Contesting sovereignty: informal governance and the battle over military expenditure at the IMF.
Clegg, Liam
There is a battle over military expenditure at the International
Monetary Fund, with consistent pressure from its most powerful member
for the Fund to get tough on military expenditure being pitted against
lower-order states' invocation of the organization's
sovereignty-protecting rules and practices. While the formal victory of
the lower-order states has been codified in the Fund's relatively
weak Guidelines on Military Expenditure, on a case-by-case basis policy
shifts continue to be imposed on borrowers through the application of
informal influence by the US Executive Director in the IMF boardroom. By
integrating insights from literature exploring the tension between
formal rules and informal practices in international organizations, this
case study extends the understanding offered in the international
relations literature of the foundations of sovereign inequality in
international politics. Keywords: conditionality, IMF, military
spending, sovereignty, transparency, US Congress.
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DESPITE ITS FOUNDATIONAL IMPORTANCE TO THE DISCIPLINE OF
INTERNATIONAL relations, there is little agreement over the theory and
practice of state sovereignty. Here, through an exploration of the
International Monetary Fund (IMF) engagement with military expenditure,
I analyze the intersection of international organizations (IOs) and
state sovereignty. This study hooks in to the work of Randall Stone and
others on the politics of informal global governance, (1) which
highlights the need for scholarly attention to be maintained on the full
range of mechanisms through which powerful states are able to retain
privileged access to power and control in IOs. While the IMF's
formal rules served to permit nondisclosure of data on military
expenditure on the grounds of protecting state sovereignty, pressure
from the United States has over recent years served to compel some
members toward enhanced transparency in this area. In this case,
governance through informal processes has generated sovereign inequality
at the IMF. (2)
While many facets of (global) military expenditure have been
subject to analysis in previous scholarship, (3) interventions from the
IMF into the issue remain underexplored. The overall finding that the
preferences of materially weak states were, at the end of the day,
trumped by the preferences of the leading power will confirm many
scholars' assumptions about the nature of international politics.
What is perhaps more surprising is the willingness of US authorities to
contravene formal rules in cases involving minimal strategic interests,
(4) and in a context with a relatively low level of support from among
other state representatives for this action. Threats to withhold support
for loan arrangements unless military spending data was released were
deployed against a series of low-income states, and without the
existence of an active coalition inside the organization's
Executive Board. (5) Given the extreme power asymmetries involved,
targeted states were willing to rapidly forgo the previously fought-for
protections of national sovereignty.
In developing this analysis of the intersection of sovereignty and
military expenditure at the IMF, I begin the article by outlining the
conceptual contribution at the heart of the work. The case study
findings contribute primarily to ongoing efforts in the international
relations literature to explore the foundations of sovereign inequality,
in particular by highlighting the manner in which informal influence has
been used to challenge the formally established boundaries of
nonintervention at the IMF. Next, I review the evolution of the formal
Guidelines on Military Expenditure at the IMF, which were framed in
accordance with institutional rules that placed significant restrictions
on the extent of intervention in members' domestic affairs. Then, I
provide an overview of developments through which US domestic political
action has served to push the US executive Directors of the IMF to use
their voice and vote to unilaterally secure behavioral change on the
part of individual borrowing states. Through this action, informal
practices by the US representative have served to create differential
experiences of sovereignty among IMF member states. I conclude the
article by briefly reprising key insights generated into informal
governance and sovereign inequality.
International Organizations and the Foundations of Sovereign
Inequality
Sovereignty remains a central focus of international relations
literature. A consequence of the growth of this literature has been a
proliferation of competing definitions of sovereignty, and of
contrasting judgements over the extent to which state actors retain
sovereignty in various spheres of operation. After introducing the
conceptualization that captures core elements of the relationships at
the heart of this case study, I explore competing interpretations in the
existing literature on the role of IOs in (re-)producing sovereign
inequality. The roots of these disagreements can, I suggest, be
clarified by differentiating between formal rules and informal practices
in the world of IOs. By doing so, the foundations are revealed of the
contradictory role played by the IMF in relation to state sovereignty
and military expenditure.
The contributions of Stephen Krasner to the international relations
literature on sovereignty provide a valuable point of entry into the
investigation of the role of IOs in the (reproduction of sovereign
inequality. Krasner's four-fold typology identifies the domestic,
interdependence, international legal, and Westphalian pillars of
sovereignty. (6) These pillars refer respectively to the organization of
authority in a given state, the capacity of public authorities to
control transborder flows, the formal recognition within key regimes,
and the extent to which external actors exercise authority over domestic
issues. With its implications over the extent to which an external
actor, in the form of the IMF, is able to exercise authority over
domestic military expenditure, my case study relates most closely to the
Westphalian pillar. Drawing on Krasner's definition, in the
discussion below I take sovereign inequality to refer to variations in
the extent to which a given external actor (the IMF) is able to exercise
authority over a given domestic issue (military expenditure monitoring)
across different state spaces.
For Krasner, the nature of sovereignty is contextually determined,
with state actors' experiences fluctuating widely across the
international system. (7) The different dimensions of sovereignty are
subject to independent variation; states can, for example, gain formal
recognition while ceding authority in a given issue area to an external
agent. Krasner reminds us that throughout the sweep of contemporary
history "only a very few states have possessed ... the bundle of
properties associated with sovereignty." (8) In place of the rarely
realised condition of full sovereignty, levels of autonomy wax and wane
across time and issue areas at differing rates for differing state
actors. Sovereign inequality is, for Krasner, an ever present feature of
the system. And in line with Krasner's broad observation, a vibrant
strand of literature has emerged seeking to explore the mechanisms
through which sovereign inequality is layered into the international
system.
