Memorializing John K. Galbraith: a review of his major works, 1908-2006.
Ramrattan, Lall ; Szenberg, Michael
Introduction
John Kenneth Galbraith was born on October 15, 1908 at Iona Station
in Ontario, Canada, the son of William and Catherine Galbraith. His
father was a schoolteacher, a politician of Canada's Liberal party,
holding various offices in the county. Galbraith attended local schools,
graduating from Ontario Agricultural College in 1931, and then moved to
the United States. He did his graduate studies at UC at Berkeley in
agricultural economics, gaining a Ph.D. in 1934 for his dissertation
written on California County Expenditures. In 1934 he became an
Instructor at Harvard, where some of his colleagues included Joseph
Schnmpeter, Alvin Hansen, and Seymour Harris. At Harvard, Galbraith
broadened his economic perspectives to include macroeconomics and
industrial organization.
In the 1930s, when the world was suffering from the Great
Depression, when unemployment was rampant and governments were
struggling with policy measures to steer the economy back to growth,
Galbraith published an influential paper titled Monopoly Power and Price
Rigidity (1936) to address the problem. It was a landmark year because
John Maynard Keynes, who brought macroeconomics into being, had
published his General Theory the same year, dealing with similar topics
of price rigidities. After receiving a Social Science Research
Fellowship in 1937, Galbraith went to Trinity College, Cambridge where
he met distinguished economists such as Michal Kalecki, Joan Robinson,
Richard Kahn and Piero Sraffa. At that time, Keynes had suffered a heart
attack, so Galbraith did not meet him, but got the gist of his
macroeconomics from Keynes' colleagues. He did study with Keynes,
however, in 1937-38 (Dimand, 1988, 146), and impressed Keynes, who
viewed Galbraith "as an engaged and politically purposive
intellectual" (Parker, 2005, 96).
From that time onwards, Galbraith stayed in the public arena. He
served on the National Defense Advisory Committee from 1940 to 1941. In
1942 he was appointed as deputy administrator of the Office of Price
Administration where he served until May 1943. Galbraith was co-director
of the United States Strategic Bombing Survey after WWII, and served as
ambassador to India from 1961 to 1963 under the Kennedy administration.
As we intend to review Galbraith's main contributions, we
provide a preamble of what others think about his works. In the area of
price theory, he was praised by his adversary, Milton Friedman, who
wrote "... of price and wage control, Kenneth Galbraith has the
company of many other people-but so far as I know, he is the only person
who has made a serious attempt to present a theoretical analysis to
justify his position" (Friedman, 1977, 12).
In industrial organization Galbraith propounded the virtues of
Schumpeter's theory that large firms are "almost perfect
instruments for inducing technical change" (Galbraith, 1956, 91),
and formulated his own theory of "Countervailing Power" which
states that if sellers develop market power through concentration, then
buyers will also develop market power through concentration giving rise
to big business and big unions. This "Countervailing Power
Ideology" is comparable to the Classical Capitalist, Managerial,
People's Capitalism, and Enterprise Democracy ideologies of
capitalism (Samuelson, 1972, V. 3,613). The place of this idea in the
economic literature stands opposite to Marx's prediction of demise
of capitalism. The rivalry of "giants against giants", in
Galbraith's Countervailing Power view, is not "decadence but
rather ... ruthless efficiency and dynamic expansion" (Samuelson,
1973, V. 3,707).
Galbraith criticized growth for its own sake as wasteful. What is
still carried in modern textbooks is his argument that firms use
advertising to create demand. In growth theory proper, Galbraith stands
against Marx's self-destruction prognosis for capitalism. He sees
growth in capitalism through a neoclassical lens, looking "forward
to continued real progress, rather widely shared among the various
income classes, the rich and the poor" (Samuelson, 1972, V. 3,
705). While this view would require technological progress to transcend
limited resources, government participation will be necessary to address
a fair distribution of the gains.
In macroeconomics, Galbraith echoed the works of Keynes, Tawney and
Hansen (Samuelson, 1966, V. 2, 1504-1505). An important thread that
links these authors is their "... emphasis upon the importance of
programs in the public sector in comparison with the expansions of
private spending" (Samuelson, 1977, V. 4, 875). One implication
here is that the "public sector is too small compared to the
private sector" (Samuelson, 1972, V. 3, 509). On the fiscal policy
side, his mantra on the income policy was "permanent governmental
controls of prices and wage rates", which works in the very short
run (Samuelson, 1986, V. 5, 966). Galbraith was "against the use of
restrictive monetary policy" in that the interest rate cannot be
low enough (Samuelson, 1972, V. 3, 569). Inflation was not quite a
monetary phenomenon for Galbraith as for Friedman. Galbraith was
credited for early views on administered price inflation (Stigler, 1968,
236-238). The increased monetary spending, like controls, is most potent
in the short run, where it is found to have influence on production, and
employment when full employment and production is not achieved
(Samuelson, 1977, V. 5,966).
In a review of Galbraith's Age of Uncertainty, Stigler
summarized some of Galbraith's views at that time. On the economic
side, the list started with "Adam Smith preached a narrow doctrine
of self-interest", and ended with the need to confront the anxiety
of the age, namely nuclear warfare (Stigler, 1985). In a review of
Galbraith's The Affluent Society, Hayek identified Galbraith's
main argument to be that "... in our affluent society the important
private needs are already satisfied and the urgent need is therefore no
longer to further expansion of the output of commodities but an increase
of those services, which are supplied (and presumably can be supplied
only) by government" (Hayek, 1961). All in all Samuelson, Stigler,
Hayek, and Friedman have paid attention, and valued Galbraith's
contributions, albeit to varying degrees.
On Economics
The economics of Galbraith is liberal, a departure from the
classical market theory. The justification of this departure; its
consequences; the successful attempt to elevate this departure from the
view point of logic and reason, and the final arrival of a liberal
market structure to build economics for the future is the roadmap of
Galbraith's work in economics.
