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  • 标题:Performance analysis of publicly owned urban bus companies in India.
  • 作者:Singh, Sanjay K. ; Raghav, Shalini
  • 期刊名称:Indian Journal of Economics and Business
  • 印刷版ISSN:0972-5784
  • 出版年度:2013
  • 期号:May
  • 语种:English
  • 出版社:Indian Journal of Economics and Business
  • 摘要:Cities play a vital role in promoting economic growth and prosperity. But, economic growth momentum can be sustained if and only if cities function efficiently. City efficiency largely depends on the effectiveness of its transport system, that is, efficacy with which people and goods are moved throughout the city. Although Indian cities have lower vehicle ownership rate, number of vehicles per capita, than their counterparts in developed countries, they suffer from worse congestion, delay, pollution, and accidents than cities in the industrialized world. The main reason for all these is the prevailing imbalance in modal split besides inadequate transport infrastructure and its sub-optimal use. Public transport systems in cities have not been able to keep pace with the rapid and substantial increases in demand over the past few years. As a result, people have turned towards personalized modes such as mopeds, scooters, motorcycles, and cars and intermediate public transport modes such as auto-rickshaws, tempos, and taxis. Cities cannot afford to cater only to the private and intermediate public transport vehicles and there has to be a general recognition that policy should be designed in such a way that reduces the need to travel by personalized and para-transit modes and boosts public transport system (Singh, 2012).
  • 关键词:Bus lines;Industrial productivity;Profitability;Toy industry

Performance analysis of publicly owned urban bus companies in India.


Singh, Sanjay K. ; Raghav, Shalini


1. INTRODUCTION

Cities play a vital role in promoting economic growth and prosperity. But, economic growth momentum can be sustained if and only if cities function efficiently. City efficiency largely depends on the effectiveness of its transport system, that is, efficacy with which people and goods are moved throughout the city. Although Indian cities have lower vehicle ownership rate, number of vehicles per capita, than their counterparts in developed countries, they suffer from worse congestion, delay, pollution, and accidents than cities in the industrialized world. The main reason for all these is the prevailing imbalance in modal split besides inadequate transport infrastructure and its sub-optimal use. Public transport systems in cities have not been able to keep pace with the rapid and substantial increases in demand over the past few years. As a result, people have turned towards personalized modes such as mopeds, scooters, motorcycles, and cars and intermediate public transport modes such as auto-rickshaws, tempos, and taxis. Cities cannot afford to cater only to the private and intermediate public transport vehicles and there has to be a general recognition that policy should be designed in such a way that reduces the need to travel by personalized and para-transit modes and boosts public transport system (Singh, 2012).

Public transport system in India heavily relies on its bus transport system since urban rail services are extremely limited. Only four cities--Mumbai, Delhi, Kolkata and Chennai are served by suburban rail systems. A few other cities also have limited suburban rail systems but they hardly meet the large transport demand existing in these cities. Although, few years back, bus transport services were available mainly in the cities located in southern and western regions of India, but they are now available in most of the metropolitan cities, thanks to the Government of India's Jawaharlal Nehru National Urban Renewal Mission (JNNURM). Services are mostly run by publicly owned Urban Bus Companies (UBCs), which are usually called State Transport Undertakings (STUs).

Presently, fifty-two STUs are operating in India with more than a hundred thousand of buses and seven hundred thousand of workers. Out of these, thirteen are urban bus companies which are operating with around 24,000 buses and employing 149,000 people. During the year 2010-11, the total bus-kilometers operated by them were more than 1,600 million, the number of passengers carried was more than 7,300 million, and the volume of operations had crossed the mark of 77,000 million passenger-kilometers. From the very beginning, UBCs in India faced huge financial losses from their operation. UBCs' total revenue during the year 2010-11 was just Rs. 51,505 million in comparison to total cost of Rs. 84,200 million. Due to this, they faced a net loss of more than Rs. 32,000 million during the year 2010-11. On an average, every bus-km operated by these companies resulted in a loss of around Rs. 20 during the same year.

Why do UBCs in India face such a huge financial loss? Answer of this question requires answer of the following one. What determines financial performance of a firm in general and of a public enterprise in particular? It is easy to show that productivity and prices are the key determinants of profitability of a firm. Productivity of a firm is defined as the ratio of outputs to inputs. Productivity growth, therefore, can arise from an increase in the output that can be produced for a given level of input, or a decrease in input necessary to produce a given amount of output. Therefore, productivity growth has potential to improve the financial performance of a firm through increase in the efficiency of production. However, productivity and profitability would move together in the same direction if and only if input factor prices in comparison to output prices are unchanged. Financial performance of a firm may improve even if its productivity remains the same. This can happen when increase in output price is higher than the increase in input factor prices.

The main of aim of this study is to analyze the productivity and profitability performance of publicly owned urban bus companies in India during 2000s. A well-known multilateral index procedure proposed by Caves, Christensen, and Diewert (1982) is used to compute the growth and relative levels of total factor productivity (TFP) of the UBCs. The estimates of TFP are then examined for their association with operating characteristics of the individual UBC. Estimates of TFP are also compared with partial factor productivity indicators such as labor productivity (passenger-kilometers per employee), fuel productivity (bus-kilometers per liter of diesel), and bus productivity (bus-kilometers per bus held by the UBC). We also analyzed the link between productivity, prices, and profitability. For this, we use a model to decompose changes in profitability into two components capturing changes in TFP and price recovery ability (i.e., tracking the growth of output price related to the input factor prices).

2. PRODUCTIVITY PERFORMANCE OF UBCs

TFP has been recognized as a robust measure of productivity in the economics and management literature. TFP measurement and modeling is based on the assumption that inputs are combined so as to minimize the cost of a given output. The more restrictive assumption of profit maximization is not required, nor is the assumption that output is sold in a competitive market. However, it is assumed that inputs are purchased at prices perceived to be constant. For the UBCs in India, these assumptions seem to be reasonable.

Where multiple outputs exist, TFP is described as a ratio of an index number describing aggregate output levels to an index number describing aggregate input levels. To compute TFP indices, Caves, Christensen, and Diewert (1982) proposed the following formula for cross-sectional or panel data set:

[MATHEMATICAL EXPRESSION NOT REPRODUCIBLE IN ASCII] (1)

where TFP is total factor productivity index, k and l are adjacent observations, the [Y.sub.im] are output indices, the [X.sub.jm] are input indices, the [R.sub.im] are output revenue shares, and the [S.sub.jm] are input cost shares. There are j number of input factors used to [produce.sub.i] number of outputs. A bar over a variable indicates the arithmetic mean and a tilde over a variable indicates the geometric mean.

