Perspectives on the development of the private business sector in China.
Brink, Tobias ten
Since the 1980s, an impressive private sector has emerged in China.
It seems as if a legitimised private sector now prevails where once
different forms of state enterprises dominated. Overall, there has been
a clear increase in companies that are formally run as private
businesses: in 1978, SOEs (state-owned and state-controlled enterprises)
accounted for 77.6 per cent of industrial output, whereas in 2006 the
share was down to 31.2 per cent, while the share of private companies
had risen to 37.2 per cent. The share of foreign-funded private
enterprises, including investment from Hong Kong, Macau and Taiwan,
amounted to 31.6 per cent. Thus, the private economy, understood in a
very broad sense as comprising collectively-owned enterprises (COEs),
(1) individual and other private enterprises, accounted for 65 per cent
of gross domestic product. (2)
How did this transformation take place? What shaped the evolution
of the new private business sector? To answer these questions, the
author reviews several perspectives that focus on wider institutional
environments and social contexts. An accurate analysis of the corporate
sector cannot be confined to the conventional unit of analysis, the
firm. As firms both instigate and absorb institutional change,
theoretical approaches need to be widened to reflect the importance of
business relations in the form of coordination and ties with
non-economic institutions. While there is now widespread acknowledgment
that the institutional environment conditions the economic field, many
endeavours to identify these institutions neglect the
"non-market" relations that may be important as explanatory
variables. It is important to highlight the importance of the practices
of entrepreneurs in the creation of new businesses, but such practices
go well beyond "managerialist" assumptions in neoclassical
economics as well as "voluntaristic" theories in sociology and
political science. (3)
Three perspectives inform the author's review. First, by
making reference to comparative political economy, the author
illustrates that an appreciation of the general characteristics of the
contemporary Chinese system--perceived as a distinct form of state-led
capitalism--helps to understand and classify the specificity of gradual
institutional change in the enterprise sector. Second, the author draws
on insights from new approaches in political science for the analysis of
gradual institutional change, introducing the empirical phenomenon of
"wearing a red hat"--a phrase that refers to the practice of
informal privatisation that shaped the emerging private sector from the
1980s onwards--and the closely interwoven relationships between private
companies and the Party-state since then. Third, the author shows that
focusing on the state/capital relationships at different
administrational levels contribute to a more precise picture of the
design of China's private sector. (4) Thus, this review shows that
a flourishing private sector was not just induced by flexible informal
institutions from below--by managerial agency creatively dealing with
constraints as told in liberal marketisation success stories. (5)
The author begins by discussing some essential spheres of
China's new capitalism and introduces several tools for
understanding gradual institutional change within the private business
sector. In the subsequent sections, the author shows how the strategy of
"wearing a red hat" and the phenomenon of thickly embedded
capitalism is understood in recent literature. The closely interwoven
relationships between private companies and the Party-state that have
taken place since the 1990s are also examined. To gain a wider view, the
author then outlines perspectives that analyse the corporate sector
against the background of multi-level governance, state
entrepreneurialism, private-public networks and the capacity of the
central state to steer and reform. The review concludes that although
the development of the new private enterprises enabled the ruling elite
to form and consolidate a hegemonic project that provided relative
societal coherence on the often bumpy road to reform, the project's
continuity faces the possible occurrence of crises.
CHINA'S CAPITALIST TRANSFORMATION
To avoid reducing significant institutional change to either the
achievements of individuals or the shrewdness of entrepreneurs, one has
to give due weight to the broader changes in the Chinese society that
have led to a form of "Chinese" capitalism.
In this respect, it is necessary to focus on the social and
political embeddedness of the market. The term "embeddedness"
originates from a lengthy discussion that started from Polanyi, and
grapples with the relationship between "economy" and
"society". Accordingly, the economy is not autonomous and
economic relations do not exist in an abstract idealised market as
understood by economic theory, but are subordinated to politics and to a
wider set of social relations, e.g., trust and cohesion. (6)
The Chinese system has undergone an unprecedented transformation
from a planned economy to a strong market-oriented system while
exhibiting a degree of continuity in its political and social
institutions. (7) Although the Chinese model will have vestiges of a
bureaucratic planned economy and a ruling Communist Party for a long
time to come, it cannot be equated with a simple hybrid that combines
"capitalist" and "socialist" principles. That would
only be possible if one defined these terms quite narrowly and viewed
socialism like the current Chinese leadership does as pursuing economic
growth by any means deemed necessary, and capitalism as a mere synonym
for markets.
State-led capitalist developmentalism thus more accurately captures
the economic dynamics in China. (8) A market-liberal entrepreneurial
spirit coexists with widespread state interventionism, which in turn is
guided by macroeconomic success parameters manifested in a heterogeneous
bundle of private-public economic regimes.
Among the features of China's capitalist transformation that
are relevant for the purpose of this review, the following stand out.
First, the State acts as a main initiator of economic
restructuring. Because the Chinese political system is constituted by a
notable combination of central and decentralised power, this
competition-driven form of multi-level governance will be dealt with in
more detail below. It is a key factor in capturing the dynamics of
company reorganisation since it has also brought about relative social
stability and thus made possible many of the significant transformations
in the first place. (9)
A second characteristic is the special forms of competition and
private-public corporate organisation. The accumulation drive in China
is being achieved in an environment where economic rights of disposition
and control shift from state authorities to the management of numerous
companies. (10) This process reconfigures the structurally
interdependent relations between economic actors and those with
political power. These relationships are generally governed by a
"mixed economy" system of formal and informal relations that
is neither "free" nor "competitive" in the classic
sense. Although a renewed form of state enterprise is dominant at the
level of the central government, private-public economic regimes have
gained particular significance at the subnational level. As shown in the
following, the predominant practice of informal privatisation
("wearing a red hat") began to include formal privatisation
from the 1990s--without overriding the symbiotic ties between Party,
State and industry. (11)
Third, the Chinese integration into global, East Asian and other
transnational economic relations represents another feature that
requires attention. The People's Republic of China developed its
economy in a phase of advanced transnationalisation that coincided with
changing global economic and geopolitical structures and contributed to
a significant opening-up of the economy. The relative success of company
reorganisation in China is thus partly due to favourable external
opportunity structures --China became the world's most attractive
production location at the precise moment when real accumulation in the
old centres was slowing down after the 1970s and a new international
division of labour was emerging. (12) The geopolitical landscape had
also changed, i.e., improved relations with the United States, that
worked in China's favour. Furthermore, the almost global expansion
of market relations from the 1970s onwards, accompanied by the belief in
dynamic markets, the role of individual entrepreneurialism, new
administrative structures and liberal concepts of corporate governance
greatly encouraged Mainland China to create a private sector. (13)
In China, institutional change did not lead to the radical
replacement of one institutional arrangement with another, but to new
combinations and layering that brought about significant processes of
institutional conversion. Thus, the development of the PRC did not lead
to the adaptation of a liberal model of capitalism but gave birth to a
novel form of competition-driven, state-led capitalism. (14) In what
follows, one must bear this constellation in mind as it gave the
evolution of the private sector its unique form.
