Methods for probabilistic decision making with linguistic information.
Wei, Guiwu ; Zhao, Xiaofei
Introduction
A multiple attribute decision making problem is to find a desirable
solution from a finite number of feasible alternatives assessed on
multiple attributes, both quantitative and qualitative. In order to
choose a desirable solution, decision makers often provide his/her
preference information which takes the form of numerical values, such as
exact values, interval number values and fuzzy numbers (Liu 2009; Zhang,
Liu 2010; Han, Liu 2011; Kaya, Kahraman 2011; Yan et al. 2011; Wei
2010a, b, 2012). However, under many conditions, numerical values are
inadequate or insufficient to model real-life decision problems. Indeed,
human judgments including preference information may be stated in
linguistic terms. Thus, multiple attribute decision making problems
under linguistic environment is an interesting research topic having
received more and more attention from researchers during the last
several years. Several methods have been proposed for dealing with
linguistic information. These methods are mainly as follows:
(1) The approximative computational model based on the Extension
Principle (Degani, Bortolan 1988);
(2) The ordinal linguistic computational model (Delgado et al.
1993);
(3) The 2-tuple linguistic computational model (Herrera,
Herrera-Viedma 2000a, b; Herrera et al. 2005; Herrera, Martinez 2001;
Wei 2010a, b, 2011a, c; Wei, Zhao 2012).
The first models transform linguistic assessment information into
fuzzy numbers and uses fuzzy arithmetic to make computations over these
fuzzy numbers. The use of fuzzy arithmetic increases the vagueness. The
results obtained by the fuzzy arithmetic are fuzzy numbers that usually
do not match any linguistic term in the initial term set. The second
models is also called symbolic model which makes direct computations on
labels using the ordinal structure of the linguistic term sets. But
symbolic method easily results in a loss of information caused by the
use of the round operator. The third models use the 2-tuple linguistic
representation and computational model to make linguistic computations.
Herrera and Martinez (1991) show 2-tuple linguistic information
processing manner can effectively avoid the loss and distortion of
information. It has a distinct advantage over other linguistic
processing methods in accuracy and reliability. Herrera, Herrera-Viedma
(2000a) developed 2-tuple arithmetic average (TAA) operator, 2-tuple
weighted average (TWA) operator, 2-tuple ordered weighted average (TOWA)
operator and extended 2-tuple weighted average (ETWA) operator. Herrera
et al. (2005) presented a group decision making process for managing
non-homogeneous information. The non-homogeneous information can be
represented as values belonging to domains with different nature as
linguistic, numerical and interval valued or can be values assessed in
label sets with different granularity, multi-granular linguistic
information. Herrera-Viedma et al. (2005) presented a model of consensus
support system to assist the experts in all phases of the consensus
reaching process of group decision-making problems with multi-granular
linguistic preference relations. Liao et al. (2007) presented a model
for selecting an ERP system based on linguistic information processing.
Herrera et al. (2008) proposed a fuzzy linguistic methodology to deal
with unbalanced linguistic term sets. Wang (2009) presented a 2-tuple
fuzzy linguistic evaluation model for selecting appropriate agile
manufacturing system in relation to MC production. Tai and Chen (2009)
developed a new evaluation model for intellectual capital based on
computing with linguistic variable. Fan et al. (2009) Evaluated
knowledge management capability of organizations by using a fuzzy
linguistic method. Zhang and Chu (2009) developed fuzzy group decision
making for multi-format and multi-granularity linguistic judgments in
quality function deployment. Wei (2010a) extended TOPSIS method to
2-tuple linguistic multiple attribute group decision making with
incomplete weight information. Wei (2010b) proposed a method for
multiple attribute group decision making based on the ET-WG and ET-OWG
operators with 2-tuple linguistic information. Fan and Liu (2010)
developed a method for group decision making based on multi-granularity
uncertain linguistic information. Chang and Wen (2010) developed a novel
efficient approach for DFMEA combining 2-tuple and the OWA operator.
Ngan (2011) took an alternative view that the result of aggregating
fuzzy ratings should be fuzzy itself, and therefore they further
developed the 2-tuple fuzzy linguistic methodology so that its output is
a fuzzy number describing the aggregation of opinions. they demonstrated
the utility of the extended fuzzy linguistic computing methodology by
applying it to two data sets: (i) the evaluation of a new product idea
in a Taiwanese electronics manufacturing firm and (ii) the evaluation of
the investment benefit of a proposed facility site.
Another interesting approach is the use of probabilistic
information in the analysis because we are able to introduce objectivity
in our studies. In the literature, we find a wide range of models that
use probabilistic information such as the immediate probabilities (Yager
et al. 1995; Merigo 2010) and the Dempster-Shafer theory of evidence
(Merigo, Casanovas 2009; Merigo et al. 2010). Recently, Merigo (2008,
2009a) has suggested the probabilistic OWA (POWA) operator. It is an
aggregation operator that unifies the probability with the OWA operator
considering the degree of importance that each concept has in the
aggregation. Moreover, he has also suggested the probabilistic weighted
average (PWA) (Merigo 2009b). Its main advantage is that it unifies the
probability and the weighted average in the same formulation considering
how relevant they are in the aggregation.
