Interest on reserves and daylight credit.
Ennis, Huberto M. ; Weinberg, John A.
Banks hold reserves in the form of account balances at the central
bank and vault cash. The average aggregate reserves of depository institutions in the United States during 2005 was $46 billion. Banks use
these reserves to settle payments to other banks (and other participants
in financial markets) during the day. In 2005, the average daily value
of Fedwire fund transfers--the primary means by which banks transfer
funds to one another--was approximately $2 trillion; that is, nearly 50
times the quantity of reserves. When reserves do not pay interest
overnight, banks face an opportunity cost from holding reserves
overnight. However, if overnight overdrafts resulting from ending the
day with insufficient reserves imply a penalty (in terms of higher
interest rates or other types of penalties), then holding reserves may
also be associated with the benefit of avoiding potential overdrafts. On
average, during 2005 banks held a total of $1.7 billion in excess
reserves; that is, reserves in excess of required reserves (see Table
1).
In September 2006, Congress passed legislation that authorized the
Federal Reserve to pay interest on banks' reserve balances,
beginning in 2011. The legislation also granted the Board of Governors
additional flexibility in setting reserve requirements for depository
institutions after October 1, 2011. According to this new legislation,
the Federal Reserve can pay interest on all types of balances, including
required reserves, supplemental reserves, and contractual clearing
balances, held by or for depository institutions at a reserve bank. Such
interest, if authorized by the Board, may be paid at least once each
calendar quarter at a rate or rates not to exceed the general level of
short-term interest rates.
This new legislation represents a significant change in policy that
could affect the choices that banks make about reserve holdings. And,
since most central banks conduct monetary policy by intervening in the
daily market for banks' reserves, this change could affect the
implementation of monetary policy as well by altering the behavior of
the demand for reserves. Since paying interest reduces the opportunity
cost for a bank of being "stuck" with unused reserves
overnight, banks may become willing to hold greater reserves. But the
demand for reserves depends not only on this opportunity cost, but also
on the benefit of avoiding the need to borrow to make up for a reserves
shortfall. It is also likely that the demand for reserves depends on the
nature of the payments for which the reserves will be used.
In the settlement of payments during a business day, banks'
reserves are supplemented by access to intraday credit from the Fed. If
one bank seeks to send funds in excess of its reserve balance through
the Fedwire system to another bank, the sender incurs a daylight
overdraft. So reserves and daylight credit act as a substitute means of
funding transfers during the day. The treatment of reserves overnight,
though, can influence the degree to which banks rely on daylight credit
to cover their daylight payment activity.
The opportunity cost of holding reserves is most directly affected
by the central bank's interest rate policy. A bank's
willingness to substitute away from reserves for payment purposes is
directly affected by the terms on which the central bank provides
daylight credit. In this article, we are interested in the link between
these terms and the terms on overnight reserves. We provide a simple
model of the demand for reserves by banks (in line with the classic
contribution by Poole 1968) and study the implications of paying
interest on reserves on the conduct of monetary policy and the use of
daylight credit by banks.
One important public policy dimension with regard to daylight
credit is absent from our model. Specifically, the model abstracts from
credit risk incurred by the central bank. When banks settle payments by
drawing on central bank credit, the result is to shift credit risk
exposure from private counterparties to the central bank. Central banks
have a number of tools available for managing this exposure, from the
pricing of daylight credit to the imposition of credit caps or
collateral requirements. To address these and other public policy
questions adequately would require a more complete, general equilibrium model. The model we examine is meant to isolate some key forces that we
think would be at work in the joint determination of the demand for
reserves and for daylight credit in a reasonable, more general, model.
Understanding the forces driving daylight credit is important because of
the potential for overuse of underpriced central bank credit and the
associated misallocation of risk.
Before presenting the model, we discuss in Section 1 some basic
observations about reserves, payments, and credit in the Fed's
large-value payment system. Section 2 introduces the basic model of
banks' demand for reserves and the determination of the equilibrium
interest rate in the market for reserves. Banks' demand for
reserves in our model is purely voluntary. No reserve requirements are
assumed. The reason banks hold reserves in our model is because reserves
are useful for making payments. The alternative assets, in our case
bonds, have a positive overnight rate of return premium but cannot be
used to make payments. If the bank does not have enough reserves to
settle its payments, it has to resort to central bank credit. Overnight
overdrafts, in particular, are subject to a penalty rate that banks want
to avoid paying. In other words, banks hold reserves to limit their
exposure to overdraft penalties.
In Section 3, we introduce the central bank's ability to pay
interest on unused reserves. We show how interest on reserves allows the
central bank to fix the market interest rate at a target level by
"flooding" the market with reserves and fixing the interest on
reserves at the chosen target. This policy was first proposed by
Goodfriend (2002) and the model provides a formalization of his
argument. The model also allows a precise description of an alternative
approach to paying interest on reserves. In this approach, the central
bank pays a rate at a fixed spread below the target market rate, which,
together with an overnight lending rate at a fixed spread above the
target, creates a "corridor" around the market rate.
Sections 2 and 3 consider the demand for reserves in the absence of
a potential payments-related need for daylight credit. However, as noted
by Lacker (2006) and as suggested by the interdependence discussed
above, the ability of the central bank to pay interest on reserves may
have relevant implications for the daylight credit policy that the
central bank may find optimal. Section 4, then, extends the model in
Sections 2 and 3 to take into consideration the determinants of the
daylight credit decisions of banks. We show how interest on reserves can
motivate banks to economize the use of daylight credit without reducing
their access to liquidity during the day.
Our simple model allows us to demonstrate a number of interesting
features of the mechanics of the markets for reserves. For instance, in
a corridor system, there are circumstances in which a central bank can
implement a change in the target market rate without changing the supply
of reserves, simply by moving its lending rate and its rate on reserves
together. But this result requires that aggregate demand for
reserves--which is driven in the model by aggregate payment
requirements--be relatively stable. With greater variability in demand,
the task of implementing the target rate is simplified by the approach
proposed by Goodfriend of paying interest at the target rate. When
intraday variation in the timing of payments is added, which creates a
potential demand for daylight credit, eliminating the opportunity cost
of holding reserves by paying interest at the target rate has the added
effect of greatly reducing the demand for daylight credit.
1. U.S. PAYMENTS AND RESERVES
Systems for clearing and settling large-value payments among banks
are often categorized according to their approach to settlement. Systems
in which payments are settled one-by-one through the transfer of central
bank money throughout the day are typically referred to as real-time
gross settlement systems (RTGS). The alternative is net settlement, in
which payments are held until the end of a settlement period, typically
a day, and only net obligations are actually transferred. Zhou (2000)
provides a good introduction to these differences, and Kahn and Roberds
(1999) discuss in detail the comparative advantages and disadvantages of
the alternative systems.
A notable difference between these two alternative ways of
organizing (large-value) payment systems is that a daily net settlement
arrangement involves the creation of intraday credit exposures among its
members. By contrast, in an RTGS system, bilateral obligations are
extinguished throughout the day. Because of possible mismatches in the
timing of receipts and payments during the day, participants in an RTGS
system may demand credit to cover early payments when they are expecting
later receipts. In some of these systems, intraday credit is provided by
the central bank.
For the most part, large-value payments in the United States are
executed using one of the two main systems: Fedwire and CHIPS (Clearing
House Interbank Payments System). Fedwire has two subsystems: Fedwire
Funds Transfer and Fedwire Book-Entry Securities. The Fedwire Funds
Transfer system is a real-time gross settlement system of funds
transfers across Federal Reserve accounts of participants. The Fedwire
Book-Entry Securities system is a real-time, delivery-versus-payment,
gross settlement system that allows for the immediate, simultaneous
(electronic) transfer of government securities against payment. (1)
[FIGURE 1 OMITTED]
CHIPS is a bank-owned payment system operated by the New York Clearing House to clear and settle business-to-business transactions. On
January 22, 2001, CHIPS converted from an end-of-day, multilateral net
settlement system to one that provides final settlement for all payment
orders as they are released. Payment instructions submitted to the queue that remain unsettled at the end of the day, known as the residual, are
tallied on a multilateral net basis. Banks pre-fund their CHIPS payments
with a Fedwire transfer from their reserve accounts at the Fed at the
beginning of the day.
