Should NAFTA expand?: An analysis of expansion.
Maniam, Balasundram ; Dawson, Katie ; Lunce, Stephen 等
ABSTRACT
The emerging global economy differs from the international economy
in that resources are becoming more mobile and intra-industry trade is
becoming more important. Evidence is presented that these developments
require compatibility and harmonization of technical and policy
standards. It is easier to harmonize standards on a regional level than
globally; thus the rise of regional integration movements (Atkinson,
1998). This idea has led many to support the expansion of NAFTA to
include other regions, such as South America. There are potential
advantages and disadvantages to expanding free trade agreements.
Therefore, several considerations must be taken into account before the
U.S. enters such agreements. However, the U.S. must actively seek to
expand its trade agreements with other countries or risk losing
influence over decision-making processes in achieving globalization.
INTRODUCTION
The North American Free Trade Agreement (NAFTA) has raised several
questions, since discussions began to establish the agreement. One
heavily debated question was whether NAFTA would lead to the expansion
of free trade agreements in other regions across the globe, and if this
would be a viable prospect for the U.S. There are several reasons for
establishing free trade agreements but several issues must be addressed
before such agreements can be implemented.
The rationale for developing international trade is focused on
economic developments and politics. The globalization of the
world's economy establishes the need to form trade agreements with
other countries. Today, economies are interdependent therefore; events
in one country affect other countries in the world. For this reason,
globalization is a desirable goal. NAFTA is a prime example of an
integration technique used to achieve globalization. Proponents contend
that regional trade agreements (RTAs) will enable a smoother transition
into the globalization of trade policies. This argument has forced the
U.S. to evaluate the expansion of its current trade agreements, such as
NAFTA.
Developing free trade agreements involves numerous factors that
must be taken into consideration. The understanding and identification
of two specific factors is crucial for the success of expanding NAFTA
and free trade agreements in general. First, the U.S. must gain an
understanding of the economy and political environment of the country or
region where expansion is proposed. Understanding these factors allows
the U.S. to only enter into productive agreements. Identifying
distinctive competencies is another element in target regions or
countries and in the establishment of successful agreements. The
distinctive competencies of a country's are the natural resources
and/or processes that distinguish the country from others with the same
resources or products available. Identifying these competencies helps
the U.S determine how to best utilize strengths and implement successful
strategies.
A major concern associated with expanding NAFTA arises from
differences in economic, social, and political policies. These policies
dictate the way countries conduct business operations, which alters the
way partner countries conduct their business operations. NAFTA
negotiations were prolonged because of these issues. During NAFTA
negotiations, labor and environmental policy differences were addressed
at great lengths. U.S. labor unions were concerned that labor policies
in Mexico would eliminate jobs for Americans, and environmentalists were
concerned that lower environmental standards and lack of enforcement of
such policies would cause corporations to relocate. Another
consideration the U.S. must take into account are existing trade
agreements in a region. Stipulations in existing agreements can make it
difficult for the U.S. to expand its trade agreements.
The objective of this study is to determine if the expansion of
NAFTA would be a viable prospect for the United States. This study will
also provide a detailed investigation of factors associated with the
level of success attained by such agreements.
LITERATURE REVIEW
The United States is one of the strongest economies in the world.
Therefore, other countries often try to emulate the decisions made by
the U.S. By expanding regional trade agreements, the U.S. sets the
standard for such agreements and is viewed as a leader in globalization.
Globalization can be achieved more efficiently through expansion of
regional trade agreements such as NAFTA (Pasquero, 2000).
Proponents of international trade contend that nations should
specialize in production and trade to take advantage of their different
resource bases. The existence of an emerging global economy differs from
the international economy for two main reasons. First, resources are
becoming more mobile. Second, intra-industry trade is becoming more
important. Furthermore, evidence suggests that harmonization of
technical and policy standards are crucial to successful globalization
of economies (Atkinson, 1998). RTAs provide a basis for harmonization of
these policies.
