Earnings management practices for venture IPO firms.
Yoon, Soon Suk ; Kim, Hyo Jin
INTRODUCTION
The purpose of the study is to examine the earnings management
practices for the Kosdaq venture firms in comparison to the Kosdaq
non-venture firms and the KSE firms when they go public. The Kosdaq
exchange, the equivalent of the Nasdaq exchange in the USA, was formally
established in 1996 by combing formerly less structured and relatively
dormant over-the-counter (OTC) stocks into a more lively market system.
The Kosdaq exchange grew slowly until 1998. As of December 31, 2001, the
number of Kosdaq firms surpassed the number of firms listed on the Korea
Stock Exchange (KSE). (1)
There are three different listing regimes in two stock exchanges
for IPO firms to choose from in Korea: the KSE, the Kosdaq non-venture
section and the Kosdaq venture section. Firms must satisfy stringent
listing criteria to be listed on the KSE. (2) The Kosdaq non-venture
section requires less stringent listing requirements (3) as compared to
the KSE. In contrast, the Kosdaq venture section imposes virtually no
restrictions if a firm is designated as a venture firm by the Korean
government. Specifically, no restrictions are imposed on financial
requirements including paid-in-capital, stockholders' equity, total
assets, profits or debt ratios as long as it is a venture firm. Venture
firms are so-called 'new economy' firms consisting mostly of
technology or information oriented firms.
The rapid growth of the Kosdaq market with lenient listing
regulations can in part explain the resulting high delisting rate. Over
the five-year period from 1997 to 2001, the delisting rate for the
Kosdaq exchange firms was 28.4% as compared to 17.9% for the KSE
exchange.
The Kosdaq firms may face delisting because of the following
events:
* false or serious omissions in the listing application and the
attached documents,
* designation as an unfaithful disclosure firm more than 3 times
during the past 2 years,
* default, suspension of primary business for more than 6 months,
or consecutive full encroachment of paid-in capital for more than 2
years,
* inactive stock transactions for more than 3 months,
* respective stock prices are less than 20% of its par value for a
certain period.
Strict listing regulations, on the one hand, may help ensure that
investors have opportunities to invest in relatively safer firms. On the
other hand, however, small firms with good growth potential may have
limited access to public capital providers merely because they were not
able to satisfy the strict KSE listing requirements. These small firms
may face additional financial difficulties or be forced to forgo good
investment opportunities. Therefore, there is a delicate trade-off
between strict listing regulations and promotion of small firms with
good growth potentials. Because the KSE and the Kosdaq market employ
different listing regulations, firms may self-select stock exchanges
depending on their respective firm characteristics.
Earnings management may occur when managers use their discretion in
financial reporting and in structuring transactions to alter financial
reports. These actions may either mislead some stakeholders about the
underlying performances or may influence contractual outcomes that
depend on reported accounting numbers. Incentives to manage earnings
have been identified when earnings directly or indirectly affect share
prices, equity issues, proxy fights, labor contracts, management
compensation or government regulations.
Prior studies document that equity issuing firms tend to overstate
earnings around the equity issues (Aharony, Lin & Loeb, 1993;
Friedlan, 1994; Loughran & Ritter, 1995; Loughran & Ritter,
1997; Rangan, 1998; Teoh, Welch & Wong, 1998; Shivakumar, 2000;
Yoon, 2001; Yoon & Miller, 2002a). Yoon (2005) compared earnings
management for the KSE firms with the Kosdaq firms in general. He
concluded that the Kosdaq firms tend to manage their earnings more
aggressively than KSE firms when the operating cash flows are either
significantly poor or good. The current study is different from Yoon
(2005) in that the current study focuses on the differences in earnings
management practices motivated by differential institutional listing
arrangements for IPO firms in Korea.
In comparing the earnings management practices of the IPO firms in
Korea, we will focus on the comparison of "levels of earnings
management" rather than actual accounting policy choice for
earnings management. Firms may use diverse methods to manage earnings.
Aggregate accruals approach like the current study is not concerned
about actual accounting policy choices. Specific accrual approach mainly
examines the choice of specific accounting method to compare earnings
management practices. McNichols & Wilson (1988), for example, use
the specific accrual approach in examining earnings management.
Our study examines the earnings management practices for the Kosdaq
venture IPO firms in comparison to the Kosdaq non-venture IPO firms and
the KSE IPO firms from 1996 to 2000. We expect that firms going public
will have strong incentives to manage earnings to make sure that they
pass the listing requirements. The major reason for the incentives to
manage earnings is that the IPO firms hope to sell out their new shares
at good prices.
Earnings management studies require models that will properly
separate discretionary accruals from total accruals. This study uses two
methods for discretionary accrual estimation. One is the modified Jones
model (Dechow et al., 1995) and the other is a modified version of Yoon
& Miller (2002). Yoon and Miller indicate that the model fits
relatively well for Korean firms as compared to the modified Jones
model.
We use two methods to test differences in earnings management
practices for IPO firms. The first method is the tests for mean accrual
differences for earnings management practices between the Kosdaq venture
firms and their control samples of the Kosdaq non-venture firms and the
KSE firms. The second method is a graphic approach that is easier to
understand by readers without strong knowledge on statistics. The
graphic approach reveals a richer spectrum of average accruals across
different portfolios. For the graphic approach, we rank the treatment
and control samples based on CFOs to form quintile portfolios. We then
analyze the mean accruals for each CFO portfolio.
RESEARCH DESIGN
Hypotheses
We assert that earnings management of IPO firms can be associated
with different institutional listing regulations. Differential listing
criteria will lead the would-be IPO firms to self-select the stock
exchanges which will best serve their strategies. Particularly when
listing requirements are less strict and the possibility of getting
penalized is low, firms contemplating IPOs will have incentives to
overstate their values so that stocks prices can be maximized.
