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  • 标题:Trade facilitation, regulatory quality export performance: empirical investigation for South Asian countries.
  • 作者:Ahmad, Mohsin Hasnain ; Ahmed, Qazi Massod
  • 期刊名称:Indian Journal of Economics and Business
  • 印刷版ISSN:0972-5784
  • 出版年度:2013
  • 期号:May
  • 语种:English
  • 出版社:Indian Journal of Economics and Business
  • 摘要:In the recent decades trade facilitation has become an imperative part of the current debate on trade liberalization policy particularly in developing economies. Considering the importance of trade facilitation, within the Doha Round negotiation of WTO, is one of the important "implementation related issues as well as concerns". The Official declaration of meeting realized how crucial it is to develop the capacity of developing member countries and equip them technically in order to enjoy maximum benefits of trade liberalization. To enhance the capacity as well as upgrade trade-related infrastructure of developing countries they need to help them to get benefit from WTO agreements and move swiftly to enhance their trade (WTO, 2006).
  • 关键词:Exports;International trade

Trade facilitation, regulatory quality export performance: empirical investigation for South Asian countries.


Ahmad, Mohsin Hasnain ; Ahmed, Qazi Massod


1. INTRODUCTION

In the recent decades trade facilitation has become an imperative part of the current debate on trade liberalization policy particularly in developing economies. Considering the importance of trade facilitation, within the Doha Round negotiation of WTO, is one of the important "implementation related issues as well as concerns". The Official declaration of meeting realized how crucial it is to develop the capacity of developing member countries and equip them technically in order to enjoy maximum benefits of trade liberalization. To enhance the capacity as well as upgrade trade-related infrastructure of developing countries they need to help them to get benefit from WTO agreements and move swiftly to enhance their trade (WTO, 2006).

Trade liberalization is one of the important policy advise opted in developing countries over the last few years. The enormous increased in international trade due to reduction in tariff rates which has created a challenging situation for custom administration, particularly associated with effectiveness and efficiency of customs' processing. Trade transaction costs are a key factor in explaining the pattern of international trade flows. (1) There is various indirect and direct transactions costs involved in international trade, contributing around 15 per cent of the value of traded good (OECD, 2003). In such scenario, trade facilitation is considered as an effective policy tool for reducing the transaction costs through the removal of non-tariff barriers and improvements to the trade administration system. These reforms are designed to ensure that traded goods flow across the borders in a smooth, well-timed and at relatively lower cost. (2) Although the potential benefits of trade facilitation are observable but the implementation of these measures must be complemented with other reforms in order to improve the export performance of developing countries. (3)

World Bank (2009) reported that enterprises in most SAARC countries spend much more time and documents require in export procedure than do their business rivals in developed countries. For example in SAARC economies, on average, it takes 33 days with 8 documents and cost around 1314 US $ per container to export, while in OECD countries a similar good would only take 7 days to export , require four documents and cost around 896 US $ per container for export (Doing Business 2012). Cumbersome customs procedures, weak trade related infrastructure or troublesome regulatory requirements represent a negative externality on private transactions which can increase significantly trade related transaction costs and eventually distort industrial production with adverse effects on economic growth.

Historically, SAARC's export performance in terms of share in global context is disappointing. The region's share in total world export is small and falling till 1990. The merchandise export of SAARC countries and its share in the world exports, except India all other countries export's share less than one per cent in the world exports. The share of SAARC countries in world export steadily decrease from 3.7% in 1950 to 0.8% in 1990 and then gradually increase and reach to 2% in world exports in 2011 however still its share is not much significant as compared to other developing Asian economies. (4)

South Asia has poor trade facilitation indicators and weak institutional structure seem to hurdle to facilitate the export growth in member countries. The present study investigates impact of trade facilitation and regulatory quality on export performance of South Asian countries. In recent literature, no study is so far has examined this link particularly for South Asian countries by employing panel data estimation techniques.

