首页    期刊浏览 2024年11月26日 星期二
登录注册

文章基本信息

  • 标题:Pork implicated in a Shiga toxin-producing Escherichia coli O157:H7 outbreak in Ontario, Canada.
  • 作者:Trotz-Williams, Lise A. ; Mercer, Nicola J. ; Walters, Janice M.
  • 期刊名称:Canadian Journal of Public Health
  • 印刷版ISSN:0008-4263
  • 出版年度:2012
  • 期号:September
  • 语种:English
  • 出版社:Canadian Public Health Association
  • 摘要:In October 2011, a local health department in southwestern Ontario was notified of several cases of bloody diarrhoea in persons who had attended a four-day gathering that had ended four days earlier. The 59 attendees had shared several meals prepared by attendees and caterers, including pork from a pig roasted whole by a caterer at a pig roast, served fresh on the second day of the event along with a meal prepared by another caterer, and as cold and reheated leftovers the following day. This report describes the investigation of this outbreak, in which evidence implicated the pork as the source of illness.
  • 关键词:Disease transmission;Domestic relations;Enzyme-linked immunosorbent assay;Epidemics;Escherichia coli;Family relations;Food contamination;Food poisoning;Infection;Livestock;Meat;Public health;Zoonoses

Pork implicated in a Shiga toxin-producing Escherichia coli O157:H7 outbreak in Ontario, Canada.


Trotz-Williams, Lise A. ; Mercer, Nicola J. ; Walters, Janice M. 等


Shiga toxin-producing Escherichia coli O157:H7/NM (STEC O157) are zoonotic pathogens associated with many food-borne and water-borne outbreaks in North America and elsewhere. (1-3) Most STEC O157 infections have been linked to the consumption of beef, produce or water contaminated directly or indirectly by cattle manure. (1,4-7) However, STEC O157 carriage has been reported not only in cattle but also in other animal species, including other ruminants, swine and poultry. (2,8-11)

In October 2011, a local health department in southwestern Ontario was notified of several cases of bloody diarrhoea in persons who had attended a four-day gathering that had ended four days earlier. The 59 attendees had shared several meals prepared by attendees and caterers, including pork from a pig roasted whole by a caterer at a pig roast, served fresh on the second day of the event along with a meal prepared by another caterer, and as cold and reheated leftovers the following day. This report describes the investigation of this outbreak, in which evidence implicated the pork as the source of illness.

METHODS

Case definition

A confirmed case was an attendee reporting enteric symptoms (nausea, abdominal cramps, vomiting, and/or diarrhoea) beginning anytime from day 2 of the event to 10 days after the last day of the event, with laboratory confirmation of STEC O157:H7 infection. A probable case was an attendee reporting enteric symptoms (nausea, abdominal cramps, vomiting, and/or diarrhoea) during the same period without laboratory confirmation of STEC O157:H7 infection.

Case finding and administration of outbreak questionnaire

Menu lists of all meals served were used to produce a questionnaire on demographics, symptoms, onset and recovery dates, and food exposures (consumption of individual menu items) at shared meals. A list of attendees was provided by the host. Those who could be contacted were asked to complete the questionnaire, either by telephone or in person.

Statistical analysis of outbreak questionnaire data

Questionnaire data were entered in a Microsoft Access database and analyzed in Stata 11.0 (Statacorp, College Station, Texas) and Microsoft Excel. Following descriptive analysis, exposure variables (consumption of meals and individual menu items) were investigated for association with illness by a retrospective cohort approach, using the <cs> command with the <exact> option in Stata 11.0 for computation of Fisher's exact p values, risks (attack rates), risk differences (attack rate differences) and risk ratios. Variables with two-sided p values >0.05 were considered statistically significant. Exposures significantly associated with illness were included in a logistic regression model with illness as the outcome variable, and a final model was built by stepwise backward elimination.

Informal interviews

Public health inspectors informally interviewed the host and the caterers to review how foods had been produced, prepared, transported, stored and served. As much information as possible was gathered on who had prepared each menu item, the ingredients the meals contained (including brands), and where these had been purchased.

Inspection of food preparation premises and kitchen

Public health staff inspected the premises and kitchen where the catered meal had been prepared, to review menus, refrigerator temperatures, cleaning records, supply records and staff absenteeism records, and to audit the hazard analysis and critical control points (HACCP) systems for all menu items.

