Credit card accountability responsibility and disclosure act of 2009: helpful for 18- to 21-year-olds?
Berrocal, Giancarlo ; Spencer, Marilyn K. ; Chambers, Valrie 等
INTRODUCTION
The Credit Card Accountability Responsibility and Disclosure Act of
2009 (CCARD Act) went into effect April 30, 2010 (Library of Congress,
2009). This law, among other provisions, makes it unlawful for financial
companies to sign up individuals under age 21 without an adult
co-signer, unless the underage individual provides documentation of a
means to make sufficient payments. This provision is meant to protect
young adults from assuming more debt than they can pay. This study
explores whether decisions of college students under age 21 behave
differently from older students when offered higher lines of credit.
Past research has documented young adults' credit habits and their
income growth potential but has shed little light on responses to
additional credit access or credit use. This paper examines whether
students, under and over the age of 21, would accept additional credit
lines and, if so, how these two groups would use it. The survey was
conducted shortly before the 2010 law change, shedding light on whether
students under age 21 engage in different credit card behavior. This
study provides evidence on the usefulness of the CCARD Act. Banks can
use this information in marketing to students; and legislators can use
this information to better understand younger, less experienced
consumers.
LITERATURE REVIEW
Many of the approximately 5.8 million college students throughout
the country are repeatedly offered credit cards (Warwick and Mansfield,
2000). They typically are low income producers, but they have
discretionary income and expect to earn high incomes in the future. Card
issuers anticipate that students will frequently use their cards and
carry high outstanding balances (Ericson, 2002).
Psychology literature supports differences between younger and
older adults. Arnett (2000) asserts that societal changes at the turn of
the 21st century facilitated a psychological stage of development for
those age 18 to the late 20s labeled "emerging adulthood."
This stage is marked by identity exploration, instability, self-focus
and "a sense of possibilities." At the end of this stage, new,
often long-lasting relationships are formed. (Arnett, 2000) A borrower
obtaining a credit card is about to start a potentially long-lasting
relationship that can be beneficial for the borrower and the lender
(Fliegel, 2005). Ludvigson (1999) finds that students tend to increase
their credit limits throughout the lifecycle. Borrowers without credit
cards are not equally able to control their consumption patterns as
those with credit. But debt rises significantly and quickly with credit
limit increases (Gross and Souleles, 2002; Shubhasis, 2004). Young
borrowers face the temptation to spend more than income would justify,
incurring high outstanding balances (Silver-Greenberg, 2007). White
(2007) suggests that financial pressures dampen rational decision
making; borrowers tend to behave as hyperbolic discounters, spending
more money with credit cards than their income warrants, and some of
their financial decisions are detrimental (Brown and Plache, 2006).
Early in the lifecycle, consumers have lower credit limits but
optimistic expectations for income and credit limit growth (Ludvigson,
1999). College students' behavioral patterns change with earning
power and potential wealth accumulation over their expected lifecycle,
making them attractive customers for credit card companies (Warwick and
Mansfield, 2000). Banks increase college students' credit lines
gradually when they consistently show financial stability. Maki (2000)
finds that increased consumer credit results in higher consumption. But
the debt-consumption relationship is difficult to ascertain because
credit lines are non-secured, with flexible repayment, not requiring a
student to set aside funds or pledge an asset (Ekici and Dunn, 2006).
Ericson (2002) suggests that students' knowledge of credit
card features plays a role in their credit card-related decisions. For
debtors borrowing below their limits, buffer-stock models of
precautionary saving state that unused credit acts as protection against
unexpected financial adversities. Even at low utilization rates,
borrowers use more credit when their lines are increased, regardless of
outstanding balances, at a fixed-utilization-to-credit-line rate. Even
though higher interest rates cause cardholders to rely less on their
credit cards when borrowing, borrowers significantly and immediately
increase debt when their limits are increased. Therefore, students might
exercise financial control by rejecting the additional line to avoid
more debt. (Gross and Souleles, 2002) Holding a credit line unused
requires self-control; self-control is costly. The greater the threat to
willpower, the greater the psychic costs and the more likely that
cardholders might turn down additional credit, rather than bear those
psychic costs of self-control (Shefrin and Thaler 1992).
HYPOTHESES AND RESEARCH QUESTIONS
This paper questions whether college students in each of the two
age cohorts will accept or decline the additional credit. Of those who
would accept it, how would they use it, if at all? Neo-classical
economic theory suggests the following: Accepting the hypothetical credit line does not cause any financial cost. It provides the student
with additional resources for unexpected expenses. Thus it is rational
to accept the credit line, whether or not intending to use it. But
behaviorally, individuals may exercise self-control over their credit
decisions differently. Some are more likely to reject a credit line
extension altogether, provided that the opportunity cost of rejecting
the line of credit is lower than their psychic costs (Shefrin and
Thaler, 2000) and also depending on other factors, including current
high outstanding balances, risk-aversion, a negative credit report,
and/or low income.
