The quality of money.
Bagus, Philipp
I. Introduction
The economics profession has recently neglected the connections
between the purchasing power and the quality of money. In order to cover
this gap, I will analyze the quality of money and how its changes affect
the purchasing power of money. I will argue that changes in the quality
of money can be far more important for the value of money than changes
in its quantity. This conclusion is in line with the subjectivist approach of the Austrian school. in fact, the quantity of money is an
objective and measurable aggregate. The quantity theory of money is the
heart of neoclassical monetary theory, but does not reconcile well with
the Austrian approach. in contrast, the quality of money is a subjective
concept and should stand at the center of a monetary theory based on
human action. Money serves people in attaining their subjective ends
more efficiently and it fulfills certain functions for people. The
better these functions of money are fulfilled in the eyes of actors the
higher they value money. The quality of money is, consequently, defined
as the capacity of money, as perceived by actors, to fulfill its main
functions, namely to serve as a medium of exchange, as a store of
wealth, and as an accounting unit. Hence, the theory of the quality of
money maintains that the demand for money does depend on the quality of
money. In fact, the quality of money is one of the important factors,
along with uncertainty, financial innovations (credit cards, ATM
machines, MMMfs), frequency of payment, etc. that affect the reservation
or cash-balance demand for money. The theory of the quality of money,
thus, contrasts with a one-sided quantity theory of explaining the price
level.
I will first review the treatment of the quality and quantity of
money by economists. I will then analyze different properties of money
influencing money's quality and how they can change. In the process
I focus on the function as a medium of exchange and as a store of value.
I conclude with a summary of my findings.
II. The Theory of the Quality of Money in History
The theory of the quality of money, even though not under this
label, has a long tradition. While many authors have discussed the
factors influences the quality of money, no unifying consensus has ever
been established. Juan de Mariana (1609) explains that the deterioration
of the quality of gold coins must be considered an (unjust) tax. sir
William Petty ([1662] 1889) considers the deterioration of the quality
of coins by the government a tax. Adam Smith (1776) speaks of the origin
of money and important qualities like durability and divisibility. Jean
Baptiste say ([1802] 1855) states that a good money must be divisible,
of the same quality, resistant to friction, sufficiently rare, and
malleable. He also analyzes the adulteration of the quality of money in
historical instances as in the case of Philip I of France. Nassau
William Senior ([1850] 1853) and John Stuart Mill ([1848] 1965) are two
classical authors who discuss qualities of commodities that made them
suitable to become money. Carl Menger (1871) explains the emergence of
money as a spontaneous market process in which commodities with specific
qualities prevail. Thus, the treatment of the qualities of money had
been widespread before the twentieth century as William Stanley Jevons's (1875, p. 30) passage states:
Many recent writers, such as Huskisson, MacCulloch, James Mill,
Garnier, Chevalier, and Walras, have satisfactorily described the
qualities which should be possessed by the material of money.
earlier writers seem, however, to have understood the subject
almost as well. Harris explained these qualities with remarkable
clearness in his "Essay upon Money and Coins," published in 1757, a
work which appeared before the "Wealth of Nations," yet gave an
exposition of the principles of money which can hardly be improved
at the present day. Eighty years before, however, Rice Vaughan, in
his excellent little "Treatise of Money," had written a brief but
satisfactory statement of the qualities requisite in money. We even
find that William Stafford, the author of that remarkable dialogue
of the Elizabethan age (1581), called "A Brief Conceipte of English
Policy," showed perfect insight into the subject. Of all writers,
M. Chevalier, however, probably gives the most accurate and full
account of the properties which money should possess, and I shall
in many points to follow his views.
Austrian economists such as Mises (1953, chap. 1) and Rothbard
(2004, pp. 189-93) have followed Carl Menger in their analysis of the
origins of money. While Mises does not list the specific qualities that
help a commodity to become money, Rothbard (2008, p. 6) mentions the
"proper qualities of money": commodity money is in heavy
demand, highly divisible, portable, durable, and has a high value per
unit weight.
However, Mises and Rothbard do not advance beyond this insight and
do not mention--at least not explicitly--the importance of the quality
of money for money's demand. In fact, Mises neither in The Theory
of Money and Credit (1953, pp. 131-37) nor in Human Action (1998) in his
chapter on the demand for money (chap. 17) mentions the quality of money
as a factor that influences money's demand. As Salerno (2006, p.
39) states: "Mises (1998, pp. 398-402) provided only a very sketchy
discussion of the demand for money which cannot bear the full weight of
a theory of money prices."
Rothbard (2004, p. 756) advances beyond Mises in his
conceptualization of the demand for money and states: "The total
demand for money on the market consists of two parts: the exchange
demand for money (by sellers of all other goods that wish to purchase
money) and the reservation demand for money (the demand for money to
hold by those who already hold it)."
Rothbard (2008, p. 39) emphasizes that changes in the demand for
money (as cash holdings) change money's purchasing power. In
chapters on the demand for money Rothbard (2008, chap. 5; 2004, chap.
11, sec. 5) like Mises does not mention the quality of money as a factor
that influences the demand for money explicitly. However, Rothbard
(2008, pp. 65-74) mentions two factors that are important for the
quality of money: the confidence in money and inflationary and
deflationary expectations.
In reviewing Mises's and Rothbard's contributions, one
question comes to mind: Why did these authors not advance further and
develop an explicit theory of the quality of money as a factor that
influences money's demand? (1) The answer lies most probably in
their neglect of the function of money as a store of wealth. This
function is essential for money's quality and is more sensitive to
changes than the medium of exchange and accounting unit functions.