THEORISING INSTITUTIONAL CHANGE
How can we explain the significant historical changes in the
Chinese economy and especially the ascent of a huge private sector? The
following sections will show how experimentation from below, i.e.,
"wearing a red hat" (dai hong maozi), whereby private
companies mask their private ownership by registering as publicly-owned
companies, interact both with growth-oriented policies, at times
crisis-induced, (15) and political steering from above (e.g., the role
of the State, the transformation of COEs and SOEs, new regulatory
institutions), and produce a distinct business sector.
To understand the gradual transition within the economic system,
new political science tools for analysing institutions may aid research
on China. These tools portray institutional development in an
evolutionary manner, but emphasise its potentially discontinuous
effects. The application of tools in China's case may yield some
interesting results (e.g., about the evolution of new markets) even for
non-China specialists. (16)
From a historical institutionalist perspective, institutions are
described as "social regimes" or as ruling groups
(Herrschaftsverbande) in the Weberian sense in order to capture their
provisional, adaptable and hence contestable nature. (17) Institutional
change derives from interactions among various actors. Thus,
institutions are persistently contested and are often infused with
ambiguities that can be exploited as sources and levers for change.
To avoid a formalistic analysis of institutions in capitalist
systems, we must look at the distribution of power in society--both in
the past, which led to the formation of institutions, and at present,
which is altering the appearance of institutions. This is necessary to
see "behind" the formal structure of institutions and grasp
the coalitions of actors that shape them. "The foundation [of a
dynamic analysis] is one that conceives institutions above all else as
distributional instruments laden with power implications". (18) The
creation of new institutions requires "institutional work" by
a wide range of actors. (19) In the case of China, this includes both
those with the capacities and skills to act as businessmen and those
with a supportive role to the entrepreneur's endeavours.
Streeck/Thelen conceptualise several ideal-typical mechanisms that
capture the gradual transition of institutions in developed political
economies that, over time, can cumulate into major institutional
transformations. (20) In the case of China, two mechanisms are
particularly relevant: institutional layering and institutional
conversion. Institutional layering describes processes leading to the
often initially informal formation of institutions that are in parallel
and in interaction with the existing institutions. These processes
ultimately bring about changes that have a transforming effect on the
existing institutions. To a certain extent, groups of actors with
insufficient power are able to modify institutions in an oblique way.
"Layering involves active sponsorship of amendments, additions, or
revisions to an existing set of institutions". (21)
An institutional conversion represents the use of the existing
institutions for new or alternative purposes. These processes can be set
in motion by a shift in the environment that confronts actors with
problems: "Different from layering and drift, here institutions are
not so much amended or allowed to decay as they are redirected to new
goals, functions, or purposes". (22) Even when the prescribed
attributes of institutions remain in place, their substantive roles may
change dramatically. (23)
Kellee Tsai was among the first to use these tools to reveal some
understanding of the evolution of China's private sector. (24) Tsai
explains that those ideal types of institutional transitions that to
date have mainly served to analyse liberal democracies and OECD
(Organisation for Economic Co-operation and Development) economies, can
be applied to China: "The case of China demonstrates that even in
non-democratic settings where formal institutions appear to be imposed
in top-down fashion rather than subject to popular suffrage, everyday
actors may quietly appropriate formal institutions to serve their own
ends". (25) Tsai then describes the circumstances under which
institutional change can in all probability be anticipated:
This is most likely to occur when there is a gap between the
original intentions of formal institutions and the perceived needs and
interests of local actors. At the same time, local state agents may
collaborate with ordinary people by intentionally misinterpreting the
formal institutions that they are supposed to uphold. Such bureaucratic
deviance is more likely to be found in situations (1) where different
formal institutions have conflicting mandates (a situation that
facilitates ignoring one set of rules in order to comply with another);
(2) where policy implementation is relatively decentralised; and (3)
where local officials have convergent interests with local citizens in a
particular policy area (for example, promoting local economic growth,
hiding revenues from higher levels of government, protecting local
industry, bending rules to attract external investment, and so on). In
turn, these collaborative interactions may generate adaptive informal
institutions that provide a powerful demonstration effect and prompt
policy elites to transform key attributes of the official political and
economic orders. (26)
The following will show that China enjoyed an opportunity structure
conducive to these circumstances.
THE STRATEGY OF "WEARING A RED HAT" AND THICKLY EMBEDDED
CAPITALISTS
Research on China based on both the "red hat" strategy
and the rise of private entrepreneurs with close ties to the State and
other "red capitalists", illustrates how evolutionary change
transformed the Chinese corporate sector. Specifically, it describes how
innovative informal practices triggered the layering of formal
institutions that eventually resulted in institutional conversions.
Reform can be seen to have taken place in two phases. To avoid the
trap of analysing institutional change in China as a well-designed plan
rather than one that is contingency-conditioned, one must keep three
facts in mind.
First, the reform process was initiated for the survival of the
Party-state, not for ideological principles and neither as a clear
concept. This resulted in a process that was fought out in a "trial
and error" mode. In line with theories of institutional change,
complementarity of institutions did not exist ex ante in a
functional-fit sense, but was discovered and developed ex post. Years of
reform were at times jeopardised by both the pace of change, which
differed from region to region, and by U-turns. For instance, the
"Tiananmen" event led to a conservative rollback between 1989
and 1991 that was brought to an end by the Party's reform wing only
in early 1992.
Second, due weight needs to be given to historical continuities.
These explain why the private sector frequently emerged in regions that
already had a rich tradition of doing business and subsequently made way
for several types of private sector organisations. Although this
path-dependent nature of transformation, with regard to the pre-1949 and
pre-1978 economic forms, did not entirely preclude actors from reshaping
and diversifying through path-dependent learning, it nonetheless shaped
the reform process in a myriad of ways.