Traceback investigations

A whole, dressed, 42-kg pig had been cooked at the pig roast. Investigations included identification of the plant of origin of the pig, informal interviews with the plant managers, and identification and inspection of the supermarket where the pig had been purchased and the refrigeration unit where it had been stored before being cooked. Traceback investigations were also conducted for meats, salads and other foods served at the event that were considered common sources of food-borne illness.

Collection of samples for laboratory analysis

Stool samples were requested from individuals still ill at the time of their interview. Duplicate samples were submitted in Cary-Blair medium for bacterial testing, (12) and in sodium acetate-acetic acid-formalin (SAF) fixative for parasitic testing. (13)

[FIGURE 1 OMITTED]

Samples of leftover foods from the event (cooked potato, turkey, carrots, beets, and pork) and water samples from the event premises were also collected for testing for enteric pathogens.

Three batches of home-made ice cream served on the second and third days of the gathering had been prepared using eggs from a local hobby farm where goats and poultry shared a common housing area. Therefore, water, environmental (soiled animal bedding) and fecal samples from goats and poultry on this farm were collected for STEC O157 testing.

Laboratory analysis of samples

All samples were tested at the Public Health Laboratory in Toronto, Ontario by routine enteric diagnostic methods, including testing of food and water samples by immunomagnetic separation (IMS) of STEC O157 and selective culture methods based on FDA and Health Canada methods. (14,15) Isolates were confirmed biochemically as STEC O157 and Clostridium perfringens, subtyped by pulse-field gel electrophoresis (PFGE), and serotyped (STEC O157). The hobby-farm fecal and environmental samples were also tested at the Public Health Agency of Canada Laboratory for Foodborne Zoonoses, Guelph, Ontario, for any STEC by screening enrichment broths for Shiga toxin by ELISA (16) and the Verocell cytotoxicity assay, (17) and for STEC O157 by IMS. (15)

RESULTS

Summary of cases and results of analysis of outbreak questionnaire data

Descriptive Epidemiological Analysis

Although some ill individuals may have been secondary cases, all had attended the event and had onset dates within the period specified in the case definition. Therefore, in analyzing the questionnaire data, no distinction was made between primary and secondary cases.

The descriptive analyses included data for 52 of the 59 attendees. Of the 52, 48 completed questionnaires, all within 5-11 days after the end of the event. Information on demographics and symptoms was available for 4 additional known cases who did not complete questionnaires.

Age and sex were known for 50 of the 52 persons: 23 (46%) were male and 27 (54%) were female, ranging in age from 1-84 (median 31, mean 33.5) years. Twenty-nine (55.8%) were identified as cases according to the case definition, of whom 11 were confirmed cases of STEC O157:H7 infection and 18 were probable cases. There was no significant difference in either age or sex between those who reported illness and those who did not (p > 0.1).

Illness and Symptoms

Onset dates of illness ranged from 0-5 days following the last day of the event (early on Day 4 of the gathering, to the afternoon of Day 9) (Figure 1).

Table 1 summarizes symptoms reported by 27 of the 29 cases; information on symptoms was unavailable for 2 cases. Recovery dates were available for only 5 cases, for whom the durations of illness were: less than one day (n = 1), three days (n = 1) and five days (n = 3).

Seven (24.1%) of the 29 cases were hospitalized: two adults <60 years, one adult >60 years, and four children aged 1-15 years. Verbal updates from health care professionals and family members indicated that of these, two children and one adult had signs of haemolytic uraemic syndrome; one child and the adult required dialysis and blood transfusions as a result. Another adult who initially reported resolution of enteric symptoms was subsequently hospitalized with pancreatitis suspected to be a complication of STEC O157:H7 infection. No deaths resulting from the outbreak were reported.

Analysis of Exposure Variables

During the four-day event, five communal meals (including 50 individual menu items) were served before the onset date of the earliest case (Day 4). Analysis of questionnaire data from 48 attendees (25 cases and 23 non-cases) for exposures significantly associated with an increased risk of illness (p < 0.05) revealed that of the 50 menu items investigated, the leftover pork served on Day 3 (Sunday) produced the highest level of statistical significance (p = 0.0003) and the highest attack rate (risk) difference (59.6%; Table 2).