Numerous areas for expansion of NAFTA have been considered.
However, several factors have caused the U.S. to refrain from expanding
into any other regions. The U.S. loses valuable opportunities to
influence developing countries by not expanding NAFTA into other regions
(Balze, 2001). The lack of U.S. involvement in these agreements has
caused several countries to seek other agreements (Beerman, 1996). This
causes another potential problem for the U.S. because of lost trade
opportunities that could have aided in the development of more efficient
markets.
Free trade agreements if not carefully managed can cause numerous
problems for the countries involved. NAFTA was strongly opposed by many
environmentalists and labor unions before its inception. Many felt that
NAFTA would hurt workers and U.S. firms and would be detrimental to the
environment. Proponents argued that the agreement would strengthen ties
between the U.S. and Mexico and create jobs. After the inception of
NAFTA several studies were conducted to determine the affects of the
agreement.
Overall, estimates are that trade among the U.S., Mexico, and
Canada has increased 75% since 1993, with total trade between the U.S.
and Mexico at almost $175 billion and U.S. agricultural exports to NAFTA
markets doubling between 1992 and 1998. An economist from Washington
D.C., said, "NAFTA has more or less done what he and others
expected." This group feels NAFTA has created more jobs than have
been lost in the U.S.. However, as one study noted, "Five years
after implementation the North American Free Trade Agreement remains a
work in progress." (Summerour, 1999, p. 12).
WHY NAFTA WAS CREATED
NAFTA came into existence out of Mexico's desire to attract
capital. Capital was needed to supplement the low level of national
savings in the country. The trade agreement did this by changing
international perceptions about Mexico's economy and by offering
firms located in Mexico access to the U.S. market. NAFTA, also, helped
cement the changes made by President Salinas to open the Mexican market.
Canada, basically, did not want to be excluded from the free trade
agreement because it granted greater access to the U.S. market (Gerber,
1999).
One unique characteristic of NAFTA is that it is an agreement
between three countries, which are at very different levels of economic
development, and since the inception of NAFTA there have been upward
trends in trade between the U.S., Canada, and Mexico. Canada is the
leading trading partner with the U.S. and Mexico is the second leading
trading partner with the U.S. Furthermore, economic improvements have
been great for both Mexico and Canada. When considering the effects of
NAFTA it is important to bear in mind that Mexico's economy
represents 4 to 5 percent of the U.S. The significance of this fact is
that no matter what happens with NAFTA, the impact to the U.S. will be
small. Another important factor is that trade between the U.S. and
Mexico and U.S. and Canada is as much market driven as institutionally
driven. Indicators of economic interaction between these countries show
that trade and investment were growing significantly before NAFTA. Even
without NAFTA, many of the same trade and investment flows probably
would have occurred anyway (Gerber, 1999).
ADVANTAGES OF EXPANSION
Although free trade agreements are not global agreements, they are
developed and accepted under the General Agreement on Tariffs and Trade (GATT) and the World Trade Organization (WTO), as long as their general
objective is to lower barriers to trade and competition. Therefore,
trade agreements serve as an intermediary in the globalization of trade
rules under GATT, the WTO, and domestic trade liberalization within
member countries (Pasquero, 2000).
Market integration is the extension of free trade among neighboring countries, which is driven by powerful economic, ideological, and
technological forces. Three advantages of market integration are
achieved through free trade. First, free trade agreements lower and
sometimes, eliminate trade barriers. This provides businesses easier
access to new markets at no additional cost. The elimination of trade
barriers can promote more efficient markets, which is a primary goal of
any economy. Second, because the new rules are negotiated, widely
published, and publicly enforced, they are made more transparent for
both importing and exporting firms throughout the free trade area. This
allows investors and businesses to make better decisions regarding
market strategy. Finally, free trade agreements normally come with
agreed-upon, and often jointly managed dispute resolution mechanisms,
reducing the potential for unilateral action by one member country
against another. Each of these three advantages aid in the harmonization
of policies on a global level.