In this paper, we investigate the probabilistic decision making
problems with linguistic information, some new probabilistic decision
making methods are developed. The aim of this paper is to develop some
new decision making models by using probabilities, immediate
probabilities and information that can be represented with linguistic
labels. Firstly, we shall develop three new aggregation operators:
generalized probabilistic 2-tuple weighted average (GP-2TWA) operator,
generalized probabilistic 2-tuple ordered weighted average (GP-2TOWA)
operator and generalized immediate probabilistic 2-tuple ordered
weighted average (GIP-2TOWA) operator. These operators use the weighted
average (WA) operator, the ordered weighted average (OWA) operator,
linguistic information and probabilistic information. They are quite
useful because they can assess the uncertain information within the
problem by using both linguistic labels and the probabilistic
information that considers the attitudinal character of the decision
maker. In doing so, the remainder of this paper is set out as follows.
In the next section, we introduce some basic concepts and operational
laws of 2-tuple linguistic variables. In Section 2 we develop some
generalized probabilistic weighted average operator with linguistic
assessment information, some generalized probabilistic ordered weighted
average operator with linguistic assessment information and some
generalized immediate probabilistic ordered weighted average operator
with linguistic assessment information. In Section 3, we give an
illustrative example about selection of strategies to verify the
developed approach and to demonstrate its feasibility and practicality.
In the final section we conclude the paper and give some remarks.
1. Preliminaries
Let S = {[S.sub.i] = 1,2, ..., t} be a linguistic term set with odd
cardinality. Any label, Si represents a possible value for a linguistic
variable, and it should satisfy the following characteristics (Herrera,
Herrera-Viedma 2000a, b; Herrera et al. 2005; Herrera, Martinez 2001):
(1) The set is ordered: [s.sub.i] > [S.sub.j], if i > j; (2)
Max operator: max([S.sub.i], [S.sub.j]) = [S.sub.i], if ..; (3) Min
operator: min([S.sub.i], [S.sub.j]) = [S.sub.i], if [S.sub.i] [less than
or equal to] [S.sub.j]. For example, S can be defined as:
S = {[s.sub.1] = extremely poor, [s.sub.2] = very poor, [s.sub.3] =
poor, [s.sub.4] = medium, [s.sub.5] = good, [s.sub.6] = very good,
[s.sub.7] = extremely good}.
Herrera, Herrera-Viedma (2000a, b) developed the 2-tuple fuzzy
linguistic representation model based on the concept of symbolic
translation. It is used for representing the linguistic assessment
information by means of a 2-tuple ([s.sub.i], [[alpha].sub.i]), where
[s.sub.i] is a linguistic label from predefined linguistic term set S
and [[alpha].sub.i] is the value of symbolic translation, and
[[alpha].sub.i] [member of] [-0.5,0.5).
Definition 1. Let [beta] be the result of an aggregation of the
indices of a set of labels assessed in a linguistic term set S, i.e. the
result of a symbolic aggregation operation, [beta] [member of] [l, t ],
and t the cardinality of S. Let i = round([beta]) and [alpha] = [beta]-i
be 2 values, such that [beta] [member of] [l,t] and [alpha][member
of][-0.5,0.5); then a is called a symbolic translation of the
aggregation (Herrera, Herrera-Viedma 2000a, b).
Definition 2. Let S = {[s.sub.1], [s.sub.2], ..., [s.sub.t]} be a
linguistic term set and [beta][member of][l,t] be a value representing
the result of a symbolic aggregation operation; then 2-tuple that
expresses the equivalent information to p is obtained with the following
function:
[DELTA]: [l,t] [right arrow] S x [-0.5,0.5) ; (1)
[MATHEMATICAL EXPRESSION NOT REPRODUCIBLE IN ASCII] (2)
where: round(.) is the usual round operation; [s.sub.i] has the
closest index label to [beta] and [alpha] is the value of the symbolic
translation (Herrera, Herrera-Viedma 2000a, b).
Definition 3. Let S = {[s.sub.1], [s.sub.2], ..., [s.sub.t]} be a
linguistic term set and ([s.sub.i], [[alpha].sub.i]) be a 2-tuple; a
function [[DELTA].sub.-1] can be defined, such that, from a 2-tuple
([s.sub.i], [[alpha].sub.i]) it return its equivalent numerical value
[beta][member of] [l, t ] [subset] R, which is obtained with the
following function (Herrera, Herrera-Viedma 2000a, b):
[[DELTA].sub.-1]: s x [-0.5,0.5)] [right arrow] [1,t]; (3)
[[DELTA].sub.-1] ([s.sub.i], [alpha]) = i +[alpha] = [beta]. (4)
Definition 4. The comparison of linguistic information represented
by 2-tuples is carried out according to an ordinary lexicographic order.
Let ([s.sub.k], [a.sub.k]) and ([s.sub.l], [a.sub.l]) be two 2-tuples,
with each one representing a linguistic assessment (Herrera,
Herrera-Viedma 2000a, b):
(1) If k < l then ([s.sub.k], [a.sub.k]) is smaller than
([s.sub.l], [a.sub.l]);
(2) If k = l then, 1) if [a.sub.k] = [a.sub.l], then ([s.sub.k],
[a.sub.k]), ([s.sub.l], [a.sub.l]) represents the same information; 2)
if [a.sub.k] < [a.sub.l] then ([s.sub.k], [a.sub.k]) is smaller than
([s.sub.l], [a.sub.l]); 3) if [a.sub.k] > [a.sub.l] then ([s.sub.k],
[a.sub.k]) is bigger than ([s.sub.l], [a.sub.l]).
