Large U.S. bank holding companies during the 2007-09 financial crisis: an overview of the data.
Debbaut, Peter S. ; Ennis, Huberto M.
Large banking organizations were at the center of the recent
financial crisis in the United States. For example, Wachovia
Corporation, the fourth largest banking institution in the country at
the time, experienced significant stress and its acquisition, by Wells
Fargo, was announced in the first days of October 2008. JP Morgan Chase,
also a top-five institution, acquired in late September 2008 the branch
network of the largest thrift in the country, Washington Mutual, after
that institution was declared unsound and then seized by the Federal
Deposit Insurance Corporation (FDIC). As a response to the financial
market turmoil that followed the collapse of Lehman Brothers, the
Emergency Economic Stabilization Act of 2008 was signed into law on
October 3, 2008. The Act established the Troubled Asset Relief Program
(TARP), authorizing the U.S. Treasury Department to spend as much as
$700 billion to prop up financial institutions in distress. Large
banking organizations were the primary recipients of the transfers
distributed through TARP programs. To gain some perspective on these and
other events impacting large banking institutions during the crisis, we
provide an overview of the evolution of the consolidated balance sheet
and income statement of large U.S. bank holding companies between the
beginning of 2005 and the end of 2011.
Commercial banks in the United States are usually just one part of
a larger legal and economic entity, a bank holding company (BHC). While
pure banking activities constitute a significant portion of what BHCs do
(Avraham, Selvaggi, and Vickery 2012), most of these financial companies
are relatively large and complex institutions with numerous subsidiaries
that undertake a wide variety of financial and banking activities. When
trying to understand the way banking is being conducted and its
evolution over time, focusing on just the commercial bank subsidiaries
of BHCs is bound to give a distorted view. While surely there is
significant operational decentralization in these large companies, for
those issues that have the most economic and financial impact the
ultimate decision unit is effectively the BHC. In line with this logic,
we will concentrate attention on data at the consolidated BHC level.
Our intention in this article is to provide a general overview of
the main fluctuations and trends in the data characterizing the
activities and performance of large U.S. BHCs in the recent past. We
focus on companies with more than $10 billion in assets and use
different ways (such as computing weighted means and splitting the
sample using $50 billion in assets as a threshold) to try to gauge the
extent to which company size is a factor in explaining the different
experiences of companies during the turbulent seven years covered by our
sample period. The role of large BHCs and how to regulate them has been
the subject of active debate since the onset of the crisis. We think
that the overview we provide here is useful to put in perspective the
different explanations and proposals that have been offered--and are
being offered--about the multiple issues surrounding these important
players in the U.S. financial sector.
The analysis of data carried out in this article could be
considered a first step in the process of answering a number of
important questions about the recent behavior of large BHCs in the
United States. Examples of these questions are: Have the largest BHCs
become even larger as a result of the crisis? Did the composition of
their portfolios of loans and securities change during the crisis? How
about the composition of their liabilities? Do they rely less on repos
and other borrowed money after the crisis, for example? We also analyze
the capital position of BHCs to gauge the extent by which, on average,
these large BHCs exited the crisis with more and better-quality capital.
Furthermore, we provide an overview of the impact of the crisis on
quarterly earnings for these companies and we assess whether their
off-balance-sheet activities have changed in response to the dismal
performance of those activities during the crisis.
The article is organized as follows. In the next section we discuss
the data we use as well as some preliminary statistics. In Section 2 we
present information about the evolution of balance sheet and
off-balance-sheet activities. In Section 3 we study the income
statements, and in Section 4 we conclude.
1. THE DATA
Our data come from SNL Financial, which collects and organizes the
information coming from FR Y-9C reports filed by bank holding companies
on a quarterly basis. (1) The FR Y-9C report contains "... basic
financial data from a domestic bank holding company (BHC) ... on a
consolidated basis in the form of a balance sheet, an income statement,
and detailed supporting schedules, including a schedule of off
balance-sheet items." (2) Corporations that file form FR Y-9C as a
BHC do so in accordance with the definitions provided in the Bank
Holding Company Act of 1956 and its subsequent amendments and
modifications. (3)
We focus on BHCs with more than $10 billion in assets, and we call
this group "large BHCs." These institutions have received a
great deal of attention during and after the financial crisis--for
example, the Dodd-Frank Act establishes that all BHCs with more than $10
billion in assets are subject to annual stress tests. Also, since the
banking industry in the United States is highly concentrated, changes in
the activities of these companies are bound to have a significant impact
on the financial system and the real economy. We use quarterly data from
the beginning of 2005 to the end of 2011, in order to include the
financial crisis and a period before and after.
To be in our data set for a given quarter, the BHC must have assets
greater than $10 billion at the end of that quarter. Since many
companies classified as BHCs are subsidiaries of another BHC, we keep
only the ultimate parent institution to avoid double counting. We also
restrict attention to domestic institutions and do not analyze BHCs that
are part of a foreign corporation. While foreign banks are an important
segment of the U.S. financial system and played a significant role
during the crisis (see Cetorelli and Goldberg [2012], for example), we
limit our study this way so that we can study the behavior of entire
corporations using only FR Y-9C data.
We are interested in describing the average behavior of the banking
companies in our sample. In most cases, however, we also investigate if
there are systematic differences between the average behavior of the
largest companies and the rest. We use two alternative methods to
conduct this comparison.
In some instances we divide the sample into two subsamples, those
BHCs with $10 billion-$50 billion in assets, which we call
"large-medium" size companies, and those with more than $50
billion in assets, which we call "large-large" BHCs. We then
plot averages within each subsample. The subsamples are constructed on a
quarter by quarter basis in the same way that we construct the sample of
all large BHCs. We use the $50 billion threshold because it is commonly
used (for example, in the Dodd-Frank Act) to identify companies that are
most likely to pose a systemic risk to the economy. In principle, it
would be interesting to study the behavior of the largest companies (say
those with more than $500 billion in assets) separately. These companies
are crucial to understand many issues concerning the U.S. banking system
and often behave in a distinctive way relative to smaller ones. We hint
at some of these differences in parts of this article but we leave a
more detailed analysis of the behavior of these companies to future
research.
Alternatively, in many cases, we use a more compact way of
capturing systematic differences across companies of different size by
comparing the standard mean with the weighted mean. By construction, the
weighted mean is more representative of the behavior of the largest
companies in the sample. To see this, denote by [X.sub.i] a generic
variable reported by the BHCs (say, for example, a balance sheet
component like loans), let [A.sub.i] be the total assets of BHC i in a
particular quarter, and by N the number of BHCs in the sample (or
subsample) under consideration. The two measures for the average
(calculated quarterly) are the standard mean
[bar.X] = [1/N] [N.summation over (i=1)] [[X.sub.i]/[A.sub.i]] =
[N.summation over (i=1)] [1/N] [[X.sub.i]/[A.sub.i]],
and the weighted mean
[??] = [[summation].sup.N.sub.i=1]
[X.sub.i]/[[summation].sup.N.sub.i=1][A.sub.i] = [N.summation over
(i=1)] [w.sub.i] [[X.sub.i]/[A.sub.i]],
where [w.sub.i] = [A.sub.i]/A and A is the sum of the total assets
of all the companies in our sample (or subsample) for the relevant
quarter. It is clear from these formulas, then, that the weighted mean
puts more emphasis on the behavior of larger institutions and, hence, by
comparing the two measures we can get a sense of whether the largest
institutions behave differently than the rest of the institutions in our
sample.
Interestingly, note that the weighted mean is also the expression
for the balance sheet component as a proportion of assets for the
aggregated data (for the large BHCs as a group). In this way, if we want
to think about the banks in the system as an aggregate (a common
approach when using simple models of the macroeconomy) then the weighted
mean is the variable of interest. This is another reason for including
the weighted mean in some of our figures.
