The role of gold in a market-based monetary system.
Jordan, Jerry L.
I am convinced we shall never have good money again so long as we
leave it in the hands of government. Government has always destroyed the
monetary systems.
--Friedrich A. Hayek (1978)
Fruitful consideration of the role of gold in a market-based
monetary system must be preceded by an understanding of why gold is not
part of our government-based monetary system. I have set out my view on
that issue elsewhere (Jordan 2011) and will not repeat it here. People
whose views on money I greatly respect still advocate restoring gold
backing to the Federal Reserve-issued U.S. dollar. During the Hearings
of the U.S. Gold Commission in 1981-82, several witnesses advocated
restoration of some linkage between Federal Reserve-issued dollar notes
and gold. (1) I frankly do not understand their arguments. Yes, the
Federal Reserve Banks were legislated into existence when our currency
was defined in terms of gold, but World War I abruptly ended that
linkage, and subsequent attempts to relink to gold all failed. At the
outset the Reserve Banks' functions did not include monetary
policy. That changed with enactment of the amendments to the Federal
Reserve Act in the 1930s that formalized the Federal Open Market
Committee. If advocates of restoring gold backing to the dollar are
advocating the necessary abolition of the FOMC, then I can start to
imagine the institutional arrangements they may have in mind. However, I
don't think that is going to happen, and I don't think it is
necessary in order to open the door to alternative privately issued
competing currencies, which may have gold backing.
As a general matter, I don't think it is fruitful to preface
any policy proposal with the necessity of abolishing existing
politically created and protected institutions. As much as I would like
to abolish the IRS, World Bank, IMF, EX-IM Bank, and even the OECD, if I
thought such was a necessary condition for achieving my policy
objectives, I would not waste my time tilting at those windmills.
Fortunately for what I believe is feasible, it is not necessary to start
with a campaign to abolish the Fed or even the FOMC--the monetary
authority of our central bank. Instead, like many other legacy
institutional arrangements, there are avenues to innovate around the
ossified, politically entrenched institutions. It is a philosophy of,
"Don't challenge their existence, just ignore them."
However, there are some attitudes and conceptions that need to
change, and some avenues of innovation that need to be opened, in order
to offer market-driven vehicles for the services people demand but
government doesn't provide or is preventing. For example, at one
time I no doubt shared the view of many people that the U.S. public
(government) school system is in desperate need of reform. That has not
happened and, in my view, cannot happen for political reasons. Instead,
a couple decades ago the combination of the rise of home-schooling by
fed-up parents and state-level legislation authorizing charter schools
has fostered a genuine revolution in the way educational services are
provided, driven by the economic proposition of consumer sovereignty.
The list of new avenues of innovative approaches to delivering
demand-determined services by bypassing legacy delivery systems is
getting long and is still growing. Taxi and limo services, overnight
accommodations, news sources, travel arrangements, on-demand movie
viewing/rental, book and music purchases, buying movie and theater
tickets, and even "yellow pages" have changed, so why not
monetary services? Bitcoin may not be the ultimate market-driven
response to government-issued, monopoly fiat currency, but it certainly
has been a provocative beginning.
Why Not Restore Gold Backing to Government-Issued Currency?
Earlier this year, my friend Sebastian Edwards asked me to comment
on a proposal for a new book he is writing. Sebastian had been stunned
when he came across a little known fact--namely, that it was illegal for
Americans, in the land of the free, to own gold from 1933 to 1974, under
penalty of large fines or even prison. Sebastian is a well-educated
University of Chicago economist with great experience at the IMF and the
World Bank, and an eminent UCLA professor, but he had never before come
across the fact that the confiscation of a particular form of property
(gold) had been enacted by the executive and legislative branches of
government and held to be constitutional by the judicial branch.
Furthermore, Sebastian was dumbfounded to further discover that the gold
clauses in bond contracts had been abrogated by ruling of the Supreme
Court.
