The performance of American Depository receipts listed on the New York Stock Exchange: the case of utilities.
Schaub, Mark ; Casey, K. Michael
ABSTRACT
In this study, we test the early and aftermarket returns of utility
company American Depository Receipts (ADRs) issued from January 1987
through September 2000 and traded on the New York Stock Exchange. The
results are broken down to compare IPOs versus SEOs and emerging market
firms versus developed market firms. Findings indicate that utility
industry ADRs significantly underperform the S&P 500 in the early
trading, with the entire sample returning 5.35 percentage points less
than the market index in the first month of trading. IPOs perform worse
than SEOs and developed market issues perform worse than emerging market
utility industry ADRs in the short-run.
Over the three-year holding period from date of issue, developed
market utility ADRs tend to underperform those issued in emerging
markets and utility SEOs underperform IPOs. The entire utility ADR sample underperformed the S&P 500 index by 23 percentage points in
the three-year trading horizon. Essentially, our study shows foreign
utility-firm ADRs initially listed on the NYSE from 1987 through
mid-2000 underperformed the S&P 500 at the time of listing and for
the three-year period following.
INTRODUCTION
The utilities industry consists of mostly large firms with strong,
non-volatile earnings. Often regulated and in many cases with monopoly
power (at least locally), utilities firms are unique in the United
States, providing a safe stream of income to investors. But how do
foreign utilities firms compare? The purpose of this study is to answer
this question by reporting and statistically testing the early and
long-term performance of foreign utility industry equities traded in the
US as American Depository Receipts relative to the performance of the
S&P 500 market index.
We examine daily returns for the first month, and monthly returns
for three years after the issue date of non-US utility equities listed
on the New York Stock Exchange (NYSE). These returns are adjusted based
on the corresponding returns of the S&P 500 index to determine the
excess return of foreign utility stocks relative to the market return.
The excess return results are segmented to compare foreign utility IPO issues to those that are seasoned equity offerings (SEOs) and equities
that were issued by firms headquartered in emerging countries to those
from developed countries.
LITERATURE REVIEW
ADR Studies
American Depository Receipts (ADRs) represent ownership of foreign
equities held on deposit by large custodian banks in the United States.
Each receipt is backed by various share quantities of foreign stock
bundled to reflect average common share prices in US equity markets. The
primary purpose of ADR creation is to enable U.S. investors to
participate in foreign equities without dealing directly with the
foreign exchange and currency markets.
Several ADR studies examine ADR returns relative to a market
benchmark using standard IPO methodology. Callaghan, Kleiman and Sahu
(1999) reported positive market-adjusted returns for ADRs in the early
and long-term investment horizons and found emerging market ADR returns
to be higher than those for firms from developed countries.
Specifically, they report one-day abnormal returns of 5.29% and
one-month cumulative daily returns of 2.35% for a sample of 66 ADRs
issued from 18 different countries and traded on the NYSE, the AMEX and
the NASDAQ from 1986 to 1993. Annually, they found the cumulative
abnormal returns for NYSE-traded ADRs were 19.6% for the first year;
with the 12-month cumulative abnormal return for ADRs issued by firms in
countries considered emerging markets at 34.37%.
Foerster and Karolyi (2000) found ADRs underperform comparable
firms by 8% to 15% during the three-year period following the date of
issuance, in contrast to the Callaghan et al. (1999) study. They
examined ADR returns for a full three years from the issue date for a
sample of 333 global equity offerings listed from 1982 through 1996 and
including ADRs from 35 countries in Asia, Latin America and Europe.
Their entire sample accumulated 1-month excess returns of -1.13% and
12-month cumulative abnormal returns of -4.07% relative to the index
benchmark. The 36-month underperformance was significant with cumulative
abnormal returns of -14.99% based on a local index. When compared to a
US index, the cumulative abnormal returns for the ADRs were -27.53% for
the three-year holding period.
Schaub and Casey (2002), Schaub (2003), and Schaub, Casey and
Heslop (2004) performed industry specific ADR studies. Schaub and Casey
(2002) examined short-term returns for foreign oil and gas firms listed
on the New York Stock Exchange and found there was no significant
difference in the performance of those firms and the S&P 500 index
for the first 25 days of trading. Schaub (2003) found similar short-term
results for 32 foreign bank equities listed on the New York Stock
Exchange. In the long term, Schaub et al. (2004) found 34 foreign oil
and gas equities performed roughly the same as the S&P 500 index for
the first three years of trading from the date of listing on the New
York Stock Exchange.