In some cases we express a particular variable of interest as a
proportion of a more comprehensive variable, not necessarily total
assets. For example, we may be interested in the proportion of loans
that are real estate loans. As with the previous case, to investigate
systematic differences across company size we may split the sample into
large-large and large-medium companies or we may compute a weighted mean
and compare it with the standard mean. To calculate the weighted mean we
use the same asset-based weights that we use to compute [??]. Hence, the
expression for the weighted mean in this case is
[[??].sub.j] = [N.summation over (i=1)] [w.sub.i]
[[X.sub.ji]/[X.sub.i]],
where [X.sub.i] = [[summation].sup.J.sub.j=1] [X.sub.ji] and
[w.sub.i] = [A.sub.i]/A as before. As an example, [X.sub.i] could be
total loans in company i and [X.sub.ji] could be real estate loans in
company i, where the subindex j would be the one corresponding to real
estate loans, a component of total loans.
With respect to the size of our sample, Figure 1 shows the time
series for the number of BHCs included in the sample; that is, all U.S.
domestic ultimate parent BHCs with more than $10 billion in assets.
Interestingly, while the number of institutions falls during the height
of the crisis, it returns to the pre-crisis level and appears fairly
constant during more normal times. This is also the case when we look at
the subsamples, although perhaps in this case there is a slight shift
toward a higher number of large-large BHCs after the crisis. (4)
[FIGURE 1 OMITTED]
There is a significant increase in the number of institutions in
our sample during the last quarter of 2008 and the first quarter of
2009. In the fourth quarter of 2008, five institutions that previously
held less than $10 billion in assets crossed the $10 billion threshold.
(5)
Four large companies that previously were not filing FR Y-9C
reports began to do so in the first quarter of 2009. These companies are
Goldman Sachs, Morgan Stanley, American Express, and CIT Group. All four
converted to the BHC organizational form during the worst weeks of the
crisis: The investment banks Goldman Sachs and Morgan Stanley became
BHCs in the fourth week of September 2008; American Express, in
mid-November 2008; and CIT Group, in mid-December 2008. These four
companies enter our sample with more than $50 billion in assets. They
are primarily involved in credit card or investment banking and tend to
have very different characteristics compared with traditional BHCs. For
this reason, in parts of the article we will conduct the analysis with
and without these companies in the sample and compare the results. (6)
[FIGURE 2 OMITTED]
In Panel A of Figure 2 we plot the time series of total assets held
by the institutions in our sample. The gray dashed lines show total
assets including the four companies that began filing FR Y-9Cs in the
first quarter of 2009. The combined assets of BHCs with more than $10
billion in assets grew steadily during the period from 2005 until the
end of 2011. However, when we disaggregate the data into the two
subsamples, large-large and large-medium, we see that the bulk of the
growth comes from the evolution of very large corporations.
From the second to the third quarter of 2008 there is a sharp
increase in total assets that partially reverses itself in the following
quarter. The banking sector experienced many changes during this period,
corresponding to the deepening of the financial crisis. It is important
to keep in mind that mergers between banks already in the sample would
not be reflected in changes in the aggregate value of assets. However,
some large transfers of assets did take place during this period between
companies in the sample and outside the sample such as JP Morgan
Chase's acquisition of Washington Mutual on September 25, 2008, for
a value of $264 billion in targeted assets. State Street, Bank of New
York Mellon, and JP Morgan Chase experienced noticeable increases in
assets in the third quarter of 2008 that partially reverted back in the
fourth quarter. The last two quarters of 2008 were also a period of
significant stress in money markets, where these three banks play a
critical role and, for this reason, it is not surprising to observe
considerable volatility in the data originating with them (see also the
discussion in Section 3). Finally, between the second and third quarters
of 2008, there was a noticeable increase in bank lending that
contributed to the increase in total bank assets observed at that time.
We return to the data on lending in the next section.
To gain some perspective on the growth of total assets in large
BHCs we divide total assets by nominal gross domestic product
(seasonally adjusted annual rate) and plot it in Panel B of Figure 2.
Relative to gross domestic product (GDP), large BHCs were becoming
bigger before the crisis, but their growth appears to slow down after
the crisis and stabilized at a level of roughly 75 percent of GDP. While
the inclusion of the four new BHCs created toward the end of 2008
shifted the level to almost 90 percent of GDP (see gray dashed line in
Panel B of Figure 2), this level also remains stable after the crisis.
We saw from Figure 1 that the number of large institutions was
roughly constant over the period under consideration, as was the split
between the large-large and the large-medium subsamples. Figure 2 showed
an increase of total assets for large-large institutions, which together
with Figure 1 suggests an increase in asset concentration at the top of
the size distribution of firms. Figure 3 plots the mean and median size
(measured by assets) for the BHCs in each subsample. We see that the
mean size for large-large BHCs increased over the entire period, with
perhaps some acceleration during the height of the crisis in 2008-09.
The median size of these companies also increased but at a slower pace.
Notice, however, that the median size of the large-medium subsample
remained relatively constant over the entire period. (7)
[FIGURE 3 OMITTED]
2. BALANCE SHEET
In this section we examine the balance sheet of BHCs in our sample.
For each institution, we express the main components of its balance
sheet as a proportion of total assets for that institution. Size
heterogeneity is very significant even among the subsample of large BHCs
that we consider in this article. For this reason, normalizing values by
total assets is an essential step in the process of producing meaningful
comparisons across institutions or groups of institutions.
[FIGURE 4 OMITTED]
Assets
Figure 4 presents the components on the asset side of BHCs'
balance sheets as a proportion of total assets. The solid lines are the
weighted mean while the dashed lines are the standard mean. Loans and
leases is the main component of assets, followed by securities and
trading assets. Larger institutions tend to have fewer loans and fewer
securities (as a proportion of assets) and more trading assets.
Similarly, larger institutions appear to be relatively more active than
the smaller ones on the supply side of the money market (that is,
lending in the federal funds market and entering into reverse repurchase
agreements).
Loans and Leases
Mean loans and leases as a proportion of total assets increased
steadily between 2005 and the third quarter of 2008 (the dashed black
line in Panel A of Figure 4). In fact, for many of these BHCs, loan
growth actually accelerated in the third quarter of 2008 as the
financial crisis deepened and firms drew down on their pre-committed
lines of credit (Ivashina and Scharfstein 2010). This is barely
noticeable in the figure in part because total bank assets also increase
at that time (see Figure 2). Starting in the fourth quarter of 2008, and
until the end of our sample period, however, average loans and leases as
a proportion of assets decreased persistently. (8) In contrast to the
standard mean, the weighted mean remained fairly flat until the crisis,
suggesting that larger BHCs in our sample tended to have a constant, or
even decreasing, proportion of loans to assets before the financial
crisis.
[FIGURE 5 OMITTED]
Loans secured by real estate are the largest category of loans (see
Panel A of Figure 5). Over half of the loans in large BHCs are of this
type. Commercial and industrial loans (C&I loans) and consumer loans
are the other two main categories. While size does not seem to
significantly influence the proportion of loans that are C&I loans,
larger companies appear to have a higher proportion of consumer loans
and a lower proportion of real estate loans. A noticeable trend in the
evolution of these loan categories is the decline in the proportion of
C&I loans following the financial crisis. The proportion only starts
to recover toward the end of our sample period in 2011.
