Economic freedom, corruption, and growth.
us Swaleheen, Mushfiq ; Stansel, Dean
This article adds to the empirical literature on the relationship
between corruption and economic growth by incorporating the impact of
economic freedom. We utilize an econometric model with two improvements
on the previous literature: (1) our model acconnts for the fact that
economic growth, corruption, and investment are jointly determined, and
(2) we include economic freedom explicitly as an explanatory variable.
Using a panel of 60 countries, we find that for countries with low
economic freedom (where individuals have limited economic choices),
corruption reduces economic growth. However, in countries with high
economic freedom, corruption is found to increase economic growth. Our
results contradict the generally accepted view that corruption lowers
the rate of growth. We use Osterfeld's (1992) distinction between
expansive and restrictive corruption to explain our results. According
to Osterfeld, corruption expands output if more bribes help the economy
move toward greater free exchange. Thus, in economies where economic
freedom is high, if bribing makes public officials less diligent in
enforcing restrictions on firms' activities, output will increase.
However, corruption will restrict output when bribes reduce competition
and increase market rigidities. This outcome is more likely in countries
where economic freedom is low due to widespread state ownership of
assets (e.g., in China), monopolies and high tariff barriers granted to
businesses owned by ruling elites and their cronies (e.g., the
Philippines under Marcos and Indonesia under Suharto), and state-run
marketing boards that are often the sole purchasers of agricultural
products (e.g., in several African countries). An increase in corruption
in these low economic freedom countries means even less competition and
free exchange and leads to a fall in output. The policy implication of
our finding is straightforward: The surest way to mitigate corruption
and its adverse effects is to increase economic freedom.
Private property rights need to be better protected if economic
freedom is to increase. The protection of the right to one's person
and property and the right to make choices about their disposition are
the essence of economic freedom. When allocative decisions are made in a
system where economic freedom is strong, markets lead to an efficient
outcome. Societies obviously do not use such a one-dimensional system of
allocation. The political system restricts or augments the economic
power of individuals or groups on the basis of society's expressed
preferences for goals other than efficiency.
We define corruption as the use of public office for private gain.
It occurs at the fault line between the society's pursuit of the
expressed non-efficiency preferences and the outcome that would occur
when economic freedom is complete. This fault line, however, is
amorphous because individuals' desire for economic freedom and the
benefits that flow from it leads them to circumvent government
regulations that limit the scope of legal market transactions. Thus,
corruption, as well as its economic effects, is conditioned by the
degree of economic freedom that market participants enjoy.
Previous Studies
There is an extensive literature on the economic effects of
corruption. In modeling the effect of corruption on economic growth,
previous studies have used a neoclassical growth specification. The
rationale is that physical capital, labor (population growth), human
capital (education), and institutional variables (of which corruption is
one) contribute to the steady-state per capita income level. Given the
initial per capita income, the rates of growth of these variables
determine the speed at which an economy converges to its steady state,
which affects the growth rate of GDP.
There are two serious problems in examining the relationship
between economic growth, economic freedom, and corruption. First,
differences among countries (known as "time invariant heterogeneity" or "country fixed effects") in terms of
religion, culture, and institutions have an important role in explaining
cross-country differences in corruption (Triesman 2000) and the rate of
growth (Islam 1995). We believe these country fixed effects are
correlated with economic freedom. Second, corruption, investment, and
the rate of economic growth are simultaneously determined: The random
shocks that affect the rate of economic growth may also simultaneously
affect corruption, economic freedom, and other explanatory variables
such as investment. Dawson (2003) shows that economic freedom is the
result of growth rather than a cause of growth. Our review of the
literature reveals that (a) the current body of empirical evidence on
the effect of corruption on growth is based largely on cross-sectional
models that cannot account for unobserved country-specific
heterogeneity; (b) the degree of economic freedom in an economy is not
considered explicitly; and (c) the simultaneity between corruption,
investment, and economic growth is ignored.
Mauro (1995) is the seminal empirical work on the interaction
between corruption and growth. He finds that much of the effects of
corruption on growth take place indirectly, through the effect on
investment. He also finds that when investment is controlled for, the
direct effect of corruption on growth is weak. Mo (2001) presents
evidence that corruption affects economic growth by lowering human
capital accumulation and by undermining political stability. Pelligrini
and Gerlagh (2004) add trade openness as an additional channel through
which the effect of corruption on growth is transmitted.