Galbraith's Definition and Methodology of Economics
Following Alfred Marshall, Galbraith accepts, with some
modification that "Economics is a study of men as they live and
move and think in the ordinary business of life. But it concerns itself
chiefly with those motives which affect, most powerfully and most
steadily, man's conduct in the business part of his life"
(Marshall, 1920, 14). Galbraith had studied Marshall's Principles
during graduate school, but he was also influenced by Veblen and Marx
(Gambs, 1975, 28). Galbraith does not seem to have any problem with
Marshall's definition if he could add: "... a reference to
organization for economic tasks by corporations, by trade unions and by
government. Also of how and when and to what extent organizations serve
their own purpose as opposed to those of the people at large. And of how
the public purpose can be made to prevail" (Galbraith, 1980, 1).
More modern definitions claim scientific grounds for economics.
Economic agents engage in choice behavior which economists study from a
scientific point of view. This was particularly the case for Lionel
Robbins' definition to the effect that economics is a science,
which studies how scarce resources, which have alternate uses are
channeled to a certain end by consumers and producers (Robbins, 1935,
16). Galbraith examined the image that this definition creates for
economics.
As one economist put it, "John Kenneth Galbraith believes that
men orientate themselves not to phenomena but to the images of those
phenomena which they have formed in their minds; and that ideologies and
belief-systems are of particular value as a map of the somewhat
forbidding world of economic and social reality" (Reisman, 1980,
1). Galbraith explicitly noted that "Economics provides (people)
with their image of economic society. That image notably affects their
behavior--and how they regard the organizations that comprise the
economic system" (Galbraith 1973, 5). On the producer's side,
the term "scarcity" represents an image that attaches great
importance to organizations of production. On the consumer side, the
"imagery of choice" in the aggregate is the controlling
mechanism of the economic system. As for corporations, "... nearly
all study of the corporation has been concerned with its derivation from
its legal or formal image" (Galbraith, 1967, 73).
Galbraith stands on the shoulders of Keynes. Keynes thought that
"... the ideas of economists and political philosophers, both when
they are right and when they are wrong, are more powerful than is
commonly understood... I am sure that the power of vested interest is
vastly exaggerated compared with the gradual encroachment of ideas"
(Keynes, 1936, 383). Although Galbraith believed that "Ideas may be
superior to vested interest", he added that "They are also
very often the children of vested interest." But the duality of
ideas and vested interests is not complete for Galbraith. We are still
missing one element. Galbraith wrote "... in economic affairs
decisions are influenced not only by ideas and by vested economic
interest. They are also subject to the tyranny of circumstance"
(Ibid., 11). In other words, we are forced to rewind and consider that
circumstances may "close in and force the same action on all,"
whether we are to the right or left, liberals or conservatives,
capitalists or socialists. In times of crises, the choice of what to do
is very limited, and there are not many options for the different
believers to follow.
In Galbraith's methodology, we see a movement from images,
ideas, and vested interests to circumstances. The latter can be seen in
light of the word "events" used in The Affluent Society, where
we find that "The first requirement for an understanding of
contemporary economic and social lives is a clear view of the relation
between events and ideas which interpret them" (Galbraith, 1958,
35). In this view, Galbraith is building on the works of giants. Since
the time of John Locke and David Hume, the terms "image" and
"ideas" have been centerpieces for the study of thought.
"Locke took great pains to prove that all our ideas have their
source in experience, sensation, and reflection" (Osler, 1970, 11).
With Locke, however, we did not come to a clear understanding of
"ideas". It can be either simple or complex. It is intentional
in that it is an idea of something. Apparent objects are ideas,
attributes and partial ideas. Ideas are tied up with intuition, reason,
sensation, and perception (Husserl, 1900, 355; Russell, 1945, Ch. XIII).
For David Hume, ideas are mental images. He declares that all of our
sensations, passions and emotions under impressions and ideas are
"faint images of these in thinking and reasoning" (Flew, 1961,
22).
In the applications of images and ideas, Galbraith accorded more
freedom to the interpreter of economic phenomena than to the interpreter
of physical phenomena. In economics this freedom leads to the belief of
what is more acceptable, than what is more relevant. We "associate
truth with convenience", and "we adhere, as though to a raft,
to those ideas which represent our understanding. This is a prime
manifestation of vested interest." Again, "Familiarity may
breed contempt in some areas of human behavior, but in the field of
social ideas it is the touchstone of acceptability." Familiarity
bestows on acceptable ideas great stability, which yield predictable
results. The stable acceptable ideas for a time period that have the
element of predictability Galbraith called "conventional
wisdom" (Galbraith, 1958, 36).
Events are the enemy of conventional wisdom. The view we hold of
the world is challenged as new events in the real world occur. For
instance, Galbraith explained that people are caught in the vision of a
liberal state dating from the time "Traders and merchants in
England ... had learned that they were served best by a minimum of
government restriction rather then, as in the conventional wisdom, by a
maximum of government guidance and protection ... These views were
finally crystallized by Adam Smith" (Galbraith, 1958, 40). The
theory of Ricardo pointed out the core economic roots of the social
imbalance. "Labour and capital increased in productivity; the land
supply remained constant in quality and amount. Rents, as a result,
increased more than proportionately and made the landlords the
undeserving beneficiaries of advance" (Galbraith, 1958, 69).
"Ricardo's case for leaving everything to the market.., was
essentially functional. Idleness not being subsidized and substance not
being wasted, ore was produced and the general well-being would thus be
raised" (Galbraith, 1958, 69, 73). The prediction of this
acceptable view is what Kenneth Boulding (1959) called "social
imbalance". He argued "that the conventional wisdom resists
the expansion of public goods because it still judges the sacrifice in
terms of an earlier age when private goods were scarce. This devil
therefore consigns us to a peculiarly appropriate hell in which we drive
increasingly elaborate (private) cars on increasingly inadequate (public
roads) in search of ever more evanescent (public) parking places, and in
which we picnic with ever more elegant (private) equipment on (public)
site ever more befouled by both biological and economic excreta"
(Boulding, 1959, 81). The solution in this case would be an appropriate
mix of sales taxes and poverty policy. Further methodological
development of Galbraith's thoughts can be examined through the
lenses of Institutionalism, and of economics in general.
Galbraith as an Institutionalist
Galbraith was a modern institutionalist, who emphasized the
importance of the open-system of production and consumption, evolution
in technological progress and circular cumulative causation, social
planning, and the normative aspects of science (Tsuru, 1993, 73).
