A Demographic Analysis of Income Distribution in Estonia(*).
Wilder, Lisa ; Benedict, Mary Ellen ; Viies, Marie 等
Journal of Economic Literature Classification Numbers: L2, P0
I. Introduction.
Above all, the transition [to market economies] has had, and will
continue to have, a profound impact on peoples lives. In some of the
countries undergoing transition, there has been a short-term drop in
living standards; in others, human welfare has improved dramatically.
Everywhere, it has changed the basic rules of the game as has
irreversibly altered the relationship between people and their
political, social, not to mention economic, institutions. (World Bank
President James D. Wolfensohn, 1996).
The transition of many centrally planned economies to free markets
provides an unsurpassed opportunity for those studying comparative
economic systems and the impact of the transition on the citizens of a
nation. This paper examines the impact of the new rules of the game on
the Estonian public. By examining the demographic composition of the
Estonian income distribution, we hope to identify those demographic
groups most likely to be prospering and those groups who are not after
four years of economic reform. It is hoped that this information will
provide a vital first step in understanding the income distribution in
transforming economies and how we may aid those in Estonia negatively
affected by the new market mechanism.
This research will add two contributions to the literature on
transition economies. First, it will enhance our understanding of income
distribution by looking at an emerging market nation. Using a data set
comparable to that used by other nations, we can examine whether
Estonia's income distribution is what one expects, given what is
found in other market economies. Numerous studies (Osberg, 1991; Levy
and Murname, 1992; Gottshalk and Smeeding, 1997) indicate a growing
income inequality for many market economies. These studies suggest that
the increase in income and wage inequality, is in part due to the
increased returns to schooling and technological skills. It would be
expected that a market in transition would especially benefit those
households whose heads possess skills and education that enable them to
adapt to structural economic change.
Second, we provide information regarding the Estonian income
distribution at a vital time in its history by analyzing the income
distribution of households based upon gender, age, and education. This
information is of interest to the economic community as well as to
policy makers interested in aiding those struggling with structural
economic change.
Estonia provides an interesting environment due to recent changes
in the nation, its commitment to market mechanisms, and the availability
of primary data on income by demographic characteristics. Estonia was
the first former Soviet state to introduce its own currency in 1992
(Venesaar and Hachey, 1995). It is committed to rapidly developing trade
ties both within the former Soviet environment and with Western Europe.
Like many former Soviet economies, Estonia hopes to gain acceptance into
the EU and has proceeded quickly with market reforms aimed at restoring
competition, private ownership, and trade relationships with Europe and
the rest of the world.
II. Recent Legal and Economic Changes in Estonia
The Baltic states gained independence from the Soviet regime in
1991 (Venesaar and Hachey 1995). Estonia, as did many other former
Soviet states, implemented political, social, and economic reforms to
move the country to a democratic political structure supported by a
capitalistic economic system. Reform in ownership laws, social policy,
and taxes, have moved Estonia toward a market economy.
Initially, changes in the ownership and enterprise laws began the
establishment of the property rights essential for a market-based
economy. State-controlled industries are slowly but surely being
dismantled, with many operations moving to private ownership (Venesaar
and Hachey, 1995). Second, the growing pains of economic transition led
to several years of economic instability and high inflation. The
negative effects of transition, as well as the private control of
wealth, created the need for social safety nets. Unfortunately, the
government had limited funds to provide a broad range of social
protection. Thus, those who struggled the most with the economic
transition because of a lack of skills or the inability to work had
little government support. In order to provide for this social
protection, Estonia implemented a third area of reform. The government
implemented a personal income, enterprise, and value-added taxes, and a
social tax on employers, to support existing government programs and to
create new ones.
Despite these efforts to protect poorer citizens through
redistributive programs, the move to a market economy has created
growing income inequality. Using aggregated information on household
income, the Estonian Institute of Economics (Lugas and Vartia, 1993;
Rasulu, 1994; Venesaar and Hachey, 1995) estimated annual Gini
coefficients before and after the political independence of the country.
The studies contain several important results regarding the standard of
living for Estonians in general and for income inequality:
-- Real average monthly household income (whether using gross or
disposable income measures) decreased between 1992 and 1994 by as much
as 70%. This decrease in purchasing power occurred while income taxes
rose over tenfold.