Given the presence of information asymmetry, less stringent listing
regulations for the IPO firms are likely to be associated with increased
adverse selection problem. The cost of the adverse selection problem for
the IPO firms will be wealth transfers from the new shareholders to
existing inside shareholders. Wealth transfers amount to the premium
paid by the new shareholders over the underlying values. Wealth
transfers of this nature can be more serious for the Kosdaq IPO firms
since less strict regulations are imposed on them, resulting in lower
levels of transparency. Therefore, we expect that the Kosdaq firms will
manage earnings more aggressively when they go public than their KSE
counterparts do.
In addition to the different institutional arrangement for the IPO
firms, there is one more factor that is likely to motivate firms to
overstate earnings to sustain boosted share prices. One of the common
features of the IPO firms in Korea is that the underwriters of IPOs are
required to maintain the prices of newly offered stocks above certain
levels to protect new shareholders up to three months after the IPOs.
Also required is that the original shareholders are not allowed to sell
their stocks until six months after the IPO. This will lead to earnings
management practices by all IPO firms particularly in the IPO year. In
other words, all IPO firms will have incentives to manage earnings, but
the differential listing regulations will induce firms to self-select
the stock exchange that will best serve their needs. Furthermore, when
IPO firms choose the exchange with less strict regulations, they will be
likely to exercise more opportunistic behavior.
Deriving from the above discussion, we state our first research
hypothesis as follows:
H1: Kosdaq firms will manage earnings more aggressively than their
KSE counterparts when firms go public.
The listing regulations within the Kosdaq market are different
depending on the types of firm. Venture firms are less strictly
regulated than non-venture firms in many respects including IPO
regulations. Therefore, we expect that the earnings management practices
for the venture firms will be more aggressive than the non-venture firms
especially when they go public. Hence, we can set up our second research
hypothesis as follows:
H2 Kosdaq venture firms will manage earnings more aggressively than
their Kosdaq non-venture counterparts when firms go public.
Sample Selection
As discussed earlier, the Kosdaq exchange was formally established
in July 1996 by organizing formerly less structured and relatively
dormant 343 over-the-counter (OTC) stocks into a more lively market
system. The Kosdaq exchange began to draw investors' attention
slowly in 1996 and 1997. Only 331 firms were listed as of December 31,
1996. Ten firms went public in 1996. However, forty-five firms got
delisted during 1996. This indicates that the Kosdaq market was very
unstable in the early years of inception.
As of December 31, 2001, 721 firms including 80 mutual funds were
listed on the Kosdaq exchange. During our study period, 224 new firms
were listed on the Kosdaq market and 81 on the KSE. A total of 16 Kosdaq
firms and 10 KSE firms were excluded from the sample because some major
financial variables were not available for those firms. As a result, the
final sample consists of 208 Kosdaq firms (75 venture firms and 133
non-venture firms) and 71 KSE firms. For some firms with outlying values, we have winsorized them to the 1st and 99th percentiles for
individual variables rather than eliminating them from the sample
because the original sample was small already.
Two reasons can be provided for the selection of our study period.
First, the Kosdaq market was launched in 1996. Even though the former
OTC firms were merged into the Kosdaq market, the new market setting for
the Kosdaq market is different from its predecessor because the market
operates in a more structured way than its predecessor. Therefore, we
have not included the OTC market period in our study period. Second, the
Korean accounting standards mandated cash flow statements starting in
1995. Some prior studies use a balance sheet approach to estimate total
accruals. However, Collins & Hribar (2002) shows that the error
resulting from using the balance sheet approach not only reduces the
discretionary accrual model's power to detect earnings management,
but also has the potential to generate incorrect inferences about
earnings management. Therefore, we use cash flows from operations as
given in the cash flow statements to avoid measurement errors resulting
from the balance sheet approach.
Estimation of Discretionary Accruals
We need to identify a model that most appropriately estimates the
discretionary accruals. Researcher' ability to accurately estimate
discretionary accruals critically affects the success of earnings
management tests. In other words, all tests are joint tests of the
researcher's model of discretionary accruals and earnings
management. Therefore, the development of a well fitting model is very
important for this line of research. Prior research documents that the
modified Jones model (Dechow et al., 1995) is generally effective.
Others like Kothari et al. (2005) document that the modified Jones model
('MJ model' hereafter) is severely misspecified and tends to
over reject the null hypothesis of earnings management. Yoon &
Miller (2002a) also document that the MJ model does not fit well
particularly for Korean firms. In this research, we use two alternative
models. The first one slightly modifies Yoon & Miller model
('YM model' hereafter) and the second one is the MJ model.
Since the latter has been widely used and described in prior studies, we
will not describe it in this study. The YM model is described below.
[MATHEMATICAL EXPRESSION NOT REPRODUCIBLE IN ASCII]
Where,
TA (total accruals) = NI (accounting earnings) - CFO (cash flow
from operations)
REV = net sales revenue
REC = trade receivables
EXP = sum of cost of goods sold and selling and general
administrative expenses excluding
non-cash expenses
PAY = trade payables
DEP = depreciation expenses
PEN = retirement benefits expenses
[DELTA]) = change operator]
The YM model posits that total accruals will normally depend on
changes in sales revenue, changes in expenses and some non-cash expenses
including depreciation and retirement benefits expenses. We use the
first two variables as proxies for current accruals (or working capital
accruals) and the third variable as proxy for non-current accruals. The
two components of accruals have both aspects of non-discretionary and
discretionary nature. The model tries to separate non-discretionary
portion from total accruals and uses residuals as discretionary accruals
by regressing total accruals on the three variables. According to Dechow
& Dichev (2002), current accruals are mostly positive since most
firms are growing and increasing in their working capital while
non-current accruals and total accruals are negative primarily because
of depreciation.
