regardless of any other amount that you may earn during the actual
experiment.
After we are done with the experiment we would like you to answer a
few questions about yourself. Please answer the questions truthfully and
as accurately as possible. They provide the experimenter with extremely
valuable data that is of enormous help in organizing and interpreting
your decisions. Your answers are confidential and will not be revealed
to anyone other than the experimenters. The data will only be identified
by the ID number assigned to you at the top of this sheet and will not
at any point be connected to your name in any way. If you are ready then
we will proceed. Please turn the page and follow along with the
experimenter.
Experiment 1 (Dictator Game)
The following experiment will be conducted in pairs. After the
experimenter is done reading the instructions you will be divided into
two equal groups--one group will stay in this room while the other group
will go into the next room. Each of you will ALWAYS be paired with
another person who will be in the other room and neither of you will
know the other person's identity at any time.
In this experiment, one member of the pair is designated the SENDER
while the other is designated the RECEIVER.
Each SENDER has $10.00. No money will be disbursed at this point
and all actual payments will be made at the end of the experiment.
However, every person who is a SENDER will have $10.00 added to their
total experimental earning.
Each SENDER is free to take the entire $10.00 that has been added
to his or her account. Or, if the SENDER so wishes, then he or she can
split this $10.00 with the anonymous RECEIVER he/she is paired with. For
example, if the SENDER wishes to give $X.00 out of $10.00 to the
anonymous RECEIVER, then the anonymous RECEIVER will get $X.00 while the
SENDER will get $10.00 - $X.00.
Each of you will play both roles in this experiment. Each of you
will be paired with two people. In one pair you will be the SENDER while
in the other pair you will be the RECEIVER. Let us take an example.
Suppose you are Subject #1. In one pairing, you are paired with Subject
#5. In this pairing you, Subject #1, are the SENDER while Subject #5 is
the RECEIVER. In another pairing you are paired with, say, Subject #8.
However in this pair, Subject #8, is the SENDER while you, Subject #1,
are the RECEIVER.
So you will play this game once as SENDER and once as RECEIVER.
However, the important thing to bear in mind here is that you are NOT
paired with the same person as SENDER and RECEIVER. Rather you are
paired with two different people. In case you have already participated
in another paired experiment just before this then please bear in mind
that you will NOT be paired with the same two people but rather with two
totally different people.
In all cases, the person you are paired with will be in the other
room and you will not be told of the identity of the person at any
point.
You will convey your decisions to your paired member using the form
provided. Please take a look at this form now.
Player ID # --
Form for Recording Decisions for Experiment #1
[ILLUSTRATION OMITTED]
It is important that you keep track of your earnings accurately
since this is the amount you will be paid at the end of the experiment.
You will record your earnings from various parts of this experiment
on the RECORD SHEET that has been given to you. Please take a look at
the RECORD SHEET now.
After you have made your decision as the SENDER, please record the
amount that you wish to keep for yourself (out of the $I0.00) in Box 1
of the RECORD SHEET. Your job as SENDER is done at this point.
The experimenter will then collect all the forms and convey your
decision to the anonymous RECEIVER you are paired with. Since you are
the RECEIVER in another pairing you will receive a form from the SENDER
you are paired with. This form will indicate any amount that the
anonymous SENDER is offering to you. Please make a note of any amount
offered to you as the RECEIVER in Box 2 of the RECORD SHEET. This
concludes Experiment # 1.
Add the two amounts in Boxes 1 and 2 and write down that amount in
Box 3. This is your total earning for Experiment #1.
Are there any questions?
We will now proceed with Experiment #1.
Experiment 2 (Trust Game)
The following experiment will be conducted in pairs. After the
experimenter is done reading the instructions you will be divided into
two equal groups--one group will stay in this room while the other group
will go into the next room.
In this experiment, one member of the pair is designated the SENDER
while the other is designated the RECEIVER.
Each SENDER has $10.00. No money will be disbursed at this point
and all actual payments will be made at the end of the experiment.
