Some issues concerning sector concentration. Evidence from Romania/Valdymo sistema didziosiose madeiros salos imonese: rezultatu apskaitos sistemos naudojimo pavyzdziu.
Marginean, Silvia ; Toma, Ramona "Orastean"
1. Introduction
The structural reforms of East-European economies during the last
20 years had a consistent impact on the level of concentration in most
industries, due to the privatization processes, foreign direct
investments or new firms creation. The degree of concentration is a key
factor in appreciating the business environment locally, nationally and
globally. Many theoretical and empirical studies proved in the last 50
years that micro and macroeconomic competitiveness is strongly related
to the competition and market structure.
Trying to become more efficient and more competitive, Romania made
important reforms during the 1990s and the changes in business
environment affected the concentration dynamics in all industries. This
paper is focused primarily on a descriptive and dynamic analysis of
concentration ratios in Romania from year to year. There are two
commonly used measures of concentration: concentration ratio (CR) and
Herfindahl-Hirschman Index. Although many studies show some advantages
of using HHI to examine the trends in market structure and
cross-industry analysis, we finally choose to use CR for some reasons:
concentration ratio series are available for Romania beginning with
1996, while HHI data are not available; we also considered CR a more
relevant tool for macroeconomic trends and policies. The survey shows a
significant reduction of CR5 across a wide range of industries (19 from
25) and rising trends in concentration for 6 industries, and also a
rising trend in productivity of the first 20 firms comparing to the
average productivity in the industry (in 1996 for 15 industries from 25
the percent of industry employees is higher comparing to the percent of
sales of the industry, but in 2004 we have only 6 industries from 25 in
this situation).
2. Market concentration and industry structure: from microeconomic
causes to macroeconomic effects
Analysing concentration in different industries or sectors is
important from two points of view: (1) at microeconomic level, the
performance of the firm is influenced by the characteristics of the
industry, by competition and specific market structure; (2) at
macroeconomic level, a competitive national economy is based on the
competitiveness of the industries, which is related to the competition
and concentration of every sector.
The importance of industry structure on microeconomic performance
is based on structure --conduct--performance paradigm which began with
Mason (1939) and Bain (1956). This paradigm rested on two ideas (Sutton
2007): (1) the existence of one-way chain of causation that ran from
structure (concentration) to conduct (the pricing behaviour of firms) to
performance (profitability)--high concentration facilitate collusion and
lead to high profits; (2) high level of concentration could be traced to
the presence of certain barriers to entry. SCP paradigm explains
concentration by entry barriers and measures of product differentiation
and, more recently (Ilmakunnas 2008) in the open economy context
concentration ratios were explained also by export and import
intensities and foreign direct investments. Recent researches (Tushaj
2010; Yeyati, Micco 2007), focused on banking sectors have proved
concentration level to be major determinant of banking system efficiency
and showed the contribution of foreign capital penetration on
concentration changes of these markets. The original SCP literature
sought to establish a systematic relationship between price and
concentration. A modern approach to SCP by Sutton (Perloff, Karp, Golan
2007) uses a game theoretic approach to examine what happens to
competition and concentration when market size grows.
As a general tendency, concentration tends to increase in all
countries and all sectors. The data for 1992-1997 show a considerable
increase in concentration ratios in manufacturing and retail trade
sector in USA, and the merger boom during the 1990s is the leading
factor (Pryor 2002). Studies on health care industries (Boutsioli 2007),
brewing industry (Tremblay et al. 2005), innovative activities (Fornahl,
Brenner 2009) and manufacturing industry (Fedderke, Szalontay 2009) show
rising trends in concentration. Industries matter in many ways (Sako
2008): industries matter as a methodological approach that favours a
contextually rich description as a starting point; industries matter
because they provide an institutional context that helps interpret how
various practices fit together in a specific industry with implications
for performance; industries matter because there are a number of
different ways in which an industry may be conceptualized and these
differences affect our interpretations of industry effects.
Inter--industries differences in concentration could have various sets
of explanations, from barriers to entry to market contestability
(Kessides, Tang 2010) or consumer's rationality (Yanagita, Onozaki
2010).