2. Some generalized probabilistic weighted average operator with
linguistic information
Merigo (2008, 2009a) developed the probabilistic weighted average
(PWA) operator which is an aggregation operator that unifies the
probability and the weighted average in the same formulation considering
the degree of importance that each concept has in the aggregation.
Definition 5. An PWA operator of dimension n is a mapping PWA: [R.sup.n]
[right arrow] R , such that:
PWA ([a.sub.1], [a.sub.2], ..., [a.sub.n]) = [n.summation over
(j=1)] [v.sub.j][a.sub.j], (5)
where: [omega] = [([[omega].sub.1], [[omega].sub.2], ...,
[[omega].sub.n]).sup.T] be the weight vector of [a.sub.j] = 1,2, ...,
n), and [[omega].sub.j] > 0, [n.summation over (j=1)] [[omega].sub.j]
= 1, and a probabilistic weight [p.sub.j] > 0, [n.summation over
(j=1)] = 1, [v.sub.j] = [beta][p.sub.j] +(1-[beta]) [[omega].sub.j] with
beta][member of][0,l] and [v.sub.j] is the weight that unifies
probabilities and WAs in the same formulation, then PWA is called the
probabilistic weighted average (PWA) operator. The PWA operator is
monotonic, commutative, bounded and idempotent.
Merigo (2008) proposed the generalized probabilistic weighted
average (GPWA) operator which is an aggregation operator that unifies
the probability and the weighted average in the same formulation
considering the degree of importance that each concept has in the
aggregation.
Definition 6. A GPWA operator of dimension n is a mapping GPWA:
[R.sub.n] [right arrow] R, such that:
GPWA ([a.sub.1], [a.sub.2], ..., [a.sub.n])= [([n.summation over
(j=1)] [v.sub.j] [a.sup.[lambda].sub.j]).sup.1/[lambda]], (6)
where: [omega] = [([[omega].sub.1], [[omega].sub.2] ...,
[[omega].sub.n].sup.T] be the weight vector of [a.sub.j] (j = 1,2, ...,
n), and [[omega].sub.j] > 0, [n.summation over (j=1)] [[omega].sub.j]
= 1, and a probabilistic weight [p.sub.j] > 0, [n.summation over
(j=1)] [p.sub.j] = 1, [v.sub.j] = [beta][p.sub.j] + (1 - [beta])
[[omega].sub.j] with [beta][member of] [0,1] and [v.sub.j] is the weight
that unifies probabilities and WAs in the same formulation and [lambda]
is a parameter such that [lambda] [member of] (-[infinity],
+[infinity]).
It's obvious that GPWA operator include a wide range of
aggregation operators such as the PWA, the probabilistic weighted
geometric (PWG), the probabilistic weighted harmonic average (PHWA), the
probabilistic weighted quadratic average (PQWA), and a lot of other
cases.
2.1. Generalized probabilistic weighted average operator with
linguistic information
In the following, we extend the GPWA operator to linguistic
environment and develop the generalized probabilistic 2-tuple weighted
average (GP-2TWA) operator. The GP-2TWA is an aggregation operator that
unifies the probability and the weighted average in the same formulation
considering the degree of importance that each concept has in the
aggregation and using uncertain information represented with linguistic
values.
Definition 7. Let {([r.sub.1], [a.sub.1]),([r.sub.2], [a.sub.2]),
...,([r.sub.n], [a.sub.n])} be a set of 2-tuple, An GP-2TWA operator of
dimension n is a mapping GP-2TWA: [S.sub.n] [right arrow] S,
furthermore,
[MATHEMATICAL EXPRESSION NOT REPRODUCIBLE IN ASCII], (7)
where: where: [omega] = [([[omega].sub.1], [[omega].sub.2] ...,
[[omega].sub.n].sup.T] be the weight vector of ([r.sub.j], [a.sub.j])(j
= 1,2, ..., n), and [[omega].sub.j] > 0, [n.summation over
(j=1)][[omega].sub.j] = 1, and a probabilistic weight [p.sub.j] > 0,
[n.summation over (j=1)] [p.sub.j] = 1, [v.sub.j] = [beta][p.sub.j] +(1
- [beta])[[omega].sub.j] with [beta][member of][0,1] and [v.sub.j] is
the weight that unifies probabilities and WAs in the same formulation
and [lambda] is a parameter such that [lambda][member of](-[infinity],
+[infinity]).
Especially, if [beta] = 0, then, the GP-2TWA operator reduces to
the G-2TWA operator. And if [beta] = 1, it becomes the generalized
probabilistic 2-tuple average (GP-2TA). Note that the GP-2TWA is
monotonic, bounded and idempotent.
Remark 1. When [lambda] = 1, the GP-2TWA operator become the P-2TWA
operator.
P-2TWA(([r.sub.1], [a.sub.1]),([r.sub.2], [a.sub.2]), ...,
([r.sub.n], [a.sub.n])= [DELTA]([n.summation over (j=1)]
[v.sub.j][[DELTA].sup-1]([r.sub.j], [a.sub.j])).
Note that if [beta] = 0, for all ([r.sub.i], [a.sub.i]), we get the
2TWA operator; if [beta] = 1, for all ([r.sub.i], [a.sub.i]), we get the
P-2TWA operator.