The first explanatory variable, (DREV-DREC)/REV, represents changes
in non-discretionary revenues because we subtract changes in receivables
from changes in revenue. This variable should capture a firm's
tendency to increase reported earnings by increasing the front-loading
of credit sales. Front-loading of sales would tend to decrease this
variable since it would not increase the numerator while simultaneously
increasing the denominator. In other words, the change in cash sales should not be affected by the frontloading of credit sales.
The second explanatory variable, (DEXP-DPAY)/REV, represents
changes in non-discretionary expenses. Management may utilize not only
sales but also expenses in managing reported earnings. Hence, unless we
properly take into account both sales changes and expense changes, we
may not properly capture the dual aspects of current accruals. One of
the major weaknesses of the MJ model is that the first variable does not
have a predicted relationship with total accruals. Total accruals are
expected to have a positive relationship with current accruals. However,
it is difficult to predict the relationship that the changes in sales
will have with total accruals. Sometimes, sales and receivables will be
utilized to manage earnings, whereas in other times expenses and
payables can be utilized for the same purpose. If we include the first
variable only in our model, we may still capture the impact of expense
changes on the current accruals because revenue changes and expense
changes are correlated to a certain degree. (4)
The third variable associates non-cash expenses with non-current
accruals. A non-discretionary level of non-cash expense is represented
by the sum of depreciation expenses and retirement benefits expenses.
When retirement benefits liabilities are less than fully funded which is
the case for most of the Korean firms, the unfunded portion of the
retirement benefits expenses are non-cash expenses. In the cash flow
statements, this information is provided together with other non-cash
expenses. By construction, the third variable will have a negative
relationship with total accruals since non-cash expenses are subtracted
from cash flows from operations to arrive at reported earnings.
We assert YM model is better than the MJ model for several reasons.
First, YM model does not impose the intercept term to go through the
origin while the MJ model does so by suppressing the intercept term. (5)
Kothari et al. (2005) also point out that failure to include a constant
magnifies misspecification of the MJ model. Second, as mentioned above,
the YM model will capture the fact that firms tend to use not only
revenues but also expenses in making accounting choices for earnings
management. Third, the YM model better ensures a proper matching between
the dependent variable and the independent variables since the YM model
uses the flow variables for the independent variables as well as for the
dependent variable. In contrast, the MJ model uses a level variable
(Property, Plant &Equipment/Total Assets) to proxy for the
non-current accrual. (6) Matching a level independent variable with the
flow dependent variable is expected to lower the explanatory power of
the level variable.
We used panel data in estimating the discretionary accruals to
ensure statistical robustness. We combined the financial statements for
the listed firms from the period of 1995 through 2001 to make the panel
data. All the variables were electronically retrieved from the cash flow
statements that are available from KISFAS, the Korean Compustat data
set. We maintained as many firm-year observations as possible by
winsorizing outliers instead of eliminating the respective firms. We
also tried to keep the winsorization to a minimum level to maintain the
characteristics of the original data.
Discretionary accruals are obtained by subtracting fitted values of
accruals (non-discretionary accruals) from total accruals as follows:
[DA.sub.i] = [TA.sub.i] / [RE.sub.Vi] - [[b.sub.0] + [b.sub.1]
([DREV.sub.i] - [DREC.sub.i)/] [REV.sub.i] + [b.sub.2] ([DEXP.sub.i] -
[DPAY.sub.i)/] [REV.sub.i] + [b.sub.3] ([DEP.sub.i] + [PEN.sub.i])/
[REV.sub.i]] (2)
Here, [b.sub.k] represents the estimated coefficients of [b.sub.k]
in equation (1). The discretionary accruals (DA) obtained from the
equation (2) represent the differences between actual total accruals and
expected (non-discretionary) total accruals for each observation.
Estimation Results for Discretionary Accruals
We ran regressions for the YM model and the MJ model by industry
for 32 two-digit industries. A total of 6,429 firm-year observations
from the period of 1995 to 2001 were used to estimate the discretionary
accruals. The data set used for the estimation of discretionary accruals
is much larger than the sample data set (279 observations: 75 Kosdaq
venture IPO firms, 133 Kosdaq non-venture IPO firms and 71 KSE IPO
firms). The large data set helps ensure robust estimations for the
discretionary accruals.
The number of observations used in the estimation for each industry
ranges from a low of 28 for the Fishing industry to a high of 798 for
the Electronics industry. The adjusted R2 ranges from a low of 0.000 for
the Film industry to a high of 0.683 for the Education and Business
Support industry for the YM model. The adjusted R2 for the 32 industries
averages 0.237 for the YM model, a modest goodness of fit. However, the
average adjusted R2 for the MJ model is 0.042, which is much poorer than
the YM model. Detailed explanations for the comparison of the two models
are omitted here. Instead, the current study will briefly interpret the
results of the YM model.
The explanatory variables for the YM model had expected signs with
strong statistical significance in general. More specifically, the first
variable, (DREV-DREC)/REV, generally had negative relationships with the
total accruals. The proportions of negative coefficients for the first
variable were 75% (24/32). 31% (10/32) were statistically significant at
the 5% significance level. The second variable, (DEXP-DPAY)/REV, had
predominantly positive relationships with total accruals. 78% (25/32) of
the coefficients were statistically significantly positive at the 5%
significance level. 94% (30/32) were positive. The third variable,
(DEP+PEN)/REV, also had generally negative relationships with total
accruals. The proportion of negative coefficient for the third variable
was 63% (20/32). 28% (9/32) were statistically significant at the 5%
significance level.