In fact, Mises (1953, p. 35) follows Menger (1871, p. 278), and
maintains that the store of wealth function is a derived and not a
necessary function of money. Indeed, Mises (1998, p. 401) focuses even
more exclusively on the exchange function of money than does Menger:
Money is the thing which serves as the generally accepted and
commonly used medium of exchange. This is its only function. All
the other functions which people ascribe to money are merely
particular aspects of its primary and sole function, that of a
medium of exchange.
Mises (1953, pp. 107, 110, 129; 1990, chap. 4) and Rothbard (2004,
pp. 764-65) focus on the exchange function. Thus, they neglect important
factors for the value of money. As they do not analyze in detail the
store of wealth function, they neither point to the effects that changes
in it or that money's quality in general can have for money's
demand.
In contrast to the hesitant qualitative monetary analysis by the
economists mentioned above, there is also a current in the economic
literature that does not treat qualitative issues at all. This is the
simple quantity theory of money defended by David Ricardo. (2) For
Ricardo it does not matter if gold coins, a chicken, a cocoa bean, a
stone token or a paper note is money. Quantity is the only thing that
matters. Quantitative issues explain all monetary phenomena. In fact,
for Ricardo, all qualities of money are to be found within the
limitation of money's quantity.
Ricardo and the followers of the simple quantity theory strongly
emphasize the exchange function of money set forth by John law and Adam
Smith for whom money is basically a voucher to buy goods. Money is
simply an instrument of circulation. These quantitative theorists
thereby neglect completely the function of money as a store of wealth.
Ricardo also implies that there is no difference between inconvertible
paper money and convertible money certificates. He, consequently,
neglects the demand for money. For him convertibility is just a
practical method to ensure a limitation of the quantity of money.
For the believers of this quantity theory,
the value of money is a function of its quantity, it is entirely
independent of the value of the material from which coins are made
and derived solely from its peculiar uses.... (p. 49)
According to that theory, so long as the number of exchanges and
the rapidity of the circulation of money remain the same, nothing
can affect the value of the unit, and with it the level of prices,
except changes in the volume of currency. (Scott 1897, p. 56)
As a consequence, quantity theorists tend to neglect the importance
of the demand for money. As Carver (1934, p. 188) points out:
Most quantity theories of money are ostensibly demand and supply
theories. unfortunately, less attention has been given to the
demand for than to the supply of money. In fact, some expounders of
the quantity theory ignore altogether the demand for money, and
proceed on the assumption that it is only the supply that counts.
This ignoring of the subject of demand and concentration on the
subject of supply seems to be based on the further assumption that
the demand for money is, at a given time and under a given set of
circumstances, fixed; that it consists exclusively in the number of
commodities and services that are for sale.
The quantity theory of money continues to dominate in popular
economics textbooks to this day. Some of the more widely used texts are:
Mankiw (2004), Blanchard (2006), Stockman (1999), Hyman (1994), Slavin
(1994), Boyed and Melvin (1994), Sachs and Larrain (1993), Ekelund and
Tollison (2000), Case and Fair (1994), Dornbusch and Fischer (1990).
Only a few textbook authors (Colander 1995 and Sloman 1994) mention
qualities of money while Melotte and Moore (1995) claim that a good
money must be divisible, portable, durable, and stable in value. The
textbook by Abel, Bernanke, and Croushore (2008) does not even discuss
the qualities of money at all.
Williamson (2005, p. 536) goes so far as to discuss several
problems with the qualities of commodity money: First, its quality would
be difficult to identify. Second, it would be costly to produce. Third,
the use of the commodity as money diverts it from other uses. (3)
Williamson (2005) may have given the real reason why only a few
lines, if any, are put forward in support of the quality of money, for
it was the advent of fiat paper money that lead economists to believe
they found the perfect money. Thus, Lewis and Mizen (2000, p. 47) state
that paper money can, in principle, do better than commodity money. They
argue that paper money's value can be better stabilized and
involves lower resource costs.
A second reason for the virtual disappearance of the quality of
money from economic analysis is general equilibrium analysis and
mathematization in economics. In general equilibrium analysis, there is
no process. With equilibrium analysis the evolution and the origin of
money, which would need an analysis of the quality of money, cannot be
explained. In fact, the quantity theory of money can explain neither the
rise nor the demonetization of money. Moreover, the mathematization in
economics and the accompanying rise of the quantity theory of money
allowed for measurement. As the quantity of money is more usable for
mathematics and measurements, the quality of money was disregarded.
Insights into the theory of the quality of money existed prior to
the twentieth century. These insights, however, only enumerate the
characteristics of what a good medium of exchange must have, neglecting
to point out the importance of the characteristics for the purchasing
power of money. In other words, they do not investigate the effects of
changes in these characteristics on the purchasing power of money and do
not set forth a unified theory of the quality of money. Money has other
functions than serving as a medium of exchange. Money serves also as a
store of value and a unit of account. A complete theory of the quality
of money, must therefore also investigate the qualities of a money in
respect to these two other functions. The function of money as a unit of
account will not be dealt with, instead the focus will be on the
function of money as a medium of exchange and a store of wealth.
III. The Quality of Money and its Purchasing Power
The price of money is its purchasing power. As any price, the price
of money is determined by its supply and demand. The demand for money is
determined by its marginal utility. (4) The utility of money is, in
turn, determined by money's quality, i.e., its capacity to fulfill
its services. The quantity of money affects money's marginal
utility by increasing the number of monetary units. The quality of money
affects money's marginal utility by changing the position of
monetary units on the value scale of actors in relation to other goods.