Surely, thought Sebastian, the economics profession understood that
protection of property and enforcement of contracts are crucial
underpinnings of our market economy. (2) Yet, he found only a single
paragraph in Friedman and Schwartz's monumental Monetary History of
the United States and a single footnote in Allan Meltzer's mammoth
History of the Federal Reserve that even mention the unconstitutional
nationalization of gold holdings and unenforceability of gold
protections of both government and privately issued bonds.
My explanation to Sebastian was that it seems that for a few
decades one had to be a student of Armen Alchian, Ronald Coase, Jim
Buchanan, or a few others of their generation, in order to have been
taught the fundamental importance of the protection of rights to
property and inviolability of private contracts in order to have a true
market economy.
In effect, several provisions of the U.S. Constitution guaranteeing
a market economy were simply suspended with the concurrence of all three
branches of government. In The Rise and Fall of Economic Due Process:
When the Supreme Court Championed and then Curtailed Economic Freedom,
Bernard Siegan (1983) argued that actions taken by Congress and the
Roosevelt administration in 1933, which were subsequently held to be
constitutional by the Supreme Court, represented a failure to enforce
the provisions of the Fifth, Ninth, and Fourteenth Amendments of the
Constitution assuring the protection of property and the sanctity of
contracts.
While some progress has been made in restoring substantive or
economic due process after the Nollan decision, (3) any approach to
backing the U.S. dollar by gold would be vulnerable to the same assaults
on liberty as carried out by the federal government in the 1930s. Quite
simply, no matter the initial exchange rate between dollars and a
quantity of gold, any emergency would be sufficient for the government
to declare a suspension of convertibility, or unilaterally alter the
exchange rate (i.e., devalue the dollar against gold).
Introduction of a Gold-Backed Private Currency
With full restoration of the protection of property and enforcement
of contracts by the U.S. judicial system, a gold-backed, market-driven
private currency would not suffer the same vulnerabilities to political
whims as gold backing of the official currency. While the experience of
the 1930s was that the judicial branch of government would not overturn
decisions of the executive and legislative branches of the federal
government with regard to gold ownership, private, voluntarily
negotiated contracts involving payment of gold-backed private currency
are more likely to enjoy constitutional protection by the judicial
branch.
Full restoration of property rights and contracts begins with
popular political revolt against Ronald Reagan's description of
modern-day government. A few decades ago, Reagan said that contrary to
the Founders' vision of a just, and minimal, government that serves
the people, we have evolved to a government bureaucracy that believes,
"If it moves, tax it; if it keeps moving, regulate it; if it stops
moving, subsidize it" (Reagan 1986). The first two
policies--taxation and regulation--must be dealt with for any currency
competition to be viable. We don't have to worry that the
government will see fit to subsidize immobile private monies.
Tax Treatment of Alternative Currencies
In economics, we talk about stocks and flows; politicians see two
sources of tax revenue. In business and finance, we talk about balance
sheets and income statements; politicians see two sources of tax
revenue. In households, we talk about wealth and income; politicians see
two sources of tax revenue. In New York, California, and no doubt other
places, people like to have dogs and cats as pets; politicians see two
sources of tax revenue.
My point is, any stock of assets and any form of transactions is
viewed by politicians as something that can and should be taxed. From
the lunacy of the Tobin transaction tax to the Piketty "tax all
your stuff' prescription, holding assets denominated in gold or
other alternatives to dollars, or transacting in gold or other
alternatives to dollars, will not provide protection from burdensome
taxation, and may not offer any effective protection from inflation of
the dollar.
Let me provide an example of the conceptual issues we must
confront. It is common to find financial journalists (and maybe far too
many economists) make reference to someone "profiting from
inflation" because the value of their home or farm rose along with
the rate of inflation. How is one gaining if the market value of an
asset merely keeps pace with inflation? Would it be accurate to say that
increases in wages and salaries that match the inflation rate are gains
to the worker? Nevertheless, even though the homeowner or worker has not
had a real gain, they are taxed on their nominal gain--that is a real
loss even with a before-tax nominal gain.