Test for Earnings Management
This study's test period covers 1996-2000 while the estimation
for discretionary accruals uses seven-year data from 1995 to 2001. The
discretionary accruals are estimated by running the regressions for the
YM model and the MJ model by industry for 32 industries.
Two methods are used to test differences in earnings management
practices between the Kosdaq venture IPO firms and the two control
groups of IPO firms. First, the study uses difference tests for
accruals. We do not expect that there will be a difference in average
accruals between the Kosdaq venture IPO firms and the control sample
firms unless they employ differential earnings management practices. Any
systematic differences in accruals may be attributed to the differential
listing requirements. We hypothesize that the Kosdaq venture IPO firms
will have stronger incentives to manage earnings because of the
differences in institutional arrangements of the IPO markets.
Second, the current study uses a graphic approach that is a similar
method suggested by Burgstahler & Dichev (1997). The difference of
our approach from Burgstahler & Dichev's lies in the fact that
we use a histogram method while the other uses a scatter diagram method.
This method presents a broader picture for earnings management practices
by graphically portraying the average accruals across more narrowly
classified cash flows from operations ('CFO' hereafter)
portfolios. McNichols (2000) argues that the graphic approach allows
researchers to make a strong prediction about the frequency of earnings
realizations that is unlikely to be due to the non-discretionary
component of earnings.
For the graphic approach, we rank sample firms based on their
standardized CFOs. We then form five equal size CFO portfolios. Mean
accrual for each CFO portfolio for three comparative groups is presented
in a histogram form. Systematic patterns of the differences for average
accruals among three groups will suggest differential earnings
management practices. We expect that the average accruals will show a
monotonic decrease from the worst CFO quintile portfolio to the best CFO
quintile portfolio, given the fact that the degree of earnings
management practices hinges upon the level of CFO. In addition, we
expect that the pattern for monotonic decreases for average accruals
will be most salient for the Kosdaq venture IPO firms.
One advantage for the graphic approach is that this approach
presents richer information about the distribution for average accruals
across the different CFO portfolios. The mean difference method tests
show only that the central tendency of accruals, i.e., the difference of
the overall mean of accruals among three groups. In the mean difference
test, any positive and negative deviations from the overall mean will
cancel each other out. As a result, we may fail to see differences in
discretionary accruals as long as the overall mean accruals are similar
even if mean accruals for each CFO portfolio may exhibit significant
differences across the CFO portfolios.
The graphic approach mitigates misspecification of regression approach in estimating discretionary accruals since the graphic approach
provides a proper controlling for performance. Kothari et al. (2005)
shows that a performance-matched accrual is useful in mitigating errors
where researchers' partitioning variable is correlated with
performance. Our graphic approach also controls performance. Performance
matching can remove the portion of earnings management that is motivated
by poor or superior performance since both treatment and control firms
by design experience similar CFOs.
EMPIRICAL RESULTS
Descriptive Statistics
Table 1 reports the descriptive statistics for some key variables
for the three year period surrounding the year of IPO in a comparative
form for the Kosdaq venture firms, the Kosdaq non-venture firms and the
KSE firms. We provide descriptive statistics for the alternative
discretionary accruals (DA) based on the YM model and the MJ model.
Furthermore, we also provide descriptive statistics for total accruals
(TA), net income (NI) and cash flows from operations (CFO) using two
different deflators of net sales and beginning total assets (BTA) for
the sake of comparison. However, we will focus on the discretionary
accruals in the analysis and interpretation of the empirical results for
accruals. Panels A, B and C respectively show the descriptive statistics
for those variables for one year before the IPO, the IPO year and one
year after the IPO.
We get much wider ranges and standard deviations when BTA is used
than when net sales are used as deflators. This is particularly the case
for the Kosdaq venture firms in the year before IPO and the IPO year,
for the Kosdaq non-venture firms in the year before IPO and the IPO
year, and for the KSE firms in the IPO year. In the same vein, mean
accruals (both total accruals and discretionary accruals), net income
and cash flows from operations are more inflated when BTAs are used than
when net sales are used as deflators, especially in the year before IPO
and the IPO year.
DA averages 0.0178 for the YM model (0.0637 for the MJ model) for
the Kosdaq venture firms in the year before IPO. Average DAs for the two
control samples are -0.0032 (-0.0134) for the Kosdaq non-venture firms
and 0.0195 (0.0212) for the KSE firms during the same period.
We can also observe that TA is negatively related to CFO so that NI
is the highest for the Kosdaq venture firms at 0.1074 (0.2104) while its
CFO is the lowest at 0.0472 (0.0882) among the three groups. This may
indicate that the Kosdaq venture firms tend to increase reported
earnings more aggressively than their counterparts when they prepare to
go public in the following year.
Panel B shows that DA for the Kosdaq venture firms (0.1006 and
0.1792) is much larger than those of the control groups (0.0224 and
0.0539 for the Kosdaq non-venture and 0.0419 and 0.0639 for the KSE).
Shown in Panel B is that CFO is the lowest and yet NI is the highest for
the Kosdaq venture firms in the IPO year. This indicates that the Kosdaq
venture firms tend to manage earnings heavily in the IPO year as well.
Panel C reveals that DA (-0.0162 and -0.0427) and NI (-0.0418 and
-0.0130) for the Kosdaq venture firms is lowered drastically as compared
to the previous two years. NI is also lower as compared to the two
control samples. Perhaps the Kosdaq venture firms might have exhausted
accruals to increase their NI in the year preceding IPO and in the IPO
year. As a result, NI decreases drastically in the year following IPO.