As Salerno (2006, p. 52) summarizes the determinants of the purchasing
power of money:
the stock of money is one of the immediate determinants of the
structure of money prices and the purchasing power of money--in
conjunction with its immediately past purchasing power, the
existing stocks of goods, and the distribution of ownership and the
relative rankings of goods and of money among market participants.
(Italics, added)
It is this relative ranking of goods and of money among market
participants that is affected by the quality of money. The factors
influencing the quality of money and, consequently, the relative ranking
of goods and of money have been widely neglected. Their analysis is
precisely the focus of this paper.
Thus, while the quantity of money is important for the purchasing
power of money, it is not the only factor. As Henry Hazlitt (1978, p.
74) puts it:
The truth in the quantity theory is that changes in the quantity of
money are a very important factor in determining the exchange value
of a given unit of money. This is merely to say that what is true
of other goods is true of money also. The market value of money,
like the market value of goods in general, is determined by supply
and demand. But it is determined at all times by subjective
valuations, not by purely objective, quantitative, or mechanical
relationships. (Italics in original)
Indeed, the quality of money is an essential factor in the process
determining money's price, i.e., its purchasing power. When the
quality of money increases, money's demand and, consequently,
purchasing power will be higher than without this quality improvement.
Money is, thus, no different than any other good. If the quality of a
good increases, there will be more demand, and its price will be higher
than without this increase of quality.
The importance of the quality of money can be seen in Eugen von
Bohm-Bawerk's analysis of price determination. Bohm-Bawerk (1884)
names six individual determinants of prices in his price theory: the
number of units of the goods offered; the number of units of the good
demanded; the intensity with which the potential seller values the good;
the intensity with which the potential seller values the monetary unit
(or good of exchange); the intensity with which the potential buyers
value the good; and the intensity with which the potential buyers value
the monetary unit (or good of exchange).
The last four determinants can be summarized as the intensity of
the valuation of money in relation to the valuation of other goods and
services on the part of potential buyers and sellers. This intensity is
not only influenced by the quantity of money and goods and services but
also by the quality of money. The higher the quality of money is, the
more buyers and sellers of money value the monetary unit in relation to
other goods and services. The lower the quality of money is, the less
buyers and sellers of money value the monetary unit in relation to other
goods and services. This implies, that the purchasing power of money can
vary with a constant supply of money and of goods and services if the
quality of money changes. When people start to value money higher, the
purchasing power of money will be higher.
Actually, changes in the quality of money can have more abrupt and
stronger effects on the price of money than changes in the quantity of
money. In fact, changes in the quantity of money only have marginal
effects on the value of money. Changes in the quality of money however
can abruptly upset the subjective valuation of money in general. Apart
from dramatic changes in the money supply, faster movements of the price
of money can be expected by changes in the subjective valuation of
money's quality than by changes in its quantity.
one important ramification of the quality theory of money is that
prices in general can rise or fall without a change in the quantity of
money. Frank Shostak (2008) does not take into account the quality
theory of money when he writes:
We know that a price of a good is the amount of money paid for the
good. From this we can infer that for any given amount of goods, a
general increase in prices can only take place in response to the
increase or inflation of the money supply.... Now, if the money
stock did not increase, then consumers won't have more money to
support the general increase in prices of goods and services.
Shostak is wrong precisely because the quality of money can fall
without an increase in the money supply. (5) The subjective valuation of
money and, correspondingly, its marginal utility can fall as a result of
a deterioration of money's quality. As a consequence of the lower
subjective valuation of money, money's price falls. If my
subjective valuation of money falls, I will try to reduce my cash
balance. If I sold five apples for five dollars, now that the value of
money is less I might sell one for five dollars. The same applies for
the prices of other goods. As a result, I reduce my real cash balances.
(6) Dollar prices have risen because of a change in subjective
valuations and not a change in the quantity of money. This rise in
prices is due to a fall in the quality of money that resulted in a fall
in the demand for money. The fall in the demand for money means that
money's position on value scales relative to other goods'
positions has deteriorated.
In the following section we will discuss factors that influence the
quality of money and, consequently, money's subjective valuations.
Some of the factors are related to expected increases in money's
quantity; a possibility not considered by Shostak. Other factors are
completely disconnected from quantitative considerations. (7)
IV Quality of Money and Its Function as a Medium of Exchange
We will first look at factors or properties that influence the
quality of money in its function as a medium of exchange. When these
properties change the quality of money improves or deteriorates and
affects the purchasing power of money.
There are several properties of a good medium of exchange. Most of
them have been discussed in the literature in another context, namely,
in explaining the origin of money. In fact, the quality theory of money
can explain the emergence and disappearance of money while the quantity
theory cannot explain these phenomena. (8) One of the most important
properties for the quality of money is the existence of a non-monetary
demand in society for the money. This demand can be in the form of
consumption goods or factors of production. It is important for the
quality of money that its non-monetary demand plays an essential role in
society--everyone wants and needs it. The money is not only demanded as
a medium of exchange but also for other purposes. Thus, for money, as a
good, there exist many unsatisfied wants and the intensity of the wants
are relatively high and permanent (Menger 1892, p. 5). The non-monetary
demand is important because it gives the money holder an
"insurance." Even if the money gets demonetized, i.e., it
loses its monetary demand, there is still considerable value to it. The
non-monetary demand supports its value. (9) In sum, the higher the
non-monetary demand, the higher the quality of money. If, for instance,
gold is money and demand for gold jewelry increases, more gold will be
used for these purposes and the marginal utility of gold is raised. In
other words, the marginal utility of gold may change independent of the
rapidity of circulation, the number of exchanges, and the quantity of
gold (Scott 1897, p. 56). (10)
Furthermore, the more people that accept the money the better the
money functions as a medium of exchange. In fact, the incorporation of
new users improves the quality of the money. For instance, when people
that are engaged in barter start using money its quality is increased.