-- Only about 10% of households fell below the official poverty
line (about $22/month in US currency). More than half of the Estonian
households earned less than the average wage. This indicates a skewed income distribution with a small middle class in Estonia. Households
containing many children, those with pensioners, and those with
unemployed individuals, were the most likely to fall below the national
average household income level.
-- Income inequality increased between 1990 and 1994. By 1994,
those in the highest deciles had an average per capita monthly income
that was fourteen times higher than those in the lowest decile.
Estimated Gini coefficients for gross household income per capita rose
from .20 in 1990 to nearly .40 in 1994.
Of significant concern to the Estonia government is the plight of
specific groups such as the elderly. Previous studies of income
distribution such as that by Mookerjee and Shorrocks (1982) for UK data
and Blinder (1980) for income in the United States indicate that income
distribution within age groups tends to be fairly uniform except for the
over 60 group. In the senior age group, these studies have noted
increased income dispersion when lifetime values of income are
estimated. In Estonia, many elderly lost their savings as a result of
the conversion from the ruble to Estonian currency. It is believed such
a loss of lifetime savings will have an impact on income distribution
for older cohorts and therefore on overall income inequality.
In our current study, we intend to go beyond these aggregated
descriptive statistics. Thanks to a detailed survey of Estonian
households, we are better able to determine the influence of demographic
characteristics of heads of household on the income distribution. We use
Gini coefficients and regression analysis to estimate income differences
by head of household age, education, gender, and nationality. We assume
that most characteristics of the head reflect the demographic make up of
the household (e.g., age and nationality of the head is likely to be
highly correlated with that of the spouse). In addition, because the
head of household earnings and total income are 66 percent and 56
percent of the family values, respectively, we are comfortable using the
head's information with household income values.
III. Methodology
Measures of income inequality are well established in the
literature. We have elected to use the Gini coefficient as our measure
of income inequality, primarily because of its common usage across
studies and countries and because meaningful comparisons can be made in
regard to income inequality within or between demographic groups. The
Gini coefficient is a cumulative value of income shares and grows larger
as income inequality grows. Using the Gini coefficient estimates, we
address questions regarding whether inequality arises because certain
groups have wide household income disparity or because some groups are
more likely to be in the lower end of the income distribution while
other groups are in the high end. Regression analysis further enables us
to examine the impact of particular demographic characteristics holding
other important factors constant. We will use regression analysis of
household income and its components based on head of household
demographic information to further examine the income determination
process.
The Household Income and Expenditure Survey Data. In order to
examine the income distribution in Estonia, it is necessary to have
current information regarding earnings and other income for each
household. The primary data used in this study are collected by the
Estonian government's Statistical Office with the Household Income
and Expenditure Survey (HIES). The survey uses information from
questions that are similar in nature to US surveys such as the Panel
Study of Income Dynamics.
Since July of 1995, The HIES collects monthly information on 1,000
randomly selected households from Estonia. The resulting database
contains detailed information on total household income and its
components (earnings, social transfers, other assets), and each
household member's birth date, gender, education level, ability to
work, occupation and industry, if working, and region of residence. A
database on head of household information was compiled from the more
general database, and the head of household data, in conjunction with
household characteristics, are used to analyze household income. Because
head of household is not specifically defined in the HIES, we define
head of household as the individual with the highest earnings within the
household.
The current analysis uses the data for the months of October,
November and December of 1995 (months 3-6 of survey data). In order to
conduct the analysis, a subset of the sample was eliminated due to
missing demographic data and to include only households headed by adults
(age 18 or older). The final set of data consists of 2,681 households
from the original 3,000 observations.
Two issues are of particular concern in this analysis. First, we
consider a statistical issue concerning the random selection of
households. In order to select households to be included in the monthly
study, an initial draw of 1,000 individuals is made from a database of
Estonian citizens. Any Estonian not already included in this demographic
study is equally likely to be selected to participate. However,
information is collected not only on the individual, but on the entire
household. This results in a selection bias toward larger households.
Specifically, a household with five members is five times more likely to
appear in the sample than a single person household. To compensate for
this selection bias, the Estonian Statistical Office formulated weights
that indicate the number of Estonians likely to be represented by each
individual or each household. Data checks indicate that the final
weighted sample is representative of the Estonian population and the
weighted sample size is provided in all subsequent tables.