Will College Students Reject the Hypothetical Line of Credit?
Hypotheses 1a through 1d test the acceptance rate of the two age
cohorts when offered a credit extension of two different amounts, $500
and/or $1,000, chosen as round numbers that are material but not large
enough to be a windfall (Chambers, Spencer and Mollick, 2009). The
proportion of students rejecting the credit line is expected to be
significantly higher than zero. Stated in alternate form:
[H.sub.1a] The proportions of students age of 18 to 21 and above 21
rejecting the additional credit line of $500 is significantly higher
than zero.
[H.sub.1b] The proportion of students 21 and older rejecting the
additional $500 credit line is significantly lower than for younger
students.
[H.sub.1c] The proportions of students age 18 to 21 and above 21
rejecting the additional $1,000 credit line is significantly higher than
zero.
[H.sub.1d] The proportion of students 21 and older rejecting the
additional $1,000 credit line is significantly lower than for younger
students.
Of Those Accepting the Line of Credit, How Many Will Use the Credit
Line?
Some may accept the line of credit as a financial buffer, not
intending to use it in the near future; others may spend immediately. It
costs nothing to accept the line until it is used, with no cost if the
bill is paid in full within the grace period. Some credit card companies
offer reward programs for those making timely payments. Some credit
holders may perceive this as an opportunity to increase their credit
score over time, provided they make timely payments on outstanding
balances. Hypotheses 2a through 2d assert that a significant number of
college students in both age cohorts who accept a $500 and/or $1,000
line of credit actually intend to use a portion of it. To simplify the
analysis, it is initially assumed that students who answer "leave
the line unused" will intend to not borrow any of the additional
credit in the short-run. Stated in alternate form:
[H.sub.2a] The proportions of students age 18 to 21 and above 21
accepting the hypothetical credit line of $500 who plan to use it is
significantly higher than zero.
[H.sub.2b] The proportion of students 21 and older accepting the
hypothetical $500 credit line planning to use it is significantly higher
than for students below the age of 21.
[H.sub.2c] The proportions of students age 18 to 21 and above 21
accepting the hypothetical $1,000 credit line planning to use it is
significantly higher than zero.
[H.sub.2d] The proportion of students 21 years of age and older who
accepted the $1,000 hypothetical credit line who plan to use it is
significantly higher than for students below the age of 21.
Of Those Accepting the Credit Line, How Will They Spend the Money?
This study explores research questions concerning whether students
adhere to their intent to either spend or leave the credit line unused.
If used, this study measures how they would spend additional credit
across different spending categories.
[RQ.sub.1] For both age cohorts, of the credit line students
expressly intend to spend, how much will be spent on 1) personal
expenses, 2) school expenses, 3) infrequent expenses, 4) durable assets,
5) to pay down notes payable?
[RQ.sub.2] For both age cohorts, of the students initially saying
that they would not spend the additional line of credit, how many
indicated later in the survey that they would spend some of the line on
one of the 5 categories in Research Question 1 above (versus all on
category 6, hold the credit line open for emergency use)?
METHODOLOGY
Data Collection
A survey was the most practical method for gathering current,
meaningful and complete data. This survey contains 18 questions, most
developed for this paper, plus demographic questions. It was distributed
to undergraduate and graduate students at an urban public university in
the Southwest USA. Some students were given a minimal amount of extra
credit in their classes for filling out the instrument, and others were
approached individually for voluntary participation.
The instrument asked if, when offered a hypothetical credit line
extension of $500 and then $1,000, whether the student would (a) reject
the credit line, (b) accept the credit but not plan to use it, or (c)
accept and use the credit line. Those respondents who would accept the
line of credit were asked how they would divide the credit line among
the following items, adapted from Chambers and Spencer's (2008)
scale: (1) personal--entertainment, clothes, rent, car expenses,
groceries, shopping, etc.; (2) monthly school expenses; (3) hold for
infrequent expenses; (d) buy a durable asset; (e) pay off debt; and/or
(f) hold for emergencies.
Acceptance or rejection of an additional credit line is based on
several potential determinants, including current credit balances,
timing of the credit supply, account credit score, line size, knowledge
of credit cards, credit card features, perception of credit line,
financial stability, and credit line spending behavior.