Results for Mean Difference Tests
Table 2 reports the results for the difference tests between the
Kosdaq IPO firms and the KSE IPO firms for discretionary accruals (DA)
and total accruals (TA) as well. The mean difference tests for TA
support H1 that the Kosdaq IPO firms tend to manage earnings more
aggressively than its KSE counterparts in the year preceding IPO and in
the IPO year. However, the same test for DA by and large fails to
support H1 except for the MJ model in the IPO year. The lack of
statistical significance for DA may be related to the possible
misspecification of the DA estimation. However, the lack of statistical
significance may be more likely related to the fact that the Kosdaq
non-venture firms are not significantly different from the KSE firms in
terms of major firm characteristics, maybe with the exception of firm
size. Since we get inconsistent evidence from the two different
accruals, we are not warranted to conclude that the Kosdaq firms employ
more aggressive earnings management strategies in the year preceding
IPO.
Table 3 reports the results for the mean accrual difference test
between the Kosdaq venture IPO firms and the Kosdaq non-venture IPO
firms. Table 5 reveals that the Kosdaq venture firms increase reported
earnings more aggressively than the Kosdaq non-venture firms, definitely
in the IPO year and probably in the year preceding IPO. Statistically
significant differences are evidenced by both DA and DA in the IPO year
and by TA and DA from the MJ model in the preceding year. In conjunction
with the results reported in Table 2, we can document that most of the
accrual differences between the Kosdaq IPO firms and the KSE IPO firms
come from the aggressive earnings management practices by the Kosdaq
venture IPO firms. We can observe that the magnitudes for DA and TA for
the Kosdaq venture IPO firms in the IPO year are many times of those of
the Kosdaq non-venture IPO firms. These results clearly indicate that
the Kosdaq venture firms tend to increase reported earnings very
aggressively in the IPO year and also probably so in the year preceding
IPO. The results, hence, support the H2 that the Kosdaq venture firms
manage earnings more aggressively than their Kosdaq non-venture
counterparts when they go public. The clear differences in earnings
management practices of IPO firms within the market seem to be driven
primarily by the differences in listing regulations.
Additional tests for the accrual differences in the three years
surrounding the IPO year between the Kosdaq non-venture IPO firms and
the KSE IPO firms (which is not shown in tabular form) revealed that the
differences are not statistically significant. This indicates once again
that the Kosdaq venture firms manage earnings much more aggressively
than their counterparts of the Kosdaq non-venture IPO firms or the KSE
IPO firms.
Graphic Approach
[FIGURE 1 OMITTED]
The mean difference tests focus on the differences in the central
tendency for the treatment sample (the Kosdaq venture IPO firms) and the
control samples (the Kosdaq non-venture IPO firms and the KSE IPO
firms). The mean difference test is related to a point estimate.
Therefore, any deviations from the mean may cancel each other out so
that the test may fail to show rich distributional characteristics.
However, with the graphic approach we are using, each sample for each
year (the preceding year, the IPO year and the following year) is
divided into five equal size portfolios that are formed based on CFO. A
clear advantage for the graphic approach over the mean difference tests
is that the approach presents richer information about the distribution
for average accruals across the different CFO portfolios.
Figures 1 through 3 show the average DA for each CFO portfolio, one
for each year. (8) The first thing we can notice from the comparison of
graphs is that the DA estimation approaches, even though they are
different in terms of design and results, does not affect the empirical
results very differently. The YM model has lower range of DA between the
minimum and the maximum values than the MJ model. However, the overall
pictures of the two different approaches show very similar patterns.
Figure 1 and Figure 2 reveal that firms in general tend to incur
accruals in the opposite directions of CFO. The relationships are
generally monotonically negative. We observe that the average DA across
the CFO portfolios decreases gradually. Therefore, accruals and CFOs are
strongly negatively correlated. We don't expect that there should
be negative relationships if firms do not manage earnings. For example,
firms in the bottom quintile portfolio (Portfolio 1) have negative CFO
and hence employ high accrual strategies. This is consistent with the
findings of Yoon & Miller (2002b) and Kothari et al. (2005). While
we fail to find any systematic differences in DA among the three IPO
groups in the preceding years from the YM model, we find more pronounced
differences in DA from the MJ model. (9)
Given the general tendency of negative relationships between
accruals and CFOs, we observe from Figure 2 that the Kosdaq venture
firms tend to employ more aggressive earnings management strategies in
the IPO year. The average DA for each of the five CFO portfolios is
consistently the highest for the Kosdaq venture firms among the three
groups in the IPO year. The average DA is as high as 0.280 for the YM
model and 0.495 for the MJ model for the bottom quintile CFO portfolio
in the IPO year. In comparison, the average DA for the bottom quintile
CFO portfolio in the IPO year is 0.137 for the YM model and 0.345 for
the MJ model for the Kosdaq non-venture firms and 0.117 and 0.181
respectively for the KSE firms. We can infer that the degree of earnings
management practices is non-trivial for all three groups when CFO is
poor, and that earnings management practices appear to be the most
significant for the Kosdaq venture firms.
Figure 3, however, indicates that the earnings management practices
are not consistently related to CFO in the year following IPOs. The
Kosdaq venture firms which implemented aggressive earnings management
strategies in the IPO year don't appear to employ income-increasing
strategies in the following year. For the Kosdaq venture firms, the
average accruals are mostly negative. In contrast, the average accruals
for the Kosdaq non-venture firms and the KSE firms do not show
significant changes from the previous years.
[FIGURE 2 OMITTED]
[FIGURE 3 OMITTED]
One possible reason for the turn-around in accounting strategies is
that the Kosdaq venture firms might have exhausted all possible means
for managing earnings in the IPO year. Another reason may be that the
venture firms no longer need to manage earnings to maintain the stock
prices at a certain level. As discussed earlier, IPO firms and
underwriters are normally expected to manage prices for newly issued
shares for a sustained period of time up to three months after the IPO.
Furthermore, shareholders are not allowed to sell their respective
stocks until six months after the initial public offerings.