Our second concern regards the value of income obtained from this
survey. It is well known that much activity takes place in the
underground economy in Estonia (Atkinson and Micklewright, 1992).
Although organized crime is a possibility, we expect that an even more
common occurrence is the under reporting of general productive activity.
Individuals may engage in private production (e.g., growing vegetables)
or may earn income in a form not usually counted as money (e.g.,
bartering services). In addition, the extent of hidden activities may
vary over time or by nation and the participation in underground
activities may be greatest among those with little income. In order to
account for at least part of this unreported income, survey participants
were asked to identify any payments they received from any form of home
production. These payments (called productive activity in this report)
were summed for households. Approximately 12 percent of the sample
reported income under this category. The final income values therefore
capture some income not normally reported under other government
auspices. However, because it is impossible to know exactly the extent
of the underground economy in Estonia, we caution the reader to view our
results with the understanding that our measure of income may
underestimate total income for families, especially those in the lower
end of the income distribution.
IV. Our Results: 1995 Income Distribution Estimates for Estonia
Income is defined as monthly disposable personal income per
equivalent adult in the home. Disposable income includes all earnings,
income from property assets, social transfers, productive activity
payments, scholarships and gifts, less taxes. We use equivalent adult
rather than per capita because, as noted by Jenkins (1991), "equal
per capita incomes do not necessarily reflect equal commands over
economic resources." This is particularly true when household
members include children who generally do not add income. Because of
this problem, when data permits, researchers use some form of household
income per equivalent adult household member as the appropriate unit of
observation when analyzing income distribution (For example, see Jenkins
(1991), Smeeding (1991, 1997) and Wolffe (1987).) We measure equivalent
adult as N(5), where N is the number in the household. Smeeding (1997)
indicates that this measure has been used in many recent cross-sectional
studies.
We first estimate Gini coefficients for total household income;
then, we use regression analysis to estimate the head of household
demographic effects on total income and its components. Please note that
we will use the term "income" and drop "per equivalent
adult" for exposition purposes in the remainder of the paper.
Table 1 presents the average monthly income of Estonian households
for the fourth quarter of 1995 and the Gini coefficient estimates.
Income is presented by education, nationality, gender and age subgroups
of the head of household. Weighted values of the sample are listed by
each summary statistic.
[TABULAR DATA 1 NOT REPRODUCIBLE IN ASCII]
An Overall Description of Income Distribution. The overall average
monthly is 2378.77 kroon (US$208.84) and the Gini coefficient for
household income is .290. This measure is in line with an estimate using
income per capita of .32 by the Eesti Pank (1997) for the same quarter
in 1995. The estimate is very similar to Gini coefficient estimates of
other transitional economies. Smeeding (1997) uses a similar measure of
income for 1992 (per equivalent adult) and finds that the Gini
coefficient ranges from. 189 to .290.
We turn next to the relationship of income inequality to head of
household characteristics.
The Influence of Education. Four categories of head of household
educational levels are used: basic (some schooling), secondary (the
attainment of a degree from a secondary school), some training (either
vocational or some college training), and college (at least a college
degree). We find that average monthly household income increases with
years of education of the head. Table 1 indicates that those heads of
household with at least a college degree are associated with more than
twice as much household income when compared to those with only basic
training, and more than one quarter than those with some training beyond
a high school degree.
Within education groups, we find that there is a greater dispersion
of household income associated with household heads who have more
education. Within group inequality is lowest for those households headed
by someone with a basic education (.207), while the other three
educational groups have Gini coefficient estimates ranging from .261 to
.278. Because the head of household does not necessarily hold the most
education, it is difficult to interpret such a finding. However, this
result can in part be explained by a larger range of returns as
education grows for the main breadwinner of the household.