Galbraith's concept of countervailing power "goes beyond the
closed-system character of neoclassical economics ... The concept of
"dependence effect" is also an example of the open-system
character of consumption where the consumers' sovereignty is
circumscribed by the aggressive policies of suppliers" (Ibid.,
1993, 78).
Galbraith self-selects himself as an institutionalist by his
emphasis of the evolutionary character of technology. Technology is the
driver of change. But modern changes require the lengthening of the time
required for production. For example, the Model-T was produced in a much
shorter time span than a modern car. As the time to complete a task
increases more capital is to be committed to it, which in turn requires
more skilled labor. As the production process becomes more specialized,
its counterpart, the organizational structure must improve. Furthermore,
all these operations need planning.
Planning is needed by the firm to harmonize the production process
in the face of advanced technology, but also at the state level to
redress any social imbalance. For Galbraith, "the productive
society ... provides an opulent supply of some things and a niggardly
yield of other ... the line which divides our area of wealth from our
area of poverty is roughly that which divides privately produced and
marketed goods and services from publicly rendered services"
(Galbraith, 1958, 207). Again, "Failure to keep public services in
minimal relation to private production and use of goods is a cause of
social disorder or impairs economic performance" (Ibid., 1958,
213).
In his review of Veblen, Galbraith gave more credit to his theory
of leisure class for its equating human behavior to that of the savages.
He wrote that "The rich have often been attacked by the less rich
because they have a superior social position that is based on assets and
not on moral or intellectual worth ... These attacks the rich can
endure. That is because the assailants conceded them their superior
power and position; they only deny their rights to that position or to
behave as they do therein ... Here is Veblen's supreme literary and
polemical achievement. He concedes the rich and the well-to-do nothing
... Veblen calmly identified the manners and behavior of these so-called
gentlemen with the manners and behavior of the people of the bush"
(Galbraith, 1979, 136-137).
In a more modern work, Galbraith has further echoed the work of
Veblen. He wrote about work that "Those who least need compensation
for their effort, could best survive without it, are paid the most. The
wages, or more precisely the salaries, bonuses and stock options, are
the most munificent at the top, where work is a pleasure. This evokes no
seriously adverse response. Not until recently did the inflated
compensation and extensive perquisites of functional or nonfunctional
executives lead to critical comment" (Galbraith, 2004, 18-19).
Galbraith does not find much science in Veblen's economics. He
noted that "Raymond Aron argues that Veblen was better in his
social than in his economic perception. With this I agree"
(Galbraith, 1979, 144). He reflected on his reading of Veblen's The
Theory of Business Enterprise when he was at Berkeley: "There is a
conflict between the ordered rationality of the machine process as
developed by the engineers and the technicians and the moneymaking
context in which it operates ... The money makers ... sabotage the rich
possibilities inherent in the machine process ... the idea has been a
blind alley. Organization and management are greater tasks than Veblen
implies; so is the problem of accommodating production to social
need" (Galbraith, 1979, 144). Galbraith went on to spin-off these
ideas in different directions. For instance, he wrote: "There is no
name for all who participate in group decision-making or the
organization which they form, I propose to call this organization the
Technostructure" (Galbraith, 1967, 71).
Galbraith's General Economic Model
Galbraith's education is anchored to classical economic
theory. Galbraith departed from the classics by painting some
"alternative picture of the structure of modern economic
society" (Galbraith, 1979, 3). He summarized his thoughts under two
distorting factors. The first is the great inclination to think in
static terms as in the physical sciences. This image is distorting
because of "the very high rate of movement that has been occurring
in the basic economic institutions." The second distorting factor
is a "not valid" image of the modern industrial economy. That
image includes such propositions as: the market dominates; firms are
numerous; firms are competitive; firms submit to the will of the
consumers; consumer's decision is sovereign; prices are profits
determined by the market; diseconomies reflect "higher preference
of people for the goods being produced as opposed to the protection of
air, water or landscape," and that "an organic relationship
between the business firm and the state does not exist" (Ibid.,
4-7).
He modified the classics as he saw fit for The Good Society. The
good society has both "utopian" and "achievable"
worlds in it (Galbraith, 1996, 3). It is also characterized by
"human" and "institutional" characteristics in the
sense that "Human beings are human beings wherever they live",
and "there is fixed instructional structure of the economy--the
corporations and the other business enterprises, large and small, and
the limits they impose." Within that view of society, people are
committed to consumer goods "as the primary source of human
satisfaction and enjoyment and as the most visible measure of social
achievement. Among these achievable or accessible institutional
attainments are personal liberty, basic well-being, racial and ethnic
equality, and opportunities for a rewarding life (Ibid., 2-4).
Galbraith categorized traditional economics as having a unimodal
image. He wrote that "The presently accepted image of this economy
is of course, of numerous entrepreneurial firms distributed as between
consumer- and producer-good industries, all subordinate to their market
and thus, ultimately, to the instruction of the consumer. Being
numerous, the firms are competitive; any tendency to overprice a product
by one firm is corrected by the undercutting of a competitor... In one
exception, the firm has influence over prices and output; that is the
case of monopoly or oligopoly" (Galbraith, 1979, 5). He added that
"The valid image of the economic system is not, in fact, of a
single competitive and entrepreneurial system. It is a double of a
bimodal system" (Ibid., 7). By bimodality he meant that
concentrated large firms account for approximately half of the market
activity, while the dispersed sector accounts for the other half.
As a test to his bimodal hypothesis, Galbraith pointed to the
combination of severe unemployment with severe inflation. Fiscal and
monetary policies will fail to stop the demand for goods and services
from falling if inflation exists. Galbraith speculated that only an
income and price policy can arrest unemployment, as it did in Germany,
Austria, Switzerland, and Scandinavia where "implicit incomes
policy ... considers the effect of wage concessions on both domestic
inflation rates and external competitive position" (Ibid., 14).
For Galbraith, income and price policies rested on a cost-push
inflation. As Simkin (1968, 1970) pointed out, the possibility "of
using controls over wages, if these can be applied, obviously depends
upon the extent to which prices are cost-determined and upon the extent
to which wages are influenced by other factors than demand for
labour." Galbraith has advanced such a possibility. The argument is
that trade unions have power over wages and corporations have power over
prices. While the old-fashioned wage-price spiral argument is no longer
prevalent, unions and management can collectively bargain and pass price
increases to the public. "Complaints over the cost of wage
settlements now rarely come from employers. Almost invariably they come
from the government, which is concerned over the inflationary effects,
or from the public, which has to pay the higher price" (Galbraith,
1979, 12).