The plan of the paper is as follows: Trade facilitation indicators and Global competitiveness index are presented in section 2. Sector 3 provides a succinct review of literature. Data description and methodology is explained in section 4. Empirical results are reported in the section 5 and section 6 presents a concluding summary and some policy implications that emerge from the study.

2. TRADE FACILITATION INDICATORS AND GLOBAL COMPETITIVENESS INDICES

2.1. Trade Facilitation Indicators

Keeping in view the competitiveness of South Asian countries with their trade rivals from developed part of the world, the South Asian countries are more time and cost inefficient in import and export procedures. The relatively high costs and time delays in doing business in South Asia are not only associated to disadvantageous geographic location but also linked with administrative hurdles, poor logistics and cumbersome documentation and procedures.

An analysis of trade facilitation indicators is performed for SAARC and selected OCED countries in Table 1 and Table 2 respectively. The trading across boarder measures are based on documents require (numbers), time require (days) and per container cost for export/imports. Trade facilitation indicators are reported for exports and import in order to make comparison between countries and regions. For instance, in some South Asian countries, the cost to export one container is more than $ 1700, which is more than two times average cost in OECD countries. The situation is even worse in terms of transaction time; average time spent on export procedures in SAARC countries is almost five times longer than that in OECD countries. In some SAARC countries, it takes more than 40 days to complete export procedures. Situation is not different for import side; the cost and average time to import for some economies are two times and five times longer respectively as compared to OECD countries. The cumbersome procedure and documents required for export and import also create the hurdle in facilitating the trade in SAARC region. Documents required for export and import in SAARC region is two times higher than OECD countries.

Country specific trade facilitation index show that there is cross countries variation in their sub components. For instance, Sweden requires least documents (i.e. 3 documents) for exports while for imports Sweden and Denmark requires least documents among reported countries. Afghanistan requires highest document i.e. 10 documents for exports and Bhutan requires 12 documents for imports. In the term of cost of trade, it is least in Finland for both exports and import (i.e. $482for exports and $528 for imports) whereas it is highest in Afghanistan for both exports and imports (i.e. $2763 for exports and $2794 for imports). Time requires to export / import is also an important indicators, the analysis shows that Denmark take least time for trade i.e. 5 days and Afghanistan requires the most time i.e. 71 day for exports and 76 days for imports.

2.2. Global Competitiveness Indices

Many indices have been constructed by international and regional organizations to assess country's competitiveness. The World Economic Forum has developed the

Global Competitiveness Index (GO) to explore the competitive strengths of a country and the barriers which affects its economic performance.

Table 3 and Table 4 represent Global Competitive Index (GCI) and the rank of selected South Asian countries and OCED countries respectively, it is clear from the tables, performance of OCED countries based on GCI is much better than South Asian countries. Further, we observe that performance of OECD countries is very impressive and their rank is among top fifteen countries in the world while performance of SAARC economies is very disappointed.

Table 5 and Table 6 show three sub-component of GCI, that are Judicial Independence (JI) index that related to 'rule of law' and shows to what extent is the judiciary in a country is independent from influences of members of government or enterprises. Reliability of police services (RPS) indicator depicts the extent by which police services can be trusted upon for the enforcement of law and order in a country. Burden of government regulations (GR) index represents the impediments faced by businesses in a country to abide by governmental administrative requirements (e.g., rules, licenses and permits, and monitoring and reporting).

It can be observed from table 5 that ranking of OECD on the basis of reliability of police service (RPS) and Judicial Independence (JI) indicators is much better than the South Asian countries. Within the OCED countries the ranking for reliability of police service (RPS) of the Switzerland and Netherland has improved in 2012-13 compared to 2006-07 while the ranking of Germany, United Kingdom and United States has reduced during the same period. United States has experienced highest decrease in ranking during this period. Ranking for Judicial Independence (JI) has decreased for all the OECD countries in 2012-13 compared to 2006-07.