[FIGURE 8 OMITTED]
The jump in consumer loans in the first quarter of 2010 (see Panel
A of Figure 5) is the consequence of changes in accounting rules that
stipulate how banks must treat loans in securitization pools (El-Ghazaly
and Gopalan 2010). Since securitization was more common among larger
banks, the jump is more noticeable in the weighted mean (the solid blue
line) than in the standard mean (the dashed blue line).
The other loan categories are all relatively small (see Panel B of
Figure 5). Leases are less than 4 percent of the total of loan and lease
financing receivables in large BHCs' balance sheets and they have
been trending down during the entire sample period. Perhaps one
interesting fact worth noticing from Panel B of Figure 5 is the increase
in loans to foreign banks by the largest domestic BHCs after the crisis.
Subtracting from loans and leases on the asset side of banks'
balance sheets is the value of total allowances for loan and lease
losses that BHCs make as they update their assessment of the quality of
their portfolio of loans. Panel A of Figure 6 plots these total
allowances for loan and lease losses as a proportion of total assets. We
see that there is a surge in allowances during the crisis that aligns
well with the deterioration in loan performance as seen in Panel B of
Figure 6. It is interesting to see in the figure that the proportion of
non-performing loans started to increase toward the end of 2007. This is
approximately the same time that allowances started to increase. Also
worth noting is that the behavior of allowances does not appear
systematically different across companies of different size: The
standard mean (dashed line) and the weighted mean (solid line) are very
close and move together during the entire sample period.
Securities
Large BHCs hold approximately 20 percent of their assets as
securities, with larger companies holding, on average, fewer securities
relative to assets (the solid red line in Panel A of Figure 4 is below
the dashed red line). Securities are reported in two separate
categories: held to maturity and available for sale. Held-to-maturity
securities are those for which the institution has the intent and
ability to hold until maturity. When an institution is holding
securities without the explicit intent of trading them in the near term
(that is, they are not considered trading assets) but, at the same time,
the institution does not consider those securities part of the
held-to-maturity category, then the securities are reported as available
for sale. Following standard practice, we use amortized cost to value
the portion of securities that is held to maturity and fair (market)
value for available-for-sale securities. Figure 7 shows that most of the
securities held by the institutions in our sample are categorized as
available for sale. This is especially true for the large-large
institutions that had almost no held-to-maturity securities before the
crisis and only a very small amount after the crisis.
When looking at time trends of total securities as a proportion of
total assets (Panel A of Figure 4), it is important to note that the
total dollar value of securities (not plotted) remained mostly constant
before 2008:Q2 (even increasing moderately before 2007). Thus, the
observed gradual decline in the mean and weighted mean from
2005:Q1-2008:Q1 can be attributed entirely to the increase in total bank
assets observed in Figure 2, rather than a decrease in the total value
of securities held by these institutions. On the other hand, the secular
increase in securities observed since mid-2008 stems from an increase in
the dollar value of securities that more than compensates for the
increase in total assets.
Overall, the proportion of total securities in large BHCs'
balance sheets remained fairly stable during our sample period (see
Panel A of Figure 4). Figure 8 plots the main categories of securities,
mortgage-backed and other debt securities, as a proportion of total
securities. Comparing the standard means and the weighted means in
Figure 8 suggests that in general the largest institutions hold fewer
mortgage-backed securities on their balance sheets and more bonds and
commercial paper issued by private corporations (which are the
securities that account for most of what is labeled as "other debt
securities"). However, the black solid line indicates that the
largest companies in the sample actually increased their holdings of
mortgage-backed securities in the period leading up to the crisis and
then adjusted that proportion back down as the crisis progressed.
[FIGURE 7 OMITTED]
Interestingly, some of the smaller components of securities
experienced more significant swings during our sample period. For
example, Panel A of Figure 9 shows that large BHCs, and in particular
the largest ones, increased their holdings of U.S. Treasury securities
after the crisis (red solid line). This increase is especially
noteworthy since it coincides with a period when the Federal Reserve was
purchasing large amounts of U.S. Treasury securities from the private
sector to pursue its monetary policy objectives. In other words, both
the Fed and large BHCs were increasing their holdings of U.S. Treasury
securities simultaneously.
[FIGURE 8 OMITTED]
Panel B of Figure 9 shows that, on average, the largest companies
tend to hold far fewer U.S. government agency obligations than the
large-medium companies, and the holdings of these securities declined
across the board leading up to the crisis. The decline is more abrupt
for the large-medium institutions relative to the larger ones (as
indicated by the steeper drop in the dashed black line relative to the
solid black line).
[FIGURE 9 OMITTED]
Finally, the spike in asset-backed securities in late 2008 deserves
some explanation. Looking at the behavior of individual companies, it
seems that the event is mostly driven by spikes (a move up with an
immediate reversal) in asset-backed securities at JP Morgan Chase and
State Street. These are large organizations whose behavior can drive the
weighted mean. The standard mean, in comparison, shows no significant
spike. More generally, it is interesting to note that despite the
problems in the market for asset-backed securities during the crisis, by
the end of our sample period the proportion of securities that banks
held in this form is approximately the same as that at the beginning of
the sample period (i.e., before the crisis).
Trading Assets
Larger BHCs tend to hold a higher proportion of their assets for
trading purposes (see the solid and dashed blue lines in Panel A of
Figure 4). (9) Indeed, only companies with more than $50 billion in
total assets (large-large) had more than 10 percent of their assets as
trading assets at some point in our sample period. As an example, in the
fourth quarter of 2011 only three companies in our sample held more than
10 percent of their assets in trading accounts, and all three of them
were in the extreme right tail of the size distribution with more than
$1.5 trillion in total assets. These companies were Bank of America (11
percent), Citigroup (16 percent), and JP Morgan Chase (19 percent).
It is also the case that most companies with more than $50 billion
in assets (large-large) held some trading assets in their balance sheets
at any point in time: The percentage of large-large companies with no
trading assets was never higher than 12.5 percent during our sample
period. Large-medium companies are less involved in asset trading: The
percentage of large-medium companies with zero trading assets in a given
quarter was never below 29.7 percent. Furthermore, for firms that engage
in active asset trading, the presence of these assets in the firms'
balance sheet tends to be more significant for large-large firms than
for large-medium firms. Among the firms with positive trading assets,
for example, the mean (median) proportion of trading assets to total
assets in a given quarter is at least 3.4 percent (1.1 percent) for
large-large firms and at most 1.6 percent (1.1 percent) for large-medium
firms. However, the difference is largely driven by the high degree of
skewness in the proportion of trading assets held by large-large firms
(the mean proportion tends to be much larger than the median for
large-large BHCs). Finally, it is also the case that large-large
companies are more likely than large-medium companies to have
significant trading assets (greater than 2 percent of total assets) on a
consistent basis (i.e., for every quarter). In particular, 29 percent of
the large-large companies present during our entire sample period had at
least 2 percent of their assets as trading assets in every quarter. For
large-medium companies, only 11 percent had at least 2 percent of assets
as trading assets throughout our sample period.
The time series behavior of trading assets appears in Panel A of
Figure 4. A more detailed examination of the data reveals that Citigroup
and JPMorgan Chase significantly reduced the proportion of trading
assets in their balance sheets during the crisis, going from more than
25 percent of assets to less than 20 percent. In fact, adjustments by
these two companies of their holdings of trading assets are the main
driver of the behavior of the aggregate data displayed in the figure.
Cash and Balances Due
Starting in October 2008, the Federal Reserve significantly
increased the amount of excess reserves outstanding in the banking
system. Since our measure of cash and balances due from other depository
institutions, including a Federal Reserve Bank, "cash" for
short, displayed in black in Panel B of Figure 4 includes bank reserves,
it is not surprising that there is a large increase in the proportion of
cash relative to total assets late in 2008.