According to Galbraith, acceptance of the bimodal model creates
more unequal developments. The corporate sector is able to convince the
government and consumers of the need for their product. It achieves this
goal by employing technical skills, advance organizations, and large
amounts of capital. On the other hand, the competitive sector has less
adequate means. This bimodality explains why products such as adequate
housing, and health care are usually undersupplied in even developed
countries. A correlate to this unequal development is inequality of
opportunity and income. It is not easy for the unemployed to move into a
unionized job, and movement in the competitive sector is associated with
lower paying jobs. This process augments the unemployment that is
associated with the inability of fiscal and monetary policy to control
inflation.
Galbraith's socio-economic views appear as a research program.
For over 70 years, he moved between "approved belief ...
conventional wisdom ... and the reality." His research revealed
that "reality is more obscured by social or habitual preference and
personal or group pecuniary advantage in economics and politics than in
any other subject." He continued: "economics and larger
economic and political systems cultivate their own version of truth ...
It is what serves, or is not adverse to influential economic, political
and social interest ... Most progenitors ... are not deliberately in its
service. They are unaware of how their views are shaped, how they are
had" (Galbraith, 2004, ix); In this new reality, "Managers ...
not the owners of capital, are the effective power in the modern
enterprise ... the term 'capitalism' is in decline ...;
Management having full authority in the modern great corporation, it was
natural that it would extend its role to politics and government ... The
blurring of the difference between the private and corporate sector and
the diminishing public sector proceeds" ...; and "The
institution and its leader are the ordained answer to both boom and
inflation and recession" (Ibid., 3, 35-36, 43).
Galbraith's Propositions of Economics
We turn now to some propositions in Galbraith's works that
form the premises of the bulk of his arguments.
Theorem I (Galbraith: Power): "... if choice by the public is
the source of power, the organizations that comprise the economic system
cannot have power" (Galbraith, 1973, 5). This proposition
established the dichotomy between the "market system" and the
"planning" system. "Power is the ability of an individual
or a group to impose its purposes on others ... In the planning system,
the economy of the large corporation, the power is possessed by the
technostructure" (ibid., 99). "In the neoclassical mode the
firm is ultimately subordinate to the market and thus to the
consumer" (ibid., 1973, 105).
Galbraith argued that "the neoclassical system is not a
description of reality" (Ibid., 1973, 28). Power resides with the
control of the factors of production. Galbraith asked "why power is
associated with some factors and not with others" (Galbraith, 1967,
47). An examination of history indicates that "power over the
productive enterprise.., has shifted radically between the factors of
production" (Ibid., 50-51). For centuries after the discovery of
America, land was given a strategic power role. For instance, the
physiocratic school held that land was the source of value. For Ricardo
diminishing returns was a result of lack or arable land for cultivation
at the margin, and Malthus' dismal prediction can be sourced to the
lack of land to grow the needed food supply for the geometrically
growing population. With the coming of inventions, the role of capital
became elevated (Ibid., 54).
It is interesting to note that power did not pass to labor or to
the classical entrepreneur as a factor of production. "Labor has
won limited authority over its pay and working conditions but none over
the enterprise" (Ibid., 58). The entrepreneur's
"principal qualifications were imagination, capacity for decision
and courage in risking money ... None of these qualifications are
especially important for organizing intelligence or effective in
competing with it" (Ibid., 68).
For Galbraith, theorem I is equivalent to an "either or
proposition": either the market system where "consumer
behavior, costs, the response of suppliers, the behavior of the state,
are all beyond the reach of the individual firm" or a planning
system where "firm seeks and wins power or influence over all of
these things ..." "It is not to individuals but to
organizations that power in the business enterprise and power in the
society has passed" (Ibid., 60). With this passing of power to the
organization, "There is, a priori, no reason to believe that it
will maximize the return to capital. More plausible it will maximize its
success as an organization" (Ibid., 121). That is not to say that
an organization has no goals in regards to returns. "The first
concern of the technostructure ... is to protect the minimum level of
return which secures its autonomy and hence its survival (Ibid., 192).
This security resides with stable prices, control of demand through the
management of how income is spent. "The purpose of demand
management is to insure that people buy what is produced" (Ibid.,
203).
Several corollaries follow from Theorem I.
Corollary 1 to Theorem I: Organizations "... are merely
instruments in the ultimate service of that choice" (Galbraith,
1993, 5). Galbraith thinks that "... if we know the goals of the
society we will have guidance to the goals of the organizations that
serve it and the individuals that comprise these organizations." He
therefore, finds it "necessary to summarize and reaffirm a rule.
The relationship between society at large and the organization must be
consistent with the relation of the organization to the individual.
There must be consistency in the goals of the society, the organization
and the individual (Galbraith, 1967, 159).
Members of the technostructure have goals. The technostructure
refers to all the participants "... in group decision-making or the
organization which they form" (Ibid., 71). Their goals are
reflected in the corporation. The goals of the corporation are in turn a
reflection of the goals of society (Ibid., 161).
Corollary 2 to Theorem I: "... persuasion ... becomes the
basic instrument for the exercise of power" (op.cit., 1973, 7).
Corporations can assure themselves of a minimum return for survival if
they manage the demand for their product. The kind of management
required includes persuasive advertising and other sales effort.
"Product design, model change, packaging and even performance
reflect the need to provide what is called strong selling points
(Galbraith, 1967, 203). As the goal of a firm is to expand sales, the
technostructure must be aggressive in its sales promotion, advertising,
and marketing efforts. In other words, "... if sales' are
slipping, a new selling formula can be found that will correct the
situation. By and large this assumption is justified, which is to say
that means can almost always be found to keep exercise of consumer
discretion within workable limits" (Ibid., 207). The development of
advertising media--radio, television, magazines, newspaper, etc have
enabled and facilitated "mass persuasion."