It can be observed that Sri Lanka and Pakistan has shown improvement in the ranking of Judicial Independence during 2012-13 compared to 2006-07. Ranking for Reliability on Police Service delivery in Sri Lanka has improved while for other countries it has decreased in 2012-13 compared to 2006-07.

Table 6 highlights the burden of government regulation (GR); we can see that in business there are more cumbersome procedures and regulations in SAARC countries as compared to OECD countries.

3. BRIEF REVIEW OF LITERATURE

3.1. Trade Facilitation and Trade Performance

In most of the developing countries there has been a visible change in trade policies, switching from import substitution to export-oriented policy. We observe a visible reduction in tariff rates in last three decades, resulting in expansion of global trade and the increase in supply chain management practices have resulted in concerns with the impact of on-the-border and inside-the-border transaction costs on international trade. There are many empirical studies available in the literature available that shows the trade facilitation reforms matter for international trade flows. Norda's et al. (2006) investigates the association between processing time for international trade. They find that time delays have negative impact on trade volumes and it also reduces the probability to enter export markets for time-sensitive products. Clarke (2005) investigates the factors that affect the export performance of the African countries, and finds that manufacturing firms are more attractive to export in countries with well functioning customs administrations and impose less restriction on international trade. Tomasz iwanow and Colin Kirkpatrick (2007) find that trade facilitation along with other reforms are significant impact on export performance of the developing countries.

3.2. Institutional Quality and Trade Performance

The association between quality of institutions and trade is recognized in economic literature. North (1991) argues that institutions influence economic activities through the channels of transaction and production costs. Building on theoretical contribution in literature of North, there has been a growing interest among researchers to investigate quality of institutions as determinants of international trade flows. Anderson and Marcouiller (1997) point out that channel through which institutions can affect trade is by reducing risks associated with international transactions. Anderson and Young (1999) show that if enforcement of contracts is weak, it may reduce trade by acting as a tariff on risk-neutral traders. This analysis is supported by Rodrik (2002) who shows that lack of contract enforcement indeed reduces international trade because it is particularly helpful in smooth international transactions involving traders in different countries with different legal and political structures. Similarly, a study by Anderson and Marcouiller (2002) suggest that strong institutions, particularly, capable legal systems, neutral formulations and implementations of government economic policies, positively contribute to the growth of trade. Jensen and Nordas (2004) find a positive correlation between quality of institutions and trade levels. Freund and Bolaky (2002) finding suggest that in economies with good regulatory quality, trade enhances growth. They show that if quality of institutions declines, it acts an additional positive mark-up on the price of exports which, in turn, results in reduced export demand and export earnings.

There are also some indirect channels which explain the linkages between institutional quality and growth of international trade (Rodrik, 1995; and Elbadawi, 1998). Investment is an important determinant of trade, any change in institutional quality effects investment and induces indirect effect on international trade (Brunetti and Weder, 1998; Mauro, 1995; and Knack and Keefer, 1995).

4. DATA DESCRIPTION AND MODEL SPECIFICATION

4.1. Data Description

4.1.1. Trade Facilitation Index

For the Trade facilitation measures (TF), we used the Doing Business database of the World Bank. The originally trading across boarder measures consists of the following each three components of export and imports. (5)

* Number of documents essential for export and import goods;

* Time required to complete all procedures for export and import goods;

* Cost associated with all the procedures required for export and import goods.

We have constructed a single index of trade facilitation from above indicators. An important aspect of this single measure of trade facilitation is that it captured different dimension time and cost of custom procedures. The original data of trading across boarder indicators have different units and scales and also some components are time invariant. In order to ensure compatibility among the various indicators used, all indicators are rescaled to vary from 0 to 10, in such a way, so that better trade facilitation corresponds to higher values of the index. Moreover, single indicator of trade facilitation is time variant, which is suitable for empirical purposes.