IPO Studies
Because ADR research uses similar methodologies as IPO studies, the
results of research in the area of IPOs may be comparable to those of
this study. Most research has found significant short-term abnormal
positive returns for initial public offerings (IPOs), including
Neuberger and La Chapelle (1983), McDonald and Fisher (1972), Neuberger
and Hammond (1974), Reilly (1977), Logue (1973), Ibbotson (1975),
Ibbotson and Jaffe (1975), Ritter (1984), Miller and Reilly (1987), and
Ibbotson, Sindelar and Ritter (1988) examine IPO early returns. Short
term results suggest first-day IPO abnormal returns in US markets range
from as low as .60% (Barry and Jennings 1993) to 26.5% (Ritter 1984) and
five-day cumulative abnormal returns range from 5.09% (Block and Stanley 1980) to 28.5% (McDonald and Fisher 1972).
In the long-run IPO studies, Ritter (1991) examined the long-term
performance of IPOs and found that, from the first day of trading to the
third anniversary, a sample of 1,526 IPOs issued from 1975-84
underperformed the benchmark by 27.4%. Essentially, Ritter's (1991)
findings suggest the early positive abnormal performance of IPOs does
not hold over the long term, and has found agreement from Brav and
Gompers (1997).
Studies of foreign IPO behavior produced similar conclusions.
Aggarwal, Leal and Hernandez (1993) found 62 Brazilian IPOs, 36 Chilean
IPOs, and 44 Mexican IPOs significantly outperformed the local benchmark
the first day of trading, but significantly underperformed the same
benchmark after three years of trading. Other studies provide additional
evidence of long-run underperformance of IPOs in foreign equity markets,
including Levis (1993) and Huang (1999) who examined the UK amd Taiwan IPO performance respecitively. Studies that report differing results for
the long-term IPO performance include Ben Naceur (2000), who examined
the Tunisian market, and Dawson (1987), who reported long-term positive
abnormal returns for IPOs traded in Malaysia.
RESEARCH METHODOLOGY
This study investigates the early and long-run abnormal returns of
foreign utility industry new equity issues traded on the New York Stock
Exchange. The sample consists of 24 ADRs initially listed on the New
York Stock Exchange from January 1, 1987 through September 30, 2000. Of
the 24 ADRs, 15 are initial public offerings (IPOs) and 9 are seasoned
equity offerings (SEOs). The emerging markets sample size contains 8
firms and the developed market ADRs make up the remaining 16. Table 1
gives a further breakdown of the sample composition.
Standard IPO event study methodology was followed to compute and
test the abnormal returns of the foreign equity portfolios. The daily
and monthly holding period returns for each security are computed first.
Then, daily abnormal returns are computed by subtracting the daily
returns of each security from that of the S&P 500. The monthly
abnormal returns are computed by subtracting each monthly holding period
return from that of the S&P 500 index. The S&P 500 proxies the
market return because the ADR sample includes only firms listed on the
NYSE.
Equations 1 through 3 describe the process for computing abnormal
returns and cumulative abnormal returns for statistical testing. The
abnormal return for each security i on day t ([ar.sub.it]) is computed
as the return of the security on day t ([r.sub.it]) minus the return of
the market on day t ([r.sub.mt]) as shown in equation 1 below. For
computing monthly abnormal returns, t represents the respective month.
[ar.sub.it] = [r.sub.it] - [r.sub.mt] (1)
Equation 2 computes the average abnormal return for the sample for
day/month t ([AR.sub.t]) as the equally-weighted arithmetic average of
the abnormal returns of each of the n securities during day/month t.
ARt = 1/n [n.summation over (i=1)] [ar.sub.it] (2)
Cumulative abnormal returns as of day/month s are computed as the
summation of the average abnormal returns starting at day/month 1 until
day/month s in Equation 3.
CAR1,s = [s.summation over (t=1)] [AR.sub.t] (3)
Daily/monthly average abnormal returns and the cumulative abnormal
returns are tested to determine significance using a Z-score. The
respective p-values for these tests are reported. A p-value of .10 or
less indicates the abnormal return or cumulative abnormal return is
significantly different from 0.
