Knowledge and Persuasion in Economics.
Yoon, Yong J.
Since his 1983 article in the Journal of Economic Literature,
McCloskey has lead for more than a decade the discussion of "the
rhetoric of economics, "the question of how better to argue in
economics. Rhetoric is not, as should be clear to all, merely appealing
talk separate from the substance. Rhetoric matters because it is
concerned with what should pass as knowledge and truth in science.
Persuasive discussion uses fact, logic, metaphor, storytelling, and
authority.
McCloskey's book is well written and covers a remarkable breadth
of methodology in economic science, which will not fail to stir the
economist's interest and protest, though most economists are not
familiar with them. It is also provocative, evocative, and most of all
entertaining.
The book begins with McCloskey's literary critique, an
intellectual autobiography, of methodology and philosophy of economic
science. He elaborates on his original motivation for the rhetoric in
economics, i.e., criticism of modernism (extreme rationalism) and
logical positivism. Alexander Rosenberg, a philosopher of economic
science, is discussed extensively. Rosenberg charges that economic
theory is nothing but applied mathematics. McCloskey argues that this
charge applies only to general equilibrium theory and mathematical
economics and armchair discussions of philosophers who fail to see the
economic science. The book has extensive replies to his critics, mostly
from philosophers of economics and the Austrian school. Along with the
two earlier books, this book helps our understanding of his ideas from
philosophical perspectives. The book ends by emphasizing the
omnipresence of the rhetoric, language and conversation.
Inevitably McCloskey's enterprise on meta-economics
(about-economics) touches on the whole aspect of doing economics (and
reasoning). Mainstream economists preach and pretend to practice the
research in economics by developing falsifiable hypothesis and
confronting the data. Such methodology (modernism, logical positivism,
rationalism, all from Cartesian methodology), as advocated by Milton
Friedman, Becker and Stigler, and Lucas (my addition), McCloskey
criticizes as being too narrow and misleading the science. It simply is
not consistent with the way scientists (economists) actually work and
communicate.
His basic insight is that the science involves more than this tight
jacket of falsification; more fundamentally, it involves rhetoric, the
argument or discourse using facts, logic, metaphor (model),
storytelling. The dramatic departure is the insight that it is man who
works out the knowledge, thus actually relies on his introspection.
McCloskey proposes that economists should be self-conscious of
rhetoric and open up dialogues between economists, which can be
facilitated by developing standards for discourse and literary critique
for economics. Indeed economists seldom write on, or analyze, other
economist's work. In this respect they are more like mathematicians
or other scientists than professors in literature and humanities.
Economists, of course, write book reviews, for instance, but few write
with the seriousness and to the extent that Frank Knight wrote. This
argument supports the relatively-absolute absolutes, the approach
proposed by Frank Knight and James Buchanan.
McCloskey is rather polite regarding the good of rhetoric. Rhetoric
will be useful in reducing bad arguments while conversing about
economics; George Orwell also emphasized the importance of rhetoric in
political writings. Development in science and rhetoric work together.
Egypt, the Mideast, and China all had important mathematical discoveries
early in history; only the Greeks developed the rhetoric, a logical
proof by axiomatic method as we see in Euclidean geometry. The benefit
will come from enlarging the nexus of dialogue which will benefit all
participants by exploiting each other's insight and focus.
The book already covers a broad portion of intellectual history of
philosophy and economics, but there are two issues with McCloskey's
discussion. McCloskey does not discuss the rhetorical debate between
Milton Friedman and Herbert Simon. This surprises me because he alludes
to the works by financial economists Roll, Ross, and Sharp, who repeat
Milton Friedman regarding the rhetoric of unimportance of the
assumptions.
Godel's results in logic are briefly discussed along with the
rhetoric of mathematics, but McCloskey failed to expose the potential
import of Godel for rhetoric. Theorems in an empirical science are to be
accepted because they are in agreement with observation. For a deductive discipline such as mathematics, the notion, discovered by the ancient
Greeks, of axiomatic method made a strong impression upon thinkers and
mathematicians throughout the age. A proposition may be established as
the conclusion of an explicit logical proof based on accepted postulates
and a formal (explicit) system of sound mathematical rules of proof.
Godel (1931) proved the pessimistic result that the axiomatic method
has inherent limitations; there are innumerable problems in elementary
number theory that cannot be reached by a fixed axiomatic method. It
follows that what we understand by the process of mathematical reasoning
and proof does not coincide with the exploitation of a formalized (explicit) axiomatic method. The human brain, human understanding and
insight, may have built-in limitations of its own; there may be
mathematical problems it is not capable of solving, but it is far more
powerful than computers and is open to invention and discovery.
Roger Penrose believes that Godel's result, widely recognized as
the most fundamental contribution in the foundations of mathematics,
also initiates a major advance in the philosophy of the mind.
I have one objection to the book. McCloskey collects evidences for
the relevance of rhetoric. As a result he loses his original focus. He
cites Adam Smith: dogs do not talk and do not trade; men talk and
exchange, and continues with Hayek and current financial economics, herd
behavior and cheap talk. But I believe use of language in exchange and
the Hayekian knowledge and information in the market is quite different
from the rhetoric as argument for conveying knowledge and insight. Both
erase your ignorance, but of a quite different kind. I do not mean that
McCloskey should not discuss this topic. In fact, it adds the richness
of the book. But it is important to distinguish the difference and not
to forget the original insight.
Yong J. Yoon Public Service Commission Washington, D.C.