4.1.2. Regulatory Quality

The indicator of regulatory quality (RQ) is taken from Worldwide Governance Indicators of World Bank which directly measure regulatory quality. The regulatory quality index captures perceptions of the capability of the government in formulation and implementation of sound policies and regulations that allow and encourage the development of private business sector. This data source covers all SAARC countries whereas other sources such as World Economic Forum (WEF) is not reporting required variable for all SAARC countries.

4.1.3. Other Variables

Export of good and services (EX) is used as dependent variable. The other important variables are incorporated in the model suggested by literature that might affect export performance. GDP per capita growth of trading partner (GPC), trade openness (OP) as proxy of (import+export/ GDP) and infrastructure quality (INF) are taken World Development Indicator (WDI) whereas Real effective exchange rate (REER) is obtained from Bruegel.org.

4.2. Model Specification

To examine the potential relationship between trade facilitation, regulatory quality and export performance, we have used Fixed Effect Method (FEM) and Generalized Moment Method (GMM) to estimate the model. Fixed effects regressions are preferable not only because they control for all time-invariant factors but also they use only within-country variation in the data for estimation. Due to the endogenous nature of trade facilitation, one may also be concerned that a rise in volume of international trade can generate additional pressure on customs administration for the provision of efficient services. Therefore, we adopt the GMM to control for the potential endogeneity problem between export and trade facilitation. To evaluate the effect of the trade facilitation and regulatory quality on exports performance of the South Asian countries, we have estimated the following model over the period 2004 to 2012.

[EX.sub.it] = [[alpha].sub.i] + [[alpha].sub.2] [GPC.sub.it] + [[alpha].sub.2][REER.sub.it] + [[alpha].sub.3][TO.sub.it] + [[alpha].sub.4][INF.sub.it] + [[alpha].sub.5][TF.sub.it] + [[alpha].sub.6][RQ.sub.it] + [[alpha].sub.7][TF.sub.it]* [RQ.sub.it] + [[mu].sub.it]

Where:

EX = Export of good and services

TF = Trade facilitation Index

RQ = Regulatory quality

TO = Trade openness

REER = Real effective exchange rate

GPC = GDP per capita income growth of trade partners

INF = physical infrastructure

Where EXir is country i's ratio of exports of goods and services for year t. REERti stands for country i's real effective exchange rate for year t. GiPCit measures the GDP per capita income growth country i's trade partners. TO indicates the trade openness measure for country i's for year t. TFit and RQit stands for an index of trade facilitation and regulatory quality of country i's for year t, respectively. INFit is the physical infrastructure for country i's for year t. Finally, to capture the complementary relationship between trade facilitation and regulatory quality, interaction term (TF*RQ) is incorporated in the model.

5. EMPIRICAL RESULTS

The estimated results from FEM and GMM are reported in column 1 and 2 of Table 8, respectively. (6) The estimated results from FEM and GMM are broadly the same, as all variables have the expected sign and are significant at the 1% or 5% level. The exception is the coefficient for REER, which is negative but not significant.

The empirical finding reveal that trade facilitation has a statistically significant, suggesting that the trade facilitation does matter over time for export performance in case of SAARC countries. The estimated coefficient of trade facilitation from FEM and GMM reveals that one per cent improvement in the trade facilitation (TF) yield (0.43) and (0.29) per cent increase in export respectively. The coefficient of regulatory quality (RQ) is significant at the 1% level, indicating a positive linkage with export flows. The estimated coefficient of regulatory quality (RQ) from FEM and GMM implies that a one per cent improvement in regulatory environment raises exports by (0.12) and (0.32) per cent respectively.

The paper also examined the complementary relationship between trade facilitation and regulatory quality (TFRQ) to promote export growth. The findings of FEM and GMM reveal that their combine impact exert significant positively related to export growth. Empirical results suggest that simultaneously implementation of these policies would marvelous performance of export. The coefficient of interaction term (TF*RQ) is significant and indicates that joint impact one per cent improvement in trade facilitation and regulation quality expand export performance by (1.35 and 1.05) per cent. The result highlights the importance of the complementary policies on export performance. This confirms that trade facilitation reforms are crucial if they are complemented with other reforms such as regulatory quality.