This asymmetric tax treatment of the fiat currency and alternative
currencies must be confronted in order for the market-driven currencies
to become standards of value or units of account--whether or not they
are successful as media of exchange. Suppose I own gold, or claims to
gold, to give me protection against the erosion of purchasing power of
dollars. Assume the dollar price of gold appreciates at exactly the rate
of inflation. In order to sidestep the question of which statistical
series best measures the loss of purchasing power of dollars, (4) take
an average of 10 or 12 measures, they all come out the same over the
relevant horizon of a few decades. If the government promises and
delivers on 2 percent inflation of prices in dollars, in 36 years the
market value of my gold will be twice the number of dollars at the
beginning; I break even in real terms. Yet the politician's view is
that I have had a doubling in the value of this asset and am therefore
subject to capital gains taxation. Think about it, the government
deliberately erodes the purchasing power of its fiat currency and I get
taxed for avoiding that loss.
The problem would be the same if I were offered the opportunity to
own shares in a mutual fund where my original balance would earn
interest equal to the average of the dollar inflation rates. My real
purchasing-power balance at some future point would be the same as the
original, yet the tax authorities assert I have "gained from
inflation" and am therefore taxed on this illusory gain.
The essential point is, to the extent that appreciation of
fiat-dollar prices reflects debasement of dollars as a standard of
value, it is wrong to impose taxes on the higher dollar prices of assets
or transaction values, including higher wages and salaries, that reflect
nothing more than debasement of dollars. For our purposes, how can an
alternative currency become a commonly held standard of value when the
government treats its success at maintaining stable purchasing power
(versus a deliberately debased dollar) as a source of tax revenue?
I've argued this point elsewhere (Jordan 2006), in different
language. Namely, it has been incorrect for decades to say the
government "raised the price of gold" instead of the
government "devalued the gold backing of the dollar." Changing
the gold/dollar exchange rate from 1/20 oz/dollar to 1/35 oz/dollar in
the early 20th century was not raising the price of anything. Whether we
are considering bit- coins or other alternatives, bitcoins are not a
standard of value until we stop saying "the (dollar) price of
bitcoins rose" but say instead, "the bitcoin price of dollars
fell."
Regulatory Treatment of Alternative Currencies
A worsening problem in the functioning of our economy over the past
century will likely prevent the emergence of alternative currencies and
financial intermediaries without fundamental reforms in the relationship
between agencies of government and the people. No doubt it is still
taught in junior high schools in much of the country that a bedrock
principle of our society is "innocent until proven guilty."
While that is still mostly true for individuals, (5) it has not been
true for enterprises in our modem overregulated economy for a long time.
The Economist magazine (2014) concludes the United States "risks
the prospect of a selective--and potentially corrupt--system of justice
in which everybody is guilty of something and punishment is determined
by political deals."
Under administrative law, the effective principle is "guilty
unless you can bear the burden of proving your innocence." Our
legislative branch of government has gotten in the habit of creating
regulatory agencies that operate as extensions of the executive branch
of government, something the authors of our Constitution had endeavored
to prevent. The rules and regulations issued by these agencies have the
force of law; they must be obeyed under threat of fines or imprisonment.
Merely being "under investigation for," let alone being
actually accused of, violation of some rule or regulation is as much as
a guilty sentence, without benefit of trial in the judicial system.
Arthur Anderson was destroyed by accusations, not by trial and
conviction (Powell 2014). The burden of proof is on the business
enterprise to substantiate claims of innocence (Ryan 2014).
Firms in the financial services industry are especially vulnerable
because reputation for integrity and reliable, prudential dealings with
their customers is essential to survival. Supervisory authorities have
grown accustomed to expecting that financial firms will undertake
considerable effort and incur substantial expense in advance of a
regulatory examination in order to be able to "prove
innocence" of malpractice. Failure to produce convincing evidence
of innocence of various possible accusations can result in fines,
prison, and "banned for life" rulings by supervisory
authorities.
Whether justified for historical reasons or not, the general public
seems to accept the premise that if bankers or others providing
financial intermediary services are accused, or under investigation,
they are most likely guilty. At the same time, there is pervasive
suspicion that if businesses or even individuals choose to utilize
unconventional financial services, they must have something to hide.