To compute the TFP indices for UBCs in India, we have to specify output and input factors used in their production process. Since UBCs are involved only in passenger transport business, it is felt that the useful measure of output would be passenger-kilometers. Labor, diesel, and bus can be considered as the three most important inputs to be used in the production process. In relation to the cost of inputs, labor cost is total expenditure on employees; diesel cost is total spending on diesel; and bus cost is sum of maintenance cost (which includes costs on auto spare parts, springs, lubricants, tyres & tubes, batteries, general items, and reconditioned items), interest payment and deprecation. Therefore, total operating cost comprises of labor cost, diesel cost, and bus cost. So, accordingly (1) is modified as follows:

[MATHEMATICAL EXPRESSION NOT REPRODUCIBLE IN ASCII] (2)

where specific definitions of the variables are given below:

TFP = total factor productivity; Y = output, defined as passenger-kilometers; [S.sub.1] = factor share of labor, defined as total labor cost divided by total operating cost; [S.sub.2] = factor share of diesel, defined as total expenditure on diesel divided by total operating cost; [S.sub.3] = factor share of bus, defined as total bus cost (i.e., sum of maintenance cost, interest payment, and depreciation) divided by total operating cost; [X.sub.1] = total number of employees; [X.sub.2] = total diesel consumed; [X.sub.3] = total number of buses (held); and

Total operating cost is sum of labor cost, diesel cost, and bus cost.

Equation (2) is used to compute the TFP indices for nine UBCs for which consistent data are available during 2000s. Sample UBCs include Bangalore Metropolitan Transport Corporation (BMTC), Calcutta State Transport Corporation (CSTC), Delhi Transport Corporation (DTC), Ahmedabad Municipal Transport Service (AMTS), Brihanmumbai Electricity Supply and Transport Undertaking (BEST), Kolhapur Municipal Transport Undertaking (KMTU), Thane Municipal Transport Undertaking (TMTU), Chandigarh Transport Undertaking (CHNTU), and Metropolitan Transport Corporation Limited (Chennai) (MTCL). Table 1 presents some recent descriptive statistics of these UBCs. The primary source of data is Performance Statistics of STUs, 2000-01 to 2010-11 published for the Association of Road Transport Undertakings (ASRTU), New Delhi by the Central Institute of Road Transport (CIRT), Pune, India.

Sample UBCs are publicly owned, operate throughout their respective jurisdiction (often throughout the city), mainly provide intra-urban bus transport services, and do business in the field of passenger transportation only, but differ in size and the level of out produced. The size of the UBCs, as measured by passenger-kilometers (PKm) in 2010-11, ranges from 391 million PKm for KMTU to 21,796 million PKm for MTCL. Fleet strength of UBCs varies drastically, from 135 buses for KMTU to 6,110 buses for BMTC. Number of workers employed by UBCs also varies from 1,184 for KMTU to 35,557 for DTC. In almost all respect, KMTU is the smallest UBC whereas in terms of number of buses held and bus-kilometer operated, BMTC is the largest UBC. However, in terms of passenger-kilometers produced and number of passengers carried, MTCL is the largest one. Moreover, DTC is the largest UBC in terms of number of workers employed.

Table 2 presents output indices for sample UBCs for the period 2000-01 to 2010-11. Output indices are based on passenger-kilometers where all values can be shown relative to any one UBC for chosen year. We have chosen BMTC in 2000-01 as reference. Among sample UBCs, KMTU (12.60%) and BMTC (11.92%) achieved very high growth in their output during the sample period. MTCL (4.97%) and BEST (2.01%) also experienced significant increase in their output. However, CSTC, DTC, and TMTU faced decline whereas AMTS and CHNTU experienced negligible increase in their output during the sample period.

Table 3 presents aggregate input indices (X 's), which are based on the following equation: ln [MATHEMATICAL EXPRESSION NOT REPRODUCIBLE IN ASCII], where variables and notations have their previous meanings. Among sample UBCs, BMTC, KMTU, TMTU, and MTCL used more inputs in 2010-11 than what they used in 2000-01. All other UBCs experienced decline in their input use; decline in input use is fairly high in CSTC (4.19% per year), DTC (3.42% per year), AMTS (3.32% per year), and BEST (2.61% per year) whereas decline in input use is negligible in CHNTU.

Using equation (2), TFP indices, which are widely used measure of productivity, are computed for sample UBCs. The level of TFP for UBCs is presented in Table 4 along with their compound annual growth rate (CAGR) from the year 2000-01 to 2010-11. In Table 5, we rank the UBCs by their level of TFP in 2000-01 and 201011. In the same table we also include UBCs' rank according a measure of their size and growth in their TFP and output. The wide disparity in growth rates over the period 2000-01 to 2010-11 resulted in considerable changes in the ranking of the firms. For example, from 2000-01 to 2010-11 period MTCL rose from 3rd to 1st rank, KMTU rose from 9th to 7th rank, BEST rose from 6th to 5th rank, and AMTS rose from 7th to 6th rank while TMTU fell from 5th to 8th rank, DTC fell from 1st to 3rd rank, and CSTC fell from 8th to 9th rank. During the sample period, CHNTU and BMTC seem to be consistent performers. CHNTU was either the most productive or the 2nd most productive UBC whereas BMTC was the 4th most productive UBC in most of the years during 2000s.

It seems that there is a positive relationship between TFP and size of UBCs (see, Figure 1). Correlation coefficient between TFP and size of UBCs (measured in terms of passenger-kilometers) is 0.599 with t-statistic of 7.17, which shows that the coefficient is statistically significant at 1% level of significance. (2) Due to this, there is a similarity in UBCs' rank according to their size and TFP; in 2010-11, the most productive firm was the largest one (MTCL) and five most productive firms include four largest firms of the urban bus transport industry. In general, UBCs which experienced higher increase in their productivity are the ones which experienced greater increase in their output during 2000s (see, Table 5). This may be because UBCs in India experience economies of scale in their production process and consequently increase in output will increase their productivity. (3)

In terms of TFP growth, the UBCs fall in four distinct categories. One UBC, KMTU (9.17%) achieved very high growth rate of productivity, though its level of productivity is not very high. Three UBCs achieved productivity growth that could be considered high ranging from 3.22% per year (MTCL) to 4.74% per year (BEST) during 2000s. Two UBCs, BMTC (1.46%) and CHNTU (0.55%), achieved low productivity growth whereas three UBCs, DTC (-0.54%), TMTU (-0.66%), and CSTC (-1.75%) faced decline in their productivity during the sample period.