Remark 2. When [lambda] = 0, the GP-2TWA operator become the
probabilistic 2-tuple weighted geoemtric (P-2TWG) operator.
[MATHEMATICAL EXPRESSION NOT REPRODUCIBLE IN ASCII] .
Note that if [beta] = 0, for all ([r.sub.i], [a.sub.i]), we get the
2TWG operator; if [beta] = 1, for all ([r.sub.i], [a.sub.i]), we get the
P-2TWG operator.
Remark 3. When [lambda] = -1, the GP-2TWA operator become the
probabilistic 2-tuple weighted harmonic average (P-2TWHA) operator.
[MATHEMATICAL EXPRESSION NOT REPRODUCIBLE IN ASCII].
Note that if [beta] = 0, for all ([r.sub.i], [a.sub.i]), we get the
2TWHA operator; if [beta] = 1, for all ([r.sub.i], [a.sub.i]), we get
the P-2TWHA operator.
Remark 4. When [lambda] = 2, the GP-2TWA operator become the
probabilistic 2-tuple weighted quadratic average (P-2TWQA) operator.
[MATHEMATICAL EXPRESSION NOT REPRODUCIBLE IN ASCII]
Note that if [beta] = 0, for all ([r.sub.i], [a.sub.i]), we get the
2TWQA operator; if [beta] = 1, for all ([r.sub.i], [a.sub.i]), we get
the P-2TWQA operator.
2.2. Generalized probabilistic ordered weighted average operator
with linguistic information
Another approach for unifying probabilities and OWAs in the same
formulation is the probabilistic OWA (POWA) operator (Merigo 2008,
2009b). Its main advantage is that it is able to include both concepts
considering the degree of importance of each case in the problem.
Definition 8. An POWA operator of dimension n is a mapping PWA:
[R.sup.n] [right arrow] R that has an associated weight vector w =
[([w.sub.1], [w.sub.2], ..., [w.sub.n]).sup.T] such that [w.sub.j] >
0 and [n.summation over (j=1)] [w.sub.j] = 1, according to the following
equation:
POWA ([a.sub.1], [a.sub.2], ..., [a.sub.n]) = [n.summation over
(j=1) [??] [sub.j][a.sub.[sigma](j)], (8)
where: ([sigma](1), [sigma](2), ..., [sigma](n)) is a permutation
of (1,2, ..., n), such that [a.sub.[sigma](j-1)] [greater than or equal
to] [a.sub.[sigma](j)] for all j = 2, ..., n, with [n.summation over
(i=1)] [p.sub.i] = 1 and [p.sub.i] [member of][0,1], [[??].sub.j] =
[beta][p.sub.j] + (1 - [beta])[w.sub.j] with [beta][member of][0,1] and
[p.sub.j] is the associated probability of [a.sub.[sigma](j)].
We shall propose the generalized probabilistic ordered weighted
average (GPOWA) operator which is an aggregation operator that unifies
the probability and the weighted average in the same formulation
considering the degree of importance that each concept has in the
aggregation.
Definition 9. A GPOWA operator of dimension n is a mapping GPOWA:
[R.sup.n] [right arrow] R that has an associated weight vector w =
[([w.sub.1], [w.sub.2], ..., [w.sub.n]).sup.T] such that [w.sub.j] >
0 and [n.summation over (j=1)] [w.sub.j] = 1, according to the following
equation:
[MATHEMATICAL EXPRESSION NOT REPRODUCIBLE IN ASCII], (9)
where: ([sigma](1), [sigma](2), ..., [sigma](n)) is a permutation
of (1,2, ..., n), such that [a.sub.[sigma](j-1)] [greater than or equal
to] [a.sub.[sigma](j)] for all j = 2, ..., n, with [beta][member of] [0,
1] and [p.sub.i] [member of] [0,1], [[??].sub.j] = [beta][p.sub.j] +(1 -
[beta])[w.sub.j] with [beta][member of][0,1] and [p.sub.j] is the
associated probability of [a.sub.[sigma](j)] and [lambda] is a parameter
such that [lambda][member of](-[infinity], +[infinity]).
It's obvious that GPOWA operator include a wide range of
aggregation operators such as the POWA, the probabilistic ordered
weighted geometric (POWG), the probabilistic ordered weighted harmonic
average (POWHA), the probabilistic ordered weighted quadratic average
(POWQA), and a lot of other cases.
In the following, we extend the GPOWA operator to linguistic
environment and develop the generalized probabilistic 2-tuple weighted
average (GP-2TOWA) operator.
Definition 10. Let {([r.sub.1], [a.sub.1]),([r.sub.2], [a.sub.2]),
..., ([r.sub.n], [a.sub.n])} be a set of 2-tuple, An GP-2TOWA operator
of dimension n is a mapping GP-2TOWA: [S.sup.n][right arrow] S that has
an associated weight vector w = [([w.sub.i], [w.sub.2], ..., [w.sub.n])
such that [w.sub.j] > 0 and [n.summation over (j=1)] [w.sub.j] = 1.
