Determinants of individual consumption on sports attendance in Spain.
Lera-Lopez, Fernando ; Rapun-Garate, Manuel ; Suarez, Maria Jose 等
Introduction
Over the last 20 years, the sport market has significantly
increased its role in the economy of many countries. On the one hand,
somewhere in the range of 150-175 million Europeans participate in some
form of sport on a regular basis (Amnyos Consultants, 2008). This
contrasts with about 118 million Americans; that is, according to a 2005
survey of the U.S. (Humphreys & Ruseski, 2009) in which sales of
sports goods increased by 79%--$50,725 million to $90,802 (U.S. Census
Bureau, 2010)--between 1990 and 2007, while total attendance at sporting
events in 2005 was estimated at just over 277 million. In addition,
personal consumption expenditure on sporting events increased by 285%
from $4.8-18.5 billion in the period between 1990-2007 (U.S. Census
Bureau, 2010). New evidence obtained by Amnyos Consultants (2010)
assessed the total E.U. market for all sports goods and services to be
somewhere in the range of 550-600 billion [euro] in 2004.
In Spain, the importance given to sport has changed drastically
over a period of only 30 years. One example is the striking increase in
mass sports participation. In 1975, 22% of all Spanish adults practiced
some kind of sport, while the figure had risen to 45% by 2010 (Spanish
High Council for Sport, 2010). The last few decades have also seen a
significant increase in the economic importance of sport in Spain. In
1990, the first estimations made by Alonso, Ruesga, Saez, and Vicens
(1991) estimated the economic importance of sport at 1.2% of national
GDP. Recent estimations made by Lera-Lopez, Rapun-Garate, and Aguirre
(2008) put the figure at 2.38% of GDP in 2006--on par with estimations
for other European countries where sports constitutes a significant
economic activity, such as the U.K. (Sport Industry Research Centre,
2010).
Thus, there is clear evidence of the growing economic importance of
the sports sector, with sport accounting for a significant percentage of
household consumption spending (Sport Industry Research Centre, 2008).
In many European countries, the financial structure of sport is heavily
weighted toward household consumption, which, in 2005, accounted for 50%
of total sports expenditure in Europe; local authorities and state
contributions accounted for 24% and 12% respectively (Amnyos
Consultants, 2008). A cross-country comparison of the structure of
sports finance in Europe in 1990 (Andreff, 2006) and 2005 (Amnyos
Consultants, 2008) reveals a significant increase in the importance of
household spending in the structure of sport financing in countries such
as Germany, Finland, France, Portugal, and Sweden. A rough breakdown
shows that household consumption is more concentrated on sports services
than sports goods (Andreff, 2006).
The importance of sports consumption as a share of overall
household consumption highlights the need for a deeper understanding of
the variables that influence sports participation and consumption, and
it reveals the barriers and incentives involved in sports demand.
Individual sports demand can be viewed from two perspectives: active and
passive participation. Active sports participation is mainly associated
with mass participation in sporting activities. Passive sports
participation involves sports consumption, either in a live setting or
via live or recorded broadcast media (Dawson & Downward, 2009).
Generally speaking, passive sports participation embraces professional
and amateur team sports and sporting events.
The aim of this paper is to analyze the key determinants of
consumption on sports attendance in Spain and to contribute new
empirical evidence about this relevant issue to sports economics
literature. The data for our empirical analysis came from a national
survey carried out in 2007 with the financial support of the Spanish
High Council for Sport. The survey uses a sample of 640 participants
stratified by gender and age; it is considered to be representative of
the overall Spanish population aged 18 years and older. The survey
results provide detailed information about active and passive sports
participation and consumption data for both activities. In the empirical
analysis, we consider two alternative specifications for the comparative
analysis of the results. In both situations, we assume that the decision
whether or not to attend an event and the subsequent consumption
decision at the event follow a sequential process. The first
specification assumes that the two decisions are independent, whereas
the second allows for correlation between them, resulting in a
double-hurdle model, also called the Tobit model with selectivity. As
far as we know, sports attendance and consumption have never before been
explored as two correlated decisions using a double-hurdle model. Also,
against a backdrop of scant empirical evidence about sport-related
consumption, this is the first study to address the subject of consumer
expenditure on attending professional and amateur sporting events or to
jointly analyze the key determinants of attendance and consumption
decisions for a single country.
Individual Sport-Related Consumption
Theoretical Background
Individual sports consumption decisions could be analyzed within
the framework of the neoclassical consumption theory or the new
household economics approach developed by Gary Becker (1965; Downward,
Dawson, & Dejonghe, 2009). Both approaches assume that
individuals' consumption decisions are aimed at maximizing their
utility subject to budget and time constraints. Implicitly, sport uses
non-economic and non-obligated time--the demand for which reflects the
trade-off between the utility derived from the consumption of goods and
the opportunity cost of an hour of sport (e.g., participation,
attendance, TV). Thus, monetary and time restrictions limit the
individual's opportunities for active sport (Wicker, Breuer, &
Pawlowski, 2010). In the basic neoclassical model, utility depends on
the amount of goods consumed, whereas in Becker's approach,
preferences are a function of commodities produced by the household
using time and goods.