Third, for a topic that receives less exposure, there was (and
still is) enormous heterogeneity in the development of the private
business sector. (27) At one extreme, a range of "Chinese
localities have maintained a thriving private sector since the earliest
years of reform (e.g., Wenzhou)". (28) Compared with other regions,
Wenzhou began with only a few locally owned SOEs with the family acting
as the entrepreneurial core for a plethora of firms to develop. In
coastal cities such as Xiamen, which became a special economic zone,
foreign-invested (private) enterprises drove economic growth. At the
other extreme, some localities were burdened with a very strong state
sector. Northeast China, especially Liaoning, a major industrial base
prior to 1978, was slow in developing a private sector. The majority of
localities lay between these poles: private firms grew from a hybrid mix
of "corporatised", and later, privatised SOEs and COEs. (29)
The First Phase of Reform
Following the ruinous Cultural Revolution, the elite increasingly
accepted as valid whatever policies that increased national output. This
resulted in a combative process of "trial and error" which led
to experimentations with markets and entrepreneurialism. Whilst the
resilience of the Party-state prevented more radical transformation,
this tentative constellation enabled adaptive informal institutions to
play a vital role in the process of change. Two phases of gradual
transformation can roughly be identified: the period from 1979 to
1989/1991 and the period from 1992 onwards. In the first phase,
agriculture was the predominant sector in which the evolution of new
markets began to take shape. The industrialised urban sectors followed a
little later.
A reduction in the planned system was not immediately accompanied
by a widening of decision-making powers for business managers. In this
context, the "red hat" strategy represented an effective
evasive manoeuvre. In the first phase of reform, it was the most popular
practice whereby companies that were undeniably private, were able to
mask their private ownership by formally registering as COEs, which were
basically state-owned enterprises under the control of local
governments.
For a more precise analysis, Tsai distinguishes between formal and
informal institutions. (30) Adaptive informal institutions are more
likely to evolve in environments where both executors in formal
institutions and creators of informal adaptations have converging
interests. Formal institutions are transformed in a process whereby both
state and non-state actors benefit from the existence of adaptive
informal institutions that, in the process of transition from
informality to formality, may gain intermediate levels of formality.
Tsai backs up the argument with the example of how privately-run
companies were established in the guise of collective enterprises. Prior
to 1988, it was forbidden to operate private enterprises with more than
eight employees. Registration as a COE was a way of founding larger
private companies.
As shown, a process of institutionalisation through informal
practice can be detected in the evolution of the private sector. In the
first phase of reform, and even up to the mid-1990s, the lack of
official recognition led many businessmen to enter into an arrangement
with the local authority whereby the company would become publicly-owned
and then subcontracted to them. "Estimates on privately owned
collective enterprises range from one-third nationally to as high as 90
per cent in some localities". (31) Various terms were used to
portray this substitute for a private firm:
"pseudo-collectives", "pseudo-SOEs" or
"disguised private enterprises", to name a few. (32) The
strategy of "wearing a red hat" brought advantages including
favourable tax treatment and preferential access to bank credit. Local
officials provided the firms with money, markets, land and labour. It
was not only rural township and village enterprises (TVEs) that formed
the backbone of the emerging private sector; the "red hat"
strategy was also moving into urban areas. (33) A 1988 survey conducted
in Wenzhou identified "45,000 privately owned firms of various
forms under the banner of collective enterprises, but only 10 registered
private enterprises". (34)
All in all, this practice of layering demonstrates an informal
adaptive institutionalisation that gradually altered the formalised
institutional framework of company management. Over the course of time,
the popularity and success of this practice led to support at both the
local political level--important for local economic development --and
also among leaders within the power elite pushing for reform. (35)
As a consequence, several official political reforms in the late
1980s and early 1990s showed signs of an institutional conversion to
replace the informal rules that had hitherto prevailed. For example, the
discourse on private sector development in Wenzhou prepared the ground
for new national regulations that improved the legal standing of private
firms. "In 1988, the State Council issued the Private Enterprise
Law and a subsequent constitutional amendment acknowledged the private
sector as a supplement to the socialist public sector". (36) After
the Party's reform wing finally halted the rollback between 1989
and 1991, the process of layering again began to quicken.
The Second Phase of Reform
From the early to mid-1990s, a large number of "red hat"
employers--enabled by the Communist Party of China's (CPC's)
endorsement of China as a "socialist market economy" and the
enactment of a new Company Law--began to register officially as private
businesses. (37) Thereafter, the official private sector grew by an
average of 35 per cent per year. In lieu of the "red hat"
strategy, the ascent of thickly embedded private capitalists and
"red capitalists", in the main private entrepreneurs who were
CPC members, became critical factors in the second phase of transition,
as argued, for example, by Bruce J. Dickson. (38)
Concerning thickly embedded private capitalists, the explosive
growth of the private sector in some ways fostered the rags-to-riches
rise of many businessmen. At the same time, the Hurun Rich List--a
Chinese equivalent of Forbes--which in 2010 ranked 1,363 individuals
with personal wealth of at least one billion Chinese yuan (USD150
million), reveals that "12 per cent of those listed had been
appointed to significant government advisory posts, handing them a
powerful platform in a business climate that values official
contacts". (39) This has also been the trend for the lower and
medium echelons of the private sector. Many entrepreneurs--e.g., many of
the businessmen in Zhejiang province who work predominantly in the most
competitive or the most marketised sectors--either belong to or have
close ties to political bodies (e.g., the local People's Congress
and People's Political Consultative Conference), or have taken part
in village elections. All in all, concerning the "red
capitalists", an estimated one-third of the richest individuals in
the Hurun Rich List are CPC members.