Many of the exposure variables were highly correlated. All individuals included in the analyses had attended the pig roast (lunch) on Day 2, and all except two had consumed the pork at that meal.

Multivariable logistic regression, using backward elimination to produce a final model from an initial model that included exposures to all five menu items listed in Table 2 as independent variables, resulted in only leftover pork being retained in the model. In this final model, the odds ratio associated with consumption of leftover pork was 9.0 (95% CI: 1.8-45.3; p = 0.008).

Similar results were obtained when the exposure analyses were repeated without five possibly secondary cases with onset dates later than Day 7.

Informal interviews with food handlers, inspection of food preparation premises, and traceback investigations

No concerns were identified on inspection and HACCP audit of the meal caterer's kitchen or of food storage or preparation, and there were no reports of illness or unexplained absenteeism among food handlers.

Served foods initially considered high risk for causing food-borne enteric illness included salads, beef lasagne, turkey, pork from the pig roast, and the home-made ice cream. However, except for the pork, no obvious concerns about preparation of those foods arose from investigations.

According to the pig roast caterer, the pig had been turned continuously for 12h on a spit positioned 1.5 to 2 feet (approximately 0.5 m) above the coals. Temperature probe readings taken at several sites in the meat during cooking were reportedly 182[degrees]C, but probe type, placement and readings had not been documented. After cooking, the pork had been sliced into hot chafing dishes for immediate serving. Leftover pork was refrigerated in large aluminium baking pans of unknown dimensions. A potential concern was that the 42kg carcass had been roasted in cool air temperatures (minimum 4[degrees]C overnight) above the heat source and without a shelter, potentially resulting in inadequate cooking of internal parts of the meat. Further, leftover pork was stored in a refrigerator full of other leftovers, which may not have allowed for quick cooling of the meat to optimal storage temperatures.

The pig had originated from a government-regulated and -inspected plant that processed only pigs. No concerns arose from interviews with the plant managers or provincial inspection authorities, or from inspection of the supermarket where the pig had been purchased, including the supermarket holding units. During inspection, the temperature of pig carcasses in the store cooler was 3[degrees]C. Pig carcasses were delivered through a separate entrance into a walk-in cooler for only pigs and ducks, suggesting minimal potential for cross-contamination between pig carcasses and other meats at the store.

Laboratory analysis

STECO157:H7 was isolated from 11 of 25 stool samples from symptomatic attendees, and from the leftover pork--the only tested food item positive for enteric pathogens. Isolates from eight cases and the pork had the same PFGE pattern: (ECXAI.0221/ECBNI.0012). The PFGE pattern of isolates from the three other cases (ECXAI.2684/ECBNI.0012) differed from that of the other isolates by only one band, indicating that they were closely related. (18) Clostridium perfringens was isolated (but not quantified) from two STEC-O157:H7-positive cases, and was also found at high levels (1.7 x [10.sup.6] organisms per gram) in the pork. By PFGE, the three C. perfringens isolates were all unrelated to each other.

The remaining 14 stool samples, other foods, water and hobby-farm samples submitted for testing were negative for STEC or enteric pathogens.

DISCUSSION AND CONCLUSION

Many ingredients of the meals for this event had been purchased from large retailers, and/or were popular, locally-available brands. However, review of surveillance data from the local area during the months spanning the outbreak period indicated no concurrent increase in reported STEC O157:H7 infections in the general population, nor isolation of STEC O157:H7 with the PFGE patterns identified in this outbreak. Therefore the source of STEC O157:H7 that caused this outbreak appeared to have been limited to this event.

Several possible sources of STEC infection at the event were considered. High-risk food items were identified from assessment--based on information from interviews and inspections--of the potential for contamination of food items on the menu lists, and from statistical analysis of food exposures. In addition, as small ruminants and poultry may carry STEC O157:H7, (8,9,11) and as at least one STEC outbreak has been linked to consumption of home-made ice cream, (19) samples from the hobby farm that provided ingredients for the ice cream were tested for STEC. However, of all of the potential sources investigated, STEC O157 was isolated only from the pork.