In addition, the relationship between education and growing income
inequality can be attributed to the number of household members who earn
income. As shown in Table 2, for those households headed by an
individual with a basic education, more than half have none or one
earner. It is therefore likely that incomes for households headed by
those with little education are similar, especially if those households
subsist on social transfers. In contrast, those households headed by
individuals with more education are much more likely to have multiple
members of the household adding earned income to the household's
resources. Approximately 42 percent of those households headed by
someone with at least a college degree have two earners; 35 percent and
38 percent of those with secondary degrees or advanced training,
respectively, have two earners. The addition of more household earners
is likely to increase income disparity in a country such as Estonia,
where the opportunity cost of leisure is high and adult household
members are more likely to work.
[TABULAR DATA 2 NOT REPRODUCIBLE IN ASCII]
The Influence of Nationality. Nationality of the head of household
also seems to play a role in the distribution of average monthly income.
We observe that the average monthly household income associated with
Estonian heads of household exceeds income for non-Estonian headed
households by 252 kroons (US$22.12). In addition, we find that the
income of Estonian headed households tends to be less equalized than
that of Non-Estonians. The Gini coefficient for Estonian headed
households is .306, while for Non-Estonian households it is .248,
suggesting a smaller degree of inequality within the foreign cohort.
The influence of nationality becomes more pronounced when we look
at the educational attainment of Estonians compared to Non-Estonians in
our sample. Almost 48 percent of Non-Estonian heads of household had
greater than a secondary school education. In contrast, 43 percent of
Estonian heads had some training or college. However, Estonians still
have significantly more household income on average.
The Influence of Gender. There are significant differences in
household income by the gender of the head of household. In families
with a male head of household, average monthly income is 2869.66 kroons
(US$251.95); the estimate is 2028 kroons (US$178.05) for households
headed by a female. The variation of household income was significantly
larger when associated with male headed households, as indicated by the
Gini coefficients of .328 and .257 for males and females, respectively.
The gender differences in income are likely due to three reasons
First, we find that female headed households tend to have fewer earners
than households headed by males. More than 51 percent of households
headed by females have zero or one earner, as compared to 21 percent of
male-headed households (See Table 2). Thus, households headed by males
were more likely to have multiple earners than those headed by females.
Thus, at least for household income, part of the difference of income
inequality between genders is due to the differences in the economic
resources brought in by additional household members.
Second, the distribution of age categories by gender also affects
the pattern of income inequality by gender. For both males and females,
households associated with the oldest age group for head of household
(those over age 59) exhibit the lowest income inequality and lowest
monthly household income. The Gini coefficients for households with
female and male heads are estimated as. 190 and .259, respectively.
However, the size of the effect is much greater for older females due to
the relative percentage of household heads who comprise the oldest age
group. More than 35 percent of the female heads of household are over
age 59; only 23 percent of males fall into this age category. This may
be a result of Estonia's migration patterns after World War II when
many males relocated (Kahk, 1991). Thus, the distribution of income of
households headed by older females lowers income inequality for all
female headed households substantially.
Third, although males and females are similarly distributed by
educational levels, the household incomes associated with female heads
with a basic education are much more equalizing for the income
distribution than are the household incomes headed by similarly educated
males. Female headed households in this education category have an
estimated Gini coefficient of approximately. 16, but the male estimate
is about 60 percent higher (.262).
The Influence of Age. Head of household age is also associated with
income inequality. We see that average monthly household income is
highest for those households headed by an individual in 25-44 age group.
This outcome may possibly be the result of transformation processes. In
other words, those in the 25-44 age category may be better able to take
advantage of the move to a free market system and as the main
breadwinner, they bring the household forward economically.
In addition, we see a general trend with increased income
inequality within the two youngest cohorts and a drastically more
equalized distribution of income among the elderly. As Table 1
indicates, the Gini coefficient for households headed by the youngest
group is about 42 percent higher when compared to the oldest group (.299
versus .211). This result is not surprising since the elderly are much
more likely to rely on pensions for income which exhibit little
variance.
When we review the income distribution of households by the age and
gender of the head, we find that households associated with the oldest
male cohort have the most equalizing effect on the household income
distribution associated with male heads because within group income
disparity for the oldest category is relatively low (.259) compared to
other age groups. In contrast, the within group income distribution of
the youngest females increases overall income inequality for female
headed households, although the effect is small due to the small
proportion of households in this category.