During the first half of 2011 the Fed further increased the level
of aggregate reserves by a total of around $600 billion and, consistent
with that, we see an increase in cash holdings for the firms in our
sample. However, the dollar value of the increase in cash for these
firms from the last quarter of 2010 to the second quarter of 2011 is
equal to $259 billion, which is less than half of the total increase in
reserves in the system over that period. This is not surprising given
that we restrict attention to domestic institutions and it is well known
that foreign-related institutions absorbed a significant proportion of
the increase in reserves that occurred during 2011 (Ennis and Wolman
2015).
It is interesting to note that both the standard mean and the
weighted mean of cash holdings as a proportion of assets are
approximately at the same level and evolved similarly during our sample
period. In other words, the proportion of cash holdings in total assets
does not appear to be systematically influenced by the size of the
institution, at least once the institution has reached a certain size
(i.e., greater than $10 billion in assets, which is the cutoff for being
in our sample). For a more detailed discussion of the evolution and
distribution of reserves in the U.S. banking system during the period
under consideration, see Ennis and Wolman (2015).
Federal Funds Sold and Reverse Repos
Events in both the federal funds market and the repo market played
a significant role in the progression of the crisis. There are several
articles in the literature documenting and studying the strained
condition of these markets. For the federal funds market, two important
examples are Taylor and Williams (2009) and Afonso, Kovner, and Schoar
(2011) (see also the discussion in Ennis [2011]). Gorton and Metrick
(2012) is the common reference in the case of the repo market. While the
causes of stress in these markets are, to a large extent, a matter of
controversy, it is evident that the level of activity of large BHCs in
both the federal funds market and the repo market declined during the
crisis and did not fully recover by the end of 2011 (see Panel B of
Figure 4).
[FIGURE 10 OMITTED]
Two things are worth noticing about the behavior of the standard
and weighted means for federal funds sold and reverse repos as a
proportion of total assets displayed in Panel B of Figure 4. First, the
fact that the weighted mean is significantly above the standard mean
clearly indicates that the largest BHCs tend to be more active than the
smaller BHCs on the lending side of the federal funds and repo markets
(red lines in Figure 4). In fact, the more disaggregated data plotted in
Panel B of Figure 10 shows that this is driven mostly by the repo
activity of the largest BHCs. Second, the participation of this broad
asset class in the balance sheets of large BHCs starts to decrease in
mid-2007 and continues decreasing until the end of 2008.10 In 2009, once
the worst part of the crisis had passed, large BHC participation in the
federal funds and repo markets started to recover. However, it is clear
from the disparity in behavior of the dashed and solid red lines in
Panel B of Figure 4 that the recovery was mostly driven by the largest
corporations. Again, Panel B of Figure 10 reveals that this recovery is
concentrated in the repo activity of the largest BHCs in our sample.
That federal funds activity does not recover is not surprising given the
large amount of excess reserves in the system after 2008.
Panel A of Figure 10 shows quartiles of the distribution of federal
funds sold plus reverse repos as a proportion of total assets across
companies in our sample. We can see that, before the crisis, there was
significant heterogeneity across large BHCs in terms of their intensity
of participation in the supply side of the money market. After the
second quarter of 2008, however, the dispersion drops considerably. It
is clear from the figure that some of the companies that used to
participate most in selling federal funds and entering reverse
repurchase agreements noticeably reduced this participation during 2008
and, since then, the majority of these companies have remained
concentrated around markedly lower levels of participation.
Intangible Assets
We did not plot intangible assets in Figure 4 because they are an
insignificant portion of the balance sheet and moved very little over
the sample period.* 11 During the sample period, the mean value of this
asset category stayed at around 3 percent of assets and the third
quartile never went above 5 percent. Comparing standard and weighted
means reveals that the largest companies tend to have higher intangible
assets.
Liabilities
Figure 11 presents the liabilities of BHCs expressed as a
proportion of total assets. Again, the solid lines are the weighted
means and the dashed lines are the standard means. Deposits are the main
category, with BHCs funding, on average, 50 percent of their assets with
deposits. Comparing the standard and the weighted means shows that the
largest companies tended to rely relatively less on deposits as a source
of funding and more on other borrowed money. The proportion of other
borrowed money started to trend down at the worst part of the crisis in
the fourth quarter of 2008. Overnight repo and federal funds borrowings
amounts to about 10 percent of assets and also shows a downward trend
that started earlier, at the beginning of 2007, and lasted until the end
of our sample period.
[FIGURE 11 OMITTED]
The standard mean of deposits over assets trended upward after the
crisis. Panel A of Figure 12 shows that the tendency to increase the
reliance on deposits after the crisis was most prevalent among
large-medium companies in our sample. Similarly, Panel B of Figure 12
shows a steep decline in repo borrowings at the largest institutions
during the early stages of the crisis, with these repo borrowings not
recovering after the crisis. Large-medium companies were relatively
active borrowers in the federal funds market but noticeably reduced
their participation after the crisis. A high level of excess reserves in
the banking system (see Panel B of Figure 4) tends to reduce banks'
need for short-term (overnight) borrowing. This is likely to be one of
the main explanations for the overall decrease in banks'
participation on the buying side of the interbank and repo markets
reflected in the figure.
[FIGURE 12 OMITTED]
Deposits
To study changes in the composition of deposits during the crisis
we create three subcategories that group deposits of similar
characteristics. First, we aggregate domestic retail (less than
$100,000) and jumbo (more than $100,000) certificate of deposits (CDs)
into a category that we call "time deposits." Both retail and
jumbo CDs behave similarly during the period of study and not much is
lost from aggregating them.
The other main category of domestic deposits is an aggregate of
demand, NOW, and savings accounts (including money market deposit
accounts). We call this category transaction plus savings accounts. It
is worth mentioning that in this period savings accounts are the main
component of bank deposits with approximately 50 percent of the total.
Finally, the third category consists of deposit accounts in foreign
subsidiaries.
[FIGURE 13 OMITTED]
Panel A of Figure 13 presents the proportion of aggregate total
deposits that are domestic deposits (black solid line), domestic
transaction and savings deposits (red solid line), and domestic time
deposits (blue solid line). We can see in the figure that, after the
crisis, banks in our sample shifted away from domestic time deposits and
into domestic transactions and savings deposits. (12) The growth in
transaction and savings deposits (red solid line in Panel A of Figure
13) after the crisis is a combination of growth in savings and NOW
accounts from the beginning of 2008 until the end of 2010 and a more
pronounced growth in demand deposits during 2011 when the growth in
savings accounts moderated significantly.
[FIGURE 14 OMITTED]
Panel B of Figure 13 shows that larger companies (large-large BHCs)
tend to have a lower proportion of deposits as time deposits. The figure
also shows that the trends in the composition of deposits are common for
the two subsamples (large-large and large-medium BHCs).
Other Borrowed Money
The main components of other borrowed money are commercial paper,
term federal funds (i.e., not overnight), certain term repos not
involving securities, discount window borrowing, certain forms of
unsecured and unsubordinated debt, and Federal Home Loan Bank (FHLB)
advances. Figure 14 displays a decomposition of other borrowed money
into commercial paper and other borrowed money with a maturity of less
than and more than a year. We see that before the crisis, companies were
gradually increasing their short-term borrowing. During the height of
the crisis in late 2008 there is actually a brief surge in short-term
borrowings that reverts back to pre-crisis levels during the first half
of 2009 when large BHCs shifted their borrowing in a significant way
toward longer maturities.