The isolation of identical or closely-related strains of STEC O157:H7 from 11 confirmed cases and the pork, as well as the negative results for other possible sources tested, suggests that the pork was the source of infection. Clostridium perfringens was also identified at clinically significant levels in the pork, and was isolated from two STEC O157:H7-positive cases. Though the three isolates were unrelated by PFGE, (20) infection or co-infection by C. perfringens could have caused symptoms experienced by some of the cases--probable or confirmed.

Given the high overall attack rate in this outbreak and the lack of evidence for cross-contamination from other foods during slicing and serving of the pork, it is likely that contamination of the pork existed at the time of roasting on Day 2, possibly originating at the time of slaughter from STEC O157:H7 infection in the living pig or from another source. Improper cooking, cooling and storing, followed by inadequate reheating before leftovers were served on Day 3, may have allowed C. perfringens and STEC O157:H7 to survive and possibly proliferate. A few attendees may have been infected by consuming the pork on Day 2; however, freshly-cooked pork consumed on Day 2 was likely carved mainly from the surface of the carcass, which would have been cooked more thoroughly than the inner parts of the meat if a significant temperature gradient from the outside to the inside of the carcass existed during cooking. However, if cooling of the leftover meat occurred too slowly following refrigeration, significant bacterial growth could have occurred, causing the inner portions of the pork served as leftovers, some cold, on Day 3, to contain significant levels of pathogens. This hypothesis is supported by the highly significant association between illness and the consumption of leftover pork on Day 3, with no such association being found for the freshly roasted pork served on Day 2 when only a few attendees may have been exposed to the pathogen. Additionally, the incubation period in this outbreak, assuming exposure on Day 2 or Day 3, was 1-7 days with a median of 3-4 days: within the reported ranges for STEC O157:H7 of 1 to >7 days, with a median of 3-4 days. (21-24)

Although most commonly found in ruminants, pigs may also carry STEC O157. (10,11,25-27) However, there are few reports of STEC O157 outbreaks implicating pork as the likely source. (28) The results of this investigation, including the fact that the plant that had processed the pig did not process cattle, emphasize the importance of considering other meat sources besides beef when investigating outbreaks or clusters of STEC O157 infection.

This investigation also highlights the need for enhancement of local and provincial educational resources for the public and for food handlers on proper food handling and storage, to reduce the risk of food-borne illness at events such as the one described here. Specifically, there is need for clear provincial guidelines pertaining to the safe handling and cooking of whole carcasses and large cuts of meat outdoors on open spits at events such as a pig roasts, a cultural norm in many rural communities in Ontario.

Acknowledgements: The authors thank the Enteric, Environmental and Molecular Surveillance departments of the Public Health Laboratory, Public Health Ontario, as well as the Public Health Agency of Canada (PHAC) Laboratory for Foodborne Zoonoses, for the testing of outbreak samples. We also thank all of the public health inspectors, public health nurses and other staff of the health department who assisted with the investigation. Thanks also to Dr. Scott McEwen, Dr. David Alves and others of the Ontario Veterinary College and the Ontario Ministry of Agriculture, Food and Rural Affairs, who provided information, advice and other support as we investigated this outbreak.

Sources of support: PHAC; Ontario Ministry of Agriculture, Food & Rural Affairs; Public Health Ontario; Ontario Ministry of Health and Long-Term Care; Centers for Disease Control.

Conflict of Interest: None to declare.

REFERENCES

(1.) Bell BP, Goldoft M, Griffin PM, Davis MA, Gordon DC, Tarr PI, et al. A multistate outbreak of Escherichia coli O157:H7-associated bloody diarrhea and hemolytic uremic syndrome from hamburgers. The Washington experience. JAMA 1994;272(17):1349-53.

(2.) Cody SH, Glynn MK, Farrar JA, Cairns KL, Griffin PM, Kobayashi J, et al. An outbreak of Escherichia coli O157:H7 infection from unpasteurized commercial apple juice. Ann Intern Med 1999;130(3):202-9.

(3.) Centers for Disease Control (CDC). Two multistate outbreaks of Shiga toxin-producing Escherichia coli infections linked to beef from a single slaughter facility--United States, 2008. Morb Mortal Wkly Rep 2010;59(18):557-60.

(4.) Waters JR, Sharp JC, Dev VJ. Infection caused by Escherichia coli O157:H7 in Alberta, Canada, and in Scotland: A five-year review, 1987-1991. Clin Infect Dis 1994;19(5):834-43.