Another important direction in studying concentration is geographic
concentration and spatial aspects. Catin, Luo and Van Huffel (2005)
examine the regional differences and the polarization/dispersion
enforces in the case of the developing countries on three levels: stage
1--pre-industrial, where the income per capita is reduced and there is a
weak urban concentration; stage 2--where the industrialization process
forced the urban concentration and the polarization of the activity;
stage 3--where together with the high technology industry's
concentration and the reduction of the industries intensive in labour,
the extent of the regional inequalities and the concentration of the
activity in urban areas decrease when GDP per capita closes to the level
of 5000 USD. International opening accents the economic concentration in
certain geographical areas. Empirical studies (Williamson 1965; Wheaton,
Shishido 1981; Hansen 1990; Mac Kellar, Vining 1995; Henderson 2000,
2002; Henderson et al. 2001; Lafourcade, Mion 2007) analyse the level of
urban concentration during the developing process and suggest that in
spite of the level of the GDP per capita of 5000 USD, urban
concentration tends to reduce.
Different models highlight the major forces of polarization and
regional urban dispersion of the activities in three stages of
development, from many points of view: the centre outskirts (Krugman
1991), which take into consideration the congestion and the dynamism of
the external growth and examines different stages of development; the
multi regional model of the industrial congestions (Fujita, Thisse 2001,
2002); the urban economic geographical model applied to developing
countries (Krugman, Elizondo 1996); a historical typology (Duranton
1997, 1999).
At macroeconomic level, causes, effects and trends are the main
directions of concentration studies. Mitton (2008) shows that
concentration in countries with higher entry costs for new firms, with
weaker antitrust policy, with less financial development is higher. Weak
institutions are associated with higher concentration in industries that
do not have naturally high level of concentration. From this point of
view, higher concentration means less competition, means weak overall
performance of the economy. Countries with high levels of concentration
may suffer from economic distortions that limit growth; higher levels of
economic concentration could lead to greater economic volatility; the
concentration of economic activity in a country could lead to potential
political distortions. Looking at the effects of concentration, recent
empirical studies have pointed to a negative correlation between
concentration ratios and employment (Fedderke, Szalontay 2009). The
correlation-regression analysis has revealed a strong relationship
between the industrial activities' concentration and the financial
activities, overall profitability and sales income (Ginevicius et al.
2010).
The lack of competition and the high degree of concentration are
the reasons for bad economic performance of many East-European countries
in the early 90's. The interest for market concentration dynamics
in East European countries is justified by the numerous changes in the
market structure in all sectors. In their research on business
concentration in the main sectors of Lithuanian economy, Ginevicius and
Krivka (2009) identify oligopolistic industries and evaluate their
weight in the economy. Privatisations, market liberalisation, foreign
direct investments, creation of new firms are the sources of great
transformation in all East-European countries, including Romania. Using
Lerner index as a measure for market power, Asaftei and Parmenter (2010)
investigate the procompetitive effects of trade integration and
ownership changes; they argue that increases in markups are due to
privatization in sectors where product market concentration is high and
due to import penetration where product market concentration is low; the
progressive removal of tariff barriers required by the FTA, combined
with increasing FDI inflows led to the erosion of market power of
domestic companies.
3. Methods of measuring the sector concentration
The concentration of an industry or a sector is mostly measured
through two methods: concentration ratio (CR) and Herfindahl-Hirschman
index (HHI).
Concentration ratio (CR) represents the market share which is held
by the biggest "n" companies from a sector of activity. The
concentration ratio for the biggest "n" companies from all
sectors of activity is calculated by simply summing up the market
shares, using the formula (1):
[CR.sub.n] = [S.sub.1] + [S.sub.2] + .... + [S.sub.n], (1)
where: [S.sub.i] is the market share of company i = 1 ... n.
The market share of a company is determined as a percentage ratio
between the company's sales figure and the total sales figure in
that sector. In the USA it has been determined since 1997 the
concentration ratios for the first 4, 8, 20 and 50 companies
respectively [CR.sub.4], [CR.sub.8], [CR.sub.20] and [CR.sub.50].
Starting with 1997 the concept of concentration appears in the
official statistics of Romania, in the chapter "Result and
performances of the companies" of the Statistical Yearbook. The
concentration in the sector of activity is analysed starting from the
percentage of the first 5 respectively 20 national level companies
listed according to the sales figure and the number of employees.
Generally, if [CR.sub.4] or [CR.sub.5] have values under 40 (which
means that the percentage of the first 4 respectively the 5 companies
from the sector have less than 40% from the total sales figure or from
the total number of employees), the sector is considered to be highly
competitive, because there is a high enough number of companies which
compete, without any of them to hold an important share on the market.
On the opposite end if [CR.sub.1] is over 90, that market is a monopoly
one.
