Multimarket equilibrium, trade, and the law of one price.
Holt, Charles A.
1. Introduction
Although the centerpiece of any introductory economics course is
the supply and demand model of perfect competition, students frequently
have trouble understanding the linkages between individual markets and
how differing supply or demand conditions can lead to different price
tendencies between markets. Instead of implementing a single-market
classroom experiment and asking students why prices converged to, say,
$6, it is instructive to set up two markets and let students try to
explain why prices in the two markets differ. This two-market approach
also illustrates how gains from trade arise when cross-market trading is
introduced. Speculators essentially unify the markets and equalize prices as arbitrage opportunities are exploited. Multimarket experiments
help bridge the gap in students' knowledge that results when the
leap is made from one to many markets, as is done in most microeconomics textbooks.
We use playing cards to distribute buyers' value information
in classroom trading. The dual market setup can be adapted for
microeconomics classes at any level, ranging in size from 10 to about
40. Somewhat larger classes can be accommodated by recruiting assistants
to help pass out cards or by assigning students to work in groups. The
exercise takes about an hour, including discussion. Section 2 outlines
the procedures, and section 3 describes how to structure the class
discussion to enhance student learning. Section 4 surveys results from
(nonclassroom) research experiments in which trading occurs in
interrelated markets.
2. Procedures
The basic setup involves two isolated markets, with identical
demand conditions but with different supply conditions. Allowing trade
only within each separate market will generate higher prices in the
market with tight supply, setting the stage for the subsequent
introduction of traders who can buy in one market and sell in the other.
We have used two different trading institutions. In the first, we
eliminate sellers by conducting auctions in which we sell a fixed number
of commodity units to student buyers in each market. This institution is
relatively easy to implement, especially for the instructor who has not
previously conducted a classroom market exercise. In Appendix 1 we
describe a second institution, a pit market, in which buyers and sellers
come together in separate trading areas to call out bids and asks and to
negotiate trades in a relatively unstructured situation. The pit market
is more complex than the auction, but an instructor who has previously
conducted a single-market classroom exercise (as described in Holt 1996)
might prefer this setup.
Consider the auction setup with fixed supply and eight buyers
assigned to each market. (The numbers of buyers can be increased or
decreased as explained below.) Six units are available for sale in the
first market, and only two units are available in the second.(1) Buyers
submit sealed bids for a single unit in their own market, with the
uniform purchase price determined by the highest rejected bid. Thus, if
the three highest bids were $9.50, $8, and $7 in the thin (low-supply)
market, the buyers with bids of $9.50 and $8 would each receive a single
unit but both would pay only $7 for these units. If a tie results for
the lowest accepted bid (e.g., if the bids submitted were $9.50, $8, and
$8), one of the tied bids is randomly chosen, and all units are sold at
the tie price ($8). Buyers are given a motive to bid by providing them
with resale values that can be conveniently assigned with playing cards.
We use numbered playing cards to determine resale values. The cards are
shuffled, and each buyer is given a card, which determines the
buyer's resale value in dollars; for example, a 6 of hearts
indicates a resale value of $6. A buyer who makes a purchase at a price
below the resale value earns a profit that is the difference between the
resale value and the purchase price. Bids above resale value are not
permitted. Thus, the buyer's value corresponds to a limit price.
The eight cards used in each market are 10, 9, 8, 7, 6, 5, 4, and
3; these values can be arrayed to form a demand function, as shown in
Figure 1. The vertical lines show the perfectly inelastic supply
function in each market. The demand function is not shown to students
prior to trading, but if buyers bid optimally, the price will be $8 in
the thin (low-supply) market and $4 in the thick (high-supply)
market.(2) After buyers' resale values and the trading rules are
explained by reading the instructions contained in Appendix 2, the cards
are dealt, and each buyer submits a bid for a single unit by writing a
bid price (identified by the student's name) on a small slip of
paper given to them by the instructor. These bids are collected and
ordered from high to low in each market, and the market-clearing price
is announced. This price is the third-highest bid in the thin market and
the seventh-highest bid in the thick market. Buyers then calculate their
earnings (equal to zero for those who made no purchase) using the record
sheet contained in Appendix 2. These instructions and record sheets can
also be downloaded from the Web at http://theweb.badm.sc.edu/laury.
