The impact of the Sarbanes-Oxley act on private debt contracting.
Pae, Sangshin "Sam"
INTRODUCTION
The purpose of this paper is to investigate whether an association
exists among monitoring, debt covenants, and the cost of debt and
whether it has been affected by certain provisions of the Sarbanes-Oxley
Act of 2002 (hereafter SOX). I also examine whether the increased
monitoring that resulted from SOX differentially affected firms with
certain characteristics, such as size or presence of growth options.
The agency costs of debt arise because of conflicts between
shareholders and debtholders and are mainly due to asset substitution and underinvestment problems which occur after the debt contract is
finalized. Jensen and Meckling (1976) posit that shareholders have
incentives to invest in high variance projects, i.e., risky and high
expected return projects, at the expense of debtholders (asset
substitution). Alternatively, Myers (1977) argues that shareholders have
incentive to underinvest in positive net present value (NPV) projects
because the positive expected NPV fails to cover previously promised
debt repayments (underinvestment). To mitigate shareholder-bondholder
agency costs, bondholders use three devices--monitoring, debt covenants,
and cost of debt--to protect themselves from managerial opportunism.
Thus, an exogeneously mandated increase in monitoring should produce
less reliance on the other two methods, debt covenants and cost of debt,
for reducing agency costs.
In this paper, I examine whether the event of increased regulatory
monitoring produced less reliance on debt covenants, the cost of debt or
both. To accomplish my objective, I compare the number of debt covenants
and the cost of debt for private debt contracts during the pre-SOX and
post-SOX periods. Using data on private debt issued during the 1999-2005
time period (specifically a sample of 4,610 facilities), I empirically
examine the association among monitoring, debt covenants, and the cost
of debt. I focus on private debt because, by its nature, private debt is
more likely to have restrictive covenants than public debt (Kwan and
Carleton, 2004). Due to the large number of bondholders involved in a
public debt issue, renegotiating a debt contract following a debt
covenant violation can be costly and difficult. Thus, private debt
contracts generally contain a greater number of debt covenants than
public debt contracts making it easier to examine the association among
monitoring, debt covenants, and cost of debt in private debt contracts.
In the analysis that follows, I rely on the definition of
monitoring in Jensen and Meckling (1976) (Jensen and Meckling define
monitoring as more than just measuring or observing the behavior of the
agent. It includes efforts on the part of the principal to
"control" the behavior of the agent through various
activities. I define "monitoring" in terms of broad measure
which includes all internal and external monitoring that affects
agent's behavior to reduce his or her discretion) and the specific
provisions in SOX that increase the monitoring of public companies,
especially Title II "Auditor Independence," Title III "Corporate Responsibility," and Title IV "Enhanced
Financial Disclosures."
Previous studies on debt contracts document only the association
between monitoring and debt covenants (Black et al., 2004) or the
association between debt covenants and the cost of debt (Beatty et al.,
2002). Black et al. (2004) find a negative relationship between
monitoring and the frequency of debt covenants. In particular, they
document decreases in the use of debt covenants during the periods of
increased monitoring. In addition, Beatty et al. (2002) find a negative
relationship between the inclusion of debt covenants and the cost of
debt. They argue that managers are willing to bear higher interest rates
to retain accounting flexibility. I extend the work in these two studies
by evaluating a broader set of variables that are used to mitigate
agency costs between shareholders and debtholders. Specifically, I
hypothesize that during the period of increased monitoring induced by
SOX (i.e., post-SOX period), the number of debt covenants or the cost of
debt will decrease in private debt contracts due to interaction effects
among monitoring, debt covenants, and cost of debt. In addition, I
hypothesize that small firms and growth firms will demonstrate a much
greater impact from the implementation of SOX because the Act will
reduce conflicts between shareholders and debtholders more for high
information-asymmetry firms.
The empirical results are generally consistent with my hypotheses.
I find a statistically significant decrease in the cost of debt after
the implementation of SOX. However, I do not find evidence that the
usage of debt covenants decreased during the post-SOX period. The
results indicate that exogeneously mandated monitoring produces less
reliance on the cost of debt but not on debt covenants. In addition, I
find evidence that, on average, small firms and growth firms are more
influenced by increased monitoring due to SOX. These results are
consistent with my hypothesis that firms with higher information
asymmetry were more influenced by SOX.
The results demonstrated in this paper make a number of
contributions to our understanding of debt contracting. First, this
paper examines the association among all three devices that are used to
minimize the conflicts between shareholders and debtholders. Prior
research has only found evidence of an association between monitoring
and debt covenants (Black et al., 2004) and an association between debt
covenants and the cost of debt (Beatty et al., 2002). This paper is the
first to study the relationships among all three methods. Second, while
most previous studies related to SOX focused on stock price reactions
and corporate governance issues (Berger et al., 2004; Jain and Rezaee,
2004; Li et al., 2004; Zhang, 2005), this paper addresses the impact of
the SOX on debt contracts. Finally, this paper provides a foundation for
future work on the relations between monitoring, debt covenants, and the
cost of debt.
The remainder of the paper is organized as follows. Section 2
develops the hypotheses and presents the empirical models used to
investigate the relation between monitoring, debt covenants, and the
cost of debt. Section 3 describes the sample, data sources, and variable
measurements. Section 4 provides descriptive statistics. Section 5
presents correlation analysis and my primary results. It also examines a
potential endogeneity problem and presents instrumental variable
approach results. Finally, in section 6, I conclude.
HYPOTHESES DEVELOPMENT AND EMPIRICAL MODELS
Herein are developed each of the principal hypotheses based on the
impact of the increased monitoring imposed by SOX and the regression models used. The first two hypotheses consider the association among the
three most important components of debt contracts: monitoring, debt
covenants, and the cost of debt. The next two hypotheses consider
whether the increased monitoring due to SOX had different effects based
on the size of the firm or its growth options.
Prior empirical work on debt contracts shows that when the level of
regulatory monitoring increases, banks in their role as borrowers reduce
their use of debt covenants intended to reduce agency costs (Black et
al., 2004). They argue that regulatory monitoring and debt covenants
both strive to limit a bank's default risk, and since regulatory
monitoring cannot be controlled by bank shareholders, they try to
minimize the agency costs by substituting monitoring through debt
covenants where debt covenants and regulatory monitoring intersect.
SOX's provisions force increased levels of inside and outside
monitoring on firms. For example, Section 202 requires that all auditing
services and all permitted non-auditing services to be pre-approved by
the client company's independent audit committee, Section 302
requires each public company's CEO and CFO to certify that they
have reviewed the quarterly and annual reports their companies file with
the SEC, and Section 403 requires most transactions by insiders to be
electronically filed with the SEC within two business days. In the
presence of this additional monitoring, lenders and borrowers may be
able to reduce the number and type of covenants employed. I examine
whether this substitution effect between monitoring and debt covenants
can be generalized by expanding the sample of firms to include other
industries besides banks, as examined in Black et al. (2004).
In addition, I develop a second hypothesis based on prior research
in managerial opportunism. Jensen and Meckling (1976) suggest that
covenants are included in debt contracts as a strategy for restricting
managerial opportunism. They argue that by agreeing to restrict future
opportunistic behavior, borrowers can reduce their current borrowing
costs. Thus, the borrower faces a trade-off between retaining the
possibility of future opportunistic behavior and obtaining a lower
interest rate. Beatty et al. (2002) find evidence that borrowers are
willing to pay substantially higher interest rates to retain accounting
flexibility that may help them avoid covenant violations.