Household Size and Income. Table 2 presents household income based
upon number of household members and earners. The table also shows the
breakdown of the three main components of average monthly income:
earnings from work, productive activity income (income obtained from
entrepreneurial activities, as described earlier) and social transfers
(child care, unemployment benefits, pensions, and welfare payments).
Our estimates suggest that households are more likely to rely on
earnings than any other component of household income. Small and very
large household (more than 6 people) have 19 percent or more of total
income from social transfers. Large households also rely on increased
productive activity. This is probably due to the smaller average
earnings brought in by each individual in these larger households. As
Table 2 indicates, the average monthly earnings (per equivalent adult)
for households with 6 or more workers is lower than that of 2 to 5
earner households. On the other hand, social transfers are larger for
households with many earners, suggesting some equalization through the
social safety net.
Regression Estimation Results. To further examine the demographic
characteristics of income distribution, a regression analysis was
conducted on the natural log of income and on each of the components of
income described previously. All analyses are based on household income
and head of household characteristics.
Factors included in the regression include variables related to the
head of household (gender, nationality, age, age squared, elderly,
disabled, education), to the household (the number of children, urban or
rural resident, and number of able household members not in the labor
force) and to the employment of the head of household (public, self,
part time, labor force participation, industry and occupation type).
Definitions and descriptions of all variables are in Appendix 1.
The regression results are presented in Table 3. The analysis
indicates that female headed households have about 21 percent less in
average monthly household earnings than male headed households.
Households associated with female heads receive about 20 percent more in
social transfers, which does little to reduce total household income
differences by the gender of the head. The age of the head of household
is associated with higher total family income because earnings, social
transfers, and productive income are positively associated with age.
Further, elderly headed households receive over 100 percent more in
social transfers compared to households headed by the nonelderly.
Overall, there is a positive effect on overall household income due to
the head of household age, and elderly headed households receive about
13 percent more income than households with heads younger than age 65,
holding all else constant.
[TABULAR DATA 3 NOT REPRODUCIBLE IN ASCII]
The number of children under the age of 18 in the home slightly
increases household earnings, but decreases household productive
activity and social transfers, leading to lower average household
income. Household earnings increase by only 1 percent for each child,
but each additional child decreases household social transers by 13.7
percent and productive activity by 15.4 percent, leading to an almost 15
percent decline in total household income for each additional child.
This result is surprising, given the Estonian government's efforts
to aid families with children.
We also study the effect of adults members of the household who are
not directly contributing to household income through their labor
efforts. Each additional adult not in the labor force (working age, not
disabled) decreases average household earnings by 4 percent; however,
income from social transfers and productive activity grows as the number
of household members not active in the labor force grows, so that the
overall affect on total income is that each able adult not formally
working leads to an increase of total household income of approximately
10 percent.
Turning to the education coefficients, we find that educated heads
of household are associated with higher household earnings and
productive activity income than those heads with a basic education. What
is interesting is the smaller effect on household earnings for those
heads who have received some advanced training relative to those with a
secondary degree. Although households headed by individuals with
advanced training have 12 percent less in earnings than those headed by
individuals with a secondary education, these households make up for the
difference with a higher return to productive activity and with slightly
more in social transfers, thereby advancing overall household income. As
to be expected, those households headed by an individual with at least a
college degree have the highest earnings and total income.
In reviewing other head of household characteristics, we find that
a disabled head of household leads to lower household earnings and
productive activity when compared to the estimate for households headed
by someone not disabled. However, the loss in earnings is somewhat
covered by social assistance, and the overall income difference between
households with disabled and nondisabled heads is approximately 12
percent. Unemployed heads of household are also associated with lower
earnings when compared to those working. Even though social transfers
and productive activity are equalizing, households with an unemployed
head still have 51 percent less in total household income than those
with an employed head.
Finally, we review industry and occupational differences, as well
as city and urban differences. We find that heads of household who are
in agricultural industries are associated with lower household earnings,
social transfers, and productive activity income, when compared with
other industry groups. This result is exacerbated when we consider that
urban dwellers receive approximately 10 percent more in household income
than rural dwellers. Mining and construction workers are associated with
the largest returns to household earnings, which translates into higher
household income. Regarding occupations (professional, skilled labor,
service workers, and unskilled workers), we find that heads of household
in the professional fields are associated with larger household earnings
than the other three occupation categories; therefore, those households
have relatively higher total income. Surprisingly, households headed by
skilled workers have lower average earnings than those headed by the
unskilled, but they have about a 26 percent return to productive
activity as compared to the unskilled group, leading to a difference in
household income between the two groups of more than 9 percent. This
suggests that households headed by skilled workers use informal market
methods to increase overall household income.