When the Soviet Union and China opened their economies and became a
market for dollars, the quality of the dollar increased. The
introduction of the euro, in ever more countries, can improve its
function as a medium of exchange as more potential buyers accept it.
Also legal tender laws influence the acceptance of money and, thereby
its quality. As Carver (1934, p. 188) points out, it does matter for
money's purchasing power if paper money is legal-tender and
accepted by the government for the payment of taxes and duties or not.
By giving paper money legal privileges, the government subsidizes its
quality by increasing its use in exchanges.
other properties for money as a medium of exchange are low storage
and transportation costs, easy handling, durability, divisibility,
resistance to tarnish, homogeneity and recognizability. (11) Changes in
these properties affect the quality of money and thereby its purchasing
power independent from money's quantity or expectation about
money's quantity.
V Quality of Money and its Function as a Store of Wealth
one of the most important properties of good money is that it is a
good store of wealth (Menger 1871, p. 277). Money is the most marketable
or liquid good. Liquidity is higher or lower as the loss of value (or
the loss of time) experienced in liquidating ever larger quantities of
an asset is smaller or greater. The spread between bid and ask prices
for a good is an increasing function of quantity. Rising spreads go
along with increasing quantities offered. (12) Different goods have
different spreads. The speed with which spreads increase is determined
by the speed with which marginal utility declines with increasing
quantities.
As money is the most liquid good, people can easily store their
wealth and profits from sales until needed for exchange. The stored
money serves as purchasing power for the future. People can easily
separate the moment of the sale of their product from the moment of the
purchase of their needs. Money is, thus, a means to store wealth and
preserve the value of goods and services (mainly labor) sold from price
fluctuations. It is insurance against the uncertainties of the future.
The store of wealth function is, consequently, crucial for the origin of
money and for money's quality. A medium of exchange that loses its
storage function will also lose its exchange function.
For the purpose of our paper it is not important if the medium of
exchange function or the store of wealth function is more important for
the origin of money or if they are two sides of the same coin. (13) The
store of wealth function is key for the quality of money. (14) In fact,
exchange always takes place in time. Production and consumption are not
simultaneous. (15) Abstracting from time in economics has led to crucial
errors in price theory, capital theory, etc., and it is equally
misleading to abstract from time in monetary theory or exchange theory.
When people sell their products they cannot, or do not, buy goods and
services they need at the very same moment, but rather at a later time.
A liquid good to store the wealth that does not lose in value is, hence,
crucial.
There are several characteristics of a good store of wealth. One
important characteristic is the hoardability or storability of a good
(Fekete 2003, p. 2). A good is more storable the smaller the loss
incurred when it is bought and sold in the smallest quantities--when it
is possible to add and subtract small amounts from one's store of
wealth with minimal costs. It should be noted that hoardability is
slightly different from liquidity. The more liquid a good is, the slower
the increases of the spread between bid and ask prices with increasing
quantities. Hoardability, however, refers not to the costs of selling
and buying large quantities of a good but rather to the costs of selling
and buying small quantities of a good. Thus, salt may be more hoardable
than gold but less liquid. Hoardability is also different from
divisibility. Divisibility is the ability to divide a good to make exact
purchases, while hoardability refers to the economic costs of adding or
subtracting from a store of wealth. Teleologically, these concepts refer
to different ends, namely exchanging and storing.
Another important characteristic in relation to money's
function as a store of wealth is the possibility of changes in the
quantity of money. Thus, the quality of money as a store of wealth is
influenced by the possibilities of changing money's quantity. It
should be noted from the outset that the possibility of changing
money's quantity (and derived from this possibility is money's
expected quantity) is only one of several factors that influence the
quality of money. Moreover, the expected quantity is relevant for human
action precisely because it affects the quality of money. It is relevant
because it influences money's capacity to function as a store of
wealth. The expected quantity of money is one of the important factors
determining the quality of money.
Let us first look at how the quantity of money increases in free
competition. Two characteristics of money production in the free market
influence the quality of money as a store of wealth. First, the costs to
produce the money are important. Money production costs are determined
by the value that individuals place on additional money. The higher the
production costs of the money in relation to its market value, the
slower the quantity of money will increase. Second, the already existing
stock of money in relation to potential production is important. The
higher the existing stock in relation to potential production, the lower
is the potential rate of increase in the money supply and the better the
storage function of money is fulfilled.
We now look at the case of a monopolist money producer. When there
is a monopolist producer of money an important property of the money is
how its quantity is expected to change. In a fiat paper money standard
with a central bank, for instance, the institutional setting of the
central bank becomes relevant. (16) The institutional setting of the
currency, therefore, also determines money's quality. For instance,
a central bank that receives its orders directly from the government is
more likely to be used to monetize government debt in order to finance
spending. A formally "independent" central bank, consequently,
improves the quality of the currency. (17) The statutes of the central
bank, until they are changed, can to a certain extent limit the
potential increase in the money supply. Incentives (like bonus payments
for central bankers) to inflate the money supply less can also increase
the quality of money. If central bankers are accountable and responsible
for their policies, and if there is transparency, this can improve the
quality of money.