The expansion of trade agreements results in expanded markets.
Greater access to foreign markets requires aggressive trade policy to
lower tariffs and eliminate distorting subsidies. Failure to provide
strong leadership in global trade liberalization will result in our
producers and exporters being left behind. The potential impact the U.S.
could have on various markets is significant, and the results of
inaction could be harmful to the growth of the U.S. economy. Other
nations are aggressively pursuing agreements, and the U.S. is falling
behind in this area.
Regional and bilateral trade agreements create export
opportunities, which can be important building blocks for trade
liberalization. NAFTA has had promising results, especially in certain
markets. Since the implementation of NAFTA, U.S. food and agricultural
exports to Canada and Mexico have expanded by 59 percent, while
corresponding exports to the rest of the world have grown by only 10%
(Food & Agricultural Policy, 2000).
Unfortunately, the U.S. has fallen behind some of its competitors.
Today, there are more than 130 preferential trade agreements throughout
the world, and the U.S. is part of a small percentage of those
agreements, with NAFTA being one. The European Union, alone, has 27
preferential agreements with other countries and is in the process of
negotiating more (Food & Agricultural Policy, 2000), illustrating
the importance of U.S. involvement in negotiations for free trade areas.
Free trade agreements should supplement global trade liberalization.
Expansion of free trade agreements, such as NAFTA, can accelerate the
pace of liberalization and provide momentum for global reform, but they
also have limitations. Trade distortions caused by export subsidies and
domestic supports cannot be effectively addressed in free trade
agreements (Food & Agricultural Policy, 2000).
The expansion of free trade agreements allows the U.S. to become a
proactive leader in the globalization of the world's economy. The
U.S. is referred to by many nations as a world leader, and it does not
bode well with many nations that the U.S. has not expanded its trade
agreements. This has forced many nations to engage in trade with other
countries. Chile is a prime example of a target area for expansion
abandoned because of political issues within the U.S., which forced
Chile into other agreements. It is important for the U.S. to actively
seek new areas of expansion for NAFTA, because it allows the U.S. to
spread its views on national policy. Major factors in trade negotiations
are the national policies in the target area. The U.S. has the ability
to influence those policies when free trade is extended to an area. The
lack of our presence in free trade agreements hurts us in the
harmonization of such policies, and eliminates any chance for U.S. views
in such policies.
CONCERNS OF EXPANSION
Industrial labor unions are often in opposition to expanding free
trade agreements. Differences in labor policies are of primary concern
for U.S. labor unions. One fear is that competition with low wage
countries will drive down wages at home and cause jobs to migrate
overseas. In other words, high wage U.S. labor will be forced to compete
for jobs against impoverished workers from third world countries. One
problem with this view is that productivity differences account for
differences in labor wages. For example, Mexican workers typically earn
less than U.S. workers for three reasons: lower education and skills,
less sophisticated capital, and the distribution channels are less
reliable. During NAFTA negotiations, labor issues were of great concern
for many opponents to the agreement. However, a labor side agreement was
established to help alleviate differences in labor policies.
Differences in environmental policies are also a major concern.
Environmental concerns linked to global trade expansion of NAFTA draw
from many areas, starting with issues related to emerging patterns
between current international trade and environment law and ending with
a general view of sustainable development that sometimes conflicts with
economic principles promoted by industry, governments and international
economic institutions.
Environmental activists fear that companies will relocate to
countries in which the economic policy has lower standards. Concerns are
also expressed regarding the enforcement of existing environmental
policies. Regions in which environmental policies are not enforced
result in unfair advantages to firms in that region.
One advantage of the expansion of NAFTA, however, is the ability to
identify and correct such discrepancies in policies. This is a much
easier task at the regional level compared to the global level.