[FIGURE 15 OMITTED]
It is somewhat surprising that the proportion of borrowing that was
done using commercial paper was trending down before the crisis. This
decline actually accelerated during the crisis, which is consistent with
the well-documented stresses in the commercial paper market (Kacperczyk
and Schnabl 2010). Since mid-2009, however, the proportion of commercial
paper in total borrowed money has remained fairly constant. Figure 15
shows that the median company in our sample has no commercial paper
before and after the crisis. The 75th percentile actually drops to zero
during the crisis and never recovers. The 95th percentile went from 3
percent of assets funded with commercial paper to less than 1.5 percent
(only three or four companies in our sample are over the 95th
percentile). The decline in commercial paper borrowing during the crisis
is due to both intensive margin effects (firms that used commercial
paper tended to use it less) and extensive margin effects (firms that
used commercial paper stopped using it). Before the crisis, more than 98
percent of the commercial paper issued by the companies in our sample
was issued by companies in the large-large category. After the crisis,
all commercial paper was issued by large-large companies.
FHLB advances are a significant component of other borrowed money
and its evolution during the crisis received some attention in the
literature (see, for example, Ashcraft, Bech, and Frame [2010]). During
the second half of 2007, bank borrowings from the FHLB system increased
significantly. At the time, FHLBs were able to issue debt at relatively
low rates and then lend to banks at more favorable rates than the ones
that banks were able to obtain via other sources. As the crisis
deepened, however, the funding advantage of FHLBs eroded and in the
fourth quarter of 2008 total borrowing from FHLBs started to decrease
(Ashcraft, Bech, and Frame 2010).
FHLB advances are included in the aggregates for other borrowed
money with maturities less and more than a year as plotted in Figure 14.
In principle, the changes in FHLB advances could be the main driver of
the patterns observed in those aggregates during the crisis. To
investigate this issue we complement our data with information from the
Call Reports filed by depository institutions. We do this because BHCs
do not report FHLB advances in the FR Y-9C reports. Conveniently, SNL
Financial collects data on FHLB advances from the Call Reports and
aggregates it at the holding company level. Using this source, we plot
in Figure 14 total FHLB advances for the companies in our sample as a
proportion of total borrowed money--the gray solid line. Roughly a third
of the FHLB advances have a maturity greater than a year (the gray
dashed line) and the rest have a maturity of less than a year. We see in
the figure an upward trend in FHLB advances during 2006 and 2007 and a
decline after 2008, but the patterns in the proportion of other borrowed
money with a maturity of more and of less than a year seem more
pronounced than what could be accounted for by movements in FHLB
advances.
Bank Equity Capital
Even though large banks entered the crisis with what appeared to be
acceptable levels of capital (Bernanke 2007), the accumulation of losses
and the increasing turmoil in financial markets made bank capital an
evident reason for concern as the crisis deepened. In fact, bank
recapitalization played a significant role in the policy response to the
crisis devised by the U.S. Treasury and other bank regulatory agencies.
Here we provide an overview of how equity capital for large BHCs evolved
during the period and highlight the abrupt shifts in its composition
that occurred at different points in the crisis.
[FIGURE 16 OMITTED]
Figure 16 presents a time series of total equity capital (as a
proportion of assets) for the BHCs in our sample. As before, the solid
line corresponds to the weighted mean and the dashed line to the
standard mean. We see that, in general, larger companies tend to have
lower capital-to-asset ratios before and after the crisis (black lines
in Panel A). It is also evident from the figure that the companies in
our sample have, on average, increased their capital ratios after the
crisis (relative to the average ratios before the crisis). The main
component accounting for this increase is common stock. The figure in
Panel B shows that common stock over total assets increased
significantly after the crisis. Also, the red lines in Panel A show that
changes in the sum of retained earnings and preferred stocks, the other
two main components of equity capital, do not account for the higher
capital ratios observed after the crisis (relative to those before the
crisis).
It is interesting to see in Panel B of Figure 16 the significant
drop in retained earnings during the crisis and the
"compensating" surge in preferred stock. (13) The Capital
Purchase Program (CPP), one of the main TARP programs, went into effect
in October 2008 and dedicated $250 billion to the purchase of senior
preferred stock in financial institutions. Half of these funds were
allocated to nine financial firms, six of which are part of our sample
in the fourth quarter of 2008: Citigroup, JPMorgan Chase, Wells Fargo,
Bank of America, BNY Mellon, and State Street received a total of $95
billion when the program began (Financial Crisis Inquiry Commission
2011). The three large investment banks, Merrill Lynch, Morgan Stanley,
and Goldman Sachs, received the other initial $30 billion allocated
through the program. The change in the level of total preferred stock in
our sample between the third and the fourth quarter of 2008 is $156
billion, 61 percent of which can be accounted for by the TARP money
dedicated to large BHCs in the initial days of the CPP program.
Aside from the initial allotment of CPP funds to the nine largest
banks, many other banking organizations received capital injections as
part of this program. (14) It is evident from Panel B of Figure 16 that
both the dashed and solid lines corresponding to preferred stock
experienced a comparable surge. However, we see that the largest banks
initially increased their preferred stock relatively more (the solid
line moving above the dashed line) while also reverting back more
quickly to lower levels after the crisis. This rapid reversal may be
explained by the fact that the CPP imposed restrictions on dividend
distributions and executive compensation that gave banks (especially
large banks) clear incentives to recover the preferred stock issued
under the program.
By the end of our sample period, the majority of the companies in
our sample that issued preferred stock during the crisis had reverted
back to their pre-crisis strategy of not having preferred stock
outstanding. To see this, in Figure 17 we plot the median amount (across
companies in our sample) of preferred stock as a percentage of assets
(solid line), and the first and third quartiles (the two dashed lines).
We see that the median was zero before the crisis and increased to more
than 2 percent of assets at the beginning of 2009. By 2011, however, it
had gone back to close to zero. Yet it is also the case that the third
quartile had not reverted back to its pre-crisis level. Some large BHCs
were still relying on preferred stock as a source of capital by the end
of our sample period.
[FIGURE 17 OMITTED]
The surge in common stock during 2009 (Panel B of Figure 16) is
consistent with the change in approach adopted by policymakers to deal
with banks' weak financial conditions as the crisis deepened. The
second stage of TARP in February 2009 included the Capital Assistance
Program (CAP), which required regulators to conduct stress tests for the
19 largest U.S. banks (greater than $100 billion in assets) and
established that those banks for which the stress test revealed a
shortfall of capital will be required to raise common equity within a
period of a few months. As a result of the stress test, 10 large banks
were required to increase their common equity for a total aggregate
amount of $75 billion. Figure 18 plots the dollar value of common equity
for all BHCs with assets greater than $10 billion (black line). It also
plots in red the total dollar value of common equity for the 19
companies that were stress tested as part of CAP. We include Wachovia
Co. in this partial aggregate for consistency since Wachovia was one of
the largest banking organizations while it existed and was acquired in
late 2008 by Wells Fargo (also one of the largest BHCs in the country).
Not including Wachovia with the group of stress tested banks does not
change the pattern that we intend to highlight here: Mainly, that we see
the surge in common equity during 2009 as almost entirely accounted for
by the behavior of the 19 largest institutions in the system that were
subject to the stress tests imposed by CAP. (15) Note also that the
increase in the red line during 2009 is close to $200 billion and,
hence, a significantly higher amount than the CAP-required $75 billion.
[FIGURE 18 OMITTED]
[FIGURE 19 OMITTED]
Patterns similar to the ones in the previous figures arise when we
plot the risk-based capital ratios for the banks in our sample (see
Figure 19). These capital ratios are mainly used for regulatory
purposes. Tier 1 capital includes the book value of equity (after
deductions) and certain classes of preferred equity while tier 2 capital
includes certain holdings of subordinated debt. Total risk-based capital
includes both tier 1 and tier 2 capital. These ratios are calculated
using risk-adjusted assets in the denominator. To calculate
risk-adjusted assets, companies adjust the different categories of
assets using risk weights that are provided by regulators. Risk-adjusted
assets include a measure of the off-balance-sheet exposure of the bank.
