Spreading the news: as circulation dwindles, newspapers turn to new products to court readers.
Morton, John
Circulation is the traditional measure of the newspaper
industry's strength, and news about circulation has not been good
for many years. Yet circulation has not been a reliable measure of
newspapers' financial health, which has been good for many years.
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It is worth exploring this anomaly to illustrate what many
newspapers are doing to make the best financially of what remains of the
business. And if some readers might think this dwells overmuch on the
pursuit of filthy lucre, it is also worth remembering that newspapers
can only be as good journalistically as they can afford to be.
Over the last 50 years, the nation's population has grown
about 80 percent. Total weekday circulation, though, at about 54.6
million, is now slightly below where it was 50 years ago. In 1984, total
weekday circulation reached 63.3 million, but it has been mostly
downhill since that peak.
Several factors contributed to the weak circulation performance,
most notably the growth of television and other competitors that helped
kill off more than 300, mostly afternoon, dailies since 1954. When a
newspaper disappears, some of its circulation is picked up by
competitors, but about half of it evaporates. And in recent decades the
failure of young people to read newspapers in the numbers they used to
has become the principal cause of declining circulation.
In response to weakening paid circulation, the Newspaper
Association of America and many newspapers have started emphasizing
readership to advertisers. Since the average sold newspaper is read by
two to two-and-a-half people, the readership numbers obviously look more
impressive than circulation. And many newspapers have gone beyond
readership measures of paid circulation by adding myriad new products,
mostly free, to expand local business.
This was brought home to me during a recent management retreat for
Hearst Corp. executives by a presentation by Jack Sweeney, publisher and
president of the company's largest newspaper, the Houston
Chronicle. He explained how the Chronicle is responding to
"industry challenges" by transforming itself from the
newspaper business, as traditionally defined, into "the business of
news and information."
Establishing an Internet presence is one obvious expansion that
most newspapers, including the Chronicle, have adopted. The
Chronicle's effort enables viewers of the Web site to click on
ChronLinks, which sends them to sites of individual retailers who have
paid the newspaper fees for links to their sites (the fees can be quite
low so that even small businesses often priced out of the newspaper
itself can participate). Another feature, Click & Buy, presents
classifieds from the main paper along with an online transaction
service.
Offline, the Chronicle publishes two weekly Spanish-language
papers, one an entertainment guide and the other featuring general news;
both are linked to a Spanish-language Web site. A Spanish-language
sports tabloid is under development.
Five free monthly magazines published by the Chronicle are devoted
variously to automobiles, jobs, homes, upscale homes and something
called Mixed Metal, which covers hopped-up vehicles of all types. Two
monthly niche magazines focus on fashion and African American life. Two
more are in development, on personal makeovers and life within specific
zip codes.
Finally, the Chronicle has direct-marketing services through which
advertisers placing inserts into the main paper can also have them
delivered to nonsubscribers, and the Chronicle operates a market-wide,
zip code-specific mailing service for advertisers.
Having created all these products and services, how well has the
Chronicle done? Management estimates that with everything, including the
main newspaper, the Chronicle's overall business reaches 68
percent, or 2.6 million, of the market's adults. This is an
impressive gain over the 52 percent of adult readers reached with the
Chronicle's paid circulation of 527,744 weekdays and 720,711
Sundays.
Moreover, again by Chronicle estimates, the newspaper's entire
business captures 26 percent of total local media spending--twice as
much as television, twice the Yellow Pages, 1.7 times direct mail and
1.6 times radio.
In pondering all this, it is important to remember that only
newspapers are economically organized to gather, process and distribute
mass amounts of news. Television, limited by its broadcast time, does
not. Radio does not for the same reason, although all-news stations
could at least make a stab at it but for being so protective of high
profit margins. And non-newspaper Internet sites don't provide the
detailed local news coverage that newspapers do.
This function of newspapers is so vital to the quality of public
discourse and to the workings of democracy that anything a newspaper
does honorably to support its economic model is desirable. The result
may not resemble the newspaper business many of us grew up with, but the
changes are necessary if newspapers are to continue to fund their
important public-service function.
John Morton, a former newspaper reporter, is president of a
consulting firm that analyzes newspapers and other media properties.