Black et al. (2004) only investigate the association between
monitoring and debt covenants. While prior study (Beatty et al., 2002)
suggests that the cost of debt and debt covenants could be substitutes,
I hypothesize that there is also a substitution effect between
monitoring and the cost of debt. For example, if the cost of debt
increases and the number of debt covenants decreases at the same time,
we cannot attribute the decreased number of debt covenants solely to the
effect of increased monitoring. (Like most previous studies on debt
covenants, I do not measure the tightness of debt covenants due to the
cost of accessing actual debt covenant information. Prior studies use
proxies such as debt-equity ratio (Duke and Hunt, 1990; Press and
Weintrop, 1990; DeFond and Jiambalvo, 1991), direct measurements of
covenant slack (Dichev and Skinner, 2002), or number of covenants (Black
et al., 2004; Begley and Feltham, 1999) for measuring the tightness of
debt covenants. Begley and Feltham (1999) find evidence that the
existence and tightness of the covenants are highly positively
correlated.) Thus, I expect increased monitoring to affect debt
covenants, the cost of debt, or both. Because of its increased
monitoring requirements, SOX should have altered the use of debt
covenants and the cost of debt in post-SOX debt contracts. This leads to
my first and second hypotheses (in alternative form):
Hypothesis 1: The number of debt covenants is likely to decrease,
ceteris paribus, during the post-SOX period.
Hypothesis 2: The cost of debt is likely to decrease, ceteris
paribus, during the post-SOX period.
I test these hypotheses by estimating (1) a logistic regression model and (2) a multiple regression model in which either debt covenants
or spread is the dependent variable. Ten covariates are included to
control for other potentially relevant explanatory factors, discussed
below. The model is as follows:
[MATHEMATICAL EXPRESSION NOT REPRODUCIBLE IN ASCII] (1)
[MATHEMATICAL EXPRESSION NOT REPRODUCIBLE IN ASCII] (2)
where i refers to the facility (facility is a tranche of a private
debt offer) and t refers to the time of issuance. Variable definitions
are as follows:
COV = dummy variable set equal to one if the debt covenant is
included in debt contract, zero otherwise.
SOX = an indicator variable, which is a proxy for monitoring set
equal to one if the sample period is in the post-SOX period; zero if the
sample period is in the pre-SOX period.
SIZE = natural log of total assets of firm at quarter-end.
LEV = ratio of long-term debt to total assets at quarter-end.
VAR = 5 years earnings variability prior to the debt contract;
computed as the standard deviation of firm i's net income before
extraordinary items (scaled by total assets) measured over rolling five
year windows.
GROWTH = market-to-book ratio; computed as market value of equity
divided by total book value of equity.
AMOUNT = total amount of money (scaled by total assets) that the
firm borrowed in debt contract.
MAT = stated maturity calculated in years.
RATING = Moody's senior debt ratings information on each loan
facility; ratings of Aaa, Aa, A, Baa, Ba, B, and lower than B represents
1 through 7, respectively.
COL = dummy variable set equal to one if the loan is secured; zero
otherwise.
SPREAD = basis point spread over LIBOR inclusive of all fees, which
is a proxy for cost of debt. In general, this spread is fixed over the
life of the loan.
TBOND = 5 year Treasury bond rate.
The dummy variable, denoted SOX, is set equal to one for the
post-SOX period and zero for the pre-SOX period to determine whether
there were any changes in debt contracts before and after the
implementation of the Act. I expect that this SOX variable, which is the
main variable of interest, would be significantly negative due to the
additional monitoring requirements associated with SOX. As a control
variable, I use natural log of total assets, denoted as SIZE, to proxy
for the size of the firm. Small firms are generally viewed as more risky
to creditors, so I expect this SIZE variable to have a negative
relationship with the dependent variables. In addition, large firms may
be better able to manage risk, so firm size may affect interest rate
choice.
Interest rates on loans are extremely sensitive to default risk. As
a proxy for the loan's credit risk, I use Moody's senior debt
ratings information on each loan facility, as provided in the Dealscan
database, denoted by RATING. I code RATING into 1 through 7 to represent
the ratings of Aaa, Aa, A, Baa, Ba, B and lower than B. Higher default
risk (a higher value of debt rating) is related to higher interest rate
and more debt covenants; therefore, I expect a positive relation between
RATING and dependent variables.
Debt contracts are also affected by the leverage of the firm.
Capital Structure Theory suggests that at relatively low debt levels,
the probability of bankruptcy and financial distress is low and the
benefit from debt outweighs the cost. However, as the debt level
increases, the possibility of financial distress also increases, so the
benefit from debt financing may be more than offset by the financial
distress costs. Thus, the interest rate does not have a linear
relationship with the firm's leverage, making it hard to predict
whether leverage will have a positive or negative relationship with
dependent variables. This difficulty is compounded because different
firms and industries have different optimal levels of leverage. The
variable LEV is the ratio of long-term debt over total capital (debt
plus equity), and I do not predict a sign for [[alpha].sub.3] or
[[beta].sub.3].
I use the standard deviation of the firm's return on assets (scaled by total assets) over the past five years, denoted by VAR,
rather than the stock price variations to measure the variability of the
firm's performance. Because debtholders usually look at the
firm's earnings stability rather than the stock price movements,
earnings variability is assumed to be a better proxy for measuring risk.
Therefore, I expect VAR to have a positive relationship with dependent
variables. Other control variables are debt characteristic variables
such as the cost of debt, total amount of debt, maturity and whether the
loan has collateral. Since debt covenants and cost of debt are
substitutes (that is, when debt covenants increase, interest rates
decrease and vice versa), I expect SPREAD to have a negative
relationship with COV. The debt contract is also affected by its
maturity, the total amount of the loan and whether it is secured by
collateral. I expect MAT to have a positive relationship with dependent
variables because longer maturity debt is riskier farther in the future
because of increased uncertainty of repayment. Collateral allows the
lender to recover, at least partially, the principal. When the borrower
fails to make a promised payment, the lender can sell the collateral,
thus reducing the likelihood or amount of loss on debt. Therefore, I
expect a negative relationship between COL and SPREAD because if the
debt contract is secured by collateral, the cost of debt should be
lower. However, a number of prior studies have found a positive relation
between the existence of collateral and the cost of debt (Berger and
Udell, 1990; John et al., 2003). Berger and Udell (1990) and John et al.
(2003) suggest that lower quality firms are required to use collateral
when issuing debt, while higher quality firms are able to issue without
it.
In addition, a firm's growth opportunities are reflected in
the market-to-book ratio. Growth firms have more intangible assets whose
valuation depends heavily on future profitability. Therefore, I expect
higher market-to-book ratio (i.e., growth firms), denoted by GROWTH, to
have a positive relationship with SPREAD. To control for the effects of
extreme values, I remove those observations that have negative or zero
book value.
During my sample period, economic environments were unstable, and
to capture the macroeconomic factors, I obtained five-year Treasury-bond
rates from the United States Department of the Treasury (http://www.treasury.gov).
Since SOX contains substantive reforms with respect to financial
reporting, we would expect it to have a significant impact on reducing
information asymmetry. In particular, firms that significantly manage
earnings should be impacted differently than firms that do not manage
earnings. In the bond market, as in the stock market, the risk premium
is different depending on the level of information asymmetry. The level
of information asymmetry for small firms is more likely to be reduced
than for large firms as a result of SOX. Thus, the relative reduction in
the risk premium on debt contracts is likely to be greater for smaller
firms, and thus, I expect a greater reduction in the cost of debt issued
during the post-SOX period for smaller firms.
As just noted, prior studies show that the level of information
asymmetry differs between small firms and large firms. For example,
Lakonishok and Lee (2001) find that insider purchases in smaller firms
predict future returns, but this predictive power does not hold for
larger firms. Similarly, Finnerty (1976) and Seyhun (1986) find insider
profits are larger for smaller firms. If firm size is proxy for
information asymmetry and information asymmetry is greater in smaller
firms, then the results of Lakonishok and Lee (2001), Seyhun (1986), and
Finnerty (1976) suggest insider profits are larger when greater
information asymmetry is present. A recent paper by Bharath et al.