Concerned that some respondents may have interpreted certain survey
questions differently, the survey format and wording were revised; a
second, smaller administration of this revised survey was run on an
additional 37 respondents. (Students in the second group of respondents
were approximately one grade level higher than the first group, but this
did not seem to affect the results.) No significant differences were
found between the first and second survey administration, except as
noted in the results and discussion sections.
Data Analysis
Accepting the hypothetical line of credit was coded as
"1," and rejecting it as "0." Accepting the credit
line was further divided into two groups: intending to leave the line
unused given a value of "0," and intending to use it,
"1." The data were analyzed using descriptive statistics. In
the case of hypotheses 1 and 2, rejecting either credit line was given
the value of "0." All other answers to those questions were
given the value of "1." [H.sub.1a through d] examined whether
a significant number in the two cohorts rejected the lines of credit;
[H.sub.2a through d] examined whether a significant number would accept
but intend to hold (not use) the lines of credit. Because some mistakes
may be made, a rejection by all respondents is not expected; a priori predictive value of 10% acceptance rate and use rate are used to account
for human error. The actual error rate for a p [less than or equal to]
0.05 significance is then measured to test sensitivity. Three additional
questions identify how students would spend the credit lines and whether
they adhere to their initial assertion concerning use of the credit
line. Responses were evaluated using frequencies in order to answer
Research Questions 1 and 2.
In running the data, the control variables were regressed against
the outcomes for both rejecting the credit and holding (but not using)
the credit. Once we established the control data did not matter (except
where noted in the results and discussion sections), we re-ran data
without the variables that did not add significantly to our model.
Of the 191 surveys, only 177 were complete and usable. Of these,
139 (79%) answered that they currently hold at least one credit card in
their own names. According to Nellie Mae (2004), the national average
for undergraduates that began the school year with credit cards was
about 76%, similar to this sample. The remaining 38 surveys were not
analyzed because students without credit cards under their own names
could show different behavior (Ericson's dissertation, 2000). Two
were eliminated from age analysis because those respondents did not
indicate age.
RESULTS
Will a Significant Number Accept a Credit Extension? If So, Will
They Spend It?
As shown in the binomial test (Table 1), when students were asked
if they would extend their credit line by $500, 49 out of 139 (35.3%)
rejected the credit line, a rate significantly higher than zero at p =
0.01, even allowing for a 10% error rate on the part of respondents. (At
both the $500 level and the $1,000 level, students who accept the line,
but hold, rather than use, the line and students who accept and
immediately use the credit line were put together under the "accept
the credit line" category. At the $500 level, the probability of
rejecting credit in aggregate P(r) = (139!/49!90!)(.1^49)(.90^90), where
0.10 is the expected rejection rate.) The error rate yielding a p [less
than or equal to] 0.05 significance would have to be just over 38% for
these results to be the product of human error rather than intent. As
shown in Table 1, the calculated error rates for the groups range from
33% to 50%. Both age groups have a rejection rate significantly higher
than zero at p [less than or equal to] 0.01. Hypothesis [1.sub.a] is
supported. The rejection rate for the younger age group was not
significantly different than for the over 21 age group, which leads to
rejecting Hypothesis [1.sub.b]. With a credit line extension of $1,000,
the proportion of students who rejected it increased from 35.3% to 46.0%
(64 students). By age group, 37 of 64 (57.8%) of those under 21, and 27
of 73 (37.0%) of those over 21, rejected the credit line. Again allowing
for a 10% error rate, the data were significantly higher than zero at p
= 0.01, in aggregate and for both age groups; Hypothesis [1.sub.c] is
supported. The difference in rejection rate between the 18-21 age group
and the over 21 age group was marginally significant at p [less than or
equal to] 0.07; Hypothesis [1.sub.d] is marginally supported. (See Table
1.)
The higher credit line rejection at $1,000 came primarily from one
group: Those between 18 and 21 years of age increased their rejection
rate for credit lines from 40.6% to 57.8%, while those accepting the
line but leaving it unused decreased from 56.3% to 39.1%; those who
answered they'd use the credit line is still 3.1%. The difference
is marginally significant at p [less than or equal to] 0.08 at the $500
level, but not significant at the $1,000 level. This may indicate that
younger users view $500 to be a material amount of credit, whereas older
students viewed this amount as less material. When regressed, age was
not a significant predictor of whether a student would accept the credit
line at either $500 or $1,000, (marginally significant, p [less than or
equal to] 0.07 at $1,000).