Corollary 3 to Theorem h (Galbraith: Countervailing Power)
"... Power on one side of the market creates both the need for, and
the prospect of reward to, the exercise of countervailing power from the
other side" (Galbraith, 1956, 113). Big unions are said to
countervail the power of big corporations. With the shift of power from
capital to the technostructure, the power of unions has diminished the
role of unions. "Labor relations, naturally enough, are conducted
in accordance with the goals of the technostructure... This means that
the technostructure may readily trade profits for protection against
such an undirected event with such an unpredictable outcome as a
strike" (Galbraith, 1967, 265). A negotiated wage increase does not
come out of the pocket of the union negotiator. It need not come out of
profits either, as "the mature firm does not maximize profits, its
negotiated wage can come out of increased prices (Ibid., 265).
Corollary 4 to Theorem I: (Galbraith: Firms vs. State)
"Technological compulsions, and not ideology or political wile,
will require the firm to seek the help and protection of the state"
(Galbraith, 1967, 20). The education and technology on which the
technostructure depends is mostly provided by the public sector (Ibid.,
296). The firm depends on the state in matters of patenting,
regulation-wage-price control, and antitrust. "Thus the state,
through the tariff, could accord the entrepreneur protection from
foreign competition; it also had railroad, power or other public utility
franchises to grant; it possessed land, mineral rights, forests and
other natural resources for private exploitation; it could offer
exemption or mitigation of taxes; and it could provide moral or armed
support in managing refractory workers" (Ibid., 298).
By way of summary, "The mature corporation... depends on the
state for trained manpower, the regulation of aggregate demand, for
stability in wages and prices. All are essential to the planning with
which it replaces the market. The state, through military and other
technical procurement, underwrites the corporation's largest
capital commitments in its area of most advanced technology. The mature
corporation cannot buy political power. Yet, obviously, it would seem to
require it" (Ibid., 308).
The consequences of Theorem 1 and its Corollaries have been
controversial. The corporations along with government wield a lot of
power, although not in its absolute form. As a step towards recognizing
the reality of this power, Galbraith advocated a revision of standard
Keynesian and neoclassical economics. His model shifts power of the
production from land, labor, capital, and the entrepreneur to the
technostructure of the modern corporation. Once such an amendment is in
place, the incentive mechanism of the firm is adjusted from profit
maximization toward sales maximization.
This leads to a further theorem. According to Harold Demsetz,
"There does exist in Galbraith's work one concisely stated
hypothesis . . . This hypothesis states that technostructure-oriented
firms sacrifice profits in order to accelerate growth of sales"
(Demsetz, 1974, 1). We now state these conditions as Theorem II and its
corollary below:
Theorem II (Galbraith and Baumol): The objective of the
technostructure is "... to achieve the greatest possible rate of
corporate growth as measured in sales" (Galbraith, 1967, 17). This
sales hypothesis was first advocated by William J. Baumol but Galbraith
has brought it under the arms of his technostructure model.
Corollary 1 to Theory II: Management desires to "prevent the
disruption of the firm's plan" (Demsetz, 1974, 3). As Demsetz
explains, the control of prices and or output allow the technostructure
to plan. The technostructure needs stable prices for its maintenance,
and consumers should not refuse to buy at those stable prices. We see
that "... intimately intertwined with the need to control prices is
the need to control what is sold at that price" (Galbraith, 1967,
199). This second Theorem and its Corollary prompted a characterization
of the technostructure firm as one that engages in "... capital
intensive production methods, extensive use of advertising,
oligopolistic industry structure, large firm size, and orientation
toward military production" (Demsetz, 1974, 2-3). However, Demsetz
is careful to add that "Galbraith never instructs his readers
explicitly as to a method by which it can be ascertained which firms are
most closely bound by the demand of modern technology" (Ibid., 2).
Others have given mathematical and game theoretic characterization to
this theorem.
Galbraith's Mathematical and Game Theory Model Justifications
Galbraith has not given us any mathematical model, but what he says
about economics has led economists to formulate such models. On the
mathematical side the model of "price maker" as opposed to
"price taker" can be adopted to represent Galbraith's
position as he is well-known for his price control position. We
therefore examine this position before we present any model.
Galbraith on Price Fixing
Traditional classical economics advocates a "price
takers" point of view where the market mechanism will determine
prices. The question arises as to whether it is wise and possible to fix
prices and wages, as is customary to fix taxes and interest. For
Galbraith, "... when the number of buyers is relatively small, or
the number of sellers relatively small, or both conditions obtain, the
market as an abstract entity disappears" (Galbraith, 1954, 11).
More bluntly put, "A market system in which wages and prices are
set by the state is a market system no more. Only the blithely obtuse
can reconcile 'this Free Enterprise System' with the
enforcement of wage and price controls" (Galbraith, 1973, 339).
If prices are fixed, say below equilibrium, sellers will give
preference to some buyers they favored, which in the ideal case, will
eliminate excess supply. "When the government fixes prices, it
delegates to sellers in imperfect markets the responsibility of
rationing their customers which they, in turn, have the power to
undertake" (Galbraith, 1954, 11). This method assumes that buyers
are paired with sellers. It worked well in the primary metal markets
during the Office of the Price Administration in the early 1940s, but
not so well in the market for fresh vegetables prices (Ibid., 12).
Another challenge to price controls occurs when "it is
technically possible for sellers in such imperfect markets to ration
their customers at the fixed prices ... The more profitable course, the
sanction aside, is to raise prices and break the law. Historically, the
consequences of such violation--recalling always that it occurs under
circumstances when sellers can charge and buyers will pay more--has been
considerable more disastrous for the price-fixing authority than for
those it sought to regulate." Price-fixing requires "effort to
adapt regulation to existing practice rather than to force the
adaptation of price to regulation" (Ibid., 13). It would require
policing, which is easier in imperfect markets where the players are
few.
In some cases, "it is relatively easy to fix prices that are
already fixed" (Ibid., 15). Where market power exists, firms are
known to fix prices, and may for any one of a number of reasons seek to
minimize the frequency of price changes" (Ibid., 13). Such markets
use discounts, special deals, and other non-price weapons in preference
to price changes because buyers have become accustomed to them. Sellers,
therefore, are required by such rule and not regulation to maintain
stable prices. Galbraith observed that such stability of prices
facilitates control.