Establishing trade relations can make differences smaller and less
pervasive (Gerber, 1999). The concerns of environmentalists cannot be
ignored. Differences between the U.S. and other countries'
environmental policies can cause large problems if not addressed.
Negotiations between the U.S. and other countries tend to be difficult
because of such differences. In fact, at times target regions for
expansion may be unwilling or incapable to make the changes necessary to
insure that the U.S. benefits from expanding free trade in the target
area.
Companies choosing to relocate to areas of weaker environmental
policy can give an advantage over companies located in the U.S..
Furthermore, even countries with established environmental policies may
not enforce those policies. This would also provide an incentive for
firms to relocate into that area, because current policy is not
enforced. Firms are attracted to areas where environmental restrictions
are not as tough as the U.S. because it lowers their costs. This allows
them to produce more efficiently in the short-run, but long-term it is
detrimental to the environment.
Another potential disadvantage of free trade agreements is the
terms of agreements can result in low cost external suppliers being
replaced with higher cost regional suppliers (Sargent & Matthews,
2001). Some economists feel that trade agreements reap inefficient
markets, because the agreements cause trade between countries that may
not be the most effective route of production. This could actually
increase the costs of transactions between the U.S. and partner
countries. However, the successful identification of strengths and
weaknesses during the planning phase of negotiations can reduce or
eliminate problem areas.
The expansion of NAFTA is not a simple process. In order for all
trade partners to reap benefits from the agreement, it must create value
for U.S. firms. In most cases, developing or undeveloped countries will
derive benefit from their association with the U.S.. However, the U.S.
may not. The natural resources in a country or their processes that are
more efficient than current processes are the main attraction for free
trade. If expansion into a country or area diverts more trade than it
creates the U.S. should not expand into that area.
The U.S. cannot simply expand NAFTA to follow the practice of other
nations. Rather a real benefit must be derived from the association of
the U.S. with a particular region. However, the U.S. is currently not
actively seeking to establish such agreements, while the rest of the
world is. The U.S. is, therefore, left out of an important element in
the steps toward globalization of the world's economy. The U.S.
must actively seek areas of potential expansion and act on the
distinctive competencies of other regions.
FACTORS AFFECTING FREE TRADE
Before the expansion of free trade agreements in the U.S. can be
effectively negotiated, it is important for the President to have fast
tracking authority. Fast tracking authority allows the President to
bypass approval of Congress of negotiations, which speeds the process
tremendously. The expansion of free trade agreements slowed greatly when
President Clinton failed to obtain renewal of fast track negotiating
authority from Congress that hammering out new pacts requires (Balze,
2001). Without such authority the technical and bureaucratic issues
prolong and ultimately destroy the likelihood of designing effective
free trade agreements between the U.S. and other countries.
Economic, political, and social policies in a particular region are
key in expanding NAFTA. Differences in policies can create problems,
which would cause trade between the regions to be fruitless. However,
this is one advantage of expanding trade, because during negotiations
these differences are targeted and steps are made to harmonize the
policies. The U.S. can have a significant influence over the policies in
other countries due to our attractive capital markets. These policies
are key decision factors in expansion, but also provide opportunities
for improvement of existing policies. As mentioned previously,
harmonization of policies is a key element in successful globalization,
and the expansion of NAFTA can alternatively reduce differences in
policies.
AREAS OF EXPANSION
Since the inception of NAFTA, the debate of expanding NAFTA began.
One of the first areas for expansion mentioned was Latin America;
because the region represents a U.S. export market larger than Canada
and almost as large as China plus all of developing Asia. Furthermore,
the International Monetary Fund (IMF) projected that Latin America would
grow almost twice as fast as the major industrial countries in the near
term, making trade opportunities huge. Latin America is currently
involved in a complex set of overlapping regional trade agreements, like
Mercosur. These regional pacts have led to trade, particularly in
locally produced capital equipment, that does not reflect comparative
advantage and is wasteful. Some feel that growth in Latin America will
be faster if it is based on open trade policies that encourage efficient
production. This is one of the goals of expansion of NAFTA, to
effectively and efficiently combine markets. From a U.S. perspective our
exporters suffer by being excluded from these growing markets (Little,
1997).