Those above 21 years of age also increased their rejection rate,
from 31.5% to 37.0%, with the difference coming primarily from those who
said they would accept the line of credit but not spend it. Their
increased rejection rate was much smaller than that of the younger
cohort; more than half of those over 21 accepted both lines. Older
students might have more reasons to accept and a greater ability to pay
for credit extensions more than their younger counterparts: more
expenses, less parental support and perhaps even supporting their own
families. But those over 21 intending to use the $500 ($1,000) credit
line are only 10.9% (12.3%). Those who said they intended to accept the
line but leave it unused declined from 56% to 46% when the credit line
increased from $500 to $1,000.
Measuring Intent to Use
Younger students accepting the credit line are more likely to
intend to hold, rather than use it. Of the younger cohort, 25 (39.1%)
intended to leave the $1,000 line unused, and 2 (3.1%) intended to spend
it. Of those older, 37 (50.7%) intended to leave the line unused, and 9
(12.3%) intended to spend it. As shown in the binomial test in the top
two panels of Table 2, the data were significant at p = 0.01. The
results in the third and fourth panels, by age for students accepting or
rejecting a $500 credit line, were also significant at p = 0.01,
indicating that the proportion of students spending the credit card
extension of $500 is significantly higher than zero.
Similar results are obtained when the amount is $1,000. Sixty-four
(86.7%) of 75 students said they intended to leave the line unused.
Hypothesis [2.sub.a] and [2.sub.c] are supported, but Hypotheses
[2.sub.b] and [2.sub.d] are not. These results indicate that when
offered a credit line extension, those of age 21 and older did not seem
to materially differ in terms of credit usage from those of under the
age of 21. See Table 2.
The number of students who said they would use the line of credit
at both the $500 and $1,000 levels was low, with 12 (14.7%) of them
accepting the $500 line intending to spend the money and 11 (13.3%) of
those accepting the $1,000 line intending to spend it; proportions for
both credit amounts are not statistically different. For the $500 level,
respondents over 21 who intended to use the line expected to spend
almost 48.9% of it immediately or soon, leaving the rest unused.
However, it appears that many students in both groups who say they do
not intend to use the additional line of credit would actually start
spending immediately, as shown in Table 3. With these small numbers at
both levels of additional credit, caution must be exercised in
interpreting the data.
To Use or Not to Use the Line of Credit
As a validation check, those who said they did not intend to use
the money were asked how they would spend it, with an option to leave
the entire line unused. Those who intended to leave it unused apparently
did not intend to leave it entirely unused. The 18- to 21-year-olds who
said they would not use the $500 line intended to use 47.6%. For those
21 and older, 39.3% would be used. When the 18-to-21-age respondents
were offered the $1,000 credit line, those who answered that they
intended to leave it unused then indicated 36.6% allocated to spending.
Given this disconnect between intent to not use and then intent on how
to use, further analyses were conducted on how those respondents would
spend it. While the number who said they would spend the credit line is
very low for data analysis purposes, especially for those 21 and older,
the number who said they would accept but not use the line of credit is
reasonably robust for data analysis for both age cohorts. See Table 3.
Of Those Using the Line of Credit, How Do They Spend It?
Looking across the rows of Table 3, one observes differences, in
both age cohorts, between the group intending to spend and the group
intending to leave the credit line unused. The amount respondents
intended to spend on themselves varied between 3.9% ($1,000 level) and
22.5% ($500 level).
Respondents age 21 and older who intended to spend the credit line
would increase the amount spent on school expenses from about 5.0% ($500
level) to 16.7% ($1,000 level); those who intended to leave the credit
line unused expected to spend only about 8.7% for school expenses at the
$1000 level. Those who intended to leave the line unused lowered the
percentage for school expenses from 15.8% ($500 level) to 9.4% ($1,000
level). For the $1,000 credit extension, those who intended to leave the
credit line unused increased the percentage and amount spent on durable
assets, from 0.7% to 4.9%.
Other Findings
Concerning existing lines of credit, 44.3% responded that theirs
range from $0 to $1,000, with 32.0% between $1,001 and $2,499 and 9.6%
above $2,500. On average, 66.9% chose "establish my credit
history" as the main reason for having credit cards. Another 42.8%
responded: "I meet emergency needs."--Students were given the
choice to mark multiple answers as appropriate. In the second
administration of this survey, one year after the original, more
students (68% v. 43%) chose "I meet emergency needs." As the
national economy worsened sharply between administration times, the
latter group may have either experienced or been more acutely aware of
economic emergencies.--By age, 65.6% of those under age 21 listed
"establishing credit" as the reason for accepting credit
cards; only 43.8% of those over 21 listed "establishing
credit" as the reason for acceptance, likely because they had
already established credit.