At the beginning of the most rapid phase of the private
sector's expansion, the transformation processes resulted in new
private-public alliances between economic and political power elites
that also manifest as actual personal unions. And empirical studies
point out that closely interwoven politico-business interaction is
typical not only for CPC membership. (40)
The corporatisation and, later, privatisation of mainly small and
medium-sized SOEs was another key contributor to private sector growth
after the mid-1990s--between 1998 and 2006, the number of SOEs shrunk
from 238,000 to 119,000. (41) This was especially important in
introducing a legalised process for privatising state-owned firms
(gaizhi) whereby managers could acquire their firms at a price based on
recent profitability. (42) These cases of "management buyouts"
(MBO) (43) point to the fact that in many instances, CPC cadres took on
the role of "red capitalists". Even prior to the legalisation
of private property and "even though CCP [CPC] members were not
allowed to operate private businesses, it was apparent throughout the
1980s and 1990s that many were active participants in the non-state
sector. Indeed, official surveys reveal an increasing proportion of
self-identified CCP members among private entrepreneurs over time, such
that only 7 per cent of business owners admitted to being [P]arty
members in 1991, but by 2003 over one-third admitted to being [P]arty
members". (44)
Furthermore, as Dickson documents, the "larger the 'sales
revenue' of a firm, the more likely its owner is a Party
member", and the more likely that Party organisations exist in
their firms. (45) It is often those capitalists who operate the largest
firms who "are the most likely to be involved in the political
arena. Indeed, most of them [...] are more likely to support the [...]
existing authoritarian political system rather than pose a direct
challenge to it. This is a key element of the CCP's strategy for
survival, and so far it is working". (46) "Co-opted"
entrepreneurs state in surveys that the main reasons for joining the
Party are the economic advantages and connections to the political
sphere. (47)
The shift from individual control to formal individual ownership,
and the legal changes this involved, proceeded over several years. The
Party leadership reacted by changing its attitude to private enterprise.
This is evident from legalisation of Party membership for entrepreneurs
(2001), the constitutional amendment on assurances for private property
(2004) and finally the announcement on property rights (2007) that
formally gave the same protection to both private and public property.
Although private entrepreneurs in practice remained more or less absent
from this process, the political power elite gave the All-China
Federation of Industry and Commerce credit "for representing the
voice of private entrepreneurs and pushing for the private property
clause to create a stronger political case for revising the constitution
along the lines that they had been hoping for". (48)
Generally speaking, the remarkable ascent of China's private
sector led to a gradual, yet transformative change in policies. Where
informal coping strategies once reigned, an acknowledged private sector
now prevails. However, this process should not lead to prematurely
concluding that there has been a simple transition to a liberal market
economy. Private property remains embedded in the (often local)
political scene and in many ways, it is the State, not the individual
firm that "decides when and how restructuring takes place".
(49) The forms of recombinant property in China are characterised by an
extraordinary influence from state actors and state entrepreneurialism,
even when property takes on new forms. This is shown in the next
section.
THE EMBEDDING OF THE ENTERPRISE IN CHINA
The corporate sector has to be analysed against the broader
background of Chinese multi-level governance, intraregional competition,
state entrepreneurialism and private-public networks on the one hand,
and the politics of the central state on the other. This leads to the
conclusion that the transformation process amounted to a hegemonic
project of the "private-public" Chinese power elite. However,
to avoid the trap of state-centred theories, with the Chinese leviathan
as a clever, forward-looking force shaping the economy, (50) one must
bear in mind the favourable external opportunity structures that
existed. (51) This article does not fully consider these but they did
equip the ruling class with the means to cope with the hazardous path of
allowing the private sector to grow, and to muddle through the reform
process of the 1980s and 1990s into what one may call an almost
hegemonic rule of the 2000s.
Intraregional Competition, State Entrepreneurialism and
Private-Public Networks
The bottom-up processes that stimulated the creation of a huge
private sector were placing major pressure on different levels of the
State. But due to the State's obsession with growth and the
sub-national competition between different state bodies, political
administrations were able to act in a relatively compatible way.
In a sense, the structural interdependency between economic and
political actors in capitalist systems generally assumes a particularly
close correlation in China. Nevertheless, it has not assumed a
monolithic form. It is impossible to understand the economy without
reference to both the diverse fragmentation and varieties of corporate
restructuring below the level of the central state. The state in China
could possibly best be defined as a "diffuse" capitalist
developmental state. (52) This also includes subnational governments
which allow local enterprises to violate national labour laws. Since the
subnational political levels have assumed the role of a local
developmental state, they attempt to build settings conducive to success
by creating incentives to stimulate economic efficiency in their
territories by means of support, supervision of and direct involvement
in companies. Major investments in infrastructure, development of
"supply-chain-cities" and specialised single-product clusters
in the coastal area are good examples of incentives created. Internal
competition between subnational bodies vying with one another to attract
investors has driven economic development. Government officials or state
managers are thus often substitutes for entrepreneurship. This creative,
though frequently corrupt commercial activity is in a way reminiscent of
the Schumpeterian entrepreneur, but in a novel
"state-capitalist" sense. (53)
Hence, the "state" and the "market" cannot be
regarded as being mutually exclusive. Conventionalised,
counter-juxtaposed concepts of private and state actors[ .sub.do] not
really clarify the situation in China. (54) Because government
jurisdictions are subject to competitive pressures, the capacities
involved in accumulation activities by local political institutions or
local government officials in China have a lot in common with private
capitalist companies or managers.
Although the frequently mentioned guanxi networks--closely
personalised and affective forms of interaction and empathy--lend the
Chinese economy a high degree of particularised coordination, it occurs
within the confines of a competitive society. As part of the growing
monetisation of social relations, these private-public alliances do not,
as assumed by neoclassical theory, constitute a gradual transition to a
"pure" market. Instead, they are themselves to be regarded as
a form of marketization.
Wank adds to this assessment the assumption that, in the course of
the reform process, a change in the power configuration emerged between
industry and government, with corporate strategies exerting more
influence on the behaviour of local political bodies. Greater dependency
on the activity of entrepreneurs is manifested in a new kind of
competition set-up: "Previously, citizens competed to enter
officials' patronage networks. [...], now officials also compete
with each other for links to larger private companies, with successful
ones becoming shareholders and managers". (55) The result is not
the automatic appearance of autonomous areas in civil society but rather
semi-autonomous network communities of political and private actors
whose economic development concepts are relatively independent of
central government bodies. Newly founded institutions at the local level
(e.g., chambers of commerce or other non-governmental entrepreneurial
civic associations) exemplify this trend.
This system of multi-level governance is subject to continuous
bargaining and contracting within the administration, and between the
administration and the business sector. At the same time, local
institutional competition appears to be of utmost importance as a
coordination mechanism. (56) Similar to the federal political structures
and interregional competition that formed the backbone of industrial
growth in the US in the 19th century, the "de facto
federalism" (57) in China stimulates the dynamics of its economy.
The Central State and its Capacity to Steer and Reform from Above
In a way, political institutions in China create the framework
within which both the market-oriented state capitalist and the private
entrepreneur can operate. With regard to the central state, the
government did not merely adopt capitalist growth policies, individual
entrepreneurialism and active support in privatising SOEs. There was and
still is another central-state role that is not to be underestimated:
the provision of an overarching institutional architecture that
accommodates competition. One political strategy regularly used by the
regime to gradually initiate reform was to introduce change in only a
few test areas, e.g., in Wenzhou or in Guangdong province, followed by a
wider introduction of the policy when the test proved successful.