The existing literature suggests that IOs display somewhat
Janus-faced characteristics in their interactions with the practice of
state sovereignty. On the one hand, international institutions have been
found to help reinforce the boundaries of nonintervention surrounding a
given policy area. The central channel through which international
institutional structures serve to protect state sovereignty concerns the
codifications they offer of the limits to legitimate intervention in
domestic affairs. Perhaps most obviously, in its role as the ultimate
arbiter of statehood, the United Nations remains deeply implicated in
the production of sovereign space. (9) As noted in the UN Charter, the
organization is "based on the principle of the sovereign equality
of all its Members." (10) The vision of sovereignty offered under
the Charter does attach certain riders to the broad principle of
nonintervention; in particular, with the evolution of the human rights
and Responsibility to Protect regimes, core standards of behavior have
emerged on which noninterference in domestic affairs is now conditioned.
(11) However, a core function of the organization continues to be the
upholding of "the principle of equal rights and self-determination
of peoples." In this role, the UN serves to embed the norm of
Westphalian sovereignty at the heart of the international system. Beyond
the UN, other IOs can be seen to play parallel roles in the protection
of sovereign spaces through their definition of a realm of
nonintervention. The commitment in the World Bank's Articles of
Agreement to avoid intervention in the "political affairs" of
member states, for example, served throughout much of the
institution's history to define a sphere of operational actions
that remained under state actors' purview, beyond the reach of Bank
staff. (12)
Additional details into the process through which IOs function to
support state sovereignty come from the work of Christian Reus-Smit.
(13) Through his analysis of nationalist actors' efforts to gain
independent statehood, Reus-Smit outlines how the codified principles
laid out by the UN came to function as a "weapon of the weak."
(14) J. Samuel Barkin and Bruce Cronin advance a similar position,
noting that claims to nonintervention in domestic affairs have been
bolstered by actors' ability to demonstrate their adherence to
standards of appropriate behavior as laid out by international
institutions. (15) In these instances, IOs' rule-based frameworks
have provided state actors with relatively well-defined yardsticks with
which to enhance their claims to be legitimately entitled to sovereign
autonomy.
On the other side of ledger, a range of works have highlighted
mechanisms through which IOs serve to enhance sovereign inequality. The
hierarchical nature of international institutions has been highlighted
as a key mechanism through which sovereign inequality is maintained. In
this connection, key international agreements have been found to bestow
packages of rights and responsibilities that systematically
differentiate between more- and less-powerful members of the system.
(16) The Nuclear Non-Proliferation Treaty, with its division between
first movers who are able to legitimately hold nuclear weapons and
latecomers who must commit to the development of related technologies
for exclusively peaceful means, has been held up as a case in point in
this regard. (17) In addition, formally constituted IOs have been
flagged as heavily implicated in the reproduction of sovereign
inequality. Given their low levels of influence in governance processes,
less-powerful states often act as rule takers in key IOs in a manner
that undermines their capacity to act autonomously. (18) Indeed, the IMF
itself has been flagged as a generator of sovereign inequality through
this mechanism. (19)
The existing literature, then, tends to portray IOs as contributing
either to the protection of sovereign space or to the erosion of
sovereign space and exacerbation of sovereign inequality. Findings from
the exploration of the IMF engagement with military expenditure,
however, present evidence of a more nuanced interaction. In this
instance, the organization's formal rules have provided a framework
that identifies the parameters of nonintervention while also providing
informal mechanisms through which interventions into this policy area
have been extended on a case-by-case basis. To unpack the foundations of
this contradictory role, it is useful to explore the formal and informal
aspects of IO operations.
A key innovation offered by Randall Stone has been to identify the
existence across a series of arenas of global governance of twin-tracked
formal and informal governance processes. Stone develops the argument
that, through "normal times," IOs operate according to a set
of codified formal rules. Under these structures, voting power is
generally distributed relatively widely among 10 members, and standard
operating procedures ensure that broadly equitable treatment is
received. For Stone, however, these normal times of governance according
to formalized rules and regulations is only possible because the most
powerful states in a regime are safe in the knowledge that informal
processes exist that enable them to bypass standard procedures and exert
exceptional control over an 10's operations. The most powerful
states are held back from endemic rule breaking by the need to maintain
lower-order states' belief in the legitimacy of existing
structures; too much drawing on special privileges will eventually lead
to the formation of alternative structures by dissatisfied parties. (20)
Through the study of military expenditure at the IMF, we see that
sovereign inequality has been generated through practices of informal
governance. Whereas codified rules protect nondisclosure of data on
military expenditure, US actions have served to informally tie the
institution's resources into the promotion of transparency. In this
case, minimal strategic interests were at stake, and no active coalition
existed in support of this drive. Within the IMF, the US Executive
Director's continued advocacy of military expenditure transparency
in fact served to isolate the Director from other representatives in the
organization, who viewed the dogmatic behavior as going against the
grain of the organization's "consensus based" approach.
(21) Given their position of weakness, a series of states whose
representatives had previously fought hard to secure
sovereignty-protecting rules have been forced to rapidly give up on
these protections. Below, I outline the processes through which
sovereignty-protecting rules were established, before reviewing the
conditions surrounding the US creation of sovereign inequality through
the application of informal influence.
Protecting Sovereignty: The Formal Governance of Military
Expenditure at the IMF
The questions of how far the IMF does and should reach into the
domestic affairs of its member states continue to attract much comment.
After briefly reviewing the institutional rules that shape IMF
interactions with its members, I provide an overview of the evolution of
the organization's surveillance activities and outline boardroom
discussions surrounding the establishment of the formal Guidelines on
Military Expenditure. These Guidelines served to enshrine states'
freedom to maintain secrecy in relation to military spending and to
ensure that conditionality was not used in relation to military
expenditure. Findings from content analysis of bilateral and
multilateral surveillance reports and of the Monitoring of Fund
Arrangements (MONA) dataset illustrate the high extent to which staff
respected these sovereignty-protecting rules.