The official goals or mandates of the central bank, as well as the
minimum reserves they impose on banks, plays a role in the way the
quantity of money is expected to be increased and influence money's
quality. In other words, the philosophy of its monetary policy implied
in the statutes of the central bank, or the philosophy of central
bankers, influences the quality of money in the way that the quantity is
expected to change.
A central bank, whose official policy is to stabilize consumer
goods' prices, stands for a higher quality of money than a central
bank that in addition to the control of consumer goods' prices
tries to stimulate the economy, stabilize asset prices, or seek full
employment.
The ideology of the central bank's president and other central
bank staff, influences the quality of money. In addition, comments by
central bankers and politicians can immediately alter the quality of
money. For instance, when the chairman of the Federal Reserve board
states that he is willing to do anything to prevent a recession, this
will be interpreted as the promise of future monetary inflation. As a
result, the quality of money decreases and there will be an immediate
impact on prices, as the currency depreciates in terms of foreign
currencies. The dollar price of all goods and services outside of the
U.S. increases. Moreover, the prices of commodities can be influenced by
central bankers' comments without a necessary change in
money's quantity. The announcement, as well as its anticipation, of
a Paul Volcker or a Ben Bernanke as Federal Reserve president influences
immediately the quality of money.
The integrity of the monetary unit is another important property of
the quality of money. Money's integrity, for instance, may be
altered through wear and tear of metallic coins. While the nominal
quantity of money remains the same, wear and tear leads to higher prices
than otherwise. Coin clipping is another example. The government
denigrates the quality of the monetary unit by cutting part of the coin
away and replacing it with metal of an inferior value (such as copper),
without changing the quantity of coins in circulation. For instance, the
government can clip 10 percent of the gold coins in circulation and
hoard the clipped gold or do whatever it wants with it. The quality of
money may decrease independently of whether the government spends the
hoarded gold or not. When people become aware of this practice it will
lead to higher prices, since instead of coins of 100 percent gold, the
coins are 90 percent gold and 10 percent copper. (18) It is then likely
that people value gold and copper, as well as other goods and services
higher in relation to the currency unit than before. In this case prices
do not rise because the quantity of money increases or is expected to
increase but rather because the quality of the money unit's gold
content was diminished.
Another case of altering the integrity of money is a change in the
redemption rate of a government-controlled commodity standard. When the
U.S. government changed the redemption rate for the dollar from 1/20.67
to 1/35 ounce of gold in 1933, the quantity of the outstanding dollars
was not changed. However, the quality of the dollars changed as there
was less gold backing (Carver 1934).
This leads us to the question of the backing of money in the
broader sense, i.e., money proper and money-substitutes. Goods or rights
of different qualities can be used to back money in the broader sense.
The crucial question is, can a money-substitute be redeemed against
goods or rights of higher quality? Do bank notes represent a right of
redemption in specie? Are the notes just fiat paper money notes? Is the
note a money-certificate that can be redeemed against assets of the
banks or central banks or not?
A bank note that is a money certificate is of a higher quality than
inconvertible paper money. (19) This is so, because inconvertible paper
money presents a claim on an indeterminate amount, while a (convertible)
money certificate is a claim on a clearly defined sum. Inconvertible
paper money presents a claim on something that is not specified, it
fluctuates in value according to the holder's estimation of what
the inconvertible paper money will be able to buy. If this estimation is
very low, the value may well fall to zero. (20) Inconvertible paper
money's capacity to serve as a store of wealth is dominated by this
uncertainty. Nothing of this sort happens with a (convertible) money
certificate that, for instance, can be exchanged at any moment against
gold. As Rist (1966, p. 200) summarizes: "In short, convertibility
is not a mere device for limiting quantity; convertibility gives notes
legal and economic qualities which paper money does not possess, and
which are independent of quantity
Hence, when the redemption of bank notes in a gold standard is
suspended, the quality of money, from one second to the next, is reduced
(independent from what might happen to money's quantity). Bank
notes are traded at a discount in relation to gold. This discount grows
when people fear redemption is less probable, while the discount shrinks
when people regard redemption as imminent. Mises (1953, p. 52) points
out, that the value of credit money fluctuates independently of the
underlying commodity, depending on the expected probability that it will
be redeemed in the future, and on the remoteness of the expected future
date of redemption. An illustration is provided by the history of the
greenbacks in the U.S. (21) After the beginning of the American Civil
War, redemption was suspended with the promise to resume redemption at
some future point. As a consequence, prices rose in terms of greenbacks
reflecting the deterioration in quality. During the Civil War, the
purchasing power of greenbacks fluctuated with the military success of
the Union, independent of quantity issues (Carver 1934, p. 203). With
the resumption of specie payment in 1879, there was an expectation that
the the quality of the money would increase resulting in an increase in
purchasing power (Bagus 2008).
Another historical illustration of the importance of the backing of
a currency is the "Bully Marks" in a German prisoners' of
war camp during World War II, as described in Radford (1945). The
"Bully Marks" were backed 100 percent by food at the shop and
the restaurant in the camp. When the camp was bombed, the restaurant was
closed for a short while and food parcels were halved. As a consequence,
it became apparent that the backing of the "Bully Marks"
became insecure. "Bully Marks" lost ever more in value in
relation to the more secure cigarette currency. At the end there was a
flight from the "Bully Mark"--a fact, that was not caused by
changes in its quantity but rather its quality.
When redemption is suspended indefinitely and there exists no hope
that it will be resumed, as occurs in a fiat paper money, the assets and
reserves that central banks and banks hold are still important for the
quality of money. This is so, because those assets and reserves back the
liabilities of the banks.