(5.) Tuttle J, Gomez T, Doyle MP, Wells JG, Zhao T, Tauxe RV, et al. Lessons from a large outbreak of Escherichia coli O157:H7 infections: Insights into the infectious dose and method of widespread contamination of hamburger patties. Epidemiol Infect 1999;122(2):185-92.

(6.) Jay MT, Garrett V, Mohle-Boetani JC, Barros M, Farrar JA, Rios R, et al. A multistate outbreak of Escherichia coli O157:H7 infection linked to consumption of beef tacos at a fast-food restaurant chain. Clin Infect Dis 2004;39(1):1-7.

(7.) Talley JL, Wayadande AC, Wasala LP, Gerry AC, Fletcher J, DeSilva U, et al. Association of Escherichia coli O157:H7 with filth flies (Muscidae and Calliphoridae) captured in leafy greens fields and experimental transmission of E. coli O157:H7 to spinach leaves by house flies (Diptera: Muscidae). J Food Prot 2009;72(7):1547-52.

(8.) Warshawsky B, Gutmanis I, Henry B, Dow J, Reffle J, Pollet G, et al. Outbreak of Escherichia coli O157:H7 related to animal contact at a petting zoo. Can J Infect Dis 2002;13(3):175-81.

(9.) Wasteson Y, Johannessen GS, Bruheim T, Urdahl AM, O'Sullivan K, R0rvik LM. Fluctuations in the occurrence of Escherichia coli O157:H7 on a Norwegian farm. Lett Appl Microbiol 2005;40(5):373-77.

(10.) Jay MT, Cooley M, Carychao D, Wiscomb GW, Sweitzer RA, Crawford-Miksza L, et al. Escherichia coli O157:H7 in feral swine near spinach fields and cattle, central California coast. Emerg Infect Dis 2007;13(12):1908-11.

(11.) Doane CA, Pangloli P, Richards HA, Mount Jr, Golden DA, Draughon FA. Occurrence of Escherichia coli O157:H7 in diverse farm environments. J Food Prot 2007;70(1):6-10.

(12.) Dan M, Richardson J, Miliotis MD, Koornhof HJ. Comparison of preservation media and freezing conditions for storage of specimens of faeces. J Med Microbiol 1989;28(2):151-54.

(13.) Mank TG, Zaat JO, Blotkamp J, Polderman AM. Comparison of fresh versus sodium acetate acetic acid formalin preserved stool specimens for diagnosis of intestinal protozoal infections. Eur J Clin Microbiol Infect Dis 1995;14(12):1076-81.

(14.) Feng P, Weagant SD, Jinneman K. Chapter 4A, Diarrheagenic Escherichia coli, Bacteriological Analytical Manual Online, 8th ed, Revised. Silver Spring, MD: U.S. Food and Drug Administration, 2011.

(15.) Health Protection Branch. Identification of E. coli O157 by Dynabeads[R] AntiE. coli O157. Bureau of Microbial Hazards. MFLP-90. Health Canada, 2006.

(16.) Atalla HN, Johnson R, McEwen S, Usborne RW, Gyles CL. Use of a Shiga toxin (Stx)-enzyme-linked immunosorbent assay and immunoblot for detection and isolation of Stx-producing Escherichia coli from naturally contaminated beef. J Food Prot 2000;63(9):1167-72.

(17.) Rahn K, Wilson JB, McFadden KA, Read SC, Ellis AG, Renwick SA, et al. Comparison of Vero cell assay and PCR as indicators of the presence of vero-cytotoxigenic Escherichia coli in bovine and human fecal samples. Appl Environ Microbiol 1996;62(12):4314-17.

(18.) Barrett TJ, Gerner-Smidt P, Swaminathan B. Interpretation of pulsed-field gel electrophoresis patterns in foodborne disease investigations and surveillance. Foodborne Pathog Dis 2006;3(1):20-31.

(19.) De Schrijver K, Buvens G, Posse B, Van den Branden D, Oosterlynck O, De Zutter L, et al. Outbreak of verocytotoxin-producing E. coli O145 and O26 infections associated with the consumption of ice cream produced at a farm, Belgium, 2007. Euro Surveill 2008;13(7):pii 8041.