Partial effect of trade openness (OP) exerts a positive and significant impact on export performance in SAARC economies. This endorses the importance of a liberal trade regime to enhance export growth. (7) Similarly, GDP per capita growth (GPC) and physical infrastructure (IR) also appears to be significantly positive related to export. The exception is REER, which has the expected negative sign but is no longer significant. This result implies towards an interesting policy implication that devaluation or depreciation may not seem an effective tool for export performance for SAARC economies.

6. SUMMARY AND CONCLUSIONS

Tariff rates have been reduced globally over the last few years, which have consequently resulted in huge increased in international trade. However, the economic performance has varied across countries, suggesting that country-specific factors have important role in determining an economy's response to capture trading opportunities. The rapid growth in international trade has created a challenging situation for customs administration to provide efficient services for international trade. The significance of trade facilitation and trade regulations, other reforms has become more evident with passage of time.

The present study explores impact of trade facilitation and other reforms on export performance of South Asian economies. Findings support that the trade facilitation and regulatory quality have important role to play in facilitating export growth in South Asian countries. Empirical findings confirm the important link between trade facilitation measures, regulatory quality and export performance. Trade openness, GDP per capita income of trade partners and physical infrastructure are also emerged important determinants of export performance of SAARC region. Furthermore, our findings suggest that trade facilitation reforms are crucial if they are supplemented with institutional reforms and in this way it can enhance an economy's capacity to respond to the export market opportunities created by trade liberalization policies. One of the important aspects of the previous studies is that they use aggregate data of export for empirical analysis; however, impact of trade facilitation reforms may vary across sector wise export. Therefore, it would more valuable to explore the impact of trade facilitation on sectoral export performance for future research.

References

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Notes

(1.) See (Obsfeld and Rogoff, 2000; Deardorff, 2004).

(2.) There is no generic definition available to describe trade facilitation and its scope. Narrowly defined, trade facilitation is associated with the reduction of transaction costs (on the border) other than tariff rates, which are essentially comprised of simplification, standardization, and harmonization of trade documents and formalities related to international trade. Broadly defined, trade facilitation not merely comprised of at-the border issues, but also beyond-the-border issues, exposure with external trade and commerce, infrastructural quality ,quality of institutions, and domestic rules and regulations (See OECD (2005), UNCTAD (2001).

(3.) The importance of institutions in shaping the outcome of policy reform measures is well recognized in literature. Capacity building and institutional reforms are important component of the 'new' Washington consensus (Rodrik, 2006; Jalilian et al., 2007).

(4.) See Appendix Table 9 and Table 10.

(5.) Documents Needed (Numbers) : Customs clearance documents, banks documents, port and terminal handling documents and transport documents.

Time Require (Days) : Acquire all documents ,inland transport and handling, customs clearance and inspections, port and terminal handling ,ocean transport time is not added.

Cost Require (US $ per Container): All documents, inland transport, customs clearance procedure and inspections, port and terminal handling, official cost excluding bribes.

(6.) The Hausman test statistic is [chi square] = 25.9 (p = 0.000), it shows that Fixed Effect Method is more appropriate than Random Effects Method.