(2006) also documents that small borrowers have greater information
asymmetries. In addition, Dixon et al. (2006) posit that because small
businesses are likely to be less diversified and less able to leverage
economies of scale or to access capital markets, the cost of complying
with a particular regulation may be different for smaller and larger
firms. Thus, my third hypothesis is (in alternative form):
Hypothesis 3: Small firms are more likely to have a greater
relative reduction in the cost of debt after the passage of SOX than
larger firms.
Barclay and Smith (1995) suggest that a firm's future
investment opportunities may be viewed as options whose value depends on
the likelihood that the firm will exercise the options optimally.
Therefore, the contracting costs due to underinvestment and asset
substitution are higher for firms with more growth options because the
conflict between shareholders and bondholders over the exercise of the
options is greater. Shareholders of high-growth firms can more easily
substitute riskier projects for less risky ones and are also more
susceptible to foregoing positive NPV projects if the gains accrue predominantly to the bondholders. That is, management may invest in
high-risk negative NPV projects that increase the value of the equity
but decrease the value of the debt. Consistent with my third hypothesis,
if we expect the Sarbanes-Oxley Act to have a significant impact on
reducing information asymmetry, then it should have a greater impact on
firms that have more growth options because the conflict between
shareholders and bondholders is greater for such firms, and greater
conflict means that the level of information asymmetry is greater for
these firms. Thus, when the information asymmetry is reduced due to
Sarbanes-Oxley, the risk premium of debt contracts will decrease. This
leads to my fourth hypothesis (in alternative form):
Hypothesis 4: Firms with higher growth options are more likely to
have a greater relative reduction in the cost of debt after the passage
of SOX than firms with lower growth options.
I test my third and fourth hypotheses by extending the multiple
regression model that I used to test the second hypothesis. I include
two interaction terms to determine the impact of SOX on variables of
interest (SIZE and GROWTH). The model is as follows:
[MATHEMATICAL EXPRESSION NOT REPRODUCIBLE IN ASCII] (3)
SAMPLE SELECTION
The data for this analysis is drawn from three sources (Dealscan,
Quarterly and Annual Compustat, and the United States Department of
Treasury). I collect debt characteristic variables from Dealscan (See
Dichev & Skinner, 2002 for a discussion of the Dealscan database),
firm characteristic variables from Compustat, and a macroeconomic
control variable from the United States Department of Treasury
(http://www.treasury.gov). I first draw the initial sample of firms that
issued debt during the period from January 1999 to December 2005. I
define the three year period from January 1999 to December 2001 as the
pre-SOX period and the three year period from January 2003 to December
2005 as the post-SOX period. Because of the news coverage, the market
should have known about SOX in 2002, although not about the exact
provisions of the Act, before it was actually signed by President Bush.
Therefore, if the market participants were rational, we should assume
that the debt contracts could have been affected by SOX during this
period. Thus, I set the one-year period from January 2002 to December
2002 as a transition period.
Typically, loan deals are broken into individual facilities. Each
of the facilities is a representation of a different tranche of the
total loan. The facilities differ in terms of maturity and spread. They
also differ in terms of debt covenants and structure. From Dealscan,
only newly issued facilities and the details of the contract for each
facility, such as amount of loan issued, interest rate (spread), date of
issue, date of maturity, Moody's senior debt rating, collateral,
and information about debt covenants, were collected during the sample
period. I assigned a score of one if the debt contract had certain types
of debt covenants (either the financial debt covenants or general debt
covenants) and zero otherwise. In addition, I assigned a score of one if
the facility had collateral and zero otherwise. The sample selection
process is described in Table 1. Since Dealscan does not offer CUSIP numbers, ticker symbols are used for matching with Compustat. Annual
Compustat was used to calculate earnings variability. I eliminate firms
that had zero or negative book value of equity.
DESCRIPTIVE STATISTICS
Panel A of Table 2 reports the means, medians, and standard
deviations for variables used in the multiple regressions. As shown in
Panel A of Table 2, the sample of 4,610 facilities exhibits considerable
variation in firm size and borrowing amount. There were total of 1,000
firms in my data sample. There were 792 firms that issued debt during
the pre-SOX period and 938 firms that issued debt during the post-SOX
period. Firm size during the sample period ranges from a minimum of $3
million to a maximum of $242 billion. Facility amount during the sample
period ranges from a minimum of $0.1 million to a maximum of $25
billion. The sample debt issues are quite large. The median amount
issued is $175 million. The facilities in my sample appear to be risky.
The median credit rating of 7 indicates that more than half of the
sample contracts are entered into by below-investment-grade borrowers.
This is mainly because Dealscan consists of only private debt. A
previous study on debt choice by Denis and Mihov (2003) shows that
public borrowers are larger and have higher credit ratings than firms
borrowing from either banks or non-bank private lenders. Their findings
suggest that firms with the highest credit quality borrow from public
sources, firms with medium credit quality borrow from banks, and firms
with the lowest credit quality borrow from non-bank private lenders.
Thus, my sample is actually downward biased in terms of size and credit
quality because of the nature of the private debt market and the
limitation of my database. In addition, slightly less than half of the
facilities in my sample required collateral and more than half had some
type of covenants, either financial covenants or general covenants.
To examine the differences between debt contracts for firms that
borrowed during the pre-SOX period and those that borrowed during the
post-SOX period, I first divide the sample into two groups: pre-SOX and
post-SOX. Panel B of Table 2 shows the different characteristics between
firms that borrowed during the pre-SOX and post-SOX periods by using
two-sample t-tests. Panel B of Table 2 presents the differences in
spread, size, leverage, earnings variability, market-to-book ratio, and
other characteristics between the two sub-samples. Private debt issued
during the post-SOX period typically has larger spread, is highly
leveraged, has longer maturity, is less risky, and has more collateral
and more debt covenants than the debt issued during the pre-SOX period.
Specifically, maturity and debt covenants are significantly different
while spread, leverage, Moody's rating, and collateral are only
marginally significant. In addition, the 5-year T-bond rate for pre-SOX
firms is significantly higher than the rate for post-SOX firms, which
shows that there were large economic fluctuations during the sample
period. The difference between 5-year T-bond rates shows that the
economic environment has changed dramatically during these periods.
During my sample period, the highest 5 year T-bond rate was 6.83% on May
8, 2000 and the lowest 5 year T-bond rate was 2.08% on June 13, 2003.
However, Panel B of Table 2 shows that firm size, earnings variability,
market-to-book ratio, and the amount of borrowing are not statistically
different between the two sub-samples.
The mean spread for firms in the pre-SOX period is 169 basis points
while the mean spread for firms in the post-SOX period is 177 basis
points, marginally significantly higher at the 10% level. Also, firms in
the pre-SOX period have an average of 3.05 years of duration, while the
maturity for post-SOX firms is 3.78 years which is significantly longer.
RESULTS
Correlation Analysis
I present Pearson correlation coefficients for the pooled
regression variables in Table 3. The correlation between SPREAD and SOX
indicates that the cost of debt for debt contract has increased during
the post-SOX period. The marginally significant change in SPREAD seen in
Table 2, Panel B also indicates the increase in interest rates. The
variable SIZE is significantly correlated with several variables. SIZE
is positively correlated with LEV, AMOUNT, and RATING and negatively
correlated with SPREAD, MAT, COL, COV, and TBOND. This positive
relationship indicates that (at least in my sample) large firms are more
leveraged and borrow more money per facility than small firms. The
negative relationship indicates that the debt contracts for large firms
have lower interest rates, shorter maturities, are more often unsecured,
and have fewer restrictive debt covenants than those of small firms. The
significantly positive correlation between GROWTH and SPREAD indicates
that growth firms are viewed as more risky; thus the cost of debt is
higher for growth firms. In addition, the significantly positive
correlation between GROWTH and RATING also indicates that the growth
firms have lower credit ratings, which is consistent with growth firms
being more risky. The variable AMOUNT is significantly negatively
correlated with SPREAD, SIZE, MAT, RATING, COL, and COV. This indicates
that the firm that borrows a lot of money from a one-time deal generally
has a low interest rate, has shorter maturity, has quite low credit
risk, is unsecured, and has fewer debt covenants on the deal.