To facilitate the normal flow of payments in the system, the
Federal Reserve provides daylight credit to depository institutions. In
this context, the Federal Reserve has adopted an explicit program to
control the use of intraday credit, the Payments System Risk (PSR)
policy (Coleman [2002] provides a good introduction to the evolution of
the PSR policy of the Fed). The two main instruments of the PSR policy
are the imposition of net debit caps and interest rate fees on daylight
overdrafts. The objective is to limit excessive use of daylight credit
and, therefore, reduce the Fed's exposure to credit risk.
[FIGURE 2 OMITTED]
In 1985, the Fed introduced net debit caps for the first time. Net
debit caps limit the maximum daylight overdraft position that a
depository institution can incur in its Federal Reserve account. These
debit caps did not have a great influence on the expansion of daylight
credit that was taking place at the time, and, in 1994, the Federal
Reserve started imposing a minute-by-minute interest charge on the
average daylight overdraft that each institution incurred during the
business day.
Figure 1 shows the large drop on average daylight overdraft after
that change in policy. (2) (For a careful statistical analysis of the
effect of caps and fees on the level of daylight overdrafts in the
United States, see Hancock and Wilcox 1996. See also Mills and Nesmith
2006.) It is important to note, however, that the number and value of
Fedwire transactions has been trending upwards during this period (see
Figure 2) and that, in fact, the value of the average daylight
overdraft, as a percentage of the value of total transactions over
Fedwire, has remained relatively stable at around 1.8 to 2.0 percent for
the last ten years, displaying perhaps a slight upward trend (see Figure
3).
[FIGURE 3 OMITTED]
The need for credit in the payment system is determined by
banks' holdings of reserves. The reserve positions of banks are, in
turn, determined by an array of factors, including legal reserve
requirements and the price of borrowing reserves, either on the federal
funds market or from the Fed's discount window. Desired reserves
could also depend on the cost of borrowing from the Fed within the day.
For a given level of payment activity, daylight overdrafts will
typically decrease as reserve holdings of banks increase. The model in
the next section provides a first step in formalizing some of the
relationships among payments, demand for reserves, and interest rates,
which are essential for understanding how modern payment systems
function.
2. A SIMPLE MODEL
We start our analysis with a very simple model that allows us to
capture some of the tradeoff faced by banks in their management of
reserves. In fact, in the next two sections we abstract from issues
related to daylight credit and keep the model and analysis as simple as
possible. These sections provide a good introduction to the main forces
driving the determination of the interest rate in the market for
reserves. Later, in Section 4, we extend the model in a natural way and
discuss the connection among daylight credit, reserve management by
banks, and the market interest rate.
We start our study of the simple model by first describing the
decision problem faced by a typical bank. The solution to this problem
delivers the demand for reserves for each individual bank (Poole 1968).
After that, we consider the situation in which there are many banks and
aggregate their demands to obtain the demand for reserves in the market.
Finally, we study the determination of interest rate as a result of a
standard equalization of (aggregate) demand and supply.
The Bank's Problem
Let us start with a simplified setup. Suppose the bank has a given
amount of funds, F, that will be used to execute some payments for the
same amount. While the the total amount of payments, F, is known with
certainty, payments can happen at the end of the day or next morning.
The bank can decide to hold these funds in either of two possible
assets, reserves (R) or bonds (B). That is, we have that
F = R + B.
Let P be the payment that the bank has to make at the end of the
day. The next-morning payment will then be equal to F - P. Suppose that
bonds cannot be used to settle payments, and the bank must decide the
allocation of funds between reserves and bonds before knowing the exact
amount P. Also, for simplicity, assume that payments today are only
credited in the recipient's account the next day; that is, the bank
does not expect to receive new funds that would increase its end-of-day
balances. Then, if the amount of reserves R held by the bank is lower
than the required end-of-day payment P, the bank incurs an overnight
overdraft for the value P - R. (3)
For concreteness, assume that the size of the end-of-day payment P
is uniformly distributed in the interval [0, [bar.P]]. The assumption
about the distribution of P is just for the sake of simplicity; it
implies that the size of the payment can take any value in the interval
[0, [bar.P]], with the probability of observing any particular one of
these values being the same. More importantly, the probability that P is
smaller than an arbitrary value x [member of] [0, [bar.P]] is given by
p(x) = x/[bar.P], and the average value of P conditional on being
greater than x is given by
[E.sub.x+] P = [[bar.P] + x]/2.
Let r be the (overnight) rate of return on bonds and [r.sub.o] the
interest rate on overnight overdrafts. We consider the case where the
overnight overdraft rate implies a penalty; that is, [r.sub.o] > r.
Reserves give no return but can be used to cover part (or all) of the
payment P. Throughout this article we assume that F > [bar.P].
The overnight expected return for the bank, denoted by [PI], is
then given by
[PI] = [1 - p(R)][r B - [r.sub.o] ([E.sub.R+]P - R)] + p(R)r B.
The first term tells us that, with probability 1 - p(R), the bank
needs to make an end-of-day payment P greater than R and, hence, the
bank has to incur an overdraft. The expected overdraft is given by the
amount [E.sub.R+]P - R. With probability p(R), the payment P is smaller
than the total reserves held by the bank and the bank just gets the
normal return on its bond holdings r, B.
Rearranging the expression for the bank's return we have that
[PI] = r B - [1 - p(R)][r.sub.o] ([E.sub.R+]P - R).
Using the equation F = B + R and substituting the expression for
[E.sub.R+]P and p(R), we can rewrite the expression for [PI] as
[PI] = r(F - R) - (1 - [R/[bar.P]]) [r.sub.o] ([[bar.P] - R]/2),
which again can be rewritten as
[PI] = rF - [rR + [[r.sub.o]/2[bar.P]] ([bar.P] - R)[.sup.2]].
The bank will choose its level of reserves, R, to maximize its
overnight expected return [PI]. Then, when [r.sub.o] > r > 0, the
demand for reserves by the typical bank is given by
R* = [([r.sub.o] - r)/[r.sub.o]][bar.P]. (1)
This expression tells us that, when the interest rate on bonds, r,
increases, the bank will lower the amount of reserves held (the
opportunity cost of holding reserves is higher). Also, as the size of
the possible payments increases (that is, as [bar.P] increases), ceteris
paribus, the bank will choose to hold higher levels of reserves
(reserves are more likely to be useful in avoiding overdrafts). It is a
little less obvious to see, yet still true, that if the value of the
overdraft interest rate, [r.sub.o], increases, the optimal level of
reserves, R,* also increases. Finally, notice that for r [greater than
or equal to] [r.sub.o] the bank will demand zero reserves and for r = 0
the bank will hold any amount of reserves between [bar.P] and F.
We have assumed that the total amount of funds held by the bank is
fixed, and equal to F. (4) Under this assumption, equation (1) has an
alternative interpretation. The equation tells us that the penalty
premium on overnight overdrafts, given by [r.sub.o] - r, determines the
composition of the bank's portfolio between bonds and reserves.
Reserves are held to avoid paying the penalty premium. However, reserves
do not gain interest overnight. Hence, holding reserves also has an
opportunity cost. The bank balances these costs and benefits to
determine the optimal composition of its portfolio. In this simple
model, the only reason for banks to hold reserves is to avoid paying the
overnight penalty rate. If [r.sub.o] = r, then there are no benefits of
holding reserves (while there is still an opportunity cost), and the
proportion of funds held as reserves is zero.