THE ANALYSIS
Results From Early Trading
Tables 2 through 5 summarize the early and aftermarket performance
of the equities by type of issue and type of market. Contrary to the
results of other ADR studies and most IPO research, the abnormal return
on the first day of trading was small and non-significant for the entire
sample, as reported in Table 2. This finding suggests the average
NYSE-traded foreign utility equity issue returned roughly the same as
the S&P 500.
The cumulative abnormal returns for the entire sample were negative
and significant for the first month of trading, reaching a significant
negative cumulative abnormal return of 5.35% by day 21. Both IPOs and
SEOs appear to respond about the same with significant cumulative
abnormal losses of -6.03% and -5.04% respectively.
Table 3 reports the early-trading results when the sample is split
into utility equities issued by firms headquartered in emerging markets
versus those headquartered in developed markets. By day 21, the
cumulative abnormal returns were negative in the emerging market sample,
but not significant. In contrast, the developed markets experienced
negative returns (-5.68%) by day 21 that were highly significant. The
results suggest emerging market firms may have outperformed developed
market companies, providing limited support for Callaghan et al. (1999).
Results From Aftermarket Trading
Tables 4 and 5 show the long-term results of the foreign utility
issues by month for the first 3 years of trading on the New York Stock
Exchange. The results, reported for the entire sample in Table 4,
suggest the securities substantially underperformed the S&P 500
during this period. The cumulative abnormal returns by the end of the
three-year period were -22.83% and statistically significant.
Also in Table 4, note that the emerging market sample outperformed
the developed market sample, though both groups reported negative
CAR's during most of the test period. The cumulative abnormal
losses of the emerging market sample were not significant, while the
developed market sample posted significant cumulative abnormal losses of
-26.48% by the end of three years. Again, these results suggest the
emerging market firms outperformed the developed market firms in the
three-year test period.
Breaking the long-term results into the IPO portfolio and the SEO portfolio in Table 5, we see similar negative returns. The IPO sample
exhibits double-digit negative cumulative abnormal returns during the
entire three-year period, but this result is insignificant. Conversely,
the SEO sample posts significant losses and ends the three-year period
with a -35.93% abnormal return. Among firms tested, the IPO sample
outperforms the SEO utility firm sample in the three-year test period.
SUMMARY
Previous ADR and IPO studies reported significant abnormal returns
in the early trading. Likewise, most aftermarket IPO studies reported
long-run underperformance for IPO portfolios as compared to market
benchmarks. Callaghan, Kleiman and Sahu (1999) reported one-day and
one-year positive abnormal returns for a sample of 66 ADRs issued from
18 different countries and traded on the NYSE, the AMEX and the NASDAQ
from 1986 to 1993. They found that the emerging market ADRs outperformed
the ADRs backed by securities traded in mature markets. This study,
confining its sample to utility companies, finds a similar pattern of
results in both early trading and at three years after listing of the
ADR.
The results of this study provide some evidence that the US markets
overprice non-US utility equities across the entire time horizon of this
study and provides substantial support for Foerster and Karolyi (2000).
Although the sample included all utility ADRs issued on the NYSE from
January 1987 through September 2000, these results should be interpreted
with caution since the sample size, particularly when broken down, is
small. Perhaps a larger sample might shed additional light on why
utility ADRs appear to be overpriced at issue and go on to substantially
underperform the market.