Furthermore,
[MATHEMATICAL EXPRESSION NOT REPRODUCIBLE IN ASCII], (10)
where: ([sigma](1), [sigma](2), ..., [sigma](n)) is a permutation
of (1, 2, ..., n), such that ([r.sub.[sigma](j-1)],
[a.sub.[sigma](j-1)]) [greater than or equal to] ([r.sub.[sigma](j)],
[a.sub.[sigma](j)]) for all j = 2, ..., n, with [n.summation over (i=1)]
[p.sub.i] = 1 and [p.sub.i][member of][0,1] , [[??].sub.j] =
[beta][p.sub.j] +(1 - [beta])[w.sub.j] with [beta][member of][0,1] and
[p.sub.j] is the associated probability of [MATHEMATICAL EXPRESSION NOT
REPRODUCIBLE IN ASCII] and [lambda] is a parameter such that
[lambda][member of] (-[infinity], +[infinity]).
The GP-2TOWAoperator unifies the probability and the OWA operator
in the same formulation considering the degree of importance of each
concept in the aggregation. It also uses information represented in the
form of linguistic values.
Remark 5. When [lambda] = 1, the GP-2TOWA operator reduces to the
P-2TOWA operator.
[MATHEMATICAL EXPRESSION NOT REPRODUCIBLE IN ASCII].
Note that if [beta] = 0, for all ([r.sub.i], [a.sub.i]), we get the
2TOWA operator; if [beta] = 1, for all ([[r.sub.i], [a.sub.i]), we get
the P-2TOWA operator.
Remark 6. When [lambda] = 0, the GP-2TOWA operator reduces to the
P-2TOWG operator.
[MATHEMATICAL EXPRESSION NOT REPRODUCIBLE IN ASCII].
Note that if [beta] = 0, for all ([r.sub.i], [a.sub.i]), we get the
2TOWG operator; if [beta] = 1, for all ([r.sub.i], [a.sub.i]), we get
the P-2TOWG operator.
Remark 7. When [lambda] = -1, the GP-2TOWA operator reduces to the
P-2TOWHA operator.
[MATHEMATICAL EXPRESSION NOT REPRODUCIBLE IN ASCII]
Note that if [beta] = 0, for all ([r.sub.i], [a.sub.i]), we get the
2TOWHA operator; if [beta] = 1, for all ([r.sub.i], [a.sub.i]), we get
the P-2TOWHA operator.
Remark 8. When [lambda] = 2, the GP-2TOWA operator reduces to the
P-2TOWQA operator.
[MATHEMATICAL EXPRESSION NOT REPRODUCIBLE IN ASCII].
Note that if [beta] = 0, for all ([r.sub.i], [a.sub.i]), we get the
2TOWQA operator; if [beta] = 1, for all ([r.sub.i], [a.sub.i]), we get
the P-2TOWQA operator.
2.3. Generalized immediate probabilistic ordered weighted average
operator with linguistic information
The GOWA operator (Yager 2004) is a generalization of the OWA
operator (Yager 1998) by using generalized means. It can be defined as
follows.
Definition 11. A GOWA operator of dimension n is a mapping GOWA:
[R.sub.n][right arrow] R that has an associated weight vector w =
[([w.sub.1], [w.sub.2], ..., [w.sub.n]).sup.T] such that [w.sub.j] >
0 and [n.summation over (j=1)] [w.sub.j] = 1. Furthermore,
[MATHEMATICAL EXPRESSION NOT REPRODUCIBLE IN ASCII], (11)
where [([sigma](1), [sigma](2), ..., [sigma](n)).sup.T] is a
permutation of (1,2, ..., n), such that [MATHEMATICAL EXPRESSION NOT
REPRODUCIBLE IN ASCII] for all j = 2, ..., n.
Merigo (2010) develop the immediate probability (IP) which tries to
include the decision maker's attitude in a probabilistic
decision-making problem. The main advantage is that it is easy to apply
it in almost all the probabilistic problems studied before such as in
decision-making problems, actuarial sciences and statistics. Because the
probabilistic information is objective but uncertain, we cannot then
guarantee that the expected result is the result that will happen in the
future. If we are in the situations of uncertainty (risk environments),
each decision maker will have different attitudes towards the same
problem.
In order to develop the analysis, Merigo (2010) used in the same
formulation the weights of the OWA operator and the probabilistic
information and proposed the immediate probability OWA (IP-OWA)
operator. It can be defined as follows.
Definition 12. An IP-OWA operator of dimension n is a mapping
IP-OWA: [R.sub.n] [right arrow] R, that has an associated weight vector
[([w.sub.1], [w.sub.2], ..., [w.sub.n]).sup.T] such that [w.sub.j] >
0 and [n.summation over (j=1)] [w.sub.j] = 1. Furthermore, j=l
IP-OWA ([a.sub.1], [a.sub.2], ..., [a.sub.n]) = [n.summation over
(j=1)][[??].sub.j][a.sub.[sigma](j)], (12)
where: [([sigma](1), [sigma](2), ..., [sigma](n)).sup.T] is a
permutation of (1,2, ..., n), such that [a.sub.[sigma](j- 1)] [greater
than or equal to] [a.sub.[sigma](j)] for all j = 2, ..., n, [p.sub.j] is
the associated probability of [a.sub.[sigma](j)], and [[??].sub.j] =
[w.sub.j][p.sub.j]/[n.summation over (j=1)] [w.sub.j] [p.sub.j].
It's worth pointing out that IP-OWA operator is a good
approach for unifying probabilities and OWAs in some particular
situations. But it is not always useful, especially in situations where
we want to give more importance to the probabilities or to the OWA
operators. In order to show why this unification does not seem to be a
final model, we could also consider other ways of representing
[[??].sub.j]. For example, we could also use [[??].sub.j] = [w.sub.j] +
[p.sub.j]/[n.summation over (j=1)] ([w.sub.j] + [p.sub.j]) or other
similar approaches.