As is well known, the chief protagonists at the Bretton Woods
conference (US lead negotiator Harry Dexter White and UK lead negotiator
John Maynard Keynes) held differing views on the extent to which the IMF
should be able to intervene in members' domestic affairs. (22)
While ambiguity was used as a means of leaving the door open for
staffs' operational reach to extend into the realm of domestic
economic management, (23) key clauses in the IMF Articles of Agreement
served to enshrine state sovereignty by defining a sphere of
nonintervention beyond the organization's purview. Article IV
Section 3 forbade staff from taking consideration of member states'
"domestic social or political policies" in their dealings with
governing authorities, with Schedule C paragraph 7 reiterating this
restriction. (24) While the precise meaning of these terms remains
contested, the sovereignty-protecting clauses remain an active point of
reference at the IMF. Indeed, the content of these protections featured
explicitly in the discussions over the potential reform to surveillance
practices entailed by enhanced military expenditure monitoring and
informed the resulting Guidelines.
Surveillance, the practice of routinely monitoring member
states' policy programs and the overall health of the global
economic system, has grown to become a core activity of the IMF. (25)
However, this strand of work represents a comparatively recent
innovation in the life of the institution; it was in particular through
the late 1970s and early 1980s that these practices began to be
codified. The annual process of bilateral Article IV reports was
established with the 1978 Amendment to the Articles of Agreement.
Through the Article IV process, the Executive Board reviews
staff-produced analyses of key economic trends in individual member
states, and any comments made are reported back to the country
authorities concerned. (26) Article IV reports served to normalize the
act of member states "opening their books" to Fund staff for
critical appraisal and have been accompanied by innovations in
multilateral surveillance. The roots of multilateral surveillance at the
IMF run somewhat deeper; since the 1960s, staff have produced an annual
World Economic Outlook (WEO) to "keep score" on the state of
the international financial system. (27) However, it was with the
Executive Board's approval in 1986 of a Manual on Government
Finance Statistics that the level of detail with which domestic
expenditure dynamics were reported underwent an appreciable expansion.
With the manual providing a template for the collection of
internationally comparable data, the Fund began in the late 1980s to
publish an annual Government Financial Statistics Yearbook (GFSY). In
contrast to the broad brushstroke approach at the WEO data tables, the
GFSY drills down to reveal a total of over 200 classes of macroeconomic
information in nine standardized tables.
It was at the time of the launch of the GFSY that IMF staff began
to establish engagements with the issue of military expenditure. The
structure of the GFSY, which in line 702 included a designated location
for the recording of data on defense expenditure, is itself illustrative
of this burgeoning interest. (28) It was in 1987 that a team within the
Fiscal Affairs Department (FAD) first investigated the issue. (29) Under
the leadership of FAD's Henri Lorie, a research project was
established that culminated in the publication of an IMF Staff Paper on
"The Resilience of Military Expenditure" in 1989. This paper
concluded not only that developing countries' real expenditure
levels in this area had risen fivefold since the 1960s, but also that
military spending was a "potentially important policy issue"
requiring the attention of Fund staff. (30)
Boardroom discussions on IMF surveillance of military expenditure
took place in September and October of 1991. On one side, a coalition
including the organization's largest quota-holding representatives
spoke in favor of enhancing the Fund's surveillance of military
expenditure. Four of the five most powerful single-country constituency
Executive Directors spoke in favor of enhanced monitoring, (31) and
together thirteen out of the twenty-one Directors present provided
backing for this course of action. (32) The views advanced by Mr.
Peretz, UK Executive Director, are indicative of those expressed by this
grouping. In general, supporters conceptualized this reform as a
pragmatic fine-tuning of the Fund's already expanding surveillance
activities: "I have no difficulty with the concept that public
expenditures in this area are a legitimate subject for Fund
surveillance.... The Article IV relationship the Fund has with all its
members makes the Fund uniquely well placed to collect data in this
area." (33)
By asserting an absolute equivalence between military expenditure
and other types of government spending activity, Peretz sought to
counter claims that military expenditure represented an exceptionally
sensitive (and, therefore, legitimately undisclosed) form of activity:
There seems to be a strong case for seeking better data to enable
the Fund staff to develop a better understanding of the interaction
between military spending and economic growth, so that the Fund can
give advice to members in the context of surveillance discussions.
This seems to me to be no more or less appropriate ... [than advice
on] particular areas of public spending, such as subsidies or
spending on employment and training measures. (34)
The other members of the pro grouping, who together held the
majority of the voting power at the IMF, (35) reiterated this general
interpretation throughout the course of the Executive Board Meeting.
However, the discussion also contained strong dissenting views.
On the dissenting side, a coalition of Directors presented the case
that military expenditure was an atypical form of activity, one that
government authorities should not be compelled to disclose. Consisting
in the main of representatives of emerging market and less-developed
member states, Directors that spoke against the prospect of IMF staff
proactively seeking out more detailed data on military expenditure held
approximately 30 percent of voting power on the board. (36) In addition
to highlighting the practical difficulties faced by low-capacity
governments in accurately tracking expenditure flows, the
organization's Articles of Agreement were repeatedly invoked as
providing strict limitations on the Fund's sphere of operations. In
the words of Towe and Al-Jasser, representatives of the Canadian and
Saudi Arabian constituencies, respectively:
We are concerned that an emphasis on such analysis could extend the
Fund beyond its mandate and distort its character as a monetary
institution.... Indeed, the requirement of Article IV, Section 3(b)
that Fund surveillance respect members' domestic social and
political priorities seems to preclude any such insistence [on the
provision of military expenditure data]. (37)
In a nutshell, the Fund should not waste its resources in areas
that are beyond its mandate and the expertise of its staff and that
could jeopardise the institution's relations with its members. (38)
And beyond these objections based on appeals to the
organization's existing formal rules, the prospect of having state
actors be pushed to publicly communicate data on military expenditure
was challenged on grounds of sovereignty. Through the course of the
discussion, military expenditure monitoring was labeled as "having
national security and sovereignty implications" and being a
"serious derogation of sovereignty," and it was suggested that
"partial transparency was a fundamental exercise of sovereignty
related to national security." (39)
In the face of an unusually passionate and polarized discussion,
the negotiations over the Managing Director's Summing Up of the
meeting were a protracted affair. The Summing Up is an institutionally
important document in the IMF; records of board decisions are collated
in the Selected Decisions and Selected Documents of the IMF compendium,
an annual publication from the IMF Legal Department that functions as an
"instruction sheet" for IMF staff. (40) During the
negotiations over the Summing Up on military expenditure, the UK
Director explicitly pulled rank by suggesting to the Managing Director
that those in favor of seeing an enhanced role for the Fund in the
collection and analysis of military expenditure "probably
constituted a majority of the voting power of the Board." (41)
However, in line with the organization's consensus-based approach
to decisionmaking, the approved version of the Summing Up was a nuanced
statement, reflecting opinions from both sides of the boardroom divide.