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Mark Schaub, Northwestern State University
K. Michael Casey, University of Central Arkansas
Table 1
Sample Description by Type of Issue and Level of Issue
Column 1 Column 2 Column 3 Column 4
Emerging Developed Total
ADR Type of Issue Sample Sample ADRs
IPO 7 8 15
SEO 1 8 9
Totals 8 16 24
Table 2. The Early Return Performance By Day For the Entire
Sample, IPO and SEO Utilities Issues
Entire ADR Sample (Obs = 24)
Day AR P-value CAR P-value
D1 -0.82% 0.16 -0.82% 0.16
D2 -1.21% 0.02# -2.03% 0.02#
D3 -0.27% 0.24 -2.30% 0.02#
D4 -1.47% 0.01# -3.77% 0.00#
D5 0.16% 0.48 -3.61% 0.00#
D6 -0.82% 0.02# -4.43% 0.00#
D7 -0.17% 0.35 -4.60% 0.00#
D8 -0.55% 0.17 -5.16% 0.00#
D9 0.33% 0.23 -4.83% 0.00#
D10 -0.02% 0.52 -4.85% 0.00#
D11 0.62% 0.11 -4.22% 0.01#
D12 -0.36% 0.09# -4.58% 0.01#
D13 -0.11% 0.38 -4.69% 0.01#
D14 0.37% 0.18 -4.32% 0.01#
D15 -0.35% 0.14 -4.67% 0.01#
D16 -0.23% 0.26 -4.90% 0.01#
D17 0.14% 0.45 -4.77% 0.01#
D18 -0.17% 0.36 -4.94% 0.01#
D19 0.10% 0.41 -4.84% 0.01#
D20 -0.46% 0.17 -5.30% 0.01#
D21 -0.05% 0.41 -5.35% 0.01#
ADRs Issued as IPOs (Obs = 15)
Day AR P-value CAR P-value
D1 -1.32% 0.17 -1.32% 0.17
D2 -0.70% 0.22 -2.02% 0.11
D3 -0.10% 0.44 -2.12% 0.11
D4 -1.74% 0.01# -3.86% 0.02#
D5 0.20% 0.40 -3.66% 0.04#
D6 -1.07% 0.04# -4.73% 0.01#
D7 0.12% 0.42 -4.60% 0.02#
D8 -0.03% 0.48 -4.63% 0.02#
D9 0.44% 0.25 -4.20% 0.04#
D10 -0.12% 0.40 -4.32% 0.04#
D11 0.45% 0.29 -3.87% 0.07#
D12 -0.22% 0.29 -4.09% 0.06#
D13 0.05% 0.46 -4.04% 0.07#
D14 -0.16% 0.39 -4.20% 0.06#
D15 -0.44% 0.14 -4.64% 0.05#
D16 -0.40% 0.19 -5.05% 0.04#
D17 -0.45% 0.30 -5.49% 0.03#
D18 -0.07% 0.46 -5.56% 0.03#
D19 0.37% 0.25 -5.19% 0.05#
D20 -0.36% 0.23 -5.55% 0.04#
D21 -0.48% 0.13 -6.03% 0.03#
ADRs Issued as SEOs (Obs = 9)
Day AR P-value CAR P-value
D1 -0.15% 0.39 -0.15% 0.39
D2 -2.11% 0.00# -2.26% 0.00#
D3 -0.70% 0.14 -2.96% 0.00#
D4 -0.93% 0.21 -3.89% 0.00#
D5 -0.25% 0.25 -4.15% 0.00#
D6 -0.47% 0.12 -4.62% 0.00#
D7 -0.70% 0.18 -5.32% 0.00#
D8 -1.45% 0.05 -6.77% 0.00#
D9 0.19% 0.39 -6.58% 0.00#
D10 0.27% 0.35 -6.32% 0.00#
D11 1.03% 0.03# -5.29% 0.01#
D12 -0.70% 0.04# -5.98% 0.01#
D13 -0.36% 0.22 -6.34% 0.00#
D14 1.53% 0.04# -4.82% 0.03#
D15 -0.41% 0.31 -5.22% 0.03#
D16 0.02% 0.49 -5.20% 0.03#
D17 0.93% 0.01# -4.27% 0.07#
D18 -0.35% 0.28 -4.62% 0.06#
D19 -0.35% 0.34 -4.98% 0.05#
D20 -0.64% 0.27 -5.62% 0.04#
D21 0.58% 0.19 -5.04% 0.06#
The computation of average abnormal returns (AR) is
described in equation 2 in the text and the computation
of cumulative abnormal returns (CAR) is described
in equation 3 in the text. P-values in bold italics
represent returns that are significant at an
alpha level of 10% or lower.
Note: P-values in bold italics represent returns that
are significant at an alpha level of 10% or lower are
indicated with #.