As for some of the previous figures, we compute a mean and a weighted
mean across companies at each point in time. The weights to compute the
weighted mean are the ratio of assets in the corresponding company and
the sum of all the assets for the companies in our sample for that time
period (we take these weights as a crude way to account for the relative
size of the companies).
We see in Figure 19 that the largest companies tend to have lower
tier 1 capital ratios (the red solid line is generally below the red
dashed line). We also see in the figure that both the standard mean and
the weighted mean of the tier 1 capital ratio were trending down before
the crisis and rapidly increase with the onset of the crisis, remaining
at relatively high levels since 2009. The increase in these ratios
appears to occur a few quarters earlier than the increase in equity
capital displayed in Figure 16. Furlong (2011) points out that the
quality of tier 1 capital, measured by the proportion of it that is
common equity, decreased significantly during the crisis. This is
evident in Figure 19 as we see that common equity declines until the
second quarter of 2009 while tier 1 capital starts increasing at the
beginning of 2008 (this is consistent with the increase in preferred
equity during the early stages of the crisis that we see in Panel B of
Figure 16). Finally, the standard mean and the weighted mean for the
total risk-based capital ratio behave similarly to the tier 1 ratios,
except that there seems to be less of a systematic pattern across
companies of different sizes (the black solid and dashed lines are very
close and move together).
Off-Balance-Sheet Items
Large BHCs and their subsidiaries engage in significant amounts of
off-balance-sheet activities, such as the provision of loan commitments,
financial and performance guarantees, and various derivatives contracts.
Conceptually, these activities create a contingent asset or liability
for the firm, and in that sense they have implications for the financial
condition of the firm, similar to those associated with more standard
components of firms' balance sheets. Furthermore, off-balance-sheet
activities can be a substantial source of fee income. For these reasons,
it is important to assess their state and evolution.
Measuring off-balance-sheet activities is not straightforward. For
example, the size of a position on a derivative contract is often
accounted for by its notional amount. The notional amount is the base
value used to calculate the payments associated with the derivative
contract. This dollar amount (in general) does not change hands, and in
that sense it is considered notional. For example, an interest rate swap
could call for payment of the difference between a fixed interest rate
and a market interest rate multiplied by a given notional amount (say,
$1 million). While the actual payments are directly linked to the
notional amount, payment amounts are typically only a fraction of the
notional amounts. (16) Alternatively, in some cases, firms report the
fair value of their derivative contracts. The fair value is an estimate
of the price of the contract that would prevail in an orderly
transaction between market participants (not a forced liquidation or
distressed sale) at the measurement date. The FR Y-9C form disaggregates
derivative contracts according to the type of instrument (futures,
forwards, swaps, etc.) using notional amounts. This is what we use in
most of the figures in this section, except when plotting
over-the-counter (OTC) derivatives for which we use net current credit
exposure since notional amounts are not reported. (17)
[FIGURE 20 OMITTED]
Figure 20 plots different off-balance-sheet activities undertaken
by U.S. BHCs in our sample (expressed as a proportion of total balance
sheet assets). Solid lines represent the weighted mean and dashed lines
represent the standard mean. Panel A shows the values of unused loan
commitments (credit lines) and letters of credit, and the current credit
exposure on OTC derivatives (for which reporting started in mid-2009).
Panel B shows the notional values of credit derivatives (including
credit default swaps) and other derivatives, such as equity, foreign
exchange, and commodity future, forward, swap, and option contracts but
excluding interest rate contracts. We exclude interest rate contracts
from the figure because their total notional amount is an order of
magnitude larger than the total notional amount of other categories of
derivatives (see Panel B of Figure 21).
We see in Figure 20 that larger companies tend to have (as a
proportion of assets) more loan commitments and letters of credit (Panel
A) and are counterparties in significantly more derivatives contracts
(Panel B). Before the crisis, the largest companies were rapidly
increasing their amount of derivative contracts, but this growth stopped
during the crisis and we only see some renewed growth in other
derivatives during 2010-11.
Credit lines are commitments to make a loan or perform some other
transaction with a counterparty. Letters of credit are contracts where
one party commits to the other, in exchange for a fee, to step in and
undertake an obligation if a third party fails to perform. Boyd and
Gertler (1993) attribute the growth in bank loan commitments during the
1980s to the rapid development of the commercial paper market since
commercial paper issuers generally secured their loans with a backup
line of credit from banks. In line with this idea, the secular decline
in unused loan commitments that started in 2008 may, in part, be a
consequence of the observed decline in activity in the commercial paper
market that came about as a result of the crisis (Kacperczyk and Schnabl
2010). As we discussed earlier in this section when looking at the
evolution of bank lending, another factor that can help explain the
decline in outstanding loan commitments in 2008 (see Panel A of Figure
20) is the fact that many firms took loans from banks by drawing down
their existing lines of credit during the crisis (Ivashina and
Scharfstein 2010).
Credit derivatives are financial contracts that allow one party
(the purchaser) to transfer the credit risk of a "reference"
asset or entity to another party (the seller). If the referenced asset
fails to deliver a promised payment, then the seller steps in and covers
the shortfall. Panel A of Figure 21 shows that almost all the credit
derivatives owned by the BHCs in our sample are credit default swaps
(CDS). A CDS is a contract in which a protection seller, for a fee,
agrees to reimburse a protection buyer for any losses that occur due to
a credit event of a particular entity. If there is no credit default
event (as defined by the derivative contract), then the protection
seller makes no payments to the protection buyer and receives only the
contract-specified fee. Under standard industry definitions, a credit
event is normally defined to include bankruptcy, failure to pay, and
restructuring.
[FIGURE 21 OMITTED]
We plotted other derivatives excluding interest rate contracts in
Panel B of Figure 20. In Panel B of Figure 21 we plot other derivatives
including interest rate contracts. The main category of interest rate
contracts is interest rate swaps, which accounts for over 60 percent of
the total of interest rate contracts during our sample period. We plot
the notional amount of interest rate swaps as a proportion of assets in
Panel B of Figure 21. Just like with CDS (Panel A of Figure 21), the
holdings of interest rates swaps by the largest companies was growing in
the years leading up to the crisis, but growth stalled with the crisis
and did not recover during our sample period.
To complement the picture of how the predominance of different
off-balance-sheet activities varies with the size of companies, we split
our sample in large-large and large-medium companies as before and
compute subsample averages. For each of the main categories of
off-balance-sheet items, Table 1 shows the total value reported by these
companies in the last quarter of 2011, expressed as a proportion of
total assets. We confirm with this table that BHCs with more than $50
billion in assets (the large-large subsample) have a much more active
participation in off-balance-sheet activities than the large-medium
companies for all off-balance-sheet categories.
Off-balance-sheet activities also have an impact on the income
statement as they are an important generator of fee income. Similarly,
securitization and loan sales are two other common activities of these
large BHCs that we have not yet discussed and are significant sources of
noninterest income. We investigate this issue in the next section.
3. INCOME STATEMENT
In this section, we discuss the evolution of income for the BHCs in
our sample. Panel A of Figure 22 presents the standard and weighted
means of net income, as a proportion of assets (dashed and solid red
lines, respectively). This measure of relative income is often called
return on assets (ROA). (18) We see that ROA fell dramatically during
the crisis and was actually negative from mid-2008 until mid-2009. It is
interesting to see that there appears to be no significant difference
between the behavior of income in the largest companies and the rest.
They all share a similar experience in terms of the evolution of their
net income.