Foreign currency transactions, foreign bank accounts, and financial
instruments denominated in foreign currencies are all subject to
stringent reporting requirements. Swiss economist Peter Bernholz (2013:
72) recently wrote that "all U.S. residents with foreign bank
accounts are now suspected of fraud." Even large cash transactions
in U.S. dollars are viewed with suspicion. While not everyone who wants
to put up $100,000 in cash as downpayment on a home has engaged in
illegal, criminal activities to acquire large amounts of cash, they are
certainly suspected of unethical, immoral, and possibly criminal
behavior.
This suspicious mind-set will carry over to assets held in
alternative currency, or transactions consummated in alternative
currency. Without affirmative legislation to require currency and
transactions neutrality, regulators and supervisory authorities in the
financial services industry will presume guilt of "something to
hide" on the part of individuals and firms who are predisposed to
seeking alternatives to the official national currency.
Regardless of the merits of the original purpose of "know your
customer" and bank secrecy regulations and the legislation intended
to combat illegal money laundering, the result has been the suppression
of legitimate innovation in financial products and services.
Furthermore, unlike other startups in e-commerce, a potential innovator
in financial transactions services must register as a "Money
Services Business" engaged in "money transmitting" (U.S.
Treasury 2003) in all 50 states prior to initiating operations.
It is not possible to have a digital currency that satisfies all
the key attributes of "cash" (i.e., transactions consummated
with hand-to-hand currency). Even with the low cost and convenience of
electronic payments, an enormous amount of paper currency is still held
and used in routine commerce. Cash transactions are immediate, final,
and anonymous. Banking laws and regulations will not permit electronic
transactions to be anonymous, which was tried by the original e-gold
service.
New initiatives to offer private digital currency will have to
accept that the identity of account holders and transactors will have to
be discoverable. Offering anonymity is not an option, although a greater
degree of privacy versus alternative electronic payments methods is
feasible, which leaves offering immediacy and finality. However, even
finality cannot be absolute. While e-gold transactions were not
reversible--the transacting parties were not known--successor payments
initiatives will be required to have a method of identifying the
transacting parties and, presumably under court order, reversing a
transaction in the case of fraud or other criminal activity by one of
the parties to the transaction.
Without review and reform of the Patriot Act (U.S. Treasury 2001),
the burdens of compliance may be prohibitive for would-be innovators in
digital financial services, including alternative private currencies.
Such review and reform (ACLU 2011) are likely to be driven more by
concerns about privacy in digital communications than financial
services, but are essential to the latter. While total secrecy regarding
financial transactions will not be tolerated by authorities, a
reasonable degree of privacy would be a byproduct of reforms
strengthening privacy of communications generally. With the news of
increasing frequency of credit and debit card information theft by
hackers, the greater security and protection of personal information
inherent in private digital currency could become a decisive competitive
advantage.
Structure of a Private, Gold-Backed System
Assuming all the existing taxation and regulatory barriers and
obstacles to emergence of an alternative market-driven money can be
reformed, it is useful to contemplate the structure of the private
system. That is not difficult. The legislation at the end of 1913
creating the system of "bankers' banks," which became
known as the Federal Reserve System, never envisioned what evolved into
a purely fiat currency managed by a "monetary authority."
Without
the outbreak of World War I, the United States would not have
abruptly abandoned specie backing of national currencies soon after
operation of the 12 "bankers' banks" commenced in the
fall of 1914.