Chile also represents an area that various interest groups advocate
is suitable for expansion following the implementation of NAFTA. Chile
was one of the biggest success stories of the 1990s. The annual growth
rate for Chile was over seven percent a year, which caught the attention
of businesses around the world including the United States, European
Union, Asia, Canada, and Mexico. Furthermore, Chile has been a principal
trading partner with the U.S. for most of the twentieth century
(Beerman, 1996). However, the U.S. has not locked into a trade agreement
(such as NAFTA) with Chile. Several negotiations have been underway to
establish trade agreements between Chile and various markets, but Chile
did not commit to any of them because it considered the U.S. a primary
target for an agreement. However, the protectionist leaning U.S.
government struck down Chile's bid to enter the North American Free
Trade Agreement and put off further debate until later. This action was
not greeted warmly.
In the wake of these incidents, Chileans have become frustrated.
They strongly wished to become apart of NAFTA; joining NAFTA would grant
them access to North American services and high technology products,
opening an already profitable market. Many businessmen in Chile
expressed anger towards the U.S. for their refusal to grant access into
the North American market. Lavreano Gili, director of P.M. Chile S.A., a
textile importer in Santiago, refers to the NAFTA pledge, "as
merely another example of the United States talking about free trade and
then not acting on it" (Beerman, 1996). However, pressure against
Chile's entry into the NAFTA has come from several sources. Church
groups, Amnesty International, Greenpeace, and other organizations argue
that Chile ought to be denied entry in NAFTA as punishment for
Chile's questionable human rights and environmental records. These
issues will be discussed later in the paper.
Some cited South America as the best area for expansion. The appeal
for South American countries is easier access to capital (Clarke, 1995).
Furthermore, expansion into the Southern Cone would offer great
advantages to all its participants, helping to stabilize and enrich the
Americas, and further the process of hemispheric integration (Balze,
2001). Clearly the region of expansion is uncertain, but the predominate
element is the expansion of free trade to enable globalization which is
inherent in all of these areas.
NAFTA EXPANSION
Table 1 (Appendix A) is a comparison of trade flows to U.S.
domestic shipments by SIC codes. The table provides potential trade
creation and trade diversion effects associated with the expansion of
NAFTA into various markets. The most recent data available when the
study was conducted is from 1991. Table 1 presents the results from four
different scenarios, the accession to NAFTA of, Chile, the Andean Pact (Ecuador, Peru, Venezuela, Colombia, and Bolivia), Mercosur (Brazil,
Argentina, Paraguay, and Uruguay), and a Western Hemisphere FTA
including all countries in the first three groups. The largest six
2-digit SIC codes (in terms of trade creation) for each region are
presented. These codes represent more than 75 percent of the total trade
effect under each given scenario (Anderson & Smith, 1997).
Under the first scenario of a U.S. and Chile free trade agreement
the trade creation is $34.52 million. The estimates for trade diversion
associated with expansion of NAFTA to include Chile are $51.88 million.
Considering these two factors, the overall impact of expansion into
Chile is modest. Special attention should be paid to textiles and
apparel imports because they represent 57 percent of all predicted trade
effects (Anderson & Smith, 1997).
The trade creation that would result from expansion of NAFTA with
the Andean Pact is $206 million, while trade diversion is $327 million.
Total trade effect of the Andean Pact's accession to NAFTA is
estimated at $312 million. As with Chile, the expansion of NAFTA into
this region would create only modest benefits (Anderson & Smith,
1997).