Based on GOWA operator and IP-OWA operator, in the following, we
shall develop the generalized immediate probability 2-tuple OWA
(GIP-2TOWA) operator.
Definition 13. Let {([r.sub.i], [a.sub.i]),([r.sub.2], [a.sub.2]),
..., ([r.sub.n], [a.sub.n])} be a set of 2-tuple, An GIP-2TOWA operator
of dimension is a mapping GIP-2TOWA: [S.sub.n][right arrow]S, that has
an associated weight vector w = [([w.sub.i], [w.sub.2], ...,
[w.sub.n]).sup.T]such that [w.sub.j] > 0 and [n.summation over (j=1)]
[w.sub.j] = 1. Furthermore,
[MATHEMATICAL EXPRESSION NOT REPRODUCIBLE IN ASCII], (13)
where: ([sigma](1), [sigma](2), ..., [sigma](n)) is a permutation
of (1,2, ..., n), such that ([r.sub.[sigma](j-1)], [a.sub.[sigma](j-1)])
[greater than or equal to] ([r.sub.[sigma](j)], [a.sub.[sigma](j)]) for
all j = 2, ..., n, each ([r.sub.i], [a.sub.i]) has associated a
probability [p.sub.i], [p.sub.j] is the associated probability of
([r.sub.[sigma](j)], [a.sub.[sigma](j)]), and [[??].sub.j] =
[w.sub.j][p.sub.j]/[n.summation over (j=1)] [w.sub.j] [p.sub.j].
It's worth pointing out that GIP-2TOWA operator is a good
approach for unifying probabilities and TOWAs in some particular
situations. But it is not always useful, especially in situations where
we want to give more importance to the probabilities or to the TOWA
operators. In order to show why this unification does not seem to be a
final model, we could also consider other ways of representing
[[??].sub.j]. For example, we could also use [[??].sub.j] =
[w.sub.j][p.sub.j]/[n.summation over (j=1)] [w.sub.j] [p.sub.j] or other
similar approaches.
If we analyze different values of the parameter X, we obtain
another group of particular cases such as the usual IP-2TOWA operator,
the IP-2TOWG operator, the IP-2TOWQA operator and the IP-2TOWHA
operator.
Remark 9. When [lambda] = 1, the GIP-2TOWA operator becomes the
IP-2TOWA operator.
[MATHEMATICAL EXPRESSION NOT REPRODUCIBLE IN ASCII].
Note that if [p.sub.j] = 1/n, for all ([r.sub.i], [a.sub.i]), we
get the 2TOWA operator and if [w.sub.j] = 1/n, for all ([r.sub.i],
[a.sub.i]), we get the P-2TOWA operator.
Remark 10. When [lambda] = 0 , the GIP-2TOWA operator becomes the
IP-2TOWG operator.
[MATHEMATICAL EXPRESSION NOT REPRODUCIBLE IN ASCII].
Note that if [p.sub.j] = 1/j n, for all ([r.sub.i], [a.sub.i]), we
get the 2TOWG operator and if [w.sub.j] = 1/j n, for all ([r.sub.i],
[a.sub.i]), we get the P-2TOWG operator.
Remark 11. When [lambda] = -1, the GIP-2TOWA operator becomes the
IP-2TOWHA operator.
[MATHEMATICAL EXPRESSION NOT REPRODUCIBLE IN ASCII].
Note that if [p.sub.j] = 1/n, for all ([r.sub.i], [a.sub.i]), we
get the 2TOWHA operator and if [w.sub.j] = 1/n, for all ([r.sub.i],
[a.sub.i]), we get the P-2TOWHA operator.
Remark 12. When [lambda] = 2 , the GIP-2TOWA operator becomes the
IP-2TOWQA operator.
[MATHEMATICAL EXPRESSION NOT REPRODUCIBLE IN ASCII].
Note that if [p.sub.j] = 1/n, for all ([r.sub.i], [a.sub.i]), we
get the 2TOWQA operator and if [w.sub.j] = 1/n, for all ([r.sub.i],
[a.sub.i]), we get the P-2TOWQA operator.
3. Illustrative example
In this section, we shall analyze a decision-making problem where a
company is studying which strategy is the most appropriate for them
(Merigo 2010). Because the environment is very uncertain, the experts in
the company need to assess the available information by using linguistic
information. Assume a company that operates in Europe and North America
is analyzing its general policy for the next year. The board of
directors has analyzed the economic situation of the company and they
have found that now is a good moment to make an expansion policy to
another continent in order to become more relevant in the world. They
consider five possible strategies to follow: 1) [A.sub.1]: Expand to the
Asian market; 2) [A.sub.2]: Expand to the African market; 3) [A.sub.3]:
Expand to the South American market; 4) [A.sub.4]: Expand to all three
continents; 5) [A.sub.5]: Do not develop any expansion. In order to
evaluate these strategies, the company considers that the key factor is
the economic situation for the next year. Then, according to the
situation, the expected benefits for the company will be different. The
experts have considered five possible situations for the next year: 1)
[S.sub.1]: Negative growth rate;
2) [S.sub.2]: Growth rate near 0; 3) [S.sub.3]: Low growth rate; 4)
[S.sub.4]: Medium growth rate; 5) [S.sub.5]: High growth rate. The five
possible strategies [A.sub.i] (i = 1,2,3,4,5) are to be evaluated using
the linguistic term set:
S = {[s.sub.i] = extremely poor(EP), [s.sub.2] = very poor(VP),
[s.sub.3] = poor(P), [s.sub.4] = medium(M), [s.sub.5] = good(G),
[s.sub.6] = very good(VG), [s.sub.7] = extremely good(EG)}.