Overall, it appears that, on net, the programs designed to aid
those households with individuals who cannot work, particularly for the
elderly, have somewhat of an equalizing effect on household income.
These programs, however, have not tackled the issues of a lack of
education or regional differences, nor have they done enough for
households with children or for households with a disabled head. As with
many transitional post-Soviet economies, Estonia faces a difficult
challenge as the country dismantles collective farms and as economic
development centers on the main cities. The rural poor have low income,
not only because of a lack of skills of the main breadwinner, but also
because job opportunities are situated in urban sites.
IV. Conclusion
We have investigated the Estonian income distribution for the
fourth quarter of 1995. We find that many of the trends evident in other
market-oriented countries exist in Estonia. Our results indicate that
household income inequality in Estonia is relatively similar to that of
other transitional economies. Households headed by males tend to
increase the dispersion of the income distribution, while female headed
household income tends to be equalizing. Part of this outcome can be
explained by the equalizing effect of incomes of households with elderly
female heads, the number of female-headed households that rely on income
other than earnings, and the tighter income distribution of households
headed by females with basic education as compared to other age/ gender
groups. Income disparity is larger for households headed by native
Estonians as compared to Non-Estonians and those households with
educated heads. We find that the incomes of the elderly headed
households decrease overall income inequality. Finally, our results
indicate that the size of the household and the number of earners
affects the average monthly income and its distribution.
These trends are to be expected. As Estonia moves from a centrally
planned to a market economy, income inequality is expected to rise.
Those individuals with the ability to adapt to structural economic
change do so more quickly than whose who lack the resources and talents
to move into the new economic system. Households headed by the elderly
and, to a lesser degree, the lower-educated, reduce overall income
inequality in Estonia; however, it is likely that this is due to a lack
of adaptability to economic change by the main breadwinners in these
homes. The fact that those households associated with low income
inequality often have few earners in the household suggests that the
need for outside income may be due to the inability to keep up with
transitional processes. The regression analysis confirms this problem
and suggests that the social programs have reduced income inequality
mainly for the households headed by the elderly. However, we still find
a significantly large difference in household earnings and income for
those in the agricultural industries and for those who live in rural
areas.
Notes
(1.) Even for households with more than three people, the
head's earnings comprise more than one half of total family
earnings and about 45 percent of total family income. Estimates are
available upon request of the authors.
(2.) A Gini coefficient measures the distance between perfect
income inequality (represented on a Lorenz diagram by a 45 degree line)
and the true income distribution. A Gini coefficient of 0 would,
therefore, indicate perfect income equality (i.e., 10 percent of the
population holds 10 percent of total income and so on). If a single
individual holds 100 percent of the society's total income, then
the Gini value would be 1.0. See the discussion in Miller, Economics
Today, pp. 709-710, for a detailed explanation.
(3.) The Statistical Office of Estonia is very careful in its
collection of data However, as with all new survey instruments, it is
possible that some problems exist either in data collection or
compilation. The Statistical Office noted several problems, in
particular with the weight assignments described in the next paragraph,
and subsequently made changes after the first month of the data
collection. Therefore, we used only the data from the fourth quarter of
1995. Ideally, a full year of data would be most appropriate for income
distribution analysis and the authors received the raw 1996 data in the
fall of 1997. However, after several months of data cleaning, we find
that the 1996 data are still not ready for analytical purposes. Although
precise income distribution estimates will be improved with annual data,
we believe that the main thrust of this report (association of head of
household characteristics to income distribution) is captured by the
fourth quarter data analysis employed in this report.
(4.) Any measure of `equivalent adult' has some arbitrary
assumptions underlying it, and we elected this measure because it is
used by current researchers and because of its simplicity. We also
performed the analysis using income per capita and per adult. These
estimates did not change the general relationship of head of household
characteristics to the income distribution, particularly when comparing
per capita and per equivalent adult estimates.