While noting that information about military expenditures "may be
necessary to permit a full and consistent assessment of the
member's economic position and policies," the Summing Up also
noted that staff must "continue to rely on the voluntary
cooperation of authorities in the submission of data," and that
authorities are permitted to report an aggregated expenditure figure
rather than disaggregate according to military and other expenditure
types. The Summing Up also noted that conditions relating to military
expenditure should not feature in Fund-supported programs. (42)
It is widely acknowledged that, at the IMF, institutional
structures exist to ensure that staff "toe the line" on formal
rules and regulations. (43) By analyzing the Monitoring of Fund
Arrangements dataset and the content of IMF surveillance publications
from the mid-1990s to the late 2000s, it is possible to gauge the manner
in which the 1991 Guidelines were operationalized by staff. The MONA
dataset contains a record of all conditions attached to IMF programs
from 1993 to date. Within this time period, formal conditionality
relating to military expenditure has been included in only one case: the
Greek Stand-By Arrangement of 2010. In this instance, military
expenditure was mentioned in a minor subclause of a structural benchmark
relating to deficit reduction; (44) to my knowledge, there is no other
record of military expenditure featuring in an IMF program. In addition
to this widespread upholding of the direction included in the Guidelines
to avoid the use of conditionality related to military expenditure,
evidence from a variety of sources demonstrates that nondisclosure of
military expenditure remained a widespread practice through this period.
In line with the formally codified ruling, state sovereignty continued
to rule in this policy area. With the subsequent US interventions into
this issue focusing exclusively on developing countries rather than on
Fund membership overall, it is useful at this stage to pay particular
attention to the experiences of this grouping.
Turning first to the GFSY, it is clear that the number of member
states reporting on military expenditure levels has remained modest from
1993 to 2010 (Figure 1). Through the mid- to late 1990s a relatively
stable group of fifteen governments released disaggregated figures in
this area, rising to around thirty-five through the 2000s. (45) However,
paralleling the boardroom split on the subject, no data on military
expenditure has been published by developing country governments through
the GFSY. (46) With developing country members exercising their
nondisclosure prerogative, World Economic Outlooks produced between 1993
and 2010 were largely silent on military expenditure. (47) The Autumn
1999 WEO is the sole publication that includes indicative data on
military expenditure, presented in the form of a figure outlining trends
that have been aggregated by region, and this and three additional
publications contain brief written references to particular case studies
and methods of combating off-budget military expenditure. Turning to
bilateral surveillance (Table 1), we see that through the decade from
1997 an average of 15 percent of Article IV reports with developing
countries contained reference to military expenditure. However, these
mentions tend to be extremely cursory in nature, and data on military
expenditure does not appear in any of these surveillance documents.
[FIGURE 1 OMITTED]
In spite of the wishes of the IMF's most powerful member
states, the formally endorsed Guidelines on Military Expenditure served
to maintain states' capacity to exercise autonomy in this area.
However, from the late 1990s, informal influence was deployed by the
United States to ensure that, on a case-by-case basis, this line in the
sand was redrawn. The passage of a series of legislative mandates by the
US Congress provided the mechanism through which the US Executive
Director was encouraged to use his or her informal influence toward this
end.
Contesting Sovereignty: The Informal Governance of Military
Expenditure at the IMF
The US Executive Director at the IMF was propelled into the
promotion of transparency in the realm of military expenditure by a
series of legislative mandates from US Congress through the 1990s.
Legislative mandates are widely used by members of Congress as a tool
for fermenting operational reform within institutions of global economic
governance. A recent edition of the US Treasury "black book"
on the international financial institutions contains some 171 directives
on the use of US voice and vote inside the IMF and World Bank, its
Bretton Woods twin. (48) Whether added as riders to appropriations bills
or amendments to pieces of legislation that are less directly related to
the operations of the IOs, these mandates constitute legally enforceable
terms of reference that must be adhered to by the relevant
representative. As such, these directives are a potentially potent
mechanism for domestic policymakers to influence international
decisions. (49) While successive interventions in the realm of military
expenditure monitoring have failed to secure revisions to the
Fund's formal sovereignty-protecting rules, the mandates have led
to individual developing country borrowers being pushed to alter
practices and to disclose data to domestic actors. With these outcomes,
the US Director has effectively rolled back the boundary of
nonintervention codified in the IMF Guidelines on Military Expenditure.