(7.) Trade liberalization is significant and positively associated with export growth (Thomas et al., 1991; Weiss, 1992; Joshi and Little, 1996; Ahmed, 2000, Santos-Paulino, 2002 and Ahmad, Mohsin H., 2010).
Appendix
Table 9
Trends of Merchandise Export (US $ Millions)

                         1950       1960       1970       1990

Afghanistan               53         50         86        235
                        (0.09)     (0.04)     (0.03)     (0.01)
Bangladesh               274        325        519        1671
                        (0.44)     (0.25)     (0.16)     (0.05)
Bhutan                    --         --         --         70
                                                        (0.002)
India                    1145       1332       2026      17969
                        (1.85)     (1.02)     (0.64)     (0.52)
Maldives                  2          2          4          78
                       (0.003)    (0.001)    (0.001)    (0.002)
Nepal                     1          17         42        175
                       (0.002)     (0.01)     (0.01)    (0.005)
Pakistan                 489        394        397        5589
                        (0.79)     (0.31)     (0.13)     (0.16)
Sri-Lanka                328        385        342        1912
                        (0.53)     (0.23)     (0.11)     (0.05)
SAARC Region             2292       2504       3416      27700
                        (3.71)     (2.00)     (0.94)     (0.80)
Developing Economies    21051      31714      60334      840994
                       (34.04)    (24.40)    (19.03)    (24.17)
Developed Economies     38830      97786      242202    2519069
                       (62.80)    (71.98)    (76.40)    (72.42)

                         2000       2011

Afghanistan              137        350
                       (0.001)    (0.001)
Bangladesh               6389      24564
                        (0.10)     (0.13)
Bhutan                   103        620
                       (0.001)    (0.003)
India                   42379      322644
                        (0.66)     (1.66)
Maldives                 109        346
                       (0.002)    (0.002)
Nepal                    804        918
                        (0.01)    (0.005)
Pakistan                 9028      25344
                        (0.14)     (0.14)
Sri-Lanka                5430      10011
                        (0.08)     (0.05)
SAARC Region            64379      364798
                        (0.99)     (2.00)
Developing Economies   2052172    7785920
                       (31.84)    (42.75)
Developed Economies    4238022    9597894
                       (65.76)    (52.71)

Source: UNCTAD (2011)

Note: Author's Calculations. Figure in parentheses is the share
in total world exports.

Table 10
Trends of Sector Wise Export (US $ Billions)

Countries     Sector Wise Export    1995    2000    2005     2011

              Primary               0.14    0.12    0.28     0.18
Afghanistan   Manufacturing         0.03    0.02    0.05     0.15
              Services               --      --      --       --
              Primary               0.41    0.58    0.73     2.14
Bangladesh    Manufacturing         2.96    5.80    8.58    23.75
              Services              0.70    0.82    1.25     2.65
              Primary               0.03    0.05    0.13     0.36
Bhutan        Manufacturing         0.07    0.05    0.13     0.26
              Services              0.01    0.02    0.04     0.08
              Primary               7.98    8.59   28.36   102.85
India         Manufacturing        18.45   26.02   58.56   151.73
              Services              6.77   16.69   52.53   137.15
              Primary               0.06    0.03    0.13     0.32
Maldives      Manufacturing         0.03    0.08    0.02     0.02
              Services              0.23    0.35    0.32     0.85
              Primary               0.03    0.08    0.28     0.33
Nepal         Manufacturing         0.30    0.47    0.61     0.59
              Services              0.68    0.51    0.38     0.86
              Primary               1.37    1.39    2.91     7.24
Pakistan      Manufacturing         6.77    7.80   13.12    18.10
              Services              1.86    1.38    3.68     5.04
              Primary               0.92    1.18    1.72     3.09
Sri-Lanka     Manufacturing         2.62    3.91    4.02     6.46
              Services              0.82    0.94    1.54     3.08

Source: UNCTAD (2011), Complied by authors


MOHSIN HASNAIN AHMAD * AND QAZIMASSOD AHMED **

* Assistant Professor/Research Economist, Applied Economics Research Centre, Karachi University, Pakistan, E-mail: mohsinku@hotmail.com

** Professor/Research Director at Institute of Business Administration (IBA), Karachi, Pakistan
Table 1
Trade Facilitation Indicators for SAARC Countries
Average Over the Period (2004-2012)

               Documents   Time to   Cost to Exports    Documents
              to Exports   Exports         (US $ Per   to Imports
                (Number)    (Days)        Container)     (Number)