By the three decision makers under the above five situations. the
expected results depending on the alternative [A.sub.i] and the
situation [S.sub.j] are shown in Table 1.
With respect to this problem, the experts in the company find
probabilistic information given as follows: P = (0.3,0.3,0.2,0.1,0.l).
They assume that the WA, that represents the degree of importance of
each state of situations, is: [omega] = (0.2,0.25,0.15,0.3,0.1). Note
that the probabilistic information has an importance of 35% and the WA
an importance of 65%. Furthermore, the policy of the company is to be
very pessimistic in order to obtain safety results whenever the future
results are not clear. Therefore, they decide to manipulate the
probabilities by using the following OWA weighting vector: w =
(0.1,0.2,0.2,0.0.2,0.3). As we can see, this weighting vector seems to
be conservative because it gives higher importance to the lowest result
used in the last weight. Note that the company will use immediate
probabilities in order to assess this problem. The results found in the
immediate probabilities by using the above probabilities and weights are
shown in Table 2.
Firstly, we use the GP-2TWA operator to aggregate the decision
information in Table 1 and probabilistic information given as P =
0.3,0.3,0.2,0.1,0.1). The results are shown in Table 3. Te GP-2TWA
operator includes the P-2TWA operator, P-2TWG operator, P-2TWHA operator
and P-2TWQA operator.
Secondly, we use the GP-2TOWA operator to aggregate the decision
information in Table 1 and probabilistic information given as P =
(0.3,0.3,0.2,0.1,0.1) and OWA weighting vector W =
(0.1,0.2,0.2,0.0.2,0.3). The results are shown in Table 4. The GP-2TOWA
operator includes the P-2TOWA operator, P-2TOWG operator, P-2TOWHA
operator and P-2TOWQA operator.
Thirdly, we use the GIP-2TOWA operator to aggregate the decision
information in Table 1 and immediate probabilities information in Table
2. The results are shown in Table 5. The GIP-2TOWA operator includes the
IP-2TOWA operator, IP-2TOWG operator, IP-2TOWHA operator and IP-2TOWQA
operator.
Finally, according to the different aggregating operators, the
ordering of the alternatives are shown in Table 6. Note that > means
"preferred to". As we can see, depending on the aggregation
operators used, the ordering of the strategies is slightly different.
Therefore, depending on the aggregation operators used, the results may
lead to different decisions. However, the best strategy is [A.sub.3].
Conclusion
In this paper, we investigate the decision making problems by using
probabilities, immediate probabilities and information that can be
represented with linguistic labels and propose some new decision
analysis. Firstly, we develop three new aggregation operators:
generalized probabilistic 2-tuple weighted average (GP-2TWA) operator,
generalized probabilistic 2-tuple ordered weighted average (GP-2TOWA)
operator and generalized immediate probabilistic 2-tuple ordered
weighted average (GIP-2TOWA) operator. These operators use the WA
operator, the OWA operator, linguistic information, probabilistic
information and immediate probabilistic information. They are quite
useful because they can assess the uncertain information within the
problem by using both linguistic labels and the probabilistic
information that considers the attitudinal character of the decision
maker. In these approaches, alternative appraisal values are calculated
by the aggregation of 2-tuple linguistic information. Thus, the ranking
of alternative or selection of the most desirable alternative(s) is
obtained by the comparison of 2-tuple linguistic information. Finally,
we give an illustrative example about selection of strategies to verify
the developed approach and to demonstrate its feasibility and
practicality. Theoretical analyses and numerical results all show that
the method is straightforward and has no loss of information. In the
future, we shall continue working in the application of the
probabilistic aggregation operators with 2-tuple linguistic assessment
information to other domains.
Acknowledgment
The author is very grateful to the editor and the anonymous
referees and editor for their insightful and constructive comments and
suggestions, which have been very helpful in improving the paper. The
work was supported by the National Natural Science Foundation of China
under Grant No.61174149 and the Humanities and Social Sciences
Foundation of Ministry of Education of the People's Republic of
China under Grant No.12YJC630314.
doi:10.3846/20294913.2014.869515
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Guiwu WEI, Xiaofei ZHAO
School of Economics and Management, Chongqing University of Arts
and Sciences, 402160 Chongqing, P. R. China
Received 25 September 2011; accepted 26 May 2012
Corresponding author Guiwu Wei
E-mail: weiguiwu@163.com
Guiwu WEI has a MSc and a PhD degree in applied mathematics from
SouthWest Petroleum University, Business Administration from school of
Economics and Management at SouthWest Jiaotong University, China,
respectively. He is an Associate Professor at the Department of
Economics and Management at Chongqing University of Arts and Sciences.