It was during 1992, with the launch of replenishment negotiations
as drawings on Fund resources from postcommunist transition countries
began to put pressure on the organization's liquidity, that the
IMF's relation to military expenditure became a congressional
issue. With established Cold War justifications of military spending
having been dramatically removed, global leaders had begun to speak of
the potential for a "peace dividend" even before the formal
dissolution of the USSR had occurred. (50) In this context, actors on
Capitol Hill were concerned to ensure that resources released through
the IMF were used to support restructuring programs and not funneled
toward the maintenance of military-industrial complexes. (51) To this
end, as negotiations over the appropriation of the US contribution to
the IMF were brought to a conclusion in October 1992, Congress approved
the first of its rulings on the IMF and military expenditure. At the
same time as releasing some $12 billion to bolster the Fund's
reserves, (52) the efforts by US policymakers to redraw the boundaries
of nonintervention were under way.
In their call on the US Executive Director of the IMF to push the
organization to publicly report on member states' military
expenditure levels, US legislators were relatively precise in the
presentation of their aims. In addition to directing the US
representative to encourage the IMF to produce annual reports on
regional trends in military expenditure, (53) the mandate also noted--in
tension with the Guidelines' legitimation of the practice of
nondisclosure--that "the United States Executive Director of the
Fund shall use the voice and vote of the United States to urge the Fund
... to include in every Article IV consultation with a developing
country an analysis of the level of military spending by the developing
country in the immediately preceding calendar year." (54) Once this
initial guidance was set in place, throughout the 1990s a series of
additional rulings were made by Congress to ratchet up the pressure on
the US Executive Director and the IMF. All directives remained
specifically targeted at the Fund's developing country membership.
In 1994, the Director was empowered to withhold support for a loan
application from a developing country if the member had either failed to
provide "accurate data on the annual expenditures and receipts of
the armed forces," or failed to demonstrate a commitment to
"mak[ing] substantial reductions in excessive military
expenditure." (55) Two years later, the force of the mandate was
significantly increased; whereas previously the Executive Director was
allowed flexibility, the September 1996 amendment removed the element of
discretion by ruling that loans must be opposed if accurate data or a
commitment to reduce excessive military spending was not forthcoming.
(56) In another round of revisions, approved in October 1998, the
imperative force of these directions was increased further, as the US
representative was called on to "aggressively" and
"vigorously" police this set of policy aims. (57) Throughout
the 1990s, then, the congressional desire to ferment operational change
regarding IMF surveillance of developing country members' military
expenditure was repeatedly demonstrated. However, as a consequence of a
grace period introduced by Congress to allow the Treasury to develop an
implementation plan, (58) it was only from 1999 that US Directors began
to use their informal influence to advance the issue in the IMF
boardroom.
In preparation for their 1999 deadline, the Treasury's
International Affairs Division (IAD) established an interagency policy
group to provide guidance on the implementation of the legislation. To
operationalize the directive that action be taken against states that
were failing to provide accurate data on military expenditure, the
policy group established a definition of acceptable practice in this
area: "A country must routinely be conducting a post-expenditure
examination, verification of accuracy, and reconciliation of
irregularities of receipts that fund the military. Results of the audit
must be reported to a nonmilitary entity." (59) By applying this
definition, it was decided by the policy group that some twenty-two
low-income countries were failing to fulfill the requirements of the
legislative mandates on military expenditure. With the activation of the
mandates, military expenditure became an established feature of
institutionalized links between the US executive directorate and IAD,
with the watch list being reviewed at the weekly strategy meetings at
which the US positions on upcoming loan applications were decided.
The legislative mandates became active on 1 October 1999. One year
later, five of the original group of twenty-two countries that the
policy group had deemed to be noncompliant in the provision of data on
military expenditure had approached the IMF to begin a loan arrangement.
In line with the IMF Guidelines, none of the programs agreed on
contained conditions relating to military expenditure. And while the IMF
Board approved the applications from Burkina Faso, Guinea-Bissau,
Indonesia, Kazakhstan, and Rwanda, in each case US concerns were raised
through the use of abstentions and no-votes. Operational shifts occurred
in all five of these countries, with IMF staff playing a coordinating
role in the process. In addition to channels of communication between
officials from the US directorate and borrowing country directorates,
IMF staff engaged in lending programs acted as informal promoters of the
US agenda. Through these mechanisms, it was confirmed to country
officials that US approval of a loan arrangement and release of
subsequent tranches of funding would be conditional on satisfactory
publication of data on military expenditures. (60)
In the case of Burkina Faso, Treasury staff supplemented the
Executive Director's intervention in the boardroom by "working
through the IMF Country Director" to raise the issue with country
officials following the loan approval. In April 2000 the president of
Burkina Faso released a decree ruling that the Defence Ministry produce
an annual military audit and, as a consequence of the operationalization
of this decree, Treasury judged the country to be in compliance with the
legislative mandate in June 2000. Similar dynamics unfolded in each of
the other four cases throughout 2000. Indeed, by the close of this
period Guinea-Bissau was the only one of the five to be judged to be
still noncompliant, and even in this case Treasury judged that
sufficient processes were in place such that compliance was
"anticipated." (61)
The remaining seventeen states on the policy group's
noncompliance watch list provide a useful control sample. These
seventeen states did not attempt to borrow from the IMF throughout the
first year in which the legislative mandate was in force and, during
this time, the Treasury judged that just one of the cohorts moved into a
state of compliance. Following this initial activity in the immediate
aftermath of the activation of the legislative mandates on military
expenditure, interventions from the US director have continued to occur
sporadically. In early 2004, the US director abstained from a vote on a
loan application from Burundi on the grounds that the government had
failed to adequately audit military spending and appeared to direct an
excessive level of resources to this area. (62) And through 2008, a
further three abstentions occurred on these grounds. Five additional
abstentions took place through 2010. (63)
The US Treasury has judged that its successes in the application of
the legislative mandates can be attributed to a combination of borrowing
countries' fear of losing access to IMF resources should they
continue to be in noncompliance, and IMF staffs' belief in the
beneficial effects of greater transparency in this area. (64) In the
decade since the activation of the legislative mandates, around fourteen
lower-income member states have been subject to informal conditionality
at the IMF in relation to military expenditure monitoring. Through this
process, interventions from the US representative have served to roll
back the frontiers of nonintervention enshrined in the formally approved
IMF Guidelines on Military Expenditure. Whereas the formal Guidelines
permitted nondisclosure and prohibited the use of policy conditionality
relating to military expenditure, the US-led actions have tied policy
reform in this area to IMF loans, with this mechanism leading to the
establishment of regularized military expenditure audits and the
disclosure of data collected.