It might enhance student interest if you collect the cards between
rounds, shuffle them (keeping the cards from the two markets separate),
and then pass them out again to buyers before bids are made in the next
period. Prices should converge to near-equilibrium levels after several
periods, at which time trading between markets can be introduced.
After reading the traders' instructions (also contained in
Appendix 2), ask for one volunteer from each market to act as a trader.
The lowest-numbered card in each market should be removed before passing
out the remaining cards. Because these cards represent extramarginal
units, this does not change the equilibrium price in either market. Each
trader is given a capital endowment of $20 and is restricted to
purchasing a single unit in the thick (low-price) market? Because of the
price disparity between markets, this unit can be resold for a profit in
the thin (high-price) market. After the introduction of traders, trading
in the thick market precedes that in the thin market. Any units bought
by traders are automatically added to the available supply in the next
(thin) phase of the market.
With the introduction of traders, the supply in the thin market is
increased by the number of units that the traders bring, and the
market-clearing price is again determined by the highest rejected bid.
The predicted outcome is for two units to be purchased by traders in the
thick market and resold in the thin market. The addition of these two
units shifts supply out to four in the thin market and lowers the price
to $6. Similarly, the additional two units of demand should, in theory,
raise the price to $6 in the thick market as the traders leave only four
units for buyers in this market.
To accommodate additional students (i.e., for classes with more
than 16 students), you can assign the extra buyers low-valued ($2-$4)
units. Because these units do not trade in equilibrium, the market
predictions do not change. Alternatively, you can add higher-valued
buyers to each market (distributing the values among the range of demand
possibilities). In this case, the number of units offered for sale and
the number of traders must be increased so that prices are equated
between markets when each trader purchases a unit in the thick market
and sells it in the thin market. For example, you can double the number
of students who participate by giving out two cards for each value, so
that the resulting demand function is 10, 10, 9, 9, and so on. In this
case, you should offer 12 units for sale in the thick market and four
units in the thin market; when trade is introduced, you will need two
volunteers from each market (four total) to act as traders. For smaller
classes, the lowest-valued units ($3) can be removed or buyers allowed
to purchase more than one unit by giving each student an additional
playing card. The instructions in Appendix 2 show how to implement this
change.
Using this design, prices should reach the predicted levels in two
or three periods. After introducing traders, several more trading
periods should be conducted in sequence (first trading in the thick
market, then in the thin market). If time is running short, you might
need to end trading before prices converge. Be sure to leave at least 15
minutes for discussion.
3. Discussion
It is useful to discuss prices in the two separate markets before
considering the effects of speculative trading across markets. We will
summarize a typical adjustment pattern and then consider how the
subsequent questions and class discussion might be structured. Figure 2
shows the prices observed for seven auction periods in one class.(4)
Recall that the predicted price is $8 in the thin market and $4 in the
thick market. In each period, the average price in the thin market is
shown by an open box and the average price in the thick market by an
"X." Notice that prices tend to separate in periods without
traders and to converge in the periods with traders. After two rounds of
trading, the price was $8 in the thin market and $4 in the thick market.
In round 3, only one trader submitted a market-clearing bid, so only one
unit was carried over into the thin market. Notice, however, that the
additional unit of demand raised prices in the thick market by $1. In
this class, traders were not restricted to buy only in the thick market,
and the excluded trader purchased a unit in the thin phase. This
increase in demand offset the additional unit of supply and further
reduced the price in the subsequent thick phase of the market, in which
there were a total of seven units available. By round 5, the price was
$7 in the thin market and $5 in the thick market. Prices took several
periods to converge in the auction market because one trader was unable
to purchase a unit until the final trading period.(5) At this time,
traders purchased two units in the thick market, and prices converged at
$6 in both markets.