However, every person who is a SENDER will have $10.00 added to their
total experimental earning.
Each SENDER is free to keep the entire $10.00 given to him or her.
Or if he/she wishes to, he/she can decide to split it with the anonymous
RECEIVER he/she is paired with. However, any amount of money that the
SENDER offers to the anonymous RECEIVER will be TRIPLED by the
experimenter and given to the RECEIVER. For example, if the SENDER
offers to give $X.00 to the anonymous RECEIVER, then the anonymous
RECEIVER will actually be given 3x$X.00 since the amount offered is
TRIPLED by the experimenter. The RECEIVER, in turn, can decide to keep
the entire 3 x $X.00 offered to him/her. Or the RECEIVER can, if he/she
so wishes, send a part or all of this 3 x $X.00 back to the same
anonymous SENDER he/she is paired with. This latter amount will NOT be
TRIPLED anymore. The experiment ends at that point.
Each of you will play both roles in this experiment. Each of you
will be paired with two people. In one pair you will be the SENDER while
in the other pair you will be the RECEIVER. Let us take an example.
Suppose you are Subject #1. In one pairing, you are paired with Subject
#6. In this pairing you, Subject #1, are the SENDER while Subject #6 is
the RECEIVER. In another pairing you are paired with, say, Subject #7.
However, in this pair Subject #7 is the SENDER while you, Subject #1,
are the RECEIVER.
So you will play this game, once as SENDER and once as RECEIVER.
However, the important thing to bear in mind here is that you are NOT
paired with the same person as SENDER and RECEIVER. Rather you are
paired with two different people. In case you have already participated
in another paired experiment just before this then please bear in mind
that you will NOT be paired with the same two people but rather with two
totally different people.
In all cases, the person you are paired with will be in the other
room and you will not be told of the identity of the person at any
point.
You will convey your decisions to your paired member using the form
provided. Please take a look at this form now.
It is important that you keep track of your earnings accurately
since this is the amount you will be paid at the end of the experiment.
You will record your earnings from various parts of this experiment
on the RECORD SHEET that you have been provided. Please take a look at
the RECORD SHEET now.
After you have made your decision as the SENDER, please record the
amount that you wish to keep for yourself (out of the $10.00) in Box 4
of the RECORD SHEET. Your job as SENDER is done at this point.
The experimenter will then collect all the forms and convey your
decision to the anonymous RECEIVER you are paired with. This RECEIVER
will then get three times the amount you have offered. The RECEIVER can,
if he/she so wishes, return some amount to you. Once you get back this
amount from the RECEIVER, please make a note of it on Box 6 of the
RECORD SHEET.
However, do not forget that you are also paired with another
person, where you are the RECEIVER. So you will also receive an amount
from the anonymous SENDER you are paired with. When you get this offer,
you will have to decide how much to keep and how much to send back. So
while the RECEIVER you are paired with is making a decision about what
to keep and what to send back, you are making a similar decision about
what to keep and what to send back. Once you have decided how much you
wish to keep back as the RECEIVER, please make a note of this amount on
Box 5 of the RECORD SHEET.
If you are not absolutely sure that you understand the
instructions, please get any questions clarified before we proceed.
Are there any questions?
Please turn the page when asked to do so and answer the questions
on the next page.
Decision Task 1
Pick ONE out of the following as your decision: Put an X next to
your choice.
After you have made your choice, enter the relevant amount on the
Form for Making Decision in
Experiment #2.
Player ID # --
Before we proceed please answer the following questions.
Please look at the choice you made on the RECORD SHEET.
You decided to KEEP -- and send -- to the RECEIVER. As a result of
your decision the RECEIVER will actually receive --.
Based on the choice you made in DECISION TASK 1, the anonymous
RECEIVER will receive --. The anonymous RECEIVER can then, if he/she so
decides, send some money back to you, the SENDER.
Decision Task 2
1. Are you expecting to get any money back? -- YES -- NO
2. How much money are you expecting to get back from the RECEIVER?
$ --
Keep in mind the amount of money that the RECEIVER has received
that is shown previously and that you have noted above.