Hypothetical History
The U.S. system of bankers' banks in 1914, the 12 Federal
Reserve Banks, held gold (or claims to gold) as the primary
"reserve" asset, and earnings to cover the cost of operations
came from very short-term, collateralized loans to banks
("rediscounting" by commercial banks at the Fed banks). The
"economic service" provided by these bankers' banks was
to provide a uniform currency with high authenticity and transferable
reserve balances (i.e., deposits owned by commercial banks that could be
readily transferred and achieve finality in settlements). However,
technology in 1914 did not provide the Reserve Banks a way of generating
revenue from these highly valuable services, so income was generated
from the assets acquired (including government debt monetization once
open market operations were discovered). With modem technology, a
bankers' bank could earn a service fee for transfers of electronic
currency (giro-type payments) and also could charge a fee
("negative interest") for maintenance and transfer/settlement
services. PayPal provides a model of the payments process under such a
system. It is an historical accident that the United States developed a
credit transfer-type payments system (checking accounts, whereby the
payee presents a right to receive payment to his own bank) instead of
the debit transfer-type more common elsewhere (the payor instructs his
bank to make payment to the bank of the payee). A digital, market-driven
alternative will be a debit-transfer system.
The liabilities of a bankers' bank are "outside
money" and serve as the monetary base upon which the "inside
money" (customer-owned deposits at transfer/banking companies)
stands. A private bankers' bank would have as its primary asset
something that defines the outside money liabilities--traditionally
gold, silver, jewels, or other assets of "intrinsic worth." If
the only asset of the private bankers' bank is gold, the outside
money liabilities are "as good as gold."
The inside money deposit liabilities of commercial banking
companies that are denominated in units of the outside money of the
bankers' bank must be limited to some pre-determined multiple of
the outside money via a (ideally) single, uniform reserve requirement.
(6) That is, each commercial bank that offers liabilities (deposits
owned by customers) denominated in units of the gold-backed outside
money of die bankers' bank must maintain a reserve balance in its
account at the bankers' bank that cannot fall below a contractual
fraction of its own liabilities denominated in units of the gold-backed
outside money. The total amount of gold-backed money in circulation
(both the electronic forms of currency issued by the bankers' bank,
if any, and deposit liabilities of commercial banking companies, are
strictly constrained by the total assets of the bankers' bank.
Note that the deposit liabilities of commercial banking companies
in a system that allows fractional reserve banking (the commercial
banking companies hold earning assets in addition to their deposit
balance at the banker's bank) are not "as good as gold."
Allowance of anything less than 100 percent gold backing of the
liabilities of commercial banking companies means there is allowance for
the possibility of insolvency of the commercial banking companies (i.e.,
losses on earning assets exceed net worth).
The quantity of money outstanding and circulating will depend on
whether fractional reserve banking is allowed and on how bank customers
(money holders) choose to hold their gold-backed private currency. In a
100 percent gold-reserve model, there is no difference. However, if bank
customers choose to download currency onto a mobile device, a legal and
accounting distinction will need to be made between digital currency and
claims to money. The accounting treatment by the commercial bank is
important. When the customer of the bank adds to the balance on a mobile
device, does the bank treat that as a withdrawal or an advance?
If it is a withdrawal (both assets and liabilities of the
commercial bank are reduced), the balance on the mobile device is
digital currency, the same as Federal Reserve Notes in one's
pocket. (7) Theft or loss of the device is a loss of the money, the same
as when your wallet is lost or stolen; no recovery is possible. If the
bank records the loading of value on the mobile device as an advance,
purchases made by the holder of the mobile device merely transfer
ownership of the funds (liabilities of the bank) from one party to
another. (8)
Alternative Approaches
A successor to the defunct e-gold system is being planned around a
single gold-reserve repository and a network of transfer agents, which
may be existing commercial banks. Instead of one or more bankers'
banks, the proposed "Global Standard Payment System" (GSPS)
consists of an entity with only one asset, physical gold, and one type
of liability, gold-backed digital currency (AUG). Approved transfer
agents (or primary dealers) will acquire physical gold and transfer it
to the gold repository in exchange for units of AUG, presumably
equivalent to grams or fractions of grams of gold. The AUG may initially
be the property of the transfer agent, or of the party selling physical
gold to the transfer agent.
Note that the outside money in this system is virtually identical
to a foreign national currency. (9) The liabilities of the gold
repository may be held directly by and circulate among individuals and
businesses without the involvement of financial intermediaries, or may
be essentially the same as foreign-currency deposit accounts at a bank.