Another set of theories has considered other determinants of sports
demand. The post-Keynesian approach emphasizes that individual behavior
is linked to broader aspects of social behavior, such as the importance
of social values; it also posits that sports consumption involves the
habit of learning-by-doing and spillover effects and that the
agent's preferences are endogenous (Lavoie, 2004). In the
sociological analysis of sport, sporting styles and individual
preferences are linked not only to individual feelings, but to social
pressure and the influence of habitus as well. For example,
Bourdieu's sociological approach (Bourdieu, 1984) emphasizes the
role played by income and education in explaining differences in
sporting habits and individual preferences. (1) The psychological
approach (Mannell & Kleiber, 1997) places the emphasis on
intrapersonal motivation, which changes over the life span.
Sensation-seeking, emotional awakening, concern, pleasure, or anxiety
can be potential sources of demand for sport and leisure activities
(Downward, 2007). In consequence, this approach focuses on constraints
on sports decisions at the individual level, minimizing the role played
by social constraints. Finally, some ecological models (Beaton, Funk,
& Alexandris, 2009; Henderson, 2009) consider that participation is
conditioned by individual intrapersonal factors as well as cultural and
environmental influences.
Although these approaches have usually been applied to explain
consumer spending on active participation in sport, they could also be
applied to consumer spending on sports attendance.
Our theoretical framework is the basic neoclassical theory of
consumption. According to this theory, people choose the amount of goods
and services that maximize their utility--subject to the standard budget
constraints. Also, the demand equations are a function of prices,
income, and a vector of socio-demographic factors that may influence
individual preferences. However, our empirical specification does not
estimate a structural model of demand for sporting events because our
database is cross-sectional and lacks price data. Therefore, we estimate
a reduced-form model of consumer spending on sporting events.
Moreover, following Downward et al. (2009), we assume that sports
goods and service-related demand and consumption (e.g., equipment,
clothes, facilities, travel) are demands derived from the frequency and
intensity of sports participation. Therefore, our hypothesis is that the
individual decision is sequential: One first decides whether to attend
and then how much to spend. (2)
Empirical Evidence
At the micro-economic level, the empirical evidence about the
determinants of sports consumption is based mainly on mass participation
in sport. (3) Studies such as Michon, Ohl, and Faber (1987); Lamb,
Asturias, Roberts, and Brodie (1992); and Taks, Vanreusel, and Renson
(1994, 1995, 1999) emphasize the positive influence of income variables
and the significant role of some individual and household
characteristics, such as age, gender, educational level, and household
size, the degree of urbanization, and sport involvement factors.
The empirical evidence on consumer spending on attending sporting
events is more limited than for mass participation in sport. Some
studies, such as Taks and Kesenne (2000), are descriptive and quantify the amount spent on attending sporting events as a component of total
household sports consumption in Flanders. Taks et al. (1994) limited
their analysis to two sports: soccer and golf. Davies (2002), focusing
on the population of Sheffield (U.K.), estimated consumer spending on
sporting events and showed that it was not correlated with participation
in sport. After surveying visitors to the 1995 and 1999 Alamo Bowl college football games, Cannon and Ford (2002) reported that the only
factors showing positive correlation with spending at sporting events
were high-income level, previous visitation, and out-of-state travel.
Other variables--such as educational level, marital status, and
ethnicity--were not significant.
Pawlowski and Breuer (2011) have recently analyzed the determinants
of expenditure shares in 17 different sports and recreational services
for the German continuous household budget survey. They reported a
negative relationship between the expenditure share on sporting events
and the degree of urbanization and level of education. In addition,
households with teenagers and young adults tended to spend
proportionally more money on sporting events. Other socio-demographic
variables--such as age, occupation, marital status, and size of the
household--were not statistically significant. In another paper,
Pawlowski and Breuer (2010) estimated expenditure elasticities for
sporting events, classifying them as luxury goods.
Finally, other authors have jointly analyzed consumption on active
sports participation and attending sporting events. In Spain, Lera-Lopez
and Rapun-Garate (2005, 2007) quantified and analyzed--using Tobit and
ordered probit models, respectively--the determinants of sports
consumption in the region of Navarre. In their earlier study, the
authors reported a positive relationship between income and sport
expenditure, differentiating between active and passive sports
participation and classifying sports goods as a normal good. They
identified gender, size of population, and age (Ushaped function) as
determinants of sports consumption. In their later study (LeraLopez
& Rapun-Garate, 2007), the authors compared the determinants of mass
sports participation and related expenditure using ordered probit models
in two different samples: the population as a whole and regular
participants. Among the former, young and more highly-educated people
who reported high-frequency sports participation were more likely to
spend more money on sport. Among the sport participants, sports
consumption was higher in men than in women; it also varied by social
status and occupation and increased with income.