CONCLUSIONS
We expect that firms going public will have incentives to manage
earnings to make sure that they pass the specific listing requirements.
Also, firms hope to sell out their IPO shares at good prices. Two stock
exchanges, the Kosdaq exchange and the Korea Stock Exchange (KSE), with
differential listing regulations are available for would-be public firms
to self-select their initial public offerings. If a firm is qualified as
a venture firm, then the firm can choose the Kosdaq venture listing
alternative, for which the listing regulations are even more lenient
than the Kosdaq non-venture firms within the same Kosdaq exchange. The
differential listing regulations will encourage firms to choose the
stock exchange that is most advantageous for them. These less strict
listing regulations for the venture firms may induce the firms to manage
earnings aggressively. The study examined the earnings management
practices for the Kosdaq venture IPO firms in comparison to the Kosdaq
non-venture IPO firms and the KSE IPO firms during the period 1996 to
2000.
We selected a treatment sample of 75 Kosdaq venture IPO firms and
two control samples of 133 Kosdaq non-venture IPO firms and 71 KSE IPO
firms during the five year period. The study tested the accrual
differences between the treatment sample and the control samples. The
study also used a graphic analysis approach to investigate the
differences in earnings management practices for the Kosdaq venture IPO
firms and the two control samples.
The results for the tests consistently reveal that the Kosdaq
venture IPO firms employ more aggressive earnings management practices
than the two control samples in the IPO year and probably in the
preceding year as well. However, the Kosdaq venture firms drastically
reduce accruals and report relatively lower earnings in the year
following the IPOs.
The graphic approaches for accruals also reveal that the Kosdaq
venture firms employ more aggressive earnings management practices in
the IPO year. In addition, the graphic approach shows that the degree of
earnings management practices depend very strongly on the cash from
operations in a monotonically negative manner.
The current study suffers from possible misspecification problems
for the discretionary accrual estimation. Even though we used two
alternative models in estimating discretionary accruals, the goodness of
fit is still far from satisfaction. Future research needs to develop a
more refined and better fitting model.
ACKNOWLEDGMENT
Dr. Kim is grateful for her post-doctoral research fellowship
supported by the government of Canada.
ENDNOTES
(1.) The Korea Stock Exchange, the Kosdaq Market and the Korea
Futures Exchange have been merged into the Korea Exchange (KRX) in
January 2005. However, the KRX is still divided into three divisions and
the operation system of individual divisions is still the same as
before. On the other hand, the operation system of the KRX is virtually
same as other stock exchanges like NYSE in terms of disclosure
regulation, listing procedures and other policies. Furthermore, Korean
accounting standards are very much similar to those of IASB and/or the
FASB thanks to the increased efforts for the convergence of
international standards. Since our study's main objective is to
compare earnings management of IPO firms in differential listing
requirements, we will not elaborate on the operational and institutional
features in detail. Detailed information on the disclosures, listing
procedure, and other operation system of the KRX can be obtained from
www.krx.co.kr.
(2.) In order to be listed on the KSE, an IPO firm must satisfy the
following requirements: It should get a public auditor designated by the
Financial Supervisory Service before going public; It should be at least
three year old; It should have an equity greater than 5 billion Won
(about $5 million) or sales greater than 20 billion Won (about $20
million); It should have an unqualified audit opinion; It should have no
material pending lawsuits; It should have a debt ratio less than 1.5
times the industry average; and it should have a return on equity higher
than 10%.
(3.) Firms with total assets greater than 50 billion Won (about $50
million) or stockholders' equity greater than 10 billion Won (about
$10 million) can be listed even if they experience net losses. Firms
with paid-in-capital greater than 0.5 billion Won (about $0.5 million)
can be listed as long as income from continuing operations is positive.
Firms with qualified audit opinion can also be listed.
(4.) We may have a multicollinearity problem when we include
explanatory variables that are correlated. We need to take into account
the trade-off between the adverse effect of multicollinearity and the
problems of omitted variables in this case. Changes in revenues and
changes in expenses are highly correlated. However, the correlation
between changes in non-discretionary revenues and changes in
non-discretionary expenses decreased significantly. Furthermore, when we
use both of the variables, we get significant and consistent signs for
both of the variables from the regressions (Yoon & Miller, 2002a).
(5.) The MJ model uses the inverse of firm size (1/beginning total
assets) to proxy for the intercept and does not allow a free intercept
term. This will lower the goodness of fit of the model. Using our
sample, we find out that the adjusted R2 on average drops from 0.082 to
0.042. The marked difference in adjusted R2 between the suppressed and
unsuppressed constant terms alone indicates how serious the
misspecification problem is for the MJ model.
(6.) For some aged capital intensive firms, this variable becomes
greater than one when property plant and equipment is fully or nearly
fully depreciated. In this unusual case, the variable distorts the
expected negative relationship between total accruals and non-current
accruals.
(7.) TA should be equal to NI less CFO by definition. However, the
relationship is slightly distorted by the fact that some variables are
winsorized as a way to adjust for the outliers.
(8.) For the graphic approach, we report only discretionary
accruals. The graphic analysis of total accruals shows stronger support
of the earnings management hypothesis of the Kosdaq venture firms than
the discretionary accruals.
(9.) For both the YM model and the MJ model, IPO year differences
in discretionary accruals are statistically significant for the
portfolios 1 though 3 between the Kosdaq venture firms and the Kosdaq
non-venture firms, and for the first two portfolios between the Kosdaq
venture and the KSE firms. In the year preceding IPO, discretionary
accruals from the modified Jones model are also statistically different
for portfolios 2 and 5 between the Kosdaq venture firms and the Kosdaq
non-venture firms as well as for portfolio 2 between the Kosdaq venture
firms and the KSE firms. In the following year, discretionary accruals
from the modified Jones model is statistically significantly lower for
the Kosdaq firms than for the KSE firms for portfolio 2 only. In sum,
the Kosdaq venture firms tend to increase reported earnings more
aggressively than the Kosdaq non-venture firms and the KSE firms when
operating cash flows are poor in the IPO year and the preceding year.