Despite the fact that experimentation procedures have been delegated to
local authorities, the central administration in Beijing plays an
indispensable role in universalising local innovations thereby
generating coordination into the Chinese policy cycle. (58)
This capacity at the macro level can be interpreted as
experimentation under hierarchy: "The 'federalism, Chinese
style' approach suggests that hierarchical governance has been
replaced by administrative decentralisation, jurisdictional competition
and central-local bargaining. Although these factors play an important
role in central-local interactions, and local governments clearly feel
more confident and secure today in making local policies, none of these
changes has eliminated the weight of hierarchy and ad hoc central
interference in China's political economy". (59) In other
words, experimentation "from below" required patronage that
might be the go-ahead from higher-level policy-makers through either
non-intervention or encouragement and public backing.
Thus, the background of a competition-driven form of multi-level
governance in China and the anarchic processes concerning the
(internationally embedded and dependent) economy should not lead to any
premature conclusion that the central state is growing weaker. (60) In
fact, it is precisely its partial erosion in the first phase of reform
that lent the central government and the rule of the Party new
legitimacy from the 1990s onwards. One important example of this is the
extractive power of the central state: in the second phase of reform,
and particularly since the tax reforms of 1994, the central state has
been able to recentralise resources to a considerable degree. In terms
of its own modernisation, several waves of bureaucratic restructuring
led to strong (supra)ministerial institutions such as the Ministry of
Commerce (MOFCOM), or the National Development and Reform Commission
(NDRC), which is now a hub in industrial development organisation. (61)
Additionally, many of the large centrally controlled state enterprises,
which were restructured and are now mostly listed, were brought together
from 2003 onwards under the State-owned Assets Supervision and
Administration Commission (SASAC). The founding of SASAC marked a
milestone in the restructuring of state-owned business groups that act
as a form of reliable consumers for numerous "red" suppliers
and other private subcontractors. (62) In the state-controlled
telecommunications sector, for instance, numerous privately-owned
"chip-design companies" produced a range of equipment for the
Chinese 3G standard.
INSTITUTIONAL TRANSFORMATION, HEGEMONY--AND INSTABILITY YET AGAIN!
With regard to the evolution of the Chinese society as a whole,
gradual institutional change through the mechanism of layering and
conversion has served not just the new private or semi-private
entrepreneurs. Reform policy has also served the interests of the state
bureaucracy and the Party. While the success of enterprise restructuring
in China cannot be explained without including the favourable external
opportunity structures, there remains the fact that in the 2000s,
internally, the interdependencies between Party, State(s) and
entrepreneurs provided a strong alliance that created space for
experimentation as long as growth rates remained high.
Thus, "communist" party-rule, a strong state and
"Chinese-styled market liberalism" have not undermined one
another. Therefore, rather than seeking autonomy, many private
capitalists have pursued a combination of institutional and affective
ties that "thickly embed" them with the Party-state. (63) The
increasing socioeconomic mobility of entrepreneurs has to an extent been
facilitated by their ties with the regime so they have had little reason
to criticise it. On the contrary, the common interests of the Party
bureaucracy, the State, and private capitalists frequently lead to
common viewpoints. "In contrast to the popular perception that
privatisation is leading inexorably to democratisation, [...] the most
recent survey data suggest that [private businessmen] are increasingly
integrated into the current political system. [...] This again suggests
that the growing shared interests of government and business are
creating an environment that supports the status quo, rather than one in
which businessmen are motivated to press for change". (64)
The emergence of a new economic regime, which is articulated in
State and private-public projects, underpinned a relative societal
coherence, especially from the mid-1990s into the 2000s. Gradual
institutional change through layering and conversion would not otherwise
have proceeded to the same extent.
Because markets, however, tend to have a destabilising impact on
their institutional framework and resist institutionally imposed
stabilisation and control, a "harmonious society" may prove
difficult to achieve in the years to come. Since China is no exception
to the rule of contradictions and strategic dilemmas inscribed in
capitalist market relations, the continuity of the Chinese trajectory
has been, in recent years, threatened by the crisis-prone processes of
its integration into global economic structures and the tendency for
internal crises to develop.
In particular, the growth model faces obstacles both from a
continuing dependence on exports and the ways in which Chinese firms
(e.g., private businesses that are entrenched in global production
networks) are reliant on foreign markets. Furthermore, these trends,
driven by internal competition among subnational political bodies vying
to attract investors, have contributed to an overinvestment and
duplication of capital expenditure. Government strategies for industrial
restructuring in the wake of global downturn addressed some of these
problems, but the huge stimulus plans and the related reorganisation of
industrial assets might also accelerate over-accumulation due to their
massive bias towards fixed capital formation. (65) In addition to this,
societal polarisation endangers social stability. (66) Without a doubt,
all this will again change China's path of reform in the years
ahead.
(1) COEs at the subnational level often represent enterprises owned
by cities, urban districts and communities that have been wholly or
partially privatised in recent years. As will be seen in the following,
formal legal differentiation between company forms in Mainland China is
difficult. This is due to, among other things, the peculiar structure of
Chinese capitalism, the blurred dividing line between public and private
property, and the corresponding spread of inaccurate expressions such as
"non-state" or "popularly managed" companies.
(2) National Bureau of Statistics, Statistical Yearbook of China
2009, at <http://www.stats.gov.cn/tjsj/ndsj/2009/indexch.htm> [25
July 2011]; Chen Jiagiu and Wang Qin, "The Reform, Opening, and
Development of China's Industrial Economy", in Transforming
the Chinese Economy, ed. Fang Cai (Leiden: Brill, 2010), pp. 39-83. As a
matter of fact, different calculations lead to different results.
Compare with, for instance, Huang Yasheng, Capitalism with Chinese
Characteristics: Entrepreneurship and the State (New York: Cambridge
University Press, 2008), pp. 13-9, whose figures show that the sum of
indigenous and foreign private firms amounted to only 50.8 per cent of
industrial output in 2005.
(3) Walter W. Powell and Paul J. DiMaggio, eds., The New
Institutionalism in Organizational Analysis (Chicago, IL: The University
of Chicago Press, 1991).