Decision Task 3
You decided to KEEP -- and send -- to the RECEIVER. As a result of
your decision the RECEIVER will actually receive --.
Why did you make this decision? Please take a few minutes to
explain as clearly as you can. (Please feel free to use the other side
of this sheet if you need to.)
Each of you will also play as a RECEIVER. Before any of the actual
decisions are revealed to you, please complete Decision Task 4.
Decision Task 4
As a RECEIVER, you will receive a split suggested by the SENDER.
Since the amount suggested by the SENDER is TRIPLED by the experimenter,
the amounts that you can expect to receive are listed on page 3 under
DECISION TASK 1.
Now as the RECEIVER, you have to decide whether you wish to keep
the entire amount given to you, or whether you wish to send some amount
back to the anonymous SENDER you are paired with.
Player ID # --
Form for Making Decision in Experiment #2
ROUND #1: YOU ARE THE SENDER NOW. PLEASE FILL OUT LINES A-F.
SENDER: You will get the bottom part back after the RECEIVER you
are paired with has made his decision.
We are indebted to the Faculty of Economics and Commerce,
University of Melbourne, for providing the funds to run the experiments
for this study. We are grateful to Debajyoti Chakrabarty for his
insights on modeling risk aversion. We thank James Cox, Pushkar Maitra,
Bradley Ruffle, Tim Cason, Akila Weerapana, and Brock Blomberg for
excellent feedback. Two anonymous referees provided detailed and helpful
comments that have led to significant improvements in the quality of the
exposition. Thanks are due to the participants in the session on
"Trust and Reciprocity in Games" at the 2002 AEA meetings in
Atlanta and to the participants at the 2002 Annual Meeting of the
Economic Science Association in Boston for their comments. All remaining
errors are the responsibility of the authors.
Received May 2005; accepted July 2006.
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(1) In the Berg, Dickhaut, and McCabe (1995) trust game, two
players are paired anonymously, with one player designated the sender
and the other player the receiver. Both players are given an identical
initial endowment. The sender is then told that she can keep all of her
initial endowment or split it with the anonymous receiver. Any amount
offered to the receiver is tripled by the experimenter. The receiver is
free to keep the entire tripled amount, but if he wants he can send some
or all of it back to the anonymous sender. This latter amount is not
tripled. The game ends after this point. The resolution of this one-shot
game using backward induction is simple. A self-interested receiver
would not send any money back knowing that the game ends immediately
thereafter. The sender, anticipating the receiver's decision,
should send no money to the receiver in the first place. However, actual
behavior is different from the one predicted above with both senders
sending positive amounts and receivers sending non-trivial amounts back.
(2) In a one-shot game, an action taken by an agent is
"trusting" if (1) it leads to the creation of a surplus that
can be shared with another agent but (2) leaves the first agent
vulnerable to the possibility of exploitation if the second agent
expropriates the entire surplus, which makes the first agent worse off
than she would have been had she not taken the trusting action. An
action by the second agent is "reciprocal" if the second agent
foregoes the opportunity to expropriate said surplus (even though he can
do so with impunity in a one-shot game) and shares any such surplus
created with the first agent.
(3) Rabin's model applies primarily to normal form games and
is of limited applicability to a sequential prisoner's dilemma game.
(4) Subjects participate in a dictator game where each allocator
has to decide how to divide $10 between herself and an anonymous
recipient. More details are provided in section 2.
(5) To avoid confusion, we will refer to the first and second
movers in the trust game as "sender" and "receiver,"
respectively, and the first and second movers in the dictator game as
"allocator" and "recipient," respectively.
(6) The experiments were conducted at the University of Melbourne
and the dollars mentioned in the paper refer to Australian dollars. The
exchange rate is roughly AU $1 = US 0.75 cents. However, given that the
Australian dollar has been undervalued in recent years, the Australian
dollar and the U.S. dollar are roughly equivalent in purchasing power terms.