The main problem related to the concentration ratio is that it
shows the degree in which a company dominates the market. By definition
it doesn't take into consideration the market share of every
company from that industry. Furthermore, it does not give any
information related to the distribution of the companies in the sector:
if there are any changes of the ratio changes between the companies
taken into consideration in order to determine the concentration ratio
(the first 4 or 5) the value of the coefficient of concentration will
remain constant.
Herfindahl-Hirschman index (HHI) was developed by the economists
Hirschman (1945) and Herfindahl (1950).
The index is calculated by summing up the squares of the individual
market shares of all the companies in the sector of activity, using the
formula (2):
HHI = [S.sub.1.sup.2] + [S.sub.2.sup.2] + ... + [S.sub.n.sup.2],
(2)
where [S.sub.i] is the market share of company i = 1 ... n.
When HHI is under 1000 we can say that the market has a decreased
degree of concentration; if HHI has values between 1000 and 1800 the
degree of concentration is moderate, and the values over 1800 show a
market with a high level of concentration.
In the USA this index is used in decisions concerning competitive
policies and related to mergers and acquisitions: when HHI is under
1000, this type of operations are allowed because it is considered there
is no risk for anticompetitive practices; if HHI is between 1000 and
1800, the USA Justice Department will carefully evaluate the impact of a
merger or acquisition compared to the effect that the operation has over
the value of this index; when the value is over 1800, the antitrust laws
will be applied because it is considered that free competition is in
danger. If such operation generates growth with more than 100-200 points
of HHI the market analysis will be extremely rigorous and circumspect.
Hall and Tideman (1967) discuss measures of industry
concentration--concentration ratio, Herfindahl-Hirschman index--both
analytically and empirically. The analytical analysis consists of
developing a set of properties which they argue all measures of
concentration should possess. Although the concentration ratio is shown
to be deficient on analytical grounds it appears to yield estimates of
concentration not too different from the HHI index.
The main two advantages of the HHI index comparing to the
concentration ratio are:
--HHI reflects both the distribution of the market shares for the
first companies and the market composition for all companies;
--HHI gives more importance to the market share of the biggest
companies and thus it acknowledges the relative importance of the large
companies in competitive interactions.
In the international literature of concentration measures, most of
the critiques regarding the HHI index are empirically grounded.
Borenstein et al. (1999) have shown that at least in the case of
electricity markets the HHI is a poor measure of competitiveness. Giroud
and Mueller (2010) consider that the HHI is an imperfect measure of
competition, arguing with the classic example of the cement company,
more generally this concern applying whenever markets are regionally
segmented. Other authors (Liaukonyte 2007) have questioned the use of
this index even for analyzing mergers. For empirically test the extent
to which the effectiveness of the market for corporate control is
dependent upon the size of the firm, Offenberg (2009) calculated HHI for
each calendar year within each of the 48 industries, using the universe
of firms with sales and industry data available on Compustat. But
calculating the HHI in this manner does not give an exact measure of the
concentration of market power in each industry, because private and
foreign firms are not included in Compustat. Ginevicius and Cirba (2009)
show that all currently used measures, including the most widely used
Herfindahl-Hirschman index, have some limitations and, therefore, cannot
adequately describe the market state. They consider that additive
measures, evaluating the whole concentration curve, assess market
concentration most effectively.
Because concentration ratios possess a shortcoming because they do
not identify the distribution of industry output among the largest
firms, most economists prefer to use HHI when the necessary data are
available to measure the degree of industry concentration. The
disadvantage of HHI is that market share data are needed for all of the
firms in the industry with shares of more than 1% while [CR.sub.4]
requires only market share data for the largest four companies
(Santerre, Neun 2010).
The methods of measuring the sector concentration come to complete
the classical economic theory contributing to determination of
competition type. Figure 1 shows the general relationship between the
type of competition (the market structure), the concentration of the
sectors of activity, profits and revenues.
Fig. 1 expresses the traditional vision related to the existed
correlation between the three elements. As we move from left to right,
from perfect competition to monopoly, the level of sector concentration
increases. While the level of concentration grows, the company's
market power grows as well. Usually, the profit rate grows when the
company's market power is bigger.
[FIGURE 1 OMITTED]
The reason that supports the idea of incorporating an industry in a
certain type of competition starting with the concentration level is the
following: the number of companies is an important differentiating
factor between the types of competition. When the number of companies
from an industry is high, usually a level of concentration tends to be
low. The exception is the oligopoly, where the number of important
competitors counts and not the total number of companies (for example,
an industry with 100 companies can be considered as an oligopoly
structure if the first six companies own 95% of the market).
The interference between the measuring of the concentration level
and a classical economic theory can be illustrated as shown Gwin (2001)
and Table 1.