Table 3 also reveals that many explanatory variables are
significantly correlated with each other. The formal hypotheses tests
are based on logistic and multiple regression analysis.
Logistic and Multiple Regression Results
In Table 4, I report logit regression results for dichotomous dependent variable COV. Consistent with prior research (Beatty et al.,
2002), I find evidence that debt covenants and the cost of debt have a
negative relationship. However, the main variable of interest is SOX, a
dichotomous variable set to one if the year is in the post-SOX period,
and logit regression results in Table 4 show no evidence that the use of
debt covenants decreased during the post-SOX period. I next turn to the
results in Table 5 to determine whether the cost of debt decreased due
to increased monitoring in the post-SOX period.
I present the estimation results of the multiple regressions for
4,610 firm-quarter observations in Table 5. The variable of interest in
these regressions is again SOX. Model 1 in Table 5 reports the
univariate analysis between SPREAD and SOX. Consistent with Panel B of
Table 2 and Table 3, the univariate analysis between SPREAD and SOX
indicates that the cost of debt has increased during the post-SOX
period. I include all of the control variables in the Full Model in
Table 5. The results of estimating the Full Model show that the sign of
the coefficient on SOX is significantly negative, suggesting that
greater monitoring is associated with a lower cost of debt capital after
controlling for firm and debt characteristic variables.
Consistent with my second hypothesis, shareholders appear to be
substituting a reduced cost of debt for increased monitoring in the
post-SOX period. The main variable of interest, SOX, is significantly
negative, and its magnitude suggests a decrease of 29 basis points in
the firm's cost of debt during the post-SOX period, after
controlling for other factors. The signs of the coefficients on the
control variables are generally consistent with my predictions except
the variable COL. The relationship between the cost of debt and
collateral is opposite to my prediction, but consistent with other
previous empirical studies (Berger and Udell, 1990; John et al., 2003).
Berger and Udell (1990) and John et al. (2003) posit that the positive
association between the cost of debt and collateral might arise because
lenders require collateral on lower quality firms. Careful examination
of the results in Tables 4 and 5 together shows that monitoring is a
substitute for the cost of debt but not debt covenants. Hence, I
conjecture that the lenders might be willing to maintain a certain
minimum level of debt covenants. Beatty et al. (2002) posit that
borrowers are willing to pay substantially higher interest rates to
retain accounting flexibility. Since the number of debt covenants has
not decreased in the post-SOX period, I conjecture that the result may
be due to the lender's willingness to maintain debt covenants at a
certain level.
The Extended Model in Table 5 shows the result of the extended
multiple regression model, which I use to test hypotheses 3 and 4. I
extend the previous multiple regression model by including two
interaction terms, which are SOX*SIZE and SOX*GROWTH. If the increased
post-SOX monitoring influenced the cost of debt, this regression should
show what kind of firms are more (or less) affected by increased
monitoring. The coefficient for SOX*SIZE is significantly positive. This
means that in the post-SOX period (i.e., when SOX is equal to one) the
magnitude of the coefficient for SIZE variable is reduced, which is
evidence that the gap between small and large firms has decreased. In
the pre-SOX period alone, the coefficient for SIZE was -11.52, but in
the post-SOX period, the magnitude of coefficient for SIZE increased to
-6.29 (= -11.52 + 5.23). The coefficient for SOX*GROWTH is significantly
negative. The magnitude of the coefficient for GROWTH is reduced because
SOX*GROWTH has a negative sign which lowers the positive coefficient on
GROWTH in the post-SOX period. Thus, the magnitude of coefficient for
GROWTH has been decreased from 6.18 to -4.58 (= 6.19-10.77) indicating
that because of the increased monitoring, growth firms are more affected
than value firms, which is consistent with hypothesis 4.
In order to test the direct impact of monitoring and increase the
power of my tests, I use the firm as its own control in the next
analysis and examine only the firms that issued debt in both pre-SOX and
post-SOX periods. A total of 730 firms (2,940 facilities) issued debt in
both periods. Table 6 shows that the main interest variable, SOX, is
significantly negative, indicating that the cost of debt has decreased
in the post-SOX period which is consistent with previous results and my
hypotheses.
The Securities and Exchange Commission (SEC) allowed extended
deadlines to July 15, 2007 for Sarbanes-Oxley compliance for small
public companies (Wall Street Journal, September 22, 2005). The SEC
defines a small company as one with a market capitalization of $700
million or less. Since the implementation of SOX was delayed for small
public firms, I expect it will have less impact on these firms compared
to the full sample. I find 1,694 observations that satisfy the condition
of having market capitalization of $700 million or less. Table 7 shows
that consistent with my expectation, the statistical evidence of SOX
variable becomes weaker compared to Table 5 and Table 6 (i.e.,
t-statistic is only -2.37 in Table 7 compared to -4.94 and -3.03 in
Table 5 and Table 6, respectively).
Instrumental Variable (IV) Approach
Debt contracting between two parties, lender and borrower,
simultaneously determines cost of debt, debt covenants, maturity of
debt, collateral, and amount of debt. Thus, the choice of one decision
variable will affect the other, creating a potential endogeneity problem
in the research design. It is well known that an endogeneity problem
causes Ordinary Least Squares (OLS) regressions to be biased and
inconsistent (Wooldridge, 2002). If the equations are estimated by OLS,
there is potentially a problem of simultaneity bias because changes in
maturity, collateral, amount, and debt covenant variables may affect one
another and also affect the dependent variable. In addition, these
explanatory variables could be correlated with the error term due to
measurement error. This misspecification causes the parameter estimates
to be inconsistent, which weakens the interpretation of the results
presented in Table 5. Therefore, I use the instrumental variables (IV)
approach to address the joint determination of the debt characteristic
variables and to check the robustness of the basic results.
Specifically, I employ the Two-Stage Least Squares (2SLS) method as
follows: I first regress endogenous variables (debt characteristics) on
each of the instruments and the exogenous variables (firm
characteristics) to obtain fitted values for the endogenous variables
(i.e., debt's maturity, borrowing amount, collateral, and debt
covenant). Then, I substitute these fitted values for the endogenous
variables and estimate the coefficient of the full model. To summarize,
I obtain fitted values using a reduced form regression of debt
characteristics in equation (4), then use equation (5) to obtain an
unbiased and consistent estimator.
DC = f(FC,IV) (4)
[MATHEMATICAL EXPRESSION NOT REPRODUCIBLE IN ASCII] (5)
where DC represents debt characteristic variables, FC represents
firm characteristic variables, IV represents an instrument, and [??[??]]
represents fitted values of debt characteristic variables obtained from
equation (4).
Loan agreements contain contractual provisions called debt
covenants that require the borrower to maintain minimum levels of
working capital, interest coverage, or other key accounting-based
measures that provide a safety net to the lender. Debt covenants are
clearly related to the credit characteristics of the borrower.
Therefore, I use the current ratio as an instrumental variable for debt
covenants. The most important requirement for using instrument variables
is that z should be correlated with x. Instrumental variables are highly
correlated with endogeneous variables. There correlations are 0.0539
(debt covenant and current ratio), 0.0736 (collateral and inverse of
PPE), 0.2184 (maturity and yield curve), and 0.1772 (amount borrowed and
R&D expense). I also tried other instruments but none of them
satisfied the correlation requirement. For example, I used debt to cash
flow, interest coverage, debt to equity for debt covenants, tangible
asset ratio for collateral, and financing needs (following Jalilvand and
Harris, 1984) for amount borrowed.