(7) For example, if a sender wished to keep $4.00 out of the
initial $10.00 and offered $6.00 to the receiver, then the receiver
would actually receive $18.00. The receiver can then decide if he wishes
to send any part of the $18.00 back to the sender.
(8) The original Berg, Dickhaut, and McCabe experiment followed a
double-blind procedure. We use a single-blind protocol since it is
debatable whether a double-blind procedure is absolutely essential.
Bolton, Katok, and Zwick (1998) comment, "We find no basis for the
anonymity hypothesis..." referring to double-blind procedures. Roth
(1995, p. 301) comments, "... there is no evidence to the effect
that observation by the experimenter inhibits player 1 in ultimatum
games, nor that it is the cause of extreme demands in dictator and
impunity games." However, within the single-blind protocol we were
careful to not look at subject responses while matching the senders to
the receivers. In addition, we avoided recruiting subjects from the
classes that we were teaching to ensure that the subjects did not feel
any pressure to behave in a particular manner.
(9) There is a significant difference (using both the t-test and
the non-parametric Mann-Whitney U-test) in the behavior of those
subjects who played the dictator game first and those who played it
second. The ones who played it first, on average, sent $2.125 while
those who played it second sent $0.50. Thus, playing the trust game
first resulted in greater stinginess on the part of the allocators in
the dictator game. However, behavior is not different in the trust game
(using either the t-test or the Mann-Whitney) according to whether
subjects played the trust game first or second. Those who played the
trust game first sent $4.28 on average while those who played it second
sent $4.38.
(10) Two subjects did not write an amount for what they expected to
get back. Thus, there are only 98 observations instead of 100.
(11) Asking subjects about their expectation could have an impact
on actual behavior. We asked senders about their beliefs regarding the
behavior of receivers after the sender decision is made. Thus, it should
not affect the sender decision, but it may have an impact on the
receiver decision. See Croson (2000) for similar arguments.
(12) Following the suggestions of an anonymous referee, we also
conducted random effects Tobit regressions to control for individual
level unobserved heterogeneity in the sample. Subjects make three
decisions in the four roles that they play and it can be argued that
there is some individual specific effect that is common to all three
decisions. The results from the random effects Tobit model are similar
to the Tobit regression presented here. The indicator of the panel level
variance, rho, is very near zero (rho = 4.46e-34) and a likelihood ratio
test that examines the relevance of using panel data methods shows that
the panel estimator is not different from the Tobit estimates presented
in the paper. In the rest of the paper, we report unconditional Tobit
estimates as the random effects estimates do not seem to be adding any
information. The results from the random effects models are available on
request.
(13) In some cases it is difficult to ascertain a clear motive. For
instance, Subject #61, who sent $1, says, "This is just an
arbitrary decision. I'll think that keeping more money to myself
will then increase my earnings," or Subject #99, who sent $4, and
says, "I make this decision because, first of all, I would like to
keep a certain amount to myself, which is larger than the amount that
I'll send out ... and then because I prefer to have 6:4 ratio I
make this choice out of my intuition. I just pick it randomly. No
specific reason as to why." These subjects are included in the
"0" category as well.
(14) The coding of responses can be subjective and somewhat
arbitrary. Different researchers might interpret different responses in
different ways. Some responses have been included in the zero category
because it was hard to ascertain what these motives were. We discuss
these responses because we believe that they help in understanding what
the subjects are thinking and enable us to understand their behavior. By
themselves these free-form responses may not be powerful evidence but,
added to the other evidence such as the role played by expectations in
determining transfers made by senders in this game, these responses do
strengthen the trust and reciprocity hypothesis.