The values, bids, and transactions prices for both auction markets
are shown in Table 1. One trader displaced the buyer with a resale value
of $5, except in period 4, when a seventh unit was available.
Furthermore, all the gains from trade were realized in period 7, as the
buyers with $6 and $5 resale values were excluded from the thick market;
these units went to the "right" buyers who had previously been
excluded in the other market (i.e., those with resale values of $8 and
$7). Because these latter two buyers were unable to make purchases prior
to the introduction of cross-market trade, the gain from the addition of
these buyers is $7 + $8 = $15. This gain more than offsets the loss of
buyer value of $5 + $6 = $11 in the thick market, as the price increase
excluded these two marginal buyers there. There is, of course, no change
in total production costs because the same units are produced as before
(at a marginal cost of zero): all six units in the thick market and the
two units in the thin market.
The first impulse of most instructors is to graph the supply and
demand functions to show how well economic theory works. This is the
wrong approach. Instead, the discussion should begin by asking why
prices were higher in the thin market, which should bring the obvious
response that there is a scarcity there (only two units are available
for sale). Then announce the buyers' card numbers, which should be
read from the actual cards in no particular order. Then ask why the
prices converged to the observed levels.
First, students will have to figure out that the optimal bid is
one's own resale value.(6) Noting that bids above value are not
permitted, ask whether it is optimal to bid below value. Someone will
say yes, then ask the students for an example in which more money is
earned by bidding below value. The discussion of examples will make it
clear that bidding below value does not lower the price that this person
pays, which is the highest rejected bid. Then ask whether bidding below
value can ever cause regret. The answer is that this bidder might lose a
purchase that would have been profitable with a bid at resale value. It
helps to write the numbers being used in the discussion on a price line
on the blackboard and to mark the buyer's reservation value
clearly. Finally, the relationship between bidding at value and the
market-clearing (competitive) price needs to be brought out by
questions. Here you might need to lead somewhat to help students
discover how to apply supply and demand in this particular case with
discrete demand and fixed (inelastic) supply. Having data for two
different market structures can be helpful for the evaluation of ad hoc explanations of what determines price levels. These stories can
generally be made to fit what happened in one market but not in both.
For example, a conjecture that price should be equal to the average of
the demand values would work for the market with traders but not for
either of the isolated markets.
Table 1. Transactions Record for Two Auction Markets
Thick Market Thin Market
Period Value Bid Price Value Bid Price
1 10 8 3 10 10 6
8 7 3 8(*) 6 6
9 6 3
7 6 3
5 5 3
4(*) 4 3
2 10 10 4 10 9 8
9 9 4 9 9 8
8 8 4
7 7 4
6 6 4
5 5 4
3 10 10 5 10 10 8
9 9 5 Trade(*) 10 8
Trader 7 5 9 8 8
8 6 5
6(*) 6 5
7 5 5
4 10 10 4 10 10 7
Trader 10 4 9 9 7
8 8 4 8 8 7
7 7 4
9 6 4
5(*) 5 4
4(*) 4 4
5 Trader 10 5 10 10 7
8 8 5 9 9 7
7 7 5 8 8 7
10 6 5
9 5 5
6(*) 5 5
6 Trader 10 6 10 10 7
9 9 6 9 9 7
8 8 6 8 8 7
7 7 6
10 6 6
6(*) 6 6
7 Trader 10 6 10 8 6
Trader 10 6 9 8 6
9 9 6 8 8 6
8 8 6 7 7 6
10 7 6
7 7 6
An asterisk (*) denotes an inefficient buyer inclusion.
After students understand how prices are determined in the isolated
markets, you can turn to the effects of trade. Follow-up questions can
address the reasons for trade across markets in this context. By now,
students should realize that profits are available to traders who buy in
the low-priced market and sell in the high-priced market. Therefore, the
subsequent discussion can emphasize how trade affects prices and the
masons for this. Try to get your students to relate their intuitive
answers to shifts in demand in the low-priced market and the resulting
increase in supply when traders enter the high-priced market. Questions
about whether profit opportunities persist should make it clear that
prices will tend to equalize. Next, ask what buyers in each market will
think about the advent of speculation. The answer should pick up the
fact that buyers benefit when prices fall and suffer when prices rise.