The Market for Reserves
Normally, there are many banks interacting in the market and
deciding their optimal level of reserves. (5) In principle, we can
aggregate all their demands to obtain the market demand. Recall that the
demand for reserves of bank i is given by
[MATHEMATICAL EXPRESSION NOT REPRODUCIBLE IN ASCII].
Note that [r.sub.o] and r are market prices common to all banks,
but the distribution of likely end-of-day payments may differ across
banks, and hence [bar.P.sub.i] may differ across banks.
For simplicity we will assume that there is a large number (a
continuum) of banks (with mass equal to one). Then, when [r.sub.o] >
r > 0 the total demand for reserves in the market is given by
[R.sup.d] = [[integral].sub.0.sup.1] [R*.sub.i]di = [([r.sub.o] -
r)/[r.sub.o]] E[bar.P],
where E[bar.P] is the average value (across banks) of the maximum
possible required payment. Note that in our simple model, the expected
payment requirement for bank i is given by [bar.P.sub.i]/2 and the
average across banks is then equal to E[bar.P]/2. Hence, the variable
E[bar.P] characterizes the level of payment requirements in the economy.
Let us also assume that, each day, the aggregate volume of
end-of-day payments can be in either of two possible states, high or
low. (6) In other words, some days the required payments (on average)
tend to be high, and some days they tend to be low. We capture this idea
by allowing E[bar.P] to take two possible values, E[bar.P.sub.H] and
E[bar.P.sub.L], with E[bar.P.sub.H] > E[bar.P.sub.L] and the
probability of E[bar.P.sub.H] equal [theta] (hence, the probability of
E[bar.P.sub.L] equals 1 - [theta]).
Here, for simplicity, we assume that banks know the level of
aggregate required payments before choosing their demand for reserves.
Note, then, that for a given value of [r.sub.o], the aggregate demand
for reserves is a function of the interest rate r and the level of
required payments indexed by E[bar.P.sub.j]. Then, we can write
[R.sub.j.sup.d](r) [equivalent to] [R.sup.d](r; E[bar.P.sub.j]) with j
being equal to H and L.
By buying and selling bonds in exchange for reserves, the central
bank controls the relative supply of reserves available in the system.
Given a value of the supply of reserves, [R.sup.s], there exists an
interest rate r* that clears the market; that is, there exists an
interest rate [r*.sub.j] such that
[R.sub.j.sup.d]([r*.sub.j]) = [R.sup.s], (2)
with j = H, L. Figure 4 provides a graphic representation of this
market-clearing condition.
Equation (2) defines an implicit function [r*.sub.j]([R.sup.s]) for
the market-clearing interest rate given a supply of reserves, [R.sup.s].
In particular, if [R.sup.s] [member of] (0, E[bar.P.sub.L]) we have that
[FIGURE 4 OMITTED]
[r*.sub.j]([R.sup.s]) = [r.sub.o] (1 - [[R.sup.s]/E[bar.P.sub.j]]).
(3)
Then, a higher supply of reserves, [R.sup.s], implies a lower
market interest rate. Also, it is easy to see that (for a given
[R.sup.s]) the market interest rates satisfy [r*.sub.H] > [r*.sub.L].
In other words, if the central bank were to fix the supply of reserves,
[R.sup.s], the interest rate would be higher in periods of high payment
requirements and lower in periods of low payment requirements.
We can also think of this relationship between the market interest
rate and the supply of reserves in a slightly different way. Suppose
that the central bank wants the interest rate to be equal to some target
level [r.sub.T]. Then, there is a level of the supply of reserves
[R.sub.j.sup.s] such that
[r*.sub.j]([R.sub.j.sup.s]) = [r.sub.T].
In particular, we have that if [r.sub.T] [member of] (0, [r.sub.0])
then
[R.sub.H.sup.s] = [[[r.sub.o] - [r.sub.T]]/[r.sub.o]]E[bar.P.sub.H]
> [[[r.sub.o] - [r.sub.T]]/[r.sub.o]]E[bar.P.sub.L] =
[R.sub.L.sup.s];
that is, to maintain a given target interest rate, the central bank
has to provide a higher supply of reserves in periods of high payment
requirements.
Now, suppose that the central bank has a target interest rate but,
for some reason, has to decide the supply of reserves before knowing
whether the level of payment requirements in the banking system will be
high or low. In principle, the central bank will try to predict the
level of demand for reserves. However, the predictions may not be
perfect. In this case, a possible strategy the central bank could follow
is to fix the supply of reserves such that the average interest rate
equals the target rate. The market rate, then, will fluctuate around the
target rate, being higher than the target rate in periods of high demand
(that is, when E[bar.P] = E[bar.P.sub.H]) and lower than the target rate
during period of low demand (that is, when E[bar.P] = E[bar.P.sub.L]).
To see this in the model, notice that the central bank would choose
the supply of reserves [R.sup.sT] such that
[theta][r*.sub.H]([R.sub.T.sup.s]) + (1 - [theta])
[r*.sub.L]([R.sub.T.sup.s]) = [r.sub.T]. (TC)
To simplify the exposition, let us define the variable
[[eta].sub.j] [equivalent to] 1/E[bar.P.sub.j] and concentrate our
attention on the case where [r*.sub.j] is lower than [r.sub.o] and
positive for both j = H and j = L. (7) Then, using expression (3) we
have that the average interest rate can be rewritten as follows:
[theta][r*.sub.H]([R.sub.T.sup.s]) + (1 -
[theta])[r*.sub.L]([R.sub.T.sup.s]) = [theta][r.sub.o] (1 -
[[eta].sub.H][R.sub.T.sup.s]) + (1 - [theta]) [r.sub.o] (1 -
[[eta].sub.L][R.sub.T.sup.s]),
Reorganizing terms, the target condition (TC) becomes
[r.sub.o] (1 - [bar.[eta]][R.sub.T.sup.s]) = [r.sub.T],
where [bar.[eta]] = [theta][[eta].sub.H] + (1 - [theta])
[[eta].sub.L]. Equivalently, we can rewrite the above condition as
[R.sub.T.sup.s] = [[[r.sub.o] - [r.sub.T]]/[r.sub.o]]
[1/[bar.[eta]]],
which tells us that to implement a higher average (target) rate the
central bank will need to provide a lower supply of reserves. Note that
[[eta].sub.H] [less than or equal to] [bar.[eta]] [less than or equal
to] [[eta].sub.L] and that [bar.[eta]] is a decreasing function of
[theta]. This property of [bar.[eta]], in turn, implies that when the
probability of a high demand for reserves increases, the central bank,
to target the same average rate of interest, will need to supply a
higher amount of reserves. Finally, note that the market interest rate
will be given by
[r*.sub.j]([R.sub.T.sup.s]) = [r.sub.o] (1 -
[R.sub.T.sup.s][[eta].sub.j]).
Using the expression for [R.sub.T.sup.s] we have that
[r*.sub.j] = [r.sub.T] + ([r.sub.o] - [r.sub.T]) ([[bar.[eta]] -
[[eta].sub.j]]/[bar.[eta]]),
which implies that [r*.sub.H] [greater than or equal to] [r.sub.T]
(since [bar.[eta]] [greater than or equal to] [[eta].sub.H]), [r*.sub.L]
[less than or equal to] [r.sub.T] (since [bar.[eta]] [less than or equal
to] [[eta].sub.L]), and [r*.sub.L] < [r*.sub.H]. These inequalities confirm our previous claim stating that the market rate will be higher
than the target rate in periods of high demand and lower than the target
rate during periods of low demand.
3. INTEREST ON RESERVES
In the previous section, we considered the case in which reserves
held by banks and not used in payments yielded no interest overnight. In
general, banks hold reserves as balances in an account at the central
bank, and in principle the central bank could pay interest on those
unused reserves. We consider this possibility in this section.