Evaluation of the concentration level will take into account the
relevant market for every company. Generally, the market is represented
by all potential clients that have the same need or desire and those are
willing and have the capacity to engage in a relation of exchange in
order to satisfy that need or desire. The relevant market is defined as
the minimal geographical area in which a hypothetical monopoly could
durably (almost one year) impose and maintain a profitable growth of its
prices (almost 5%) without affecting the consumers' behaviour. This
definition, known as "the rule of 5%" is used in law sciences,
but we can not say that it brings a lot of clarity in defining the
relative market. Nonetheless we can say that measuring the level of
concentration can be irrelevant in the following situations:
--Competition of the imported goods is significant in certain
sectors of activity.
--Geographical distribution is uneven: dates from the statistical
year books have a national character and do not reflect the situation in
which a certain industry has a high level of geographical concentration.
--Competitors can enter on the market: generally, studies regarding
the level of concentration have a static character which makes it unable
for the information to be extrapolated in sectors with low entrance
barriers or are not relevant to long term.
--Competition can take place not only intra-sector but also
inter-sector: the presence of indirect substitutes for goods and
services can be as important as the presence of direct substitutes.
4. Causes and effects of sector concentration
Preoccupations determined by measuring the level of concentration
are fully justified taking into consideration the effects of
concentration over the competitive environment. Studies made in
different periods and countries show that the occurrence of
concentration and its effects can be explained by different causes.
Therefore an industry can reach a high level of concentration
resulting from the presence of entrance-exit barriers on that market.
That is why Porter (1998) considered that these factors contribute to
reach a high level of concentration in industry:
--The presence of entrance barriers: economies of scale;
differentiating by product; need of capital; costs of exchanging a
business partner; access to distribution channels; disadvantages of cost
independent from economies of scale: technology property; favourable
access to raw materials; favourable placement; favourable governmental
subventions; evolution in learning and experience; governmental policy.
--The presence of exit barriers: specialized long-term assets;
fixed costs of exit; strategic exit barriers: interdependence, access to
financial markets, vertical integration; informational barriers;
emotional and managerial barriers; governmental and social barriers.
We can also consider the nature of the sector a factor which
influences decisively the level of concentration. The presence of scale
economies is influenced by the nature of industry. Additionally,
concentration may be the natural result of competition (Gilligan 1993):
the sale of certain products will satisfy the consumers, will lead to
market shares far higher. Mergers are a cause of concentration and they
may also be a cause of cooperation and deal among companies which
generally leads the price rise in that sector.
The means used by companies to obtain a market rise far higher to
that of the competitors, respectively the share which can influence
directly the degree of sector concentration may be:
* acquisitions--buying partial or total assets;
* mergers;
* joint-ventures that can lead to new products in competition to
the existing ones what reduce the market power. But, however we can meet
situations in which a dominant company can use a joint venture to cope
with a competitor. There is a way by which two companies can cooperate
in view to gain some potential profits, maintaining though control over
both activity and organisation under discussion. The most common way is
that when a new founded company focuses on research in which the two
partners have equal shares;
* licences: a licence gives a company the possibility to access a
technology by paying a licence tax. It is important a distinction
between exclusive and non-exclusive licence: when a company gets a
non-exclusive license it gets the right to use official technologies;
when the company gets an exclusive licence it makes the promise not to
allow broadcast or to hand over the licence;
* strategic alliances: competition, agreement in the research field
and alliances.
No matter the causes and the ways in the process the concentration,
it has several effects:
--Concentration may raise the prices: when a product is sold by
only few companies they will deal with the prices.
--Concentration may raise the profits: out of 48 articles published
by the beginning of the 1970s concerning sector concentration in the
USA, 42 concluded that the more concentrated an industry is, the higher
the profits are. The statistic correlation is weak. Recent research
discovered that there is no significant statistic relationship between
profits and industrial concentration: if there is any relationship
between concentration of sellers and profitability it is statistically
weak and effects are low. The relationship is unstable in time and
space.
--It may influence in a negative way the market efficiency: extreme
cases of concentration define monopoly.
--It may raise the preoccupation for equity or rightness of the
market.
--It may have positive effect by economies of scale.
--The power on the market may be maintained on view to block the
entrance of new competitors.
--The intellectual property rights restrict the number of owners on
the market in order to stimulate innovation.
--Takeover of small companies by the multinational ones.