As stated by Dichev and Skinner (2002), the current ratio is the
most standardized, unambiguous accounting measure and one of the most
frequently violated debt covenants. For firms that have debt covenants
in their debt contracts, violations of those debt covenants will result
in renegotiation costs and increases in the cost of debt capital. Firms
without debt covenants in their debt contracts will not necessarily
suffer such repercussions if other factors are not in place. Therefore,
the firm's current ratio and the existence of debt covenants will
be highly correlated because the presence of debt covenants results in a
higher probability that firms will suffer financially due to
renegotiation costs and the increased cost of debt. Firms that have debt
covenants, then, should be more careful not to violate these covenants
by maintaining higher levels of current ratio. In addition, debt
covenants generally require firms to meet certain financial ratios, such
as a minimum current ratio level. Since current ratio covenants are the
most frequently used covenants, the current ratio of a firm that has
debt covenants in its debt contract is likely to be higher than the
current ratio of a firm that does not have debt covenants in its debt
contract.
Tangible assets like equipments, buildings, and lands can be used
as collateral in debt contracts. Banks require collateral when the firm
does not have enough tangible assets. Since debtholders have first
claims to a firm's tangible assets, debtholders could liquidate the
firm and get their portion of the tangible assets in case of bankruptcy.
Thus, if the firm has enough tangible assets, debtholders have no need
to worry about securing the loan. Therefore, I use the inverse of
property, plant, and equipment as an instrumental variable for
collateral.
Next, I use the yield curve as an instrument for debt maturity. The
yield curve is normally upward sloping. That is, the interest rates for
more distant maturities are normally higher than the interest rates for
closer maturities, due to the risks associated with time. Thus, as
maturity gets longer, the yield (i.e., Treasury bond rate) tends to be
higher. Shortening loan maturity limits the risk, which results in lower
spreads and fewer covenants.
Finally, I use research and development expense as an instrument
for the amount of the loan. Firms that spend more on their research and
development have more financing needs and thus borrow more. Firms
generally engage in research and development to generate future
investments.
I present instrumental variable approach estimation results in
Table 8. The inferences from the 2SLS analyses are similar to those
derived from the multiple regression reported in Table 5. The results
show that the coefficient of SOX, the main variable of interest, is
again significantly negative at the 1% level. (To address possible
industry effects due to using R&D expense as an instrument, I repeat
the test using two-digit SIC codes as an additional control variable on
the first stage regression. However, the results remain unchanged.)
Consistent with the multiple regression results, the cost of debt
appears to have decreased significantly during the post-SOX period.
Thus, the endogeneity problem does not affect the primary inferences
drawn from Table 5, suggesting that the empirical results are robust to
both procedures. However, the adjusted R-square has decreased from
34.73% to 15.15% in the Full Model (35.70% to 16.83% in Extended Model)
compared to the OLS approach. One possible explanation for this is that
it is difficult to find instruments that are perfectly correlated with
endogeneous variables in the OLS regression.
CONCLUSION
This paper investigates the association among monitoring, debt
covenants and the cost of debt for a sample of 4,610 private debt
contracts that were issued between 1999 and 2005. While previous studies
on debt contracts document only the association between monitoring and
debt covenants (Black et al. 2004) or the association between debt
covenants and the cost of debt (Beatty et al. 2002), I examine the
association among all three (monitoring, debt covenants and cost of
debt) and how they were affected by certain provisions of Sarbanes-Oxley
Act of 2002.
I find evidence that, on average, during the post-SOX period where
monitoring increased relative to the pre-SOX period, the cost of debt
decreased. However, I do not find evidence that the number of debt
covenants decreased during the post-SOX period. These results suggest
that lenders substitute monitoring for borrowing costs. In addition,
they suggest that the debtholders are willing to maintain debt covenants
at a certain level.
I also examine the types of firms that are more likely to be
influenced by increased monitoring during the post-SOX period and find
that small firms and growth firms in particular are most affected,
resulting in greater relative reductions in their cost of debt. These
results are consistent with my hypothesis that firms with higher
information asymmetry were significantly more affected by
Sarbanes-Oxley. In addition, I provide evidence that small public
companies with market capitalization of $700 million or less were only
marginally affected by increased monitoring right after the passage of
the Act, consistent with the SEC's decision to delay implementation
for these firms.
Overall, the analysis in this paper provides evidence that the
Sarbanes-Oxley Act of 2002 not only influenced the stock market but also
the debt market. As such, it contributes to the literatures that examine
the agency costs of debt and the economic impacts of the Sarbanes-Oxley
Act and provides a foundation for future work on the relations between
monitoring, debt covenants and the cost of debt.
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Table 1. Sample selection
This table presents the sequential filters applied to obtain the
final sample of firm-quarters
Number of
Observations
Remaining
Number of facilities during the sample period 35,358
Facilities with ticker symbols 13,962
Combine with quarterly Compustat 8,346
Combine with annual Compustat 4,668
Elimination of outliers in GROWTH variable 4,610
Table 2. Descriptive statistics for sample firm-quarters
Panel A. Descriptive statistics for regression variables
This table provides descriptive statistics for variables used in
subsequent tests. To be included in this table, a firm-quarter
observation must be accompanied by sufficient data to compute the
variables displayed below. The statistics for all variables are
based on 4,610 firm-quarter observations. Firm-quarter observations
are drawn from the period between 1999 and 2005, excluding 2002.
Standard
Obs. Mean Deviation
Spread 4,610 173.914 134.206
Size (in millions) 4,610 7335.5 14186.8
Leverage 4,610 0.2785 0.1612
Earnings Variability 4,610 93.4753 542.569
Market-to-Book Ratio 4,610 3.1285 5.4069
Facility Amount (in millions) 4,610 384.95 792.38
Maturity 4,610 3.4592 1.9843
Moody's Rating 4,610 6.2460 1.3483
Collateral 4,610 0.4440 0.4969
Debt Covenants 4,610 0.7536 0.4310
5-year T-bond Rate 4,610 4.3160 1.1458
Lower Upper
Quartile Median Quartile
Spread 62.5 150 250
Size (in millions) 500.411 2031.9 8248.05
Leverage 0.1654 0.2693 0.3780
Earnings Variability 1.9217 6.4552 28.1173
Market-to-Book Ratio 1.3076 2.0152 3.3740
Facility Amount (in millions) 55.00 175.00 425.00
Maturity 1.0833 3.1727 5
Moody's Rating 6 7 7
Collateral 0 0 1
Debt Covenants 1 1 1
5-year T-bond Rate 3.43 4.08 5.07
Table 2. Descriptive statistics for sample firm-quarters
Panel B. Difference in characteristics between pre-SOX and post-SOX
Pre-SOX
Standard
Mean Median Deviation
Spread 169.597 140 131.888
Size (in millions) 7050.59 1873.63 13677.18
Leverage 0.2739 0.2657 0.1606
Earnings Variability 79.606 6.758 471.379
Market-to-Book Ratio 3.077 1.916 4.7149
Facility Amt (in millions) 365.25 150 935.84
Maturity 3.0489 2.9979 2.1189
Moody's Rating 6.2898 7 1.3898
Collateral 0.4288 0 0.4950
Debt Covenants 0.7186 1 0.4498
5-year T-bond Rate 5.3602 5.32 0.7810
Post-SOX
Standard
Mean Median Deviation
Spread 177.349 150 135.949
Size (in millions) 7562.25 2150.5 14578.33
Leverage 0.2823 0.2728 0.1617
Earnings Variability 104.513 6.3012 593.012
Market-to-Book Ratio 3.170 2.0578 5.9005
Facility Amt (in millions) 400.63 200 655.93
Maturity 3.7857 4.1676 1.8052
Moody's Rating 6.2111 7 1.3136
Collateral 0.4562 0 0.4982
Debt Covenants 0.7815 1 0.4133
5-year T-bond Rate 3.4849 3.52 0.5601
Test of Difference
t-statistics p-value
Spread -1.96 0.0506
Size (in millions) -1.23 0.2205
Leverage -1.76 0.0792
Earnings Variability -1.59 0.1122
Market-to-Book Ratio -0.59 0.5525
Facility Amt (in millions) -1.45 0.1474
Maturity -12.51 <.0001
Moody's Rating 1.95 0.0507
Collateral -1.86 0.0630
Debt Covenants -4.89 <.0001
5-year T-bond Rate 91.42 <.0001
Table 3. Pearson correlation matrix
This table provides the value of the correlation between each of the
variables used in subsequent tests. To be included in this table, a
firm-quarter observation must be accompanied by sufficient data to
compute the variables displayed below. Therefore, the statistics for
all variables are based on 4,610 firm-quarter observations. Firm-
quarter observations are drawn from the period between 1999 and
2005, excluding 2002. ***, **, and * denote two-tailed significance
at the 0.01, 0.05, and 0.1 levels, respectively. Variable
definitions are as follows: SPREAD = basis point spread over LIBOR,
inclusive of all fees. SOX = indicator variable set equal to one if
the sample period is in the pre-SOX period; zero if the sample
period is in the post-SOX period. SIZE = natural log of total assets
of firm at quarter-end. LEV = ratio of long-term debt to total
assets at quarter-end. VAR = 5 years earnings variability prior to
debt contract; computed as the standard deviation of firm i's net
income before extraordinary items (scaled by total assets) measured
over rolling five year windows. GROWTH = market-to-book ratio;
computed as market value of equity divided by total book value of
equity. RATING = Moody's senior debt ratings information on each
firm; ratings of Aaa, Aa, A, Baa, Ba, B, and lower than B represents
1 through 7, respectively. MAT = stated maturity computed in years.