Most students (55.9%) carry outstanding credit card balances of
less than $500; 35.6% pay their balances in full each month; 28.7% pay
more than the minimum but less than the total; for 22.6% it varies
monthly; and 14.7% usually pay the minimum. (In the second
administration of this survey, the number of people knowing their
balance dropped from 2.28 to 1.59 on a scale of 1 to 5. Additionally,
fewer were certain of the interest rate that their cards carried and the
number of cards held dropped significantly from 1.84 to 1.24. This
difference may be attributable to having had banks reset rates
frequently in response to a worsening national economy.)
Approximately 66.4% of those who pay in full do so without
parents' help, though 34.6% sometimes expect parental help. The
numbers were taken from the first administration of the instrument. In
the second administration of this survey, the number expecting help from
parents rose significantly, perhaps because the economy worsened during
this time, or perhaps because college costs continued to rise.
The respondents are optimistic about their finances after college;
roughly 94.1% expect to be financially stable or better off. However,
acceptance of the $500 credit line was not significantly related to
expectations about their financial future.
Gender results were also analyzed; 58.4% (n = 52 of 89) of those
accepting the line of credit of $500 were female, and 41.6% (n = 37 of
89 accepting) male. At the $1,000 level, the proportions changed: males
accepting the line of credit accounted for 51.4% (n = 38 of 74 accepting
the line); females accounted for 48.6% (n = 36/74). (One respondent did
not declare gender, which is why the sample does not add to 139.)
The influence of a student's extant credit limits was analyzed
at both the $500 and $1,000 levels. The decision to accept/reject a $500
proposed credit line extension was not influenced by current limits for
either age cohort. The effect of existing credit limits on a $1,000
additional credit line approaches significance with p [less than or
equal to] 0.10. Therefore, existing credit line size may influence the
decision to accept credit lines of more than $1,000, especially to those
under age 21.
To understand the reasons for acceptance/rejection of the credit
line better, we also ran logit on the $1,000 model. No variable was
significant in rejecting that amount, but there were significant
variables for acceptance. Those accepting the card were in the three
income levels between $20,000 and $80,000. Income levels above and below
this range were not significant predictors of acceptance. Acceptors were
in there first two years of college and did not receive scholarships.
At the $500 level, the two significant predictors of declining the
additional credit were: 1) respondents expecting to be "financially
stable" (v. better off, the same, or worse off) after college, and
2) those receiving scholarships. The sole significant predictor of
accepting the additional limit was income in the $60,000-$80,000 range.
DISCUSSION
Although results differ in magnitude between the two age cohorts,
both make similar decisions. As expected, the proportion of students
rejecting the credit extension is significant, with some students not
increasing balances to finance short-term needs. At both $500 and
$1,000, students significantly accepted the lines but stated they did
not intend to use them. However, the results also indicate that both
groups underestimate how much they will use the credit line if they
accept; most will borrow at least some of the additional credit line.
The number of students planning to leave the line mostly unused vastly
exceeded the number that claimed they intended to immediately use it.
Results suggest they allocate between use and leaving unused the
additional credit line extension, confirming Gross and Souleles (2002).
No significant relationship was found between the existing credit limit
and accepting a new credit line of $500. However, the p-value dropped to
0.099 at the $1,000 offer, perhaps indicating that an even higher credit
line offer of perhaps $1,500 or $2,000, would produce significant
results.
Age Matters
Relative to older students, the 18-21 respondents approach credit
with more caution, being more likely to reject additional credit lines
and significantly more likely to intend to merely hold the credit line
if they do accept it. The intent to not spend it is consistent with
recognizing the temptation that a credit card presents and the need for
either internal or external controls (Shefrin and Thaler, 1992). As
respondents mature, their behavior patterns change, consistent with
moving from the stage of "emerging adolescence" (Arnett,
2000). Older students were more likely to accept the credit limit, and
in particular older students in their first two years of college were
more likely to accept the additional $1,000 credit line. This may be
because older students feel ready to handle the financial temptation,
plan for the financial constriction of the remaining three- to four-
years of additional tuition, or have more personal financial oblications
like homes and families. The new law may provide external controls on
credit cards issuers, designed to do what emerging adolescents
themselves try to do on their own. Size of the Credit Line Extension
Matters
The $500 additional credit line is less likely to be rejected, by
either group. The $500 amount possibly represents a materially smaller
risk of financial irresponsibility than $1,000. The small additional
credit line wields higher usage rates: When the amount is doubled,
marginal spending rates decrease, consistent with buffer stock models.
Both acceptance and rejection of the $500 and $1,000 credit lines are
significantly greater than zero. How the line is spent changes with
size. For respondents intending to spend a line of $500, a portion of it
would be used for notes payable, which essentially converts fixed debt
into a more flexible, revolving debt, perhaps with a lower monthly
payment.