Retailers tend to follow a customary method of pricing. "That
many sellers neglect the opportunities for profit maximization in
setting prices cannot be doubted. They follow the easy rule of charging
what they have charged before or what someone else is charging. Pricing
by custom, in this case, represents, no doubt, an atrophy of market
motivation; the seller is opting for a habitual rather than a profitable
pattern of behavior" (Ibid., 18). Such pricing is characterized in
terms of markup, or rule-of-thumb pricing. Price controls in such
markets are only a continuation of such rules.
Galbraith's price control is opposed to the classical and
neoclassical model. "In the NEOCLASSICAL MODEL prices are primary;
they are the intelligence network of the economic system. "It is
through prices that the neoclassical monopoly or oligopoly exploits the
power that goes with being one, or one of the few, sellers in the
market" ...; "In the planning system, the role of prices is
greatly diminished, they are much more effectively under the control of
the firm" ...; "The control of prices by the firm in the
planning system, like the other uses of its power, is governed by the
protective and affirmative purposes of the technostructure" (Ibid.,
1119-121).
A Mathematical Model of Gailbraith's Price Makers
Hotson, Lermer and Habibaghi (1976) presented a model for Galbraith
that shades away the classical picture.
[??] = ([S.sub.A][P.sub.0])(C(x, r) - [P.sub.0])
x = I(X, r, T)+ G
L(X, r) = M / P + T
Where [??] is the rate of change of price with respect to exogenous
variables G for government, M for money, and T for taxes. [P.sub.0] is
initial equilibrium prices, SA is speed of adjustment, I is an aggregate
demand function, C is marginal cost, L is for real balance, X is real
output, and r is the nominal interest rate. In their price maker model,
output reacts to excess demand, and prices react to cost-price
differential. The complete model also has a real balance effect. The
model predicts a correlation between firms and government behavior, and
sales. "Price makers are seen as responding to increased government
spending by running down inventory and increasing output at initially
constant prices. If expanded sales raise their costs ... they
subsequently raise their prices" (Ibid., 183). The authors are
cognizant of the discretionary nature of prices in a planning situation,
stating that "... firms may not raise prices when cost increases
... they may not lower prices merely because costs have fallen"
(Ibid., 183).
A Game Theory Model of Countervailing Power
The game theory confirmation of Galbraith's hypothesis takes
on a firm's behavior head on. A biographer of Galbraith wrote:
"In the 1980 ... economists sought new ways of looking at
theoretical issues ... They used game theory, for example, to suggest
that claims like Galbraith's about 'countervailing power'
might not be so implausible after all, by concentrating on situation of
'uncertainty' and 'interaction," in which
traditional economics' rules for 'rational actors' were
not clear. A new understanding of 'information' and its costs
in economic transactions also seemed to support American
Capitalism's insistence that orthodox notions of
'competition' were flawed" (Parker, 2005, 250).
Such a game theory model involves negotiations between an employer
and a labor union. The model of perfect competition by Cournot can be of
use. These models can be shown to have Nash Bargaining solutions.
Broadly speaking in cooperative games with convex payoff regions, all
the possible payoffs are contained in that region. Within that region
some payoffs are better than others. One particular payoff point, the
status quo point, is achieved without negotiations. It is the payoff
that the players can assure themselves, their security level payoff,
which represents the maximum a player can get regardless of what its
opponent does. If preplay negotiations are allowed in the game, a player
may threaten to play a particular strategy all the time. The payoff to
this threat strategy may be worse than the payoff of the status quo
point. The aim of negotiation, therefore, is to yield a better payoff
than the status quo point, or the pay off associated with the threat
strategy.
Take two players M and L who want to decide how to split C = $1,000
royalty from a joint book project they have done. The book publisher
suggested 2/3 and 1/3 split, but that was rejected. Player M, being
spiritual, prefers the parable of the vineyard solution, where each
receives the 50:50 regardless of their effort. Player L will accept the
parable outcome as well. Assume that the players utility functions are
the same: U(M) = C; U(L) = C. Assume that if they fight, M wins with a
probability of 0.8. The Treat point (TP) gives the expected utility of
the players: E(M) = 0.8(1000) = 800, and E(L) = 0.2(1000) = 200. We note
that a 50:50 split solutions, without recontract, gives each player
$500, which is Pareto Optimal since one can gain more only at the
expense of the other. In order to find the Nash Bargaining solution, we
maximize the following equation, which yields $500 as the maximum after
setting the first derivative to zero.
Max[(U(M) - TP(M))(U(L) - TP(L))] = Max[(C - 800)(C - 200)]
Max([C.sup.2] - 200C - 800C + 160000) = Max([C.sup.2] - 1000C + 160,000)
In a recent article, Thomas von Ungem-Sternberg (1996, 508)
revisited Galbraith's countervailing power hypothesis from the Nash
Bargaining point of view. For the purpose of that test, countervailing
power meant "... to compare the results of a large producer selling
to a large number of small retailers with a situation where he is faced
with a smaller number of large retailers ... the ability of these
retailers to extract lower prices from their supplier was more important
than any negative effect due to the increase in concentration at the
distribution level."
The justification of such a hypothesis can be found in
Galbraith's work. He wrote "One of the seemingly harmless
simplifications of formal economic theory has been the assumption that
producers of consumers' goods sell their products directly to
consumers ... In fact goods pass to consumers by way of retailers and
other intermediaries and this is a circumstance of first importance.
Retailers are required by their situation to develop countervailing
power on the consumer's behavior" (Galbraith, 1956, 117). The
retailer can use a variety of strategies to exact a low price. Such
strategies include developing "their own source of supply,"
concentrating their "entire patronage on a single supplier,"
and "keeping the seller in a state of uncertainty" (Ibid.,
120-121).
Galbraith, however, does not rest the whole foundation of
countervailing power on retailing. Countervailing power is most visible
in the labor market. "The labor market serves admirable to
illustrate the incentives to the development of countervailing power and
it is of great importance in this market ...; Countervailing power also
manifests itself, although less visible, in producers' goods
markets. For many years the power of the automobile companies, as
purchasers of steel, has sharply curbed the power of the steel mills as
sellers." Galbraith points to the residential-building industry as
an instance where countervailing power is absent because of the
existence of many thousands of small individual small firms that build
houses. Even if the little restraints which is of the form of alliances
with each other, unions and politicians were removed, "the typical
builder would still be a small and powerless figure buying his building
materials in small quantities at high cost from suppliers with effective
market power" (Ibid., 117-125).