AMOUNT = amount of money borrowed in debt contract scaled by total
assets. COL = dummy variable set equal to one if the loan is
secured, zero otherwise. COV = dummy variable set equal to one if
the debt covenant is included in debt contract, zero otherwise.
TBOND = 5 year Treasury bond rate.
SPREAD SOX SIZE LEV
SPREAD 1.000
SOX 0.0290 1.000
0.0514
SIZE -0.265 *** 0.018 1.000
<.0001 0.2239
LEV 0154 *** 0.0260 0.098 *** 1.000
<.0001 0.0794 <.0001
VAR -0.040 *** 0.023 0.014 -0.055 ***
0.0064 0.1216 0.3418 0.0002
GROWTH 0.098 *** -0.016 -0.008 0.012
<.0001 0.2834 0.5824 0.4085
RATING 0.123 *** -0.029 ** 0.096 *** 0.011
<.0001 0.0492 <.0001 0.4484
MAT 0.173 *** 0.184 *** -0.211 *** 0.145 ***
<.0001 <.0001 <.0001 <.0001
AMOUNT -0.261 *** 0.002 0.240 *** 0.002
<.0001 0.132 <.0001 0.8955
COL 0.548 *** 0.0270 -0.292 *** 0.104 ***
<.0001 0.063 <.0001 <.0001
COV 0.205 *** 0.073 *** -0.134 *** 0.044 ***
<.0001 <.0001 <.0001 0.0029
TBOND -0.053 *** -0.813 *** -0.167 *** -0.0270
0.0003 <.0001 <.0001 0.0622
VAR GROWTH RATING MAT
SPREAD
SOX
SIZE
LEV
VAR 1.000
GROWTH -0.014 1.000
0.3304
RATING -0.054 *** 0.045 *** 1.000
0.0003 0.0021
MAT -0.021 0.011 0.005 1.000
0.1611 0.4484 0.7386
AMOUNT 0.024 -0.0290 -0.101 *** -0.074 ***
0.1023 0.0504 <.0001 <.0001
COL -0.0250 0.005 0.111 *** 0.261 ***
0.0853 0.7369 <.0001 <.0001
COV -0.009 -0.035 ** 0.059 *** 0.165 ***
0.5327 0.0164 <.0001 <.0001
TBOND -0.023 0.004 -0.073 *** -0.072 ***
0.1176 0.8071 <.0001 <.0001
AMOUNT COL COV TBOND
SPREAD
SOX
SIZE
LEV
VAR
GROWTH
RATING
MAT
AMOUNT 1.000
COL -0.217 *** 1.000
<.0001
COV -0.066 *** 0.427 *** 1.000
<.0001 <.0001
TBOND -0.004 -0.030 -0.085 *** 1.000
0.7756 0.0446 <.0001
Table 4. Logit regression results based on 4,610 firm-quarter
observations
This table provides the results of logit regression with the
dependent variable COV. To be included in this table, a firm-
quarter observation must be accompanied by sufficient data to
compute the variables displayed below. Therefore, the statistics for
all variables are based on 4,610 firm-quarter observations. Firm-
quarter observations are drawn from the period between 1999 and
2005, excluding 2002. ***, **, and * denote two-tailed significance
at the 0.01, 0.05, and 0.1 levels, respectively. Variable
definitions are as follows: COV = dummy variable set equal to one if
the debt covenant is included in debt contract, zero otherwise. SOX
= indicator variable set equal to one if the sample period is in the
pre-SOX period; zero if the sample period is in the post-SOX period.
SIZE = natural log of total assets of firm at quarter-end. LEV =
ratio of long-term debt to total assets at quarter-end. VAR = 5
years earnings variability prior to debt contract; computed as the
standard deviation of firm i's net income before extraordinary items
(scaled by total assets) measured over rolling five year windows.
GROWTH = market-to-book ratio; computed as market value of equity
divided by total book value of equity. RATING = Moody's senior debt
ratings information on each firm; ratings of Aaa, Aa, A, Baa, Ba, B,
and lower than B represents 1 through 7, respectively. MAT = stated
maturity computed in years. AMOUNT = amount of money borrowed in
debt contract scaled by total assets. COL = dummy variable set equal
to one if the loan is secured, zero otherwise. SPREAD = basis point
spread over LIBOR, inclusive of all fees. TBOND = 5 year Treasury
bond rate.
[Prob[COV=1] = logit([[alpha].sub.0] + [[alpha].sub.1][SOX.sub.i,t]
+ [[alpha].sub.2][SIZE.sub.i,t] + [[alpha].sub.3][LEV.sub.i,t] +
[[alpha].sub.4][VAR.sub.i,t] + [[alpha].sub.5][GROWTH.sub.i,t] +
[[alpha].sub.6][RATING.sub.i,t] + [[alpha].sub.7][MAT.sub.i,t] +
[[alpha].sub.8][AMOUNT.sub.i,t] + [[alpha].sub.9][COL.sub.i,t] +
[[alpha].sub.10][SPREAD.sub.i,t] + [[alpha].sub.11][TBOND.sub.i,t]
Dependent Variable
Independent Predicted COV
Variables Sign Coefficient Chi-Square
Intercept 1.299 9.40 ***
SOX - -0.122 0.78
SIZE - -0.025 2.33
LEV +/- 0.093 0.12
VAR 0 0.000 0.00
GROWTH 0 -0.035 1.67
RATING 0 0.032 1.39
MAT 0 0.075 12.96 ***
AMOUNT +/- -0.002 0.41
COL - 2.896 462.15 ***
SPREAD - -0.001 12.45 ***
TBOND ? -0.224 14.26 ***
Obs. 4,610
Chi-square 5.1910
p-value 0.7370
R-square 0.2030
Table 5. Multiple regression results based on 4,610 firm-quarter
observations
This table provides the results of multiple regression with the
dependent variable SPREAD. To be included in this table, a firm-
quarter observation must be accompanied by sufficient data to
compute the variables displayed below. Therefore, the statistics for
all variables are based on 4,610 firm-quarter observations. Firm-
quarter observations are drawn from the period between 1999 and
2005, excluding 2002. **, and * denote two-tailed significance at
the 0.01, 0.05, and 0.1 levels, respectively. Variable definitions
are as follows: SPREAD=basis point spread over LIBOR, inclusive of
all fees. SOX = indicator variable set equal to one if the sample
period is in the pre-SOX period; zero if the sample period is in the
post-SOX period. SIZE=natural log of total assets of firm at
quarter-end. LEV = ratio of long-term debt to total assets at
quarter-end. VAR = 5 years earnings variability prior to debt
contract; computed as the standard deviation of firm i's net income
before extraordinary items (scaled by total assets) measured over
rolling five year windows. GROWTH = market-to-book ratio; computed
as market value of equity divided by total book value of equity.