On the other hand, Loyland and Ringstad (2009) applied the Almost
Ideal Demand System to the household demand for sport (i.e., sports
activities and events) in Norway for the period between 1986-2002. They
reported a price elasticity that was not significantly greater than 0
and an income elasticity close to 1. They found substantial variation in
demand across household types, with single person households showing the
proportionally highest sports consumption levels; households with small
children showed the lowest. They also found that the demand for sport
was lower in more urbanized settings and in female- and elderly-headed
households.
Database and Descriptive Analysis
The Dataset
The data for the study came from a survey designed to provide a
detailed database of information on Spanish sporting habits and
sport-related consumption; it was funded by the Spanish High Council for
Sport, a public institution in charge of matters relating to sport. This
survey was conducted by phone in 2007 and covered a sample of 640
individuals between the ages of 18 and 75 years. Subjects from random
households were selected from a stratified sample of municipalities,
maintaining gender and age quotas consistent with the general
population. The confidence level was estimated at 95.5% with a sampling
error of +/-3.95%.
The questionnaire was divided into four parts. The first part
contained questions to determine the frequency of active participation
in sport or any other physical activity, the type of sport practiced,
and whether the individual has participated in the organization of
sports activities. The second part included questions about different
categories of spending on active sports (e.g., equipment, clothes,
tickets and fees, travel) and was measured in intervals. The third part
of the questionnaire focused on passive sports participation, defined as
attendance at amateur or professional sporting events and viewing
sporting events on television. The questions were designed to probe the
frequency of practice of both types of participation and individual
annual spending on sporting events; transport to and from such events;
meals, drinks, and promotional products; pay-per-view systems to watch
sporting events on television; newspapers, CDs, or DVDs with sports
content; and, finally, sports lotteries and betting. All the requested
data referred to 2006. The fourth part of the questionnaire was intended
to gather socio-demographic data, such as gender, age, marital status,
education level, employment status, socioeconomic status, number of
adults and children in the household, and annual household income.
The Variables
The estimated models sought to explain the decision to attend
sporting events and related consumption. Our specifications, therefore,
featured two dependent variables. Participation was a dummy variable equal to 1 if the individual had attended any sporting events during
2006. Consumption was the total annual individual consumer spending on
sporting event attendance. This variable was measured in hundreds of
euros, and it was defined as the sum of two different expenditures: fees
and tickets for sporting events (professional and amateur), and travel
expenses to the venue (including parking fees and accommodation).
The variables explaining sporting event attendance and/or sports
consumption were selected on the basis of theoretical models and
previous empirical evidence. Age and gender are the two main demographic
determinants commonly considered (Breuer, Hallmann, Wicker, &
Feiler, 2010). Some cross-sectional studies have concluded that consumer
expenditure declines significantly with age (Lamb et al., 1992;
Lera-Lopez & Rapun-Garate, 2005, 2007; Thrane, 2001b), whereas
others found the relationship to be non-significant (Pawlowski &
Breuer, 2011; Wicker et al., 2010). Furthermore, age is positively
associated with sporting event attendance, particularly if only
professional sports are considered (Zhang, Lam, Bennet, &
Connaughton, 2003). Generally speaking, studies have found that men are
more frequent attendees (Montgomery & Robinson, 2010; Thrane, 2001a)
and spend more money on sports than women (Lamb et al., 1992; Lera-Lopez
& Rapun-Garate, 2005, 2007; Thrane, 2001b; Wicker et al., 2010). In
our empirical analysis, age was a continuous variable measured in years,
and gender was a binary variable equal to 1 for males.
A similar consensus exists in relation to the positive influence of
educational level on sporting event attendance (Wilson, 2002; Zhang et
al., 2003), although, Pawlowski and Breuer (2011) reported a negative
relationship with spending at sporting events. We considered two dummy variables for secondary education and higher education.
Traditionally, studies have shown that size of household is
negatively associated with sporting event attendance (Zhang et al.,
2003) and sports consumption (Lera-Lopez & Rapun-Garate, 2005).
Married couples and large families can be expected to have less time for
sports activities, although these characteristics could be positively
related with consumer spending on sporting event attendance (Pawlowski
& Breuer, 2011). As household characteristics, we included two
additional variables: marital status (a dummy variable equal to 1 if the
individual is married or cohabiting) and number of minors in the
household.
