Peddling Protectionism: Smoot-Hawley and the Great Depression.
Howden, David
PEDDLING PROTECTIONISM: SMOOT-HAWLEY AND THE GREAT DEPRESSION
DOUGLAS A. IRWIN
PRINCETON AND OXFORD: PRINCETON UNIVERSITY PRESS, 2011, 256 PP.
The Smoot-Hawley Tariff Act of 1930 could be the best-known piece
of Congressional legislation. It also remains among the most
controversial; both vilified and embraced by politicians of all stripes
to further their cause, whether that be increasingly protectionist trade
measures or an expansion of unencumbered free trade. Over the course of
four succinct chapters, Dartmouth economics professor Douglas Irwin
expertly separates the wheat from the chaff of this oft-misunderstood
Act to give life to its evolution, as well as its role in deepening the
Great Depression.
Chapter one overviews from whence the Act emerged. Interestingly in
the context of American politics, Smoot-Hawley's origins are not
found in an economic depression or specific lobbying by special interest
groups. Instead the Act emerged during the 1928 election year as a way
to appease economically depressed farmers without offering them a direct
subsidy. With the Republican establishment opposed to farm subsidies and
unwilling to reduce tariffs on manufactured goods, the final solution
(however imperfect) was higher tariffs on agricultural goods.
This simple origin quickly ran amok as Congress debated the merits
and form of the tariff. Conflicts between groups that would be harmed
(manufacturers that would see input costs rise) and helped (primarily
producers that would see reduced competition and increased selling
prices) by a specific tariff were usually resolved by offering tariffs
to both sides.
Perverse incentives in Congress are not new, nor are the means to
deal with them. In response to Congressional logrolling, "flexible
tariff" authority was slipped into the Act to enable the President
to modify rates after it was passed, sometimes by as much as 50 percent.
While easily passing through the House, the Act met more resistance in
the Senate and it was only with the inclusion of this flexible tariff
authority that it was finally presented to President Hoover. Hoover, for
his part, was generally disinterested in the Act despite his own
misgivings of it (reinforced by a letter from the American Economic
Association strongly condemning the bill's passage), but was
content with the authority he would have to adjust the specific duties
later by exercising his flexible tariff authority.
No bill in U.S. history was met with as negative a reaction from
the public as Smoot-Hawley. Irwin focuses on three reasons. First, the
logrolling and vote trading in Congress was more apparent than with
prior pieces of legislation, likely due to the visibility created
through its lengthy debate in the Senate. Second, with the country in
the midst of a boom there was little rationale to change economic
policy. Finally, the Smoot-Hawley duties were a sharp increase on top of
the already high Fordney-McCumber tariff of 1922.
The final three chapters reassess the effects of the Act. It is
here that Irwin's neutral prose and objectivity is most valuable in
determining what role Smoot-Hawley actually had in propagating and
promoting the Great Depression. Notably, short of the uncertainty
created by lengthy Congressional debates, the Act served little role in
setting the Great Depression in motion.
According to Irwin, the Act would also not have greatly worsened
the Depression if not for the accompanying price deflation that defined
much of the 1930s. Import prices plunged by 18 percent in 1930, 22
percent in 1931 and another 22 percent in 1932. Since many of the duties
were specific and not ad valorem, price declines increased the real size
of the duty. By 1932 the average duty rate had increased to 59 percent
from about 40 percent at the passing of Smoot-Hawley. Of this increase,
only one-third is directly attributable to the Act, with the remaining
two-thirds the result of price deflation.
Despite this increase, what role did the Act have on imports? Not
much, according to Irwin. Duties applied to only about one-third of
imports in 1930. While Smoot-Hawley increased the average tariff rate by
16 percent, this represented only a relatively small increase in the
average price of imports (since the specific duties themselves were
relatively low), and thus increased the average import price by even
less (because two-thirds of imports were not affected). Irwin estimates
that Smoot-Hawley is directly responsible for a five percent decrease in
total imports.
As someone who enjoys illustrating the ill effects of trade
restrictions to his students via the Smoot-Hawley tariff, this
conclusion came as a surprise. Irwin is quite clear that imports were
more affected by the general economic downturn, and only secondarily by
the actual increases to duties. There is a silver lining, however, for
those looking to illustrate the negative effects of trade restrictions.
The real damning consequence of Smoot-Hawley came from decreased
American exports. Chapter 3 aptly named "foreign retaliation"
outlines how the U.S.'s largest trading partners, especially
Canada, responded with even harsher restrictions on American imports
than the U.S. imposed on theirs. U.S. imports to Canada--its largest
trading partner then as now--fell by 50 percent in 1930 alone. European
countries largely refrained from large-scale retaliatory tariffs on U.S.
goods, though because they accounted for such a small percentage of
total trade, they were overshadowed by the reactions of America's
closer neighbors. In sum, Irwin chastises Smoot-Hawley as the ungainly
legislation it was, though not on the grounds on which it was
established.
Spending 200 pages talking about the negative effects of this
infamous chapter of U.S. history, Irwin closes with a hint of optimism.
Similar trade restrictions are unlikely to happen again in
America's future. Indeed, the average duty rate stands today at
less than 5 percent, a far cry from the average of nearly 60 percent in
1932. Specifically, Irwin cites the extensive social safety net in place
today that removes the necessity of trade restrictions to protect
depressed economic classes, as well as the availability of more
extensive fiscal and monetary policy tools at the government's
disposal.
This reviewer is skeptical that these alternative measures are any
less damaging than another comprehensive tariff act. This quibble aside,
Peddling Protectionism is a real gem. Irwin does not mince words, and he
ably tosses aside misconceptions of Smoot-Hawley (many of which this
reviewer had prior to reading the book) and replace them with objective
economic analysis. Austrian analysis of America's Great Depression
rests largely on Murray Rothbard's book of the same name. While
Rothbard's analysis is unparalleled as to the causes of the
Depression, one glaring omission is his only tangential discussion on
the Smoot-Hawley tariff. While Rothbard is well-equipped to answer the
question of "what caused the Great Depression," supplementing
his analysis with Irwin's views on Smoot-Hawley allows one to begin
explaining the complementary question of "what made the Great
Depression so great?"
REFERENCES
Rothbard, Murray N. 1963. America's Great Depression, 5th
edition. Auburn, Ala.: Ludwig von Mises Institute, 2000.
David Howden (dhowden@slu.edu) is chair of the department of
business and economics at St. Louis University, Madrid Campus.