The obvious question, then, is whether the gains of one group more than
offset the losses of another. This is a much more subtle issue for
students, and you will have to focus the discussion on total earnings of
the group as a whole. Recall that the same units are bought as before
trade. However, including the high-value buyers ($7 and $8) in the thin
market more than offsets the exclusion of the low-value buyers ($5 and
$6) in the thick market for a net gain of $7 + $8 - $5 - $6 = $4. This
might seem like a small amount to the students, so express it as a
percentage of the total earnings (buyer surplus) and discuss what this
percentage might mean at the economy-wide level when, for example, trade
barriers are removed. Finally, the gains from trade should be related to
the surplus area in the supply and demand figure.
You should point out that the increased efficiency comes at the
expense of buyers in the thick market, who pay a higher price or are
shut out of the market entirely. This is one reason that free trade can
be controversial, especially when it is difficult to see other gains
from trade (e.g., reduced prices in other markets or gains due to
comparative advantage). Finally, note that the speculators make profits
without producing any real goods, and ask how efficiency can arise as a
result of such "unproductive" activity.
The tendency for prices to equalize is sometimes referred to in
textbooks as the "law of one price." Although this exercise
demonstrates its predictive power in a simple market, you might ask for
conditions under which this law might not hold. For example, does
California wine cost the same in California as it does in Japan? This
should induce people to mention transportation costs. Understanding can
be improved by considering the effect of a $1 cost of moving a unit from
the thick market to the thin market.
4. Further Reading
Miller, Plott, and Smith (1977) conducted the first laboratory
experiment in which traders or speculators were allowed to buy in one
market and sell in a subsequent market. Unlike the exercise described
here, there were sellers with a stationary supply curve, and the demand
shifted in and out in alternating "seasons." In each session,
some subset of participants were given the right to purchase in the
initial low-demand (low-price) season and to sell in the high-demand
season.(7) Speculation caused seasonal price differences to diminish
rapidly over time, with a consequent increase in market efficiency.
Similar results are reported by Williams (1979) and, for markets with
different locations, by Plott and Uhl (1981). Convergence to an
intertemporal competitive equilibrium was less dramatic when both supply
and demand shifted between seasons (Williams and Smith 1984). Some of
this literature is surveyed in Plott (1989) and Holt (1995).
Appendix 1: Pit Market Procedures
With larger classes, it is possible to use students as buyers and
sellers who negotiate prices in a trading pit. Detailed instructions for
conducting a classroom pit market are given in Holt (1996). Because this
is more complicated than the auction design, we suggest that the
instructor conduct a single pit market exercise before attempting to
conduct this exercise, in which two markets are conducted either
simultaneously or sequentially. There must be at least 25 students (9
sellers and 16 buyers) and several assistants (possibly students) to
help verify contracts and record the transactions.
The demand functions are the same as those described above, but use
only red playing cards (Hearts and Diamonds) to assign buyers'
value numbers. Supply is determined by sellers' costs, also
specified using playing cards. We use numbered black cards (Clubs or
Spades) to indicate costs; for example, a 3 of Clubs represents a cost
of $3 for producing a single unit. Production costs are not incurred
unless a unit is actually sold, in which case the seller earns the
difference between the sales price and the unit cost. A good design to
use involves nine sellers with costs of 6, 7, and 10 in the thin market
and 2, 2, 2, 2, 3, and 3 in the thick market. These costs. arranged from
low to high, determine the supply functions, much the way the demand
function was created using value numbers. The market-clearing prices
match those of the auction markets described above: $4 to $5 in the
thick market and $8 to $9 in the thin market.