[FIGURE 22 OMITTED]
Figure 22 also presents some of the various components of bank
income. We see from the figure that noninterest income and provision for
loan and lease losses (which is subtracted from income) have been the
main drivers of net income during the sample period. Noninterest income
appears to be more volatile for the largest banks (as indicated by the
solid and dashed black lines in Panel A). Interest income and
noninterest expenses are fairly stable across time. The largest banks
tend to have lower net interest income as a proportion of assets (the
solid red line in Panel B of Figure 22 is consistently lower than the
dashed red line). (19)
Net interest income is the income that banks get from lending at
higher rates than they borrow. In a sense, this is the kind of income
associated more closely with traditional banking. Noninterest income is
generated by other activities, such as asset trading, insurance, and
financial services and advice. Importantly, most of the income
originated in off-balance-sheet activities is considered noninterest
income. Comparing the levels of noninterest income (black lines in Panel
A) and net interest income (red lines in Panel B) for the period before
the crisis, we see that the companies in our sample tend to have (on
average) as much or higher noninterest income than net interest income.
The BHCs we study are relatively large organizations (more than $10
billion in assets) with multiple business lines, far beyond the standard
deposits-and-loans business associated with traditional banking. This
relative comparison of net interest income and noninterest income is a
reflection of that fact. (20)
We saw in Figure 6 that allowance for loan losses (an item on the
asset side of banks' balance sheets) increased significantly during
the crisis period. The change in allowances is basically the result of
provision for loan losses net of loan charge-offs and other write-downs.
Consistent with the behavior of allowances, Panel B of Figure 22 shows
the surge in provisions (blue lines) starting in mid-2007 and lasting
for more than three years. This increase in provisions is another
important factor that reduced banks' net income during the crisis
years.
Presumably, companies started to provision for losses as they saw
the prospects for loan deterioration increase. As a complement to Panel
B of Figure 6, Figure 23 shows that the proportion of nonperforming
loans started to increase in late 2007 driven mainly by real estate
loans. Later in the sample period, during 2009, the rate of
nonperforming loans in the commercial and industrial category increased
significantly as well. The performance of real estate loans appears to
be noticeably worse in the largest companies (comparing the black solid
and dashed lines), especially after mid-2009.
[FIGURE 23 OMITTED]
In Panel A of Figure 24 we plot net interest income as a proportion
of total revenue, which we define as the sum of net interest income and
noninterest income. The dashed line is the standard mean of this ratio
for all companies in our sample. The solid line is the weighted mean,
where the weights are calculated as the ratio of assets in the
corresponding company and total assets in our sample for that period. We
see in the figure that, in general, 50 percent to 60 percent of bank
revenue originates from exploiting the spread between borrowing and
lending rates. Consistent with Copeland (2012), we also see that the
larger companies tend to rely more on noninterest income as a source of
income (the dashed line is generally above the solid line).
[FIGURE 24 OMITTED]
The gray line in Panel A is the weighted mean excluding the four
largest BHCs: JPMorgan Chase, Bank of America, Citi, and Wells Fargo.
The spikes in the ratio, which are evident in the black solid line in
Panel A, are the result of significant fluctuations in noninterest
income at the four largest banks (see the behavior of noninterest income
in Panel A of Figure 22). It is worth noticing, however, that to a
certain extent the drop in the last quarter of 2008 in noninterest
income relative to net interest income is still present in many of the
other companies in our sample. Evidence of this is that both the
standard mean and the median (the black solid line in Panel B of Figure
24) of the ratio both go up in the last quarter of 2008. Panel B of
Figure 24 also plots the 25th and 75th percentiles of the distribution
of this ratio at each point in time. While we see some variation across
companies, we do not see significant variation or trends in the level of
heterogeneity in this ratio among the companies in our sample. (21)
[FIGURE 25 OMITTED]
Figure 25 presents a decomposition of noninterest income. For this
purpose, we created four categories of income that allow us to summarize
the most interesting developments. Traditional noninterest income
includes service charges on deposit accounts and other income from
fiduciary activities. Securitization income includes net securitization
income, other servicing fees, and net gains from loan sales. Investment
banking includes fees and commissions from securities brokerage,
investment banking, underwriting, and venture capital revenue. Finally,
trading revenue is exactly what is reported under that category in the
FR Y-9C forms. More specifically, trading revenue is the net gain or
loss from trading cash instruments and off-balance-sheet derivative
contracts (including commodity contracts) that has been recognized
during the calendar year-to-date. We do not plot trading revenue for the
companies in Panel A as it is a very small number and fairly stable.
There are some sources of income that we choose to not report. For
example, income from insurance activities is mainly driven by one
company, MetLife. (22) After excluding MetLife, this item is quite small
and nothing significant appears when plotting the series. The figure
also does not include the category "other noninterest income,"
which contains income and fees from the printing and sale of checks and
from ATMs, rents from safe deposit boxes, income from other real estate
owned, debit and credit card interchange fees, and other small items.
This category of income is also relatively small.
Some observed sharp fluctuations in the largest companies'
components of noninterest income tend to dominate the weighted means of
the full sample. This is especially noticeable when looking at trading
revenue, but it also occurs, to a lesser degree, for other components.
For this reason, in Panel A of Figure 25 we report the standard and the
weighted means for all companies excluding JPMorgan Chase, Bank of
America, Citi, and Wells Fargo. We also exclude MetLife from these
averages as MetLife is an evident outlier in terms of receiving most of
its noninterest income from insurance-related activities. In Panel B of
Figure 25 we plot the weighted mean for the four largest BHCs that were
not included in Panel A.
We see in Panel A that both income from securitization and
investment banking dropped sharply with the crisis and remained low for
the rest of the sample period. This is a fairly widespread phenomenon
(as we see from both means experiencing similar behavior). In sharp
contrast with the rest of the companies, fluctuations in trading revenue
of the four largest companies tended to dominate the behavior of overall
noninterest income during the crisis. Panel B of Figure 25 makes this
evident. Finally, note that the largest companies share with the rest of
our sample the decline in income from securitization and investment
banking as sources of income after the crisis. These trends, however,
seem moderate when compared with the swings in trading revenue.
4. CONCLUSION
Large U.S. bank holding companies are complex organizations. They
played an important role in the recent financial crisis and many of them
experienced significant financial turmoil during that period. We have
attempted here to provide a comprehensive overview on the performance of
these companies between the beginning of 2005 and the end of 2011, based
on information provided in the FR Y-9C reports that these companies
submit for regulatory purposes. The discussion in the article touched on
many different aspects, too many to summarize in this concluding
section. Instead, we will highlight a few of the most interesting facts.
First, the number of companies with more than $10 billion in assets
and with more than $50 billion in assets has been fairly stable (at
around 60 and 25, respectively). The total assets in companies with more
than $50 billion was growing rapidly before the crisis but growth slowed
at the beginning of 2009 and remained slow for the rest of the sample
period. Of course, loan performance deteriorated significantly after the
crisis, but in general the traditional business of banking--borrowing
and lending--was a source of stability for these large companies. The
most significant swings were observed in those variables that describe
the BHCs' asset-markets activities, with noninterest income
volatility being a leading example.
Large BHCs are crucial participants in both sides of the repo
market. The total volume of both repos and reverse repos for these
companies fell during the crisis, and while reverse repos recovered
after the crisis--mainly for companies with more than $50 billion in
assets-borrowing in the repo market by the companies in our sample
remained at crisis levels by the end of our sample period in December
2011. This last fact is just one more manifestation of a general change
in the way these companies are funded: After the crisis, the composition
of deposits shifted away from time deposits and into transaction and
savings accounts, the time-to-maturity of other borrowed money increased
significantly, and the composition of bank capital changed to include a
more significant proportion of common equity.