(20.) Johansson A, Aspan A, Bagge E, Baverud V, Engstrom BE, Johansson KE. Genetic diversity of Clostridium perfringens type A isolates from animals, food poisoning outbreaks and sludge. BMC Microbiol 2006;6:47.

(21.) Salmon RL, Farrell ID, Hutchison JG, Coleman DJ, Gross RJ, Fry NK, et al. A christening party outbreak of haemorrhagic colitis and haemolytic uraemic syndrome associated with Escherichia coli O157.H7. Epidemiol Infect 1989;103(2):249-54.

(22.) Bruce MG, Curtis MB, Payne MM, Gautom RK, Thompson EC, Bennett AL, et al. Lake-associated outbreak of Escherichia coli O157:H7 in Clark County, Washington, 1999. Arch Pediatr Adolesc Med 2003;157(10):1016-21.

(23.) World Health Organization. Foodborne Disease Outbreaks: Guidelines for Investigation and Control. Geneva, Switzerland: WHO, 2008;57.

(24.) Robinson AL, McKillip JL. Biology of Escherichia coli O157:H7 in human health and food safety with emphasis on sublethal injury and detection. In: Mendez-Vilas A (Ed.), Current Research, Technology and Education Topics in Applied Microbiology and Microbial Biotechnology. Badajoz, Spain: Formatex Research Centre, 2010.

(25.) Feder I, Wallace FM, Gray JT, Fratamico P, Fedorka-Cray PJ, Pearce RA, et al. Isolation of Escherichia coli O157:H7 from intact colon fecal samples of swine. Emerg Infect Dis 2003;9(3):380-83.

(26.) Keen JE, Wittum TE, Dunn JR, Bono JL, Durso LM. Shiga-toxigenic Escherichia coli O157 in agricultural fair livestock, United States. Emerg Infect Dis 2006;12(5):780-86.

(27.) Farzan A, Friendship RM, Cook A, Pollari F. Occurrence of Salmonella, Campylobacter, Yersinia enterocolitica, Escherichia coli O157 and Listeria monocytogenes in swine. Zoonoses Public Health 2010;57(6):388-96.

(28.) Conedera G, Mattiazzi E, Russo F, Chiesa E, Scorzato I, Grandesso S, et al. A family outbreak of Escherichia coli O157 haemorrhagic colitis caused by pork meat salami. Epidemiol Infect 2007;135(2):311-14.

Received: March 2, 2012

Accepted: July 18, 2012

Lise A. Trotz-Williams, BVetMed, MSc, PhD, [1] Nicola J. Mercer, MD, MPH, FRCPC, [1] Janice M. Walters, BScN, MEd, MPH, [1] Anne M. Maki, MLT, [2] Roger P. Johnson, MVSc, PhD [3]

Author Affiliations

[1.] Wellington-Dufferin-Guelph Public Health, Guelph, ON

[2.] Public Health Laboratories--Toronto, Public Health Ontario, Toronto, ON

[3.] Laboratory for Foodborne Zoonoses, Public Health Agency of Canada, Guelph, ON

Correspondence: Lise A. Trotz-Williams, Wellington-Dufferin-Guelph Public Health, 600 Southgate Drive, Guelph, ON N1G 4P6, Tel: 519-846-2715, ext. 4666, Fax: 519-836-7215, E-mail: Lise.Trotz-Williams@wdgpublichealth.ca
Table 1. Symptoms Reported by Confirmed and Probable
Cases, STEC O157:H7 Outbreak, Southwestern Ontario,
October 2011 (n=27 *)

Symptom             Number of Cases    Percentage
                   Reporting Symptom
                      ([dagger])

Diarrhoea                 24              89%
Abdominal cramps          20              74%
Nausea                     7              26%
Bloody diarrhoea           6              22%
Fever                      6              22%
Muscle aches               6              22%
Vomiting                   5              19%
Blood in urine             1               4%

* Data on symptoms not available for two additional
cases.

([dagger]) Cases include both confirmed and probable
cases.