The trading is initiated by asking students to keep their cards
private and come to two corners of the room, one for each market. Before
traders are introduced, the two markets can open at the same time to
save time. There is a separate reporting table for each market and the
instructor or an assistant at each table to report and announce
transaction prices as they occur. Once in the trading pit, buyers can
call out bids to purchase a single unit, and sellers can call out asking
prices to sell a single unit. In this way, students negotiate freely as
they stand around in a group. When a buyer and a seller have agreed on a
price, they come to the table designated for their market to report the
price, waiting in line in pairs if there is a queue. The instructor or
an assistant should check to ensure that the price is no greater than
the number on the buyer's card and no lower than the number on the
seller's card (otherwise, the buyer and seller are sent back to the
trading pit). Once a trade is verified, it is announced loudly and
written on the blackboard next to the name of the market (Blue or
Green). Then the person at the reporting table takes the cards and sends
the buyer and seller back to their seats to record their earnings. This
recording is facilitated by the record sheet contained in Holt (1996).
Speculation across the pit markets can be allowed by letting two
observers come in as traders or by assigning the low-valued buyer in
each market to be traders. As in the auction market, traders are given a
capital endowment of $20 and instructed to purchase no more than a
single unit. Instructions for these traders are provided at the end of
this appendix. A trader might fail to sell a unit purchased in the
previous phase of the market. In this case, the unit cannot be carried
over into the next period, and the trader incurs a loss equal to the
purchase price of the unit. When intermarket trade is allowed, each of
the two traders should purchase one unit in the thick market, which
opens first, and sell it in the thin market. This speculation shifts out
demand in the thick market and supply in the thin market, equating the
competitive prices in the range of $6 to $7.
The discussion should be conducted as described for the auction
market. Because each unit can trade at a different price (unlike the
uniform price auction), average prices can differ by a small amount
between the thick and thin markets, even after the introduction of
traders. Also, the effects of trade on sellers are the reverse of those
experienced by buyers: Sellers in the thick market benefit from the
increase in prices, whereas sellers in the thin market suffer from the
decrease in price. However, because the same number of units are
produced as before. the net gain in value ($4) is identical to that
experienced in the auction market. How this gain is divided between
buyers and sellers depends on the actual transactions prices.
For the pit market, use the instructions included in Holt (1996)
together with the trader instructions below. The trader record sheet
shown in Appendix 2 can also be used for the pit market.
Trader Instructions (Pit Market)
For the next several periods, one buyer from each market (Blue and
Green) will act as a trader. These traders are able to both buy and sell
units, as described below.
Blue and Green trading will now be conducted in sequence (first
trading in the Blue market and then in the Green market). Traders will
be given an initial capital endowment of $20 and can use all or part of
this money to purchase units of the good.
Each trader is allowed to purchase one unit in the Blue market,
where traders negotiate contracts as before. However, the trader's
value of the good is not yet known - it depends on the (uncertain) price
at which the good is sold in the next market. If a trader purchases a
unit in the Blue market, the trader has one unit of the good to sell in
the Green market. The trader's capital endowment will be reduced by
the purchase price of this unit. At no time is a trader allowed to buy a
unit for a price greater than the amount in the current capital stock.
Traders who purchase units in the Blue market can then enter the
Green market as sellers. They are free to negotiate a sales price with
any of the Green market buyers. If a trader sells a unit in the Green
market, the trader's capital endowment is increased by the sales
price of this unit. If the sales price is higher than the amount the
trader paid for the unit, the trader earns a profit on this unit. For
example, if a trader buys a unit at a price of $9 and sells it at a
price of $10, this trader's capital stock is increased by $1. If
the sales price is lower than the amount the trader paid for the unit,
the trader earns a loss on this unit. For example, if a trader buys a
unit at a price of $10 and sells it at a price of $9, this trader's
capital stock is decreased by $1. Traders earn a profit by purchasing at
a low price and selling at a high price.
If a trader purchases a unit in the Blue market but does not sell
it in the Green market, the unit expires, and the trader earns a loss
equal to the purchase price of the unit. In other words, a unit
purchased in one round cannot be sold in any other round.