Under the third scenario, expansion of NAFTA to include Mercosur
would result in trade creation of $477 million. Trade diversion under
this scenario totals to $838 million. The total trade effect of
Mercosur's accession to NAFTA is estimate at $796 million,
representing nine percent of the regions total merchandise trade with
the U.S..
The presence of Brazil creates large predicted increases in exports
for Mercosur, much larger than the combined effects of Chile and the
Andean Pact. In this combination industrial products and industrial
machinery are among the leaders in trade creation and trade diversion.
However, from the U.S. perspective the increase of less than $800
million is relatively small compared to total imports of more than $500
billion.
The fourth scenario illustrates expansion into the Western
Hemisphere. Total trade creation in this situation is estimated to be
$720 million, while trade diversion estimates are $1.277 billion. The
total effect of Latin America's accession into NAFTA is estimated
at $1.15 billion. Apparel, textiles, and leather products account for 62
percent of the total trade effect. However, the effects on import
competing U.S. industries will be small, as it is only trade creation
not trade diversion which comes at the expense of the domestic industry
(Anderson & Smith, 1997).
Under each scenario discussed, the trade creation was less than
trade diversion. This makes it difficult to determine the best area for
expansion. However, some would argue the U.S. should not expect a
tremendous impact on trade because of expansion of trade agreements in
any particular region. The rationale behind this argument is that, most
of these areas represent a small percentage of the U.S., and therefore
their impact should not be considered individually, but as a whole.
NAFTA is an illustration of this very point. Regardless of the outcome
of the agreement when it was originated, the impact to the U.S. economy
would be negligible.
The information from Table 1 may cause the reader to believe that
the U.S. will not benefit significantly from the expansion of NAFTA,
however the opposite is true. It is important to bear in mind that each
of these target areas for expansion represents varying levels of
economic, social, and political development. The benefits associated
with trade agreements in these areas may be difficult to see in the
beginning, but will increase significantly as the country begins to
develop new policies. The U.S. has the ability to influence the policies
of these countries through trade agreements, which is beneficial for the
globalization of the economy. Simply stated, the U.S. must expand
existing free trade agreements in order to sustain its position as a
world leader.
CONCLUSION
The expansion of NAFTA or regional free trade agreements with the
U.S. and other countries is inevitable. In order to sustain economic and
political growth, the U.S. must increase its free trade agreements. Free
trade agreements are vital elements in the goal of globalization. The
advances made in political, economic, and social policy through RTAs aid
in harmonizing the global economy. However, this does not mean the U.S.
should enter into free trade agreements merely to aid in the development
of world trade. It does insist that the U.S. play an active role in the
development of those ultimate goals to ensure the U.S. maintains its
position as an economic powerhouse.
The U.S. benefits through improved relations and strengthening of
political ties, as well as by improved efficiency of markets.
Underdeveloped and developed countries are also able to improve current
policies and better prepare themselves for a global market. These
countries can also benchmark American processes and, as a result,
improve trade efficiency within their country.
REFERENCES
Anderson, M. & Smith, S. (1997). NAFTA Expansion: U.S. Imports
Upon Chilean, Andean Pact and Mercosur Accession.
Atkinson, G. (1998). Regional Integration in the Emerging Global
Economy: The case of NAFTA. Social Science Journal. 35(2).
Balze, F. (2001). Finding Allies in the Back Yard: NAFTA and the
Southern Cone.
Beerman, K. (1996). Moving On: Chile's Alternatives to NAFTA.
Harvard International Review, 18(3).
Clarke, D. (1995). Magnetic South America. Canadian Banker.102(3).
Food and Agricultural Policy. (2000). Trade Expansion is Critical.
Gerber, J. (1999). International Economy. Addison Wesley, Reading
Massachusetts.
Little, J. (1997). NAFTA: Fast Forward? Regional Review 7(3).
Pasquero, J. (2000). Regional Market Integration in North America and Corporate Social Management. University of Quebec.