Estimates of TFP can be compared with more traditional indicators of transport productivity e.g., labor productivity through passenger-kilometers per employee (PKm/E), fuel productivity through bus-kilometers per liter of diesel (BKm/D), and bus productivity through bus-kilometers per bus held (BKm/B). We present these partial factor productivity indices from the period 2000-01 to 2010-11 in Table 6 (labor productivity), Table 7 (fuel productivity), and Table 8 (bus productivity), along with their compound annual growth rate over the sample period. In Table 9, we present the 2000-01 and 2010-11 rankings of the UBCs based on their labor productivity, fuel productivity, bus productivity, and total factor productivity.

During the year 2010-11, CHNTU achieved the highest level of labor productivity, 950,000 passenger-km per employee, whereas CSTC faced the lowest level, 198,000 passenger-km per employee. It is interesting to note that CHNTU achieved the highest level of labor productivity during every year of the sample period, though it could achieve only around 1% per year growth in its labor productivity. Besides CHNTU, MTCL and BMTC also achieved a high level of labor productivity with their index of labor productivity consistently being above 1 for all the years during 2000s. CSTC, which provides intra-urban bus transport services in the city of Kolkata, requires immediate attention since not only the level of labor productivity is very low but also its employee cost share is extremely high; during the year 2010-11, CSTC's labor cost share was more than 70% of its total operating cost, highest among the UBCs. This is one of the main reasons why its financial performance is worst among UBCs; during the year 2010-11, CSTC's total revenue was just 26% of its total cost. CSTC has to lower the employee cost particularly through reduction in staff to bus ratio to improve its financial performance; CSTC's staff to operational bus ratio in 2010-11 was 12.2, highest among the UBCs and twice than that of BMTC which is the most profitable UBC in India. Reduction in number of employees, ceteris paribus, will not only reduce the employee cost but also increase the labor productivity. Increase in labor productivity is the key for CSTC since it is paying relatively high wages (in relation to the market rate) to its employees which are also increasing significantly every year. Other UBCs particularly those having high staff to operational bus ratio such as TMTU (12.1), KMTU (9.5), DTC (8.2), and AMTS (7.8) may have to follow similar policy measure to improve their financial performance.

As expected, there is a high degree of positive correlation between TFP and labor productivity indices. Correlation coefficient between TFP and PKm/E is 0.914 with t-statistic of 21.57. As a consequence, there is a major similarity in rankings drawn from TFP and PKm/E indices. For example, in 2010-11, five most labor productive firms include four most productive firms according to their level of TFP. Moreover, three least productive firms (CSTC, TMTU, and KMTU) have the same rank according to both measures of productivity during the same year.

Fuel productivity, defined as bus-km per litre of diesel, is another measure of partial factor productivity in urban bus companies. This not only depends on exogenous factors such as road quality, congestion on roads, etc. but also on driving habits and maintenance practices adopted by the UBCs. Fuel productivity of an UBC can be improved by introducing fuel efficient buses, optimal vehicle scheduling to minimize the dead-kilometerage, driver training to adopt good driving practices to reduce fuel wastage, proper vehicle maintenance, scrapping over-aged fleet, etc. Table 7 presents fuel productivity indices of UBCs during the sample period. In the year 2010-11, MTCL achieved the highest level of fuel productivity, 4.39 bus-km per litre of diesel, whereas TMTU faced the lowest level, 2.86 bus-km per litre of diesel. There are only four UBCs which experienced fuel productivity above 4.00 bus-km per litre of diesel whereas two UBCs, TMTU and BEST, have fuel productivity below 3.00 bus-km per litre of diesel. As far as changes in fuel productivity from 2000-01 to 2010-11 is concerned, four UBCs (MTCL, DTC, TMTU, and BMTC) experienced significant variation. In a span of 10 years, MTCL and DTC improved their fuel productivity by 24% and 12%, respectively whereas TMTU and BMTC faced decline in their fuel productivity by 14% and 7%, respectively.

The relationship between TFP and fuel productivity is not as strong as it was between TFP and labor productivity. Correlation coefficient between TFP and fuel productivity indices is 0.496 with t-statistic of 5.48. This is expected since changes in fuel productivity depend largely on exogenous factors. As a result, similarities in rankings drawn from TFP and fuel productivity are relatively low.

Table 8 presents bus productivity indices of sample UBCs during the sample period. This Table reveals that bus productivity varies drastically across UBCs as well as over the years. During the year 2010-11, CSTC faced the lowest level of bus productivity, around 100 bus-km per bus held per day, whereas MTCL experienced the highest level of bus productivity among the sample UBCs, around 280 bus-km per bus held per day. Besides MTCL, only three UBCs--BMTC (205), KMTU (220), and CHNTU (256) could operate their buses more than 200 km per day whereas other UBCs operate in the range between 100 and 154 km per day. As far as change in bus productivity is concerned, only KMTU (4.74% per year) and MTCL (3.07% per year) could increase their bus productivity from 2000-01 to 2010-11. All other UBCs faced decline in their bus productivity ranging from 0.16% per year for BMTC to 5.35% per year for TMTU.

The variation in bus productivity across UBCs has been significantly lower when we measure bus productivity in terms of bus-km per bus on road (refer Table 10). This may not be the robust measure of bus productivity since the UBCs which achieve lower level of fleet utilization (i.e., the ratio of number of buses on road to the fleet held by the UBC) are rewarded whereas UBCs experiencing high level of fleet utilization are not recognized. For example, during the year 2010-11, CSTC's bus productivity in terms of bus-km per bus held was 35% lower than that of BEST whereas its bus productivity measured in terms of bus-km per bus on road was 9% higher than that of BEST. This is because CSTC's fleet utilization is far lower than that of BEST. Fleet utilization of UBCs varies from 52% for CSTC to 94% for CHNTU during the year 2010-11. From 2000-01 to 2010-11, six out of nine UBCs faced decline in their fleet utilization; TMTU and CSTC faced steep decline, AMTS recorded moderate decline, and decline in CHNTU, BMTC, and BEST was negligible. Only three UBCs--DTC, KMTU, and MTCL could improve their fleet utilization over the sample period. It is noted that as far as growth in bus productivity and fleet utilization is concerned, KMTU shows the highest growth whereas TMTU shows the greatest decline from 2000-01 to 2010-11.

We also found that bus productivity, measured in terms of bus-km per bus held, and total factor productivity is positively correlated. Correlation coefficient between these two indices is 0.619 with t-statistic of 7.56. As a consequence, similarities in rankings drawn from BKm/B and TFP indices are relatively high. For example, in 2010-11, except DTC and KMTU, all other UBCs have same rank according to both measures of productivity (refer Table 9).