Table 2. Risk Differences and Ratios of Food Exposure Variables
Significantly Associated With an Increased Risk of Illness, STEC
O157:H7 Outbreak, Southwestern Ontario, October 2011 (n=48)

Exposure/Food or                   Persons Who Ate
Beverage                              (Exposed)

Risk of
                                                  Illness
                                                  [Attack
                                                   Rate]
                              Ill   Not   Total   (% Ill)
                                    Ill

Fri--Event Day 1 (dinner):

  Ate at Fri dinner *         25    17     42      59.5
  Garlic bread                23    12     35      65.7

Sat--Event Day 2 (lunch)
([dagger]):

  Ate at Sat lunch
    ([dagger])                25    23     48      52.1

Sat--Event Day 2 (dinner):

  Ate at Sat dinner *         25    17     42      59.5
  Pizza (various) *           25    17     42      59.5

Sun--Event Day 3 (lunch):

  Ate at Sun lunch *          25    17     42      59.5
  Roasted turkey              22    12     34      64.7

Sun--Event Day 3 (dinner):

  Ate at Sun dinner           22    13     35      62.9
  Leftover pork               18     4     22      81.8
  Buns                        18     5     23      78.3

Exposure/Food or               Persons Who Did Not Eat
Beverage                             (Unexposed)

Risk of
                                                  Illness
                                                  [Attack
                                                   Rate]
                              Ill   Not   Total   (% ill)
                                    Ill

Fri--Event Day 1 (dinner):

  Ate at Fri dinner *         0 *    6      6     14.3 *
  Garlic bread                 2    11     13      15.4

Sat--Event Day 2 (lunch)
([dagger]):

  Ate at Sat lunch
    ([dagger])                 0     0      0        -

Sat--Event Day 2 (dinner):

  Ate at Sat dinner *         0 *    6      6      14.3*
  Pizza (various) *           0 *    6      6      14.3*

Sun--Event Day 3 (lunch):

  Ate at Sun lunch *          0 *    6      6      14.3*
  Roasted turkey               3    10     13      23.1

Sun--Event Day 3 (dinner):

  Ate at Sun dinner            2    10     12      16.7
  Leftover pork                4    14     18      22.2
  Buns                         5    11     16      31.3

Exposure/Food or                Attack     Risk
Beverage                         Rate      Ratio
                                [Risk]
                              Difference
                                 (%)

Fri--Event Day 1 (dinner):

  Ate at Fri dinner *           45.2 *     4.2 *
  Garlic bread                  50.3       4.3

Sat--Event Day 2 (lunch)
([dagger]):

  Ate at Sat lunch
    ([dagger])                    -          -

Sat--Event Day 2 (dinner):

  Ate at Sat dinner *           45.2*      4.2 *
  Pizza (various) *             45.2*      4.2 *

Sun--Event Day 3 (lunch):

  Ate at Sun lunch *            45.2*      4.2 *
  Roasted turkey                41.6       2.8

Sun--Event Day 3 (dinner):

  Ate at Sun dinner             46.2       3.8
  Leftover pork                 59.6       3.7
  Buns                          47.0       2.5

Exposure/Food or                              p
Beverage                      Confidence   (Fisher's
                               Interval     exact,
                               of Risk       two-
                               Ratio *      sided)

Fri--Event Day 1 (dinner):

  Ate at Fri dinner *         0.7-26.0 *    0.0082
  Garlic bread                 1.2-15.6     0.0029

Sat--Event Day 2 (lunch)
([dagger]):

  Ate at Sat lunch
    ([dagger])                   -            -

Sat--Event Day 2 (dinner):

  Ate at Sat dinner *         0.7-26.0*     0.0082
  Pizza (various) *           0.7-26.0*     0.0082

Sun--Event Day 3 (lunch):

  Ate at Sun lunch *          0.7-26.0 *    0.0082
  Roasted turkey               1.01-7.8     0.0204

Sun--Event Day 3 (dinner):

  Ate at Sun dinner           1.03-13.7     0.0078
  Leftover pork                1.5-8.9      0.0003
  Buns                         1.2-5.3      0.0072

* For exposures with counts of zero in the "unexposed and ill"
cell, estimates of risks, risk differences and risk ratios were
computed by substituting a cell count of one in that cell.

([dagger]) All attendees included in these analyses had eaten at
the Saturday lunch, therefore no Fisher's exact p-value could be
computed for the exposure "Ate at Sat lunch". In addition, no menu
items served at the Saturday lunch were statistically associatedwith an increased risk of illness (p>0.05).
联系我们|关于我们|网站声明
国家哲学社会科学文献中心版权所有