Table 3. The Early Return Performance By Day For the
Entire Sample, Emerging and Developed Markets Foreign
Utilities Issues *
Entire ADR Sample (Obs = 24)
Day AR P-value CAR P-value
D1 -0.82% 0.16 -0.82% 0.16
D2 -1.21% 0.02# -2.03% 0.02#
D3 -0.27% 0.24 -2.30% 0.02#
D4 -1.47% 0.01# -3.77% 0.00#
D5 0.16% 0.48 -3.61% 0.00#
D6 -0.82% 0.02# -4.43% 0.00#
D7 -0.17% 0.35 -4.60% 0.00#
D8 -0.55% 0.17 -5.16% 0.00#
D9 0.33% 0.23 -4.83% 0.00#
D10 -0.02% 0.52 -4.85% 0.00#
D11 0.62% 0.11 -4.22% 0.01#
D12 -0.36% 0.09# -4.58% 0.01#
D13 -0.11% 0.38 -4.69% 0.01#
D14 0.37% 0.18 -4.32% 0.01#
D15 -0.35% 0.14 -4.67% 0.01#
D16 -0.23% 0.26 -4.90% 0.01#
D17 0.14% 0.45 -4.77% 0.01#
D18 -0.17% 0.36 -4.94% 0.01#
D19 0.10% 0.41 -4.84% 0.01#
D20 -0.46% 0.17 -5.30% 0.01#
D21 -0.05% 0.41 -5.35% 0.01#
ADRs Issued as IPOs (Obs = 15)
Day AR P-value CAR P-value
D1 -2.23% 0.17 -2.23% 0.17
D2 -0.72% 0.18 -2.96% 0.11
D3 -0.58% 0.16 -3.54% 0.07#
D4 -1.74% 0.11 -5.28% 0.03#
D5 1.73% 0.16 -3.55% 0.10#
D6 -1.01% 0.17 -4.57% 0.07#
D7 -0.15% 0.41 -4.72% 0.06#
D8 0.12% 0.47 -4.59% 0.08#
D9 0.79% 0.23 -3.80% 0.13
D10 0.01% 0.42 -3.79% 0.14
D11 0.63% 0.30 -3.16% 0.20
D12 -0.68% 0.06# -3.84% 0.15
D13 0.13% 0.44 -3.71% 0.16
D14 -0.15% 0.40 -3.86% 0.18
D15 -0.19% 0.12 -4.06% 0.15
D16 -0.77% 0.15 -4.83% 0.12
D17 -1.07% 0.11 -5.90% 0.08#
D18 0.53% 0.34 -5.36% 0.10#
D19 0.22% 0.39 -5.14% 0.11
D20 0.53% 0.26 -4.61% 0.14
D21 -0.09% 0.34 -4.69% 0.13
ADRs Issued as SEOs (Obs = 9)
Day AR P-value CAR P-value
D1 -0.12% 0.37 -0.12% 0.37
D2 -1.45% 0.03# -1.57% 0.04#
D3 -0.12% 0.42 -1.68% 0.06#
D4 -1.33% 0.03# -3.01% 0.01#
D5 -0.63% 0.04# -3.64% 0.00#
D6 -0.73% 0.01# -4.37% 0.00#
D7 -0.18% 0.38 -4.55% 0.00#
D8 -0.89% 0.05# -5.44% 0.00#
D9 0.10% 0.41 -5.34% 0.00#
D10 -0.03% 0.47 -5.37% 0.00#
D11 0.62% 0.07# -4.76% 0.00#
D12 -0.20% 0.29 -4.96% 0.00#
D13 -0.22% 0.20 -5.18% 0.00#
D14 0.63% 0.19 -4.55% 0.01#
D15 -0.43% 0.22 -4.98% 0.01#
D16 0.04% 0.46 -4.94% 0.01#
D17 0.74% 0.11 -4.20% 0.03#
D18 -0.52% 0.11 -4.73% 0.02#
D19 0.04% 0.47 -4.69% 0.02#
D20 -0.96% 0.05# -5.64% 0.01#
D21 -0.04% 0.47 -5.68% 0.01#
* See footnote for Table 2
The computation of average abnormal returns (AR) is
described in equation 2 in the text and the computation
of cumulative abnormal returns (CAR) is described in
equation 3 in the text. P-values in bold italics represent
returns that are significant at an alpha level of 10% or
lower.
Note: P-values in bold italics represent returns that are
significant at an alpha level of 10% or lower indicated
with #.