We also consider the possible relationship between total factor productivity and load factor. Load factor, defined as ratio of revenue passenger-kilometers to available passenger-kilometers, can be taken as an indicator of capacity utilization. The a priori expectation is that higher load factor is associated with higher TFP. In Table 11, we present the UBCs' load factor in 2000-01 and 2010-11 and their average annual increase over this period. Load factor of UBCs varies from 60% for CSTC to 92% for CHNTU during the year 2010-11. Besides CHNTU, only three UBCs had 2010-11 load factor in excess of 70% whereas rest UBCs had load factor in the range of 60% to 70%. From 2000-01 to 2010-11, six UBCs experienced improvement in their load factor whereas two UBCs, CSTC and DTC, faced decline in the same. One UBC, MTCL, experienced virtually no change in its load factor.

As expected, there is a high degree of positive correlation between TFP and load factor. Correlation coefficient between TFP and load factor is 0.764 with t-statistic of 11.35. As a consequence, there is a major similarity in rankings drawn from TFP and load factor. For example, in 2010-11, five UBCs having highest load factor include four most productive firms according to their level of TFP. It is also found that the UBCs which experienced higher improvement in their TFP are the ones which recorded the higher improvement in their load factor. For example, KMTU, BEST, and AMTS ranked 1st, 2nd, and 3rd respectively according to growth in TFP as well as increase in load factor from 2000-01 to 2010-11. This shows that the improvement in load factor might be an important contributor to UBCs' productivity improvement.

[FIGURE 1 OMITTED]

3. PROFITABILITY PERFORMANCE AND ITS LINKAGES WITH PRODUCTIVITY OF UBCS

Profitability performance of any organization depends on revenue in comparison to costs. Here in this case, revenue has two components--traffic revenue and non-traffic revenue. Traffic revenue is nothing but total earnings from passengers whereas non-traffic revenue includes earnings from advertisement, shops in depot, subsidy from local government for providing concessional travel facility to students, freedom fighters, elected representatives, senior citizens, journalists, etc., and any other revenue from non-core business. Non-traffic revenue component of total revenue is not homogenous across UBCs. For example, during the year 2010-11, non-traffic revenue for CSTC and KMTU was just over 5% of their total revenue whereas it was more than 10% of the total revenue for DTC, TMTU CHNTU, and MTCL. As far as cost in UBCs is concerned, it depends on personnel cost, fuel (diesel) cost, capital (bus) cost including maintenance cost and interest payment, and taxes paid to the government. Taxes, which include passenger tax, motor vehicle tax, and other miscellaneous taxes, are also not homogenous across UBCs. For example, during the year 2010-11, it varied from 0% of total cost for CSTC to 7% of total cost for CHNTU. Since non-traffic revenue component of total revenue and tax component of total cost is not homogenous across UBCs, total revenue minus total cost (or a ratio of total revenue to total cost) would measure financial profitability rather than economic profitability. To make a proper inter-firm comparison of profitability, heterogeneous component of both revenues and costs should be excluded. Since traffic revenue and operating cost is homogenous across UBCs, to make a proper inter-firm comparison we can define economic profitability as traffic revenue minus operating cost (or a ratio of traffic revenue to operating cost).

Table 12 presents financial as well as economic profitability of UBCs for the year 2000-01 and 2010-11. This Table reveals that profitability performance varies greatly among the sample UBCs. During the year 2010-11, BMTC was the most profitable UBC whereas CSTC was the least profitable one. In fact, BMTC is the only UBC which experienced financial as well as economic profit during every year of the sample period, though the level of economic profit is not as high as financial profit. Among the sample UBCs, only KMTU's profitability performance is closer to that of BMTC whereas losses incurred by other UBCs are huge. For example, in 2010-11, traffic revenue was hardly 25% of operating cost for CSTC and DTC, 44% of operating cost for AMTS, and around 70% of operating cost for MTCL, BEST, CHNTU, and TMTU whereas total revenue was less than 30% of total cost for CSTC and DTC, less than 50% of total cost for AMTS, 75% of total cost for BEST and CHNTU, and around 80% of total cost for MTCL and TMTU. As a consequence, all UBCs except BMTC and KMTU incurred huge financial losses varying from Rs. 133 million for TMTU to Rs. 23,351 million for DTC during 2010-11. Table 12 also shows that none of the UBCs except KMTU could improve their economic or financial profitability from 2000-01 to 2010-11 despite the fact that five of them experienced improvement in their productivity during the same period.

However, there is a direct link between productivity, prices, and profitability. To illustrate this link, we use simple algebra for two time periods, T-l and T. Let [P.sub.T-1] and [P.sub.T] denote output prices (indices); [Y.sub.T-1] and [Y.sub.T] the corresponding output quantities (indices); [W.sub.T-1] and [W.sub.T] denote input factor prices (indices); and [X.sub.T-1] and [X.sub.T] the corresponding input quantities (indices). The p is a measure of profit, which is, for analytical convenience, defined as the ratio of revenues R to costs C rather than their difference. Therefore, change in profit can be written as:

[[pi].sub.T]/[[pi].sub.T-1] = [[R.sub.T]/[C.sub.T]] / [[R.sub.T-1]/[C.sub.T-1]] = ([Y.sub.T][Y.sub.T]/([W.sub.T][X.sub.T]) / ([Y.sub.T-1][Y.sub.T-1]/([W.sub.T-1][X.sub.T-1]) (3)

Equation (3) can be rewritten as:

[[pi].sub.T]/[[pi].sub.T-1] = ([[Y.sub.T]/[X.sub.T]] / [[Y.sub.T-1]/[X.sub.T-1]]) ([[P.sub.T]/[W.sub.T]] / [[P.sub.T-1]/[W.sub.T-1]]) (4)

Since TFP (4) is defined as a ratio of an aggregate output quantity index to aggregate input quantity index and price recovery (PR)5 is defined as a ratio of an aggregate output price index to aggregate input price index, any change in profit of the firm reflects the change in total factor productivity and change in price recovery. The first half of the right hand side of equation (4) is TFP growth whereas second half is PR growth. Therefore, equation (4) can be rewritten as:

[[pi].sub.T]/[[pi].sub.T-1] = ([TFP.sub.T]/[TFP.sub.T-1])([PR.sub.T]/[PR.sub.T-1]) (5)

Equation (5) reveals that improvement in total factor productivity and/or price recovery will lead to improvement in profitability. In other words, productivity and profitability would move together in the same direction if and only if input factor prices in comparison to output prices are unchanged. Moreover, this decomposition is useful for identifying to what extent the change in profitability is influenced by changes in output and input prices and by changes in total factor productivity. We tried to find out the same for UBCs in India.

Price Recovery index for sample urban bus companies is computed by dividing output price index by input price index. In this case, output price index is constructed by dividing traffic revenue index by the output quantity index. Similarly, the input price index is calculated by dividing operating cost index by the aggregate input quantity index. All indices are set equal to unity for BMTC in 2000-01 for this analysis. Table 13 presents output price index compared to input price index for the year 2000-01 and 2010-11 for the sample UBCs.