Meon and Sekkat (2005) investigate the direct effect of corruption
on economic growth while controlling for the quality of governance.
Kaufmann, Kraay, and Zoido-Lobaton (1999) measure the quality of
governance using an index based on the openness of the political system,
the degree of political risk, the burden of regulatory controls, and the
rule of law, and perceptions of the quality of public service
provisions, the competence of the bureaucracy, and their independence.
They address the following question: How does a distortion in the form
of corruption (or an increase in the degree of corruption), on top of an
existing distortion in the form of poor governance, affect growth? They
find that corruption has a negative effect on economic growth and that
the negative effect is stronger if governance is of poor quality. The
policy implication is that reducing corruption would be more profitable
in countries with poor governance.
In contrast to Meon and Sekkat, Houston (2007: 15) finds that in
countries with poor governance, corruption helps to expand output and
concludes, "Corruption should not be indiscriminately attacked in
poorly goverued countries." The econometric models used in these
two articles are very different: Meon and Sekkat use a neoclassical
growth specification while Houston neglects to include some fairly
standard explanatory variables based on the previous literature (e.g.,
investment and population growth).
Mauro (1995), Mo (2001), Meon and Sekkat (2005), and Houston (2007)
all use cross-sectional models and ignore the endogeneity of corruption
and investment. In contrast, Ehrlich and Lui (1999) and Mendez and
Sepulveda (2006) use panel data to address the problem of the
endogeneity of corruption through country fixed effects. However,
neither work addresses the problem of simultaneity between corruption,
investment, and the rate of growth. Ehrlich and Lui report that for a
sample of 68 countries corruption affects the level of GDP but not
economic growth. They treat corruption as exogenous. Using the
categories "free" and "not free" (as determined by
the index of' political rights and civil liberties from Freedom
House International), Mendez and Sepulveda find that in "free"
countries, corruption and growth are inversely and nonlinearly related.
In countries that are "not free," the relationship between
corruption and economic growth is not statistically significant. To the
best of our knowledge, Mendez and Sepulveda (2006) is the only published
article so far that investigates the interaction between corruption,
economic freedom, and economic growth. (1)
The Model
We specify our benchmark structural model as follows:
(1) [logGDP.sub.i,t] = [[alpha].sub.0] + [[alpha].sub.1]
[logGDP.sub.i,t-1] + [beta][X.sub.i,t]] + [[alpha].sub.2] [INV.sub.i,t]
+ [[alpha].sub.3][C.sub.i,t] + [[alpha].sub.4] [EF.sub.i,t] +
[[mu].sub.i] + [v.sub.i,t]
where GDP stands for gross domestic product, X is a set of control
variables (primary and secondary school enrollment rates, annual
population growth rate, size of government, and political stability),
INV stands for investment, C stands for corruption, and EF stands for
economic freedom. All explanatory variables, except INV and C, are
uncorrelated with the error term ([v.sub.i,t]). The unobserved country
fixed effect is represented by [mu]. INV and C, and possibly other
explanatory variables, are correlated with [mu]. The coefficients for
corruption and economic freedom measure the level change in the
logarithm of current year's GDP (i.e., the change in growth of per
capita income in percentage points) owing to a change in corruption,
given last year's GDP and other control variables. Unlike Mendez
and Sepulveda (2006), who separated their sample into "free"
and "not free" countries (based on political rights and civil
liberties), we explicitly include economic freedom in our model. To
capture the manner in which the effect of corruption is conditional upon
the level of economic freedom, we also include a multiplicative
interactive term (CPI*EFI).
The Arrelano and Bond (1991) method (AB method) is specially suited
for estimating this dynamic model for a panel of countries with data
available for a short time span. To estimate equation 1 using the AB
method, we take first differences:
(2) [MATHEMATICAL EXPRESSION NOT REPRODUCIBLE IN ASCII].