Afghanistan           10        71              2763           10
Bangladesh             8        29               906            8
Bhutan                 8        38              1476           12
India                  8        20               941            9
Maldives               8        21              1342            9
Nepal                  9        42              1750            9
Pakistan               7        23               646            8
Sri-Lanka              6        22               688            7
Average                8        33              1314            9

              Time to     Cost to
              Imports     Imports
              (Days)    (US $ Per

                        Container)
Afghanistan        76         2794
Bangladesh         38         1282
Bhutan             38         2304
India              26         1059
Maldives           21         1487
Nepal              35         1870
Pakistan           21          623
Sri-Lanka          21          707
Average            35         1516

Source: Doing Business (World Bank)
Author's calculations

Table 2
Trade Facilitation Indicators for Selected OECD Countries
Average over the Period (2004-2012)

                  Documents   Time to   Cost to Exports    Documents
                 to Exports   Exports         (US $ Per   to Imports
                   (Number)    (Days)        Container)     (Number)

Denmark                   4         5               684            3
Finland                   4         8               482            5
Germany                   4         7               808            5
Luxembourg                5         6              1363            4
Netherlands               4         6               888            5
Norway                    4         7               718            4
Sweden                    3         8               639            3
Switzerland               4         8              1409            5
United Kingdom            4         8               969            4
United States             4         6              1003            5
Average                   4         7               896            4

                 Time to      Cost to
                 Imports      Imports
                  (Days)    (US $ Per
                           Container)

Denmark                5          684
Finland                8          528
Germany                7          856
Luxembourg             6         1363
Netherlands            6          985
Norway                 7          526
Sweden                 6          685
Switzerland            9         1446
United Kingdom         7         1200
United States          5         1239
Average                7          951

Source: Doing Business (World Bank)
Author's calculations

Table 3
Global Competitiveness Index and Rank for Selected SAARC Countries

Period    Bangladesh    India         Nepal

           GCI   RANK    GCI   RANK    GCI   RANK

2006-07   3.71     92   4.47     42   3.45    104
2007-08   3.55    107   4.43     43   3.38    114
2008-09   3.51    111   4.33     50   3.37    126
2009-10   3.55    106   4.30     49   3.34    125
2010-11   3.64    107   4.33     51   3.34    130
2011-12   3.73    108   4.30     56   3.47    125
2012-13   3.65    118   4.32     59   3.49    125

Period    Pakistan      Sri Lanka

           GCI   RANK    GCI   RANK

2006-07   3.82     83   3.85     81
2007-08   3.77     92   3.99     70
2008-09   3.65    101   4.02     77
2009-10   3.58    101   4.07     79
2010-11   3.48    123   4.25     62
2011-12   3.58    118   4.33     52
2012-13   3.52    124   4.19     68

Source: Global Competitiveness Report

Table 4
Global Competitiveness Index and Rank for Selected OECD
Countries

Period    United State  United Kingdom   Switzerland

           GCI   RANK    GCI   RANK       GCI   RANK

2006-07   5.80      1   5.56      2      5.54      4
2007-08   5.67      1   5.41      9      5.62      2
2008-09   5.74      1   5.30     12      5.61      2
2009-10   5.59      2   5.19     13      5.60      1
2010-11   5.43      4   5.25     12      5.63      1
2011-12   5.43      5   5.39     10      5.74      1
2012-13   5.47      7   5.45      8      5.72      1

Period    Netherland    Germany

           GCI   RANK    GCI   RANK

2006-07   5.37     11   5.48      7
2007-08   5.40     10   5.51      5
2008-09   5.41      8   5.46      7
2009-10   5.32     10   5.37      7
2010-11   5.33      8   3.39      5
2011-12   5.41      7   5.41      6
2012-13   5.50      5   5.48      6