It is also noteworthy that these liabilities are not claims to gold or
warehouse receipts for gold bullion. The holder of AUG does not own any
gold, so transfers of AUG do not involve the transfer of ownership of
actual gold bullion.
The quantity of money outstanding is a simple function of the
demand for AUG: parties currently holding physical gold must choose to
exchange actual gold for AUG. Conversely, decreased demands for AUG that
are returned to the gold repository for redemption of physical gold will
result in a contraction of the balance sheet of the central gold
repository: there will be less gold held as an asset and fewer AUG
liabilities outstanding.
The business model of GSPS anticipates two types of payments. The
first is holders of AUG making payments for goods and services offered
by merchants/vendors who accept AUG, and making personal transfers to
other persons who are pre-approved account holders. Much like
PayPal-to-PayPal transactions and transfers, it is a closed system of
account holders. The second type of payments is holders of
AUG-denominated deposits instinct die transfer agent (bank) to make
payment to a recipient who does not wish to receive AUG. The transaction
would be essentially the same as current foreign-exchange transactions.
The payor gives up one currency and the payee receives another, with the
bank or banks involved earning a fee for the exchange conversion. Any
recipient of AUG can exchange the value received for national
currency/deposits via the approved money transfer agents (at die
momentary exchange rate between grams of gold and the national
currency).
While this limited functionality should not encounter many
regulatory barriers and obstacles, it is short of the array of functions
of money. As a medium of exchange for acquiring immediate delivery of a
good or service (e.g., buying a newspaper from the local kiosk), units
of national currency (paper or coins) serve quite well, and AUG offer
little added value, except for reduced risk of theft or accidental loss.
However, in transactions that would normally involve credit or debit
cards, AUG would offer several competitive advantages. The spender of
AUG would not be furnishing any personal identification or financial
information to the vendor. Like vendors today that accept bitcoin in
payment, the vendor does not know and has no need to know anything about
the buyer. Also, transactions in AUG would be immediate and final to the
seller, with lower transactions fees than credit or debit cards.
Longer-run, it is in the standard-of-value, unit-of-account,
abode-of-purchasing-power functions where there is greater potential for
value added--and greater obstacles to be overcome. Once time is
introduced into the subject of money and payments, legal questions are
also introduced.
Without specific-performance legislation concerning digital
currencies, contractual obligations to deliver AUG (or bitcoin or other
alternative currencies) in the future in payment for delivery of goods
or services would not be enforceable in the exact terms of the contract.
Financial instruments involving payment or repayment of AUG would be
inferior to similar instruments involving national currencies if courts
are not required to compel delivery of the promised AUG. Furthermore,
tax treatment of transactions involving AUG is still evolving along with
treatment of other digital currencies. A bitcoin has no physical
counterpart and is not a claim to a future stream of dividends or
interest payments like common stock or bonds. A bitcoin is not a claim
to anything, yet the IRS has chosen to treat it as a commodity. (10) It
certainly is true that physical gold and silver are commodities, but it
is not at all obvious that an electronic currency defined in terms of
gold can be construed as a commodity or an earning asset and taxed
accordingly. However, these are unresolved, and crucially important,
issues.
Growing popular support for ending the taxation of precious metal
assets and transactions is evidenced by the increasing number of state
governments that have ended such taxes, Oklahoma being the most recent.
Building a national consensus that taxation of gold and gold-backed
currency transactions should be eliminated at the federal level is
essential.
Redistribute the Wealth
Momentum toward usage of private gold-backed currency would be
enhanced by increasing the share of the population that owns gold or
claims to gold. Also, popular opposition to taxation of gold holdings
and gold-based transactions would increase along with wider gold
ownership. (11)
As a demonstration of who was the master, the U.S. government
nationalized private holdings of gold in 1933 (Executive Order 6102):
both citizens and foreign residents were required to "sell"
physical
gold to the Federal Reserve Banks for $20.67/oz by May of that
year. Private ownership of gold by Americans was banned by the federal
government until 1974. Now, four decades later--as a symbol of who is
the real master--the people should ban ownership of gold by their
government.