With [[mu].sub.i] eliminated, the AB method uses instrumental
variables for each of the first differenced explanatory variables. To
illustrate, consider equation 2 when t = 3:
(3) [MATHEMATICAL EXPRESSION NOT REPRODUCIBLE IN ASCII]
In equation 3, [logGDP.sub.i,2]-[logGDP.sub.i,1] is correlated with
the error term in difference [v.sub.i,3]-[v.sub.i,2]. The former term
can be instrumented by [logGDP.sub.i,1] because [logGDP.sub.i,] is
correlated with [logGDP.sub.i,2] [logGDP.sub.i,1], and it is reasonable
to assume that GDP in a year is unrelated to random shocks in the future
(i.e., [logGDP.sub.i,1] is predetermined). In the AB method, two-period
lagged values instrument endogenous variables. Thus, [C.sub.i,1] is an
instrument for [C.sub.i,3]-[C.sub.i,2], and [INV.sub.i,1] is an
instrument for [INV.sub.i,3]-[INV.sub.i,2]. Other instruments (for
example, lagged saving for current investment), if known, can be added
to the instruments' matrix. Finally, the variables that are
strictly exogenous in [X.sup.'.sub.i,3]-[X.sup.'.sub.i,2] can
all act as instruments for themselves in levels.
The Data
Corruption occurs in secret and is not directly observable.
Reliability of the measurement of corruption is therefore a key issue in
any empirical study. A good measure must be able to convey the frequency
and depth of corruption, and be comparable over time. Three measures of
corruption are used in the literature: Transparency International's
Corruption Perceptions Index (CPI), the World Bank's Control of
Corruption Index (CCI), and the Corruption in Government index from the
International Country Risk Guide prepared by the Political Risk
Services, known as the ICRG index.
The CPI and the CCI are based on a number of separate surveys of
businesses' perceptions of corruption, while the ICRG index is a
ranking of countries on the basis of expert opinion about prevailing
corruption. Lambsdroff (2004a, 2004b) cautions that the ICRG index does
not measure corruption; it indicates the political risk involved in
corruption. Triesman (2000) finds some rankings by the ICRG index
puzzling.
We use the CPI to measure corruption because the CPI is available
annually while the CCI is available only every other year. The CPI
ranges from 0 to 10. A low score means corruption is perceived to be
high. The CPI data are available for a panel of countries for each year
from 1994. A number of previous works use the CPI panel, for example,
Gyimah-Brempong (2002), Gyimah-Brempong and de Comacho (2006), and
Ganuza and Hauk (2001).
By economic freedom we mean the freedom to enter into voluntary
exchanges without government interference, which means the protection of
one's property rights. Two well-known indexes of economic freedom
are the Economic Freedom of the World (EFW) Index prepared by the Fraser
Institute and the Economic Freedom Index (EFI) prepared by the Heritage
Foundation. Economic freedom and political freedom reflect the same
fundamental values relating to personal choices. However, political
freedom can coexist with a lack of economic freedom (e.g., India), and
economic freedom can coexist with a lack of political freedom (e.g.,
Singapore). We use the EFI because it is available for a greater number
of years. The EFI ranges from 0 to 100 (comprised of 10 components, each
of which is sealed 0 to 10). A score of 0 signifies economic policies
that provide the least freedom. A score of 100 means that economic
agents have the most freedom. Because two of our independent variables
of interest--corruption and government size--are each included as one of
the 10 components of the EFI, we have calculated a modified EFI that
excludes those two components. Our modified EFI ranges from 0 to 80.
Political stability is proxied by the durability of a government.
Our political stability variable measures the number of years since the
most recent regime change. If a regime is stable, then the political
stability score will be higher by one point in each successive year. We
expect that countries that have greater political stability over time,
all else being equal, will also have stronger economic growth. The
political stability measure is obtained from the Polity IV data base.
(2)
Data on all other variables have been obtained from the World
Bank's World Development Indicators database. The variable
definitions are found in the Appendix. The summary statistics are also
presented in the Appendix (in Table A1).