Our goal was to paint a broad picture of the evolution of large
BHCs in the recent past. While obtaining a broad understanding of what
happened is important, it required us to use a thick brush. We only
discussed the main components of balance sheets, off-balance-sheet
activities, and income statements. We also restricted ourselves, for the
most part, to describing the time series of standard and weighted
averages and aggregates for two subsamples: large-large and large-medium
companies. There is much more detailed information in the FR Y-9C
reports that could be interesting to analyze. Furthermore, there is a
large amount of cross-company heterogeneity hidden behind our reported
averages. Digging deeper into the performance of these companies is
likely to be a fruitful activity. For that investigation, the general
perspective we have provided here could be a valuable starting point and
a guiding reference.
We would like to thank Marios Karabarbounis, Hoossam Malek, Roisin
McCord, Ned Prescott, and John Walter for comments on a previous draft
and the participants at the Banking Research Lunch for discussions
during the early stages of this project. The views expressed in this
article are those of the authors and do not necessarily represent the
views of the Federal Reserve Bank of Richmond or the Federal Reserve
System.
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(1) There is a large amount of data on BHCs that is periodically
collected for regulatory purposes. Form FR Y-9C is part of this data. An
excellent source for understanding how the publicly available
information fits together is Avraham, Selvaggi, and Vickery (2012).
(2) More detailed information about the reports is available at the
Federal Reserve Board of Governors website at
www.federalreserve.gov/apps/reportforms/.
(3) The Bank Holding Company Act defines a BHC as any company with
control over any bank or over any company that is or becomes a BHC by
virtue of the Act. In turn, a company has control over a bank or another
company if it directly or indirectly owns, controls, or holds 25 percent
of the voting rights on the other company. What constitutes control is
also explicitly defined in the Act, which also addresses other various
issues pertinent to this definition.
(4) There is a large drop in the number of large-medium size BHCs
during the third quarter of 2007. A total of seven BHCs exited this
subsample in that quarter. Three of the BHCs became large-large (due to
secular growth in assets that pushed them over the $50 billion threshold
in the third quarter of 2007). One of the other four BHCs lost assets
and exited the sample while the remaining three were acquired by other
BHCs, subsequently ending their reporting.
(5) There appears to be no clear common pattern explaining why
these five institutions (Arvest Bank Group, Doral GP Ltd.,
PrivateBancorp, UMB Financial, and Wintrust Financial) increased their
total assets during this period. In particular, it does not seem to be
the case that these companies were bringing off-balance-sheet activity
into their books.
(6) Aside from these four companies, in most cases we also exclude
Franklin Resources, Inc. from the sample for similar reasons. Franklin
is predominantly involved in asset management on behalf of private,
professional, and institutional investors and entered our sample in the
second quarter of 2010, as its balance-sheet assets crossed the $10
billion threshold.
(7) The drop in the mean total assets for large-medium BHCs during
the second half of 2007 (see Panel B of Figure 3) is a reflection of the
transition of three relatively large BHCs from that group to the
large-large group. Removing three of the largest companies in the group
naturally reduces the mean. However, it is worth noticing that the
change did not affect the median size (dashed line) in a significant
way.
(8) It is interesting to note that JPMorgan Chase's
acquisition of Washington Mutual at the end of the third quarter of 2008
does not impact the weighted mean in any noticeable way even though
Washington Mutual (with a 0.77 ratio of loans to assets in the second
quarter of 2008) had a higher ratio of loans to assets than the average
BHC in our sample.
(9) Trading assets are securities that are held for the purpose of
selling them in the near term as part of the company's trading
activities, which include active and frequent buying and selling of
securities for the purpose of generating profits on short-term
fluctuations in price.
(10) Another manifestation of this trend is the fact that the
number of BHCs in our sample reporting no lending in these markets went
from three in the second quarter of 2007 to 18 in the first quarter of
2009. Similarly, 41 out of 52 BHCs in our sample decreased the amount of
federal funds sold and reverse repos during that same period.
(11) Intangible assets include goodwill and other intangible assets
that result from the acquisition of portions of another
institution's business, such as the carrying value of mortgage
servicing assets and purchased credit card relationships.
(12) As we can see in Figure 11, total deposits over assets (black
solid line) are relatively stable over the sample period. Hence, the
change in the composition of deposits shown in Panel A of Figure 13 is
also representative of the changes in the different components of
deposits when expressed as a proportion of total assets.
(13) One may think that the decline in retained earnings is the
consequence of generous dividend policies that were not appropriately
adjusted down as the symptoms of the crisis started to become visible.
Hirtle (2014) studies the dividend and stock repurchase decisions of
large BHCs during the crisis. She shows that many large companies were
indeed slow at adjusting dividends down during the crisis. However, she
also documents that, in response to the crisis, many companies sharply
reduced their repurchase of stock.
(14) A total of 707 financial institutions received capital
injections under the CPP. Of these, 646 were banks that received in
total $193 billion. Relatively large, publicly traded banks (350 of
them) account for $188 billion of this total. See Bayazitova and
Shivdasani (2012) for more details.
(15) The gray dashed lines in Figure 18 are the result of including
the four large institutions that started reporting as BHCs at the
beginning of 2009; that is, Goldman Sachs, Morgan Stanley, American
Express, and CIT Group. The first three of these companies were part of
the group of 19 companies subjected to the stress test required by CAP.
(16) In the case of an interest rate swap, we can think of the
notional amount as representing the size of the underlying position
being hedged with the swap.
(17) The current credit exposure is the fair value of a derivative
contract when that fair value is positive. The current credit exposure
is zero when the fair value is negative or zero. For reporting OTC
derivatives, companies are allowed to net out multiple positions with a
given counterparty if certain conditions are satisfied.
(18) In all the figures, we plot quarterly income as a proportion
of assets at the end of the quarter. This way of presenting the data
matters for the levels of some of these variables. For example, ROA is
often reported on an annualized basis and it is calculated using average
assets. We are mainly interested in the behavior of these variables over
time and just use assets as a way to normalize the data across companies
with very different sizes. For our purposes, then, the simpler ratio of
values at the end of the quarter used in the figures suffices.
(19) Note that noninterest expense includes general costs (such as
salaries and employee benefits) not just associated with generating
noninterest income; in particular, noninterest expense is the overhead
cost of generating both net interest and noninterest income. For this
reason, it does not really make sense to net out noninterest expense
from noninterest income and we keep them separate in the figure.
(20) Copeland (2012) discusses the evolution of bank income for
large BHCs in the period from 1994 to 2010 and shows that the largest
BHCs have shifted away from the traditional sources of bank
income--mainly, interest income--and toward noninterest income: in
particular, income that comes from securitization activities and from
sources of income related to capital markets, such as income from
trading assets, investment banking, and insurance.
(21) Copeland (2012) provides further evidence on the heterogeneity
of income sources across large bank holding companies.
(22) Note that the last report filed by MetLife, Inc. is from the
third quarter of 2012, after the end of our sample period. The approval
for the company to deregister as a BHC was announced on February 14,
2013.
Table 1 Off-Balance-Sheet Items as a Proportion of Total
Assets, Q4:2011
BHCs Commitments Letters Derivatives
of Credit
Credit Other OTC
Medium-Large 0.2174 0.0142 0.0004 0.1514 0.0015
Large-Large 0.3593 0.0548 1.1467 16.919 0.0453
Notes: OTC derivatives are the net current credit exposure on OTC
derivatives held by the companies in our sample. All other
derivatives positions are reported in notional amounts. All
quantities are expressed as a proportion of total balance sheet
assets.