There are different ways the central bank can pay interest on
reserves. Here we concentrate on one possible scheme that has been
discussed in policy circles (see Lacker 2006). Under this scheme, the
central bank automatically pays interest overnight on all unused
reserves held by banks at the end of the day after all payments have
been executed. We call this scheme a sweep facility.
Overnight Sweep of Reserves
Suppose unused reserves are "swept" overnight into bonds
that pay an interest rate [r.sub.s]. Then, banks obtain a return of
[r.sub.s] on the amount R - P, whenever this difference is positive. In
this case, the overnight expected return for the bank is given by
[PI](R) = [1 - p(R)] [r B - [r.sub.o] ([E.sub.R.sub.+] P - R)]+p(R)
[r B + [r.sub.s] (R - [E.sub.R.sub.bar]P)],
where [E.sub.R.sub.+] P is the expected value of P conditional on
being greater than R, and [E.sub.R.sub.bar]P is the expected value of P
conditional on being smaller than R. Here, it is important to note that
if R [greater than or equal to] [bar.P] then p(R) = 1, [E.sub.R.sub.+]P
= 0, and [E.sub.R.sub.bar] P = [bar.P]/2. After some manipulations, the
expression for [PI](R) can be rewritten as
[PI](R) = r F - r[[bar.P]/2] - [1 - p(R)]([r.sub.o] - r)
([E.sub.R.sub.+] P - R) + p(R)([r.sub.s] - r) (R - [E.sub.R.sub.bar]P).
The second term in this expression (-r[bar.P]/2) is the average
forgone interest from making the required end-of-day payment. The third
term is the cost of covering the high end of the distribution of
payments with overnight overdrafts, and the fourth term is the
(potential) net benefit of getting the sweep interest rate on unused
reserves (on the low end of the distribution of required payments).
Recall that F [greater than or equal to] [bar.P]. Then, if
[r.sub.s] > r, it is clear that the bank would choose the level of R
to equal F; that is, the bank would maintain all its funds in the form
of reserves. To see this, note that, for all R [greater than or equal
to] [bar.P] the overnight expected return is given by
[PI](R | R [greater than or equal to] [bar.P]) = r F - r[[bar.P]/2]
+ ([r.sub.s] - r) (R - [[bar.P]/2]),
and when [r.sub.s] > r we find that [PI](F) > [PI](R) for all
R [less than or equal to] F and, hence, [PI](R) is maximized at R = F.
(8) It is not hard to see that even if [r.sub.s] = r we still find that
[PI](F) [greater than or equal to] [PI](R) for all R [less than or equal
to] F. However, as long as R is greater than [bar.P], the bank is
indifferent over the composition of its portfolio; that is, the bank
makes the same return independent of how much of its funds are held in
reserves (as long as they are enough to cover all possible end-of-day
payments).
When [r.sub.s] < r [less than or equal to] [r.sub.o], the
bank's demand for reserves is given by
R* = [([r.sub.o] - r)/([r.sub.o] - [r.sub.s])][bar.P],
where R* is the (interior) value of R that maximized [PI]. (9) Note
that, since in this case [r.sub.s] < r, we find that R* < [bar.P]
and, for some high possible realizations of the size of the payment P,
the bank will not have enough reserves and will take an overnight loan
at the penalty rate [r.sub.o].
The demand for reserves of an individual bank is then given by
[MATHEMATICAL EXPRESSION NOT REPRODUCIBLE IN ASCII].
The Market for Reserves Under Sweeps
Using the demand function for individual banks, we can aggregate
across banks and obtain the market demand for reserves under a sweep
system. Following the aggregation procedures used before, we find that
[MATHEMATICAL EXPRESSION NOT REPRODUCIBLE IN ASCII].
As long as the supply of bonds is positive, the equilibrium
interest rate r* cannot be lower than [r.sub.s]. The reason for this
result is that if r* < [r.sub.s] then all banks will want to hold all
their funds as reserves. In this case, the demand for bonds in the
market is equal to zero and the market for bonds does not clear (since
the supply was positive). Figure 5 illustrates the determination of the
market-clearing interest rate under a sweeps system. Note that if the
supply of reserves by the central bank [R.sup.s] is greater than
E[bar.P] and less than F, then the market-clearing interest rate r*
equals [r.sub.s].
Two important insights, useful in understanding monetary policy
implementation, result from studying the determination of interest rates
in a market in which banks have available a sweep facility that allows
them to earn interest on reserves. The first insight is related to the
role of the net supply of reserves in a so-called "corridor"
system (see Guthrie and Wright 2000 and Whitesell 2006 for recent, more
thorough discussions of corridor systems). (10) The second insight,
discussed extensively by Goodfriend (2002) (see also Woodford 2000), is
related to the advantages of "flooding" the market with
reserves as a means of targeting a specific market interest rate.
In fact, the corridor and Goodfriend systems have been regarded as
two alternative schemes for the implementation of interest rate policy.
Next, we provide a brief introduction to these systems in the context of
our model. While abstracting from many important issues, we believe that
the discussion that follows can be helpful in understanding the relative
advantages of each of the systems.
The Corridor System
For simplicity, let us concentrate on the case where E[bar.P] is
constant. Suppose that the monetary authority wishes to target a given
rate [r.sub.T]. One alternative is to use a corridor system, in which
the overnight overdraft and sweep rates are set as follows:
[r.sub.o] = [r.sub.T] + [[delta]/2] and [r.sub.s] = [r.sub.T] -
[[delta]/2].
We will call [delta] the size of the corridor. Then, by setting the
supply of reserves equal to E[bar.P]/2, the monetary authority can drive
the market interest rate r* to equal the target rate [r.sub.T]. (11)
What is most interesting about this system is that, to the extent that
the value of E[bar.P] is fairly stable, the monetary authority can drive
the market rate to any target it wishes, just by changing proportionally the rates [r.sub.o] and [r.sub.s] (or, in other words, given the size of
the corridor, by changing the target rate [r.sub.T]), without changing
(in any significant way) the supply of reserves. In fact, the market
rate will jump to the new target just as a consequence of its
announcement.
[FIGURE 5 OMITTED]
Figure 5 illustrates this case. If the monetary authority intends
to increase the target rate from [r.sub.T] to [r'.sub.T], then it
only needs to increase proportionally the rates [r.sub.o] and [r.sub.s]
(to [r'.sub.o] and [r'.sub.s], respectively). The demand for
reserves, as a result, will shift upward (in a parallel manner) and even
if the supply of reserves remains unchanged (at the E[bar.P]/2 level)
the market will clear at the higher, desired rate [r'.sub.T].
Alternatively, the corridor may be centered at the market interest
rate (and not the target rate). (12) In such a case, Guthrie and Wright
(2000) explain how the central bank can still use announcements to
influence the overnight market interest rate without the need for
explicit open market operations. Their explanation uses an arbitrage argument based on the expectations hypothesis of the term structure of
interest rates. The key element in Guthrie and Wright's theory is
the ability of the central bank to use open market operations, if
necessary, to influence the overnight rates in the future. They call
their strategy "threat-based monetary policy" (i.e., a threat
to influence future rates, if necessary).
[FIGURE 6 OMITTED]
The Goodfriend System
Consider now the case where E[bar.P] can take two values,
E[bar.P.sub.H] > E[bar.P.sub.L], as in the second part of Section 2.
Then, the central bank can make the market interest rate always equal to
a given target rate [r.sub.T] by fixing the sweep rate [r.sub.s] =
[r.sub.T] and supplying [R.sup.s] > E[bar.P.sub.j] for j = H, L (see
Figure 6). Clearly, the forecasting process required to assure that
[R.sup.s] > E[bar.P.sub.j] for j = H, L is much simpler than the one
that requires forecasting the exact values of E[bar.P.sub.j] for j = H,
L.