Econometric Results
In Table 1 we present the estimates obtained by applying the AB
method to the dynamic model specified in equation 1. As mentioned
earlier, the AB method eliminates the unobserved country fixed effects
by first differencing all variables and then uses the one-period lagged
(level) values of the predetermined explanatory variables and the
two-period lagged values of the endogenous explanatory variables (INV
and C in our model) as instruments. Variables specified as additional
instruments (lagged saving) are included, undifferenced, in the
instruments matrix. (3) The validity of this model depends on whether
there are enough instruments to identify our model. Also, the absence of
second-order serial correlation in the error term is required for the
estimates to be consistent. Thus, a good model has to pass two tests:
first, the Sargan test of over-identifying restrictions and, second, a
test for absence of second-order autocorrelation [AR(2)] in the error
term.
The AB method provides one-step and two-step estimates of the
coefficients. The two-step standard errors tend to be biased downward in
the ease of small samples (Baltagi 2001, StataCorp. 2003). Given the
modest size of our sample (137 observations for 60 countries), only the
first-step results are reported in Table 1.
The specification in column 1 includes the control variables,
investment rate, and corruption as explanatory variables. The p-value
for the null hypothesis of absence of AR(2) in the error term is 17
percent, which means that column 1 presents a consistent model. In
column 2, the modified economic freedom index variable is added to the
specification in column 1. The estimates are not consistent because the
null hypothesis of the absence of AR(2) process in the error term is
rejected at a 14 percent level of significance. Replacing the EFI with
the interaction term for corruption and economic freedom as an
explanatory variable (column 3) gives us the same p-value of 14 percent.
When all three variables are included in column 4 (CPI, EFI, and
CPI*EFI), the null hypothesis of the absence of AR(2) cannot be rejected
at a conventional level of significance. All four models are significant
and identified.
In column 4, the estimated elasticity of current real per capita GDP (0.73) with respect to its lagged value reveals a large degree of
persistence of growth. The coefficient for primary education is not
significant while the coefficient for secondary education is, but it has
the wrong sign. The effect of population growth is large and
statistically significant: If population growth is higher by 1
percentage point, then per capita real GDP growth would be lower by 0.70
percentage point. The investment rate has a statistically significant
positive effect on the growth rate.
When we regress the log of per capita GDP on the control variables
and CPI, ignoring EFI and EFIxCPI (column 1), the coefficient for CPI is
positive but not statistically significant. When we control for EFI and
EFIxCPI, the model (column 4) performs better, and the coefficient for
CPI is significant with a positive sign. The results in column 4 suggest
that a decrease in corruption (increase in CPI) will increase the rate
of growth of per capita income. We also see that an increase in economic
freedom raises the rate of growth of real per capita GDP and the
coefficient is significant. Note that the coefficient of CPI is four
times its size in column 3--that is, when the degree of economic freedom
is held constant, a decrease in the incidence of corruption is more
strongly growth augmenting. The partial effect of a change in the CPI on
the rate of growth of per capita income on the basis of the results in
column 4 is as follows:
(4) [partial derivative]log real GDP per capita / [partial
derivative]CPI = 7.30-0.14EFI.
In countries where the EFI is 52.15, a reduction in corruption
(meaning an increase in the CPI) has no effect on the rate of growth
(because the second term in equation 4 exactly offsets the first term).
For countries where the EFI is less than 52.15, a reduction in
corruption will increase economic growth. This growth-augmenting effect
is increasing in the absence of economic freedom. In our sample, 38 of
the 60 countries have an EFI less than 52.15 in each of the sample
years. For the other 22 countries with higher economic freedom (i.e,
EFI>52.15), decreasing corruption will reduce economic growth, and
this growth-reducing effect is increasing in economic freedom. This
means that in countries where people have low economic freedom,
controlling corruption will have growth benefits. However, if economic
freedom is relatively high, then reducing corruption will lower the
growth rate. These findings suggest that the growth consequence of
corruption depends on the choices open to the people. If people have
many choices (economic freedom high), they reach the most efficient
allocation possible (given the few government restrictions that do
exist) by bribing officials to look the other way rather than diligently
enforce those restrictions. In this situation, if the officials become
more honest (lower corruption), then the policies in place are
implemented more faithfully and growth is adversely affected. On the
other hand, if government control of the economy is pervasive and people
have very few choices (economic freedom low), a reduction in corruption
by public officials releases resources and leads to a higher growth
rate.