Generally speaking the market efficiency depends on the competition
level of that market and not on the number of competitors. Market
concentration does not always mean market power and a big number of
companies do not always mean a powerful competition. If the markets are
geographically bordered, the presence of a big number of companies does
not guarantee the competition: each can control a certain market for
which it will be the dominant company.
5. Sector concentration in Romania
In Romania, preoccupation regarding the analysis of the degree of
sector concentration is relatively recent. Legally speaking, economic
concentration is brought under regulation by the Law of Competition no.
21/1996, which states that an operation of economic concentration takes
place when (art. 11):
a. two or more business organisations, formerly independent, merge;
b. one or more individuals who already have control over at least
one business organisation or one or more business organisations acquire,
directly or indirectly, the control over one or more business
organisations or over some of their parts, either through participating
in the capital, or through purchasing elements of assets, by a contract
or by other means.
Also, the law states which are the prohibited operations of
concentration (art. 13), respectively the ones effective in creating or
consolidating a dominant position, leading to the restriction, removal
or significant distortion of the competition on the Romanian market or
on a significant part of it.
The law also defines the criteria through which the compatibility
of the economic concentration operations with a normal competitive
environment is measured:
--the necessity to maintain and develop the competition on the
Romanian market keeping in mind the structure of all markets concerned
and the existent or potential competition between business organisations
in Romania or elsewhere;
--the market level held by business organisations, their economic
and financial power;
--the available alternatives for the provider and the user, their
access to markets and sources of provision, as well as all other
barriers instituted through normative documents or of any other nature
concerning entering the market;
--the course of the request and offer for the goods involved;
--the degree in which the beneficiary's or the consumer's
interests are affected;
--the contribution to the technical or economic progress.
According to the mentioned criteria, the operations of
concentration can be admitted if the operation contributes to the growth
of economic efficiency, to the amelioration of production, to the growth
of export competitiveness, or if the favourable effects compensate for
the unfavourable effects of the reduction of competition or if the
consumers are favoured, by price cutting.
The limit from which one can start talking about economic
concentration presumes that the business organisations involved in the
operation sum up a business figure of more than 10 billion lei. Crossing
this limit, any operation must be notified at the Competition Council
(art. 16).
The statements of the Law of Competition concerning economic
concentration allow us to make the following appreciation:
--the institution able to analyse the operations of economic
concentration in Romania is the Competition Council;
--the extended vision of the market and the consciousness of the
fact that in the present the competition is often developed at a global
level represents in our opinion a merit of the law;
--the presence on national markets of strong multinational
companies imposes the rising of some Romanian firms of the same range,
which can also impose as the global competitors. Thus, each operation is
analysed through the ratio to other national markets and to the global
market;
--outside the limit of 10 billion lei as a business figure the
Romanian law does not mention other indicators, whose values can be
measured and used in analyzing the operations of concentration;
--till nowadays, since the law was passed, most of the fines have
been established by the Council of Competition for the lack of
notification and there have not been many cases in which the operation
of concentration was not allowed. Although, afterwards, after
accomplishing economic concentration, there have been situations in
which the partners on the market have appealed to anticompetitive
practices, proven and punished, in the stage of realizing concentration,
it has been allowed. The example from the cement industry is known,
where there are only 3 big companies which dominate the market
(initially, there were at least 9 companies with significant market
shares). After the industry was stabilized on an oligopoly structure in
which the three actors have approximately equal market shares, 30-34%
each, they started settling prices and produced quantities, transforming
into a cooperating oligopoly. The Council of Competition gave one of the
highest fines, 28.5 million euro.
The main issue will remain judging the situations in which the
disadvantages tied to the reduction of competition are weighed against
the advantages created by the growth of power on the market of the
companies involved (scale economies, the growth of competitiveness on
external markets).
There are few studies about sector concentration in the Romanian
literature that is specialised on economy, mentioning the following.
In the study "Degrees of concentration of the system and the
main and secondary subsystems of companies" (Dinu et al. 2001), the
authors calculate the degree of concentration of the system of companies
by grouping them in deciles, in descending order of the market shares
and calculating the Gini Indicator. The variation area of the indicator
is between 0 and 1, and the authors establish the following limits of
meaning (Table 2).
The degree of concentration of the national companies system was Gc
= 0.88 in 1999, class 5--very high concentration. The study covers
1995-1999 period with no significant changes in the degree of
concentration. Scaling based on concentration classes of the secondary
subsystems of companies shows that there are 4 secondary subsystems of
companies (the coal mining industry, the tobacco industry, the
metallurgical industry and production, transport and distribution of
electric and thermal energy, gas and warm water) that have concentration
degrees higher than 0.95. The most important conclusion of the study is
that these subsystems established at that particular time, the source of
the most complex issues from the standpoint of efficiency,
privatization, social convulsions and price policies. Among these
industries, the metallurgical industry and the coal mining industry are
diagnosed as having an unfavourable condition concerning economic
performance, in relation with the national companies system.