The Goodfriend system requires that banks hold large amounts of
reserves, which may result in large interest payments associated with
the sweep facility. (13) The corridor system is less subject to this
qualification, but when the payment requirements by banks fluctuate (as
represented by fluctuations in E[bar.P] in the model), the interest rate
will be harder to target precisely. An exhaustive discussion of the pros
and cons of corridor systems is beyond the scope of this article.
Whitesell (2006) provides some interesting perspective on these issues.
Here, it is sufficient to note that even when E[bar.P] fluctuates, if
the fluctuations are not very significant, a corridor system still
allows the central bank to change the (average) target rate (by
announcement) without major revisions to the supply of reserves.
4. DAYLIGHT CREDIT
The previous section dealt with the decision of banks, which, as
the end of the day approaches, do not want to find themselves holding
unused reserves that will earn zero interest overnight. To discuss the
issue of daylight credit and how it relates to the end-of-day decisions,
we need to extend the model to include some daytime decisions. However,
the analysis in the previous section will constitute an integral part of
the analysis in this more complicated case.
The Bank's Problem
We start the analysis, again, by studying the decisions of an
individual bank. Relative to the bank's problem in the previous
section, we add an extra decision that will allow us to capture some of
the tradeoffs faced by the bank during the day. In particular, we will
consider the situation in which the bank expects to make two payments
before the night. We will denote by [P.sup.E] the early payment and
[P.sup.L] the late payment. Both payments, as before, are uniformly
distributed in the interval [0, [bar.P]].
The bank starts the day with a given amount of funds F, with F
[greater than or equal to] 2[bar.P]. These funds are allocated to
holdings of bonds [B.sub.1] and reserves [R.sub.1]. The bank observes
the value of [P.sup.E] and is required to settle this payment (real-time
gross settlement). If [P.sup.E] > [R.sub.1], then the bank needs to
obtain daylight credit. Let [r.sub.e] be the daylight credit interest
rate. After that, with probability q, the bank finds a counterparty to
trade bonds for reserves and adjust the composition of its portfolio.
Later, with potentially an adjusted portfolio, the bank faces the
arrival of a second payment [P.sup.L] and is required to settle that
payment. No new trading opportunities (or chances to adjust the
portfolio) exist after the second payment. The left-over (positive or
negative) balances are carried overnight.
First, we consider the case in which unused reserves earn no
interest (and no sweep service is in place). To solve the problem of the
bank, we start by studying the decision of the bank in the later part of
the day when it finds a counterparty (that is, with probability q). Let
us define the value [[PI].sub.2] as follows:
[[PI]*.sub.2]([P.sup.E]) = r (F - [P.sup.E]) + [max.[R.sub.2]]
{-r[R.sub.2] - [1 - p([R.sub.2])] [r.sub.o] ([E.sub.R.sub.2+][P.sup.L] -
[R.sub.2])},
where [R.sub.2] is the amount of reserves chosen by the bank in the
rebalancing stage (after finding the counterparty). The maximization
problem in the expression for [[PI]*.sub.2] is the same as the one
studied in the previous section and describes the quantity of reserves
the bank would like to carry to fulfill the late payment [P.sup.L]
(before knowing the exact value of that payment).
We are now ready to describe the decision problem of the bank
choosing daylight reserves [R.sub.1]. The final return of the bank will
depend on the value of the early payment [P.sup.E] and the late payment
[P.sup.L], relative to the chosen value of reserves [R.sub.1]. The bank
does not know the value of the required payments at the time of choosing
[R.sub.1] so the value of [P.sup.E] may turn out to be lower or greater
than [R.sub.1]. In fact, under some values of the interest rates r and
[r.sub.o], the optimal value of [R.sub.1] may be larger than [bar.P], in
which case the bank always has enough reserves to cover the early
payments [P.sup.E] (and no daylight credit is used).
For given values of [P.sup.E] and [R.sub.1], we describe in the
Appendix the expected payoff to a bank that does not get to rebalance
its portfolio after its early payment. We denote this payoff by
[[pi].sub.1] ([P.sup.E], [R.sub.1]). The total expected payoff to the
bank also involves the payoffs when it can rebalance its portfolio and
the charges from using daylight credit, if there is any. Explicitly, if
[P.sup.E] is greater than [R.sub.1], then the bank's total return
is given by
[[PI].sub.1] ([P.sup.E], [R.sub.1]) = q[[PI]*.sub.2]([P.sup.E]) -
[r.sub.e]([P.sup.E] - [R.sub.1]) + (1 - q) [[pi].sub.1] ([P.sup.E],
[R.sub.1]),
where the second term represents the interest paid on daylight
credit.
If [P.sup.E] is lower than [R.sub.1], then the bank's total
return after making the early payment is given by
[[PI].sub.1] ([P.sup.E], [R.sub.1]) = q[[PI]*.sub.2] ([P.sup.E]) +
(1 - q) [[pi].sub.1] ([P.sup.E], [R.sub.1]).
Here, since [P.sup.E] < [R.sub.1], the bank does not need
daylight credit and the interest rate [r.sub.e] does not appear in the
expression.
The bank will choose daylight reserves [R.sub.1] to maximize the
expected value (over possible realizations of [P.sup.E]) of the total
return [[PI].sub.1] ([P.sup.E], [R.sub.1]). (14) The solution to this
problem is given by
[MATHEMATICAL EXPRESSION NOT REPRODUCIBLE IN ASCII],
where c = (1 - q)([r.sub.o] - r) + [r.sub.e]. Note that [R*.sub.1]
is equal to [bar.P] and continuous in r at r = 0.5[r.sub.o]. If r = 0
then the bank is indifferent between holding any amount of reserves in
the interval [2[bar.P], F]. (15)
Note first that given all other values of the relevant variables,
increases in the value of the market interest rate r decrease the value
of [R*.sub.1]. In other words, the demand for reserves of an individual
bank is a decreasing function of the interest rate, as in the previous
sections. Similarly, the demand for reserves is an increasing function of the size of the highest possible payment [bar.P].
It is also not hard to show that if r [member of] (0.5[r.sub.o],
[r.sub.o]), then [R*.sub.1] is an increasing function of [r.sub.e]. That
is, when the interest rate on daylight overdrafts increases, the bank
holds more reserves. When r [member of] (0, 0.5[r.sub.o]), the demand
for reserves does not depend on the interest rate on daylight credit
because the bank chooses a level of reserves [R*.sub.1] > [bar.P] and
never incurs a daylight overdraft.
The last comparative statics that we consider is with respect to
the probability of being able to rebalance the portfolio after the early
payment, that is, the probability q. In this model the optimal amount of
reserves, as long as it is smaller than [bar.P], is increasing in q. The
reason for this result is that the probability of holding unused
reserves overnight increases as q decreases (this is because rebalancing
is not possible and the value of both payments [P.sup.E] and [P.sup.L]
may happen to be low). For a high opportunity cost of holding unused
reserves (that is, for high values of r), the bank will lower reserves
if these are more likely to become excess overnight reserves.
When r [member of] (0.5[r.sub.o], [r.sub.o]), the average daylight
credit incurred by the bank can be computed as
DC = [[integral].sub.[R.sub.1].sup.[bar.P]] [[P -
[R.sub.1]]/[bar.P]] d P = [([bar.P] - [R.sub.1]).sup.2]/2[bar.P].
Clearly, this quantity decreases when [R.sub.1] increases. In this
model then, an increase in the interest rate on daylight credit tends to
increase the level of reserves and, hence, decrease the average daylight
credit incurred by banks.