Appendix 2: Auction Market Instructions
Buyer Instructions
Changes for the two-unit version are in parentheses and italicized
in the instructions that follow.
Today we will have a market in which the people on my right are
buyers in the Blue market and the people on my left are buyers in the
Green market. Note that all of you are buyers. I will now give each
person a numbered playing card. Please hold your card so that others do
not see the number. Each card represents the value to you of one unit of
an unspecified commodity that can be purchased.
You can each buy one unit (up to two units) of the commodity during
a trading period (one unit for each card you hold). The number on your
card is the dollar value that you receive if you make a purchase. You
will be required to buy at a price that is no higher than the value
number on the card. Your earnings on the purchase are calculated as the
difference between the value number on the card and the purchase price
that you negotiate. For example, if you have a 10 and you purchase one
unit at a price of $6, your earnings are 10 - 6 = $4. (If you buy only
one unit of the commodity, you receive the highest of the two values on
your playing cards. For example, if you have a 10 and an 8, and you
purchase one unit at a price of $6, your earnings are $4.) If you do not
make a purchase, you do not earn anything in the period. Think of it
this way: It is as if you knew someone who would later buy the unit from
you at a price that equals your value number, so you can keep the
difference if you are able to buy the unit at a price that is below the
resale value.
Trading Rules
The Blue market has six units available for sale, and the Green
market has two units available for sale. To purchase units, you will
make written bids to purchase units of the good. The bid you submit
should represent the maximum price you are willing to pay for a given
unit. (You can submit different bids for each unit of the good, for
example, $10 for the first unit and $9 for the second unit. Remember
that the first unit you purchase is worth more to you, so the bid for
the second unit should never be higher than for the first.
Alternatively, you can submit the same bid for both units of the good,
for example, $10 for two units of the good.)
After everyone has submitted their bids, I will place all Blue
market bids in order from highest to lowest. The highest six bids will
each obtain a unit of the good. The price of the good will be equal to
the seventh-highest bid. Thus, no one will pay a price higher than the
amount submitted in his or her bid (and the actual purchase price can be
lower). In case of a tie, winners will be randomly drawn from all fled
bids. The price will be equal to this (lowest) tied bid.
For example, if the bids were $10, $10, $10, $9, $9, $9, $9, $7,
and $7, the highest six bids correspond to $10 through $9. However, only
three of the four $9 bids will receive the good (because there are seven
bids at this level). The price of the good would be $9. On the other
hand, if the bids were $10, $10, $10, $9, $9, $8, $7, and $7, all those
who bid $10 through $8 (the highest six bids) would receive units of the
good at a price of $7 (the seventh-highest bid).
In the Green market, bids will also be ordered, but only the
highest two bidders will receive units of the good. The price of the
good will be equal to the third-highest bid. Thus, no one will pay a
price higher than the amount submitted in his or her bid (and the actual
purchase price can be lower). Ties will be handled as in the Blue
market.
Some buyers with low values might not be able to purchase a unit,
but do not be discouraged. New cards will be passed out at the beginning
of the next period. Remember that earnings are zero for any unit not
bought (buyers receive no value).
Note that you will not be earning any money in this experiment!
Buyer Record Sheet
Period 1 __________ __________ _____________
(Value) - (Price) = (Earnings)
Period 2 __________ __________ _____________
(Value) - (Price) = (Earnings)
Total earnings all periods:
Trader Instructions (Auction Market)
For the next several periods, one buyer from each market (Blue and
Green) will act as a trader. These traders are able to both buy and sell
units, as described below.
Blue and Green trading will now be conducted in sequence (first
trading in the Blue market and then in the Green market). Traders will
be given an initial capital endowment of $20. They can use all or part
of this money to purchase units of the good.
Traders are each allowed to purchase one unit in the Blue market.