Another important study is "Concentration/deconcentration in
the Romanian industry after 1990" (Russu 2003). The criteria used
for characterising the degree of concentration are the number of
companies, the size of the company (determined as an average number of
employees) and the [CR.sub.5] and [CR.sub.20] level (the concentration
ratios). The study is realised at the level of the year 2000 and is
concerned exclusively with the analysis of concentration in industry.
The conclusions complete the above mentioned study. So, the author
determines that in the analysed time frame, the Romanian industry has
got through two opposite processes at the same time, one of
concentration and the other of deconcentration of economic activity. The
industries characterized by a high level of concentration have not been
significantly modified in 1990-2000: the level of the [CR.sub.5] and
[CR.sub.20] has been very high in the mining industry. In the processing
industry, they show lower levels, crude oil processing, coal coking and
nuclear fuel treatment industry, means of transport industry,
metallurgical industry, cars and equipment settle at the higher level,
whereas the IT and office means industry, the publishing houses,
poligraphy and recording reproducible registrations, the wood
manufacturing industry, the food and beverages industry, the rubber and
plastic masses processing industry, the metallic constructions and metal
products industry, the textile industry, the clothing industry, the
leather and footwear industry settle at a lower level (with low
concentration).
The Romanian economy as a whole is characterized by a high degree
of concentration: from the total of the 35,000 registered companies in
1996, 3.12% covered approximately 80% of the total business figures. The
inefficiency in using the social capital by the big companies is
reflected by the score of the companies which concentrate 80% of the
social capital (0.25%) or by the number of employees (1.72%) compared
with the one of the companies which is responsible for 80% of the total
business figure (3.12%). This obviously shows that the companies with
the highest social capital or with the highest number of employees have
inferior performances to the branch average. The concentration of 80% of
the Romanian export in 650 companies (0.17% of the total) reflects its
fragility and vulnerability after Romania's integration in the
European Union. Generally, there is a proportional relation between the
degree of concentration and the degree of privatization in the industry.
The mentioned studies constitute in our opinion guide marks for any
following analysis in the area. To complete the image of sector
concentration at a national level, we considered necessary to analyse
the dynamics of concentration ratios. The period observed was 1996-2004
for which [CR.sub.5] and [CR.sub.20] are available at national level.
Taking into account the observations concerning the situations in which
the analysis of the concentration may not be relevant, our study has
been limited to the processing industry, for the following reasons: the
mining industry continues to have a very high level of concentration,
without any significant changes in the analysed period; commerce,
services and constructions are sectors with low entrance barriers and a
strong geographic concentration character, thus their analysis can
become irrelevant.
Fig. 2 ([CR.sub.5] evolution--sales figure during 1996-2004), Fig.
3 ([CR.sub.20] evolution--sales figure during 1996-2004), Fig. 4
([CR.sub.5] evolution--number of employees during 1996-2004) and Fig. 5
([CR.sub.20] evolution--number of employees during 1996-2004) are
showing the results obtained.
Evolution at a national level of the evaluated degree of
concentration based on the concentration ratios allows us to state that:
--There are no significant differences nor between the positions of
the involved industries for the determination of concentration compared
to the business figure or the number of employees, neither between the
positions of the industries compared to the concentration of activity in
the first 5 or first 20 companies in the branch.
--Following the analysis, 3 significant barriers were set,
corresponding to which are 3 classes of concentration (1--the lowest
degree of concentration, with high competition; 3--the highest degree of
concentration, with low competition) as shown in Table 3.
The distribution of the 25 analysed industries based on classes of
concentration looks as follows in Table 4.
[FIGURE 2 OMITTED]
[FIGURE 3 OMITTED]
[FIGURE 4 OMITTED]
[FIGURE 5 OMITTED]
--1st class--low level of concentration
In this category we include: Construction material and other
non-ferrous minerals industry (code 26), Leather goods and footwear
industry (code 19), Wood manufacturing industry (code 20), Furniture and
other industrial activities unclassified elsewhere (code 36), Metallic
constructions and metal products industry (code 28), Textile and textile
products industry (code 17), Publishing houses, poligraphy and recording
reproducible registrations (code 22), Clothing industry (code 18), Food
and beverages industry (code 15).