Between 2000-01 and 2010-11, all UBCs faced higher increase in their input factor prices in comparison to their output prices. As a consequence, price recovery index declined for all the firms from 2000-01 to 2010-11; decline is very steep for AMTS (51%), BEST (43%), and KMTU (43%) whereas decline is fairly moderate for BMTC (14%). Since UBCs could not increase their fare in line with increase in their input factor prices, they require significant productivity growth to improve their productivity performance.

Figure 2 presents annual growth rate in economic profit, productivity, and price recovery for the sample UBCs during 2000s. Between 2000-01 and 2010-11, none of the UBCs except KMTU could improve their economic profitability. During 2000s, CSTC, DTC, TMTU, AMTS, CHNTU, MTCL, and BEST faced decline in their economic profitability by 4.77%, 4.09%, 3.05%, 3.03%, 2.01%, 1.20%, and 1.04% per year, respectively; however, BMTC's economic profitability did not decline considerably.

Decline in economic profitability of CSTC, DTC, and TMTU is because they not only faced decline in their price recovery but also in their total factor productivity. BEST, AMTS, and MTCL faced decline in their profitability despite the fact that they achieved tremendous growth in their productivity. This is because increase in their input factor prices was far higher than increase in their output prices. CHNTU could not improve its profitability mainly because it could not achieve significant improvement in its productivity. BMTC's profitability was virtually unchanged because increase in its productivity (1.46% per year) was offset by decrease in its price recovery (1.49% per year). KMTU is the only UBC that experienced improvement in profitability (3.21% per year) despite the fact that it faced decline in its price recovery (5.46% per year), thanks to tremendous improvement in its productivity (9.17% per year). The analysis shows that the sample UBCs' profitability improved at lesser rate than the improvement in their productivity which reveals that the productivity gains achieved by most of them are being passed through to their customers.

4. CONCLUDING REMARKS

Nine UBCs are compared on the basis of their productivity and profitability performance during 2000s. We found that there is a wide disparity among UBCs according to both the measures of performance. Analysis shows that there is a positive relationship between productivity and size of UBCs; due to this, there is a similarity in UBCs' rank according to their size and productivity. In general, UBCs which experienced higher increase in their productivity are the ones which experienced greater increase in their output during 2000s. This may be because UBCs in India exhibit increasing returns to scale and therefore, ceteris paribus, increase in output will improve their productivity. We also consider the possible relationship between productivity and load factor. As expected, there is a high degree of positive correlation between productivity and load factor; correlation coefficient between these two variables is 0.764 with t-statistic of 11.35. As a consequence, there is a major similarity in rankings drawn from productivity and load factor. This shows that the improvement in load factor might be an important contributor to UBCs' productivity improvement.

As far as profitability of UBCs is concerned, during the year 2010-11, BMTC was the most profitable UBC whereas CSTC was the least profitable one. In fact, BMTC is the only UBC which experienced financial as well as economic profit during every year of the sample period. Among the sample UBCs, only KMTU's profitability performance is closer to that of BMTC whereas losses incurred by other UBCs are huge varying from Rs. 133 million for TMTU to Rs. 23,351 million for DTC in 201011. We found that KMTU is the only UBC that could improve its profitability from 2000-01 to 2010-11. During the same period, none of the other UBCs could improve their profitability despite the fact that five of them experienced improvement in their productivity. Furthermore, all UBCs faced higher increase in their input factor prices in comparison to their output prices. As a result, price recovery index declined for all of them from 2000-01 to 2010-11.

CSTC, DTC, and TMTU faced decline not only in their price recovery but also in their productivity which is the main reason for deterioration in their economic profitability. BEST, AMTS, and MTCL faced decline in their profitability despite the fact that they achieved tremendous growth in their productivity. This is because increase in their input factor prices was far higher than increase in their output prices. CHNTU could not improve its profitability mainly because it could not achieve significant improvement in its productivity. BMTC's profitability was virtually unchanged because increase in its productivity was offset by decrease in its price recovery. KMTU is the only UBC that improved its profitability despite the fact that it faced decline in its price recovery. This is because KMTU achieved tremendous growth in its productivity, highest among the sample UBCs.

References

Aboganda W. M. (1994), "Productivity Measurement Methodology", Industrial Engineering 26(11): 46-49.

Brayton G. N. (1985), "Productivity Measure Aids in Profit Analysis", Management Accounting 66(7): 54-58.

Caves D. W., Christensen L., and Diewert W. E. (1982), "Multilateral Comparisons of Output, Input, and Productivity using Superlative Index Numbers", The Economic Journal 92(1): 73-86.

Central Institute of Road Transport (CIRT), Pune; Various Publications.

Diewert W. E. (1992), "The Measurement of Productivity", Bulletin of Economic Research 44(3): 163-198.

Miller D. M. and Mohan P. R. (1989), "Analysis of Profit Linked Total Factor Productivity Measurement Models at the Firm Level", Management Science 35(6); 757-767.

Singh S. K. (2002), "An Analysis of Economic Profitability of Municipal Transport Undertakings in India", Indian Journal of Transport Management 26(4): 535-557.

Singh S. K. (2005), "Costs, Economies of Scale and Factor Demand in Urban Bus Transport: An Analysis of Municipal Transport Undertakings in India", International Journal of Transport Economics XXXII(2): 171-194.

Singh S. K. (2012), "Urban Transport in India: Issues, Challenges, and the Way Forward", European Transport \ Trasporti Europei (an International Journal of Transport Economics, Engineering and Law); Issue no.: 52; Paper no. 5; pp. 1-26.

Sink et al. (1984), "Productivity Measurement and Evaluation: What is Available?", National Productivity Review 3(3): 265-287.

Notes

(1.) CAGR signifies compound annual growth rate during the sample period. Throughout this paper, we follow the convention that growth is continuously compounded. Compounded percentage growth rates are rounded-off after two decimal points.

(2.) A simple method to test the null hypothesis that the correlation coefficient is zero can be obtained using Student's t-test on the t-statistic = r [square root of (N - 2/1 - [r.sup.2])] df = N-2; where r is correlation coefficient and N is the number of observations. So, in this case when r = 0.599 and N-2 = 92, t-statistic = 7.17. Hence, we can reject the null hypothesis that the correlation coefficient is zero at 1% level of significance since critical t-value is 2.62. Therefore, we can infer at 1% level of significance that the two series are correlated and the non-zero correlation did not happen by chance.

(3.) For detail discussion on economies of scale experienced by UBCs in India, see Singh (2005).

(4.) TFP is the broadest measure of productivity; it can either be measured using a nonparametric index number approach or through the econometric approach where productivity is estimated as the time shift in a cost (or production) function. The TFP measurement and its interpretation by these two approaches are not necessarily identical, but these differences can be ignored for this study. The index number approach is a gross measure of TFP; it does not distinguish between sources of productivity growth. Econometric estimates of TFP are technological shift measure; they exclude productivity gains from economies of scale or similar endogenous production characteristics (see, for the example, Diewert, 1992).