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Soon Suk Yoon, Chonnam National University (Korea)
Hyo Jin Kim, York University (Canada)
Table 1: Descriptive Statistics (7)
Panel A: One year before IPO
Stock Exchange Variables Mean Median S.D.
Kosdaq Venture DA-YM 0.0178 0.0033 0.1429
([n.sub.1]=59) DA-MJ 0.0637 0.0373 0.1929
TA/Sales 0.0590 0.0362 0.1285
TA/BTA 0.1109 0.0675 0.2443
NI/Sales 0.1074 0.0908 0.0822
NI/BTA 0.2104 0.1506 0.1855
CFO/Sales 0.0472 0.0397 0.1267
CFO/BTA 0.0882 0.0803 0.2560
Kosdaq Non-venture DA-YM -0.0032 -0.0076 0.1415
([n.sub.2]=124) DA-MJ -0.0134 -0.0230 0.1953
TA/Sales 0.0016 -0.0075 0.1205
TA/BTA 0.0111 -0.0165 0.2285
NI/Sales 0.0629 0.0460 0.0715
NI/BTA 0.1302 0.0788 0.1919
CFO/Sales 0.0620 0.0612 0.1317
CFO/BTA 0.1088 0.1040 0.2541
KSE DA-YM 0.0195 0.0121 0.0966
([n.sub.3]=69) DA-MJ 0.0212 0.0014 0.1178
TA/Sales -0.0175 -0.0187 0.1015
TA/BTA -0.0098 0.0014 0.1301
NI/Sales 0.0708 0.0541 0.0606
NI/BTA 0.1045 0.0720 0.0991
CFO/Sales 0.0860 0.0881 0.1106
CFO/BTA 0.1120 0.1154 0.1589
Stock Exchange Variables Min. Max.
Kosdaq Venture DA-YM -0.3182 0.3969
([n.sub.1]=59) DA-MJ -0.3498 0.6972
TA/Sales -0.2356 0.5651
TA/BTA -0.3330 0.8763
NI/Sales -0.1004 0.3329
NI/BTA -0.0789 0.7110
CFO/Sales -0.4027 0.3094
CFO/BTA -0.7752 0.7775
Kosdaq Non-venture DA-YM -0.3256 0.6000
([n.sub.2]=124) DA-MJ -0.6968 0.5576
TA/Sales -0.2351 0.5681
TA/BTA -0.0688 0.8761
NI/Sales -0.2161 0.3399
NI/BTA -0.8014 0.7166
CFO/Sales -0.6000 0.4603
CFO/BTA -0.7753 0.7778
KSE DA-YM -0.2684 0.2988
([n.sub.3]=69) DA-MJ -0.2501 0.3890
TA/Sales -0.4024 0.2543
TA/BTA -0.3328 0.3735
NI/Sales 0.0060 0.2772
NI/BTA 0.0056 0.5443
CFO/Sales -0.2353 0.3785
CFO/BTA -0.3093 0.6850
Panel B: IPO year
Stock Exchange Variables Mean Median S.D.
Kosdaq Venture DA-YM 0.1006 0.0844 0.1402
([n.sub.1]=75) DA-MJ 0.1792 0.0903 0.2639
TA/Sales 0.1114 0.0839 0.1528
TA/BTA 0.1928 0.0883 0.2659
NI/Sales 0.0917 0.0803 0.1058
NI/BTA 0.1509 0.1276 0.1880
CFO/Sales -0.0194 -0.0154 0.1818
CFO/BTA -0.0416 -0.0157 0.2787
Kosdaq Non-venture DA-YM 0.0224 0.0191 0.1320
([n.sub.2]=133) DA-MJ 0.0539 0.0033 0.1281
TA/Sales 0.0200 0.0022 0.1300
TA/BTA 0.0237 0.0071 0.1393
NI/Sales 0.0576 0.0518 0.0917
NI/BTA 0.0777 0.0531
CFO/Sales 0.0353 0.0519 0.1422
CFO/BTA 0.0539 0.0604 0.1417
KSE DA-YM 0.0419 0.0412 0.0817
([n.sub.3]=71) DA-MJ 0.0639 0.0400 0.2187
TA/Sales 0.0059 0.0084 0.0979
TA/BTA 0.0521 0.0203 0.2337
NI/Sales 0.0585 0.0460 0.0677
NI/BTA 0.1061 0.0933 0.1378
CFO/Sales 0.0525 0.0584 0.1011
CFO/BTA 0.0493 0.0201 0.2322
Stock Exchange Variables Min. Max.
Kosdaq Venture DA-YM -0.2163 0.4903
([n.sub.1]=75) DA-MJ -0.4362 0.9255
TA/Sales -0.1923 0.5631
TA/BTA -0.3514 0.8744
NI/Sales -0.5179 0.3360
NI/BTA -0.8016 0.7095
CFO/Sales -0.5939 0.3592
CFO/BTA -0.7747 0.7767
Kosdaq Non-venture DA-YM -0.2577 0.2926
([n.sub.2]=133) DA-MJ -0.1850 0.7404
TA/Sales -0.4314 0.5671
TA/BTA -0.3596 0.7137
NI/Sales -0.6000 0.3430
NI/BTA 0.0935 -0.2740
CFO/Sales -0.6000 0.4614
CFO/BTA -0.6541 0.4194
KSE DA-YM -0.2007 0.2673
([n.sub.3]=71) DA-MJ -0.7984 0.8584
TA/Sales -0.3315 0.3264
TA/BTA -0.7669 0.8735
NI/Sales -0.2577 0.2926
NI/BTA -0.6063 0.7105
CFO/Sales -0.2992 0.3514
CFO/BTA -0.7740 0.7777
Panel C: One year after IPO
Stock Exchange Variables Mean Median S.D.