The Market for Reserves
The overnight interest rate on bonds, r, will result from the
interactions late in the day between banks that get to rebalance their
portfolio and the central bank. The demand for reserves early in the day
results from the anticipation by banks of the value that the interest
rate will take in these late-in-the-day interactions. This is the case
since what matters to banks is the opportunity cost of holding reserves
given by the overnight interest rate on bonds, r. In our model, banks
can perfectly predict this interest rate, r. Clearly, this result is a
simplification. In reality, the overnight interest rate tends to
fluctuate during the day (although such fluctuations are not very
significant in the United States). Bartolini et al. (2005) extensively
document the behavior of the overnight interest rate in the U.S. federal
funds market and provide interesting discussions of the reasons for the
observed interest rate fluctuations. (16)
In our model, only a proportion q of the banks are active late in
the day. Then, the aggregate demand for reserves (late in the day) is
given by
[R.sub.2.sup.d] = q [[integral].sub.0.sup.1][R*.sub.2i]di.
Given the supply of reserves, [R.sub.2.sup.s], provided by the
central bank (also, late in the day), the market-clearing interest rate,
r*, will be such that [R.sub.2.sup.d](r*) = [R.sub.2.sup.s]. Note that
we have assumed here that those reserves that have been used to make
early payments during the day do not become available as new reserves
for the recipient until the next day. Also, in most cases, the central
bank does not intervene in the bond market late in the day. Assuming
that it does intervene, as we do in this article, simplifies the
exposition but is not essential for the argument. In summary, these
extreme assumptions are just simplifications that keep the
market-clearing conditions easy to manipulate. There are, of course,
alternative ways of setting up the market-clearing condition that would
result in similar conclusions.
Note that the demand for reserves obtained in this way will behave
similarly to the demand obtained in Sections 2 and 3. Then, it is easy
to demonstrate that, for large enough values of [R.sub.2.sup.s], the
market interest rate r* will be lower than 0.5[r.sub.o] and, hence,
there will be no demand for daylight credit. However, as in the previous
section, if the demand for reserves is not perfectly predictable, some
fluctuations in the market interest rate will persist. Also, the market
interest rate that implies no demand for daylight credit may be too low,
relative to some specific target that the central bank may have in mind.
In the rest of this section, we demonstrate that a sweep facility that
amounts to paying interest on reserves can resolve these two potential
shortcomings.
Overnight Sweeps and Daylight Credit
Suppose the central bank automatically sweeps overnight all unused
reserves held by banks into bonds that pay a return [r.sub.s], which is
also fixed by the central bank. Then, the demand for reserves by an
individual bank is given by
[MATHEMATICAL EXPRESSION NOT REPRODUCIBLE IN ASCII],
where again c = (1 - q)([r.sub.o] - r) + [r.sub.e]. Here, if r =
[r.sub.s] then the bank is indifferent among holding any amount of
reserves in the interval [2[bar.P], F]. Note that, not surprisingly, the
demand for reserves under a system with no sweeps is the same as the one
in a system where the interest on sweeps, [r.sub.s], is set to equal
zero.
For r [greater than or equal to] [r.sub.s] the demand is decreasing
in r and continuous (and, in particular, when r = 0.5 ([r.sub.o] +
[r.sub.s]) the demand for reserves [R*.sub.1] is equal to [bar.P]).
Hence, when the interest rate r is smaller than 0.5 ([r.sub.o] +
[r.sub.s]), the bank holds enough reserves to never require daylight
credit (since [P.sup.E] < [R.sub.1] for all possible values of
[P.sup.E]).
If the central bank wishes to set the market interest rate at a
given target level [r.sub.T], and simultaneously drive the use of
daylight credit to zero, then an effective mechanism is to set [r.sub.s]
= [r.sub.T] < [r.sub.o] and supply enough reserves to make r =
[r.sub.s]. This is basically the same Goodfriend idea that we explained
for the simpler model with only one payment per period (see Figure 6).
Here, the Goodfriend system has the added (potential) benefit of
significantly reducing the demand for daylight credit by banks.
5. DISCUSSION AND EXTENSIONS
In this section, we discuss some important aspects of the interbank
payment system that were left out in our simple model. First, we discuss
how the model would work in the presence of reserve requirements. After
that, we discuss the important issue of credit risk that partly
motivates many of the most significant policy questions in this general
subject. Finally, we provide some discussion of a few other assumptions
that are associated with important issues related to the workings of the
market for reserves. In all the cases, we make an explicit effort to
provide adequate references to the relevant literature that extend the
analysis in this article.
Reserve Requirements
Our model of the demand for reserves by banks does not rely on the
imposition of reserve requirements. However, reserve requirements are a
common feature of many payment systems and, in particular, of the U.S.
system. A thorough discussion of the functioning of the market for
reserves when there are reserve requirements is beyond the scope of this
article. Here, we only present a short introduction to the issue that
exploits the simplicity of our model (see Whitesell 2000 and Bartolini,
Bertola, and Prati 2002 for more comprehensive, related studies).
Let us go back to the simpler setup of Section 3 and suppose that
the central bank imposes a minimum reserve requirement equal to [R.bar].
Also assume that banks that cannot satisfy the reserve requirement have
to pay the overnight overdraft rate [r.sub.o] per units of reserve
deficiency (i.e., borrowed reserves). (17) In such a case, the demand
for reserves would take the form in Figure 7. Clearly, if the supply of
reserves is lower than [R.bar] then banks would only agree to hold bonds
if the rate of return for holding bonds, r, is greater than or equal to
[r.sub.o]. In fact, if r is greater than [r.sub.o] then it is better to
hold only bonds and pay the penalty rate [r.sub.o] to obtain borrowed
reserves that cover the reserve requirement. Some of the return from the
interest payments accrued on bonds can later be used to cover the
interest on borrowed reserves.
Hence, if both bonds and reserves are to be held in equilibrium the
market interest rate, r, must equal [r.sub.o] when the supply of
reserves is lower than [R.bar]. If the supply of reserves is greater
than [R.bar] then the analysis is similar to the one in Section 2, where
banks choose their balance to cover the reserve requirement and the
expected late payment P.
In reality, banks could face some uncertainty about the value of
[R.bar] since it depends on their holding of deposits subject to reserve
requirement, a variable that is not fully predictable at all times. In
the United States, the system is set up so as to minimize this
uncertainty. Banks have to satisfy an average level of reserves over a
reserve maintenance period, where the required reserves are calculated
based on the holding of deposits in a previous period. Also, failure to
meet the requirement implies a penalty that is different than the
overnight overdraft rate. While the analysis would be more complicated
in this case, the basic logic described here would still apply. (18)
Credit Risk
The model does not deal with the role of credit risk in determining
the behavior and outcomes in the payment system. Clearly, paying
attention to credit risk considerations would be essential to reach any
definite policy conclusion. For example, credit risk would play a role
in explaining why the central bank may want to economize on bank usage
of daylight credit (see Kahn and Roberds 1999 for a description of a
model in which credit risk plays a crucial role). Zhou (2000), following
the original contribution by Freeman (1996), shows that if credit risk
is not relevant, then the intraday interest rate [r.sub.e] should be set
to equal zero in the optimal policy. (19) The model in this article
artificially abstracts from credit risk and is not designed to provide
direct insight into the optimal determination of the rates [r.sub.o],
[r.sub.e], and [r.sub.T]. (20) Rather, it shows how, given the values
for the relevant interest rates, a system of sweeps, which amounts to
paying interest on reserves, can facilitate the implementation of a
target rate [r.sub.T].
[FIGURE 7 OMITTED]
An important feature of the U.S. intraday credit policy that was
left out of the analysis is the imposition of quantitative limits (or
"caps") on the amount of intraday credit. At any time during
the day, each bank should hold intraday credit to an amount that does
not exceed the bank's cap. (21) In the model, there is no role for
caps. In part, this is a consequence of our explicit abstraction of any
credit risk consideration. To a first approximation, caps are imposed to
limit the ability of banks to take large negative positions in their
accounts at the central bank when they are likely to fail. Temzelides
and Williamson (2001) provide a related justification for caps in a
dynamic model with explicit informational frictions (see also Koeppl,
Monnet, and Temzelides 2004).