(5.) The ratio of an aggregate output price index to aggregate input price index is usually labeled as price recovery or price cost recovery in the management literature (see, for example, Brayton, 1985; Miller and Mohan, 1989; Aboganda, 1994; and Singh, 2002) or sometimes as price performance (Sink et al., 1984). For this study, we termed it as price recovery.

SANJAY K. SINGH * AND SHALINI RAGHAV **

* Associate Professor of Economics, Indian Institute of Management Lucknow, Prabandh Nagar, Off Sitapur Road, Lucknow-226013, India, E-mail: sanjay@iiml.ac.in

** Research Scholar, Department of Agricultural Economics, Institute of Agricultural Sciences, Banaras Hindu University, Varanasi-221005, India, E-mail: raghav.shalini9@gmail.com
Table 1
Descriptive Statistics of the Sample UBCs during 2010-11

UBCs    Pass.-Km     Bus-Km  Pass. Carried     No. of  No. of buses
       (million)  (million)      (million)  employees          held

BMTC       20103        458           1643      32953          6110
CSTC        1211         35            169       6102           956
DTC        13041        292           1107      35557          5765
AMTS        2102         53            290       5274           942
BEST       12307        262           1535      30183          4652
KMTU         391         11             25       1184           135
TMTU         685         14             86       2368           350
CHNTU       2022         44             79       2136           471
MTCL       21796        347           2015      23500          3414

Table 2
Output of UBCs, 2000-01 to 2010-11, Indices; BMTC (2000-01) = 1.000

UBCs    2000-01   2001-02   2002-03   2003-04   2004-05   2005-06

BMTC      1.000     1.185     1.316     1.695     2.018     1.936
CSTC      0.340     0.348     0.335     0.311     0.299     0.279
DTC       2.991     2.486     1.543     1.391     1.703     1.895
AMTS      0.302     0.254     0.171     0.143     0.158     0.237
BEST      1.548     1.471     1.563     1.607     1.630     1.553
KMTU      0.018     0.033     0.046     0.047     0.070     0.064
TMTU      0.108     0.127     0.140     0.120     0.123     0.122
CHNTU     0.304     0.319     N.A.      N.A.      N.A.      0.345
MTCL      2.058     1.887     1.832     1.755     1.887     1.930

UBCs    2006-07   2007-08   2008-09   2009-10   2010-11   CAGR (1)
                                                               (%)

BMTC      2.150     2.305     2.463     2.739     3.085      11.92
CSTC      0.276     0.275     0.212     0.294     0.186      -5.87
DTC       1.606     1.555     1.317     1.303     2.001      -3.94
AMTS      0.325     0.350     0.330     N.A.      0.323       0.66
BEST      1.567     1.635     1.881     1.957     1.888       2.01
KMTU      0.070     0.035     0.021     0.023     0.060      12.60
TMTU      0.118     0.111     0.098     0.086     0.105      -0.31
CHNTU     0.338     0.344     0.335     0.289     0.310       0.19
MTCL      1.983     2.184     2.558     2.987     3.344       4.97

Note: N.A. denotes that the data is not available.

Table 3
Input of UBCs, 2000-01 to 2010-11, Indices; BMTC (2000-01) = 1.000

UBCs    2000-01   2001-02   2002-03   2003-04   2004-05   2005-06
CAGR (%)

BMTC      1.000     1.032     1.075     1.176     1.379     1.522
10.31
CSTC      0.566     0.562     0.526     0.509     0.484     0.475
-4.19
DTC       1.816     1.599     1.186     1.374     1.353     1.284
-3.42
AMTS      0.432     0.408     0.311     0.264     0.250     0.262
-3.32
BEST      2.207     2.165     2.105     1.989     2.044     1.968
-2.61
KMTU      0.053     0.060     0.068     0.073     0.064     0.068
3.14
TMTU      0.144     0.151     0.152     0.161     0.160     0.156
0.36
CHNTU       0.2     0.202      N.A.      N.A.      N.A.     0.206
-0.35
MTCL      1.431     1.387     1.374     1.351     1.321     1.293
1.70

UBCs      2006-07   2007-08   2008-09   2009-10    2010-11

BMTC        1.690     2.021     2.208     2.501      2.669
CSTC        0.464     0.443     0.415     0.410      0.369
DTC         1.203     1.218     1.219     1.145      1.282
AMTS        0.326     0.381     0.343      N.A.      0.308
BEST        1.929     1.854     1.825     1.775      1.694
KMTU        0.079     0.075     0.073     0.073      0.072
TMTU        0.146     0.142     0.140     0.135      0.150
CHNTU       0.203     0.202     0.196     0.175      0.193
MTCL        1.277     1.455     1.606     1.635      1.694

Note: N.A. denotes that the data is not available.

Table 4
TFP of UBCs, 2000-01 to 2010-11, Indices; BMTC (2000-01) = 1.000

UBCs    2000-01   2001-02   2002-03   2003-04   2004-05   2005-06

BMTC      1.000     1.148     1.225     1.441     1.463     1.272
CSTC      0.601     0.619     0.637     0.612     0.618     0.588
DTC       1.647     1.554     1.301     1.012     1.259     1.477
AMTS      0.700     0.622     0.550     0.540     0.634     0.904
BEST      0.701     0.679     0.742     0.808     0.798     0.789
KMTU      0.345     0.548     0.674     0.647     1.100     0.943
TMTU      0.751     0.841     0.921     0.744     0.765     0.783
CHNTU     1.522     1.581      N.A.      N.A.      N.A.     1.676
MTCL      1.439     1.360     1.333     1.300     1.429     1.492

UBCs    2006-07   2007-08   2008-09   2009-10   2010-11   CAGR (%)

BMTC      1.272     1.141     1.116     1.095     1.156       1.46
CSTC      0.594     0.621     0.511     0.716     0.504      -1.75
DTC       1.335     1.277     1.080     1.138     1.561      -0.54
AMTS      0.998     0.919     0.963      N.A.     1.048       4.11
BEST      0.812     0.882     1.031     1.103     1.115       4.74
KMTU      0.889     0.460     0.294     0.314     0.830       9.17
TMTU      0.810     0.776     0.701     0.638     0.702      -0.66
CHNTU     1.665     1.703     1.706     1.646     1.608       0.55
MTCL      1.552     1.501     1.593     1.827     1.974       3.22

Note: N.A. denotes that the data is not available.