(15) We have mentioned above that 44 senders said that they
expected to get back less than one-third from the paired receiver. Out
of these 44, 18 senders send nothing to the paired receivers. Out of the
remaining 26 subjects, 16 subjects express motive = 0, one subject
motive = 1 and the remaining nine express motive = 2 as their reason for
sending money. Nine of the 16 motive = 0 subjects send $1. Five of the
nine who express motive = 2 send $3 or less. The surprise is that four
subjects expect to get back less than one-third but send all $10. It is
possible that these subjects expect to be disillusioned by getting back
less than what they send but are still willing to take a chance in case
they turn out to be wrong. The behavior of these subjects is not without
precedent. In Berg, Dickhaut, and McCabe's original study, subjects
in the social-history treatment could see that in the prior no-history
treatment trust did not pay. But the amount transferred by the senders
in the social history treatment is actually higher than in the
no-history treatment. Ortmann, Fitzgerald, and Boeing (2000) replicate Berg, Dickhaut, and McCabe's study and explicitly ask subjects,
"How much money do you think will be returned to you?" Six
subjects out of 18 in Treatment 5 and five subjects out of 16 in
Treatment 5R send money even though they expect to get back one-third of
the tripled amount or less. In treatment 5R, one subject sends all $10
and another sends $8 even though these subjects expect to get back
strictly less than one-third. See tables A5E and A5RE (p. 93-94) in
Ortmann, Fitzgerald, and Boeing (2000).
(16) However, we do not find a significant gender difference in the
amount sent by the allocator in the dictator game. Men on average send
$1.18, while women send $1.49. (z = 0.64, p = 0.52 on a Mann-Whitney
test). This finding corroborates the results of Bolton and Katok (1995),
who also find no gender differences in giving in the dictator game.
(17) Jianakoplos and Bernasek (1998) and Sunden and Surette (1998)
find that single women choose less risky financial options than single
men. Using experiments, Levin, Snyder, and Chapman (1988) find that men
exhibited a greater willingness to accept a gamble than women. Hudgens
and Fatkin (1985) also find greater risk-aversion among women in two
simulated experiments. Croson and Buchan (1999) find that men do send
more than women in the investment game (69% as opposed to 63%). However,
this difference is not significant in their study. In prisoner dilemma
experiments, Ingram and Berger (1977) find that women chose the
competitive strategy for fear of falling into the "sucker"
role--choosing cooperation when the other player defects. The
"sucker effect" occurs when individuals choose to free-ride
out of fear that others will too. Orbell and Dawes (1981) first
discussed the "sucker effect" as a justification for
free-riding behavior in public goods experiments. However, there are
counterexamples as well. Chen, Katuscak, and Ozdenoren (2005) find no
gender differences in bidding behavior in a first price auction while
women are menstruating, but do find that women tend to be more
risk-averse when they are not. But as Croson and Gneezy (2004) point out
in their recent review of gender differences in preferences, "most
lab and field studies indicate that women are more risk-averse than
men." (p. 45).
(18) Since the logarithm of zero or a negative number is undefined,
we have a problem for all those cases where X = 10 (i.e., the sender
sent all of the initial endowment) or the sender expects to get back
less than one-third of the money that the receiver receives (i.e.,
[alpha] < 1/3). To skirt this problem, we have used X = 9.99 for all
values of X = 10. Also, as explained above, for this part of the
analysis we are dropping those subjects who expect to get back less than
one-third.
(19) We also look at the disaggregated data broken up by gender. We
use Equation 5 to estimate the risk-aversion parameter ([[beta].sub.1])
separately for men and women and find that for women the coefficient is
0.213 and this value is significantly different from zero with a
t-statistic of 3.17 (p = 0.00). For men, however, this coefficient is
not significantly different from zero (see Table 4).
(20) This ignores one subject who behaves in a
"hyper-fair" manner, in that this subject promises to give
back more than 50% for all amounts received.
(21) We are indebted to an anonymous referee for pointing out this
connection to us.
(22) Bolton, Katok, and Zwick (1998) argue that allocators in
either the dictator game or the impunity game decide on the total amount
of the sacrifice (i.e., the total amount they wish to transfer) rather
than percentage amounts. They comment (p. 286): "Our basic finding
here is that dictators determine how much money they should keep, and
consequently how much they should give in gifts, on the basis of the
total available for the entire experimental session, not on the basis of
what is available per game." According to this hypothesis the
absolute amounts sent by the allocators in our dictator game and the
absolute amounts returned by the receiver in our trust game should be
roughly equal. We find that this is not true in our data. The average
absolute amount returned by the receivers in the trust game ($3.30) is
significantly higher (at the 1% significance level) than the average
absolute amount sent by the allocators in the dictator game ($1.20).