Osterfeld (1992) provides an explanation for this result:
Corruption increases output if more bribes help the economy move toward
greater free exchange. Thus, where economic freedom is high (e.g., Hong
Kong), if public officials are less diligent in enforcing restrictions
on firms' activities, output will increase. However, corruption
will lower output when bribes reduce competition and increase market
rigidities. This is more likely to happen in countries where economic
freedom is low because state ownership of assets is more widespread,
ruling elites and their cronies are granted monopolies and high tariff
barriers, and state-run marketing boards are more likely to be the sole
purchasers of agricultural products. An increase in corruption in these
low-freedom countries is more likely to lead to a decline in output
because it is more likely to be "restrictive" corruption that
reduces competition and the amount of free exchange.
The model in column 4 of Table 1 can also be used to measure the
partial effect of a change in economic freedom. The partial effect is as
follows:
(5) [partial derivative]log real GDP per capita / [partial
derivative]EFI = 0.62-0.14CPI.
Equation 5 indicates that for a given incidence of corruption, the
rate of growth of real per capita income is increasing with the degree
of economic freedom. The positive growth effect of an increase in
economic freedom is increasing with the incidence of corruption (high
corruption means a low CPI). Thus, in a country where corruption is at
its highest (CPI = 0), an increase in economic freedom will be growth
augmenting. On the other hand, in countries where corruption is
relatively low (values for CPI > 4.43), an increase in economic
freedom actually reduces growth of real per capita income. Such a
paradoxical relationship between economic freedom and growth can arise
because the relationship between freedom and corruption is not uniform
across countries (Graeff and Mehlkop 2003). For example, if more freedom
is in the form of broadening a country's financial linkage with the
rest of the world, it may actually foster corruption and reduce growth.
Equations 4 and 5 can be used to compare the growth effect of a
reduction in corruption and an increase in economic freedom. For a
country with the EFI at the sample average (EFI = 48.54), a one standard
deviation decrease in the incidence of corruption (increase in CPI of
2.43) will cause the growth rate of per capita real GDP to be higher by
1.22 percentage points. On the other hand, for a country with the CPI at
the sample mean (CPI = 4.72), a one standard deviation increase in the
index of economic freedom (increase in EFI of 9.76) will actually lower
the growth rate of real per capita GDP by 0.4 percentage point. This
outcome suggests that a focus on anti-corruption policies supplemented
by economic liberalization policies is advisable in the developing
countries that have very high corruption (CPI close to zero) and very
low economic freedom (EFI well below 48.54).
Our findings run counter to some of the findings reported in the
literature. For example, Meon and Sekkat (2005) find that the
relationship between corruption and the rate of growth is inverse and
linear. We find that the relationship is nonlinear: In countries with
high economic freedom, an increase in corruption does not decrease
economic growth. Mendez and Sepulveda (2006) find that in countries that
are freer, corruption and growth are negatively related. None of these
previous works consider economic freedom as an explanatory variable. As
mentioned earlier, Meon and Sekkat use a cross-sectional model. We found
that if a cross-sectional model is fitted to our data, the coefficient
for the CPI is indeed positive, signifying that more corruption (lower
CPI) leads to lower growth. (4) That result is consistent with the
previous literature using the same approach. Our contrasting results are
due in part to the fact that we have used a more appropriate econometric
model. It will be recalled that although Mendez and Sepulveda use fixed
effects estimation, they do not control for the endogeneity of
corruption and investment. Thus, the significant difference between our
finding and the findings reported in the literature may be due to
differences in model specification: Our model both controls for fixed
effects and allows for the endogeneity of corruption and investment
while the models used by previous authors do not.
Conclusion
There is an extensive literature on the effect of corruption on the
rate of growth of per capita income. This literature is based mostly on
cross-sectional analyses and ignores the well-recognized fact that
growth, corruption, and investment are jointly determined. Also, the
role of economic freedom in determining how economic agents adjust to
corruption is not addressed explicitly.
This article differs from the previous works in two important ways:
First, economic freedom is included explicitly as an explanatory
variable. Second, corruption and investment are treated as endogenous
variables.
Our econometric results lead us to conclusions that run counter to
the generally accepted view in the literature that corruption is harmful
to growth. We find that, all else being equal, corruption lowers growth
when the economic agents have very few choices (i.e., when economic
freedom is low); but, if people face many choices (i.e., if economic
freedom is high), corruption helps growth by providing a way around
government controls.