--2nd class--average level of concentration
In this category we include: Equipment, radio, television and
telecommunication industry (code 32), Production, transport and
distribution of electric and thermal energy, gas and warm water (code
40), Metallurgical industry (code 27), Means of road transport industry
(code 34), Medical, precision, optical and watch making instruments
industry (code 33), Other means of transport industry (code 35),
Cellulose, paper and cardboard industry (code 21), Machines and electric
devices industry (code 31), Managing the water resources, collecting,
treating and distributing water (code 41), Chemical, synthetic and
artificial fibres industry (code 24), IT and office means industry (code
30), Rubber and plastic masses processing industry (code 25), Machines
and equipment industry (code 29).
--3rd class--very high level of concentration
In this category we can include two industries with a level of
concentration of almost 100%: Crude oil processing, coal coking and
nuclear fuel treatment industry (code 23) and Tobacco industry (code
16), which in the period 1996-2004 have maintained on the first places,
regardless of the method of calculating used for the concentration
ratios.
[FIGURE 6 OMITTED]
Inclusion in one of the concentration classes has been made by
comparison with the value of the average concentration ratios for the
period 1996-2004. It was determined for all 4 mentioned indicators:
[CR.sub.5] - sales figure, [CR.sub.20] - sales figure, [CR.sub.5]-
number of employees and [CR.sub.20] - number of employees.
Based on the average values of the concentration coefficients we
obtained the map of Romanian industry concentration (Fig. 6).
We consider that the interpretation of information related to
sector concentration using this graphic instrument offers the
possibility of a synthetic image for the structure of economy, at
national or local level.
6. Conclusions
The main conclusions that are drawn from the analysis of Romanian
industry concentration during 1996-2004 are the following:
--The general tendency was the reduction of the level of
concentration, the growth of the number of industries from the 1st class
of concentration, in the disadvantage of the ones in the 2nd and 3rd
class. The phenomenon can be explained through the reformation of the
Romanian economy, which, on the path towards functional market economy,
has come to competitive industries, with a high score of the private
capital, characteristic valid for most industrial sectors; there have
been situations in which concentration increased temporarily, after
which it decreased (Leather goods and footwear industry in which
[CR.sub.5] increased in 1998 from 40% to 52%, only to reach 20.4% in
2004).
--The main exceptions from this tendency of reduction of
concentration have been industries like IT and office means industry
(code 30), Equipment, radio, television and telecommunication industry
(code 32), Chemical, synthetic and artificial fibres industry (code 24)
or Metallurgical industry (code 27) in the case of which at least one of
the concentration coefficients has increased during the analysed time
frame. In these cases we talk about repositioning in a leading rank,
because the score of the first 20 companies as in employees or business
figure does not modify in a significant way. Another possible
explanation is the rehabilitation of some big companies following some
privatisation programmes (metallurgy, for instance), companies which
have reached important market levels at the end of the analysed time
frame.
--Structural changes of concentration in the industry are tied to
the important privatisations in the Romanian economy in the analysed
period, as well as the entrance of multinational companies, which became
buyers or competitors of the companies with Romanian state capital.
--During the studied period some industries have passed from one
concentration class to another. So, one of the most significant
reduction of the level of concentration is registered in the sector
Medical, precision, optical and watch making instruments industry (code
33), in which the level of concentration is lowered from 90% (class 4)
to less than 60% (class 2). Evolutions as spectacular as this one can be
found in Wood manufacturing industry (code 20) or Rubber and plastic
masses processing industry (code 25), industries that level down from
1st class to 2nd or 3rd. The explanations for this type of behaviour are
given by the strong entrance of private capital in the involved
industries, the increase of the number of companies and so forth.
--The industry concentration map shows a crowding in the central
area, which proves a higher score of the competitive industries, with a
low level of concentration. Usually, these industries are characterized
by a large number of companies, low entrance barriers and a higher score
of the private capital.
--Also, on the same map we can observe a certain decentralization
of the polygons towards the left, showing that the score of the first 20
companies as the number of employees is concerned is higher than the
score of the same 20 companies as the sales figure of the sector is
concerned. The direct consequence of this phenomenon is a lower labour
productivity of the first 20 companies than the average per branch.
--The industries that are closest to the origins of the axes are
Clothing industry (code 18) and Food and beverages industry (code 15),
which by their nature correspond to fragmented sectors of activity, with
a large number of participants in the transactions and with low barriers
for entrance on the market, in which the score of the strongest
companies is not very high.