When the credit line is $1,000 and respondents intend to leave it
unused, the percent spent on oneself is less than half, consistent with
Shefrin and Thaler (1992). Similarly, these students would save nearly
double for a durable asset, consistent with the prices of many durable
assets. Finally, respondents who intend to spend the credit line expect
to spend roughly twice as much on school expenses as those who intend to
leave it unused. Perhaps this finding reflects the increased need for
immediate cash, as the costs of tuition and books for students rise
sharply. Income Matters, but the Relationship Is Not Linear
At the $500 level, those within the $60,000-$80,000 income range
were significantly more likely to accept the credit line; no other
income levels were significant predictors of accepting an additional
$500 credit limit. At the $1,000 level, the range of significant income
expanded to $20,000-$80,000. Perhaps the higher the credit limit, the
harder it is for people of moderate income to resist. Respondents with
higher income levels did not tend to accept the additional credit lines
more often, perhaps because they had other, adequate sources of funds.
Respondents with lower income levels did not tend to accept the
additional credit lines more often, supporting the notion that they may
be resisting temptation when their financial circumstances would appear
to not provide much room for repayment of debt. This relationship
deserves extended research. Another source of income, having received a
scholarship, was also significant. At the $500 limit, those receiving a
scholarship were significantly more likely to reject the credit line; at
the $1,000 level, those not receiving a scholarship were significantly
more likely to accept the credit line.
CONCLUSION
The amount of an additional credit line is a significant predictor
of whether the card will be accepted by college students, both under-21
and 21-and-older cohorts; offering too much credit increases the credit
line rejection rate. But the amount does not significantly influence the
intention to use the credit line once accepted, at least for credit
extensions of $500 and $1,000. College students, many being
liquidity-constrained, seek optimal credit line sizes to handle
short-term obligations. The new law is designed to help those between
the ages of 18 and 21 avoid costly credit mistakes, by further
regulating the companies that issue such credit. This study supports the
concept that students under the age of 21, through their actions, may be
indirectly signaling that they want controls on credit lines to limit
their exposure to temptation. Deciding to spend a hefty portion after
indicating they would not spend gives further indication that an
external locus of control is beneficial. Requiring proper monitoring
from a co-signer and/or demonstration of financial responsibility may
help emerging adolescents exercise responsible credit practices while
they continue to mature.
Therefore, the conclusions derived from this research are useful
for bankers, legislators, academic professionals and students, as well
as government educational boards and academic administrators--whose goal
should be to ensure that college students have enough cash flow, but not
get into major credit card debt.
LIMITATIONS AND FUTURE RESEARCH
It is possible that the responses from this small sample taken from
one university may not reflect choices that would be made by the entire
population of college students. Therefore, replicating the survey with
more students on other college campuses and in other regions of the
country would be advisable before drawing broad conclusions.
Unfortunately, future sampling will not include equivalent subjects
under age 21, with the CCARD Act now in place.
A very interesting result was the change in rejection rate amongst
younger students between the $500 credit line and the $1000 credit line.
Results indicate that adding increased amounts of the hypothetical
credit line extension to the survey, perhaps of $1,500 and $2,000, or
perhaps even $5,000 and $10,000, would be useful for determining
whether, and to what extent, the results might be sensitive to higher
credit line offers. Additional lines of credit that are materially
higher might yield significantly different results for both cohorts.
When students intended to spend some and save some, they seemed to
answer the question according to whether they would save more than they
spent or vise versa. This oversimplified response calls for further
examination of respondents' interpretation of the question being
asked, and perhaps a different way of stating that question. Future
research should focus on the development of behavioral theories that
could explain which factors make students leave their lines unused
rather than spend the additional credit, and vice versa.
Students' acceptance rate of a $1,000 credit extension was
significant when regressed against students' future financial
expectations. However, the explanatory power of the expectations
variable was extremely small. Future research should consider including
future financial expectations in predictive models, but perhaps at
higher credit extension limits.
APPENDIX
CREDIT CARD SURVEY (Revised)
1. Do you have a credit card? [] Yes [] No
2. Why do you have a credit card? (Check all that apply):
__a. To establish credit history
--b. To meet emergency needs
--c. To become financially responsible
--d. It is convenient
--e. For promotional advantages (bonus points, discounts, rebates,
etc.)
--f. other reasons (list): --
3. Approximately what is your current credit card balance?
[] $0-$500
[] $501- $1,000
[] $1,001-$1,500
[] $1,501-$2,000
[] $2,001-$2,500
[] $2,500+
4. About what percent of your credit card bill do your parents pay?
[] 0%-25%
[] 25+%-50%
[] 50+%-75%
[] 75+%-100%
5. How much do you usually pay toward your credit card balance due?
[] I usually pay the minimum required
[] I usually pay full balance
[] I usually pay more than the minimum but less than the total
6. If you could not make the minimum payment required, how sure
would you be that your parents will help you out?