Conclusion
The theory and practice of sovereignty remains the subject of much
debate in the existing international relations literature. However,
among the significant points of contention, there is a broad consensus
that experiences of sovereignty vary widely across the international
system and that international organizations can play a significant role
in shaping sovereign inequality. Throughout this article, I have drawn
on the case study of the IMF engagement with military expenditure to
extend insights into this area. In particular, drawing on recent work
from Stone and others, I have explored the intersection between informal
governance and sovereign inequality.
In the case examined, a coalition of lower-order states was able in
the early 1990s to ensure that the organization's formal Guidelines
on Military Expenditure served to protect their sovereign capacity in
this area. However, since the late 1990s, the US representative has
pushed for reform from IMF borrowers whose military expenditure auditing
processes were judged to be inadequate. Driven by a series of
legislative mandates, the Fund's major shareholder has rolled back
the frontiers of nonintervention at the IMF. Sovereign inequality has
resulted from the application of this informal influence.
Significant reversals of position on the part of low-income
borrowing countries resulted from the US application of informal
pressure in these cases. With a clear cleavage having existed between
developed and developing country representatives in the IMF boardroom
during initial discussions on military expenditure, most borrowers that
were pushed to release data on military expenditure were represented by
directorates that had initially sought to secure sovereignty-protecting
clauses. The level of strategic interest involved for the United States
in these interventions was relatively low. This observation challenges
existing insights from the literature on informal governance, which
suggests that derogation from formal rules tends to be reserved for more
important cases. Conventional wisdom understandings of international
politics are likely to remain untroubled by the outcome observed in this
case, which ultimately saw powerful state preferences trumping
materially weak states' preferences. Through further studies, a
more developed sense can be established of the prevalence of
discriminatory rule breaking in global governance and, consequently, of
the extent to which informal governance systematically produces
sovereign inequality across the practice of international politics.
Notes
Liam Clegg is lecturer in international relations at the Department
of Politics, University of York. He is author of the monograph
Controlling the World Bank and IMF: Shareholders, Stakeholders, and the
Politics of Concessional Lending (2013), and his work has appeared in
journals including New Political Economy, Review of International
Organizations, Review of International Political Economy, and Review of
International Studies.
(1.) Randall Stone, "The Scope of IMF Conditionality,"
International Organization 64, no. 4 (2008): 589-620; Randall Stone,
Controlling Institutions (Cambridge: Cambridge University Press, 2011);
Jeffrey Chwieroth, '"The Silent Revolution': How the
Staff Exercise Informal Governance over IMF Lending," Review of
International Organizations 1, no. 3 (2013): 265-290; Randall Stone,
"Informal Governance in International Organizations," Review
of International Organizations 7, no. 3 (2013): 121-236.
(2.) Through this article, case study evidence supports the
conceptual narrative that is developed. As is highlighted by Alexander
George and Michael Bennett in Case Studies and Theory Development in the
Social Sciences (Cambridge: MIT Press, 2005), such a technique can be
used to explore potential variables and mechanisms that shape observed
outcomes. Overall, I present this article as an exercise in process
tracing and thick description, rather than an attempt to establish
foundations for generalizable findings.
(3.) Ron Smith, "Military Expenditure and Capitalism,"
Cambridge Journal of Economics 1, no. 1 (1977): 61-76; Frank Blackarby
and Thomas Ohlson, "Military Expenditure and the Arms Trade: The
Problems of Data," Security Dialogue 13, no. 4 (1982): 291-305;
Saadet Derger and Somnath Sen, Military Expenditure: The Political
Economy of International Security (Oxford: Oxford University Press,
1990); Alexandra Homolar, "The Political Economy of National
Security," Review of International Political Economy 17, no. 2
(2010): 410-423.
(4.) Whereas legislation pushing the US Executive Director to
promote military expenditure transparency was initially passed to try to
limit such spending from former Cold War opponents, its application has
primarily been targeted toward low-income developing countries.
(5.) Indeed, it is suggested that the pursuit of transparency on
military expenditure served to isolate the US Executive Director.
General Accounting Office (GAO), International Monetary Fund: Attempts
to Advance US Policies at the Fund (Washington, DC: GAO, 2001), p. 7.
(6.) Stephen Krasner, Sovereignty: Organized Hypocrisy (Princeton:
Princeton University, 1999), pp. 9-25.
(7.) Stephen Krasner, "Sovereignty: An Institutional
Perspective," Comparative Political Studies 2, no. 1 (1988): 66-94.
(8.) Stephen Krasner, "Globalization and Sovereignty," in
David Smith, Dorothy Solinger, and Stephen Topik, eds., States and
Sovereignty in the Global Economy (London: Routledge, 1999), p. 220.
(9.) J. Samuel Barkin and Bruce Cronin, "The State and the
Nation: Changing Norms and the Rules of Sovereignty in International
Relations," International Organization 48, no. 1 (1994): 123-124;
Janice Thomson, "State Sovereignty in International Relations:
Bridging the Gap Between Theory and Empirical Research,"
International Studies Quarterly 39, no. 2 (1995): 229-230.
(10.) United Nations Charter, Chap. I, Art. 2(i), available at
www.un.org/en /documents/charter/chapterl.shtml, accessed 4 July 2013.