Table 5
UBCs ranked by 2000-01 & 2010-11 level of TFP and Size

UBCs    TFP        TFP        TFP        TFP        TFP
        rank       level      rank       level      CAGR

        2000-01    2000-01    2010-11    2010-11    rank   level (%)

BMTC       4        1.000        4        1.156      5          1.46
CSTC       8        0.601        9        0.504      9         -1.75
DTC        1        1.647        3        1.561      7         -0.54
AMTS       7        0.700        6        1.048      3          4.11
BEST       6        0.701        5        1.115      2          4.74
KMTU       9        0.345        7        0.830      1          9.17
TMTU       5        0.751        8        0.702      8         -0.66
CHNTU      2        1.522        2        1.608      6          0.55
MTCL       3        1.439        1        1.974      4          3.22

UBCs      Out-       Out-       Out-       Out-     Output
          put        put        put        put       CAGR
          rank      level       rank      level

        2000-01    2000-01    2010-11    2010-11     rank    level (%)

BMTC       4        1.000        2        3.085       2          11.92
CSTC       5        0.340        7        0.186       9          -5.87
 DTC       1        2.991        3        2.001       8          -3.94
AMTS       7        0.302        5        0.323       5           0.66
BEST       3        1.548        4        1.888       4           2.01
KMTU       9        0.018        9        0.060       1          12.60
TMTU       8        0.108        8        0.105       7          -0.31
CHNTU      6        0.304        6        0.310       6           0.19
MTCL       2        2.058        1        3.344       3           4.97

Table 6
Labor Productivity (PKm per Employee) of UBCs, 2000-01 to 2010-11,
Indices; BMTC (2000-01) = 1.000

UBCs    2000-01   2001-02   2002-03   2003-04   2004-05   2005-06
CAGR ($)

BMTC      1.000     1.161     1.247     1.475     1.544     1.384
2.44
CSTC      0.491     0.531     0.544     0.525     0.525     0.499
-1.70
DTC       1.665     1.363     0.863     0.633     0.793     0.905
-7.48
AMTS      0.589     0.497     0.442     0.456     0.540     0.820
3.50
BEST      0.556     0.540     0.602     0.627     0.617     0.613
4.35
KMTU      0.267     0.451     0.542     0.467     1.221     1.062
9.95
TMTU      0.575     0.691     0.746     0.610     0.631     0.635
0.47
CHNTU     1.786     1.855      N.A.      N.A.      N.A.     2.050
1.01
MTCL      1.303     1.239     1.249     1.243     1.407     1.479
4.03

UBCs    2006-07   2007-08   2008-09   2009-10    2010-11

BMTC      1.421     1.227     1.216     1.201      1.272
CSTC      0.515     0.537     0.437     0.594      0.414
DTC       0.792     0.743     0.614     0.601      0.765
AMTS      0.810     0.813     0.777      N.A.      0.831
BEST      0.642     0.698     0.847     0.894      0.851
KMTU      0.685     0.369     0.239     0.263      0.688
TMTU      0.622     0.590     0.528     0.468      0.603
CHNTU     2.069     2.103     2.096     1.873      1.974
MTCL      1.538     1.410     1.539     1.766      1.935

Note: N.A. denotes that the data is not available.

Table 7
Fuel Productivity (Bus-Km per Litre of Diesel) of UBCs, 2000-01 to
2010-11, Indices; BMTC (2000-01) = 1.000

UBCs    2000-01   2001-02   2002-03   2003-04   2004-05   2005-06

BMTC      1.000     1.037     1.067     1.104     1.100     1.081
CSTC      0.803     0.826     0.858     0.868     0.858     0.858
DTC       0.882     0.893     0.875     0.882     0.893     0.914
AMTS      0.858     0.852     0.849     0.000     0.805     0.833
BEST      0.705     0.703     0.705     0.735     0.742     0.768
KMTU      0.838     0.821     0.840     0.863     0.856     0.893
TMTU      0.768     0.761     0.761     0.738     0.733     0.729
CHNTU     0.928     0.930      N.A.      N.A.      N.A.     0.961
MTCL      0.819     0.819     0.821     0.831     0.847     0.875

UBCs    2006-07   2007-08   2008-09   2009-10   2010-11   CAGR (%)

BMTC      1.056     1.032     1.014     0.954     0.930      -0.72
CSTC      0.858     0.826     0.828     0.805     0.812       0.12
DTC       0.912     0.905     0.937     0.984     0.986       1.13
AMTS      0.812     0.807     0.810      N.A.     0.810      -0.58
BEST      0.742     0.719     0.698     0.682     0.675      -0.44
KMTU      0.900     0.893     0.893     0.831     0.861       0.27
TMTU      0.745     0.752     0.754     0.733     0.664      -1.45
CHNTU     0.942     0.949     0.951     0.000     0.949       0.22
MTCL      0.889     0.914     0.984     1.035     1.019       2.20

Note: N.A. denotes that the data is not available.

Table 8
Bus Productivity (Bus-Km per Bus Held) of UBCs, 2000-01 to 2010-11,
Indices; BMTC (2000-01) = 1.000

UBCs    2000-01   2001-02   2002-03   2003-04   2004-05   2005-06

BMTC      1.000     1.060     1.048     1.078     1.050     1.044
CSTC      0.615     0.674     0.758     0.735     0.660     0.595
DTC       0.801     0.837     0.819     0.918     0.924     0.983
AMTS      0.801     0.686     0.528     0.589     0.673     0.822
BEST      0.934     0.909     0.923     0.936     0.927     0.930
KMTU      0.663     1.083     1.094     1.060     1.006     1.058
TMTU      0.914     0.968     0.977     0.893     0.856     0.790
CHNTU     1.468     1.474      N.A.      N.A.      N.A.     1.538
MTCL      0.987     0.934     0.979     0.985     0.987     1.000

UBCs    2006-07   2007-08   2008-09   2009-10   2010-11   CAGR (%)

BMTC      1.042     1.020     1.035     1.015     0.984      -0.16
CSTC      0.576     0.584     0.559     0.535     0.479      -2.47
DTC       0.780     0.703     0.634     0.714     0.666      -1.84
AMTS      0.867     0.888     0.910      N.A.     0.732      -0.90
BEST      0.915     0.862     0.806     0.813     0.738      -2.33
KMTU      1.085     1.148     1.119     1.072     1.054       4.74
TMTU      0.672     0.679     0.600     0.550     0.527      -5.35
CHNTU     1.509     1.533     1.534     1.313     1.225      -1.79
MTCL      0.976     1.098     1.257     1.362     1.335       3.07

Note: N.A. denotes that the data is not available.