[] Very sure they would help me
[] Unsure whether they would help me
[] Sure they will not help me
Please choose the best answer. YES NO
7. Do you know what credit card interest rate you are being
charged?
8. Do you know what APR stand for?
9. Do you know what your credit card grace period on purchases
is?
10. Do you pay annual fees in your credit card?
11. Do you regularly check your monthly credit card statement?
12. What is your line of credit (limit amount on your credit card)?
[] $0-$500
[] $501- $1,000
[] $1,001-$1,500
[] $1,501-$2,000
[] $2,001-$2,500
[] $2,500+
13. If you were offered an additional line of credit of $500, what
would you do?
[] Reject the credit extension
[] Accept the credit but not use it
[] Accept & use the credit
14. If you'd accept the $500 line of credit, how would you
spend your money (if at all)?
1. For personal expenses (e.g. entertainment, clothes,
living expenses)
2. For school expenses (e.g. school books, tuition, loans)
3. For an infrequent expense (e.g. vacation, bigger holiday
gifts)
4. Use to buy a durable asset (e.g. car, washing machine,
furniture)
5. Use to pay off notes (e.g. mortgage, car note, pay other
credit card)
6. Hold it for emergencies
Amount must total $500 $500.00
15. If you were offered an additional line of credit of $1,000,
what would you do?
[] reject the credit extension
[] accept the credit but not use it
[] accept & use the credit
16. If you'd accept the $1,000 line of credit, how would you
spend your money (if at all)?
1. For personal expenses (e.g. entertainment, clothes,
living expenses)
2. For school expenses (e.g. school books, tuition, loans)
3. For an infrequent expense (e.g. vacation, bigger holiday
gifts)
4. Use to buy a durable asset (e.g. car, washing machine,
furniture)
5. Use to pay off notes (e.g. mortgage, car note, pay other
credit card)
6. Hold it for emergencies
Amount must total $1,000 $1,000.00
17. Paying off credit cards is (check one of four choices, or all
that apply):
[] Spending
[] Savings
[] Neither spending nor savings
[] Both spending and savings
18. How financially well off do you expect to be after college?
[] Much better than now
[] Somewhat better than now
[] No better or worse than now
[] Somewhat worse than now
[] Much worse than now
19. General Information
Age: -- Gender: M F Major: --
Ethnic classification (i.e. white, black, Hispanic, other) --
Academic year qualification (i.e. freshman, junior ...,) --
Do you work? -- yes -- no If so, how many hours/week on average? --
Do you have a student loan? -- yes -- no Do you have scholarships?
-- yes -- no
Do you hold at least one credit card under your OWN name? -- yes --
no
If yes, how many? --
20. What is your family's current annual income? (Approximate
range)
[] <$20,000
[] $20,000-$39,999
[] $40,000-$59,999
[] $60,000-$79,999
[] $80,000-$99,999
[] $100,000-$119,999
[] $120,000-$139,999
[] $140,000+
REFERENCES
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http://www.businessweek.com/bwdaily/dnflash/content/
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Giancarlo Berrocal, Binghamton University, State University of New
York
Marilyn K. Spencer, Texas A&M University-Corpus Christi
Valrie Chambers, Texas A&M University-Corpus Christi
Table 1: Students' Responses When Offered a Line of Credit Extension
of $500 and $1,000 Respectively (in Percent)
$500 Line of
Aggregate Response Credit Extension
a. Use the Credit Line N = 12 ** 8.6%
b. Leave line unused 78 56.1%
c. Reject Credit Line * 49 35.3%
Total ** 139 100.0%
Error rate a p [less than or equal to] 0.05 38%
Respondents Age 18-21
a. Use the Credit Line 2 3.1%
b. Leave line unused 36 56.3%
c. Reject Credit Line * 26 40.6%
Total 64 100.0%
Error rate a p [less than or equal to] 0.05 33%
Respondents Over 21
a. Use the Credit Line 8 10.9%
b. Leave line unused 42 57.6%
c. Reject Credit Line * 23 31.5%
Total 73 100.0%
Error rate a p [less than or equal to] 0.05 39%
$1,000 Line of
Aggregate Response Credit Extension
a. Use the Credit Line 11 7.9%
b. Leave line unused 64 ** 46.0%
c. Reject Credit Line * 64 46.0%
Total ** 139 100.0%
Error rate a p [less than or equal to] 0.05 42%
Respondents Age 18-21
a. Use the Credit Line 2 3.1%
b. Leave line unused 25 39.1%
c. Reject Credit Line * 37 57.8%
Total 64 100.0%
Error rate a p [less than or equal to] 0.05 50%
Respondents Over 21
a. Use the Credit Line 9 12.3%
b. Leave line unused 37 50.7%
c. Reject Credit Line * 27 37.0%
Total 73 100.0%
Error rate a p [less than or equal to] 0.05 44%
* One-tailed significance for a binomial test assuming a 0.10 a
priori rejection rate is p [less than or equal to] 0.001 for both
extended credit line amounts. A sensitivity test allows approximation
of what the actual error rate would be if assuming completely
rational respondents. Those amounts are listed below the Total lines.