Household income has been reported as a key determinant of
expenditures on sports (Lera-Lopez & Rapun-Garate, 2005, 2007;
Pawlowski & Breuer, 2010; Taks et al., 1999; Wicker et al., 2010).
Our database provided information on annual household income, but it was
recorded in group format and the non-response rate was very high (almost
half of the sample refused to provide income data). We therefore
presented two different sets of estimates. In one, the income variable
was replaced with employment status (a dummy variable equal to 1 if the
individual is working) as a proxy for economic status. In the other, we
estimated the logarithm of income, using interval regression, to compute predicted family income, which was included as an explanatory variable
in the expenditure equation.
Finally, degree of urbanization has been used as a proxy for sports
facility provision, which is expected to have a positive relationship
with attendance at sporting events (Coates & Humphreys, 2007). In
our study, degree of urbanization is defined as the number of people
living in the locality.
Descriptive Analysis
The average expenditure of Spanish adults on sports-related
activities was estimated at 595 [euro] per year--75% of which was
related with active sports practice and 25% with passive participation
in sport. Attendance at sporting events accounted for over one-third of
passive sport spending.
We obtained sports attendance data for 627 individuals. The summary
statistics of their individual and socio-economic characteristics are
displayed in Table 1. Forty-four percent of the respondents were male,
the average age was 43 years old, and most respondents were married or
cohabiting (70%). In regard to education, 39% of the respondents
completed high school and 26% were university graduates; the sample was
fairly evenly split between workers and non-workers (57% and 43%,
respectively). Finally, in relation to sports and physical activity, 55%
of the sample had attended sporting events in 2006 and 86% had practiced
some form of sport or physical activity at some time in 2006. Of the 627
people whose descriptive statistics are shown in Table 1, 42 have
attended sporting events but reported no spending in relation to this.
Table 2 shows the distribution of the 585 persons who provided
attendance and spending data. As shown in Table 2, 52% of the 585
individuals had attended sporting events during 2006, while 283
respondents had not attended any. Among the attendees, 161 reported zero
expenditure. Of those reporting positive expenditure (141 respondents),
the average amount spent on attending sporting events in 2006--including
tickets or entry fees, travel, and accommodation---was 211 [euro] and
ranged from 30 [euro] to 1,800[euro].
Econometric Specification and Empirical Results
As the database does not allow for the estimation of a structural
model of the demand for sporting events, we estimated a reduced-form
model of sports attendance consumption. Following Downward et al.
(2009), we used a two-stage specification of the individual decision.
The first decision was whether to attend sporting events. A negative
decision meant zero expenditure, and a positive one could have meant
either zero or positive expenditure. The second choice was how much to
spend on this activity. If participation and consumption are independent
decisions, we can obtain separate estimates using Probit and Tobit
models respectively.
When analyzing attendance, the dependent variable (d) is equal to 1
if the individual attended some professional or amateur sporting event
in 2006, and it is 0 otherwise. We estimated the probability of
attendance using a Probit model, which assumes that there is an
unobservable variable (d*) that measures the difference between the
utility derived from attending sporting events and the utility received
from not attending them. This utility index depends linearly on a set of
explanatory variables ([X.sup.d]) and has a random component
([[epsilon].sup.d]) that is normally distributed with 0 mean and
variance 1:
[d.sup.*.sub.i] = [alpha][X.sup.d.sub.i] + [[epsilon].sup.d.sub.i]
(4.1)
In the above equation, i indexes the individual observations.
The observed variable, d, is equal to 1 when the utility index is
positive, and it is 0 otherwise:
[d.sub.i] = 1 if [d.sup.*.sub.i] [greater than or equal to] 0
[d.sub.i] = 0 if [d.sup.*.sub.i] < 0 (4.2)
The vector of independent variables contains individual and
household characteristics that might determine individual preferences
towards sporting events: gender, age, educational level, marital status,
and the number of minors in the household. Finally, we included the
degree of urbanization as a proxy of the supply of sporting events.