He has published more than 90 papers in journals, books and conference
proceedings including journals such as Expert Systems with Applications,
Applied Soft Computing, Knowledge and Information Systems,
Knowledge-based Systems, International Journal of Uncertainty, Fuzziness
and Knowledge-Based Systems, Technological and Economic Development of
Economy, International Journal of Computational Intelligence Systems and
Information: An International Journal. He has published 1 book. He has
participated in several scientific committees and serves as a reviewer
in a wide range of journals including Computers & Industrial
Engineering, International Journal of Information Technology and
Decision Making, Knowledge-based Systems, Information Sciences,
International Journal of Computational Intelligence Systems and European
Journal of Operational Research. He is currently interested in
aggregation operators, decision making and computing with words.
Xiaofei ZHAO is a Lecturer at the Department of Economics and
Management, Chongqing University of Arts and Sciences. He received the
BE degree in management sciences and engineer from SouthWest Jiaotong
University, China. He has worked for Department of Economics and
Management, Chongqing University of Arts and Sciences, China as a
lecturer since 2010.
Table 1. Available information about the strategies
[S.sub.1] [S.sub.2] [S.sub.3] [S.sub.4] [S.sub.5]
[A.sub.1] M VP EG G VG
[A.sub.2] EP VP P VP EP
[A.sub.3] VG EG M VG EG
[A.sub.4] M G VG EP M
[A.sub.5] G EP P VP VP
Table 2. Immediate probabilities of the problem
[S.sub.1] [S.sub.2] [S.sub.3]
[IP.sub.1] 0.286 0.429 0.095
[IP.sub.2] 0.429 0.286 0.095
[IP.sub.3] 0.316 0.158 0.316
[IP.sub.4] 0.316 0.316 0.105
[IP.sub.5] 0.150 0.450 0.200
[S.sub.4] [S.sub.5]
[IP.sub.1] 0.095 0.095
[IP.sub.2] 0.095 0.095
[IP.sub.3] 0.105 0.105
[IP.sub.4] 0.158 0.105
[IP.sub.5] 0.100 0.100
Table 3. Linguistic aggregated results ([beta] = 0.35)
P-2TWA P-2TWG P-2TWHA P-2TWQA
[A.sub.1] (M,0.40) (M,0.00) (M,-0.42) (G,-0.27)
[A.sub.2] (VP,-0.17) (VP,-0.30) (VP,-0.44) (VP,-0.04)
[A.sub.3] (VG,0.03) (VG,-0.07) (VG,-0.18) (VG,0.12)
[A.sub.4] (M,-0.09) (P,0.30) (P,-0.47) (M,0.28)
[A.sub.5] (P,-0.39) (VP,0.21) (VP,-0.13) (P,-0.01)
Table 4. Linguistic aggregated results ([beta] = 0.35)
P-2TOWA P-2TOWG P-2TOWHA P-2TOWQA
[A.sub.1] (M,0.30) (M,-0.11) (P,0.47) (G,-0.35)
[A.sub.2] (VP,-0.33) (VP,-0.47) (EP,0.41) (VP,-0.19)
[A.sub.3] (VG,-0.19) (VG,-0.33) (VG,-0.47) (VG,-0.08)
[A.sub.4] (M,-0.18) (P,0.24) (P,-0.50) (M,0.17)
[A.sub.5] (VP,0.41) (VP,0.06) (VP,-0.23) (P,-0.23)
Table 5. Linguistic aggregated results
IP-2TOWA IP-2TOWG IP-2TOWHA IP-2TOWQA
[A.sub.1] (M,-0.29) (P,0.33) (P,-0.01) (M,0.09)
[A.sub.2] (VP,-0.43) (EP,0.45) (EP,0.34) (VP,-0.30)
[A.sub.3] (VG,-0.37) (VG,-0.50) (G,0.36) (VG,-0.25)
[A.sub.4] (M,0.05) (M,-0.40) (P,-0.09) (M,0.31)
[A.sub.5] (VP,0.20) (VP,-0.18) (VP,-0.45) (P,-0.39)
Table 6. Ordering of the alternative
Ordering
P-2TWA [A.sub.3] > [A.sub.1] > [A.sub.4] > [A.sub.5] > [A.sub.2]
P-2TWG [A.sub.3] > [A.sub.1] > [A.sub.4] > [A.sub.5] > [A.sub.2]
P-2TWHA [A.sub.3] > [A.sub.1] > [A.sub.4] > [A.sub.5] > [A.sub.2]
P-2TWQA [A.sub.3] > [A.sub.1] > [A.sub.4] > [A.sub.5] > [A.sub.2]
P-2TOWA [A.sub.3] > [A.sub.1] > [A.sub.4] > [A.sub.5] > [A.sub.2]
P-2TOWG [A.sub.3] > [A.sub.1] > [A.sub.4] > [A.sub.5] > [A.sub.2]
P-2TOWHA [A.sub.3] > [A.sub.1] > [A.sub.4] > [A.sub.5] > [A.sub.2]
P-2TOWQA [A.sub.3] > [A.sub.1] > [A.sub.4] > [A.sub.5] > [A.sub.2]
IP-2TOWA [A.sub.2] > [A.sub.4] > [A.sub.1] > [A.sub.5] > [A.sub.2]
IP-2TOWG [A.sub.2] > [A.sub.4] > [A.sub.1] > [A.sub.5] > [A.sub.2]
IP-2TOWHA [A.sub.2] > [A.sub.4] > [A.sub.1] > [A.sub.5] > [A.sub.2]
IP-2TOWQA [A.sub.2] > [A.sub.4] > [A.sub.1] > [A.sub.5] > [A.sub.2]