When a bank goes bankrupt, because of a bank run, the bank's
assets are taken over by the depositors and creditors. The more liquid
and valuable the assets the less the money holders can lose and the
better is the quality of money. For instance, consider two paper money
fractional reserve banks who hold 10 percent reserves in cash and both
experience a bank run leading to bankruptcy. Bank A holds foreign
reserves, gold and commercial bills as assets, allowing for a rapid sell
off and a recuperation of large amounts of the depositors' money.
Bank B holds low quality mortgages and other illiquid long-term loans
that can only be sold at huge losses or cannot be sold at all. of
course, people would tend to prefer notes from Bank A to those from Bank
B. Thus, changes in the assets banks hold affect the quality of their
notes.
Similarly, the assets of the banking system as a whole influence
the quality of money. Just imagine that Bank A or Bank B represents the
aggregate balance sheet of the banking system. The assets of the central
bank are especially important for the quality of money (Bagus and Schiml
2008). The assets of a central bank can be used to defend the value of a
currency internally and externally. Furthermore, these assets can be
used to support a collapsing banking system or a monetary reform. They
back the liabilities of the central bank which is mainly the monetary
base. A deterioration of the average quality of central bank assets
might be called "qualitative easing." A qualitative easing is
possible without an increase in the quantity of money. For instance, a
central bank may sell its gold reserves and in turn acquire loans
granted to an insolvent bank or troubled government. This deterioration
of the average quality of central banks assets while not affecting the
quantity of money deteriorates its quality. (22)
A final characteristic of the quality of money as a store of wealth
is the policies, the ideology, the personnel, credit, and status of
government. (23) When the fiscal condition of government improves
(deteriorates), the danger that government will resort to a
deterioration of the monetary standard is lower (higher) than it
otherwise would have been. A deterioration of the money standard
(improvement) can consist in abandoning (returning to) a commodity
standard, a change in the redemption rate or in the increased (reduced)
use of the printing press to finance its expenditures.
In fact, a budget deficit is like a "currency illness"
and reduces the quality of money (Ropke 1954, p. 142). The amount of
public debts is like a "currency cancer" and weighs on the
quality of money. The condition of government actually can get very
alarming and a fear arises that the government will cease to exist,
e.g., the government could be overturned in a revolution or suffer
defeat in a war.
In a fiat paper standard the bankruptcy or the end of the
government likely means the end of the currency and renders it
worthless. It is the confidence in the economy and the taxation
capacities of the government that hold the value of the fiat money up.
The taxation capacity is crucial, because a fiat paper money is backed
by the reserves of the banking system and central bank, which are
largely government debts. When government debts become worthless because
of an end of government due to war or revolution, the fiat money will
also lose in value and may cease to exist. An example would be
greenbacks during the American Civil War. The depreciation of greenbacks
in terms of gold increased after Northern defeats and was reduced by
Northern victories (Studenski and Kroos, 1963, p. 147).
Another example is the development of the currency of the
Philippines issued by the Japanese in World War II, as mentioned by
Henry Hazlitt (1978, p. 76):
One of the most striking illustrations of the importance of the
quality of the currency occurred in the Philippines late in World
War II. The forces under General Douglas MacArthur had effected a
landing at Leyte in the last week of October 1944. From then on,
they achieved an almost uninterrupted series of successes. Wild
spending broke out in the capital of Manila. In November and
December 1944, prices in Manila rose to dizzy heights. Why? There
was no increase in the money stock. But the inhabitants knew that
as soon as the American forces were completely successful their
Japanese-issued pesos would be worthless. So they hastened to get
rid of them for whatever real goods they could get.
Not only wars influence the quality of money. Also economic
development influences the quality of money. Anything that disturbs or
disrupts development inhibits the taxation capacities of the government
and, therefore, potentially the quality of a money. The importance of
government policies for the quality of money implies that the government
can improve the quality of money if it credibly can impose restrictions
on its fiscal policies. Thus, the introduction of a new article in the
constitution of a country, that makes a balanced budget mandatory, can
increase the quality of money. A related example is the "Stability
and Growth Pact" of the European Union. The "Stability and
Growth Pact" mandates an annual budget deficit no higher than 3
percent of GDP and a national debt lower than 60 percent of GDP or
approaching that value. This was instigated to raise confidence in the
Euro currency and give a guarantee of its quality. on the other hand,
signing a treaty that will probably lead to reckless governmental
policies and monetizing of debts, will decrease the quality of money. An
example is the signing of the Treaty of Versailles after World War I
(Bresciani-Turroni 1968, p. 54). Confidence in the future of Germany
declined and a flight from the Deutsche Mark set in. Likewise, Charles
Rist (1966, p. 152) emphasizes the importance of government finance for
a currency:
when the convertibility of paper has to be re-establised and the
exchanges stabilised, sound finance and a balanced budget count far
more than limitation of the quantity of paper. The important thing
in such a case is to reassure foreign holders of securities or
currency as to the ultimate value of paper, and this can only be
done by convincing them that the financial stability of the State
has been re-established.
From all this we can infer that a fiscally irresponsible government
reduces the quality of money. This is so, because by excessive taxation
it destroys the productive capacities of the country, reducing the
quality of existing government debts. It also increases the amount of
government debts itself, which implies even higher future taxation or
the monetization of debts. This implies a reduction of the quality of
money. Hence, a change in the government itself, its personnel,
philosophy, promises, etc., can change the quality of money without any
change in money's quantity.