Table 4. Long-term Return Performance by Month for Utility ADRs
Broken Down by Developed and Emerging Market Issues *
Entire Utility Sample (Obs = 24)
Mo AR P-value CAR P-value
+1 -6.58% 0.00# -6.58% 0.00#
+2 -1.00% 0.22 -7.58% 0.00#
+3 -0.68% 0.26 -8.26% 0.00#
+4 -0.64% 0.40 -8.90% 0.01#
+5 1.21% 0.26 -7.70% 0.03#
+6 3.17% 0.17 -4.52% 0.16
+7 -0.28% 0.37 -4.80% 0.15
+8 -0.36% 0.49 -5.16% 0.16
+9 -1.68% 0.23 -6.84% 0.12
+10 7.88% 0.05# 1.04% 0.46
+11 0.15% 0.50 1.18% 0.46
+12 1.39% 0.32 2.57% 0.49
+13 -1.16% 0.29 1.42% 0.48
+14 -2.66% 0.08# -1.24% 0.38
+15 2.63% 0.12 1.39% 0.49
+16 -0.47% 0.35 0.92% 0.45
+17 -0.80% 0.44 0.11% 0.44
+18 -1.92% 0.22 -1.81% 0.38
+19 -3.53% 0.02# -5.34% 0.25
+20 -1.67% 0.20 -7.01% 0.20
+21 0.68% 0.40 -6.33% 0.23
+22 -3.37% 0.06# -9.70% 0.15
+23 0.29% 0.49 -9.41% 0.15
+24 -3.82% 0.01# -13.23% 0.09#
+25 -1.91% 0.11 -15.14% 0.06#
+26 2.01% 0.13 -13.13% 0.10#
+27 0.09% 0.40 -13.04% 0.11
+28 -2.15% 0.11 -15.19% 0.08#
+29 -2.55% 0.08# -17.74% 0.05#
+30 3.56% 0.03# -14.18% 0.10#
+31 3.24% 0.13 -10.93% 0.16
+32 2.09% 0.15 -8.84% 0.21
+33 -1.62% 0.26 -10.46% 0.17
+34 -2.77% 0.09# -13.23% 0.12
+35 -4.29% 0.00# -17.52% 0.06#
+36 -5.31% 0.01# -22.83% 0.03#
Utility ADRs from Emerging Markets
(Obs = 8)
Mo AR P-value CAR P-value
+1 -6.82% 0.02# -6.82% 0.02#
+2 0.68% 0.41 -6.15% 0.07#
+3 -4.37% 0.15 -10.52% 0.04#
+4 -0.62% 0.47 -11.14% 0.05#
+5 2.31% 0.24 -8.83% 0.12
+6 0.28% 0.49 -8.55% 0.13
+7 -3.69% 0.10# -12.24% 0.07#
+8 -3.54% 0.33 -15.78% 0.06#
+9 3.15% 0.10# -12.62% 0.11
+10 19.78% 0.05# 7.15% 0.47
+11 -1.05% 0.24 6.10% 0.50
+12 2.17% 0.33 8.27% 0.47
+13 -3.91% 0.21 4.36% 0.47
+14 -3.02% 0.30 1.34% 0.43
+15 0.93% 0.44 2.26% 0.45
+16 -4.54% 0.03# -2.27% 0.34
+17 4.01% 0.01# 1.73% 0.44
+18 1.64% 0.30 3.37% 0.49
+19 -0.83% 0.30 2.54% 0.46
+20 -5.79% 0.01# -3.25% 0.35
+21 2.06% 0.20 -1.19% 0.38
+22 -4.10% 0.02# -5.29% 0.31
+23 -0.41% 0.33 -5.70% 0.30
+24 -5.16% 0.05# -10.86% 0.22
+25 0.88% 0.47 -9.98% 0.22
+26 8.27% 0.00# -1.71% 0.37
+27 1.27% 0.20 -0.44% 0.41
+28 -4.40% 0.07# -4.84% 0.33
+29 0.55% 0.33 -4.28% 0.34
+30 2.11% 0.22 -2.18% 0.39
+31 -0.94% 0.36 -3.12% 0.37
+32 2.20% 0.17 -0.91% 0.41
+33 0.19% 0.31 -0.72% 0.39
+34 -0.60% 0.18 -1.32% 0.34
+35 -7.61% 0.01# -8.93% 0.22
+36 -6.61% 0.00# -15.54% 0.14
Utilitiy ADRs from Developed Markets
(Obs = 16)
Mo AR P-value CAR P-value
+1 -6.45% 0.00# -6.45% 0.00#
+2 -1.84% 0.21 -8.30% 0.00#
+3 1.16% 0.23 -7.13% 0.02#
+4 -0.65% 0.40 -7.79% 0.04#
+5 0.65% 0.40 -7.13% 0.09#
+6 4.62% 0.15 -2.51% 0.36
+7 1.43% 0.30 -1.08% 0.44
+8 1.23% 0.31 0.15% 0.49