(5.) The average exchange rate for US-Estonia currency in the
fourth quarter of 1995 was 11.39EEK/$.
(6.) The estimates are: Poland, .290; Hungary, .289; Czech
Republic, .207; and Slovak Republic, .189. See Smeeding (1997).
(7.) Of course, this group could also include the households most
likely involved in productive activity not reported to the government.
As we note earlier in the paper, we control for informal productive
activity as reported in the HIES and we caution the reader to consider
this element in interpreting our results.
(8.) The frequency distribution of education and nationality is
available from the authors.
(9.) Studies of earnings and income often use a log linear model to
account for heteroskedasticity. Regression coefficients can be
interpreted as percentage changes due to a unit change in the
independent variable.
(10.) Taking the partial derivative with respect to age suggests
that the age squared term has no economic effect on income or its
components.
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Appendix 1
Descriptive Statistics of Regression Variables
Variable Mean
Dependent Variables:
Household After Tax Earnings 1234.18
Household Social Transfers 428.58
Household Productive Activity 111.70
Household Disposable Income 2376.46
LnEarnings 4.84
Ln Social Transfers 4.50
Ln Productive Activity 0.69
Ln Income 7.52
Demographic Characteristics
Gender (1 if head is female) 0.58
Nationality (1 if head is Estonian) 0.68
Age (age of head) 49.50
Age Squared 2717.94
Elderly (1 if head is over age 65) 0.27
Disabled (1 if head is disabled) 0.02
Secondary Education 0.27
Some Training Beyond Secondary 0.30
College+ 0.15
Employment Characteristics
Unemployed (1 if head is unemployed) 0.36
Public (1 if head works in a publicly owned facility) 0.30
Self(1 if family has self-employment income) 0.04
Part Time (1 if head has part-time earnings) 0.05
Industry classification of head:
Agriculture, Forestry or Fishing 0.08
Mining or Construction 0.06
Manufacturing 0.12
Utilities, Communications, or Transportation 0.10
Service 0.15
Occupational classification of head:
Professional 0.23
Service Worker 0.12
Skilled Labor 0.18
Household Characteristics
Number of adults not in the labor force 1.22
Number of Children 0.58
City Residence (1 if an urban household) 0.70
Variable Standard Deviation
Dependent Variables:
Household After Tax Earnings 1615.25
Household Social Transfers 423.33
Household Productive Activity 717.69
Household Disposable Income 2288.01
LnEarnings 3.45
Ln Social Transfers 2.72
Ln Productive Activity 1.98
Ln Income 0.70
Demographic Characteristics
Gender (1 if head is female) 0.49
Nationality (1 if head is Estonian) 0.47
Age (age of head) 16.37
Age Squared 1663.22
Elderly (1 if head is over age 65) 0.44
Disabled (1 if head is disabled) 0.15
Secondary Education 0.44
Some Training Beyond Secondary 0.46
College+ 0.36
Employment Characteristics
Unemployed (1 if head is unemployed) 0.48
Public (1 if head works in a publicly owned facility) 0.46
Self(1 if family has self-employment income) 0.20
Part Time (1 if head has part-time earnings) 0.22
Industry classification of head:
Agriculture, Forestry or Fishing 0.28
Mining or Construction 0.24
Manufacturing 0.33
Utilities, Communications, or Transportation 0.29
Service 0.36
Occupational classification of head:
Professional 0.42
Service Worker 0.38
Skilled Labor 0.38
Household Characteristics
Number of adults not in the labor force 1.00
Number of Children 0.49
City Residence (1 if an urban household) 0.46
Source: The Household Income and Expenditure Survey (HIES), the
Statistical Office of Estonia. Income per equivalent adult is measured
as household disposable income/household size**.5. The weighted sample
size for the regression analysis is 606,332.
Lisa Wilder, Assistant Professor
Bowling Green State University
Mary Ellen Benedict, Associate Professor
Bowling Green State University
Marie Viies
Institute of Economics
(*) Thanks to an anonymous reviewer and session participants at the
1997 Missouri Valley Conference, to Reet Madre, Teet Rajasalu and to the
staff at the Statistical Office of Estonia. Send all correspondence to
Mary Ellen Benedict at the above address.3