Two other instruments that can be used to limit the credit risk
exposure associated with the provision of daylight credit are daylight
interest rates and collateral. Interest rates on daylight credit have
other implications (aside from accounting for credit risk) for the
management of reserves by banks. Even though our model does not take
into account credit risk, we have considered the case of positive
daylight credit interest rates to study such alternative implications on
banks' management of reserves. Lacker (1997) points out that
interest on daylight credit could reduce the distortion created by not
paying interest on reserves, and in this case finds that daylight
overdraft should be charged an interest rate at least as high as the
market rate.
Collateral, in the form of repos, could certainly be used in the
environment of our model. Recall that total funds, F, are allocated
between bonds and reserves. Since F is greater than [P.sup.E], the sum
of bonds and reserves is also greater than [P.sup.E]. Therefore, even if
payment [P.sup.E] is greater than reserves, the bank can always use
bonds to collateralize the necessary daylight credit. (22) Since there
is no explicit consideration of credit risk in our model, even though
the use of collateral is possible, it is inconsequential (see Martin
2004 and Mills 2006 for environments in which collateral requirements
play an important role).
There are other ways to influence the amount of daylight credit in
the system. For example, McAndrews and Rajan (2000) propose the use of
explicit policies to encourage synchronization of payments during the
day and suggest that such policies would tend to limit banks'
reliance on daylight credit to cover intraday payments (see also Martin
and McAndrews 2006).
Other Important Assumptions
In the model, the connection between the payment of interest on
reserves and daylight credit comes from the fact that banks can only
adjust their portfolio during the day with some probability. In other
words, banks face a trade friction in the asset market that limits their
ability to adjust their holdings of reserves. Interestingly, there is a
growing amount of literature that aims at capturing these trading
frictions in financial markets (see Duffie, Garleanu, and Pedersen 2005,
Weill 2005, and Lagos and Rocheteau 2006, for example). In principle, we
can expect that some of the ideas in this article will extend to
environments that more closely follow the new literature on financial
markets with (search) frictions.
The model also assumes that the size of payments [P.sup.E] and
[P.sup.L] and the probability of being able to adjust the portfolio
after a payment, q, are exogenous and cannot be modified by the bank.
However, in principle the bank could influence the size and timing of
payments at some cost. This flexibility is not present in the model and,
if introduced, would highlight the potentially distortionary effects of
certain payment system policies, as for example, not paying interest on
reserves (see Lacker 1997 for a model in which this type of distortion
is possible). Similarly, the efforts to find counterparties to trade and
adjust portfolios are also part of an explicit decision by banks facing
costs and benefits that are implied by the system in place. If we change
the system, for example to evaluate different policies, such decisions
by banks may also change. The model abstracts from this type of
so-called "Lucas critique" effect.
The sizes of [P.sup.E] and [P.sup.L] can be interpreted as proxies
for the volume of payment requirements arriving early and late in the
day. These values are random in the model. Since the size of the
payments are random, the bank cannot perfectly predict them. However,
there is no relevant decision in the model that influences the values of
[P.sup.E] and [P.sup.L] that are likely to be observed. It is in this
sense that we say that [P.sup.E] and [P.sup.L] are exogenous. In the
real world, banks have some degree of discretion regarding the timing of
payments during the day. McAndrews and Rajan (2000) discuss some
evidence that suggests that U.S. banks actively synchronize payments to
affect payment flows during the day. The discretion over the timing of
payments opens the door to strategic behavior by banks. A number of
articles have formally studied the possibility of delays and gridlocks
in real-time gross settlement systems (see Bech and Garratt 2003, Martin
and McAndrews 2006, Mills and Nesmith 2006, and Beyeler et al. 2006 for
recent contributions). (23)
6. CONCLUSION
The model in this article is not suitable to analyze the welfare
economics of the topic, as the underlying real economic activity that
drives payment needs (and hence the demands for reserves and daylight
credit) is hidden from view and treated as exogenous. Still, even the
partial equilibrium analysis of this article points to some tentative
conclusions. By paying interest on reserves at less than the market rate
of interest, the central bank essentially imposes a tax on reserves.
This tax encourages banks to hold no more reserves than is necessary to
just meet their payment needs. But uncertainty in the timing of payments
means that "just meeting" only happens by accident. Hence, the
desire to hold down reserves leads banks to demand central bank credit.
The provision of such credit presents the central bank with a new set of
challenges, from finding an appropriate price to managing the credit
risk exposures that could result.
In short, like any tax, a tax on reserves creates distortions,
including distortions in the use of daylight credit. Against these, a
complete analysis would have to consider what costs might be associated
with the greater reserve holdings implied by the Goodfriend system of
paying interest at the target market rate. Our model does not address
this issue, but to the extent that such costs are small, our analysis
suggests the optimality of eliminating the tax on reserves.
In a more general context, Goodfriend (2006) discusses the role of
interest on reserves as part of a comprehensive proposal for determining
and implementing an optimal rate of inflation in the economy. He argues
that the provision of currency card accounts, combined with the payment
of interest on banks' reserves, would allow the monetary authority
to achieve the optimum quantity of money (as in the Friedman rule) at
any inflation rate. This would, in turn, free the monetary authority to
set the inflation rate at the optimum level based only on considerations
related to the existence of price rigidities (relative price distortions
and mark-ups) and the zero-lower-bound on nominal interest rates.
This article has emphasized the interdependence of banks'
demand for daylight credit in the payment system and for overnight
reserves. The use of reserves as the medium of settlement for interbank
payments means that changes in the central bank's treatment of
overnight reserves could also affect the operation of the intraday,
interbank settlement system. If one of the forces driving the demand for
daylight credit has been the desire by banks to avoid the opportunity
cost of holding sterile reserves, then reducing that opportunity cost by
paying interest on reserves should reduce the demand for such credit. We
have considered a simple model that deals with these interdependencies
explicitly and allows us to better understand their origin and
consequences.
APPENDIX
Let us denote by [[pi].sub.1] the expected payoff to the bank if it
does not get a chance to rebalance its portfolio after the first
payment, [P.sup.E]. To specify this expected payoff, there are three
relevant ranges of [P.sup.E] that need to be considered. First, when
[P.sup.E] < [R.sub.1] - [bar.P], the amount of extra reserves
[R.sub.1] left after making the early payment [P.sup.E] is enough to
cover all possible late payments. This can only happen if [R.sub.1] >
[bar.P], of course. In this case, no overnight overdraft will be
incurred and the expected payoff to the bank is given by
[[pi].sub.1]([P.sup.E], [R.sub.1]) = r[B.sub.1].
Under a sweep system this payoff becomes
[[pi].sub.1]([P.sup.E], [R.sub.1]) = r[B.sub.1] +
[r.sub.s]([R.sub.1] - [P.sup.E] - [[bar.P]/2]),
where the second term represented the interest earned on unused
reserves overnight.
When max {0, [R.sub.1] - [bar.P]} [less than or equal to] [P.sup.E]
< min {[R.sub.1], [bar.P]}, there are always some possible values of
[P.sup.L] such that the bank will have to incur an overnight overdraft.
In this case, the expected payoff [[pi].sub.1] is given by
[[pi].sub.1] ([P.sup.E], [R.sub.1]) = r[B.sub.1] - [1 - p([R.sub.1]
- [P.sup.E])][r.sub.o]([P.sup.E] + [E.sub.([R.sub.1] -
[P.sup.E])+][P.sup.L] - [R.sub.1]).
Under a sweep system we need to add to this payoff the expected
interest earned on unused reserves, which is given by
p([R.sub.1] - [P.sup.E])[r.sub.s] ([R.sub.1] - [P.sup.E] -
[E.sub.([R.sub.1] - [P.sup.E])-] [P.sup.L]),
where [E.sub.([R.sub.1] - [P.sup.E])-] [P.sup.L] represents the
conditional expectation over values of [P.sup.L] smaller than [R.sub.1]
- [P.sup.E].