(4) By challenging theories of market transition which argue that
the "transition from redistributive to market coordination shifts
sources of power and privilege to favour direct producers relative to
redistributors" (Victor Nee, "A Theory of Market
Transition", American Sociological Review 54 [1989]: 663), this
article does not overlook the numerous possibilities for
"redistributive power" to capture market opportunities (see
Ivan Szelenyi and Erie Kostello, "The Market Transition Debate:
Toward a Synthesis?", American Journal of Sociology 101 [1996]:
1082-96).
(5) Huang, Capitalism with Chinese Characteristics:
Entrepreneurship and the State.
(6) Jens Beckert, "The Social Order of Markets", Theory
and Society 38 (2009): 245-69; Neil Fligstein, The Architecture of
Markets (Princeton, NJ: Princeton University Press, 2001); Mark
Granovetter, "The Economic Sociology of Firms and
Entrepreneurs", in New Developments in Economic Sociology, ed.
Richard Swedberg (Cheltenham: Edward Elgar, 2005), pp. 160-97.
(7) John McMillan and Barry Naughton, "Elements of Economic
Transition", in Reforming Asian Socialism: The Growth of Market
Institutions, ed. John McMillan and Barry Naughton (Ann Arbor, MI:
University of Michigan Press, 1996), pp. 3-15; Barry Naughton, The
Chinese Economy: Transitions and Growth (Cambridge, MA: MIT Press,
2007); Kellee S. Tsai, Capitalism without Democracy: The Private Sector
in Contemporary China (Ithaca, NY: Cornell University Press, 2007).
(8) The author refers here to insights of Comparative Political
Economy (see Bruno Amable, The Diversity of Modern Capitalism [Oxford:
Oxford University Press, 2003]); David Coates, Models of Capitalism:
Growth and Stagnation in the Modern Era (Cambridge: Polity Press, 2000);
Bob Jessop and Sum NgaiLing, Beyond the Regulation Approach: Putting
Capitalist Economies in their Place (Cheltenham: Edward Elgar
Publishing, 2006); Wolfgang Streeck, Re-Forming Capitalism:
Institutional Change in the German Political Economy (Oxford: Oxford
University Press, 2009); Wolfgang Streeck, "E Pluribus Unum?
Varieties and Commonalities of Capitalism", MPIfG Discussion Paper
10/12, Max Planck Institute for the Study of Societies, Cologne, 2010.
See <http://www.mpifg.de/pu/mpifg_dp/dp10-12.pdf> [25 July 2011];
Tobias ten Brink, Geopolitik: Geschichte und Gegenwart kapitalistischer
Staatenkonkurrenz (Miinster: Westfalisches Dampfboot, 2008); Tobias ten
Brink, "Strukturmerkmale des chinesischen Kapitalismus", MPIfG
Discussion Paper 10/1, Max Planck Institute for the Study of Societies,
Cologne, 2010. See <http://www.mpifg.de/pu/mpifg_dp/dp10-1.pdf>
[25 July 2011]. To examine the corporate sector, the historical
variability of capitalist systems is taken into account. In recent
years, more and more China scholars have begun to study China as a new
form of state-led capitalism (see Christopher A. McNally, ed., Chinas
Emergent Political Economy: Capitalism in the Dragons's Lair
[London: Routledge, 2008]; Victor Nee and Sonja Opper, "On
Politicized Capitalism", in On Capitalism, ed. Victor Nee and
Richard Swedberg [Stanford, CA: Stanford University Press, 2007], pp.
93-127; Gordon Redding and Michael A. Witt, The Future of Chinese
Capitalism: Choices and Chances [Oxford: Oxford University Press, 2007];
Tobias ten Brink, "Strukturmerkmale des chinesischen
Kapitalismus").
(9) In capitalist systems, the interactions between economic and
political actors can form a network characterised by structural
interdependencies. Government actions play a constitutive role in
shaping economic processes. In reality, the crisscross of areas of
government responsibility and its underlying institutional
characteristics is the basis for distinct political systems--such as
liberal states or, in the case of China, the "Party-state". In
order to be able to distinguish between political systems, varying
degrees and forms of state intervention and business promotion must be
taken into account. State intervention and state ownership need not
exclude capitalist ownership but can be among the many forms of
particularistic control and the exercising of economic and political
power, e.g., in the form of state capital.
(10) Victor Nee, "Organizational Dynamics of Institutional
Change: Politicized Capitalism in China", in The Economic Sociology
of Capitalism, ed. Victor Nee and Richard Swedberg (Princeton, NJ:
Princeton University Press, 2005), pp. 53-74.
(11) The emergence in urban labour relations of a fragmented type
of labour-exclusive corporatism would be another central feature of
China's capitalist transformation but cannot be considered here.
The various types of production regimes, a massive segmentation and
flexibilisation of employment, low base wages, long working hours that
are often in violation of existing legal standards and also huge wage
differentials between employees, and the lack of trade union
mobilisation capacity opened an expanse of opportunities for (but were
also the result of) private entrepreneurial "experiments".
(12) Shaun Breslin, China and the Global Political Economy
(Basingstoke: Palgrave Macmillan, 2007); Hung Ho-fung, ed., China and
the Transformation of Global Capitalism (Baltimore, MD: The Johns
Hopkins University Press, 2009).
(13) In the 1980s and 1990s, a huge number of China's
international investment projects served the aim of informally
transferring property from state to private ownership (see Ding
Xueliang, "Informal Privatization through Internationalization: The
Rise of Nomenklatura Capitalism in China's Offshore
Businesses", British Journal of Political Science 30 [2000]:
121-46). This then represents another strategy for transforming the
economy that cannot be taken into consideration here. These informal
privatisations involved several forms of changing the de facto ownership
of public assets, e.g., illegally shifting abroad money gained in China
or siphoning funds from state-owned firms. It was conducted almost
exclusively by cadres and managers (and their kin) in positions of
advantage because they had the key resources for this form of
marketisation, i.e., permission to work abroad and invest capital.
(14) As is pointed out, this state-led or "political"
form of capitalism bears traces of its past: "Political capitalism
is capitalism in the sense that it is oriented towards the rational
acquisition of profits, but it is political because this happens under
the tutelage of the state and/or in conditions of systematic political
interference in the economic system. There are many reasons why managers
who have become owners might feel more comfortable navigating a Weberian
world of political capitalism rather than a world governed by the
conditions of laissez-faire competition. As former socialist and
post-communist managers, they know the rules of the game in a system in
which economics and politics are interconnected" (Gil Eyal, Ivan
Szelenyi and Eleanor Townsley, Making Capitalism without Capitalists:
Class Formation and Elite Struggles in Post-Communist Central Europe
[London and New York: Verso, 2000], p. 172).