VI. Conclusion
The economic profession has largely neglected the quality theory of
money concentrating mainly on money's quantity. Changes in the
quality of money are very important for the purchasing power of money
and have an important explanatory power. The quality of money affects
the purchasing power of money by first altering the demand for money,
which reflects the changed valuation of a fixed quantity of money on the
public's value scales. The expected quantity of money is only one
of many factors influencing the quality of money and derives its
importance from its effects on the quality of money. Thus, an integrated
theory of money must put emphasis on the quality of money and explain
the importance of the expected quantity of money relating it to its
effects upon money's quality.
Money's quality is continuously changing. The changes in the
quality of money can be slow but also abrupt. Consequently, they can
have stronger effects for the purchasing power of money than changes in
money's quantity, which are seldom abrupt. Actually, increases in
the quantity of money are increasingly less important the higher the
quality of the money is. This is so, because with a money of high
quality there will be a strong demand to absorb the additional amount of
money as a store of value or for industrial or consumption purposes. If
its quality deteriorates or is expected to deteriorate, it can have
strong effects on the purchasing power of money. Furthermore, increases
in the quantity of a money of high quality such as a 100 percent gold
standard do not result in a deterioration of the integrity of the money.
The integrity of the previously existing gold coins is not harmed by new
gold production. In contrast, increases in the quantity of a money of
lower quality, i.e., a fractional reserve paper money, can cause
money's quality to deteriorate by diminishing the average backing
of the previously existing monetary units.
In sum, it is time for economists to shift their focus onto the
analysis of the quality of money and how it can be changed in line with
the analysis in this article. For instance, the quality of different
monetary and political regimes, the relevant properties of a good money,
the role of expectations and the quality of media of exchange should be
analyzed in more detail.
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(1) This question is intriguing considering that Mises (1953, part
II, chap. 2) and Rothbard (2004, pp. 831-42) criticize the mechanistic quantity theory of money. In fact, Mises (1953, pp. 128-30) even
criticizes the quantity theory for failing to go behind supply and
demand to explain what ultimately determines the value of money. By
analyzing the quality of money we will, thus, build on the monetary
theory of Mises and Rothbard.
(2) For an analysis of Ricardo's monetary theory and his
version of the quantity theory see, Rist (1966), esp. chap. 3.
(3) See also Burda and Wyplosz (2005, p. 176).
(4) On a free market the supply of money, as the supply of any
good, is indirectly determined by the subjective valuations of
consumers. While neoclassical economists maintain that the supply of a
good is determined by its historical costs of production, Austrian
economists have maintained that the supply of a good is determined by
alternative uses of the factors of production for the satisfaction of
consumer wants and, thereby, by subjective factors.
(5) Subjective value theory shows that the price of pens can fall
when the quality of pens decreases even with a constant supply of pens.
The same is true for the price of money.
(6) The opposite case is, of course, also possible. When people try
to increase their real cash balances due to an increase in the quality
of money, prices will be lower than otherwise. The effect holds
independent of the quantity of money. The phenomenon of falling prices
due to a generalized wish to increase cash balances has been called
"cash building deflation" (Salerno 2003). See also Hulsmann
(2003).
(7) At this point, consider some examples provided by Carver (1934,
p. 194):
The desire for [money] is, in turn, made up of several elements.
First, there is the fact that the Government will accept it in
payments to itself; secondly, there is the fact that creditors must
accept it; thirdly, there is the fact, sometimes, that the
Government will give gold for it; fourthly--a resultant of the
first three-there is the fact that custom has made it acceptable in
private purchases. Remove any of these elements and the purchasing
power of money will decrease without any increase in the quantity
of money or any decrease in the number of commodities and services
available for exchange.
(8) Another deficiency of the quantity theory of money is that it
resorts to the so-called "velocity of circulation;" a black
box used ad hoc to explain price changes unexplainable via quantity
changes. Yet, an increasing "velocity of circulation" or
increasing volume of exchanges in a period does not imply that prices
necessarily need to rise. In fact, an increase volume of exchanges on
the stock market may coincide with rising or falling stock prices. I
thank Jose Ignacio del Castillo for bringing this point to my attention.
Moreover, as a consequence of changes in the store of wealth and medium
of exchange function the demand for money may change for a multitude of
reasons. To explain all these phenomena by referring to the
"velocity of circulation" does not clarify anything. Thus,
Mises (1990, chap. 5) calls the "velocity of circulation" a
"nebulous metaphor" and Rothbard (2008, p. 29) an ill-defined
concept. In any case, a higher "velocity" may be the result of
a deterioration in money's quality (or of a decline in uncertainty,
or of financial innovations such as credit cards, ATM machines, etc.),
but not its cause. As Salerno (2006, p. 51) puts it: "the aggregate
flow of money spending is determined by the value of money and not the
other way around." Salerno rightly criticizes the "vacuousness of the quantity theory." Similarly, Carver (1934, p. 191) states
that when "paper money is no longer redeemable it becomes less
desirable, and therefore is spent more promptly. It loses some of its
desirability--as a store of value." In other words, a lower quality
as a store of wealth may lead to increased spending independent of
quantitative issues. As Carver adds, the increased spending can,
however, be compensated for by a decreased eagerness to sell, because
sellers also value money less than before. Then, it is not clear at all
if the velocity of circulation will increase or decrease. It is,
therefore, not an increase in the "velocity of circulation"
but the decrease in desirability that explains the fall in purchasing
power.