Table 9
UBCs Ranked by Labor Productivity (PKm/E), Fuel Productivity (BKm/D),
Bus Productivity (BKm/B), and Total Factor Productivity

UBCs    PKm / E         PKm / E         BKm / D         BKm / D
        2000-01         2010-11         2000-01         2010-11

        rank    level   rank    level   rank    level   rank    level

BMTC      4     1.000     3     1.272     1     1.000     4     0.930
CSTC      8     0.491     9     0.414     7     0.803     6     0.812
DTC       2     1.665     6     0.765     3     0.882     2     0.986
AMTS      5     0.589     5     0.831     4     0.858     7     0.810
BEST      7     0.556     4     0.851     9     0.705     8     0.675
KMTU      9     0.267     7     0.688     5     0.838     5     0.861
TMTU      6     0.575     8     0.603     8     0.768     9     0.664
CHNTU     1     1.786     1     1.974     2     0.928     3     0.949
MTCL      3     1.303     2     1.935     6     0.819     1     1.019

UBCs    BKm / B          BKm / B         TFP             TFP
        2000-01          2010-11         2000-01         2010-11

        rank    level    rank    level   rank    level   rank    level

BMTC      2     1.000      4     0.984     4     1.000     4     1.156
CSTC      9     0.615      9     0.479     8     0.601     9     0.504
DTC       6     0.801      7     0.666     1     1.647     3     1.561
AMTS      7     0.801      6     0.732     7     0.700     6     1.048
BEST      4     0.934      5     0.738     6     0.701     5     1.115
KMTU      8     0.663      3     1.054     9     0.345     7     0.830
TMTU      5     0.914      8     0.527     5     0.751     8     0.702
CHNTU     1     1.468      2     1.225     2     1.522     2     1.608
MTCL      3     0.987      1     1.335     3     1.439     1     1.974

Table 10
Bus Utilization by UBCs

UBCs    Bus-km per bus      Bus-km per bus on   Fleet utilization
        held per day        road per day        (in percentage)

        2000-01   2010-11   2000-01   2010-11   2000-01   2010-11
BMTC        209       205       220       222        95        92
CSTC        128       100       193       191        66        52
DTC         167       139       233       185        72        75
AMTS        167       153       207       213        81        72
BEST        195       154       212       176        92        88
KMTU        138       220       227       238        61        93
TMTU        191       110       209       197        91        56
CHNTU       306       256       323       271        95        94
MTCL        206       279       251       316        82        88

Table 11
UBCs ranked by Load Factor (LF) and Total Factor Productivity

UBCs    LF                  LF                  LF
        2000-01             2010-11             CAGR
        rank   level (%)    rank    level (%)   rank    level (%)

BMTC       6          58       7          67       4        1.45
CSTC       4          74       9          60       9       -2.08
DTC        2          83       4          74       8       -1.14
AMTS       8          53       8          66       3        2.22
BEST       7          55       5          70       2        2.44
KMTU       9          39       6          68       1        5.72
TMTU       5          71       3          80       5        1.20
CHNTU      3          83       1          92       6        1.03
MTCL       1          87       2          87       7        0.00

UBCs    TFP                 TFP                 TFP
        2000-01             2010-11             CAGR
        rank    level (%)   rank    level (%)   rank    level (%)

BMTC       4       1.000       4       1.156       5        1.46
CSTC       8       0.601       9       0.504       9       -1.75
DTC        1       1.647       3       1.561       7       -0.54
AMTS       7       0.700       6       1.048       3        4.11
BEST       6       0.701       5       1.115       2        4.74
KMTU       9       0.345       7       0.830       1        9.17
TMTU       5       0.751       8       0.702       8       -0.66
CHNTU      2       1.522       2       1.608       6        0.55
MTCL       3       1.439       1       1.974       4        3.22

Table 12
Financial and Economic Profitability of UBCs during 2000-01 and
2010-11 (Monetary units in Rs. million)

UBCs          Traffic                Total                Operating
              Revenue               Revenue                 Cost
               (TrR)                 (TR)                   (OC)

         2000-01    2010-11    2000-01    2010-11    2000-01   2010-11

BMTC        2568      12112       2761      13275       2552     12101
CSTC         531        619        552        654       1325      2514
WC          2769       8228       5752       9870       7323     32993
AMTS         822       1014        854       1089       1362      2286
BEST        6465      10021       6961      11128       8340     14359
KMTU          75        295        112        312        108       309
TMTU         358        547        363        674        362       753
CHNTU        488        996        549       1115        554      1386
MTCL        3109       7834       3601       9202       4015     11419

UBCs           Total                Economic              Financial
               Cost                  Profit                Profit
               (TC)                (TrR) / OC)           (TR / TC)

         2000-01    2010-11    2000-01    2010-11    2000-01   2010-11

BMTC        2630      12772      1.006      1.001      1.050     1.039
CSTC        1325       2514      0.401      0.246      0.417     0.260
WC          7564      33221      0.378      0.249      0.760     0.297
AMTS        1375       2301      0.604      0.444      0.621     0.473
BEST        8698      14942      0.775      0.698      0.800     0.745
KMTU         115        312      0.695      0.953      0.977     1.000
TMTU         397        807      0.990      0.726      0.914     0.835
CHNTU        563       1491      0.880      0.718      0.974     0.748
MTCL        4065      11516      0.774      0.686      0.886     0.799

Table 13
Output Price, Input Price, and Price Recovery Indices of UBCs during
2000-01
and 2010-11 (BMTC (2000-01) = 1.000)

UB Cs   Output Price        Input Price         Price Recovery
                                                (Output Price / Input
                                                Price)

        2000-01   2010-11   2000-01   2010-11   2000-01   2010-11

BMTC      1.000     1.529     1.000     1.777     1.000     0.861
CSTC      0.608     1.297     0.918     2.672     0.662     0.485
DTC       0.360     1.601     1.580    10.085     0.228     0.159
AMTS      1.060     1.224     1.237     2.910     0.857     0.421
BEST      1.626     2.066     1.481     3.321     1.098     0.622
KMTU      1.604     1.914     0.801     1.678     2.001     1.141
TMTU      1.287     2.025     0.982     1.972     1.311     1.027
CHNTU     0.624     1.250     1.086     2.815     0.575     0.444
MTCL      0.588     0.912     1.100     2.641     0.535     0.345

Figure 2: Growth in Economic Profit, Productivity, and Price Recovery

                     TMTU     MTCL     KMTU      DTC     CSTC    CHNTU

a Economic Profit    -3.05    -1.20     3.21    -4.09    -4.77    -2.01
b Productivity       -0.66     3.22     9.17    -0.54    -1.75     0.55
c Price Recovery     -2.41    -4.29    -5.46    -3.54    -3.06    -2.55

                     BMTC     BEST     AMTS

a Economic Profit    -0.05    -1.04    -3.03
b Productivity        1.46     4.74     4.11
c Price Recovery     -1.49    -5.52    -6.86
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