(23) Chaudhuri et al. (2003) use the Social Values Orientations
scale--a psychological questionnaire designed to measure trust--to
classify people as "high" or "low trustors" and
find, in a different game, that high trustors are both trusting and
trustworthy, while low trustors may be trusting but do not reciprocate
others' trust.
(24) Putnam (2000, Chapter 8, p. 136-7) comments, "Other
things being equal, people who trust their fellow citizens volunteer
more often, contribute to charity, participate more often in politics
and community organizations, serve more readily on juries, give blood
more frequently, comply more fully with their tax obligations, are more
tolerant of minority views, and display many other forms of civic
virtue." Our findings suggest that here Putnam's use of the
word "trust" should be interpreted as
"trustworthiness."
Ananish Chaudhuri * and Lata Gangadharan ([dagger])
* Department of Economics, University of Auckland, Commerce A
Building, 3A Symonds Street, Auckland, New Zealand; E-mail
a.chaudhuri@auckland.ac.nz.
([dagger]) Department of Economics, The University of Melbourne,
Victoria 3010, Australia; E-mail latag@unimelb. edu.au; corresponding
author.
Table 1. Double-Censored Tobit
Variable Value
Female coefficient -1.915 ** (0.815)
Age coefficient -0.128 (0.215)
Percent amount expected
back from receiver 8.598 *** (1.665)
Accumulated wealth coefficient -0.001 (0.095)
Constant 4.615 (4.282)
Number of observations (a) 97
Number censored 1
Number uncensored 82
Number right-censored 14
Pseudo-R2 0.057
Log likelihood -246.701
Likelihood ratio chi-square 29.74 ***
Dependent variable: (amount of money sent in the trust
game) - (amount of money sent in the dictator game).
Standard errors shown in parentheses.
(a) One person did not answer the question about age
and two other people did not answer the question about their
expectations, giving us 97 observations instead of 100.
** Significant at 5%.
*** Significant at 1%.
Table 2. Amount Sent in the Trust Game
by Gender and Motive
Amount Sent Amount Sent
by Men by Women
Motive = 0 $4.25 (n = 8) $2.60 (n = 20)
Motive = 1 $0.60 (n = 10) $0.00 (n = 7)
Motive = 2 $7.21 (n = 29) $5.08 (n = 26)
Table 3. Ordinary Least Squares Regression for
Risk Aversion Estimates (Trust Game)
Standard t-
Coefficient Error Statistic p Value
log ((10-X+
3[alpha]X)
/(10-X)) -0.002 0.0912 -0.02 0.981
Female -0.202 0.258 -0.75 0.455
Female log 0.215 * 0.113 1.90 0.063
Constant -0.733 0.201 -3.65 0.001
[R.sub.2] = 0.05 Number of observations = 54
F(3,50) = 4.59 Prob > F = 0.0524
Dependent variable: log (3[alpha] - 1).
log(3[alpha] - 1) = [[beta].sup.0] + [[beta].sub.1] *
log ([10 - X + 3[alpha]X/ 10 - X]) + [[beta].sub.2] *
female + [[beta].sub.3] * female_log.
* Significant at the 10% level.
Table 4. OLS Regression for Risk Aversion Estimates
Separated by Gender (Trust Game)
Women Men
Robust Robust
Standard Standard
Coefficient Error Coefficient Error
log ((10-X+
3[alpha]X)
/(10-X)) 0.213 *** 0.067 -0.002 0.091
Constant -0.934 *** 0.178 -0.732 *** 0.200
[R.sub.2] 0.10 0.01
Dependent variable: log ([3[alpha] -1). log (3[alpha] - 1)
= [[beta].sub.0] + [[beta].sub.0] * log (10 - X +
3[alpha]X/10 - X).