The U.S. government currently possesses (I will not say
"owns" because of the way the gold was acquired) more than 260
million Troy ounces of gold, which is more than 0.8 ounce (or about 27
grams) for every citizen in the country. (12) Congress should set a date
in the near future to distribute, as a matter of birthright or
naturalization, a certificate entitling the holder to claim 0.8 ounce or
27 grams of gold from the U.S. Mint. (13) Note that this is emphatically
not a proposal that the government "sell " its holdings of
gold to the citizens.
Upon distribution of the certificates, markets for trading these
claims to gold would quickly develop. Persons or parties who acquire 400
certificates would present authenticated certificates to the U.S. Mint
in exchange for one standard gold bar. At current exchange rates, each
certificate would be valued at over $1,000. The legislation instructing
the U.S. Mint to distribute gold to certificate holders would of
necessity include a provision that there would be no federal taxation of
any sort associated with the transactions to acquire or sell
certificates. State and local government politicians would support local
taxation at their political peril.
Organized and well-financed opposition to a proposal to distribute
the U.S. gold stock to the nation's citizens can be anticipated to
arise from the commercial dealers in precious metals. In fact, they can
usually be counted on to cheer news that some government or central bank
in the world is reported to be buying gold or silver. While such traders
in gold and silver advertise aggressively to promote individual
ownership of the metals, the last thing they want is for the government
to give (back) to the people the gold they were banned from owning from
1933 to 1974.
End Monopoly Money
Many of the trappings of "nationhood" have fallen away in
recent decades. A half a century ago, newly independent nations adopted
their own flags and anthems as symbols of nationhood, but also insisted
on national airlines, national railroads, national television and radio
stations, and, of course, a national currency managed by a national
central bank. Even when they employed currency boards in the transition
to full independence, the goal was a national money.
Just as the notion of independent national airlines now seems
quaint, the adoption of the euro by (initially eleven) nations in Europe
has rendered the insistence on national currencies to be obsolete.
Holding foreign currencies (mainly U.S. dollars and German
deutschemarks) has been common to many people around the world for the
past half century, and more recently people regularly own bank accounts
and financial instruments that are denominated in something other than
the "official" currency. Even contracts specifying foreign
currency have become enforceable in domestic courts.
The technologies that have given rise to cybercash and digital
currency necessitate further evolution toward full currency competition.
Gresham's law about bad money driving out good money is a statement
only about the medium of exchange function (circulating cash) under
fixed exchange rates. With regard to the standard of value and abode of
purchasing power functions under currency competition, Gresham's
law is flipped on its head: High confidence money drives out low
confidence money (see Hayek 1976: 29; Mundell 1998). People
"used" U.S. dollars and German marks as standards of value
even when they had none.
In just a very few years, bitcoin has become a limited-use medium
of exchange, but not a standard of value. It is probable that initially
AUG or other gold-backed digital currencies will be introduced and
employed as media of exchange. Evolution of alternative currencies
toward familiar standards of value will develop more slowly and will be
influenced by ongoing experience and satisfaction with national
currencies as standards of value and stores of value. The evolution will
be quicker if tax authorities readily begin to accept cybercash/digital
currency in settlement of personal and business tax obligations.
Technologically this is quite simple, even if the tax collection
authority initiates immediate conversion to national fiat currency. At
the federal level, the tax authorities will have a requirement for tens
of trillions of dollars for many decades as a result of legacy debt,
interest on that debt, and "entitlement" promises to people.
Nevertheless, it is no more difficult for the taxpayer to tender AUG to
settle tax obligations than it is make an online purchase from a private
vendor. (14)
At the end of World War II, the newly introduced German mark was
defined as 1/4 of a U.S. dollar and the Japanese yen was defined as
1/360 of a U.S. dollar, at a time the dollar was defined as 1/35 ounce
of gold. All of the new currencies in the 1990s after the end of die
Cold War began this way. Early in this century, the euro was introduced
as essentially a German mark by a different name. All newly introduced
currencies have begun this way--defined in terms of something of known
value--and it can be expected that digital currencies (even if backed by
gold) must develop a history before becoming an independent standard of
value, floating against other private and national currencies.