RATING = Moody's senior debt ratings information on each firm;
ratings of Aaa, Aa, A, Baa, Ba, B, and lower than B represents 1
through 7, respectively. MAT=stated maturity computed in years.
AMOUNT = amount of money borrowed in debt contract scaled by total
assets. COL=dummy variable set equal to one if the loan is secured,
zero otherwise. COV = dummy variable set equal to one if the debt
covenant is included in debt contract, zero otherwise. TBOND = 5
year Treasury bond rate.
[SPREAD.sub.i,t] = [[beta].sub.0] + [[beta].sub.1][SOX.sub.i,t] +
[[beta].sub.2][SIZE.sub.i,t] + [[beta].sub.3][LEV.sub.i,t] +
[[beta].sub.4][VAR.sub.i,t] + [[beta].sub.5][GROWTH.sub.i,t] +
[[beta].sub.6][RATING.sub.i,t] + [[beta].sub.7][MAT.sub.i,t] +
[[beta].sub.8][AMOUNT.sub.i,t] + [[beta].sub.9][COL.sub.i,t] +
[[beta].sub.10][COV.sub.i,t] + [[beta].sub.11][TBOND.sub.i,t]
Independent Predicted Model (1)
Variables Sign
Coefficient t-stat
Intercept 169.597 57.14 ***
SOX - 7.752 1.950
SIZE -
LEV +/-
VAR 0
GROWTH 0
RATING 0
MAT 0
AMOUNT +/-
COL -
COV -
TBOND ?
SOX*SIZE 0
SOX*GROWTH -
Obs. 4,610
Adj. R-square 0.0006
Independent Full Model
Variables
Coefficient t-stat
Intercept 199.696 10.69 ***
SOX -29.160 -4.94 ***
SIZE -9.014 -12.83 ***
LEV 97.078 9.54 ***
VAR -0.004 -1.29
GROWTH 3.757 7.28 ***
RATING 6.830 5.61 ***
MAT 0.360 0.41
AMOUNT -0.567 -2.99 ***
COL 132.310 34.73 ***
COV -12.439 -3.02 ***
TBOND -17.590 -6.83 ***
SOX*SIZE
SOX*GROWTH
Obs. 4,610
Adj. R-square 0.3473
Independent Extended Model
Variables
Coefficient t-stat
Intercept 205.887 10.97 ***
SOX -50.588 -5.42 ***
SIZE -11.516 -12.05 ***
LEV 95.281 9.43 ***
VAR -0.004 -1.29
GROWTH 13.038 9.36 ***
RATING 6.187 5.11 ***
MAT 0.339 0.39
AMOUNT -0.596 -3.16 ***
COL 130.846 34.51 ***
COV -13.032 -3.18 ***
TBOND -16.111 -6.24 ***
SOX*SIZE 5.225 4.16 ***
SOX*GROWTH -10.772 -7.20 ***
Obs. 4,610
Adj. R-square 0.3570
Table 6. Multiple regression results based on 2,940 firm-quarter
observations (sample includes only the firms that issued both
pre-SOX and post-SOX period)
This table provides the results of multiple regression with the
dependent variable SPREAD. To be included in this table, a firm-
quarter observation must be accompanied by sufficient data to
compute the variables displayed below. Therefore, the statistics for
all variables are based on 2,940 firm-quarter observations. Firm-
quarter observations are drawn from the period between 1999 and
2005, excluding 2002. ***, **, and * denote two-tailed significance
at the 0.01, 0.05, and 0.1 levels, respectively. Variable
definitions are as follows: SPREAD=basis point spread over LIBOR,
inclusive of all fees. SOX = indicator variable set equal to one if
the sample period is in the pre-SOX period; zero if the sample
period is in the post-SOX period. SIZE = natural log of total assets
of firm at quarter-end. LEV=ratio of long-term debt to total assets
at quarter-end. VAR = 5 years earnings variability prior to debt
contract; computed as the standard deviation of firm i's net income
before extraordinary items (scaled by total assets) measured over
rolling five year windows. GROWTH = market-to-book ratio; computed
as market value of equity divided by total book value of equity.
RATING = Moody's senior debt ratings information on each firm;
ratings of Aaa, Aa, A, Baa, Ba, B, and lower than B represents 1
through 7, respectively. MAT = stated maturity computed in years.
AMOUNT = amount of money borrowed in debt contract scaled by total
assets. COL = dummy variable set equal to one if the loan is
secured, zero otherwise. COV = dummy variable set equal to one if
the debt covenant is included in debt contract, zero otherwise.
TBOND = 5 year Treasury bond rate.
[SPREAD.sub.i,t] = [[gamma].sub.0] + [[gamma].sub.1][SOX.sub.i,t] +
[[gamma].sub.2][SIZE.sub.i,t] + [[gamma].sub.3][LEV.sub.i,t] +
[[gamma].sub.4][VAR.sub.i,t] + [[gamma].sub.5][GROWTH.sub.i,t] +
[[gamma].sub.6][RATING.sub.i,t] + [[gamma].sub.7][MAT.sub.i,t] +
[[gamma].sub.8][AMOUNT.sub.i,t] + [[gamma].sub.9][COL.sub.i,t] +
[[gamma].sub.10][COV.sub.i,t] + [[gamma].sub.11][TBOND.sub.i,t] +
[[gamma].sub.12][(SOX*SIZE).sub.i,t] + [[gamma].sub.13]
[(SOX*GROWTH).sub.i,t]
Independent Predicted Full Model
Variables Sign
Coefficient t-stat
Intercept 180.734 8.48 ***
SOX - -20.658 -3.03 ***
SIZE - -10.588 -11.64 ***
LEV +/- 122.401 9.29 ***
VAR 0 -0.002 -0.64
GROWTH 0 2.577 4.91 ***
RATING 0 6.489 4.80 ***
MAT 0 0.782 0.75
AMOUNT +/- -13.334 -5.98 ***
COL - 131.255 27.86 ***
COV - -9.331 -2.00 **
TBOND ? -13.964 -4.74 ***
SOX*SIZE 0
SOX*GROWTH -
Obs. 2,940
Adj. R-square 0.3780
Independent Extended Model
Variables
Coefficient t-stat
Intercept 178.298 8.21 ***
SOX -35.383 -2.91 ***
SIZE -12.747 -10.71 ***
LEV 124.838 9.54 ***
VAR -0.002 -0.62
GROWTH 25.245 6.60 ***
RATING 5.553 4.12 ***
MAT 1.222 1.18
AMOUNT -12.939 -5.83 ***
COL 127.763 27.16 ***
COV -10.908 -2.36 **
TBOND -12.378 -4.21 ***
SOX*SIZE 4.848 3.17 ***
SOX*GROWTH -23.110 -5.99 ***
Obs. 2,940
Adj. R-square 0.3874
Table 7. Multiple regression results based on 1,694 firm-quarter
observations (sample includes only the small firms with a market
capitalization of $700 million or less)
This table provides the results of multiple regression with the
dependent variable SPREAD. To be included in this table, a firm-
quarter observation must be accompanied by sufficient data to
compute the variables displayed below. Therefore, the statistics for
all variables are based on 1,694 firm-quarter observations. Firm-
quarter observations are drawn from the period between 1999 and
2005, excluding 2002. ***, **, and * denote two-tailed significance
at the 0.01, 0.05, and 0.1 levels, respectively. Variable
definitions are as follows: SPREAD=basis point spread over LIBOR,
inclusive of all fees. SOX = indicator variable set equal to one if
the sample period is in the pre-SOX period; zero if the sample
period is in the post-SOX period. SIZE = natural log of total assets
of firm at quarter-end. LEV = ratio of long-term debt to total
assets at quarter-end. VAR = 5 years earnings variability prior to
debt contract; computed as the standard deviation of firm i's net
income before extraordinary items (scaled by total assets) measured
over rolling five year windows. GROWTH = market-to-book ratio;
computed as market value of equity divided by total book value of
equity. RATING = Moody's senior debt ratings information on each
firm; ratings of Aaa, Aa, A, Baa, Ba, B, and lower than B represents
1 through 7, respectively. MAT = stated maturity computed in years.