Table 3 displays the Probit estimates for attendance at sporting
events. According to our results, males and the higher-educated were
more likely to participate in these activities, whereas age was
negatively correlated and household type had no impact. Finally,
contrary to expectations, the higher the degree of urbanization, the
lower the probability was of attending sporting events. (4)
The second stage of the model estimates individual spending on
attending sporting events for those reporting attendance in 2006. At
this stage, we estimated Tobit models (Wooldridge, 2002) because the
dependent variable is censored at 0, and there was a high percentage of
individuals who attended sporting events without spending any money. The
general formulation starts from an unobservable dependent variable,
[g.sup.*]. It depends linearly on a set of explanatory variables
([X.sup.g]) and has a normally distributed random disturbance term
([[epsilon].sup.g] ), with 0 mean and standard deviation [sigma]. The
observed variable, g, is zero when g* [less than or equal to] 0 and is
equal to the latent index when this is positive:
[g.sup.*.sub.i] = [beta][X.sup.g] + [[epsilon].sup.g] (4.3)
[g.sub.i] = [g.sup.*.sub.i] if [g.sup.*.sub.i] [greater than or
equal to] 0 [g.sub.i] = 0 if [g.sup.*.sub.i] < 0 (4.4)
As previously mentioned, we ran two separate estimates that differ
in the included explanatory variables. In both cases, the vector of
independent variables contains demographic variables; these were
included because they may determine either individual preferences or
purchasing opportunities. Specifically, we included gender, educational
level, and household variables (i.e., marital status and number of
minors). In the first case, we did not include family income because of
the high percentage of missing values. Instead, we considered a dummy
for employment status. However, since economic theory suggests that
income is a relevant explanatory factor of individual spending on goods
and services, we incorporated predicted income--obtained from the
interval estimation of the logarithm of income using the subsample of
people who provided data--in our second estimates. (5)
The Tobit estimates are shown in Table 4. Having dropped
observations with zero attendance at sporting events in 2006, we had a
smaller sample size than for the Probit. (6) The scarcity of significant
coefficients might be partly due to the small sample size. The only
statistically significant variables in the first estimate were the
education dummies: the highest levels of consumption on sporting events
being reported by people with secondary education, followed by
university graduates. However, when family income was included, it
affected consumption positively and educational level lost its
significance. Thus, it seems that the influence of education on sport
attendance expenditure was indirect. That is, higher educated people
lived in households with higher family income, and the higher the
income, the more was spent on sporting events. Age also was positively
related to sports consumption.
Previous estimates assume that attendance and consumption
associated with sporting events are independent decisions. If there are
unobserved factors simultaneously influencing attendance and consumption
decisions, then we should estimate a Tobit model with selectivity--this
can be seen as a special case of double-hurdle model (Flood &
Grasjo, 2001).
Double-hurdle models were originally developed by Cragg (1971) and
have been applied mainly to the estimation of demand functions for goods
with high proportions of zero consumption. (7) The common feature of
double-hurdle models is the assumption that individuals make two
decisions regarding the acquisition of goods: whether to buy and how
much to buy. These decisions may be determined by various explanatory
factors, which may be correlated.
The double-hurdle model estimated in this study has also been
applied by Flood and Grasjo (2001). The model specification consists of
two equations: one used to model attendance at sporting events, and the
other to model consumption:
[d.sup.*.sub.i] = [alpha][X.sup.d.sub.i] + [[epsilon].sup.d.sub.i]
Attendance equation (4.5)
[g.sup.*.sub.i] = [beta][X.sup.g.sub.l] + [[epsilon].sup.g.sub.l]
Consumption equation (4.6)
[[epsilon].sup.d.sub.i], [[epsilon].sup.g.sub.l] > BVN(0,0,1,
[sigma]2, [rho])
In the equations (4.5) and (4.6), d* and g* are latent variables.
In the case of attendance, what we observe is a binary variable, d,
indicating whether or not the individual has attended sporting events.
In the case of consumer spending, the observed variable, g, only takes
positive values when the individual participates (d = 1) and actually
spends money, as shown in the following equations:
[d.sub.i] = 1 if [d.sup.*.sub.i] [greater than or equal to] 0
[d.sub.i] = 0 if [d.sup.*.sub.i] < 0 (4.7)
[g.sub.i] = [g.sup.*.sub.i] if [d.sup.*.sub.i] > 0 &
[g.sup.*.sub.i] > 0
[g.sub.i] = 0 otherwise (4.8)
In this specification, a person may attend sporting events (d = 1)
but spend nothing (g = 0). Unlike the usual double-hurdle model, which
does not separate non-spending participants from non-participants, we
could identify three groups of people: non-attendees, non-spending
attendees, and spending attendees. (8) The contribution to the
likelihood function of each of these groups is:
[MATHEMATICAL EXPRESSION NOT REPRODUCIBLE IN ASCII] (4.9)
[MATHEMATICAL EXPRESSION NOT REPRODUCIBLE IN ASCII] (4.10)
[MATHEMATICAL EXPRESSION NOT REPRODUCIBLE IN ASCII] (4.11)
Where [phi] is the density function of the standard normal
distribution, [phi] is the cumulative distribution function, and
[[phi].sub.2] is the distribution function of a bivariate normal.
Consequently, the likelihood function to be maximized, expressed in
logarithms, takes the following form:
[MATHEMATICAL EXPRESSION NOT REPRODUCIBLE IN ASCII] (4.12)
For identification reasons, we included the degree of urbanization
only in the participation equation and added a dummy for employment
status or the predicted household income in the consumption equation.