** Two respondents who would use the credit line did not list age and
are omitted from analysis.
Table 2: How Many Students Intend to Use the Credit Line?
Students Accepting the $500 Credit Line--in Aggregate
Observed Test Significance
Category N Proportion Proportion (1-tailed)
Leave Line Unused 78 .8533 .1000 * .000
Use the Credit Line 12 .1467
Total 90 1.0000
Students Accepting the $1,000 Credit Line--in Aggregate
Observed Test Significance
Category N Proportion Proportion (1-tailed)
Leave Line Unused 64 .8667 .1000 * .000
Use the Credit Line 11 .1333
Total 75 1.0000
Students Accepting the $500 Credit Line--Ages 18--21
Observed Test Significance
Category N Proportion Proportion (1-tailed)
Leave Line Unused 36 .9474 .1000 * .000
Use the Credit Line 2 .0526
Total 38 1.0000
Students Accepting the $500 Credit Line--Ages Over 21
Observed Test Significance
Category N Proportion Proportion (1-tailed)
Leave Line Unused 42 .8400 .1000 * .000
Use the Credit Line 8 .1600
Total 50 1.0000
Students Accepting the $1,000 Credit Line--Ages 18--21
Observed Test Significance
Category N Proportion Proportion (1-tailed)
Leave Line Unused 25 .9259 .1000 * .000
Use the Credit Line 2 .0741
Total 27 1.0000
Students Accepting the $1,000 Credit Line--Ages Over 21
Observed Test Significance
Category N Proportion Proportion (1-tailed)
Leave Line Unused 37 .8043 .1000 * .000
Use the Credit Line 9 .1957
Total 46 1.0000
Table 3: How Students, Those Who Plan to Use and Those Who Plan to
Leave the Line Unused, Expect to Allocate Additional Credit
Credit Amount $500
Age * 18 to 21 21 and older
First Use Leave Use Leave
Response ** Unused Unused
Sample Size 2 36 8 42
Actually Leave Unused *** 0.0% 52.4% 51.1% 60.7%
Actually Use *** 100.0% 47.6% 48.9% 39.3%
Personal Expenses -- 18.5% 22.5% 12.5%
School Expenses -- 15.8% 5.0% 5.5%
Infrequent Expenses -- 3.7% 6.3% 12.1%
Durable Assets -- 1.7% 3.8% 0.7%
Pay off Notes -- 7.9% 11.3% 8.5%
Credit Amount $1000
Age * 18 to 21 21 and older
First Use Leave Use Leave
Response ** Unused Unused
Sample Size 2 25 9 37
Actually Leave Unused *** 50.0% 63.4% 55.5% 67.1%
Actually Use *** 50.0% 36.6% 44.5% 32.9%
Personal Expenses -- 15.0% 13.3% 3.9%
School Expenses -- 9.4% 16.7% 8.7%
Infrequent Expenses -- 2.8% 7.2% 10.8%
Durable Assets -- 1.2% 2.2% 4.9%
Pay off Notes -- 8.2% 5.1% 4.6%
* This sample size excludes two participants that did not provide age
** Students' first response represents the immediate decision
students make when offered a line of credit extension.
*** Students' second response is computed by the actual allocation of
the additional credit among all the items.
Table 4: Why Students Obtained a Credit Card
Age Establish Meet Become It is
Credit Emergency Financially Convenient
History Responsible
18 to 21 42 10 5 2
(65.6%) (15.6%) (7.8%) (3.1%)
21 and over 32 13 6 5
(43.8%) (17.8%) (8.2%) (6.8%)
Total 74 23 11 7
(54.0%) (16.8%) (8.0%) (5.1%)
Age Promotional Other Total
Advantages Reasons
18 to 21 1 4 64
(1.6%) (6.3%) (100.0%)
21 and over 3 14 73
(4.1%) (19.2%) (99.9%)
Total 4 18 137
(2.9%) (13.1%) (99.9%)