Finally, if [R.sub.1] < [bar.P], then it can happen that
[P.sup.E] is greater than [R.sub.1] and, in this case, the bank will
incur an overnight overdraft equal to the sum of the daylight credit
balance ([P.sup.E] - [R.sub.1]) and the full amount of the second
payment [P.sup.L]. The expected payoff [[pi].sub.1] is then given by
[[pi].sub.1]([P.sup.E], [R.sub.1]) = r[B.sub.1] -
[r.sub.o]([P.sup.E] + [[bar.P]/2] - [R.sub.1]),
where [bar.P]/2 represents the average value of [P.sub.L]. In this
case, the bank does not hold any unused reserves and, hence, the payoff
is the same under a sweep system.
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We would like to thank Mike Dotsey, Marvin Goodfriend, Bob Hetzel,
Todd Keister, Jeff Lacker, Antoine Martin, Jamie McAndrews, David Mills,
Brian Minton, Ned Prescott, John Walter, and Alex Wolman for useful
comments on a previous draft. We are also grateful to many of our
colleagues at the Richmond Fed for helpful discussions and feedback. All
errors are our own. The views expressed in this article do not
necessarily represent those of the Federal Reserve Bank of Richmond or
the Federal Reserve System. E-mails: Huberto.Ennis@rich.frb.org and
John.Weinberg@rich.frb.org.
(1) A delivery-versus-payment system is a mechanism that ensures
that the final transfer of one asset occurs if and only if the final
transfer of another asset occurs.
(2) Most of the reduction in daylight overdrafts after the change
in policy in 1994 was due to a reduction in securities-related
overdrafts. Charging fees provided a strong incentive for securities
dealers to adopt practices that reduced the use of intraday credit; in
particular, they substantially revised their repo settlement practices.
Net debit caps were reduced by 25 percent in early 1988 and daylight
credit initially fell (approximately 5.5 percent) but then continued
growing at an accelerated pace until 1994, as seen in Figure 1. The data
on peak daylight credit present a similar pattern to that for average
daylight credit presented here.
(3) Alternatively, we could interpret P as the value of the
required payments net of any new balances arriving late in the day. Our
simplistic assumption about turnover of reserve flows facilitates the
analysis of equilibrium but is not essential for the results. However,
within-the-day turnover brings about a number of other interesting
issues that we do not discuss in this article (see Beyeler et al. 2006
for a careful study regarding this issue).
(4) Then, in fact, we could normalize F to unity, in which case R
and B could be interpreted as the proportion of funds held in reserves
and bonds, respectively.
(5) See Bartolini et al. (2005) for a more detailed discussion of
the overnight federal funds market in the United States where over 7,500
institutions with accounts at the Federal Reserve borrow and lend
reserve balances on an uncollateralized basis.
(6) One possible interpretation of the fluctuations in the
aggregate (net) volume of payments by banks is that the fluctuations
originate in flows between the government and the banking system. Dotsey
(1991) and Guthrie and Wright (2000) take this interpretation in their
study of New Zealand's system. See also Bartolini, Bertola, and
Prati (2002) for a study of the U.S. system that uses a similar
interpretation.
(7) While the other possible cases are similar, they are less
interesting.
(8) Here we are not allowing the bank to hold a negative position
on bonds. If banks could short-sell bonds then [r.sub.s] would be the
effective "floor" of the market interest rate. None of our
results depend on this assumption.
(9) See Whitesell (2006) for a similar analysis that would
correspond to the case when P has a normal distribution. Also, Dotsey
(1991) and Guthrie and Wright (2000) use versions of this theory to
explain monetary policy implementation by the Reserve Bank of New
Zealand.
(10) See also Berentsen and Monnet (2006) for a general equilibrium
analysis of a corridor system.
(11) To see this, substitute the formula for the demand of reserves
(the case when [r.sub.o] > r > [r.sub.s]) in the equation
[R.sup.d] = [R.sup.s] = E[bar.P]/2.
(12) Recall that, for example, when demand is stochastic, the
market rate can be different from the target rate.
(13) See Goodfriend (2002, Section IV) for a careful discussion of
these issues. Paying interest on reserves tends to encourage banks to
substitute reserves for bond holdings in their balance sheet. Goodfriend
discusses how the central bank could exploit the yield curve to finance
interest on reserves by increasing its holdings of longer-term bonds
(which, in principle, will result from the initial exchange of bonds for
reserves when banks increase their demand for the latter).
(14) It is worth mentioning that to perform these computations one
needs to take into account that, for some interest rates, the optimal
amount of reserves [R.sub.1] would be greater than [bar.P]. In such
case, the bank will not require daylight credit regardless of its
realization of [P.sup.E].
(15) Note that when r = [r.sub.o] we have that [R*.sub.1] is
positive. Hence, in contrast with the analysis in the previous section,
in this case r could potentially be greater than [r.sub.o] and the
demand for reserves still be positive. Recall that reserves now also
allow the bank to economize in daylight credit. We do not study the
(unusual) case of r > [r.sub.o] here.
(16) Many of the key elements in Bartolini et al. (2005)
discussions are captured in our model in a stylized and easy-to-study
manner (for example, the inability by banks to perfectly predict their
payment needs late in the day and the risk of overdraft faced by banks
that might not be able to find a lender before the market closes). We
abstract from studying within-the-day interest rate fluctuations but
believe that our model, after some minor modifications, could be used as
a first step in a formal study of these issues.
(17) This is not exactly how deficiencies in reserve requirements
are treated in the U.S. system, but this simpler case serves for the
purpose of illustration.
(18) Whitesell (2000) analyzes a similar model with a two-day
reserve requirement maintenance period and a corridor system. See also
Bartolini, Bertola, and Prati (2002) for a model more closely motivated by the features of the U.S. system.
(19) This conclusion also depends on the assumption that daylight
credit will be exclusively devoted to payment purposes and cannot be
diverted into short-term speculative investment.
(20) Optimal policy in payment arrangements is a difficult question
(see Zhou 2000, Temzelides and Williamson 2001, Martin 2004, Mills 2006,
and Berentsen and Monnet 2006 for recent contributions). Even the basic
question of whether the central bank should play a role in the payment
system does not have a commonly accepted answer among academic
economists. Green (1999) provides a careful study of this important
issue.
(21) There is some flexibility implicit in these caps. Basically,
banks can exceed the caps in unusual situations. After repeated
violations of the cap, banks can be placed under a strict system of
monitoring and, if necessary, some of their requested payments may be
rejected to avoid overdrafts. See Federal Reserve System (2005) for
details.
(22) There is no opportunity cost of holding collateral in the
model. For a model exploiting a mechanism similar to this one. but where
collateral bears an opportunity cost, see Berentsen and Monnet (2006).
(23) See Rochet and Tirole (1996) and Freixas and Parigi (1998) for
discussions of contagion and systemic risk in payment systems. Furfine
(2003) provides an interesting empirical investigation of interbank
exposures in the United States.
Table 1 Total Reserves at Depository Institutions (Million $)
Total Non-Borrowed Required Excess
Date Reserves Reserves Reserves Reserves
June 2003 42,025 41,864 39,980 2,046
December 2003 42,949 42,903 41,906 1,043
June 2004 45,720 45,540 43,787 1,933
December 2004 46,848 46,785 44,938 1,909
June 2005 45,950 45,701 44,176 1,774
December 2005 45,406 45,237 43,497 1,909
June 2006 45,067 44,814 43,282 1,785
October 2006 41,756 41,528 40,058 1,698
Notes: Federal Reserve Statistical Release H.3, Table 2, Aggregate
Reserves of Depository Institutions and the Monetary Base (not adjusted
for changes in reserve requirements and not seasonally adjusted)
(http://www.federalreserve.gov/releases/h3/).