AMOUNT = amount of money borrowed in debt contract scaled by total
assets. COL = dummy variable set equal to one if the loan is
secured, zero otherwise. COV = dummy variable set equal to one if
the debt covenant is included in debt contract, zero otherwise.
TBOND = 5 year Treasury bond rate.
[SPREAD.sub.i,t] = [[gamma].sub.0] + [[gamma].sub.1][SOX.sub.i,t] +
[[gamma].sub.2][SIZE.subl.i,t] + [[gamma].sub.3][LEV.sub.i,t] +
[[gamma].sub.4][VAR.sub.i,t] + [[gamma].sub.5][GROWTH.sub.i,t] +
[[gamma].sub.6][RATING.sub.i,t] + [[gamma].sub.7][MAT.sub.i,t] +
[[gamma].sub.8][AMOUNT.sub.i,t] + [[gamma].sub.9][COL.sub.i,t] +
[[gamma].sub.10][COV.sub.i,t] + [[gamma].sub.11][TBOND.sub.i,t] +
[[gamma].sub.12][(SOX*SZE).sub.i,t] +
[[gamma].sub.13][(SOX*GROWTH).sub.i,t]
Independent Predicted Full Model
Variables Sign
Coefficient t-stat
Intercept 117.849 2.48 **
SOX - -25.197 -2.37 **
SIZE - 3.843 2.41 **
LEV +/- 59.684 3.69 ***
VAR 0 -0.008 -0.70
GROWTH 0 2.583 4.63 ***
RATING 0 17.132 3.43 ***
MAT 0 -1.310 -0.84
AMOUNT +/- -0.499 -2.46 **
COL - 126.934 18.13 ***
COV - -32.665 -3.68 ***
TBOND ? -16.956 -3.71 ***
SOX*SIZE 0
SOX*GROWTH
Obs. 1,694
Adj. R-square 0.2304
Independent Extended Model
Variables
Coefficient t-stat
Intercept 127.585 2.73 ***
SOX -78.188 -4.80 ***
SIZE -3.598 -1.75 0
LEV 57.123 3.59 ***
VAR -0.010 -0.81
GROWTH 11.541 7.49 ***
RATING 15.977 3.25 ***
MAT -1.455 -0.95
AMOUNT -0.541 -2.71 ***
COL 123.344 17.82 ***
COV -29.474 -3.37 ***
TBOND -12.999 -2.84 ***
SOX*SIZE 15.646 5.19 ***
SOX*GROWTH -10.313 -6.27 ***
Obs. 1,694
Adj. R-square 0.2564
Table 8. Instrumental Variable approach results based on 4,610 firm-
quarter observations
This table provides the results of instrumental variable estimation
approach with the dependent variable SPREAD. To be included in this
table, a firm-quarter observation must be accompanied by sufficient
data to compute the variables displayed below. Therefore, the
statistics for all variables are based on 4,610 firm-quarter
observations. Firm-quarter observations are drawn from the period
between 1999 and 2005, excluding 2002. ***, **, and * denote two-
tailed significance at the 0.01, 0.05, and 0.1 levels, respectively.
Variable definitions are as follows: SPREAD = basis point spread
over LIBOR, inclusive of all fees. SOX = indicator variable set
equal to one if the sample period is in the pre-SOX period; zero if
the sample period is in the post-SOX period. SIZE = natural log of
total assets of firm at quarter-end. LEV = ratio of long-term debt
to total assets at quarter-end. VAR = 5 years earnings variability
prior to debt contract; computed as the standard deviation of firm
i's net income before extraordinary items (scaled by total assets)
measured over rolling five year windows. GROWTH = market-to-book
ratio; computed as market value of equity divided by total book
value of equity. RATING = Moody's senior debt ratings information on
each firm; ratings of Aaa, Aa, A, Baa, Ba, B, and lower than B
represents 1 through 7, respectively. fit(MAT) = fitted value of
maturity using yield curve as an instrument. fit(AMOUNT) = fitted
value of amount borrowed using research and development as an
instrument. fit(COL) = fitted value of collateral using inverse of
property, plant, and equipment as an instrument. fit(COV) = fitted
value of debt covenant using current ratio as an instrument. TBOND = 5
year Treasury bond rate.
[SPREAD.sub.i,t] = [[upsilon].sub.0] +
[[upsilon].sub.1][SOX.sub.i,t] + [[upsilon].sub.2][SIZE.sub.i,t] +
[[upsilon].sub.3][LEV.sub.i,t] + [[upsilon].sub.0][VAR.sub.i,t] +
[[upsilon].sub.5][GROWTH.sub.i,t] +
[[upsilon].sub.6][RATING.sub.i,t] +
[[upsilon].sub.7]fit[(MAT).sub.i,t] +
[[upsilon].sub.8]fit[(AMOUNT).sub.i,t] +
[[upsilon].sub.9]fit[(COL).sub.i,t] +
[[upsilon].sub.10]fit[(COV).sub.i,t] +
[[upsilon].sub.11][TBOND.sub.i,t] +
[[upsilon].sub.12][(ZOX*SIZE).sub.i,t] +
[[upsilon].sub.13][(SOX*GROWTH).sub.i,t]
Independent Predicted Full Model
Variables Sign
Coefficient t-stat
Intercept 69.085 14.36 ***
SOX - -47.473 -7.03 ***
SIZE - -16.087 -19.53 ***
LEV +/- 148.006 12.45 ***
VAR 0 -0.005 -1.38
GROWTH 0 3.645 6.20 ***
RATING 0 11.850 8.25 ***
fit(MAT) 0 48.584 4.37 ***
fit(AMOUNT) +/- -0.008 -0.57
fit(COL) - 39.072 0.74
fit(COV) - 164.390 1.95 0
TBOND ? -44.604 -8.65 ***
SOX*SIZE 0
SOX*GROWTH -
Obs. 4,610
Adj. R-square 0.1515
Independent Extended Model
Variables
Coefficient t-stat
Intercept 101.061 15.12 ***
SOX -96.935 -9.05 ***
SIZE -20.972 -19.24 ***
LEV 143.554 12.19 ***
VAR -0.005 -1.36
GROWTH 13.132 8.29 ***
RATING 11.077 7.77 ***
fit(MAT) 54.717 4.96 ***
fit(AMOUNT) -0.003 -0.23
fit(COL) 13.837 0.27
fit(COV) 138.085 1.65 0
TBOND -43.982 -8.61 ***
SOX*SIZE 10.070 7.04 ***
SOX*GROWTH -11.044 -6.49 ***
Obs. 4,610
Adj. R-square 0.1683