(15) In attempting to understand institutional change, the random
outcomes of uncertainties and crises require special attention. The
history of reform should thus be read as the effects from a sustained
crises-laden process of restructuring.
(16) See, for instance, Fligstein, The Architecture of Markets, p.
14, in which Fligstein complains that the evolution of new markets has
been insufficiently considered in the social sciences.
(17) Wolfgang Streeck and Kathleen Thelen, "Introduction:
Institutional Change in Advanced Political Economies", in Beyond
Continuity: Institutional Change in Advanced Political Economies, ed.
Wolfgang Streeck and Kathleen Thelen (Oxford: Oxford University Press,
2005), pp. 1-39.
(18) James Mahoney and Kathleen Thelen, "A Theory of Gradual
Institutional Change", in Explaining Institutional Change:
Ambiguity, Agency, and Power, ed. James Mahoney and Kathleen Thelen
(Cambridge: Cambridge University Press, 2010), pp. 1-37, 7-8.
(19) Thomas B. Lawrence and Roy Suddaby, "Institutions and
Institutional Work", in The Sage Handbook of Organization Studies,
ed. Stewart R. Clegg et al. (London: Sage, 2006), pp. 215-54.
(20) Streeck and Thelen, "Introduction: Institutional Change
in Advanced Political Economies".
(21) Ibid., p. 24.
(22) Ibid., p. 26.
(23) Other modes of gradual but nevertheless potentially
transformative change such as "displacement",
"drift" and "exhaustion" cannot be considered here
(see Streeck and Thelen, "Institutional Change in Advanced
Political Economies", pp. 18-30).
(24) Kellee S. Tsai, "Capitalists without a Class: Political
Diversity among Private Entrepreneurs in China", Comparative
Political Studies 38 (2005): 1130-58; Kellee S. Tsai, "Adaptive
Informal Institutions and Endogenous Institutional Change in
China", World Politics 59 (2006): 116-41; Tsai, Capitalism without
Democracy: The Private Sector in Contemporary China.
(25) Tsai, "Adaptive Informal Institutions", p. 210.
(26) Ibid., p. 123.
(27) Jean C. Oi, ed., Going Private in China: The Politics of
Corporate Restructuring and System Reform (Stanford, CA: Walter H.
Shorenstein Asia-Pacific Research Center Books, 2011).
(28) Tsai, "Capitalists without a Class: Political Diversity
among Private Entrepreneurs in China", p. 1144; Jin Zeng and Kellee
S. Tsai, "The Local Politics of Restructuring State-Owned
Enterprises in China", in Going Private in China, ed. Oi, pp.
39-69.
(29) Christopher A. McNally and Chu Yin-Wah, "Exploring
Capitalist Development in Greater China: A Synthesis", Asian
Perspective 30 (2006): 31-64, 50.
(30) Tsai defines adaptive informal institutions as regularised
patterns of interaction that emerge as responses to the restrictions and
opportunities of formal institutions. She also refers back to a special
case of path dependency--"reactive sequences". This identifies
feedback mechanisms within institutions that generate the unfolding of
paradoxical, unintentional consequences that in turn lead to the spread
of a sometimes different, even opposite turn of development. The
constant factor in this process of non-linear institutional development
is a nature of change below that of systemic change: "That is,
short of authoritarian breakdown, it is plausible that significant
changes could nevertheless occur within the apparent limits of the
existing political system" (Tsai, "Adaptive Informal
Institutions and Endogenous Institutional Change in China", p.
120).
(31) Tsai, "Capitalists without a Class", p. 1136.
(32) See Chen Wenhong, "Does the Colour of the Cat Matter? The
Red Hat Strategy in China's Private Enterprises", Management
and Organization Review 3 (2007): 58.
(33) In a nutshell, TVEs could develop rapidly once they received
support from subnational governments in getting access to credit. They
lost this privileged position in the first credit crises of the early
1990s and with it a key competitive advantage. This resulted in strong
pressure for further reorganisation.
(34) Chen, "Does the Colour of the Cat Matter?", p. 57.
(35) Several factors contributed to subnational political entities
that partially renounce their control over wealth by transferring
economic power to private actors. These factors included: the
willingness of many local leaders to experiment with new methods of
political development because of the decades of want and instability;
the changes in central government tax legislation of the 1980s offering
greater financial scope to compensate possible losses resulting from
local economic reforms; the consequences of transferring responsibility
to managers and the increased efficiency gave impetus for further
modernisation. Although legal proceedings against red hat practices were
possible, these did not dominate the reform process. The success of the
red hat strategy marginalised anti-market forces within the Party-state.
In reality, no strict dividing line existed between legitimate business
practices and illegal activities or forms of corruption that were
punishable by law.
(36) Chen, "Does the Colour of the Cat Matter?", p. 60.
(37) Chen and Wang, "The Reform, Opening, and Development of
China's Industrial Economy", p. 47. Another example is the
possibility of registering as "limited liability companies,"
typically formerly COEs, of between two and 50 shareholders with a
limited shareholder status. They gained in importance, which was
possible among other things by a clause in the Corporations Act of 1994
that permitted the reforming of "public" companies as limited
liability companies.
(38) Bruce J. Dickson, Red Capitalists in China: The Party, Private
Entrepreneurs, and Prospects for Political Change (Cambridge: Cambridge
University Press, 2003); Bruce J. Dickson, "Integrating Wealth and
Power in China: The Communist Party's Embrace of the Private
Sector", The China Quarterly 192 (2007): 827-54.
(39) See "Zong Qinghou of Wahaha tops Hurun Rich List
2010", Hurun Report, at <http://www.hurun.
net/hurun/listreleaseen512.aspx> [29 Sep. 2012].
(40) Christopher A. McNally, Guo Hong and Hu Guangwei,
"Entrepreneurship and Political Guanxi Networks in China's
Private Sector", East-West Center Working Papers: Politics,
Governance, and Security Series 19 (Honolulu: East-West Center, 2007),
pp. 9-10.
(41) Chen and Wang, "The Reform, Opening, and Development of
China's Industrial Economy", p. 44; see also Jean C. Oi and
Han Chaohua, "China's Corporate Restructuring", in Going
Private in China, ed. Oi, pp. 19-37.
(42) The Chinese stock market also encouraged the privatisation of
large companies by opening up new avenues of capital procurement for
SOEs from new shareholders.