*** Significant at the 1% level.
Table 5. Ordinary Least Squares Regressions for
the Percentage Sent Back by the Receivers in the
Trust Game
Standard
Variable Coefficient Error
Female 0.059 0.044
Age 0.020 0.012
Amount of money 0.006 ** 0.002
received from the
paired sender in
the trust
game
Amount of money sent 0.012 * 0.006
by the subject as
the sender in
the trust game
Amount of money sent
by the subject as
the allocator
in the dictator 0.033 *** 0.010
game
Accumulated wealth -0.003 0.004
Constant -0.415 0.233
Number of observations 82
Adjusted [R.sub.2] 0.203
* Significant at the 10% level.
** Significant at the 5% level.
*** Significant at the 1% level.
Table 6. Double-Censored Tobit
Variable Coefficient
Female -3.410 *** (1.252)
Age -0.267 (0.345)
Trustworthy 2.901 ** (1.339)
Accumulated wealth -0.003 (0.139)
Constant 10.617 (6.892)
Number of observations 82
Number left censored 15
Number uncensored 49
Number right censored 18
Pseudo-[R.sup.2] 0.032
Log likelihood -183.038
Likelihood ratio chi-square 12.21 **
Dependent variable: The amount of money sent by the subject
as the sender in the trust game (a measure of the
degree of trust). Standard errors shown in parentheses.
** Significant at the 5% level.
*** Significant at the 1% level.
Table 7. Double-Censored Tobit
Standard
Variable Coefficient Error
Female 0.918 1.130
Age -0.114 0.293
Trustworthy 2.147 ** 1.116
Amount sent by the
sender in the trust game 0.026 0.158
Accumulated wealth -0.240 ** 0.088
Constant 1.149 6.116
Number of observations 82
Number left censored 49
Number uncensored 31
Number right censored 2
Pseudo-[R.sub.2] 0.06
Log likelihood -114.458
Likelihood ratio chi-square 14.63 ***
Dependent variable: The amount of money sent by the allocator in the
dictator game.
** Significant at the 5% level.
*** Significant at the 1% level.
Room A Room B Room B Room A
Sender Receiver Sender Receiver
1 5 5 2
2 6 6 3
3 7 7 4
4 8 8 1
Player ID #--
Earnings Record Sheet for Experiment #1
Box 1 Amount Kept as
Sender in
Experiment 1
Box 2 Amount Received
as Receiver in
Experiment 1
Box 3 Total Earnings in
Experiment 1
(Add amounts in
Boxes 1 & 2)
Player ID #--
Earnings Record Sheet for Experiment #2
4 Amount Kept as
Sender in
Experiment
5 Amount Kept as
Receiver in
Experiment 2
6 Amount sent back by
paired Receiver in
Experiment 2
7 Total Earnings in
Experiment 2
(Add amounts in
Boxes 4, 5 &6)
8 Total Earnings in
Experiments 1 & 2
(Add boxes 3 & 7)
9 Show-up fee $3.00
10 TOTAL
THE
RECEIVER
I WISH TO I WISH TO WILL
KEEP ($) SEND ($) THEN GET ($)
10.00 0.00 0.00
9.00 1.00 3.00
8.00 2.00 6.00
7.00 3.00 9.00
6.00 4.00 12.00
5.00 5.00 15.00
4.00 6.00 18.00
3.00 7.00 21.00
2.00 8.00 24.00
1.00 9.00 27.00
0.00 10.00 30.00
IF AMOUNT THEN I WANT I WISH TO SEND
RECEIVED IS TO KEEP BACK TO SENDER
$3.00
$6.00
$9.00
$12.00
$15.00
$18.00
$21.00
$24.00
$27.00
$30.00
A Starting Amount $10.00
B Amount you wish to KEEP
C Amount you wish to SEND
(A-B)
D Amount you have been sent
(3 times C)
E Amount you wish to KEEP
F Amount you wish to SEND
BACK
(D-E)