The literature has examined the countervailing power hypothesis, as
it should, from the retailing point of view where the hypothesis is more
pervasive. Scherer and Ross (1990) presented the industrial organization
side of the hypothesis through bilateral monopoly and oligopoly.
Earlier, Joe Bain, anchored Galbraith's thought in the domain of
"bilateral monopoly or bilateral oligopoly, which is then pasted on
the whole industrial economy" (Bain, 1972, 220). This bilateral
domain of economic theory is noted for its indeterminism of output and
prices. Nevertheless, Scherer and Ross concluded that
"countervailing power is most likely to benefit consumers when
three conditions hold simultaneously: when upstream supply functions are
highly elastic, when buyers can bring substantial power to bear on the
pricing of monopolistic suppliers, and when those same buyers face
substantial price competition in their end product markets"
(Scherer and Ross, 528). Observing these conclusions, Thomas von
Ungem-Sternberg (1996) introduced a game theory model to further improve
the bilateral foundation of the countervailing power model. The
following is a summary of his model.
We assume N Retailers, each buying from the producer at some input
price [c.sub.n] and selling to the consumers the quantity xn. Profits
for each will be [[pi].sub.n] = [x.sub.n]([p.sub.n] - [c.sub.n]). p, is
the second stage price. If a retailer refuses to buy the input for price
[c.sub.n], then his profits will be equal zero. We assume M Producers,
with costs [c.sub.m], each selling to all N Retailers, with profits:
[[pi].sup.N.sub.P] = N[x.sub.n]([c.sub.n] - [c.sub.m]). In the case of
one producer facing all retailers, we can express the Nash Bargaining
problem as follows:
[MATHEMATICAL EXPRESSION NOT REPRODUCIBLE IN ASCII]
The terms in the first bracket are profits less treat point payoff
to the retailer. Similarly, the terms in the second bracket represent
profits less treat point payoff to the producer. Among other
expressions, the results of the maximization yields a degree of
bargaining power, [alpha] = [beta]/(1 - [beta]). The change in the N
retailers relative to the producer is equal to the degree of bargaining
power to the ratio of their respective derivative, i.e., [DELTA]
[[pi].sub.N]/[DELTA][[pi].sub.P] = [alpha]
[pi]'.sub.N]/[pi]'.sub.N]]. The assumption about the results
is that "... if any one retailer does obtain a lower input price
than his competitors, he obtains this lower input price only for the
equilibrium quantity he would normally sell in the second stage, and not
for any greater quantity" (Ibid., 512).
The interpretation of the results turned on the relationship
between bargaining power and the number of retailers, [alpha] vs. N,
assuming that the consumers have a linear demand: P = a - bx. The author
concluded that "These theoretical models suggest that to find
results in support of Galbraith's theory one must have good reasons
to suppose that the retailer's bargaining power (as defined in the
Nash bargaining solution) increases as their number decreases, i.e.
their bargaining power increases more than proportionately with the
losses they can inflict on the producer" (Ibid., 518).
Modal Elements in Galbraith's Work
Because much controversy surrounds Galbraith's ideas, we wish
to explore his thoughts from a logical point of view. His works resonate
modes of what is necessary and what is possible in the world of
economics. The "necessary", and the "possible" are
foundational terms in Modal Logic. Briefly, First Order Logic (FOL),
which is a branch of logic that goes back to Aristotle, is concerned
with individuals, which can be defined as people or nations (Holt et
al., 1998,280). A second order logic is concerned with the properties of
the individuals and Propositional Logic (PL) is concerned with sentences
that are either true or false (Stebbing, 1961, 33). For our purpose,
"it is sounder to view modal logic as the indispensable core of
logic, to view truth-functional logic as one of its fragments, and to
view 'other' logics--epistemic, deontic, temporal, and the
like--as accretions either upon modal logic ... or upon its
truth-functional components (Bradley and Swartz, 1979, 219).
Logic of Necessity and Possibility
Galbraith's thought on economic matters are modal in many
senses. Economic expressions have many different moods. In normative
economics, we make statements about policies that takes the mood that we
"should" take a certain policy. In positive economics, we use
the expression that something "is" the case. In instrumental
economics, we use statements such as that we "ought to"
increase or decrease the rate of interest. Modal Logic studies what
implications those moods have for economic reality. The difference
between ordinary propositional logic (PL), and the modal logic lies
precisely with the concept of implications. Russell and Whitehead (1910)
gave us the concept of material implication when they introduce
implications in PL. That method relied on the true (T) and false (F)
values of sub-sentences for validation. For instance, when we say of the
two sub-sentences A, B, that A implies B, we can construct a truth table
to show that the argument has validity. The elements of the table hold
that 1. If A is true, then B is tree, 2. If A is false then B is false,
and 3. If A is false then B is true.
The last inference that B is true when A is false implies a weak
implication for the logicians Lewis and Langford (1932) who prefer to
deal with "strict" implications of various degrees, which they
labeled $1 to $5. By adding the concepts of necessary and possible,
their system has laid the foundation of modern modal logic (ML).
Logicians have been busy evolving the methods of reasoning in ML.
They use terms such as "necessary" or "possible" to
avoid being self-contradictory in their expressions. All of
Galbraith's works, for instance, are consistent in that they
"describe a set of possible situations that are possible together.
The story may or may not be true. The actual world is the story
that's true--the description of how things in fact are"
(Gensler, 2002, 145).
Corresponding to Kurt Godel's investigation of completeness
theorem for PL, Kripke studies completeness theorem for ML. A simple
meaning of completeness is that the axioms and rules of a system of
logic do not allow one to infer or deduce a conclusion that both B and
not B are valid. (For a discussion of Godel, see Szenberg et al., 2005).
Here we describe Kripke's system for modal logic (ML) for our
purpose of expounding Galbraith's methodology.
In Kripke's terminology, we have an actual world that belongs
to the set of all the possible worlds that could have existed. He
explained it thus: "Intuitively, we look at matters thus: K is the
set of all 'possible worlds'; G is the 'real world'.