The estimated coefficients are shown in Table 5. The first thing to
note is the high degree of correlation between attendance and spending,
confirming that this specification is more appropriate than the previous
one, which assumed two independent decisions.
The results for the explanatory variables in the decision to attend
sporting events were similar to those of the Probit model presented in
Table 3. Thus, gender, age, and educational level were significant
determinants of attendance at sporting events in Spain. The main
difference is that the degree of urbanization played no part in
explaining the probability of attendance.
With regard to consumer spending when attending sporting events, in
addition to the positive influence of the educational level, gender was
significant: males spent more than females. Moreover, when family income
was included, it was found to have a positive influence on individual
expenditure on sporting events, while educational level was no longer
significant--leading to conclude, again, that education played a largely
indirect role in passive sports consumption.
In general, the results were consistent with previous findings for
sports consumption, particularly in view of the lack of evidence about
attendance and consumer spending at sporting events. Generally speaking,
when it comes to sport involvement, there was a sharp distinction
between men and women, with men being more likely to attend sporting
events and to spend more money when attending. The existing research
also reflected a consensus regarding the positive influence of
educational level on the decision to attend and spend money at sporting
events; however, the relationship with secondary education had an
inverted U-shape, which revealed it to be the strongest influence in
both decisions, followed by higher education. Consequently, attendance
at sporting events seemed to be more closely associated with
middle-class and middle-education groups than with the lower social
classes.
Age appeared to be another key determinant of the decision to
attend sporting events, with young people being more likely to attend
both amateur and professional sporting events. Household characteristics
seemed to be non-significant in explaining attendance and consumption.
This unexpected result could be the consequence of simultaneous
consideration of amateur and professional sporting events. In future
research, it might be interesting to perform a deeper analysis of the
influence of household characteristics on sport attendance, considering
amateur and professional sporting events separately. Likewise, neither
occupation nor degree of urbanization seemed to be significant.
In addition, it is important to note the significance of household
income on spending on sports attendance, as economic theory suggests.
This result was common in the empirical literature (Cannon & Ford,
2002; Lera-Lopez & Rapun-Garate, 2005, 2007; Loyland & Ringstad,
2009; Pawlowski & Breuer, 2010).
Finally, we have estimated a multinomial logit model to test the
robustness of our previous results. We considered three categories: zero
participation, positive participation with zero spending, and positive
participation with positive spending. The model is shown in Table A2 in
the Appendix, and the conclusions were again similar to the
double-hurdle model.
Summary and Conclusions
In this paper, we studied the determinants of consumer expenditure
on attendance at sports events by estimating a reduced-form model with
two different specifications. First, we assumed that the decision to
attend a sporting event and the attendance-related consumption decision
were independent and could, therefore, be estimated separately. Second,
the assumption that attendance and consumption were correlated turned
our model into a double-hurdle model that jointly estimated the
attendance decision and the spending decision. This model enabled us to
distinguish three types of behavior: non-attendance, attendance with
zero expenditure, and attendance with positive expenditure. To our
knowledge, this is the first empirical study to apply this methodology
to sports consumption.
The reported survey was conducted in 2007 on a sample of Spanish
adults. The results showed that the probability of attending sporting
events was higher among young men with a high school or college
education. Household composition did not seem to affect this decision.
As for the degree of expenditure on sporting events, consumption tended
to be higher among men and people with secondary and higher education.
Household income was also a positive determinant of consumption at
sporting events, which, when included, caused higher education to lose
its significance. This suggests that the latter plays an indirect role
in sports expenditure. The results strongly corroborate the importance
of economic variables suggested by the neoclassical theory of
consumption. They also indicate the relevance of social values and
cultural influences (gender, education level), which might be explained
by their influence on individual preferences in the context of the
neoclassical theory. However, it might also support the post-Keynesian
and sociological approaches. On the other hand, although sports
attendance is a time-consuming good, time constraints--measured through
variables such as occupation, marital status, and number of
children--did not seem to affect expenditure on sports attendance.
Finally, we found a strong positive correlation between attendance and
consumption, which enabled us to conclude that there are unobservable
variables with a simultaneous effect on both decisions. This finding
supports the use of double-hurdle models to analyze sports attendance
and consumption decisions jointly.
In the light of this study, future research should be aimed at
comparing sports attendance consumption across different types of sports
and different countries. A cross-country analysis would be a first step
towards evaluating country- and culture-specific effects in this
context. Future research might also explore the relationship between
sports attendance and attendance-related consumption and other leisure
and sporting activities, such as active participation in sports, sports
pay-per-view purchase rates, and online sports betting.