Kosdaq Venture DA-YM -0.0162 0.0145 0.2402
([n.sub.1]=59) DA-MJ -0.0427 -0.0310 0.2118
TA/Sales -0.0644 -0.0345 0.2634
TA/BTA -0.0462 -0.0298 0.2074
NI/Sales -0.0418 0.0403 0.2430
NI/BTA -0.0130 0.0406 0.1959
CFO/Sales 0.0070 0.0516 0.2227
CFO/BTA 0.0324 0.0536 0.1585
Kosdaq Non-venture DA-YM 0.0254 0.0251 0.1587
([n.sub.2]=124) DA-MJ 0.0085 -0.0058 0.1687
TA/Sales -0.0269 -0.0297 0.1737
TA/BTA -0.0086 -0.0214 0.1694
NI/Sales -0.0055 0.0264 0.1556
NI/BTA 0.0196 0.0389 0.1507
CFO/Sales 0.0121 0.0476 0.1681
CFO/BTA 0.0281 0.0431 0.1511
KSE DA-YM 0.0501 0.0475 0.1273
([n.sub.3]=69) DA-MJ 0.0134 0.0200 0.1158
TA/Sales -0.0146 -0.0101 0.1147
TA/BTA -0.0148 -0.0090 0.1211
NI/Sales 0.0236 0.0414 0.1223
NI/BTA 0.0390 0.0373 0.0870
CFO/Sales 0.0392 0.0530 0.1497
CFO/BTA 0.0553 0.0428 0.1344
Stock Exchange Variables Min. Max.
Kosdaq Venture DA-YM -0.6000 0.6000
([n.sub.1]=59) DA-MJ -0.7828 0.6846
TA/Sales -0.6000 0.5691
TA/BTA -0.7674 0.6104
NI/Sales -0.6000 0.2989
NI/BTA -0.8015 0.1987
CFO/Sales -0.6000 0.4534
CFO/BTA -0.4981 0.3990
Kosdaq Non-venture DA-YM -0.6000 0.5402
([n.sub.2]=124) DA-MJ -0.6954 0.7172
TA/Sales -0.6000 0.5711
TA/BTA -0.7670 0.6801
NI/Sales -0.6000 0.3340
NI/BTA -0.7934 0.5002
CFO/Sales -0.6000 0.4219
CFO/BTA -0.4886 0.3877
KSE DA-YM -0.2372 0.6000
([n.sub.3]=69) DA-MJ -0.4252 0.2560
TA/Sales -0.2705 0.3175
TA/BTA -0.4398 0.2283
NI/Sales -0.6000 0.2985
NI/BTA -0.2244 0.3278
CFO/Sales -0.5420 0.2946
CFO/BTA -0.2366 0.5553
Note (1) All variables are deflated by the same period net sales or
beginning total assets (BTA).
Note (2) TA= Total accruals, DA = Discretionary accruals, NI = Net
income, CFO = Cash flows from operations
Note (3) DA-YM represents DA from the YM model and DA-MJ
from the MJ model.
Table 2: Results for Mean Difference Tests between Kosdaq
IPO Firms and KSE IPO Firms
DA Model/
Variables Deflator Year Kosdaq KSE
DA YM Model -1 0.0040 0.0195
0 0.0506 0.0420
+1 0.0037 0.0501
MJ Model -1 0.0114 0.0212
0 0.1055 0.0539
+1 -0.0095 0.0134
TA Sales -1 0.0201 -0.0175
0 0.0529 0.0060
+1 -0.0648 -0.0146
BTA -1 0.0433 -0.0098
0 0.1028 0.0237
+1 -0.0218 -0.0148
DA Model/
Variables Deflator t-ratios p-levels
DA YM Model -0.987 0.325
0.629 0.530
-2.146 0.033
MJ Model -0.481 0.631
2.279 0.024
-1.204 0.230
TA Sales 2.140 0.034
3.050 0.003
-2.013 0.045
BTA 2.255 0.025
3.274 0.001
-0.363 0.717
Note) DA = Discretionary accruals, TA= Total accruals,
YM model = Yoon and Miller model; MJ model = Modified
Jones Model,
BTA = Beginning total assets
Table 3: Results for Mean Difference Tests between the
Kosdaq Venture IPO Firms and the Kosdaq Non-venture IPO Firms
DA Model/
Variables Deflator Year Venture Non-venture
DA YM Model -1 0.0178 -0.0026
0 0.1006 0.0224
+1 -0.0324 0.0232
MJ Model -1 0.0637 -0.0191
0 0.1792 0.0639
+1 -0.0427 0.0085
TA Sales -1 0.0590 0.0016
0 0.1114 0.0200
+1 -0.1098 -0.0404
BTA -1 0.1109 0.0054
0 0.1928 0.0521
+1 -0.0462 -0.0086
DA Model/
Variables Deflator t-ratios p-levels
DA YM Model 0.901 0.368
3.946 0.000
-1.497 0.136
MJ Model 2.616 0.010
3.214 0.002
-1.768 0.080
TA Sales 2.880 0.004
4.363 0.000
-1.389 0.166
BTA 2.751 0.007
3.825 0.000
-1.320 0.189
Note) DA = Discretionary accruals, TA= Total accruals,
YM model = Yoon and Miller model; MJ model = Modified
Jones Model,
BTA = Beginning total assets