References
ACLU (2011) "Reform the Patriot Act." Available at
www.aclu.org/ reform-patriot-act.
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(1) The case for restoring the gold standard was made by Rep. Ron
Paul and Lewis Lehrman (1982) in their Minority Report. For a review of
the Gold Commission Report, see Schwartz (1987: 317-32).
(2) The importance of property rights to our economic (and
political) system has received increasing attention in recent years.
Even the popular press has been carrying more columns and op-eds about
protection of rights to property. A recent excellent column by Kevin
Williamson (2014) at National Review is quite good in illustrating the
ways our property rights have been steadily eroded in the past century.
(3) Nollan v. California Coastal Commission, 483 U.S. 825 (1987).
The right to just compensation for the taking of private property for
public use (under the Fifth and Fourteenth Amendments) was upheld by the
Supreme Court in this case.
(4) Measures include: the consumer price index, with or without
things people buy frequently; hedonic measures of such transactions;
personal consumption expenditure deflators; and trimmed-mean, median,
and sticky measures of these series.
(5) Sadly, it is becoming more common for individuals (especially
political opponents) to be presumed by the media and the public to be
guilty of something as a result of being "indicted" by some
authority of government. Resulting loss of reputation can min careers
even when no guilt by trial is ever rendered.
(6) The reserve ratio may be 100 percent, in which case commercial
banks need to generate earnings by transactions fees--their deposit
customers pay a small amount for the service of electronic payments to
recipients. Whether the ratio remains at 100 percent or becomes some
fraction should be determined in the marketplace by competition among
commercial banking companies offering varying levels of capitalization
and earning asset composition.
(7) Note that in this case the balance loaded on the mobile device
is a claim to the liabilities of the banker's bank, the same as
paper currency issued by central banks.
(8) The commercial bank's balance sheet does not contract; one
liability (deposits) contracts and another (advances) increases.
(9) Nothing in the business plan of GSPS precludes an approved
account holder from offering credit intermediary functions. Clearly, as
seasonal demand for AUG emerges, there will be opportunity for banks or
bank-like firms to offer to pay interest to AUG holders in order to
aggregate the quantities demanded by AUG borrowers.
(10) The IRS logic is that while the payor is giving up bitcoin,
the payee will make an immediate conversion to dollars. If the
bitcoin/dollar exchange rate at the time of the transaction is different
than at the time the payor acquired the bitcoin, the payor has incurred
a gain or loss in dollar terms. Of course, if both payor and payee
transacted only in bitcoin and neither ever exchanged dollars for
bitcoin or bitcoin for dollars, the IRS logic for capital gains and
losses does not hold up.
(11) In the transition from socialism to a market economy in the
early 1990s, Vaclav Klaus put forth the political proposition that the
best way to build popular support for protection of property rights was
to get property into the hands of the people. Support for an abstract
proposition of "protecting private property rights" means
little to people who have no property.
(12) See U.S. Treasury (2015) for updated figures. There is no
reason to distribute certificates to noncitizen residents; in fact,
making only citizens eligible would heighten the incentive for
naturalization.
(13) If a gold-backed private currency system, such as GSPS, is in
existence, the U.S. Treasury could simply assign the gold to the private
repository and send AUG worth 27 grams of gold to every citizen.
Recipients of AUG could continue to hold in that form of money or
convert to the national or other currency at the prevailing exchange
rate.
(14) It is a widely held myth that people can pay their federal
income taxes with Federal Reserve Notes or even coins. The reality is
that any form of money the taxpayer tenders must be converted by a
commercial bank into a digital dollar deposit in the "Treasury Tax
and Loan" account at the commercial bank before it is subsequently
swept into the Treasury General Account at the Federal Reserve Banks.
Jerry L. Jordan is former President of the Federal Reserve Bank of
Cleveland. He served on President Reagan's Council of Economic
Advisers and the U.S. Gold Commission.