If [H.sub.1] and [H.sub.2] are two worlds, [H.sub.1][RH.sub.2] means
intuitively that [H.sub.2] is 'possible relate to" [H.sub.1]
"i.e., that every proposition true in [H.sub.2] is possible in
[H.sub.1]" (Kripke, 1963, 1971, 64).
The model structure (G, K, R) is a model that assigns T or F for
the propositional variables for each world, H, in all the possible
worlds, K. Essentially, we can now consider the true-values of the
relationship.
When the facts are overwhelming, and can be applied in all states
of affairs, the argument from necessity is obtained. When, however, the
facts are only partial, and therefore apply to only some of our state of
affairs, the argument is from possibility. In propositional logic, the
operators [for all] and [there exists] are used respectively to indicate
necessity and possibility. They may be used to say that an economic
proposition is true for all, or true for some cases, respectively. In
modal logic, the respective operators [euro] and [??] are added.
Both necessary and possible arguments occur in a sphere of
influence. We therefore, first define what that sphere of influence or
state of affairs, is for Galbraith. The logicians suggest alternative
ways of doing this. We follow the simple way suggested by Lewis (1973,
6-7). A ball represents a set of worlds, [S.sub.i]. The ball itself
contains worlds, "i" that can access the set of worlds in
[S.sub.i].
What might Galbraith's "sphere of influence" be? One
candidate is his definition of "The Good Society", [S.sub.i]
(Galbraith, 1996). The good society has both "utopian" and
"achievable" worlds in it (Ibid., 3). It is also characterized
by "human" and "institutional" characteristics in
the sense that "Human beings are human beings wherever they
live", and "there is fixed instructional structure of the
economy--the corporations and the other business enterprises, large and
small, and the limits they impose" (Ibid., 2-3). Among the
achievable or accessible human activities in his "sphere of
influence" is the commitment to have consumer goods "as the
primary source of human satisfaction and enjoyment and as the most
visible measure of social achievement. Among the achievable or
accessible intuitional attainments are personal liberty, basic
well-being, racial and ethnic equality, and opportunities for a
rewarding life (Ibid., 4). Necessity and possibilities limit the scope
of the sphere of influence. We can make simple ML and PL statements
about Galbraith as follows:
Major Premise: "Economics, like other social life, does not
conform to a simple and coherent pattern" (Galbraith, 1970, 35).
Where E is economics, and C is a coherent pattern, the ML and PL
expressions for this premise are respectively:
E [euro] [right arrow] C or All x(E(x) [right arrow] ~ C(x))
"But one must have an explanation or interpretation of
economic behavior ...; Within a considerable range he (the individual)
is permitted to believe what he pleases. He may hold whatever view of
this world he finds most agreeable or otherwise to his taste"
(Ibid., 35). It is possible to accept conventional wisdom when it is
convenient to do so, for "truth ultimately serves to create a
consensus, so in the short run does acceptability," (Ibid., 34) and
we largely "associate truth with convenience" (Ibid., 36).
This leads to the notion that there exists a view, an opinion for all
persons. If P is a person then P has a view. These possible expressions
may take the following ML and PL forms respectively.
P[??] [right arrow]V or All x(P(x) [right arrow]+ V(x))
In the New Industrial State, Galbraith stated the necessity of
planning this way: "From the time and capital that must be
committed, the inflexibility of this commitment, the needs of large
organization and the problems of market performance under conditions of
advanced technology, comes the necessity for planning ... The need for
planning, it has been said, arises from the long period of time that
elapses during the production process, the high investment that is
involved and the inflexible commitment of that investment in the
particular task" (Galbraith, 1967, 16). The planning system that
Galbraith advocates is of the nature of "collective
intelligence" involving organizations. "ORGANIZATION is an
arrangement for substituting the more specialized effort or knowledge of
several or many individuals for that of one. For numerous economic tasks
organization is both possible and necessary" (Galbraith, 1973, 87).
In these arguments, the necessity for planning comes out of
technological process. Galbraith pinned this necessity of planning to
the technological process because technology translates organized or
scientific knowledge into practical outcome (Galbraith, 1967, 12).
Investment requires the firms to tie up capital for a time during which
the anticipated demand may fail to occur. During that time, the firm
will have to anticipate that the inputs will be available in a way that
cost is compatible with the expected price (Ibid., 24). Technology is
both a cause and a consequence of change, which modern corporations are
always undergoing (Ibid., 20), and following Schumpeter, technology is
in the hands of big corporations.
In summing up the necessary and possible, let QcG represent the
inclusion of the government sphere. G is government, and c is a member
of all government activities. Similarly, let RdM represent the inclusion
of the private market sector. M is the market, and d is a member of all
private market activities. Galbraith's model can now be represented
as:
QcG & RdM (1)
Equation 1 represents dummy variables, which we can use as
operators to make decisions. One can expand the equation to represent
countervailing power, by adding C for countervailing power by unions,
and making e the inclusion operator. The equation 1 will then become:
QcG & RdM & SeC (2)
The necessity and possibility operators can now be called upon to
validate statements. Large corporations necessitate large unions,
implying countervailing power. Sharply deteriorating economic
conditions, such as the Great Depression, or budget deficits,
necessitate government intervention, implying control by economic
agents.
Conclusion
Samuelson states that Galbraith belongs to that group of economists
who believe in the "big picture theory" of the economy
(Samuelson, 1972, V. 3, 275). In this generalist view of economics,
power is essential. In the historic evolution of society, economics has
witnessed the evolution of power of the factors of production from land
to capital, and labor being left behind. Galbraith advanced the view
that capital is no longer central to economics as the classical and
neoclassical economists thought. The role of capital in the power
structure is superseded by the technostructure. This model stands along
the classical, neoclassical, and Keynesian models as a viable
alternative explanation of the capitalist economic system.
Although Galbraith does not use the mathematical language, his
model is adaptable to mathematics. In our exposition we have given
samplers of such exposition in terms of theorems, price maker theory,
game theory, and modal logic.
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by Lall Ramrattan, University of California, Berkeley Extension,
lallram@netscape.net
Michael Szenberg, Corresponding author, mszenberg@pace.edu