+9 -4.10% 0.04# -3.95% 0.32
+10 1.93% 0.24 -2.02% 0.41
+11 0.75% 0.31 -1.27% 0.44
+12 1.00% 0.39 -0.27% 0.49
+13 0.22% 0.43 -0.05% 0.50
+14 -2.48% 0.08# -2.53% 0.40
+15 3.48% 0.10# 0.95% 0.46
+16 1.56% 0.29 2.52% 0.40
+17 -3.21% 0.08# -0.69% 0.47
+18 -3.70% 0.04# -4.40% 0.34
+19 -4.88% 0.01# -9.28% 0.20
+20 0.39% 0.45 -8.89% 0.22
+21 0.00% 0.50 -8.90% 0.23
+22 -3.00% 0.16 -11.90% 0.17
+23 0.64% 0.40 -11.26% 0.19
+24 -3.15% 0.06# -14.41% 0.13
+25 -3.31% 0.05# -17.72% 0.09#
+26 -1.11% 0.32 -18.83% 0.08#
+27 -0.50% 0.43 -19.34% 0.08#
+28 -1.02% 0.33 -20.36% 0.07#
+29 -4.11% 0.06# -24.47% 0.04#
+30 4.29% 0.04# -20.18% 0.08#
+31 5.33% 0.09# -14.84% 0.16
+32 2.03% 0.23 -12.81% 0.20
+33 -2.52% 0.29 -15.33% 0.17
+34 -3.86% 0.15 -19.19% 0.12
+35 -2.64% 0.04# -21.82% 0.09#
+36 -4.66% 0.08# -26.48% 0.06#
* See footnote for Table 2
The computation of average abnormal returns (AR) is
described in equation 2 in the text and the computation
of cumulative abnormal returns (CAR) is described in
equation 3 in the text. P-values in bold italics represent
returns that are significant at an alpha level of 10% or
lower.
Note: P-values in bold italics represent returns that are
significant at an alpha level of 10% or lower indicated
with #.
Table 5. Long-term Return Performance by Month for Utility ADRs
Broken Down by Initial Public Offerings and Seasoned Equity
Offerings *
Entire Utility Sample (Obs = 24)
Mo AR P-value CAR P-value
+1 -6.58% 0.00# -6.58% 0.00#
+2 -1.00% 0.22 -7.58% 0.00#
+3 -0.68% 0.26 -8.26% 0.00#
+4 -0.64% 0.40 -8.90% 0.01#
+5 1.21% 0.26 -7.70% 0.03#
+6 3.17% 0.17 -4.52% 0.16
+7 -0.28% 0.37 -4.80% 0.15
+8 -0.36% 0.49 -5.16% 0.16
+9 -1.68% 0.23 -6.84% 0.12
+10 7.88% 0.05# 1.04% 0.46
+11 0.15% 0.50 1.18% 0.46
+12 1.39% 0.32 2.57% 0.49
+13 -1.16% 0.29 1.42% 0.48
+14 -2.66% 0.08# -1.24% 0.38
+15 2.63% 0.12 1.39% 0.49
+16 -0.47% 0.35 0.92% 0.45
+17 -0.80% 0.44 0.11% 0.44
+18 -1.92% 0.22 -1.81% 0.38
+19 -3.53% 0.02# -5.34% 0.25
+20 -1.67% 0.20 -7.01% 0.20
+21 0.68% 0.40 -6.33% 0.23
+22 -3.37% 0.06# -9.70% 0.15
+23 0.29% 0.49 -9.41% 0.15
+24 -3.82% 0.01# -13.23% 0.09#
+25 -1.91%# 0.11# -15.14%# 0.06#
+26 2.01%# 0.13# -13.13%# 0.10#
+27 0.09%# 0.40# -13.04%# 0.11#
+28 -2.15%# 0.11# -15.19%# 0.08#
+29 -2.55%# 0.08# -17.74%# 0.05#
+30 3.56%# 0.03# -14.18%# 0.10#
+31 3.24% 0.13 -10.93% 0.16
+32 2.09% 0.15 -8.84% 0.21
+33 -1.62% 0.26 -10.46% 0.17
+34 -2.77% 0.09# -13.23% 0.12
+35 -4.29% 0.00# -17.52% 0.06#
+36 -5.31% 0.01# -22.83% 0.03#
Utility ADRs from Emerging Markets
(Obs = 8)
Mo AR P-value CAR P-value
+1 -7.15% 0.00# -7.15% 0.00#