(11.) Gareth Evans and Mohamed Sahnoun, "The Responsibility to
Protect," Foreign Affairs 81, no. 6 (2002): 99-110; Alex Bellamy,
"Realizing the Responsibility to Protect," International
Studies Perspectives 10, no. 2 (2009): 111-128.
(12.) Catherine Weaver, Hypocrisy Trap: The Poverty of Reform at
the World Bank (Princeton: Princeton University, 2008); Liam Clegg,
"The Governance of the World Bank," in Tony Payne and Nicola
Phillips, eds., Handbook of the International Political Economy of
Governance (London: Edward Elgar), pp. 259-274.
(13.) Christian Reus-Smit, "Human Rights and the Social
Construction of Sovereignty," Review of International Studies 27,
no. 4 (2001): 519-538.
(14.) The phrase, not used by Christian Reus-Smit, comes from James
Scott, Weapons of the Weak: Everyday Forms of Peasant Resistance (New
Haven: Yale University, 1985).
(15.) Barkin and Cronin, "The State and the Nation"; see
also J. Samuel Barkin, "The Evolution of the Constitution of
Sovereignty and the Emergence of Human Rights Norms," Millennium
27, no. 2 (1998): 229-252.
(16.) Jack Donnelly, "Sovereign Inequalities and Hierarchy in
Anarchy," European Journal of International Relations 12, no. 2
(2006): 139-170.
(17.) Joseph Nye, "NPT: The Logic of Inequality," Foreign
Policy 59, no. 1 (1985): 123-131.
(18.) Mary Tsai, "Globalization and Conditionality: Two Sides
of the Same Coin," Law and Policy in International Business 31, no.
4 (2000): 1317-1330.
(19.) Catherine Lee, "To Thine Ownself Be True: IMF
Conditionality and the Erosion of Economic Sovereignty in the Asian
Financial Crisis," University of Pennsylvania Journal of
International Economic Law 24, no. 4 (2003): 875-903; Liam Clegg,
"Global Governance Behind Closed Doors: The IMF Boardroom, the
Enhanced Structural Adjustment Facility, and the Intersection of
Material Power and Norm Stabilisation in Global Politics," Review
of International Organizations 7, no. 3 (2012): 285-308.
(20.) Stone, Controlling Institutions, pp. 11-48; Stone,
"Informal Governance in International Organizations," pp.
121-126. Additional recent explorations of manifestations of informal
governance are provided by Kevin Morrison, "Membership No Longer
Has Its Privileges: The Declining Informal Influence of Board Members on
IDA Lending," Review of International Organizations 8, no. 2
(2013): 291-312; Marieke Kliene, "Knowing Your Limits: Informal
Governance and Judgement in the EU," Review of International
Organizations 8, no. 2 (2013): 245-264; Chwieroth, "The Silent
Revolution."
(21.) GAO, International Monetary Fund, p. 7.
(22.) For Harry Dexter White, representing the major creditor, the
ability to compel policy adjustments from member states represented a
necessary means of ensuring that IMF resources secured desirable
outcomes; for John Maynard Keynes, representing a likely debtor, the aim
was to retain autonomy for domestic authorities and to avoid the
organization from "being grandmotherly" by forcing interfering
policy advice onto borrowing governments. See Sidney Dell, "On
Being Grandmotherly: The Evolution of IMF Conditionality,"
Princeton University Department of Economics Working Paper Series no.
144 (1981): 1. A detailed overview of this history is provided in Benn
Steil, The Battle of Bretton Woods: John Maynard Keynes, Harry Dexter
White, and the Making of a New World Order (Princeton: Princeton
University Press, 2013).
(23.) Jacqueline Best, "Ambiguity and Uncertainty in
International Organizations: A History of Debating IMF
Conditionality," International Studies Quarterly 56, no. 4 (2012):
674-688.
(24.) See IMF website at www.imf.org/external/pubs/ft/aa/index.htm,
accessed 7 August 2013.
(25.) Manuela Moschella, Governing Risk: The IMF and Global
Financial Crises (London: Palgrave, 2010).
(26.) Manuela Moschella, "IMF Surveillance: The Past, the
Present, and the Future of the Reform Process," Global Society 26,
no. 1 (2012): 43-60.
(27.) James Boughton, Silent Revolution: The International Monetary
Fund 1979-1989 (Washington, DC: IMF, 2001), pp. 227-230.
(28.) The inclusion of line 702 appears to have attracted little
comment; archival records from committee meetings on the standardization
of IMF data collection practices focused largely on technical issues
surrounding intercountry comparability. See, for example, IMF,
"Management Data System of Principal Economic Indicators (Office
Memorandum from W. O. Habermeire to Tun Thin, 7th April)," IMF
Archive, Fiscal Affairs Department Fond, Fiscal Affairs Department
Immediate Office Sous-Fond, Vito Tanzi Chronological File Series (1982);
IMF, "Time Series Data--Status Report (Office Memorandum from Tun
Thin to H. Johannes Witteveen, 21st April)," IMF Archive, Fiscal
Affairs Department Fond, Fiscal Affairs Department Immediate Office
Sous-Fond, Vito Tanzi Chronological File Series (1982).
(29.) Jacques Polak, "The Changing Nature of
Conditionality," OECD Working Paper No. 41 (Paris: OECD, 1991), p.
39.
(30.) Paula di Masi and Henri Loire, "How Resilient Are
Military Expenditures?" IMF Staff Working Papers 36, no. 1 (1989):
130.
(31.) These were, namely, France, Germany, the United Kingdom, and
the United States. At present there are five Executive Directors with
single-country constituencies. See IMF website at
www.imf.org/external/np/sec/memdir/eds.aspx, accessed 19 March 2012.
(32.) Author's analysis of IMF, "Executive Board Meeting
Minutes (27th September, 1991)," IMF Archive Reference EBM/91/134.
(33.) IMF, "Executive Board Meeting Minutes (27 September
1991)," pp. 18-19.