Sargent, J. &Matthews, L. (2001). Combining Export Processing
Zones and Regional Free Trade Agreements: Lessons from the Mexican
Experience.
Sommerour, J. (1999). NAFTA: Work in Progress. Progressive Grocer,
78(10).
Balasundram Maniam, Sam Houston State University Katie Dawson, Sam
Houston State University Stephen Lunce, Texas A&M International
University Sara Hart, Sam Houston State University
Appendix A
Table I: Summary of Trade Creation and Trade Diversion by Region
(Top six SIC categories ranked by TC; figures in U.S.$ millions;
estimating equation From Technical Appendix in parentheses)
Region/SIC TC TD TD
(1) (2) (3)
Chile
23 Apparel 17.0 8.1 0.0
20 Food 4.1 0.3 0.1
22 Textiles 3.5 0.6 0.0
31 Leather 2.9 5.8 0.0
33 Prim. Met 1.8 0.6 0.1
01 Crops 1.7 0.4 0.1
Other 3.5 1.1 0.0
Total 34.5 16.9 0.4
Andean Pact
23 Apparel 108.2 56.2 1.6
13 Oil & Gas 25.1 12.3 3.4
29 Pet/Coat 20.1 10.9 6.2
01 Crops 14.1 9.7 5.0
22 Textiles 12.6 2.8 0.2
31 Leather 8.7 14.1 0.1
Other 17.5 9.2 0.4
Total 206.3 105.3 16.9
Mercosur
31 Leather 143.7 242.6 19.8
33 Prim Met 62.1 10.7 4.5
20 Food 59.5 4.3 5.5
23 Apparel 45.8 25.6 0.7
35 Ind. Mach 44.4 5.4 5.6
37 Trans. Eq 21.3 7.7 0.1
Other 99.9 23.3 6.9
Total 476.7 319.6 43.1
Western Hemisphere
23 Apparel 165.8 87.0 3.7
31 Leather 155.3 258.0 22.1
20 Food 71.8 4.3 17.9
33 Prim. Met 68.2 11.8 5.9
35 Ind. Mach 44.8 5.4 5.6
22 Textiles 37.3 6.8 2.5
Other 177.3 59.5 25.2
Total 720.5 432.8 82.9
Total Trade Effect
Region/SIC TD (1) + (2) % Share Of
(5) Imports
Chile
23 Apparel 17.0 25.1 76.0
20 Food 4.1 4.4 1.7
22 Textiles 3.5 4.1 31.2
31 Leather 2.9 8.7 40.2
33 Prim. Met 1.8 2.4 0.6
01 Crops 1.7 2.1 0.5
Other 3.5 4.6 1.5
Total 34.5 51.4 3.5
Andean Pact
23 Apparel 107.4 164.4 57.7
13 Oil & Gas 25.1 37.4 0.6
29 Pet/Coat 20.1 31.0 0.6
01 Crops 13.7 23.8 2.9
22 Textiles 12.6 15.4 15.9
31 Leather 8.7 22.8 25.4
Other 17.5 26.7 0.8
Total 205.1 311.6 2.2
Mercosur
31 Leather 140.8 386.3 30.3
33 Prim Met 61.7 72.8 6.4
20 Food 58.8 63.8 4.8
23 Apparel 45.7 71.4 36.0
35 Ind. Mach 43.5 49.8 6.7
37 Trans. Eq 21.3 29.0 4.3
Other 102.8 123.2 3.6
Total 474.6 796.3 9.1
Western Hemisphere
23 Apparel 164.1 252.8 48.9
31 Leather 152.0 413.3 29.8
20 Food 70.6 76.1 3.0
33 Prim. Met 67.7 80.0 3.7
35 Ind. Mach 43.9 50.2 6.6
22 Textiles 36.5 44.1 14.0
Other 176.1 236.8 1.4
Total 710.9 1153.3 4.7
Source: Anderson and Smith (1997)