(9) When gold, in 1971, became demonetized, there remained a strong
industrial demand, and also as a store of wealth. The price of gold in
terms of dollars even soared as the quality of dollars was reduced. The
quality of dollars was reduced by suspending the redemption in gold. The
price of gold in dollars rose from the conversion rate of $35 in 1971 to
a yearly average of $58 in 1972, to $97 in 1973, to $159 in 1974, and to
$613 in 1980. The increase in the quantity of dollars was also important
when the price control on gold was removed.
(10) Carver (1897) also emphasized that the value of money is
determined by the same general laws of value as any other good and,
specifically, by its metallic value independent of the number of money
units. Similarly, Conant (1904) mentions the importance of the intensity
of the demand for money. He shows that an increased demand for gold for
use in the arts reduces its supply for monetary use.
(11) Actually gold became useful as a world money only after
advances in metallurgy made divisibility easier. See Fekete (1996, pp.
12-13). These advancements led to an increase in the quality of gold
coins and in a higher purchasing power. Indeed innovations such as new
melting techniques improved the quality of money (coins). Likewise
innovations that decrease transportation costs, facilitate handling,
resistance, recognizability or increase homogeneity, and durability also
improve the quality of money.
(12) This does not contradict the fact, that spreads are high in
some markets and lower in others. It is true that in "thin"
markets spreads are high. However, when the quantities offered in
"thin" markets increase, spreads also increase. When we buy
and sell a book in Sanskrit we will have a high spread. When we buy and
sell 1,000 books in Sanskrit, the spread tends to increase. In other
markets like the stock market spreads are comparatively low. However,
the stock market spreads increase with quantities offered. When we buy
1,000 shares of IBM and sell them the next second, the spread is usually
very low. When we buy 100,000,000 shares of IBM and sell them the next
second, the spread tends to increase.
(13) It is true, that other goods besides money, such as
commodities, serve as a store of wealth. If commodities become
relatively more desirable as a store of wealth than money, money's
purchasing power decreases. The same is true for the exchange function
of money. other goods besides money, such as stocks (used as a means of
payment in a buyout) or bills of exchange are used in exchanges and
their desirability relative to money influences money's purchasing
power. In fact, anything may serve as a medium of exchange while not any
object can serve as a store of wealth.
(14) Rist (1966, p. 329) is an example of an author that argues
that the store of wealth function is more fundamental and prior to the
medium of exchange function:
In fact, and this point is fundamental, the function of acting as a
medium of exchange, since time is necessarily involved (there is
always a certain interval between the receipt of money and
expenditure)presupposes the function of a store of value ... [the
storage and the exchange function of money are] as inseparable as
the obverse and reverse of a medal. (Italics in the original)
(15) Rist (1966, pp. 107-08) emphasizes the time element. He
explains the characteristics a good store of wealth must fulfill and how
gold does so:
it must be borne in mind that man lives in society, that social
life implies exchanges of services and products, that the greater
part of these exchanges can only be effects after an interval of
time, and that the goods which offer the best possibility of
guarding against the uncertainties of time, of taking precautions
against its risks, of preserving, in order to provide against
future misfortunes, the equivalent of the labour and the services
provided, are precious, rare, durable and indestructible objects,
such as gold.... Stable money, metallic money, is the bridge
between the present and the future. It is because of stable money,
or, in its absence, of other stable and precious objects, that,
within the economic sphere, man can wait, can reserve his choice
and calculate his chances. Without that, he would be completely at
a loss. (Italics in the original)
(16) The set up and the "formal" independence of the
central bank can be changed, of course, and this can also be
anticipated.
(17) In an empirical study, Spiegel (1998) argued that announcement
of the independence of the Bank of England on May, 6 1997 led, on this
very day, to a reduction of long-term interest rates by an average of 34
basis points, and thus a reduction of inflationary expectations. This
reduction of inflationary expectations represented an increase in the
quality of money.
(18) To make the point even clearer imagine that the government
does not just hoard the golden ball but transports it in a ship over the
ocean. The ship sinks in a storm and the gold is irretrievably lost.
(19) As Carver (1934, p. 188) points out, quantity theorists
erroneously must maintain that money would have the same purchasing
power going off gold, provided the quantity of the paper money remains
the same.
(20) This estimation is influenced by expected quantitative and
qualitative monetary developments.
(21) A similar case are the French assignats that fluctuated in
value according to the opinions of the chances of redemption. See Rist
(1966, p. 189).
(22) An example is the subprime crisis. While the quantity of money
did not change very much from January 2007 to August 2008, the average
quality of assets that the Federal Reserve System holds deteriorated
substantially. Government bonds were substituted by assets of dubious
quality. This process might explain part of the price inflation during
the period. See Bagus and Schiml (2009). See Bagus and Howden (2009a)
for an analysis of the quality of money as influenced by the actions of
the European Central Bank during the financial crisis and Bagus and
Howden (2009b) for a comparison of the balance sheet policies of the
Federal Reserve System and the European Central Bank and the
implications for the quality of the respective currencies.
(23) See on this point also Hazlitt (1978, p. 76).
Philipp Bagus (philipp.bagus@urjc.es) is assistant professor of
economics at Universidad Rey Juan Carlos, Madrid. I would like to thank
Jose Ignacio del Castillo for our many discussions on monetary theory. I
am also indebted to Juan Ramon Rallo for many fruitful arguments on the
quality theory of money. I also would like to thank Joseph T. Salerno,
David Howden, and Jorg Guido Hulsmann for comments on earlier versions
of the present paper. furthermore, the paper was improved by comments of
two anonymous referees.