Source: Global Competitiveness Report

Table 5
Sub-Components of Global Competitiveness Index (GCI) and
its Rank

Country        Reliability of Police Services

               2006-07             2012-13

                 Rank    Value *      Rank   Value *

Bangladesh         119      2.33       126      2.96
India               48      4.44        69      4.27
Nepal               99      3.07       108      3.48
Pakistan            96      3.13       127      2.96
Sri Lanka           94      3.17        72      4.19

Germany              4      6.14        20      5.91
Netherland          16      5.52         6      6.23
Switzerland          6      6.26         2      6.38
UK                  21      5.46        23      5.86
United State        12      5.84        30      5.55

Country        Judicial Independence

               2006-07              2012-13

                  Rank   Value **     Rank    Value **

Bangladesh          97       2.58       104       2.84
India               18        5.6        45       4.52
Nepal               51        4.1        89       3.28
Pakistan            81          3        57        4.1
Sri Lanka           74       3.26        56        4.1

Germany              1       6.39         7       6.24
Netherland           2       6.25         3       6.44
Switzerland          7       6.12         6       6.28
UK                   8       6.11        11       6.19
United State        31       5.17        38       4.49

Source: Global Competitiveness Report

Note: Minimum index value is one and maximum value is seven

* 1 = people cannot be relied upon at all; 7 = people can be
completely relied upon

** 1 = heavily influenced judiciary; 7 = entirely independent
judiciary

Table 6
Burden of Government Regulations

                 2006-07            2008-09

Country          Rank   Value ***   Rank   Value ***

Bangladesh        108        2.44    114        2.55
India              75        2.84     90        2.93
Nepal              73        2.85     89        2.96
Pakistan           70        2.86     78        3.06
Sri Lanka          36        2.68     44        3.51

Germany            63        2.88     77        3.06
Netherland         48        3.13     81        3.01
Switzerland        13        3.93     11        4.45
United Kingdom     47        3.13     82           3
United State       23        3.58     50        3.44

                 2010-11            2012-13

Country          Rank   Value ***   Rank   Value ***

Bangladesh        102        2.89     85        3.20
India              95        2.99     98        3.04
Nepal             114        2.69     86        3.19
Pakistan           72        3.24     62        3.44
Sri Lanka          68        3.33     45        3.76

Germany            92        3.03     71        3.38
Netherland         77        3.13     34        3.90
Switzerland        14        4.21     16        4.29
United Kingdom     89        3.06     72        3.37
United State       49        3.48     76        3.33

Source: Global Competitiveness Report

Note: Minimum index value is one and maximum value is seven

*** 1 = extreme burden of government regulations; 7 = No burden
of government regulations

Table 7
Trade Facilitation Index

               2006     2007     2008     2009     2010     2011

Afghanistan    2.35     2.59     2.59     1.70     1.31     0.64
Bangladesh     6.95     6.95     7.94     7.84     8.01     7.94
Bhutan         5.08     5.08     5.08     5.01     5.01     4.14
India          6.73     6.73     7.73     7.70     7.70     7.61
Maldives       7.32     7.32     7.32     7.17     7.17     6.92
Nepal          5.42     5.42     5.42     5.31     5.34     5.11
Pakistan       7.63     8.56     8.56     8.52     8.52     8.55
Sri Lanka      8.60     8.60     9.35     9.30     9.30     9.33

Source: Doing Business (World Bank)
Author's estimations

Table 8
Dependent Variable: Exports of Good and Services

Explanatory Variables    FEM (1)    GMM (2)

Constant                2.31 **     1.62 *
GPC                      1.13 *     1.25 *
REER                      -0.05      -0.14
TO                       0.12 *    0.75 **
INF                      0.77 *    1.65 **
TF                       0.43 *     0.29 *
RQ                      0.12 **     0.32 *
TF *RQ                   1.35 *     1.03 *
R-Square                   0.73       0.71

Note: ** And * indicate significance at the 5% and 1% levels,
respectively
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