As a general conclusion, we can state that the analysis of the
level of concentration in the Romanian industry can be a useful
instrument of evaluation for the ones involved in economical policy and
in the reformation of Romanian economy. Also, it can be an instrument of
evaluation of the allowance of the respective industry, an aggregate
indicator which offers a much more relevant image than the number of
companies in a sector of activity.
The graphic instrument suggested, the concentration map allows the
static evaluation of the structure regarding the sectors of activity and
the comparison between them and can suggest working hypothesis in
studies regarding productivity at industry or company level and can be
used in investment decisions or can enter on an industry or a certain
market. Also, it could become a working instrument in the comparative
analysis of the Romanian economy structure, opposing the sector
concentration of the activity sectors from the European Union countries.
doi: 10.3846/16111699.2011.555378
Acknowledgements
This research has benefited from financial support through the
research project "Studii Post-Doctorale in Economie: program de
formare continua a cercetatorilor de elita--SPODE", contract no.
POSDRU/89/1.5/S/61755, project financed by European Social Fund through
Operational Programme Human Resources Development 2007-2013.
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Silvia Marginean (1), Ramona Toma (Orastean) (2)
(1,2) "Lucian Blaga" University of Sibiu, Faculty of
Economic Sciences, Dumbravii Street 17, 550324 Sibiu, Romania
E-mails: (1) silvia_marginean@yahoo.com (corresponding author); (2)
torasib@yahoo.com
Received 30 September 2009; accepted 11 November 2010
Silvia MARGINEAN is Associate Professor of Economics and Business
at the Faculty of Economic Sciences, "Lucian Blaga" University
of Sibiu, Romania. She holds a Ph.D. in Economics. Her research and
teaching interests lie in the areas of Macroeconomics, Microeconomics,
European Economy, Financial Economics, Globalization and Competitive
Strategy. She is head of Economics Department and member of the European
Economic Association.
Ramona TOMA (ORASTEAN) is Associate Professor of Finance at the
Faculty of Economic Sciences, "Lucian Blaga" University of
Sibiu, Romania. She holds a Ph.D. in Finance. Her research and teaching
interests lie in the areas of International Finance, Financial Markets
and Institutions, Globalization of Financial Markets, European Monetary
Integration, Managerial Finance. She is Scientific Secretary at Faculty
of Economic Sciences and member of the European Economic Association and
the European Finance Association.
Table 1. The classification of the sectors of activity considering the
CR and HHI
Type of competition
[CR.sub.4]'s value
[CR.sub.4] = 0 Perfect competition
0 < [CR.sub.4] < 40 Monopolistic competition or effective
competition
40 < [CR.sub.4] < 60 Week oligopoly or monopolistic competition
[CR.sub.4] > 60 Strong oligopoly or dominant company with
competitive edges
[CR.sub.4] > 90 Monopoly or dominant company with competitive
edges
HHI's value
HHI < 1000 Monopolistic competition or effective
competition
1000 < HHI < 1800 Monopolistic competition or oligopoly
HHI > 1800 Oligopoly, dominant company with competitive
edges or monopoly
Table 2. The concentration degrees after the Gini Indicator
Class Gini Indicator Explanation
5 0.8 < G [less than or equal to] 1.0 Very high concentration
4 0.6 < G [less than or equal to] 0.8 High concentration
3 0.4 < G [less than or equal to] 0.6 Medium concentration
2 0.2 < G [less than or equal to] 0.4 Reduced concentration
1 0.0 < G [less than or equal to] 0.2 Very reduced concentration
Table 3. Classifying competition in Romania considering the value
of the concentration coefficients
CR value Type of competition Class
0 < CR < 40% Reduced degree of concentration 1
40% < CR < 90% Medium degree of concentration 2
CR > 90% Very high degree of concentration or 3
monopoly
Table 4. The distribution of the sectors of activity considering the
value of the concentration coefficients
Number of sectors
Class Year 1996
[CR.sub.5]-- [CR.sub.5]-- [CR.sub.20]-- [CR.sub.20]--
sales figure number of sales figure number of
employees employees
1 17 15 7 6
2 6 9 15 16
3 2 1 3 3
Class Year 2004
[CR.sub.5]-- [CR.sub.5]-- [CR.sub.20]-- [CR.sub.20]--
sales figure number of sales figure number of
employees employees
1 17 21 10 12
2 6 4 13 11
3 2 0 2 2
Class Average
[CR.sub.5]-- [CR.sub.5]-- [CR.sub.20]-- [CR.sub.20]--
sales figure number of sales figure number of
employees employees
1 19 19 11 9
2 5 5 11 14
3 1 1 3 2