(43) As the following remark about a former SOE indicates, MBOs
became increasingly common--"to the point that the headline in the
city's newspaper in January 2003 proclaiming the [firm's]
imminent privatization simply used those three English letters
'MBO' instead of the equivalent Chinese characters, as if most
newspaper readers would instantly recognise the English-language acronym
for a management buyout" (Anita Chan and Jonathan Unger, "A
Chinese State Enterprise under the Reforms: What Model of
Capitalism?", The China Journal 62 [2009]: 1-26, 22).
(44) Tsai, "Adaptive Informal Institutions", pp. 132-3;
Tsai, Capitalism without Democracy: The Private Sector in Contemporary
China, pp. 72-104.
(45) Dickson, "Integrating Wealth and Power in China",
pp. 839-40.
(46) Ibid., p. 852.
(47) Ibid., pp. 841-2; Dickson, Red Capitalists in China: The
Party, Private Entrepreneurs, and Prospects for Political Change, pp.
162-4.
(48) Tsai, "Adaptive Informal Institutions", p. 139.
(49) Oi and Han, "China's Corporate Restructuring",
p. 27.
(50) Dali L. Yang, Remaking the Chinese Leviathan: Market
Transition and the Politics of Governance in China (Stanford, CA:
Stanford University Press, 2004).
(51) In the 1980s, East Asian countries--and, in a sense, their
business sectors--became role models for China. As older guiding
principles of Maoism eroded, a new agenda for development appeared and,
for instance, several existing governmental agencies were merged into
the Ministry of Foreign Economic Relations and Trade (MOFERT).
Henceforth MOFERT, later the Ministry of Foreign Trade and Economic
Cooperation (MOFTEC) and finally, the Ministry of Commerce (MOFCOM)
became a form of intra-governmental avant-garde that propelled the
exportist regime forward.
Additionally, the overseas Chinese fuelled the country with FDI and
their entrepreneurial spirit. In the 1990s, China became the most
attractive location for production and entrepreneurial activities in the
world when an over-accumulation of capital, classified as a capital
investment crisis, hit the traditional production centres in the West.
The reform process was, in contrast to the Soviet nomenklatura, mastered
not only due to exceptional strategic skills or self-confidence, but
also due to many fortunate coincidences (see ten Brink,
"Strukturmerkmale des chinesischen Kapitalismus", pp. 33-40).
(52) McNally and Chu, "Exploring Capitalist Development in
Greater China", p. 54.
(53) Interestingly, for Schumpeter, the entrepreneur is not
necessarily a self-employed businessman, but anybody who takes on the
entrepreneurial "function" of promoting "new
combinations" (Christoph Deutschmann, "The Entrepreneur in
Economic Sociology", Conference Paper [Paris: Society for the
Advancement of Socio-Economics Annual Meeting, 15-19 July 2009], p. 5).
As can also be seen in instances of innovation processes in Western
countries, entrepreneurialism should be conceived as a more collective
process in contrast to the Schumpeterian mainstream. Even when employers
see the role of local governments to be of very limited and tangential
importance to success, businesses are in truth shaped by numerous
supportive institutions (Andrea M. Herrmann, "Against the
Schumpeterian Mainstream: A Review of Institutional Approaches to
Entrepreneurship", Socio-Economic Review 8 [2010]: 735-46).
(54) For early evidence, see Andrew G. Walder, "Local
Governments as Industrial Firms: An Organizational Analysis of
China's Transitional Economy", American Journal of Sociology
101 (1995): 263--301, 268.
(55) David L. Wank, Commodifying Communism: Business, Trust, and
Politics in a Chinese City (Cambridge: Cambridge University Press,
1999), p. 198.
(56) Barbara Krug and Hans Hendrischke, "Framing China:
Transformation and Institutional Change through Co-Evolution",
Management and Organization Review 4 (2008): 81-108, 94-5.
(57) Zheng Yongnian, De Facto Federalism in China: Reforms and
Dynamics of Central-Local Relations (Singapore: World Scientific, 2007).
(58) Chen and Wang, "The Reform, Opening, and Development of
China's Industrial Economy", pp. 77-9.
(59) Sebastian Heilmann, "Policy Experimentation in
China's Economic Rise", Studies in Comparative International
Development 34 (2008): 1-26, 11; Zheng Yongnian, The Chinese Communist
Party as Organizational Emperor: Culture, Reproduction, and
Transformation (London: Routledge, 2010); Barry Naughton,
"China's Economic Policy Today: The New State Activism",
Eurasian Geography and Economics 52 (2011): 313-29.
(60) Merle Goldman and Roderick MacFarquhar, "Dynamic Economy,
Declining Party-State", in The Paradox of Chinas Post-Mao Reforms,
ed. Merle Goldman and Roderick MacFarquhar (Cambridge, MA: Harvard
University Press, 1999), pp. 3-29.
(61) Tony Saich, Governance and Politics of China (Houndmills:
Palgrave Macmillan, 2004), pp. 121-36.
(62) Ma Xufei and Jane W. Lu, "The Critical Role of Business
Groups in China", Ivey Business Journal 69 (2005): 1-12;
State-Owned Assets Supervision and Administration Commission of the
State Council, General Information on Reform and Development of Central
SOEs & Development of State-Owned Assets Management System Reform,
2006, at <http://www.sasac.gov.cn/n2963340/n2964712/3059894.html>
[25 July 2011].
(63) Christopher A. McNally and Teresa Wright, "Sources of
Social Support for China's Current Political Order: The 'Thick
Embeddedness' of China's Private Capital Holders",
Communist and Post-Communist Studies 43 (2010): 189-98.
(64) Dickson, "Integrating Wealth and Power in China", p.
852.
(65) Barry Naughton, The Policy Challenges of Post-Stimulus Growth,
2010, at <http://www.globalasia.org/print.php?c=e287> [25 July
2011].
(66) The government therefore aims to make the transition from
export-driven growth to a more domestically-centred model based on
internal consumption. But these "rebalancing" efforts have
proved to be very difficult. The already high investment rates of up to
40 per cent of GDP after 2000 have escalated since 2008 to an almost
spiralling height of 50 per cent. This has resulted in rising excess
capacities that feed into a sustained export orientation which, in turn,
hinders efforts in political rebalancing. Additionally, considerable
regional differences in the level of development and China's
immense internal polarisation impede a stable path of development.
Tobias ten Brink (tobias.ten.brink@em.uni-frankfurt.de) is a
Research Fellow at the Goethe University of Frankfurt. He received his
PhD in Political Science from the University of Frankfurt. His current
research focuses on the political economy of China.