These findings have significant public policy implications,
especially for developing countries. They suggest that in countries with
very high corruption (CPI close to zero) and very low economic freedom
(EFI well below 48.54), a focus on anti-corruption policies supplemented
by economic liberalization policies is advisable to encourage economic
growth. One interesting example that may at first glance appear to
contradict our findings is China. China has a higher incidence of
corruption relative to other countries (CPI for 2004 = 3.4) and a low
economic freedom score, but it also has high economic growth. The key
factor is that the incidence of corruption has declined substantially
since 1995 (CPI in 1995 was 2.16). While economic freedom in China has
also increased modestly in recent years, over the 1995-2004 period we
examine, it has actually declined slightly. Thus, what has happened in
China actually supports our hypothesis that in a country with low
economic freedom, corruption is growth reducing. Therefore, a reduction
in corruption would be expected to increase growth, which is what we
have seen in China.
Appendix: Definitions of Variables and Summary Statistics
Net Primary Enrollment Ratio. The ratio of the number of children
of official school age (as defined by the national education system) who
are enrolled in school to the population of the corresponding official
school age. Primary education provides children with basic reading,
writing, and mathematics skills along with an elementary understanding
of such subjects as history, geography, natural science, social science,
art, and music.
Net Secondary Enrollment Ratio. The ratio of the number of children
of official school age (as defined by the national education system) who
are enrolled in school to the population of the corresponding official
school age. Secondary education completes the provision of basic
education that began at the primary level, and aims at laying the
foundations for lifelong learning and human development, by offering
more subject- or skill-oriented instruction using more specialized
teachers.
Total Population. Based on the de facto definition of population,
which counts all residents regardless of legal status or
citizenship--except for refugees not permanently settled in the country
of asylum, who are generally considered part of the population of their
country of origin.
GDP per Capita. Gross domestic product divided by midyear
population. GDP is the sum of gross value added by all resident
producers in the economy plus any product taxes and minus any subsidies
not included in the value of the products. It is calculated without
making deductions for depreciation of fabricated assets or for depletion
and degradation of natural resources. Data are in constant 2000 U.S.
dollars.
Annual Percentage Growth Rate of GDP per Capita. Based on constant
local currency. GDP per capita is gross domestic product divided by
midyear population. GDP at purchaser's prices is the sum of gross
value added by all resident producers in the economy plus any product
taxes and minus any subsidies not included in the value of the products.
It is calculated without making deductions for depreciation of
fabricated assets or for depletion and degradation of natural resources.
Gross Domestic Investment (as a Ratio of GDP). Consists of outlays
on additions to the fixed assets of the economy plus net changes in the
level of inventories. Fixed assets include land improvements (fences,
ditches, drains, and so on); plant, machinery, and equipment purchases;
and the construction of roads, railways, and the like, including
schools, offices, hospitals, private residential dwellings, and
commercial and industrial buildings. Inventories are stocks of goods
held by firms to meet temporary or unexpected fluctuations in production
or sales, and "work in progress." According to the 1993 SNA,
net acquisitions of valuables are also considered capital formation.
Size of Government. General government final consumption
expenditure as a share of GDP.
General Government Final Consumption Expenditure. Formerly general
government consumption, includes all government current expenditures for
purchases of goods and services (including compensation of employees).
It also includes most expenditures on national defense and security, but
excludes government military expenditures that are part of government
capital formation.
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Index. Available at www.transparency.org/surveys/index.html#cpi.
Treisman, D. (2000) "The Causes of Corruption: A
Cross-National Study." Journal of Public Economics 76: 399-457.
World Bank (2004) World Development Indicators. Available at www.
devdata.worldbank.org.
(1) However, see Houston (2007) mid an unpublished working paper by
Heekehnan and Powell.
(2) See Marshall and Jaggers (2002) for a discussion of the Polity
IV data base and the variable definitions.
(3) Levels lagged one or more periods may be used as instruments in
ease of predetermined variables. In case of endogenous variables, levels
lagged two or more periods are available as instruments (Stata Corp.
2003).