Appendix A
Table A1. Consumer Expenditure on Attendance at Sports Events
(Tobit Models for the Entire Sample)
Specification 1 Specification 2
Independent Coefficients f-Student Coefficients f-Student
variables
Constant 5.5414 5.26 8.4847 4.80
Male 1.3982 2.88 1.3948 2.96
Age 0.0090 0.50 0.0082 0.41
Secondary 2.7286 4.44 1.8785 2.62
education
Higher 2.3642 3.55 0.5105 0.48
education
Married 0.0813 0.15 0.6844 1.11
Number of 0.1860 0.73 0.1584 0.63
children
0-17
Worker 0.5707 1.14 --- ---
Predicted --- --- 0.0002 2.32
family
income
Log L 564.0087 561.8921
Pseudo-R2 0.0387 0.0423
Sample size 585
Appendix B
Table A2. Multinomial Logit Model
Independent variables Specification 1
Coefficients f-Student
Positive participation and zero consumption
Constant 0.0266 0.06
Male 0.7767 3.49
Age 0.0281 3.54
Secondary education 0.5762 2.28
Higher education 0.6408 2.26
Married 0.0531 0.21
Number of children 0-17 0.0530 0.44
Degree of urbanization 0.0002 1.49
(inhabitants/1000)
Worker 0.0097 0.04
Predicted family income --- ---
Positive participation and positive consumption
Constant 1.3033 2.74
Male 0.9125 3.88
Age 0.0166 1.94
Secondary education 1.3213 4.56
Higher education 1.3802 4.36
Married 0.0172 0.06
Number of children 0-17 0.1379 1.13
Degree of urbanization 0.0002 1.59
(inhabitants/1000)
Worker 0.0450 0.19
Predicted family income --- ---
Log L 569.0097
Pseudo-R2 0.0730
Sample size 585
Base outcome: Non-participation
Independent variables Specification 2
Coefficients f-Student
Positive participation and zero consumption
Constant 0.1543 0.21
Male 0.7902 3.68
Age 0.0288 3.34
Secondary education 0.6341 2.09
Higher education 0.7661 1.73
Married 0.0938 0.34
Number of children 0-17 0.0574 0.48
Degree of urbanization 0.0002 1.51
(inhabitants/1000)
Worker --- ---
Predicted family income 0.000 0.35
Positive participation and positive consumption
Constant 2.5308 3.10
Male 0.8717 3.82
Age 0.0093 0.97
Secondary education 0.9795 2.87
Higher education 0.6521 1.31
Married 0.2521 0.86
Number of children 0-17 0.1182 0.96
Degree of urbanization 0.0002 1.57
(inhabitants/1000)
Worker --- ---
Predicted family income 0.0001 1.89
Log L 566.4559
Pseudo-R2 0.0772
Sample size 585
Base outcome: Non-participation
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Authors' Note
The authors wish to acknowledge the financial support from the
Spanish High Council for Sport (32/UPB20/06).
Fernando Lera-Lopez [1], Manuel Rapun-Garate [1], and Maria Jose
Suarez [2]
[1] Public University of Navarra, Campus Arrosadia, Spain
[2] University of Oviedo, Campus del Cristo, Spain
Fernando Lera-Lopez is senior lecturer of economics at the
Department of Economics of the Public University of Navarra (Spain). His
research interests include sports economics and sport participation.
Manuel Rapun-Garate is professor of economics at the Department of
Economics of the Public University of Navarra (Spain). His research
interests include sports economics and regional studies.
Maria Jose Suarez is senior lecturer of economics at the Department
of Economics of the University of Oviedo (Spain). Her research interests
include labor and sports economics.
Endnotes
(1) Education is likely to have a significant influence on the
sports decision. More highly-educated people appear to give more
importance to sport than less-educated people. On the other hand,
education can be considered as a proxy for income since a high
educational level is closely associated with higher levels of income.
(2) As a referee suggested, this assumption may not be suitable in
some cases; however, we believe that, in general, it can be appropriate
when attempting to explain individual decision making.
(3) See Breuer et al. (2010) and Wicker et al. (2010) for a review
of the literature.
(4) Loyland and Ringstad (2009), using a Norwegian database, also
found a negative effect of population size on the budget share allocated
to active and passive sport activities. They concluded that the demand
for sport is higher in rural areas.
(5) The sample size of the income equation is 339 observations, and
the independent variables are age and its square, number of adults in
the household, and dummies for educational level and marital and
employment status. In addition, we include three dummies for the
employment status of the head of household: self-employed, employed in
occupations requiring a university degree, and employed in other
occupations (the omitted category is unemployed). The estimation method
is interval regression and, from the estimated coefficients, we computed
the predicted income. As income was recorded in group format, we decided
to use predicted income for all members of the sample. The estimated
coefficients had the expected signs and the majority were significant.
Results are available upon request.