(34.) Ibid., pp. 19-20.
(35.) The four single-country constituency Directors alone held 40
percent of the voting power.
(36.) Author's figure, calculated by matching positions stated
in the boardroom discussion with the overview of Directors' voting
power contained in Appendix VII of the 1991 IMF Annual Report.
(37.) IMF, "Executive Board Meeting Minutes (27 September
1991)," p. 35.
(38.) Ibid., p. 40.
(39.) Ibid., pp. 20, 48, 70.
(40.) For more information on the processes through which formal
decisions made by the IMF Board are enforced, see Bessma Momani,
"IMF Staff: Missing Link in Fund Reform Proposals," Review of
International Organizations 2, no. 1 (2007): 39-57; Liam Clegg,
"Social Spending Targets in IMF Concessional Lending: US Domestic
Politics and the Institutional Foundations of Rapid Operational
Change," Review of International Political Economy 21, no. 3
(2014): 735-763.
(41.) IMF, "Executive Board Meeting Minutes (2nd October,
1991)," IMF Archive Reference EBM/91/138.
(42.) IMF, Selected Decisions of the IMF, 32nd ed. (Washington, DC:
IMF, 2007), pp. 86-87.
(43.) Bessma Momani, "Recruiting and Diversifying IMF
Technocrats," Global Society 19, no. 2 (2005): 167-187; Momani,
"IMF Staff"; Clegg, "Social Spending Targets."
(44.) The program includes a structural benchmark stipulating that
the government must "publish a medium-term budget laying out
time-bound plans to address: (i) restructuring plans for large and/or
loss-making state enterprises; (ii) the closure of unnecessary public
entities; (iii) tax reform; (iv) reforms of public administration; (v)
the public wage bill; and (vi) military spending." Author's
analysis of MONA dataset. See IMF website at www.imf.org, accessed 13
August 2013.
(45.) Expressed in proportionate terms, these increases saw the
percentage of GFSY participants disclosing military expenditure data
rising from under 10 percent in the mid-1990s to almost 25 percent in
the mid-2000s. Author's analysis of GFSY data tables.
(46.) For the purpose of this analysis I take a broad understanding
of the term developing country to include low-income and
lower-middle-income countries, as defined by the World Bank. For the
full list of countries, see the World Bank website at
http://data.worldbank.org/about/country-classifications/country-and-lending-groups #Lower_middle_income, accessed 10 December 2011.
(47.) Author's analysis of World Economic Outlook publications
from 1993 to 2010.
(48.) Author's analysis of US Treasury, Department of the
Treasury Compilation of Legislative Mandates Applying to US
Participation in the IFIs (Washington, DC: US Treasury, 2010).
(49.) Kathryn Lavelle, Legislating International Organization: US
Congress, the IMF, and the World Bank (Oxford: Oxford University Press,
2011); Clegg, "Social Spending Targets."
(50.) Evidence of this shift is contained in a 1991 IMF Staff
Paper, which makes note of recent moves by the German and Japanese
governments to incorporate assessments of military expenditure into
allocations of overseas development assistance, and also of G7 calls on
developing countries to transfer military expenditure toward productive
activities. IMF, Military Expenditures and the IMF (Washington, DC: IMF,
1991).
(51.) Jessica Matthews, "A New String on Third World
Loans," Washington Post, 25 October 1991, sec. A2.
(52.) See "Bush Signs Measure to Increase US Share in IMF Aid
to Ex-USSR," Journal of Commerce, 27 October 1991, sec. A2.
(53.) United States Code, Title 22, chap. 7, subchap. XV, sec.
286MM(b). Quoted in General Accounting Office, US Policies at the Fund
(Washington, DC: GAO, 2001), pp. 23-29. For the full text, see US Houses
of Congress website at
http://uscodebeta.house.gov/view.xhtml?req=granuleid:USC-title22-section286mm&num=0, accessed 27 January 2012.
(54.) Ibid.
(55.) United States Code, Title 22, chap. 7, subchap. XV, sec.
262(o-l). Quoted in General Accounting Office, US Policies at the Fund.
For the full text, see US Houses of Congress website at
http://uscodebeta.house.gov/view.xhtml?req=granuleid:USCtitle22-section262o-1 &num=0, accessed 27 January 2012.
(56.) United States Code, Title 22, chap. 7, subchap. XV, sec.
262(k). Quoted in General Accounting Office, US Policies at the Fund.
For the full text, see the US Houses of Congress website at
http://uscodebeta.house.gov/view.xhtml?req=granuleid:USC-title22-section262k-l&num=0, accessed 27 January 2012.
(57.) United States Code, Title 22, chap. 7, subchap. XV, sec.
262(o-2). Quoted in General Accounting Office, US Policies at the Fund.
For the full text, see US Houses of Congress website at
http://uscodebeta.house.gov/view.xhtml?req=granuleid:USCtitle22-section262o-2&num=0, accessed 27 January 2012.
(58.) The 1996 Legislative Mandate set 1 October 1999 as the target
date. GAO, US Policies at the Fund, p. 57.
(59.) Ibid., pp. 57-58.
(60.) Ibid., p. 7.
(61.) Ibid., p. 61.
(62.) A full list of the US Executive Director's votes can be
found at the US Treasury website at
www.treasury.gov/resource-center/intemationaFint-monetary-flmd/Pages/imf
.aspx, accessed 14 August 2013. I have cross-referenced information
gathered from this source with the relevant Executive Board Meeting
minutes, which can be found at the IMF website at
www.imf.org/extemaFnp/arc/eng/archive.htm, accessed 14 August 2013.
(63.) The rationale behind these 2010 abstentions cannot be readily
ascertained, as relevant Executive Board Meeting minutes remain under
the IMF Archive's embargo period.
(64.) GAO, US Policies at the Fund, p. 62.