(4) For the sake of brevity, those results are not reported here.
They are available from the authors upon request.
Mushfiq us Swaleheen and Dean Stansel are Assistant Professors of
Economies in the Lutgert College of Business at Florida Gulf Coast
University. They are grateful to Paul Pecorino, James Ligon, Steve
Gohman, Daniel Gropper, Robert Lawson, Myra McCrickard, and Ben Powell for useful comments and suggestions.
TABLE 1
REGRESSION RESULTS: CORRUPTION AND ECONOMIC FREEDOM AS DETERMINANTS OF
THE GROWTH RATE OF REAL PER CAPITA GDP
Dependent Variable: Log of Real
per Capita GDP
Variable (1) (2) (3)
Corruption (CPI) 0.58 0.38 1.83
Economic Freedom (EFI) -- 0.10 --
CPIxEFI -- -- -0.03
Log of GDP per Capita lagged 78.86 ** 77.11 ** 80.44 **
Primary Education -0.01 -0.01 -0.004
Secondary Education -0.13 -0.17 -0.14
Political Stability 0.09 0.09 0.09
Population Growth -77.56 * -82.59 ** -72.04
Government Size -0.12 -0.15
Investment Rate 0.51 ** 0.52 ** -0.14
Wald Test (p-value) 0.00 0.00 0.52 **
Sargan Test (p-value) 0.83 0.96 0.000
Absence of (AR2) (p-value) 0.17 0.14 0.14
Countries 60 60 60
Observations 138 137 137
Dependent Variable: Log
of Real per Capita GDP
Variable (4) (5)
Corruption (CPI) 7.30 ** --
Economic Freedom (EFI) 0.62 ** 0.25 **
CPIxEFI -0.14 ** --
Log of GDP per Capita lagged 72.56 77.71
Primary Education -0.09 0.05
Secondary Education -0.18 * -0.08
Political Stability 0.09 -0.11
Population Growth -69.92 * -50.74
Government Size -0.08 -0.10
Investment Rate 0.53 ** 0.23 **
Wald Test (p-value) 0.00 0.00
Sargan Test (p-value) 0.00 0.04
Absence of (AR2) (p-value) 0.17 0.30
Countries 60 82
Observations 137 213
NOTES: Coefficients reported after multiplication by 100; * significant
at 10 percent; ** significant at 5 percent.
TABLE A1
SUMMARY STATISTICS
Variable Mean Std. Dev. Min. Max.
Corruption (CPI)
Overall 4.72 2.43 0.40 10
Between 2.19 1.34 9.64
Within 0.39 2.80 6.74
Economic Freedom (EFI)
Overall 48.54 9.76 17.90 73.96
Between 9.25 23.05 72.59
Within 3.31 30.26 62.97
CPIxEFI
Overall 255.74 164.37 14.78 666.46
Between 150.50 51.55 642.04
Within 23.13 137.55 358.36
GDP per Capita
Overall 6,119.43 9,080.99 44.64 46,067
Between 9,238.53 99.01 39,568
Within 931.12 -726.36 12,882
Primary Education
Overall 85.58 15.70 26.14 100
Between 15.97 31.29 99.97
Within 2.19 75.94 101.37
Secondary Education
Overall 63.81 25.77 5.26 99.68
Between 25.60 5.65 99.56
Within 2.30 0.53 74.99
Political Stability
Overall 22.35 29.76 0 194
Between 29.51 0 189
Within 4.13 2.90 47.99
Population Growth
Overall 0.01 0.02 -0.24 0.15
Between 0.01 -0.01 0.07
Within 0.01 -0.22 0.17
Openness
Overall 79.26 42.49 1.53 330.60
Between 41.52 2.80 278.72
Within 11.35 28.65 169.61
Government Size
Overall 15.63 6.02 3.78 40.10
Between 6.13 4.70 40.10
Within 1.95 7.35 29.77
Investment Rate
Overall 21.82 6.78 0.21 61.85
Between 5.40 7.64 40.38
Within 4.26 4.57 58.34
NOTES: The overall means and standard deviations are calculated over
countries and years; the between standard deviations are calculated
over country observations averaged over time; the within standard
deviations refer to deviation of observations from respective country
average.