(6) We had also run Tobit estimates for the entire sample, as is
usual in the empirical literature on sports expenditures. The results
are shown in the Appendix.
(7) Double-hurdle models have been used, among other applications,
to estimate the demand for leisure activities (Weagley & Hugh, 2004)
and participation/non-participation and the amount of time actively
spent on sports or physical activity (Humphreys & Ruseski, 2010).
(8) We tried to estimate the standard double-hurdle model in order
to compare the results, but we were unable to obtain convergence.
However, Flood and Grasjo (2001) compared both versions of the
double-hurdle model using Monte Carlo simulations and concluded that it
is better to use Tobit selection (d = 1 and g = 0) if known.
Table 1. Summary Statistics
Variable Mean Standard Minimum Maximum
deviation
Attending 0.549 0.498 0.000 1.000
sporting
events
Age 43.273 14.921 18.000 75.000
Male 0.439 0.497 0.000 1.000
Secondary 0.386 0.487 0.000 1.000
education
Higher 0.262 0.440 0.000 1.000
education
Worker 0.569 0.496 0.000 1.000
Married 0.699 0.459 0.000 1.000
Number of 0.668 0.960 0.000 9.000
children
0-17
Sports 0.863 0.344 0.000 1.000
practice
Degree of 344.619 758.022 0.135 2881.506
urbanization
(inhabitants/
1000)
Table 2. Distribution of the Sample Based on Their Attendance and
Consumption at Sporting Events
Consumption = 0 Consumption > 0
Attendees of 161 respondents 141 respondents
sporting events Mean consumption = 211.38
Minimum consumption = 30
Maximum consumption = 1,800
Non-attendees of sporting events283 0 respondents
respondents
Table 3. Probit Estimates for the Probability
of Attending Sporting Events
Independent Coefficients f-Student
variables
Constant 0.0789 0.36
Male 0.5159 4.61
Age 0.0140 3.45
Secondary 0.5523 4.15
education
Higher 0.5851 3.97
education
Married 0.0102 0.08
Number of 0.0535 0.90
children
0-17
Degree of 0.0001 1.90
urbanization
(inhabitants/
1000)
Sample size 585
Log L 364.9304
Pseudo-[R.sup.2] 0.0993
Table 4. Consumer Expenditure on Attendance at Sports Events
(Tobit Models)
Specification 1 Specification 2
Independent Coefficients f-Student Coefficients f-Student
variables
Constant 3.3935 3.36 5.9192 3.48
Male 0.3681 0.75 0.3521 0.73
Age 0.0236 1.26 0.0380 1.87
Secondary 1.8855 2.95 1.1539 1.56
education
Higher 1.3587 2.00 0.2972 0.27
education
Married 0.2483 0.43 0.8239 1.25
Number of 0.0145 0.05 0.0031 0.01
children
0-17
Worker 0.6740 1.30 --- ---
Predicted --- --- 0.0002 2.04
family
income
Log L 475.8082 474.5427
Pseudo-R2 0.0142 0.0169
Sample size 302
Table 5. Double-Hurdle Model for Attendance at
Sporting Events and Related Consumption
Independent variables Specification 1
Coefficients f-Student
Pr(attendance at
sporting events)
Constant 0.0139 0.06
Male 0.5009 4.29
Age 0.0129 3.25
Secondary 0.5580 4.18
education
Higher 0.5483 3.70
education
Married 0.0008 0.01
Number of 0.0433 0.69
children 0-17
Degree of 0.0001 1.32
urbanization
(inhabitants/
1000)
Consumer expenditure
on attendance at
sports events/100
Constant 5.4038 5.34
Male 1.4495 2.76
Age 0.0120 0.64
Secondary 2.7522 4.60
education
Higher 2.3828 3.42
education
Married 0.0408 0.07
Number of 0.1523 0.52
children 0-17
Worker 0.4605 0.96
Predicted --- ---
family income
Rho 0.9635 2.14
Log L 833.4725
Sample size 585
Independent variables Specification 2
Coefficients f-Student
Pr(attendance at
sporting events)
Constant 0.0255 0.11
Male 0.4992 4.27
Age 0.0130 3.30
Secondary 0.5605 4.21
education
Higher 0.5370 3.61
education
Married 0.0027 0.02
Number of 0.0466 0.75
children 0-17
Degree of 0.0001 1.45
urbanization
(inhabitants/
1000)
Consumer expenditure
on attendance at
sports events/100
Constant 7.7536 4.58
Male 1.4025 2.81
Age 0.0021 0.10
Secondary 0.0021 2.93
education
Higher 2.0814 0.80
education
Married 0.9106 0.82
Number of 0.5572 0.40
children 0-17
Worker 0.1141 ---
Predicted 0.002 1.85
family income
Rho 0.9699 2.09
Log L 831.5291
Sample size