In this market, a trader can submit a bid to buy as before. However, the
trader's value of the good is not yet known - it depends on the
(uncertain) price at which the good is sold in the next market. If a
trader's bid is successful the trader has one unit of the good to
sell in the Green market. The trader's capital endowment will be
reduced by the purchase price of this unit.
Any units purchased in the Blue market will be added to the
existing supply in the Green market. If one trader purchases a unit of
the good in the Blue market, there will be three units for sale in the
Green market (the two units currently offered by me and one unit from
the trader). The three highest bidders will purchase units at a price
equal to the fourth-highest bid. If both traders purchase one unit in
the Blue market, there will be two additional units available for sale
in the Green market. Thus, the four highest bidders will purchase units
at a price equal to the fifth-highest bid.
After sales have been made in this market, the trader's
capital endowment is increased by the sales price of this unit. If the
sales price is higher than the amount the trader paid for the unit, the
trader earns a profit on this unit. For example, if a trader buys a unit
at a price of $9 and sells it at a price of $10, this trader's
capital stock is increased by $1. If the sales price is lower than the
amount the trader paid for the unit, the trader earns a loss on this
unit. For example, if a trader buys a unit at a price of $10 and sells
it at a price of $9, this trader's capital stock is decreased by
$1. Traders earn a profit by purchasing at a low price and selling at a
high price.
At no time is a trader allowed to submit a bid to buy a unit for
more than the amount in the current capital stock.
[TABULAR DATA OMITTED]
1 In the instructions, the high-supply market is referred to as the
Blue market and the low-supply market as the Green market.
2 How these bids are determined is discussed further in section 3.
3 It might seem obvious that this is the only way to make money.
However, as described below, in one market a trader bought in the
"wrong" phase of the market (and lost $4) when not explicitly
prohibited from doing so.
4 The auction was conducted in a class of nine undergraduate
students at the University of South Carolina. Each buyer could purchase
up to two units. Two low-valued ($2 and $3) units were added to demand
in the thick market.
5 This illustrates the need to set the initial capital endowment
high enough so that a trader who loses money on a transaction is not
excluded from the market. In the auction market reported here, traders
were given an initial endowment of only $10. When the trader lost $4 on
an initial contract, he could not bid more than $6 (the amount of his
remaining capital) in subsequent rounds. He was unable to purchase a
unit with this bid, which kept prices from equalizing. This problem was
noticed before period 7, and his capital endowment was increased.
6 It is possible that some buyers will discover this on their own.
In the auction session reported here, after the first round one buyer
asked why she would ever want to bid less than her value. It is best to
defer the answer to such questions until the discussion period. at which
time you can start the discussion of this issue with that student's
observation.
7 The trading differed from the one-sided auction described here
because sellers were also allowed to make price quotes in a two-sided
(double) auction.
References
Holt, Charles A. 1996. Classroom games: Trading in a pit market.
Journal of Economic Perspectives 10:193-203.
Holt, Charles A. 1995. Industrial organization: A survey of
laboratory research. In Handbook of experimental economics, edited by J.
Kagel and A. Ruth. Princeton, NJ: Princeton University Press, pp.
349-443.
Miller, Ross M., Charles R. Plott, and Vernon L. Smith. 1977.
Intertemporal competitive equilibrium: An empirical study of
speculation. Quarterly Journal of Economics 91:599-624.
Plott, Charles R. 1989. An updated review of industrial
organization: Applications of experimental methods. in Handbook of
industrial organization, 2, edited by R. Schmalensee and R. D. Willig.
Amsterdam: North-Holland, pp. 1109-76.
Plott, Charles R., and Jonathan T. Uhl. 1981. Competitive
equilibrium with middlemen: An empirical study. Southern Economic
Journal 47:1063-71.
Williams, Arlington W. 1979. Intertemporal competitive equilibrium,
on further experimental research. In Research in experimental economics
1, edited by V. L. Smith. Greenwich, CT: J.A.I. Press, pp. 255-78.
Williams. Arlington W., and Vernon L. Smith. 1984. Cyclical double-auction markets with and without speculators. Journal of Business
57:1-33.