+2 0.51% 0.40 -6.63% 0.03#
+3 -2.36% 0.28 -9.00% 0.04#
+4 1.17% 0.30 -7.82% 0.09#
+5 2.58% 0.20 -5.24% 0.21
+6 4.42% 0.17 -0.83% 0.46
+7 -3.00% 0.11 -3.82% 0.32
+8 -3.10% 0.17 -6.93% 0.22
+9 1.74% 0.22 -5.19% 0.29
+10 6.03% 0.12 0.84% 0.47
+11 -0.15% 0.46 0.69% 0.47
+12 -1.11% 0.35 -0.41% 0.49
+13 -1.33% 0.27 -1.74% 0.44
+14 -2.59% 0.11 -4.33% 0.35
+15 1.52% 0.28 -2.81% 0.41
+16 0.01% 0.50 -2.80% 0.41
+17 2.53% 0.12 -0.27% 0.49
+18 -1.81% 0.28 -2.08% 0.44
+19 -1.55% 0.24 -3.63% 0.39
+20 -4.40% 0.08# -8.03% 0.27
+21 -1.57% 0.29 -9.60% 0.24
+22 -4.12% 0.01# -13.72% 0.16
+23 2.39% 0.17 -11.32% 0.21
+24 -4.13% 0.02# -15.46% 0.14
+25 -1.01%# 0.35# -16.47%# 0.13#
+26 3.77%# 0.09# -12.70%# 0.19#
+27 0.79%# 0.38# -11.91%# 0.21#
+28 -3.82%# 0.05# -15.73%# 0.15#
+29 -1.88%# 0.21# -17.61%# 0.12#
+30 3.90%# 0.05# -13.72%# 0.19#
+31 5.49% 0.10# -8.22% 0.30
+32 1.59% 0.21 -6.64% 0.34
+33 -0.51% 0.40 -7.14% 0.33
+34 -2.99% 0.07# -10.14% 0.27
+35 -4.62% 0.02# -14.75% 0.19
+36 -6.23% 0.01# -20.98% 0.11
Utilitiy ADRs from Developed Markets
(Obs = 16)
Mo AR P-value CAR P-value
+1 -6.27% 0.01# -6.27% 0.01#
+2 -4.97% 0.11 -11.25% 0.01#
+3 -0.66% 0.39 -11.91% 0.01#
+4 -3.40% 0.22 -15.31% 0.01#
+5 -0.26% 0.47 -15.56% 0.02#
+6 0.95% 0.40 -14.61% 0.04#
+7 3.05% 0.25 -11.56% 0.12
+8 4.98% 0.08# -6.59% 0.26
+9 -6.86% 0.01# -13.45% 0.11
+10 9.66% 0.12 -3.79% 0.39
+11 0.23% 0.46 -3.56% 0.40
+12 5.10% 0.16 1.54% 0.46
+13 0.03% 0.49 1.57% 0.46
+14 -1.75% 0.26 -0.19% 0.50
+15 4.15% 0.13 3.96% 0.40
+16 -2.31% 0.22 1.65% 0.46
+17 -5.04% 0.05# -3.39% 0.42
+18 -1.42% 0.28 -4.81% 0.39
+19 -7.50% 0.00# -12.31% 0.23
+20 2.34% 0.16 -9.96% 0.28
+21 4.25% 0.19 -5.71% 0.37
+22 -1.97% 0.35 -7.68% 0.34
+23 -3.89% 0.06# -11.57% 0.27
+24 -3.27% 0.13 -14.84% 0.21
+25 -4.47%# 0.03# -19.31%# 0.15#
+26 0.18%# 0.48# -19.14%# 0.16#
+27 0.15%# 0.49# -18.99%# 0.17#
+28 -0.03%# 0.50# -19.02%# 0.17#
+29 -3.61%# 0.12# -22.63%# 0.13#
+30 3.49%# 0.16# -19.14%# 0.17#
+31 -0.58% 0.42 -19.72% 0.17
+32 2.92% 0.25 -16.81% 0.21
+33 -4.66% 0.28 -21.46% 0.17
+34 -4.78% 0.24 -26.24% 0.13
+35 -4.66% 0.01# -30.90% 0.09#
+36 -5.03% 0.16 -35.93% 0.07#
* See footnote for Table 2
The computation of average abnormal returns (AR) is
described in equation 2 in the text and the computation
of cumulative abnormal returns (CAR) is described in
equation 3 in the text. P-values in bold italics represent
returns that are significant at an alpha level of 10% or
lower.
Note: P-values in bold italics represent returns that are
significant at an alpha level of 10% or lower indicated
with #.